Brent's Borough Profile - Brent Data - Brent Council
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Brent’s Borough Profile The Evidence Base for Brent - Part 1: Demographics and Economic Data
Table of Contents 1.
Population Estimates ............................................................................................................. 2
2.
Population Density ................................................................................................................ 4
3.
Population Change ................................................................................................................ 5
4.
Migration................................................................................................................................ 6
5.
Diversity................................................................................................................................. 7
6.
Deprivation ............................................................................................................................ 8
7.
Income................................................................................................................................. 10
8.
Employment and Unemployment ........................................................................................ 14
9.
Claimant Count .................................................................................................................... 16
10.
Other Benefit Claimants ...................................................................................................... 18
11.
Housing and Council Tax Benefits ...................................................................................... 19
12.
Qualifications ....................................................................................................................... 22
13.
Employment by Occupation................................................................................................. 24
14.
Business .............................................................................................................................. 25
Key: London Borough Brent Borough and Brent Wards
Green Purple
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
1.
Population Estimates Population estimates are provided by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) and the Greater London Authority (GLA). The ONS recently conducted a review of its national population projections and now estimates Brent’s population for June 2009 to be 255,5001. This represents a decrease of 7,500 people since the 2001 Census. The ONS estimates there are 128, 200 males and 127,200 females living in Brent. The GLA population estimate for Brent is 282,6722. An independent population study commissioned by Brent estimated the population as closer to 289, 000 in 20073.
Chart 1: ONS Population of Brent (revised)4
Chart 2: 2009 ONS Population Estimates for Brent by age group1
1
http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadSByAChoose.do?a=3&c=brent&d=13&i=1001x1021&m=0&r=1&s= 279197792718&enc=1&areaId=276747&OAAreaId=328340&dsInstanceId=2231 2 2007 Greater London Authority (GLA ) Round of Ward Population Projections 3 Mayhew Associates, Brent population estimation, household composition and change, 2007 4 http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadTrendView.do?a=3&b=276747&c=brent&d=13&e=13&f=26484&g= 328340&i=1001x1003x1004x1005&l=1813&o=322&m=0&r=1&s=1279203158703&enc=1&adminCompId=26484&variableFamilyId s=6681&xW=758
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Chart 3: ONS Age groups as percentages of Brent population 1
Chart 4: London borough populations5
5
http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadTrendView.do?a=3&b=276747&c=brent&d=13&e=13&f=26484&g=3 28340&i=1001x1003x1004x1005&l=1813&o=322&m=0&r=1&s=1279203158703&enc=1&adminCompId=26484&variableFamilyIds =6681&xW=758
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
2.
Population Density
Brent is one of the most densely populated Outer London Boroughs. The average density is 61 persons per hectare (pph), with the highest rates in the south east of the borough. Brent is the 15th largest borough in London, with an area of 4,323 hectares (43 square kms) and a population of 263,464 in 2001. With an average density of 61 people per hectare (pph) in 2001, it is well above the London and Outer London averages of 46 and 35 pph respectively) 6. Map 1: Population Density, 2001 Census
6
2001 Census, http://intranet.brent.gov.uk/demographic.nsf/97adad6ff206607c8025663c0065c536/1444fe88cc2376cd80256cd8003aabd8!OpenD ocument
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
3.
Population Change
According to the GLA and independent research, Brent’s Population is growing In 2009, GLA released high and low population level projections (PLP) for Brent’s wards. The wards which are predicted to have the highest levels of growth by 2020 are: Tokyington, Queensbury, and Mapesbury7.
Modelled data within the customer segmentation model Mosaic Public Sector shows that households who live in the south of the borough have a higher likelihood of having only lived here for less than 1 year
Map 2: Mosaic: resident likely to have lived in the borough less than 1 year
Very unlikely Unlikely Average Likely Very likely
7
2009 Greater London Authority (GLA ) Round of Ward Population Projections
Population in each ward is projected to increase from the 2001 Census by the following amount by 2020: Alperton Barnhill Brondesbury Park Dollis Hill Dudden Hill Fryent Harlesden Kensal Green Kenton Kilburn Mapesbury Northwick Park Preston Queens Park Queensbury Stonebridge Sudbury Tokyngton Welsh Harp Wembley Central Willesden Green
330 -85 885 195 598 351 776 1114 129 397 1405 334 872 628 3570 871 571 10109 -37 1161 1375
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
4.
