Biofuels in Brazil - UNEP

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Biofuels in Brazil Fabio R. de Carvalho PETROBRAS S.A Nairobi, June 28, 2007

Company Overview 16 16 Refineries Refineries with with aa refine refine capacity capacity of of 2,060 2,060 thousand thousand bpd bpd

Proven Proven reserves: reserves: 11.0 11.0 billion billion boe boe (SEC) (SEC)

Pipelines: Pipelines: 22,390 22,390 km km Oil Oil & & gas gas production: production: 2,036 2,036 thousand thousand boe/d boe/d

E&P E&P

Refining, Refining, Transportation, Transportation, Trading Trading

Petro Petro chemicals Ethylene Ethylene Production: Production: chemicals

Retailing Retailing

2.4 2.4 million million ton/year ton/year

Natural Natural Gas Gas

Gas Gas sales: sales: 27.5million 27.5million m m33/d /d

More More than than 7,000 7,000 service service stations stations (33% (33% of of the the Brazilian Brazilian retail retail market) market)

720 720 stations stations in in Argentina Argentina

20% 20% of of the the distribution distribution market market in in Bolivia Bolivia and and 14% 14% in in Argentina Argentina

Company Overview An integrated energy company with US$ 74 billion in gross revenue (2005 US GAAP)

Exploration and Production

• Proven Reserves: 11.8 billion boe (SEC 2005)

Refining, Transport

• 16 Refineries • Capacity: 2,114 thousand bpd

Distribution Natural Gas

• Oil and Gas Production: 2.22 million boed (2005)

• Pipelines: 18,854 miles • Vessels (own fleet): 50 • 6,933 service stations (34% share in the Brazilian market), 746 in Argentina and 105 in Bolivia

• Sales of Natural Gas: 1.83 bcf/day

• Ethene Production: 460,000 tons/year Petrochemicals• Styrene Production: 250,000 tons/year • Polystyrene Production: 120,000 tons/year Operational data includes Petrobras Energia

International Overview

Global Biofuels Demand Dynamics Strategies for reducing / curtailing the volumes of greenhouse gases emissions by 2012 (Kyoto Protocol) Less dependence on oil products Strengthening local agriculture and non-food markets (energy agriculture) Generation of local jobs and income with subsidies and protectionism

Biofuels

Motivation for the use of Biofuels in Brazil Renewable Energy Sources Secure Energy Supplies Lower Emissions Carbon Credits Import Substitutions

Generation of Jobs and Income

Biodiesel

Vocation for the Production of Biofuels

30o N

Trop.Cancer Equator Trop.Capricorn 30o S

Land Availability Brazil: 851 million hectares Million hectares

AMAZON RAINFOREST GRAZING LANDS PROTECTED AREAS. ANNUAL CROPS PERENNIAL CROPS CITIES, LAKES, HIGHWAYS AND SWAMPS PLANTED FORESTS OTHER USES UNUSED ARABLE LANDS ON THE AGRICULTURAL FRONTIER

TOTAL

350 215 55 47 15 20 5 707 54

90 851

Source: MAPA, 2005

Energy in Brazil

RENEWABLE ENERGY: 44,7 % Fonte: MME, BEN 2006

Energy Matrix %

Energy Matrix: Brazil x Global

100

80

86 60

55 40

RENEWABLE

45 NON-RENEWABLE

20

14 0

World Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME), 2005

Brazil

Vehicular Fuels Matrix (2005) Diesel oil 54.5%

55,7% (2004)

Gasoline A 25.6% Anhydrous Alcohol 8.5% 8,8% (2004)

Hydrated Alcohol 8.4%

6,6% (2004)

35.3% (2004)

6%

2,4% (2004)

37%

VNG 2.9%

26,5% (2004)

