2018 March Regional Conference Call
2018 March Northern Plains Regional Conference Call February 22nd, 2018 Project Code – 122 Paul Sueper Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8757
Please mute your phone *6 1
Northern Plains Regional Conference Call • Participants • • • • • •
NASS Management NASDA Coordinators Supervisor Enumerators Field Enumerators Phone Only Enumerators Statisticians
• Representation • Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota
North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska
Kansas
2
2018 March Regional Conference Call Presentation • MOST app on iPad • NASDA icon • http://www.nasda.org/nass
• Regions • Northern Plains Region • http://www.nasda.org/organizations/northern-plains-region
• Survey Materials • 2018 March Regional Conference Call • Download into iBooks 3
Management Welcome
4
NASDA Update
5
March – May Timeline • • • • • • • • • •
Survey Title & Project Code Agricultural Survey – March (122) Hog Report – March (161) Cattle on Feed Inquiry - Monthly (154) Quarterly Colony Loss – April (115) Milk Production Report – April (178) Agricultural Labor Survey – April (956) Wheat Objective Yield (101) Ag Yield Survey – May (128) ARMS III (904) 2017 Census of Agriculture (651)
Data Collection Dates Feb. 27 – March 15 Feb. 28 – March 18 Last Day of the Month until 3rd Monday March 30 – April 18 March 31 – April 10 April 16 – May 3 April 25 – May 4 April 29 – May 6 Now – April 9 Now – May 1 6
March Crops APS Planting Intentions & Grains Stored on Farm Travis Smith Leslie Mendez Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8762
Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8790
7
March Crops APS • Latest Naming: Crops APS (since 6/2013) • Crops Acreage, Production, and Stocks
• Other names that have been associated in the past
• Agricultural Survey (still on questionnaire & part of the CAPI title)
• CAPI Header: AGRICULTURAL SURVEY - MARCH CROPS APS 2018-03-01 (122)
• Quarterly Ag Survey (QAS) • Crop/Stocks • List Survey (mostly noted during June)
• Project Code:
• 122 March Agricultural Survey
8
Sample Size • State • • • •
Kansas Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota
• US and Region • US • NPR
About 80,000 Largest regional sample • 2nd largest: Upper Midwest (IA, MN, WI)
9
Timeline • Mail Date • Friday, Feb 16th
• Data Collection Begins • Tuesday, Feb 27th
• Callouts • Friday, Mar 9th
• Data Collection Ends • Thursday, Mar 15th • CAPI closes at 11pm central
10
Key Things about March • Provides estimates of U.S. farmers’ planting intentions for the new year, offering a glimpse of the upcoming growing season. Grains stored on & off farm (elevators) will show our State & US old crop carry over. • Samples for: • Ag Yield - May through August • Wheat Objective Yield
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CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 2: Crops
• Don’t Knows/Refusals NOT valid for acres planted or harvested • If can give acres for most commodities, OK to DK/Refuse a crop but leave notes.
• Winter Wheat Harvested
• Leave note if not harvested for grain or seed (grain hay, winter kill, drowned out, etc.)
• Hay acres harvested
• Count the acres once
• Acres Double Cropped? • Helpful comment when crops total more than cropland 12
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 3: Storage Capacity & Crops Stored • Total On Farm Storage capacity: bushels • On-farm stocks on the 1st • • • •
Regardless of ownership if stored on this operation Stored in temporary or permanent facilities Do NOT include grains stored in OFF Farm Facilities Don’t Know/Refusal valid - for specific crops
13
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 3: Storage Capacity & Crops Stored (cont.) • A few scenarios we have seen
• This section is blank (even the yes/no boxes are blank) and enumerator comment “NONE”. • Not sure if no Capacity or no Grains stored or BOTH are zero?
On March 1,
On March 1, 2017
Mar 1 from 2017
• With MOST you can put comments on specific questions, by clicking on the item code in the GREEN BOX. This bring up the calculator then you can click on the “Add Comment” button. 14
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 3: Storage
Capacity & Crops Stored (cont.) • A few scenarios we have seen
On March 1, 2017
Mar 1 from 2017
• DK (-1) in EVERY commodity stored question. • Did they have every commodity stored? • Has grains stored but would tell us which?
15
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 3: Storage Capacity & Crops Stored (cont.) • Keep in mind • Use the yes/no boxes • An Example: Grains stored are blank & NO comments • If the NO boxes are all checked, we know none on hand • If the YES/NO boxes are NOT check, it makes it hard to decipher.