Migration
Brent has very high levels of migration into the borough compared to the rest of London. Brent has the second highest number of people born outside of the UK 8 Brent has a high inflow of migration at 9100 in 2007/08; this was the 6th highest in London9. National Insurance Number (NINo) registrations are a means of measuring migration into a borough. In 2008/09 Brent had the second highest number of adults registering for NINos with 18,78010. This represents a decrease of 460 NINo registrations, the first decrease in Brent since 2003. Chart 5: National Insurance Number Registrations
Map 3: NINo, non UK Registrations number 2009/10
8
2007/08, Annual Population Survey (APS)/Labour Force Survey (LFS), ONS ONS, Inflow of international migration 10 National Insurance Number Allocation to Adult Overseas National Entering the UK for 2008-09, DWP 9
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
5.
Diversity
Brent has the largest proportion of ethnic minorities in London with 71 per cent of the population from an ethnic group other than White British. • • • •
59% of the population are black, Asian and minority ethnic groups, this is double the outer London average11 71% of the population are from a group other than white British6 48% of population born outside of the UK12 130 different languages are spoken in Brent schools
Chart 6: Ethnicity of Brent (%)
Chart 7: BAME demographic of Brent (%)
11 12
2001 Census DMAG 2008, A profile of Londoners by country of birth Estimates, 2006 Annual Population Survey
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
6.
Deprivation13
Whilst many of Brent’s residents are affluent, parts of the borough continue to experience high levels of deprivation. Brent is ranked 53rd out of 354 boroughs in the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) 2007 (1 = Most Deprived, 354 = Least Deprived). This is a drop of 28 places from our position of 81 in 2004. This moves us from being within the 25% most deprived local authorities in the country to be within the 15% most deprived. Brent is the most deprived borough compared with our west London neighbours. Increasing levels of deprivation in Brent’s is visible 19 of the 21 wards. Only Harlesden and Queen’s Park wards have become less deprived compared to respective IMD levels in 2004. These wards were already experiencing high levels of deprivation. Deprivation levels in the south of the borough have increased, in particular the areas of Barnhill, Willesden Green, Dollis Hill and Dudden Hill. New pockets of deprivation have appeared in the north of the Borough in historically affluent areas of Preston, Kenton and Queensbury have all become more deprived. Maps of IMD in Brent 2004 and 2007
IMD 2004
13
IMD 2007
Index of Multiple Deprivation 2007(Appendix) http://www.communities.gov.uk/communities/neighbourhoodrenewal/deprivation/deprivation07/
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
The IMD measures seven domains: Income, Employment, Health, Education, Barriers to Housing and Services14, Crime and Living Environment. Brent is in the top 20 most income deprived local authorities in the country. Just over 16% of Brent’s SOAs are within the top 10% most deprived. Almost 64% of Brent’s SOAs are within the top 10% most deprived in the country for Barriers to Housing and Services (compared to 36% in 2004). IMD by Domain, (Dark red = top 10% most deprived, with exception of Barriers to Housing, Services Deprivation in Brent where Black = top 10% most deprived)
14
Income
Housing & Services
Employment
Crime
Heath
Education & Skills
In regards to the Domain ‘Barriers to Housing and Services’, access to owner occupancy and distance to amenities such as GP surgeries and Post Offices are the main factors affecting performance in this domain.
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
7.
Income
15
Brent residents have one of the income levels in London In 2010 the median gross annual income for Brent residents was £23,145, while the average income was £26,471 Over all Brent has the second lowest median and mean income levels in London Brent has the 3rd lowest average income levels in London (only Barking & Dagenham, and Newham have lower levels than Brent). Chart 8: Gross Median Annual Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
City of London data not available
Chart 9: Gross Average Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Kensington and Chelsea data not available City of London data not available
15
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=1951
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Chart 10: Male Gross Median Annual Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Kensington and Chelsea data not available City of London data not available
Chart 11: Male Gross Average Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Kensington and Chelsea data not available City of London data not available Islington data not available
Chart 12: Female Gross Median Annual Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
City of London data not available Chart 13: Female Gross Average Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011 Map 6: 2010 Mean Annual Income (CACI)
Map 7: 2008 Density of Households in Brent with mean income of £15,000 or less
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
8.