Gasoline C 25.6 + 8.5 = 34.1%

56%

% Alcohol used Participação do in Otto-Type Alcohol em Vehicles Veículos Otto

Álcool Gasolina GNV

Total Alcohol 8.5 + 8.4 = 16.9% 15.4% (2004)

Biofuels

Brazil and Biofuels Brazil is still a diesel oil importer Brazil plays an outstanding role on the world biofuels stage (fuel alcohol) Vast territory with weather and soil conditions favoring the production of biomass Much of Brazil is suitable for growing oil seeds and sugar cane Global demands for biofuels are rising Alcohol production is firmly established, while biodiesel production is rated as strategic for Brazil

Alcohol

Alcohol - Brazil

Proálcool – Brazilian Alcohol Programme In 1975 Brazil started an extensive ethanol production programme largely supported by Petrobras. The company also developed and installed an ethanol producing plant from cassava (Curvelo, MG)

Fuel Ethanol Program Evolution Ethanol Program Implanted (BLENDS)

Gasohol and Ethanol Cars (2nd oil shock)

Program for oil imports reduction

70’s

80´S

Program of Emission Controls Gasohol and (PROCONVE) Flex fuel Cars

Environmental Benefits 90´S

00´S

Future

Alcohol: Benefits for Brazil FUEL DEMANDS – OTTO CYCLE VEHICLES 106 BEP 180

TOTAL DEMAND – OTTO CYCLE GASOLINE PRODUCTION GASOLINE CONSUMPTION

160 140

What Brazil would need to meet fuel demands from Otto-cycle vehicles if ethanol did not exist

120 100 80

Accumulated effective savings of 778 million bep

60 40 20

~US$ 52 billion

YEAR

0

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

During the period, the use of alcohol avoided the emission of 644 million tons of CO2

2000

2005

Source: MME, BEN 2005

Alcohol - Brazil

World largest largest ethanol ethanol producer producer and and technological technological leader. leader. •• World Annual turnover: turnover: US$ US$ 12 12 billion billion (circa (circa 50.000 50.000 industries). industries). •• Annual Exports: US$ US$ 2.5 2.5 billion/year billion/year (sugar (sugar and and ethanol). ethanol). •• Exports: Total area area of of plantations: plantations: 55 million million hectares. hectares. •• Total Sugar cane cane production: production: 340 340 million million tons/year. tons/year. •• Sugar Installed capacity capacity for for ethanol ethanol production: production: 16 16 million million m³/year. m³/year. •• Installed Ethanol production: production: 14 14 million million m³/year m³/year (2004). (2004). •• Ethanol Ethanol present present potential potential surplus surplus (for (for export) export) :: 22 million million m³/y m³/y •• Ethanol can be be easily easily expanded. expanded. –– can 308 Sugar Sugar Mills Mills and and Distilleries: Distilleries: •• 308 218 located located at at Center-Southern. Center-Southern. –– 218

Alcohol - Brazil

Competitive advantages of Brazil High standard standard agro-industrial agro-industrial technological technological level. level. •• High All input input and and equipment equipment produced produced in in Brasil. Brasil. •• All World lowest lowest cost cost •• World

Brasil: Brasil: USA: USA: Europe: Europe:

US$ 0,18/liter 0,18/liter US$ US$ 0,33/liter 0,33/liter US$ US$ 0,56/liter 0,56/liter US$

Available extra extra area area for for agriculture. agriculture. •• Available Very favorable favorable climate climate conditions. conditions. •• Very

Álcool

Ethanol production: World and Brazil

World 44,9 main producers (2005, billion liters) Source: F.O. Licht

USA 16,21 Brazil 16,07 China 3,8 India 1,7 France 0,9

Alcohol - Brazil

Technological development ‰ New irrigation systems ‰ Sugar cane harvesting without burning ‰ Climate zone areas ‰ Reduction of equipment losses ‰ Technical management (softwares) ‰ Genetic improvement

Since 1975, technological development has improved the results by increasing ‰ productivity: 33% ‰ saccharose amount in sugar cane: 8% ‰ conversion rate: 14%