• Short comments are great, but be specific. • “Refused capacity” / “No capacity” • “Refused grain stored” / “No grains stored” / “None Stored”
16
March Crops APS - Summary • Set state level • Planting intentions for the new crop year • Grains stored on Farm
• Enumeration • Tuesday, Feb 27th (morning) through Thursday, Mar 15th (CAPI closes at 11pm central)
• Project code • 122 March Agricultural Survey
• Prospective Plantings & Grain Stocks Reports • March 29th, 2018 at 11:00 am CST 17
2018 March Hog Report Christina Dowd Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8792
Project Code 161
18
Survey Purpose • Producers use the information to update their production and marketing strategies based on inventory levels and anticipated prices. • Market analysts use data to forecast the expansion and contraction of pork production industry. • Processors, warehouses, storage companies and the transportation industry rely on the reports to anticipate future volume of pork. • Official report that sees industry trends and changes to the structure of the hog industry.
19
Sample Size • NPRFO • • • •
Kansas Nebraska South Dakota North Dakota
• Regional Total about 1,200
20
Operations & Producers • Types of Operations • • • • •
Farrow to Finish Farrow to Wean Farrow to Feeder Finish Only Nursery Only
• Types of Producers • Independent grower • Contractor • Contract grower (contractee) 21
Growth Rate of Hogs Age in Weeks Birth – 8 9 – 16 17 – 21 21 +
Age in Months Birth – 2 2 – 3.5 3.5 – 5 5+
Weight Under 50 lbs 50 – 119 lbs 120 – 179 lbs 180 + lbs
22
Questionnaire • Total Inventory of OWNED hogs & pigs on March 1st • Breeding herd
• Sows and Boars
• Market hogs
• 4 different weight groups
• Farrowings and Pig Crop
• Sows farrowed in the last 3 months • Pig Crop
• Owned + Sold/Slaughtered = Total Pig Crop
• Death Loss • Contract Hogs • No hogs or just 4-H hogs
• Good comments are appreciated 23
Data Relationships • Expected Farrowings • 40-60% of your total sows • Comment on seasonal farrowers
• Pig Crop owned on hand • Need to be accounted for in the 2 smallest weight groups
• Pig Crop/Sows Farrows Ratio • Pigs per litter (6-14 pigs per sow) • Good comments if higher or lower
• Death Loss • 2-4% deaths to the total inventory • Comment if the death rate is higher 24
Inventory Trends – December
st 1 ,
2017
25
Due Dates • Mail Date • February 21st
• Data Collection Begins • Montana DCC will be utilized • February 28th – March 18th
• Callouts from the Montana DCC • March 9th
• All Data Entered into CAPI/MOST • March 18th at 11:00 pm CST
• Hogs & Pigs Report Released • March 29, 2018 at 2:00 pm CST 26
Monthly Cattle on Feed Report Quentin Wearne Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8771
Project Code 154
27
Survey Purpose • Measure the number of cattle on feed for all known feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head • Producers use the information to refine their production and marketing strategies • Processors, warehouses, storage companies, and the transportation sector rely on the reports to anticipate future volume
28
Survey Overview • Cattle and Calves on Feed • Include: • Cattle being fed to go directly to slaughter • Cattle being fed by you for others(regardless of ownership)
• Exclude: • • • •
Cattle owned but not on this operation Cattle being backgrounded Will be shipped to anywhere other than slaughter Cows and Bulls as they will not grade select or better
29
Terms and Definitions • Cattle on feed are steers and heifers being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. • Placements are steers and heifers put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. • Marketings are steers and heifers shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. • Other disappearance includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. 30
Survey Information • NPR Sample Size approximately 1100 • Kansas, Nebraska & South Dakota
• Questionnaires: • Typically mail out 3-5 days before the 1st of the survey month • EDR option also available
• Release: • Monthly Cattle on Feed • The third or fourth Friday of the month at 2:00 P.M. Central • Except November Wednesday the 21st.
31
Due Dates • Data Collection • Normally begins the last day of the month • Records will show up in MOST 3 to 5 days before the 1strs
• All Data Entered into CAPI/MOST by • The third Monday of the month at 11:00 pm CST • Except July, second Thursday of the month at 11:00 pm CST • Except November, third Thursday of the month at 11:00 pm CST
32
2018 April Quarterly Colony Loss Christina Dowd Program Manager Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8792
Devin Van’t Hof Backup Contact Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8770
Project Code 115 33
Survey Purpose To collect data on the loss and health of managed honey bee colonies.
