2008 Floodplain Composite Soil Samples

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2008 Floodplain Composite Soil Samples Analysis of THg John W. Green, Ph.D., Ph.D. Principal Consultant: Biostatistics DuPont Applied Statistics Group

General Observations • Particle size and LOI correlated – Inclusion of both causes difficulties • LOI removed from final model

– Clay% always neg correlated with THg • Significant in reaches 2, 5, 6

– Silt% always pos correlated with THg • Significant in reaches 1, 2, 4, 5

• RRM adds nothing beyond river reach – Removed from final model

• Elevation above river significant – in reaches 1, 2, 4, 5 – THg decreases as elevation increases (except R6)

General Observations • Distance from river significant – In reaches 2, 3, 4, 5 – THg decreases as distance increases

• USE significant in all reaches • FP significant in all reaches except 1, 4 – FP more important than USE for THg level • Greater average variation across FPs than across USE • Plots following show this clearly

– THg highest in 2-Yr FP, lowest in 62-Yr FP • Exception in Reach 1 where 5Yr>62Yr>2Yr

• Highest THg levels mostly in 2 Yr FP – Except R 1, 2 where top 40% occur in 5 Yr FP

THg averaged across landuse. Marked decrease in THg from reach 1 to 2 in 5- & 62-Yr FPs. Highest THg observed in 2-Yr FP except R1.

THg averaged across floodplains. Marked decrease in THg from reach 1 to 2 in both landuses. Highest THg observed in forested areas in reaches 46, little variation among landuses in reaches 2 - 6.

THg rises across reaches in forested area in 2-Yr FP. Less clear pattern in 5-Yr FP. Low, steady THg levels in 62-Yr FP after reach 1

Except for spike in reach 3 (Dooms, Crimora area), 2-Yr FP, low steady THg levels across reaches in pasture/hay areas.

Basics • Data normally distributed – Moderate non-normality in R 3 (p=0.035)

• Some variance heterogeneity in reaches 2 (p=0.01) and 4 (p=0.01) • 11 outliers – 8 underestimated, 3 overestimated – 3 THg values 33-55 ppm underestimated

Reach 1, 2 Largest THg FP 5 Y 62 Y 5 Y 5 Y 2 Y 5 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 5 Y

use FOR OpSp FOR FOR FOR FOR FOR WET WET FOR

Hg 535 282 105 99 89 89 72 66 62 61

X 4420 1753 415 4504 3333 4565 3870 3784 4178 4118

Y 5974 3502 1532 5462 4027 5058 5727 5735 4468 5569

El 4.0 8.0 6.0 4.3 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.6

DIS 950 198 110 682 72 552 378 340 121 447

RRM 2.07 1.10 0.45 1.97 1.46 1.90 1.93 1.91 1.71 1.93

53 117 99 162 65 347 116 118 226 90

3.13 3.18 3.73 3.65 2.79 3.39 3.11 3.61 4.44 2.58

CLAY% 17 13 11 21 13 17 11 14 11 19

SILT% 42 14 24 35 16 23 18 22 28 29

R2 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 2 5 5

Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

FOR FOR OpSp OpSp FOR PAS PAS FOR PAS PAS

163 59 34 23 21 19 18 14 13 9

4030 3550 6657 6590 2486 5910 4460 4983 6684 2496

10508 10865 11672 11364 9712 10692 10284 12003 14528 8942

0.0 2.5 2.7 2.8 1.8 4.0 4.0 2.9 6.0 6.0

18 26 25 16 25 15 19 16 20 21

42 52 36 42 46 20 28 20 30 43

Reach 1 Comparisons Label R1, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R1, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R1, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y

RATIO 5.071 3.321 0.654

LCBRAT 1.034 0.201 0.088

UCBRAT 24.858 54.855 4.844

R1, OPS, FP 5Y/2Y R1, OPS, FP 62Y/2Y R1, OPS, FP 62Y/5Y

0.837 2.708 3.232

0.133 0.352 0.720

5.242 20.822 14.503

R1, 2YR, OPS/FOR R1, 5YR, OPS/FOR R1, 62YR, OPS/FOR

4.495 0.742 3.665

0.956 0.169 0.662

21.116 3.250 20.284

SIG **

*

Reach 2 Comparisons Label

RATIO

LCBRAT UCBRAT SIG

R2, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R2, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R2, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y

0.185 0.077 0.416

0.055 0.020 0.127

0.617 0.295 1.355

R2, OPS, FP 5Y/2Y R2, OPS, FP 62Y/2Y R2, OPS, FP 62Y/5Y

0.774 0.685 0.885

0.205 0.166 0.237

2.921 2.815 3.299

R2, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R2, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R2, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y