Employment and Unemployment16
Brent unemployment rate has been steadily increasing since April 2008, and are marginally above the rates for London and Great Britain. Employment rate for April 2009 to March 2010 was 67.7%, representing a 1.1% decease since Jan 09 -Dec 09 Employment rate is marginally below both the London average (68.8%) and the Great Britain (70.3%). Brent is now ranked 16th in London for employment levels, representing a decrease of one place from last year. Ethnic employment rate of 64.4% (2nd quarter 2009) is below the average employment rate for Brent (most recent figures), Employment rates for Pakistanis/Bangladeshis are 58.8%, up from 37.8%. The employment rate for Black or Black British is 59.3%, which has decreased from 64.4%. Brent’s unemployment rate is 9.6 (Apr 2009-Mar 2010).The rate is marginally above the London rate (9.1) and Great Britain average (7.9). Chart 14: Employment Rate (%) Legend: Green= Great Britain, Red = London, Blue = Brent
Chart 15: Unemployment Rate (%)
16
17
17
Nomis, Annual population survey, https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/default.asp
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431877/subreports/ea_time_series/report.aspx
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011 18
Chart 16: Unemployment Rate Across London at March 2010 (%)
Chart 17: Employment Rate Across London at March 2010 (%)
18
Source: ONS annual population survey [Apr 2009-Mar 2010] https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431877/subreports/ea_compared/report.aspx
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
9.
Claimant Count19
Brent has had a sharp increase in people claiming Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) and National Insurance credits since the recession began. In October 2010, Brent’s JSA claimant rate was 5.3% (9,069) DWP figures show that JSA claimant count in Brent has been slightly deceasing since April 2010, with 539 less JSA claimants. JSA claimant counts in the priority neighbourhoods far exceed the Brent average. In Harlesden the count in April 2010 was 9.94%, Stonebridge 10.41%m, St Raphael’s 8.4%, Church End 10.45%, and South Kilburn 10.02% Brent has the 8th highest claimant count in London Chart 18: JSA claimants in Brent, December 09 – October 2010 (% of 16 to 64 population)
Chart 19: JSA claimant over 12 months duration, December 09 – October 2010 (% of 16 to 64 population)
19
Nomis, JSA claimant count records the number of people claiming Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) and National Insurance credits at Jobcentre Plus local offices. https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/default.asp
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011 Chart 20: JSA Claimant Counts, London Comparison, October 2010
(above table is ranked in order of percentage of working age population receiving JSA)
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
10. Other Benefit Claimants
20
As of May 2010, 12,450 people in Brent claimed a type of incapacity benefits, 4,605 of these claimants were for mental health.. There is a gap of 630 claimants between the highest and lowest wards for people claiming incapacity benefit. There were 985 people claiming in Stonebridge and 275 people claiming in Kenton. There is a 555 gap between the highest and lowest wards for people claiming disability living allowance. There are 865 people claiming in Stonebridge and 310 people claiming in Northwick Park. Working age client group (16-64) - key benefit claimants, May 2010 (last update of figures)
Total claimants Job seekers ESA & Incapacity benefits Lone parents Carers Others on income related benefits Disabled Bereaved Key out-of-work benefits
20
Brent (numbers)
Brent (%)
London (%)
30,390 8,650 12,450 4,650 1,670 1,210
117.7 5.0 7.3 2.7 1.0 0.7
14.4 3.8 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.5
Great Britain (%) 14.7 3.5 6.7 1.7 1.1 0.5
1,400 370 26,960
0.8 0.2 15.7
0.8 0.2 12.7
1.0 0.2 12.4
Nomis, August 2008, https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/default.asp
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
11. Housing and Council Tax Benefits21 The impact of the recession can also be seen in the increase of people claiming housing and council tax benefits from the council. Brent’s total number of recipients for housing and council tax benefits in June 2010 is 38,339. Since June 2008, there has been a borough wide increase of 2,765 (7.8%) of Brent residents eligible for this benefit. Every ward in Brent has experienced a growth in the number of residents eligible for this benefit, with the largest increase in Dudden Hill (15.4%), and the smallest increase in Sudbury (3.4%). Map 8: Housing and Council Tax Benefit in Brent, November 2009