34
Sample Size *Only includes operations with 5 or more colonies. Northern Plains Region • • • •
Kansas Nebraska South Dakota North Dakota
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Questionnaire • Total colonies owned on January 1st. • Total colonies owned on March 31st. • The state the colonies were located in between January 1st and March 31st. • Total colonies in this state on January 1st or first moved into the state. • Located in this state on January 1st? • Lost/deadout colonies (failure of colony) • Requeened colonies • Received Nucs or packages • New colonies added (splits new created, and replacements) 36
Questionnaire • Total colonies sold • Amount of colonies that experienced CCD (Colony Collapse Disorder) • Colony Health (by state) • • • • • •
Varroa Mites Other Pests and Parasites Diseases Pesticides Other Unknown
37
Data Relationships • Colonies Owned • Should not have large drop/adds between beginning colonies (Jan. 1) and ending colonies (March 31) • Starting colonies should match (or be close) to last quarters ending colonies • Starting colonies - Lost + Added - Sold = Ending Colonies
• Colonies by State • Double counting between colonies requeened, received nucs/packages, and adds (remember exclude any lost/died out colonies)
38
Bee Migration Colonies often move between states – so state totals will not necessarily equal overall total.
39
Data Relationships • Colony Health • Colony health includes colonies that were affected, but not lost, and colonies that were lost/died out • If colonies reported lost/died out – stressors should be present
Good notes are always helpful and appreciated!
40
Data Collection & Due Dates • Data collection – Mail, CAWI, CATI, CAPI • • • • • • •
Mail Date: March 21 CAWI Open: March 26 CAPI/CATI Start: March 30 Callouts: April 10 CAWI/CATI Close: April 13 CAPI Close: April 18 at 11:00pm CST Publication • August 1, 2018 at 2:00 pm CST
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Milk Production Report April 1, 2018 Brian Hellman Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8776
Project Code 178
42
Milk Production • Current inventories and production • Milk used on the operation • Local replacement prices for cows • Baled hay purchased and value
43
Milk Production • Sample Size: about 500 • Questionnaires: Mail out about a week before the reference date • CAPI end date: April 11 at 11:00 pm CST • Release: April 20, 2018 at 2:00pm CST
44
Milk Production Things to Watch Out For: • High/low milk production per cow. • Large amount of milk produced for home consumption/livestock feed. • High/low replacement cow price. • High/low price per ton for hay.
45
Agricultural Labor Survey April 2 – May 4 Jannety Mosley Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8758 Project Code 956 46
Sample Size • NPRFO • • • •
Kansas Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota
• Regional Sample Size: about 1,100
ND SD NE KS 47
Labor Tentative Due Dates • Mail Date Monday, April 2
• EDR Open Monday, April 16
• Field & Phone Data Collection Begins Monday, April 16
• Field & Phone Data Collection Ends Thursday, May 3 at 11:00 pm CST
• Farm Labor Released • Thursday, May 17th at 2:00pm CST 48
CAPI/MOST • Data must be collected by CAPI/MOST (Face to Face or Phone) using the iPads.
49
Questionnaire • It is the same for all states in the Northern Plains Region • Includes questions for April 2018 and January 2018
• Reference Weeks: • April 9th – 15th • January 8th – 14th
• Box 599 (4 & 1) represent the month collected. 50
Misreporting Type of Workers • We have had issues in the past with misreporting type of workers. • In the NPR farmer workers usually fall into the “Equipment Operators” category and not the “Farmworkers” category. • They are likely operating a tractor or some other large piece of equipment and not manually planting or harvesting by hand. • Please ask follow-up questions to verify this information once the respondent answers the question or to assist them in categorizing the type of workers they have on the farm. Doing so will help increase the accuracy of our data.
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Ag Yield Survey – May 2018 Nathanial Warenski Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8783 Project Code 128
52
Sample Size • Regional Sample size: Approximately 600 • Data collected via CAPI/MOST • It is the same for all states • Nebraska is broken down by practice • Irrigated and Non-irrigated
• Questions vary by month, May is: • Winter wheat • Hay • 2017 Production • Old Crop Hay Stored
ND SD
NE KS
53
Winter Wheat • • • •
Planted for all purposes including cover crop Harvested for gain or seed only Yield in bushels per acre Comments are good for wheat not harvested (winter kill, poor emergence, drought, hail)
54
Hay Production & Stocks • Bales and weight (pounds) or total production (tons), but not both • Production and stocks need to be reported • Leave notes for unusual situations
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Wheat Trends – Fall of 2017 Seedings
56
Due Dates - Tentative • Mail Date • April 23rd
• CAWI/EDR opens April 27th • Data Collection Begins • Wyoming DCC will be utilized • April 29th – May 6th
• All Data Entered into CAPI/MOST • May 6th at 11:00 pm CST
• Crop Production Report Released • May 10, 2018 at 11:00 am CST 57
ARMS III Kyle Nelson Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8777 Project Code 904
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ARMS III • Shipping partially completed questionnaire back out to enumerators • Why is more being added to my work load? • These were originally assigned to you • These include mailed-in questionnaires and online response which do not include enough data for us to use
• If you are able to get enough data, we will give you credit for the complete report
59
ARMS III • Data Issues • What’s wrong? • How can we improve?
