2008 Floodplain Composite Soil Samples Analysis of THg John W. Green, Ph.D., Ph.D. Principal Consultant: Biostatistics DuPont Applied Statistics Group
General Observations • Particle size and LOI correlated – Inclusion of both causes difficulties • LOI removed from final model
– Clay% always neg correlated with THg • Significant in reaches 2, 5, 6
– Silt% always pos correlated with THg • Significant in reaches 1, 2, 4, 5
• RRM adds nothing beyond river reach – Removed from final model
• Elevation above river significant – in reaches 1, 2, 4, 5 – THg decreases as elevation increases (except R6)
General Observations • Distance from river significant – In reaches 2, 3, 4, 5 – THg decreases as distance increases
• USE significant in all reaches • FP significant in all reaches except 1, 4 – FP more important than USE for THg level • Greater average variation across FPs than across USE • Plots following show this clearly
– THg highest in 2-Yr FP, lowest in 62-Yr FP • Exception in Reach 1 where 5Yr>62Yr>2Yr
• Highest THg levels mostly in 2 Yr FP – Except R 1, 2 where top 40% occur in 5 Yr FP
THg averaged across landuse. Marked decrease in THg from reach 1 to 2 in 5- & 62-Yr FPs. Highest THg observed in 2-Yr FP except R1.
THg averaged across floodplains. Marked decrease in THg from reach 1 to 2 in both landuses. Highest THg observed in forested areas in reaches 46, little variation among landuses in reaches 2 - 6.
THg rises across reaches in forested area in 2-Yr FP. Less clear pattern in 5-Yr FP. Low, steady THg levels in 62-Yr FP after reach 1
Except for spike in reach 3 (Dooms, Crimora area), 2-Yr FP, low steady THg levels across reaches in pasture/hay areas.
Basics • Data normally distributed – Moderate non-normality in R 3 (p=0.035)
• Some variance heterogeneity in reaches 2 (p=0.01) and 4 (p=0.01) • 11 outliers – 8 underestimated, 3 overestimated – 3 THg values 33-55 ppm underestimated
Reach 1, 2 Largest THg FP 5 Y 62 Y 5 Y 5 Y 2 Y 5 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 5 Y
use FOR OpSp FOR FOR FOR FOR FOR WET WET FOR
Hg 535 282 105 99 89 89 72 66 62 61
X 4420 1753 415 4504 3333 4565 3870 3784 4178 4118
Y 5974 3502 1532 5462 4027 5058 5727 5735 4468 5569
El 4.0 8.0 6.0 4.3 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.6
DIS 950 198 110 682 72 552 378 340 121 447
RRM 2.07 1.10 0.45 1.97 1.46 1.90 1.93 1.91 1.71 1.93
53 117 99 162 65 347 116 118 226 90
3.13 3.18 3.73 3.65 2.79 3.39 3.11 3.61 4.44 2.58
CLAY% 17 13 11 21 13 17 11 14 11 19
SILT% 42 14 24 35 16 23 18 22 28 29
R2 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 2 5 5
Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y
FOR FOR OpSp OpSp FOR PAS PAS FOR PAS PAS
163 59 34 23 21 19 18 14 13 9
4030 3550 6657 6590 2486 5910 4460 4983 6684 2496
10508 10865 11672 11364 9712 10692 10284 12003 14528 8942
0.0 2.5 2.7 2.8 1.8 4.0 4.0 2.9 6.0 6.0
18 26 25 16 25 15 19 16 20 21
42 52 36 42 46 20 28 20 30 43
Reach 1 Comparisons Label R1, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R1, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R1, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y
RATIO 5.071 3.321 0.654
LCBRAT 1.034 0.201 0.088
UCBRAT 24.858 54.855 4.844
R1, OPS, FP 5Y/2Y R1, OPS, FP 62Y/2Y R1, OPS, FP 62Y/5Y
0.837 2.708 3.232
0.133 0.352 0.720
5.242 20.822 14.503
R1, 2YR, OPS/FOR R1, 5YR, OPS/FOR R1, 62YR, OPS/FOR
