Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships Pathways to 2050 Christos Chryssakis 21 March 2013
Outline Alternative Fuels
Hybrid Systems for Ships
Pathways to 2050 for Low Carbon Shipping
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Alternative Fuel Options for Shipping
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Future Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Shipping
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Sulphur Emission Control Areas – 2015
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Motivation for Alternative Marine Fuels Greenhouse Gas Emissions Regulations: Pollutant Emissions Oil Availability – Energy Security - Cost Low Sulphur Fuels - In the ECAs (30-50 Mt/year today) - Globally after 2020 (or 2025) ( 300 Mt/year)
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Model Results – NOx, SOx Emissions NOx, SOx emissions
Scenarios considered: - No regulations - MARPOL regulations + With New Fuels + With CO2 abatement measures
Implications: - Price of distillates to be increased after 2020 - LNG could become even more attractive - Other fuels can be introduced: - Biodiesel, LPG, DME, etc.
-85%
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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-70%
Emissions Reduction from Shipping
LNG
Biofuels Nuclear
Can reduce CO2 emissions by up to 25 % compared with bunker oil
Providing between 10 and 70 % lower CO2 lifecycle emissions
power – no GHG emissions but low public acceptance
Photo: Beluga group
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Alternative Fuel Options for Ferries 1. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) 2. Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) 3. Methanol / Ethanol
Physical & Chemical Characteristics
4. Di-Methyl Ether (DME)
Production, Availability & Cost
5. Synthetic Fuels (Fischer-Tropsch)
Applications & Current Status
6. Biodiesel
Safety Considerations
7. Biogas
Emissions & Environmental Impact
8. Hydrogen 9. Nuclear
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Alternative Fuels Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) - Very attractive for vessels in the ECAs - Expected to grow significantly in the next decade - Gas Engines, Dual-Fuel Engines - Issues with methane slip at low loads - Main Issue: Bunkering infrastructure - Feasibility studies in SE Asia - Facilities being developed in the North Sea, North America
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38 LNG fuelled ships in operation worldwide Ships in operation Year 2000 2003 2003 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011
Type of vessel Car/passenger ferry PSV PSV Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry PSV PSV Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Patrol vessel Car/passenger ferry Patrol vessel Car/passenger ferry Patrol vessel Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry PSV Chemical tanker Car/passenger ferry PSV
Owner Fjord1 Simon Møkster Eidesvik Fjord1 Fjord1 Fjord1 Fjord1 Fjord1 Eidesvik Shipping Eidesvik Shipping Tide Sjø Tide Sjø Tide Sjø Remøy Management Fjord1 Remøy Management Fjord1 Remøy Management Fjord1 Fjord1 Fosen Namsos Sjø DOF Tarbit Shipping Fjord1 Solstad Rederi
Class DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV GL DNV DNV
Year 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013
Type of vessel Car/passenger ferry PSV PSV PSV General Cargo PSV PSV Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry PSV RoPax Car/passenger ferry
Owner Fjord1 Eidesvik Olympic Shipping Island Offshore Nordnorsk Shipping Eidesvik Shipping Island Offshore Torghatten Nord Torghatten Nord Torghatten Nord REM Viking Line Torghatten Nord
Class DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV LR DNV
Updated 16.01.2013 Excluding LNG carriers and inland waterway vessels Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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30 confirmed LNG fuelled newbuilds Confirmed orderbook Year 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013
Type of vessel Harbor vessel High speed RoPax Ro-Ro Ro-Ro RoPax RoPax General Cargo Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Ro-Ro Ro-Ro Tug PSV PSV Patrol vessel Car/passenger ferry Tug Tug
Owner Incheon Port Authority Buquebus Sea-Cargo Sea-Cargo Fjordline Fjordline Eidsvaag Norled Norled Norlines Norlines Buksér & Berging Harvey Gulf Int. Marine Harvey Gulf Int. Marine Finish Border Guard Society of Quebec ferries CNOOC CNOOC