• Reminders
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Due Dates • Upcoming Due Dates • • • • •
One report was due into NPRO (Lincoln) for SD, NE, and KS enumerators One report is due into NPRO for ND enumerators on or by Feb. 26 March 5 – 25% received in NPRO (Lincoln) for all enumerators March 26 – 70% received in NPRO (Lincoln) for all enumerators April 9 – Last day to ship or submit via CAPI
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Lynn Gentrup Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8789 Project Code 651 62
2017 Census of Agriculture • Referencing any agriculture activity in 2017 • Potential for $1,000 of ag sales or production • CRP, pasture only, hay, Christmas trees, field crops, nursery, floriculture, vegetables, potatoes, fruits, cattle, hogs, horses, sheep and goats, aquaculture, poultry, honey bees, other livestock and products, etc.
• Main source of demographic data in agriculture • Mandatory
63
Data Collection Plan • Let the mail do the work as much as possible • Mailings • Mid Dec • Mid Feb • Mid Mar
• Enumerator follow up • Be prepared if operators ask for assistance when completing surveys • Report form guide, questionnaire, etc. sent with NASDA mailing in January • Mid March we will identify records we need enumerators to contact • Listings and blank questionnaires provided • Data entered in CAPI 64
Data Collection Plan • Enumerator training • Enumerators who attended the ARMS III workshops received training on ARMS III which prepares them to collect data for census • Enumerators who did not attend the ARMS III workshops • Special Regional Conference Call - March 22, 9 am and 7 pm • Will not cover questionnaire in detail, but highlight
• Data collection • Will run through May 1 • After May 1 our focus needs to shift to 2018 crop and the mid year surveys
65
Census Talking Points • Why is the Census of Agriculture important? • It’s the only source of uniform, comprehensive and impartial agricultural data for every county in the nation. This information is used to make decisions that will help shape the future of agriculture.
• Who uses Census of Agriculture data? • All those who serve farmers and rural communities – federal, state and local governments, agribusinesses, researchers, trade associations, and farmers themselves.
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Census Talking Points • Responding to the Census benefits your operation, your community, and your future by: • Strengthening farm and conservation programs. • Improving infrastructure in your area. • Helping create beginning farmer programs to protect the future of agriculture.
• Initial due date was February 5 • To reduce size of follow up mailings to save costs • Follow up will continue through May 1
67
CAPI Details Operation, Operator & Contact Information
Paul Sueper Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8757 68
CAPI Details • Updates to names/address/phone numbers
• On the “Name & Address” screen in the appropriate cells
• Click to on “Address” button if verified & correct. • Touch on “Update Address” then makes updates to operation, operator & contact info • Once updates are made touch “Change” and updates will be shown
• Updates to partners are made on the following screen after “operating arrangement” • Phone number is disconnected • Two ways either remove the phone number in the appropriate field • Comment XXX-XXX-XXXX phone number is disconnected 69
CAPI Details • Operation Information
• Operator Information
• Contact Information
70
CAPI Details • Has the operator/operation been sold or rented out? • Please pick up as much information on the new operator as you can • Enter this information in “Change in Operator” section and/or in the comments section
• CAPI coding & comments are especially important since data comes directly through electronic system • Updates to address, phone numbers, partners, operation names get submitted to FMG in Saint Louis if they are in the appropriate fields. 71
CAPI Details • Comment on special situations • New operating arrangement (bought or sold operation) • Large changes in land operated • Survey specific comments are always good • High/low yields, abandonment crops, hail damage, wind damage
• What happened with refusals and inaccessible • We read all comments and make updates in ELMO if appropriate for future use.
• Note: ARMS III updates will be made on the paper questionnaire 72
NPR RFO Phone Numbers • When you have questions or concerns • Call your Supervisor first • Next stop is your NASDA Coordinator • If neither is available call the Northern Plains office and ask for the program manager for specific survey • Use the main line, if the needed stat is out of the office the front desk can redirect you to another stat that can help. • 800-582-6443 • 402-437-5541
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Questions?