4.495 0.742 3.665
0.956 0.169 0.662
21.116 3.250 20.284
SIG **
*
Reach 2 Comparisons Label
RATIO
LCBRAT UCBRAT SIG
R2, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R2, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R2, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y
0.185 0.077 0.416
0.055 0.020 0.127
0.617 0.295 1.355
R2, OPS, FP 5Y/2Y R2, OPS, FP 62Y/2Y R2, OPS, FP 62Y/5Y
0.774 0.685 0.885
0.205 0.166 0.237
2.921 2.815 3.299
R2, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R2, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R2, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y
0.611 0.093 0.153
0.191 0.025 0.047
1.950 0.346 0.498
*** ***
*** ***
Reach 2 Comparisons Label
RATIO
LCBRAT UCBRAT
R2, 2YR, OPS/FOR R2, 2YR, PAS/FOR R2, 2YR, PAS/OPS
0.421 1.198 2.842
0.112 0.360 0.791
1.578 3.985 10.202
R2, 5YR, OPS/FOR R2, 5YR, PAS/FOR R2, 5YR, PAS/OPS
1.758 3.947 2.244
0.490 1.331 0.634
6.303 11.703 7.935
R2, 62YR, OPS/FOR R2, 62YR, PAS/FOR R2, 62YR, PAS/OPS
3.742 1.454 0.388
1.005 0.456 0.113
13.938 4.638 1.333
SIG
**
*
Reach 3, 4 Largest THg FP 2 Y 2 Y 5 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y
USE FOR FOR FOR PAS CUL CUL WET PAS PAS WET
2 2 5 2 5 2 2 2 2 2
PAS FOR FOR FOR FOR PAS FOR WET FOR WET
Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y
Hg x y 46 9981 28723 38 10681 27607 33 10256 28334 25 6896 24991 22 6987 17549 19 7201 18280 16 9054 27258 12 8443 28068 11 10232 28614 11 7374 17345 57 23 23 18 17 13 11 11 10 8
9042 12415 11414 9921 13486 9824 8000 9838 11218 7433
34262 47718 43169 44662 49908 41231 32571 39375 43290 37991
El 2.7 2.0 4.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.5
Dist 74 90 136 139 315 141 852 558 189 85 R 4 2.0 78 2.0 114 4.0 183 0.0 133 4.0 101 1.2 100 0.0 1181 0.6 89 0.8 122 2.0 63
RRM CLAY% 8.43 13 8.21 23 8.35 22 7.19 14 5.24 12 5.45 14 7.96 27 8.13 17 8.42 26 5.23 8 9.82 13.66 12.37 12.68 14.32 11.75 9.30 11.25 12.39 10.73
26 13 8 8 10 26 27 13 10 27
SILT% 26 49 6 30 22 20 32 24 34 26 44 17 14 24 14 46 23 22 18 26
Reach 3 Comparisons Label R3, CCP, FP 5Y/2Y R3, CCP, FP 62Y/2Y R3, CCP, FP 62Y/5Y
RATIO 0.419 0.024 0.057
LCBRAT 0.113 0.005 0.014
UCBRAT SIG 1.550 0.102 *** 0.229 ***
R3, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R3, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R3, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y
1.109 0.069 0.062
0.294 0.014 0.014
4.178 0.327 0.274
R3, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R3, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R3, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y
0.043 0.026 0.617
0.011 0.006 0.159
0.160 0.110 2.400
*** *** *** ***
Reach 3 Comparisons Label R3, 2YR, FOR/CCP R3, 2YR, PAS/CCP R3, 2YR, PAS/FOR
RATIO 0.613 2.825 4.606
LCBRAT 0.169 0.782 1.262
UCBRAT SIG 2.217 10.196 16.811 **
R3, 5YR, FOR/CCP R3, 5YR, PAS/CCP R3, 5YR, PAS/FOR
1.621 0.293 0.181
0.451 0.081 0.050
5.824 1.055 0.651
R3, 62YR, FOR/CCP R3, 62YR, PAS/CCP R3, 62YR, PAS/FOR
1.746 3.137 1.795
0.395 0.873 0.450
7.715 11.260 7.155
* **
*
Reach 4 Comparisons Label R4, CCP, FP 5Y/2Y R4, CCP, FP 62Y/2Y R4, CCP, FP 62Y/5Y
RATIO 0.599 0.885 1.475
LCBR 0.140 0.181 0.452
UCBR 2.568 4.322 4.816
R4, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R4, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R4, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y