0.611 0.093 0.153

0.191 0.025 0.047

1.950 0.346 0.498

*** ***

*** ***

Reach 2 Comparisons Label

RATIO

LCBRAT UCBRAT

R2, 2YR, OPS/FOR R2, 2YR, PAS/FOR R2, 2YR, PAS/OPS

0.421 1.198 2.842

0.112 0.360 0.791

1.578 3.985 10.202

R2, 5YR, OPS/FOR R2, 5YR, PAS/FOR R2, 5YR, PAS/OPS

1.758 3.947 2.244

0.490 1.331 0.634

6.303 11.703 7.935

R2, 62YR, OPS/FOR R2, 62YR, PAS/FOR R2, 62YR, PAS/OPS

3.742 1.454 0.388

1.005 0.456 0.113

13.938 4.638 1.333

SIG

**

*

Reach 3, 4 Largest THg FP 2 Y 2 Y 5 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y 2 Y

USE FOR FOR FOR PAS CUL CUL WET PAS PAS WET

2 2 5 2 5 2 2 2 2 2

PAS FOR FOR FOR FOR PAS FOR WET FOR WET

Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y

Hg x y 46 9981 28723 38 10681 27607 33 10256 28334 25 6896 24991 22 6987 17549 19 7201 18280 16 9054 27258 12 8443 28068 11 10232 28614 11 7374 17345 57 23 23 18 17 13 11 11 10 8

9042 12415 11414 9921 13486 9824 8000 9838 11218 7433

34262 47718 43169 44662 49908 41231 32571 39375 43290 37991

El 2.7 2.0 4.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.5

Dist 74 90 136 139 315 141 852 558 189 85 R 4 2.0 78 2.0 114 4.0 183 0.0 133 4.0 101 1.2 100 0.0 1181 0.6 89 0.8 122 2.0 63

RRM CLAY% 8.43 13 8.21 23 8.35 22 7.19 14 5.24 12 5.45 14 7.96 27 8.13 17 8.42 26 5.23 8 9.82 13.66 12.37 12.68 14.32 11.75 9.30 11.25 12.39 10.73

26 13 8 8 10 26 27 13 10 27

SILT% 26 49 6 30 22 20 32 24 34 26 44 17 14 24 14 46 23 22 18 26

Reach 3 Comparisons Label R3, CCP, FP 5Y/2Y R3, CCP, FP 62Y/2Y R3, CCP, FP 62Y/5Y

RATIO 0.419 0.024 0.057

LCBRAT 0.113 0.005 0.014

UCBRAT SIG 1.550 0.102 *** 0.229 ***

R3, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R3, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R3, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y

1.109 0.069 0.062

0.294 0.014 0.014

4.178 0.327 0.274

R3, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R3, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R3, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y

0.043 0.026 0.617

0.011 0.006 0.159

0.160 0.110 2.400

*** *** *** ***

Reach 3 Comparisons Label R3, 2YR, FOR/CCP R3, 2YR, PAS/CCP R3, 2YR, PAS/FOR

RATIO 0.613 2.825 4.606

LCBRAT 0.169 0.782 1.262

UCBRAT SIG 2.217 10.196 16.811 **

R3, 5YR, FOR/CCP R3, 5YR, PAS/CCP R3, 5YR, PAS/FOR

1.621 0.293 0.181

0.451 0.081 0.050

5.824 1.055 0.651

R3, 62YR, FOR/CCP R3, 62YR, PAS/CCP R3, 62YR, PAS/FOR

1.746 3.137 1.795

0.395 0.873 0.450

7.715 11.260 7.155

* **

*

Reach 4 Comparisons Label R4, CCP, FP 5Y/2Y R4, CCP, FP 62Y/2Y R4, CCP, FP 62Y/5Y

RATIO 0.599 0.885 1.475

LCBR 0.140 0.181 0.452

UCBR 2.568 4.322 4.816

R4, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R4, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R4, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y

0.459 0.099 0.215

0.130 0.020 0.059

1.622 0.484 0.780

R4, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R4, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R4, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y