To ask a question, please unmute your phone *6 74
Survey Monkey - Evaluation
https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/marchRCC
75
Please mute your phone *6 1
Northern Plains Regional Conference Call • Participants • • • • • •
NASS Management NASDA Coordinators Supervisor Enumerators Field Enumerators Phone Only Enumerators Statisticians
• Representation • Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota
North Dakota South Dakota Nebraska
Kansas
2
2018 March Regional Conference Call Presentation • MOST app on iPad • NASDA icon • http://www.nasda.org/nass
• Regions • Northern Plains Region • http://www.nasda.org/organizations/northern-plains-region
• Survey Materials • 2018 March Regional Conference Call • Download into iBooks 3
Management Welcome
4
NASDA Update
5
March – May Timeline • • • • • • • • • •
Survey Title & Project Code Agricultural Survey – March (122) Hog Report – March (161) Cattle on Feed Inquiry - Monthly (154) Quarterly Colony Loss – April (115) Milk Production Report – April (178) Agricultural Labor Survey – April (956) Wheat Objective Yield (101) Ag Yield Survey – May (128) ARMS III (904) 2017 Census of Agriculture (651)
Data Collection Dates Feb. 27 – March 15 Feb. 28 – March 18 Last Day of the Month until 3rd Monday March 30 – April 18 March 31 – April 10 April 16 – May 3 April 25 – May 4 April 29 – May 6 Now – April 9 Now – May 1 6
March Crops APS Planting Intentions & Grains Stored on Farm Travis Smith Leslie Mendez Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8762
Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8790
7
March Crops APS • Latest Naming: Crops APS (since 6/2013) • Crops Acreage, Production, and Stocks
• Other names that have been associated in the past
• Agricultural Survey (still on questionnaire & part of the CAPI title)
• CAPI Header: AGRICULTURAL SURVEY - MARCH CROPS APS 2018-03-01 (122)
• Quarterly Ag Survey (QAS) • Crop/Stocks • List Survey (mostly noted during June)
• Project Code:
• 122 March Agricultural Survey
8
Sample Size • State • • • •
Kansas Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota
• US and Region • US • NPR
About 80,000 Largest regional sample • 2nd largest: Upper Midwest (IA, MN, WI)
9
Timeline • Mail Date • Friday, Feb 16th
• Data Collection Begins • Tuesday, Feb 27th
• Callouts • Friday, Mar 9th
• Data Collection Ends • Thursday, Mar 15th • CAPI closes at 11pm central
10
Key Things about March • Provides estimates of U.S. farmers’ planting intentions for the new year, offering a glimpse of the upcoming growing season. Grains stored on & off farm (elevators) will show our State & US old crop carry over. • Samples for: • Ag Yield - May through August • Wheat Objective Yield
11
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 2: Crops
• Don’t Knows/Refusals NOT valid for acres planted or harvested • If can give acres for most commodities, OK to DK/Refuse a crop but leave notes.
• Winter Wheat Harvested
• Leave note if not harvested for grain or seed (grain hay, winter kill, drowned out, etc.)
• Hay acres harvested
• Count the acres once
• Acres Double Cropped? • Helpful comment when crops total more than cropland 12
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 3: Storage Capacity & Crops Stored • Total On Farm Storage capacity: bushels • On-farm stocks on the 1st • • • •
Regardless of ownership if stored on this operation Stored in temporary or permanent facilities Do NOT include grains stored in OFF Farm Facilities Don’t Know/Refusal valid - for specific crops
13
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 3: Storage Capacity & Crops Stored (cont.) • A few scenarios we have seen
• This section is blank (even the yes/no boxes are blank) and enumerator comment “NONE”. • Not sure if no Capacity or no Grains stored or BOTH are zero?
On March 1,
On March 1, 2017
Mar 1 from 2017
• With MOST you can put comments on specific questions, by clicking on the item code in the GREEN BOX. This bring up the calculator then you can click on the “Add Comment” button. 14
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 3: Storage
Capacity & Crops Stored (cont.) • A few scenarios we have seen
On March 1, 2017
Mar 1 from 2017
• DK (-1) in EVERY commodity stored question. • Did they have every commodity stored? • Has grains stored but would tell us which?
15
CAPI/MOST Overview • Section 3: Storage Capacity & Crops Stored (cont.) • Keep in mind • Use the yes/no boxes • An Example: Grains stored are blank & NO comments • If the NO boxes are all checked, we know none on hand • If the YES/NO boxes are NOT check, it makes it hard to decipher.