0.459 0.099 0.215
0.130 0.020 0.059
1.622 0.484 0.780
R4, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R4, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R4, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y
0.747 0.262 0.351
0.220 0.054 0.098
2.531 1.272 1.249
SIG
*** **
Reach 4 Comparisons Label R4, 2YR, FOR/CCP R4, 2YR, PAS/CCP R4, 2YR, PAS/FOR
RATIO 4.716 0.985 0.208
LCBR 1.505 0.321 0.067
UCBR 14.783 3.021 0.644
SIG ***
R4, 5YR, FOR/CCP R4, 5YR, PAS/CCP R4, 5YR, PAS/FOR
3.613 1.227 0.339
0.852 0.329 0.101
15.316 4.579 1.138
*
R4, 62YR, FOR/CCP R4, 62YR, PAS/CCP R4, 62YR, PAS/FOR
0.528 0.292 0.552
0.129 0.081 0.155
2.162 1.041 1.966
***
*
*
Reach 5, 6 Highest THg FP 2Y 2Y 2Y 5Y 2Y 5Y 2Y 2Y 5Y 5Y 2Y 2Y 2Y 62Y 2Y 2Y 2Y 2Y 2Y 2Y
USE WET WET PAS FOR FOR PAS WET WET FOR FOR OpSp FOR FOR WET FOR FOR WET FOR OpSp WET
Hg 44 18 12 11 11 10 10 10 9 9
x 15054 14813 15264 14638 15274 14482 14295 14957 14615 14616
30 28 16 14 11 9 9 8 7 7
y 56744 55965 65914 59045 68939 64361 54460 56315 56280 55213
20072 16755 18030 14882 20158 19793 14703 17808 19889 16769
81726 80093 79154 77204 81030 80417 77495 79134 81586 79901
El 2.0 2.0 3.2 4.0 3.4 2.3 2.0 0.0 5.9 4.0 2.0 4.3 5.6 0.4 2.4 4.0 1.0 0.2 4.1 4.5
Dist 135 97 137 83 669 195 61 26 268 287
RRM CLAY% 16.26 13 16.04 7 18.74 25 16.85 9 19.56 11 18.27 12 15.60 9 16.14 11 16.11 10 15.82 13 R6 115 23.31 23 649 22.66 25 646 22.49 19 161 21.78 13 84 23.13 17 371 22.94 15 248 21.85 13 653 22.47 21 234 23.26 17 548 22.61 21
SILT% 35 20 33 19 31 18 26 17 24 17 28 31 25 42 28 15 30 33 22 34
Reach 5 Comparisons Label R5, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R5, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R5, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y
RATIO 1.197 0.125 0.104
LCBR 0.376 0.037 0.032
UCBR 3.811 0.420 0.334
SIG
R5, OPS, FP 5Y/2Y R5, OPS, FP 62Y/2Y R5, OPS, FP 62Y/5Y
0.162 0.121 0.748
0.048 0.038 0.229
0.542 0.384 2.441
*** ***
R5, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R5, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R5, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y
1.351 0.560 0.414
0.413 0.172 0.137
4.420 1.819 1.249
*** ***
Reach 5 Comparisons Label R5, 2YR, OPS/FOR R5, 2YR, PAS/FOR R5, 2YR, PAS/OPS
RATIO 0.893 0.406 0.454
LCBR 0.286 0.119 0.143
UCBR 2.789 1.386 1.440
SIG
R5, 5YR, OPS/FOR R5, 5YR, PAS/FOR R5, 5YR, PAS/OPS
0.120 0.458 3.791
0.036 0.148 1.141
0.400 1.418 12.587
***
R5, 62YR, OPS/FOR R5, 62YR, PAS/FOR R5, 62YR, PAS/OPS
0.866 1.821 2.102
0.265 0.570 0.730
2.829 5.812 6.051
**
Reach 6 Comparisons Label R6, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R6, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R6, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y
RATIO 0.146 0.068 0.471
LCBR 0.041 0.016 0.116
UCBR 0.510 0.279 1.906
SIG *** ***
R6, OPS, FP 5Y/2Y R6, OPS, FP 62Y/2Y R6, OPS, FP 62Y/5Y
0.057 0.052 0.927
0.016 0.012 0.225
0.191 0.219 3.812
*** ***
R6, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R6, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R6, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y
0.623 0.199 0.319
0.185 0.055 0.096
2.102 0.709 1.061
** *
Reach 6 Comparisons Label R6, 2YR, OPS/FOR R6, 2YR, PAS/FOR R6, 2YR, PAS/OPS
RATIO 0.555 0.106 0.191
LCBR 0.168 0.032 0.058
UCBR 1.829 0.352 0.626