Alcohol - Brazil Learning Curve for Ethanol Production in Brazil ≅ US$ 105 / bbl

Production Costs

(US$/m3) 1000 900 800 700 600

1980

500

≅ US$ 30 / bbl

400 300

200

1998

100 1

10

100

(million m³ Consumption Ethanol Accumulated m³) ethanol cumulative consumption (in million cubic meters)

Source: COPERSUCAR - 1998

1000

Ethanol trading Brazil-Japan Ethanol Inc. • Recently, Petrobras incorporated Brazil-Japan Ethanol Inc. • The company will import and distribute Brazilianproduced ethanol in Japan; • Development of technical and commercial solutions for the reliable and long term supply of alcohol in the Japanese market; • Petrobras will break into one of the most complex and important energy markets in the World: • ethanol logistics distribution • fuel distribution sector in Japan.

Others • Exploiting opportunities for sales and technology transfer in Ecuador, Venezuela, Cuba and Nigeria.

Alcohol - Brazil

Challenges for the sugar cane sector Dimension of the worldwide fuel market

Managing Plan for sugar cane sector expansion

Infrastructure of transportation in the countryside

Capacity of the capital goods industry to meet the demand

Continuous technological evolution

Alcohol - Brazil

Forecasts for the Sugar and Alcohol Sector 2004-2005 HARVEST

2010-2011 HARVEST

Plants in operation: 329

Plants in operation: 390-400

Sugar cane production: 386

Sugar cane production: 570

million tons

million tons

Alcohol production: 15.4 billion

Alcohol production: 27.3 billion

liters

liters

Sugar production: 26.5 million

Sugar production: 31.7 million

tons

tons

Alcohol exports: 2.5 billion liters

Alcohol exports: 5.2 billion liters Source: Única, Copersucar, Dedini.

Biodiesel

Biodiesel

Brazilian Biodiesel Production and Use Program

Purposes: Diversification of Brazil’s Energy Matrix: Fossil and Renewable Reduction of diesel and oil imports Generation of jobs and income Settling families on the land and expansion of local sustainable agriculture Making good use of soils not appropriate for food crops Providing an environmentally correct fuel

Biodiesel

Brazil’s Biodiesel Program

Sustainability

Economic

Environmental

Social

Biodiesel

Potential Raw Materials • Cotton seeds • Peanuts • Babassu palm nuts • Buriti palm nuts • Rapeseed • Dendê palm nuts • Sesame seeds • Sunflower seeds • Jojoba palm nuts • Linseed • Castor beans • Oilseed radish • Frying oil • Palmiste nuts • Pequi / souari nuts • Physic nuts • Soybeans • Tucuma palm nuts • Industrial wastes • Animal fats

Ramos, LP (adapted)

Biodiesel Brazilian seeds Castor oil seed

Sunflower

Soy

Palm

Cotton

Crop yield (kg/ha) 1,500

1,500

3,000

20,000

3,000

Oil contents 47%

42%

18%

20%

15%

Oil yield (kg/ha) 705

630

540

4,000

450

2005 Production in Brazil (m3/yr) 90,000

23,000

5,600,000

Source: Embrapa, MDA, IBGE, CONAB

151,000

315,000

Plant Oils Production in Brazil Brazil

Soybean Oil Cotton Seed Oil

Jan Dec

Jan Dec

Jan Dec

Part. %

2002

2003

2004

2004

4,937.0

5,387.0

5,571.0

p

89.2

195.7

*

217.0

*

268.4

*

4.3

118.0

*

129.0

*

140.0

*

2.2

55.7

*

62.1

*

74.6

*

1.2

45.9

*

55.0

*

63.6

*

1.0

40.1

*

39.7

*

60.8

*

1.0

16.9

*

20.4

*

22.8

*

0.4

Peanut Oil

28.1

*

21.8

*

21.8

*

0.3

Palmiste Oil

13.3

*

14.5

*

15.8

*

0.3

Linseed Oil

1.7

*

2.0

*

2.1

*

0.0

1.9 5,454.3

*

1.9 5,950.4

*

1.9 6,242.8

*

0.0 100.0

Dendê Palm Oil Sunflower Seed Oil Maize Oil Castor Bean Oil Rapeseed Oil

Coconut Oil Total

Source: Oilword Annual 2005

Biodiesel Brazil’s National Biodiesel Program 2005 2007 (2% authorizative)