• Short comments are great, but be specific. • “Refused capacity” / “No capacity” • “Refused grain stored” / “No grains stored” / “None Stored”
16
March Crops APS - Summary • Set state level • Planting intentions for the new crop year • Grains stored on Farm
• Enumeration • Tuesday, Feb 27th (morning) through Thursday, Mar 15th (CAPI closes at 11pm central)
• Project code • 122 March Agricultural Survey
• Prospective Plantings & Grain Stocks Reports • March 29th, 2018 at 11:00 am CST 17
2018 March Hog Report Christina Dowd Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8792
Project Code 161
18
Survey Purpose • Producers use the information to update their production and marketing strategies based on inventory levels and anticipated prices. • Market analysts use data to forecast the expansion and contraction of pork production industry. • Processors, warehouses, storage companies and the transportation industry rely on the reports to anticipate future volume of pork. • Official report that sees industry trends and changes to the structure of the hog industry.
19
Sample Size • NPRFO • • • •
Kansas Nebraska South Dakota North Dakota
• Regional Total about 1,200
20
Operations & Producers • Types of Operations • • • • •
Farrow to Finish Farrow to Wean Farrow to Feeder Finish Only Nursery Only
• Types of Producers • Independent grower • Contractor • Contract grower (contractee) 21
Growth Rate of Hogs Age in Weeks Birth – 8 9 – 16 17 – 21 21 +
Age in Months Birth – 2 2 – 3.5 3.5 – 5 5+
Weight Under 50 lbs 50 – 119 lbs 120 – 179 lbs 180 + lbs
22
Questionnaire • Total Inventory of OWNED hogs & pigs on March 1st • Breeding herd
• Sows and Boars
• Market hogs
• 4 different weight groups
• Farrowings and Pig Crop
• Sows farrowed in the last 3 months • Pig Crop
• Owned + Sold/Slaughtered = Total Pig Crop
• Death Loss • Contract Hogs • No hogs or just 4-H hogs
• Good comments are appreciated 23
Data Relationships • Expected Farrowings • 40-60% of your total sows • Comment on seasonal farrowers
• Pig Crop owned on hand • Need to be accounted for in the 2 smallest weight groups
• Pig Crop/Sows Farrows Ratio • Pigs per litter (6-14 pigs per sow) • Good comments if higher or lower
• Death Loss • 2-4% deaths to the total inventory • Comment if the death rate is higher 24
Inventory Trends – December
st 1 ,
2017
25
Due Dates • Mail Date • February 21st
• Data Collection Begins • Montana DCC will be utilized • February 28th – March 18th
• Callouts from the Montana DCC • March 9th
• All Data Entered into CAPI/MOST • March 18th at 11:00 pm CST
• Hogs & Pigs Report Released • March 29, 2018 at 2:00 pm CST 26
Monthly Cattle on Feed Report Quentin Wearne Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8771
Project Code 154
27
Survey Purpose • Measure the number of cattle on feed for all known feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head • Producers use the information to refine their production and marketing strategies • Processors, warehouses, storage companies, and the transportation sector rely on the reports to anticipate future volume
28
Survey Overview • Cattle and Calves on Feed • Include: • Cattle being fed to go directly to slaughter • Cattle being fed by you for others(regardless of ownership)
• Exclude: • • • •
Cattle owned but not on this operation Cattle being backgrounded Will be shipped to anywhere other than slaughter Cows and Bulls as they will not grade select or better
29
Terms and Definitions • Cattle on feed are steers and heifers being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. • Placements are steers and heifers put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. • Marketings are steers and heifers shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. • Other disappearance includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. 30
Survey Information • NPR Sample Size approximately 1100 • Kansas, Nebraska & South Dakota
• Questionnaires: • Typically mail out 3-5 days before the 1st of the survey month • EDR option also available
• Release: • Monthly Cattle on Feed • The third or fourth Friday of the month at 2:00 P.M. Central • Except November Wednesday the 21st.
31
Due Dates • Data Collection • Normally begins the last day of the month • Records will show up in MOST 3 to 5 days before the 1strs
• All Data Entered into CAPI/MOST by • The third Monday of the month at 11:00 pm CST • Except July, second Thursday of the month at 11:00 pm CST • Except November, third Thursday of the month at 11:00 pm CST
32
2018 April Quarterly Colony Loss Christina Dowd Program Manager Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8792
Devin Van’t Hof Backup Contact Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8770
Project Code 115 33
Survey Purpose To collect data on the loss and health of managed honey bee colonies.