0.747 0.262 0.351

0.220 0.054 0.098

2.531 1.272 1.249

SIG

*** **

Reach 4 Comparisons Label R4, 2YR, FOR/CCP R4, 2YR, PAS/CCP R4, 2YR, PAS/FOR

RATIO 4.716 0.985 0.208

LCBR 1.505 0.321 0.067

UCBR 14.783 3.021 0.644

SIG ***

R4, 5YR, FOR/CCP R4, 5YR, PAS/CCP R4, 5YR, PAS/FOR

3.613 1.227 0.339

0.852 0.329 0.101

15.316 4.579 1.138

*

R4, 62YR, FOR/CCP R4, 62YR, PAS/CCP R4, 62YR, PAS/FOR

0.528 0.292 0.552

0.129 0.081 0.155

2.162 1.041 1.966

***

*

*

Reach 5, 6 Highest THg FP 2Y 2Y 2Y 5Y 2Y 5Y 2Y 2Y 5Y 5Y 2Y 2Y 2Y 62Y 2Y 2Y 2Y 2Y 2Y 2Y

USE WET WET PAS FOR FOR PAS WET WET FOR FOR OpSp FOR FOR WET FOR FOR WET FOR OpSp WET

Hg 44 18 12 11 11 10 10 10 9 9

x 15054 14813 15264 14638 15274 14482 14295 14957 14615 14616

30 28 16 14 11 9 9 8 7 7

y 56744 55965 65914 59045 68939 64361 54460 56315 56280 55213

20072 16755 18030 14882 20158 19793 14703 17808 19889 16769

81726 80093 79154 77204 81030 80417 77495 79134 81586 79901

El 2.0 2.0 3.2 4.0 3.4 2.3 2.0 0.0 5.9 4.0 2.0 4.3 5.6 0.4 2.4 4.0 1.0 0.2 4.1 4.5

Dist 135 97 137 83 669 195 61 26 268 287

RRM CLAY% 16.26 13 16.04 7 18.74 25 16.85 9 19.56 11 18.27 12 15.60 9 16.14 11 16.11 10 15.82 13 R6 115 23.31 23 649 22.66 25 646 22.49 19 161 21.78 13 84 23.13 17 371 22.94 15 248 21.85 13 653 22.47 21 234 23.26 17 548 22.61 21

SILT% 35 20 33 19 31 18 26 17 24 17 28 31 25 42 28 15 30 33 22 34

Reach 5 Comparisons Label R5, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R5, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R5, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y

RATIO 1.197 0.125 0.104

LCBR 0.376 0.037 0.032

UCBR 3.811 0.420 0.334

SIG

R5, OPS, FP 5Y/2Y R5, OPS, FP 62Y/2Y R5, OPS, FP 62Y/5Y

0.162 0.121 0.748

0.048 0.038 0.229

0.542 0.384 2.441

*** ***

R5, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R5, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R5, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y

1.351 0.560 0.414

0.413 0.172 0.137

4.420 1.819 1.249

*** ***

Reach 5 Comparisons Label R5, 2YR, OPS/FOR R5, 2YR, PAS/FOR R5, 2YR, PAS/OPS

RATIO 0.893 0.406 0.454

LCBR 0.286 0.119 0.143

UCBR 2.789 1.386 1.440

SIG

R5, 5YR, OPS/FOR R5, 5YR, PAS/FOR R5, 5YR, PAS/OPS

0.120 0.458 3.791

0.036 0.148 1.141

0.400 1.418 12.587

***

R5, 62YR, OPS/FOR R5, 62YR, PAS/FOR R5, 62YR, PAS/OPS

0.866 1.821 2.102

0.265 0.570 0.730

2.829 5.812 6.051

**

Reach 6 Comparisons Label R6, FOR, FP 5Y/2Y R6, FOR, FP 62Y/2Y R6, FOR, FP 62Y/5Y

RATIO 0.146 0.068 0.471

LCBR 0.041 0.016 0.116

UCBR 0.510 0.279 1.906

SIG *** ***

R6, OPS, FP 5Y/2Y R6, OPS, FP 62Y/2Y R6, OPS, FP 62Y/5Y

0.057 0.052 0.927

0.016 0.012 0.225

0.191 0.219 3.812

*** ***

R6, PAS, FP 5Y/2Y R6, PAS, FP 62Y/2Y R6, PAS, FP 62Y/5Y

0.623 0.199 0.319

0.185 0.055 0.096

2.102 0.709 1.061

** *

Reach 6 Comparisons Label R6, 2YR, OPS/FOR R6, 2YR, PAS/FOR R6, 2YR, PAS/OPS

RATIO 0.555 0.106 0.191

LCBR 0.168 0.032 0.058

UCBR 1.829 0.352 0.626

R6, 5YR, OPS/FOR R6, 5YR, PAS/FOR R6, 5YR, PAS/OPS

0.216 0.454 2.094

0.064 0.129 0.597

0.732 1.598 7.342

R6, 62YR, OPS/FOR R6, 62YR, PAS/FOR R6, 62YR, PAS/OPS

0.426 0.308 0.722

0.084 0.068 0.211

2.163 1.375 2.460

SIG *** *** **

2-Year Floodplain Label

2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR, 2YR,

RATIO

CCP, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR, FOR,

REACH4/3 REACH2/1 REACH3/1 REACH4/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5