2008 2012 (2% mandatory) (5% authorizative)

2012 onwards (5% mandatory)

Brazilian Market

Brazilian Market

Brazilian Market

0 - 840 million liters

0.8 – 2.5 billion liters

2.5 billion liters

BR Distribuidora Market

BR Distribuidora Market

BR Distribuidora Market

0 - 200 million liters

200 - 600 million liters

> 600 million liters

Projects in Brazil Producers in Operation and Planned

B2 Demand ≅ 840 million liters / year

♦ Built with no Production ♦ Under Construction ♦ Producing ♦ Pilot Plants ♦ Being Planned

PETROBRAS Research Projects

Experimental Experimental Biodiesel Biodiesel Production Production Unit Unit using using Plant Plant Oils Oils

Guamaré, Rio Grande do Norte State

PETROBRAS Research Projects

Experimental Experimental Biodiesel Biodiesel Production Production Unit Unit using using Oilseeds Oilseeds

Guamaré, Rio Grande do Norte State

Biodiesel Industrial Plants 3 Projects Being Implemented

Quixadá

Capacity: 171 thousand m3/year

CE

Investments: ~ US$ 60 million Inputs Family Agriculture: castor, cotton, and palm. Complementary: soy. Jobs Generations: Construction: 1,200 direct and 300 indirect Operation: 90 direct Raw material production:70,000 families Start up:

4 Q/2007

BA

Candeias MG

semi-arid region

All Petrobras’ biodiesel production will qualify to the Government Social Seal

Montes Claros

Distribution

More than 4,000 PETROBRAS service stations already offer the B2 diesel / biodiesel blend

Corporate Strategy Petrobras´ strategic position towards its Mission and Vision 2015 were not modified, Corporate Strategy now also focuses on Renewable Energy.

Corporate Strategy Growth

Profitability

Social and Environmental Responsibilities

Lead the Latin oAmerica products and biofuels market, working as Liderar mercadooil, denatural petróleo,gas, gásoil natural e derivados na América Latina, an integrated energy company, selective expansion petrochemical, atuando como empresawith integrada de energia, comofexpansão seletiva renewable energy and international da petroquímica e da atividade activities. internacional. Consolidate and increase competitive advantages in the Brazilian and South American oil and oil products market.

Develop and lead the domestic natural gas market and perform in an integrated manner in the gas and electric market in South America.

Selectively expand international activities in an integrated manner with Company’s businesses.

Selectively expand interest in the petrochemicals market.

Expand participation in biofuels market, lead the domestic biodiesel production and increase participation in the ethanol business.

Operational, management, technological and human resources excellence

Business Strategies Renewable Energy Investment 2007-2011

Target 2011

Biodiesel Plants

Availability of 855 Thousand cu.m/year

HBio (Bio-Refining)

Vegetable oil Processing 1,033 Thousand cu.m/year

Alcohol pipelines Alcohol Project Vessel Aeolic Energy Solar Energy Other Sources of Renewable Energy

Export of 3.5 million cu.m/year of Ethanol

Installed Capacity of Generation of Electric Power from 240 MW Renewable Sources

GHG avioded emissions: 3.93 MM tons CO2 eq. Total investments in energetic development of renewable sources and biofuels of US$ 0.7 billion

Thank you !

Fabio R. de Carvalho

E-mail: [email protected]