34
Sample Size *Only includes operations with 5 or more colonies. Northern Plains Region • • • •
Kansas Nebraska South Dakota North Dakota
35
Questionnaire • Total colonies owned on January 1st. • Total colonies owned on March 31st. • The state the colonies were located in between January 1st and March 31st. • Total colonies in this state on January 1st or first moved into the state. • Located in this state on January 1st? • Lost/deadout colonies (failure of colony) • Requeened colonies • Received Nucs or packages • New colonies added (splits new created, and replacements) 36
Questionnaire • Total colonies sold • Amount of colonies that experienced CCD (Colony Collapse Disorder) • Colony Health (by state) • • • • • •
Varroa Mites Other Pests and Parasites Diseases Pesticides Other Unknown
37
Data Relationships • Colonies Owned • Should not have large drop/adds between beginning colonies (Jan. 1) and ending colonies (March 31) • Starting colonies should match (or be close) to last quarters ending colonies • Starting colonies - Lost + Added - Sold = Ending Colonies
• Colonies by State • Double counting between colonies requeened, received nucs/packages, and adds (remember exclude any lost/died out colonies)
38
Bee Migration Colonies often move between states – so state totals will not necessarily equal overall total.
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Data Relationships • Colony Health • Colony health includes colonies that were affected, but not lost, and colonies that were lost/died out • If colonies reported lost/died out – stressors should be present
Good notes are always helpful and appreciated!
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Data Collection & Due Dates • Data collection – Mail, CAWI, CATI, CAPI • • • • • • •
Mail Date: March 21 CAWI Open: March 26 CAPI/CATI Start: March 30 Callouts: April 10 CAWI/CATI Close: April 13 CAPI Close: April 18 at 11:00pm CST Publication • August 1, 2018 at 2:00 pm CST
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Milk Production Report April 1, 2018 Brian Hellman Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8776
Project Code 178
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Milk Production • Current inventories and production • Milk used on the operation • Local replacement prices for cows • Baled hay purchased and value
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Milk Production • Sample Size: about 500 • Questionnaires: Mail out about a week before the reference date • CAPI end date: April 11 at 11:00 pm CST • Release: April 20, 2018 at 2:00pm CST
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Milk Production Things to Watch Out For: • High/low milk production per cow. • Large amount of milk produced for home consumption/livestock feed. • High/low replacement cow price. • High/low price per ton for hay.
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Agricultural Labor Survey April 2 – May 4 Jannety Mosley Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8758 Project Code 956 46
Sample Size • NPRFO • • • •
Kansas Nebraska North Dakota South Dakota
• Regional Sample Size: about 1,100
ND SD NE KS 47
Labor Tentative Due Dates • Mail Date Monday, April 2
• EDR Open Monday, April 16
• Field & Phone Data Collection Begins Monday, April 16
• Field & Phone Data Collection Ends Thursday, May 3 at 11:00 pm CST
• Farm Labor Released • Thursday, May 17th at 2:00pm CST 48
CAPI/MOST • Data must be collected by CAPI/MOST (Face to Face or Phone) using the iPads.
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Questionnaire • It is the same for all states in the Northern Plains Region • Includes questions for April 2018 and January 2018
• Reference Weeks: • April 9th – 15th • January 8th – 14th
• Box 599 (4 & 1) represent the month collected. 50
Misreporting Type of Workers • We have had issues in the past with misreporting type of workers. • In the NPR farmer workers usually fall into the “Equipment Operators” category and not the “Farmworkers” category. • They are likely operating a tractor or some other large piece of equipment and not manually planting or harvesting by hand. • Please ask follow-up questions to verify this information once the respondent answers the question or to assist them in categorizing the type of workers they have on the farm. Doing so will help increase the accuracy of our data.
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Ag Yield Survey – May 2018 Nathanial Warenski Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8783 Project Code 128
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Sample Size • Regional Sample size: Approximately 600 • Data collected via CAPI/MOST • It is the same for all states • Nebraska is broken down by practice • Irrigated and Non-irrigated
• Questions vary by month, May is: • Winter wheat • Hay • 2017 Production • Old Crop Hay Stored
ND SD
NE KS
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Winter Wheat • • • •
Planted for all purposes including cover crop Harvested for gain or seed only Yield in bushels per acre Comments are good for wheat not harvested (winter kill, poor emergence, drought, hail)
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Hay Production & Stocks • Bales and weight (pounds) or total production (tons), but not both • Production and stocks need to be reported • Leave notes for unusual situations
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Wheat Trends – Fall of 2017 Seedings
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Due Dates - Tentative • Mail Date • April 23rd
• CAWI/EDR opens April 27th • Data Collection Begins • Wyoming DCC will be utilized • April 29th – May 6th
• All Data Entered into CAPI/MOST • May 6th at 11:00 pm CST
• Crop Production Report Released • May 10, 2018 at 11:00 am CST 57
ARMS III Kyle Nelson Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8777 Project Code 904
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ARMS III • Shipping partially completed questionnaire back out to enumerators • Why is more being added to my work load? • These were originally assigned to you • These include mailed-in questionnaires and online response which do not include enough data for us to use
• If you are able to get enough data, we will give you credit for the complete report
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ARMS III • Data Issues • What’s wrong? • How can we improve?