LCBR

0.378 0.557 0.244 1.086 0.602 1.092 0.438 1.950 1.081 1.961 4.450 2.468 4.475 0.554 1.005 1.813

UCBR

0.107 0.176 0.075 0.349 0.180 0.331 0.128 0.574 0.288 0.566 1.266 0.638 1.257 0.155 0.286 0.472

SIG

1.340 1.755 0.792 3.383 2.014 3.604 1.498 6.620 4.052 6.787 15.641 9.536 15.926 1.982 3.535 6.954

**

** **

2-Year Floodplain Label 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, OPS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS, 2YR, PAS,

REACH2/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH6/5 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5

RATIO 0.057 0.167 0.230 2.888 3.984 1.379 1.624 0.274 0.501 0.302 0.169 0.308 0.186 1.823 1.100 0.603

LCBR 0.016 0.052 0.069 0.736 1.053 0.395 0.460 0.076 0.133 0.085 0.047 0.080 0.052 0.457 0.297 0.163

UCBR SIG 0.203 *** 0.534 *** 0.764 ** 11.325 15.061 ** 4.809 5.738 0.986 ** 1.884 1.070 * 0.607 *** 1.177 * 0.662 ** 7.266 4.073 2.228

5-Year Floodplain Label 5YR, CCP, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR, 5YR, FOR,

REACH4/3 REACH2/1 REACH3/1 REACH4/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5

RATIO 0.232 0.039 0.175 0.155 0.286 0.075 4.411 3.903 7.185 1.904 0.884 1.628 0.431 1.840 0.488 0.265

LCBR 0.051 0.012 0.049 0.042 0.085 0.020 1.097 0.906 1.783 0.456 0.183 0.363 0.099 0.431 0.098 0.059

UCBR 1.058 0.126 0.626 0.567 0.958 0.275 17.731 16.808 28.952 7.945 4.258 7.291 1.874 7.847 2.413 1.180

SIG * *** *** *** ** *** ** * ***

*

5-Year Floodplain Label 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, OPS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS, 5YR, PAS,

REACH2/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH6/5 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5

RATIO 0.156 0.118 0.048 0.757 0.313 0.413 0.177 0.382 0.726 0.347 2.159 4.099 1.962 1.898 0.908 0.478

LCBR 0.038 0.028 0.011 0.155 0.071 0.085 0.045 0.099 0.173 0.086 0.508 0.899 0.455 0.420 0.207 0.111

UCBR SIG 0.634 ** 0.494 *** 0.200 *** 3.677 1.370 2.000 0.684 ** 1.475 3.045 1.393 9.179 18.674 * 8.460 8.558 3.983 2.065

62-Year Floodplain Label 62Y, CCP, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR, 62Y, FOR,

REACH4/3 REACH2/1 REACH3/1 REACH4/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4

RATIO 5.897 0.126 0.087 0.183 0.250 0.409 0.690 1.454 1.980 3.242 2.105 2.868 4.694 1.362 2.229

LCBR 1.596 0.040 0.026 0.054 0.073 0.103 0.187 0.401 0.531 0.748 0.537 0.730 1.018 0.369 0.499

UCBR 21.792 0.390 0.284 0.614 0.855 1.618 2.548 5.265 7.382 14.047 8.250 11.260 21.639 5.026 9.962

SIG *** *** *** *** **

**

62-Year Floodplain Label 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, OPS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS, 62Y, PAS,

REACH2/1 REACH5/1 REACH6/1 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH6/5 REACH3/2 REACH4/2 REACH5/2 REACH6/2 REACH4/3 REACH5/3 REACH6/3 REACH5/4 REACH6/4 REACH6/5

RATIO 0.071 0.075 0.109 1.059 1.527 1.442 1.035 0.638 2.204 0.981 0.616 2.127 0.947 3.451 1.536 0.445

LCBR 0.020 0.024 0.033 0.274 0.402 0.405 0.318 0.191 0.698 0.299 0.169 0.635 0.268 0.987 0.428 0.130

UCBR 0.253 0.230 0.358 4.084 5.799 5.131 3.365 2.135 6.954 3.216 2.237 7.129 3.341 12.064 5.514 1.522

SIG *** *** ***

*