R6, 5YR, OPS/FOR R6, 5YR, PAS/FOR R6, 5YR, PAS/OPS
0.216 0.454 2.094
0.064 0.129 0.597
0.732 1.598 7.342
R6, 62YR, OPS/FOR R6, 62YR, PAS/FOR R6, 62YR, PAS/OPS
0.426 0.308 0.722
0.084 0.068 0.211
2.163 1.375 2.460
SIG *** *** **
2-Year Floodplain Label
2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR,
RATIO
CCP, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR,
REACH4/3 REACH2/1 REACH3/1 REACH4/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5
LCBR
0.378 0.557 0.244 1.086 0.602 1.092 0.438 1.950 1.081 1.961 4.450 2.468 4.475 0.554 1.005 1.813
UCBR
0.107 0.176 0.075 0.349 0.180 0.331 0.128 0.574 0.288 0.566 1.266 0.638 1.257 0.155 0.286 0.472
SIG
1.340 1.755 0.792 3.383 2.014 3.604 1.498 6.620 4.052 6.787 15.641 9.536 15.926 1.982 3.535 6.954
**
** **
2-Year Floodplain Label 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS,
REACH2/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH6/5 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5
RATIO 0.057 0.167 0.230 2.888 3.984 1.379 1.624 0.274 0.501 0.302 0.169 0.308 0.186 1.823 1.100 0.603
LCBR 0.016 0.052 0.069 0.736 1.053 0.395 0.460 0.076 0.133 0.085 0.047 0.080 0.052 0.457 0.297 0.163
UCBR SIG 0.203 *** 0.534 *** 0.764 ** 11.325 15.061 ** 4.809 5.738 0.986 ** 1.884 1.070 * 0.607 *** 1.177 * 0.662 ** 7.266 4.073 2.228
5-Year Floodplain Label 5YR, CCP, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR,
REACH4/3 REACH2/1 REACH3/1 REACH4/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5
RATIO 0.232 0.039 0.175 0.155 0.286 0.075 4.411 3.903 7.185 1.904 0.884 1.628 0.431 1.840 0.488 0.265
LCBR 0.051 0.012 0.049 0.042 0.085 0.020 1.097 0.906 1.783 0.456 0.183 0.363 0.099 0.431 0.098 0.059
UCBR 1.058 0.126 0.626 0.567 0.958 0.275 17.731 16.808 28.952 7.945 4.258 7.291 1.874 7.847 2.413 1.180
SIG * *** *** *** ** *** ** * ***
*
5-Year Floodplain Label 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS,
REACH2/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH6/5 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5
RATIO 0.156 0.118 0.048 0.757 0.313 0.413 0.177 0.382 0.726 0.347 2.159 4.099 1.962 1.898 0.908 0.478
LCBR 0.038 0.028 0.011 0.155 0.071 0.085 0.045 0.099 0.173 0.086 0.508 0.899 0.455 0.420 0.207 0.111
UCBR SIG 0.634 ** 0.494 *** 0.200 *** 3.677 1.370 2.000 0.684 ** 1.475 3.045 1.393 9.179 18.674 * 8.460 8.558 3.983 2.065
62-Year Floodplain Label 62Y, CCP, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR,
REACH4/3 REACH2/1 REACH3/1 REACH4/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4
RATIO 5.897 0.126 0.087 0.183 0.250 0.409 0.690 1.454 1.980 3.242 2.105 2.868 4.694 1.362 2.229
LCBR 1.596 0.040 0.026 0.054 0.073 0.103 0.187 0.401 0.531 0.748 0.537 0.730 1.018 0.369 0.499
UCBR 21.792 0.390 0.284 0.614 0.855 1.618 2.548 5.265 7.382 14.047 8.250 11.260 21.639 5.026 9.962
SIG *** *** *** *** **
**
62-Year Floodplain Label 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS,
REACH2/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH6/5 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5
RATIO 0.071 0.075 0.109 1.059 1.527 1.442 1.035 0.638 2.204 0.981 0.616 2.127 0.947 3.451 1.536 0.445
LCBR 0.020 0.024 0.033 0.274 0.402 0.405 0.318 0.191 0.698 0.299 0.169 0.635 0.268 0.987 0.428 0.130
UCBR 0.253 0.230 0.358 4.084 5.799 5.131 3.365 2.135 6.954 3.216 2.237 7.129 3.341 12.064 5.514 1.522
SIG *** *** ***
*