• Reminders
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Due Dates • Upcoming Due Dates • • • • •
One report was due into NPRO (Lincoln) for SD, NE, and KS enumerators One report is due into NPRO for ND enumerators on or by Feb. 26 March 5 – 25% received in NPRO (Lincoln) for all enumerators March 26 – 70% received in NPRO (Lincoln) for all enumerators April 9 – Last day to ship or submit via CAPI
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Lynn Gentrup Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8789 Project Code 651 62
2017 Census of Agriculture • Referencing any agriculture activity in 2017 • Potential for $1,000 of ag sales or production • CRP, pasture only, hay, Christmas trees, field crops, nursery, floriculture, vegetables, potatoes, fruits, cattle, hogs, horses, sheep and goats, aquaculture, poultry, honey bees, other livestock and products, etc.
• Main source of demographic data in agriculture • Mandatory
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Data Collection Plan • Let the mail do the work as much as possible • Mailings • Mid Dec • Mid Feb • Mid Mar
• Enumerator follow up • Be prepared if operators ask for assistance when completing surveys • Report form guide, questionnaire, etc. sent with NASDA mailing in January • Mid March we will identify records we need enumerators to contact • Listings and blank questionnaires provided • Data entered in CAPI 64
Data Collection Plan • Enumerator training • Enumerators who attended the ARMS III workshops received training on ARMS III which prepares them to collect data for census • Enumerators who did not attend the ARMS III workshops • Special Regional Conference Call - March 22, 9 am and 7 pm • Will not cover questionnaire in detail, but highlight
• Data collection • Will run through May 1 • After May 1 our focus needs to shift to 2018 crop and the mid year surveys
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Census Talking Points • Why is the Census of Agriculture important? • It’s the only source of uniform, comprehensive and impartial agricultural data for every county in the nation. This information is used to make decisions that will help shape the future of agriculture.
• Who uses Census of Agriculture data? • All those who serve farmers and rural communities – federal, state and local governments, agribusinesses, researchers, trade associations, and farmers themselves.
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Census Talking Points • Responding to the Census benefits your operation, your community, and your future by: • Strengthening farm and conservation programs. • Improving infrastructure in your area. • Helping create beginning farmer programs to protect the future of agriculture.
• Initial due date was February 5 • To reduce size of follow up mailings to save costs • Follow up will continue through May 1
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CAPI Details Operation, Operator & Contact Information
Paul Sueper Email: [email protected] Phone: 402-470-8757 68
CAPI Details • Updates to names/address/phone numbers
• On the “Name & Address” screen in the appropriate cells
• Click to on “Address” button if verified & correct. • Touch on “Update Address” then makes updates to operation, operator & contact info • Once updates are made touch “Change” and updates will be shown
• Updates to partners are made on the following screen after “operating arrangement” • Phone number is disconnected • Two ways either remove the phone number in the appropriate field • Comment XXX-XXX-XXXX phone number is disconnected 69
CAPI Details • Operation Information
• Operator Information
• Contact Information
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CAPI Details • Has the operator/operation been sold or rented out? • Please pick up as much information on the new operator as you can • Enter this information in “Change in Operator” section and/or in the comments section
• CAPI coding & comments are especially important since data comes directly through electronic system • Updates to address, phone numbers, partners, operation names get submitted to FMG in Saint Louis if they are in the appropriate fields. 71
CAPI Details • Comment on special situations • New operating arrangement (bought or sold operation) • Large changes in land operated • Survey specific comments are always good • High/low yields, abandonment crops, hail damage, wind damage
• What happened with refusals and inaccessible • We read all comments and make updates in ELMO if appropriate for future use.
• Note: ARMS III updates will be made on the paper questionnaire 72
NPR RFO Phone Numbers • When you have questions or concerns • Call your Supervisor first • Next stop is your NASDA Coordinator • If neither is available call the Northern Plains office and ask for the program manager for specific survey • Use the main line, if the needed stat is out of the office the front desk can redirect you to another stat that can help. • 800-582-6443 • 402-437-5541
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Questions?
To ask a question, please unmute your phone *6 74
Survey Monkey - Evaluation
https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/marchRCC
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