Class DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV DNV ABS ABS GL LR CCS CCS
Year 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015
Type of vessel Car/passenger ferry Car/passenger ferry Tug PSV PSV Gas carrier Gas carrier PSV PSV PSV Container Ship Container Ship
Owner Society of Quebec ferries Society of Quebec ferries Buksér & Berging Harvey Gulf Int. Marine Harvey Gulf Int. Marine SABIC SABIC Remøy Shipping Siem Offshore Harvey Gulf Int. Marine TOTE Shipholdings TOTE Shipholdings
Class LR LR DNV ABS ABS BV BV DNV DNV ABS ABS ABS
25 20
Confirmed Orders Ships in Operation
15 10
5 0
Updated 16.01.2013 Excluding LNG carriers and inland waterway vessels Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Alternative Fuels Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) -
In use since 1912 Mixture of Propane & Butane Production: 270 Mt/year, increasing Safety: similar to LNG Uses: domestic, chemicals, agriculture MAN ME-GI: introduced in 2011 - Also runs on DME
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Alternative Fuels Application of Methanol
Methanol / Ethanol
- Stena Line: ferry operator in Scandinavia - Retrofitting one vessel for 2014
- Production: - Methanol: 50 Mt/year + 34 Mt excess capacity - Ethanol: 100 Mt/year
- Stena Germanica: RoPax - 300 cars, 1300 Passengers
- Scania in Sweden uses Ethanol with an additive to make it suitable for heavy duty Diesel engines - Possible to use in dual fuel engines - Safety: low flashpoint safety requirements similar to LNG - Rules already exist for storage
- Plans for 25 more vessels up to 2018
- Under development for use as fuel
- Less toxic emissions than oil-based fuels
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Alternative Fuels Biodiesel - Can be used in blends: B10, B50, …, B100 - In Europe: spare capacity of 11 Mt/year - Strict regulations on sustainability in the EU - Applications: - US Navy (algae-based fuels) - Maersk Line (30t Rapeseed oil, 30t algae-based) - Maersk: Involved in fuel development research programme
- Regulatory issues: - MARPOL Annex VI - ISO 8217:2010
- Cost: currently 10-20% more expensive than distillate fuels
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Biofuel Feedstocks Examples
Processing
Sugar Crops
Sugar Cane, Sugar Beet
Extract Saccharose and ferment to ethanol
Starch Crops
Corn, Wheat, Cassava
Hydrolyze enzymatically to sugar solution, then ferment
Pure Plant Oil
Palm, Soybean, Rapeseed, Sunflower
Transesterification to biodiesel
Waste Vegetable Oil
Cooking oil, Animal fat
Refinement, then transesterification
Lignocellulosic (inedible Waste (forestry, farm, municipal), Switchgrass, Miscanthus, Poplar plant material)
Break down lignin to reach sugar/starches
Jatropha
Nut crop with 27-40% inedible oil
Transesterification to biodiesel
Algae (Micro & Macro)
Diverse group, some up to 60% oil by dry weight
Transesterification to biodiesel or fermentation to ethanol
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Biofuel Production Potential Area [km2] for production of 50 M TOE
% of Arable Land*
Fuel Type
Sugar Cane (Brazil)
135,038
0.98%
Ethanol
Maize USA Miscanthus
197,152 118,310
1.43% 0.86%
Ethanol Ethanol
Palm Oil (Malaysia)
118,193
0.86%
Biodiesel
Algae
22,400
0.16%
Biodiesel
Feedstock
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Alternative Fuels Biogas - Typical composition: -
Methane CO2 N2 H2 H2S O2
Methane CO2
50-80% 20-50% 0-10% 0-1% 0-3% Traces
N2 H2 H2S O2
- Production can be integrated in farms and food-processing facilities - Applications: heat generation, electricity production, substitute for LNG - Widely used in vehicles in Sweden and Norway - Can be used in LNG or Dual-Fuel engines by Wärtsilä, MAN, GE (from 100 kW to 9.5 MW)
- Same safety precautions as LNG
- It averts CH4, VOC emissions from farming, landfills Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Availability of Alternative Fuels Fuel
2010 Total consumption (million TOE/year)
Oil-based
Natural Gas
4,028*
2,858 (LNG: 250-300)
LPG
275
Methanol
23
Ethanol
58
DME
3-5
Fischer-Tropsch
15
Biodiesel
18-20
Biogas
Very low
Hydrogen
Very low
* Approximately 7-8% for shipping Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Sustainability and cost of Alternative Fuels Well-to-Propeller CO2 Emissions - Tank-to-Propeller (combustion) emissions assumed to be equal to CO2 absorbed by the plant during its lifetime
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Hybrid Systems for Ships
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Hybrid System Architecture A low emission total hybrid energy system with energy storage.
