1273050935 381
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
New market opportunities What’s the Future of CHP
Gideon Richards Head of Heating & Cooling Renewable Energy Association 14th. Nov. 2007
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Content • Renewable CHP Drivers • Constraints & Opportunities • Technologies • Summary
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Renewable CHP Drivers
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
How much will society pay for a 20% share of renewable energies? It is important to note, that the main factor influencing the cost of a renewable portfolio is oil price. Under a scenario with oil prices at $78/barrel by 2020, …switch from fossil fuels to renewable energies32, carbon prices of €25 per tonne combined with high oil prices (78$) would almost entirely cover the additional cost associated with reaching the proposed share of renewable energy. SOURCE: Renewable Energy Road Map, {SEC(2007) 12}, Brussels, 10,01,2007
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Evaluation of Progress for CHP to 2015
↑
18.55
20.5
2168
2379
Source: defra – Analysis of the UK potential for Combined Heat and Power, October 2007
12.5
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
UK Drivers for Biomass • • • • • • • •
Fossil Fuel Energy Costs Renewable Obligation Certificates EU Renewable Energy Targets 2020 Energy White Paper (2007) UK Biomass Strategy (2007) Microgeneration Strategy (2005) Strategy for GQCHP Ernst & Young Initial Business Case for a Heat Mechanism (2007) • OCC Heat Review (2007/2008) • CERT (2008-2011)
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Constraints & Opportunities
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Constraints • • • • •
Physical Space Economics of Capital & Revenue Infrastructure Costs Fears of Emissions (e.g. PM10s in particular) Regulation & Legislation (e.g. Planning, WID, IPPC, Waste Directive) • Peoples’ Perceptions
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Opportunities • • • • •
CO2 Savings Reduced Reliance on Fossil Fuels Security of Supply Reduced Fuel Poverty Reduced Landfill & better Recovery of Resources • ESCo. (Energy Supply Companies) & Supply chain development – Employment, Skills, Wealth Creation • Scalability
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Technologies
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Hierarchy of Biomass Energy Community / District Heating, CHP or Trigen Schemes - Water & Heating + Electric – Pellet, Chip, EfW Community Heating - Water & Heating – Pellet, Chip, Straw or Grains House or Small Commercial Boiler – Water, Heating & microCHP – Log, Pellet or Chip Multiple Room Space / Water Heating (Back Boiler or Ducted Air – Log or Pellet Room Space Heater – Log or Pellet
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – Medium / Large CHP (1)
Pfaffenhofen, Bravia - Germany Steam to baby-food producer (950m) District heating – 150 customers between 15kW & 3.5MW (High-temp 13.4km, Medium-temp. 4.0km, Low temp. expanding for domestic) Cooling: 1 x Hosp. Cooling Cap. 300kW, 1 x 2 Offices 700kW, 1 x NH3 absorbtion chiller and electric piston compressor chiller (2 x 125kW), Brewery (at night) and Offices (district cooling during daytime (650kW)
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – Medium / Large CHP (2) Phaffenhofen, Bravia, Germany 31.5 MW thermal 7,5 MW electric (42GWh/yr)
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – Small / Medium CHP Talbott’s, UK 200kW Thermal 100kW electric
Mawera, Austria Stream Turbines 100 – 2.5MW electric
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – microCHP (1) Sunmachine, Germany 4.5 – 10.5kW Thermal 1.5 – 3kW electric
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – microCHP (2) KWB, Austria Believed to be 1+ kWe
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Summary • Many Drivers to stimulate CHP and Trigeneration • Potentially technologies at ALL scales • Resources hierarchy and technology should be carefully matched • Some difficulties to overcome • Plenty of opportunities for the brave! • More ‘+’s than ‘-’s
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Thank You Gideon Richards Head of Heating & Cooling Contact Details: Email: [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)7976 734603
New market opportunities What’s the Future of CHP
Gideon Richards Head of Heating & Cooling Renewable Energy Association 14th. Nov. 2007
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Content • Renewable CHP Drivers • Constraints & Opportunities • Technologies • Summary
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Renewable CHP Drivers
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
How much will society pay for a 20% share of renewable energies? It is important to note, that the main factor influencing the cost of a renewable portfolio is oil price. Under a scenario with oil prices at $78/barrel by 2020, …switch from fossil fuels to renewable energies32, carbon prices of €25 per tonne combined with high oil prices (78$) would almost entirely cover the additional cost associated with reaching the proposed share of renewable energy. SOURCE: Renewable Energy Road Map, {SEC(2007) 12}, Brussels, 10,01,2007
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Evaluation of Progress for CHP to 2015
↑
18.55
20.5
2168
2379
Source: defra – Analysis of the UK potential for Combined Heat and Power, October 2007
12.5
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
UK Drivers for Biomass • • • • • • • •
Fossil Fuel Energy Costs Renewable Obligation Certificates EU Renewable Energy Targets 2020 Energy White Paper (2007) UK Biomass Strategy (2007) Microgeneration Strategy (2005) Strategy for GQCHP Ernst & Young Initial Business Case for a Heat Mechanism (2007) • OCC Heat Review (2007/2008) • CERT (2008-2011)
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Constraints & Opportunities
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Constraints • • • • •
Physical Space Economics of Capital & Revenue Infrastructure Costs Fears of Emissions (e.g. PM10s in particular) Regulation & Legislation (e.g. Planning, WID, IPPC, Waste Directive) • Peoples’ Perceptions
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Opportunities • • • • •
CO2 Savings Reduced Reliance on Fossil Fuels Security of Supply Reduced Fuel Poverty Reduced Landfill & better Recovery of Resources • ESCo. (Energy Supply Companies) & Supply chain development – Employment, Skills, Wealth Creation • Scalability
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Technologies
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Hierarchy of Biomass Energy Community / District Heating, CHP or Trigen Schemes - Water & Heating + Electric – Pellet, Chip, EfW Community Heating - Water & Heating – Pellet, Chip, Straw or Grains House or Small Commercial Boiler – Water, Heating & microCHP – Log, Pellet or Chip Multiple Room Space / Water Heating (Back Boiler or Ducted Air – Log or Pellet Room Space Heater – Log or Pellet
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – Medium / Large CHP (1)
Pfaffenhofen, Bravia - Germany Steam to baby-food producer (950m) District heating – 150 customers between 15kW & 3.5MW (High-temp 13.4km, Medium-temp. 4.0km, Low temp. expanding for domestic) Cooling: 1 x Hosp. Cooling Cap. 300kW, 1 x 2 Offices 700kW, 1 x NH3 absorbtion chiller and electric piston compressor chiller (2 x 125kW), Brewery (at night) and Offices (district cooling during daytime (650kW)
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – Medium / Large CHP (2) Phaffenhofen, Bravia, Germany 31.5 MW thermal 7,5 MW electric (42GWh/yr)
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – Small / Medium CHP Talbott’s, UK 200kW Thermal 100kW electric
Mawera, Austria Stream Turbines 100 – 2.5MW electric
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – microCHP (1) Sunmachine, Germany 4.5 – 10.5kW Thermal 1.5 – 3kW electric
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Biomass – microCHP (2) KWB, Austria Believed to be 1+ kWe
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Summary • Many Drivers to stimulate CHP and Trigeneration • Potentially technologies at ALL scales • Resources hierarchy and technology should be carefully matched • Some difficulties to overcome • Plenty of opportunities for the brave! • More ‘+’s than ‘-’s
Renewable Futures 2007- New Drivers for Growth
Thank You Gideon Richards Head of Heating & Cooling Contact Details: Email: [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)7976 734603