AUXILIARIES
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
Benefits from Ship Hybridization Running engines at optimum loads Avoid transient loads Use as power redundancy Utilize energy from cold ironing
Reduction of local emissions Reduction of noise and vibrations Facilitate energy harvesting
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Application: Small Ferry (i)
Main Engine Max. Power [kW] Aux. Engine Max. Power [kW] Battery Pack [kWhr] Total Installed Effect [kW]
Conventional 2×500
Hybrid 2×300
1×150
--
--
400
1150
1000
ME [kWh] (per avg. hour) AUX [kWh] (per avg. hour) Total [kWh] Fuel Consumption ME [lit./hr] Fuel Consumption AUX [lit./hr] Fuel Consumption Total [lit./hr] Installation Cost [$] Additional Cost of Hybrid [$] Fuel Savings/Year [tonnes] CO2, NOx, PM Emissions Savings/Year [kg/year] Fuel Savings/Year [$] Fuel Savings in 5 Years [$] Savings in 5 Years including Norwegian NOx Tax [$]
Conventional 240 64 304
72
61
0
21
72
82
760,000
575,000 185,000 45 CO2: 280,325 NOx:4,536 PM: 227 35,635 154,282 180,580
-12% fuel consumption
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
Hybrid 290 0 290
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Application: Small Ferry (ii) • Other Ferry Concepts • Diesel-Hybrid • Pure LNG • LNG-Hybrid • Pure Battery • High vs. Low Speed • 8 vs. 11 knots • Electricity Mix • Renewables vs. fossil fuel based
Return on Investment Return on Investment [Years]
10,0
8,0
6,0
8 knots ROI 8 knots ROI Nox Tax
4,0
11 knots ROI 11 knots ROI Nox Tax
2,0
0,0 Diesel Hybrid
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Pure LNG LNG Hybrid Pure Battery
Application: Small Ferry (iii) • Lifetime Expenses/Savings (8 knots ferry) • Diesel-Hybrid • Pure LNG • Assumptions (Const. Prices) • Fuel/Battery prices constant • Discount rate 5% • Assumptions (Best Case) • Fuel prices increasing 2% annually • Annual savings include the Norwegian NOx tax, in addition to fuel consumption savings. • The battery cost is assumed to drop by 30% every 15 years. • The capital cost of the hybrid/LNG system is reduced due to funding from the Norwegian NOx fund.
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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FellowSHIP III Background - FellowSHIP I (2003-2005): Feasibility study and basic design for hybrid fuel cell pack - FellowSHIP II (2006-2010): Fuel Cell power pack integrated in a ship
FellowSHIP III, 2011-2013 Development and integration of hybrid energy system Measurement program for fuel consumption, emissions Heat recovery system for fuel cell Modelling of hybrid system Develop DNV Rules for hybrid systems, batteries used for propulsion - Installation and testing of hybrid system on-board - Demonstrate effect of hybrid energy system -
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Pathways to 2050 For Low Carbon Shipping
Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Future Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Shipping
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Potential for Emissions Reduction from Shipping - 2050
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Ship owner survey – motivation and barriers Main Motivation: Compliance and fuel efficiency Main Barriers: Cost and technology maturity
Main motivation
Main barriers
Source: DNV survey (23 respondents) Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Ship owner survey – investment preferences Investment horizon (payback requirements) and how much of the fuel cost is paid by the ship owner impact the cost-effectiveness of many measures
Source: DNV survey (23 respondents) Alternative Fuels and Energy Systems for Future Ships 21 March 2013 © Det Norske Veritas AS. All rights reserved.
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Is it possible to reduce emissions?
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Selandia – first diesel powered ocean going vessel - 1912 Selandia had to bunker for a voyage from Europe to Singapore because no bunkering was available at that time. Building diesel-powered ships did not take place for another 20 years.
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Safeguarding life, property and the environment www.dnv.com
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