21
Brent Council, Housing and Council Tax Benefit Recipients
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Tax and Housing Benefits Claimants, 2008 – 2010
Dudden Hill Willesden Green Harlesden Brondesbury Park Kensal Green Wembley Central Welsh Harp Tokyngton Queensbury Kenton Mapesbury Queen's Park Barnhill Preston Stonebridge Dollis Hill Kilburn Alperton Fryent Northwick Park Sudbury
2008 count 1683 2132 3157 1427 2101 1371 1657 1293 1257 640 1790 1497 1816 1304 3187 1564 2861 1302 1249 748 1538
2010 count 1942 2437 3542 1563 2300 1477 1784 1385 1345 683 1908 1594 1931 1385 3382 1644 2996 1363 1306 782 1590
Total
35574
38339
Ward
259 305 385 136 199 106 127 92 88 43 118 97 115 81 195 80 135 61 57 34 52
% difference 15.4% 14.3% 12.2% 9.5% 9.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.1% 5.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 3.4%
2765
7.8%
Difference
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Map 10: Density of Brent residents accessing 1-4 services
Map 11: Density of Brent residents accessing greater than 5 services
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
12. Qualifications22 Brent has significantly improving qualification levels Brent is now ranked 15th in London for NVQ 1 and above, representing an increase of 13 places from the previous year with 62.2%, this is still below the London average of 74% and the Great Britain average of 78.9% Brent is now ranked 14th in London for NVQ 2 and above, representing an increase of 15 places from the previous year with 54.7%, this is still below the London average of 64.5% and the Great Britain average of 65.4%. Brent is now ranked 14th in London for NVQ 3 and above, representing an increase of 14 places from the previous year with 46.2%, this is still below the London average of 53.2% and the Great Britain average of 49.3%. Brent is now ranked 16th in London for NVQ 4 and above, representing an increase of 10 places from the previous year with 34.6%, this is still below the London average of 39.7% , but higher than the Great Britain average of 29.9%. Maps: Qualification levels, London Comparison (%)
22
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431877/report.aspx?town=Brent
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Brent tops the London boroughs for people with other qualifications, and is closely followed by the boroughs of Newham and Ealing. All three of these London Boroughs have very high migrant populations Since 2006, the figures for Brent residents with ‘other qualifications have fluctuated. The numbers jumped from 52,000 in 2006, to 65,700 in 2007, then went from 65,000 in 2008, to 52,900 in 2009 Brent figures for no qualifications had been declining between 2004 and 2008, however, in 2009 the figures jumped back up to 18,400. Brent does remain however, below both the London (11.8%) and Great Britain (12.3%) with 9.8% of the working population
Definitions Qualifications The variables show the total number of people who are qualified at a particular level and above, so data in this table are not additive. The trade apprenticeships are split 50/50 between NVQ level 2 and 3. This follows ONS policy for presenting qualifications data in publications. No qualifications: No formal qualifications held Other qualifications: includes foreign qualifications and some professional qualifications NVQ 1 equivalent: e.g. fewer than 5 GCSEs at grades A-C, foundation GNVQ, NVQ 1, intermediate 1 national qualification (Scotland) or equivalent NVQ 2 equivalent: e.g. 5 or more GCSEs at grades A-C, intermediate GNVQ, NVQ 2, intermediate 2 national qualification (Scotland) or equivalent NVQ 3 equivalent: e.g. 2 or more A levels, advanced GNVQ, NVQ 3, 2 or more higher or advanced higher national qualifications (Scotland) or equivalent NVQ 4 equivalent and above: e.g. HND, Degree and Higher Degree level qualifications or equivalent
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
13. Employment by Occupation23
Employment Type
Brent Brent London Great Britain (numbers) (%) (%) (%)
Soc 2000 major group 1-3
61,100
46.9
54.9
44.3
1 Managers and senior officials
18,900
14.4
17.4
15.7
2 Professional occupations
22,200
16.8
18.2
13.7
3 Associate professional & technical Soc 2000 major group 4-5
20,100
15.2
19.0
14.7
26,000
19.9
18.5
21.6
4 Administrative & secretarial
13,100
10.0
11.0
11.2
5 Skilled trades occupations Soc 2000 major group 6-7
12,800
9.8
7.3
10.4
19,600
15.0
13.4
16.2
6 Personal service occupations
12,700
9.7
7.1
8.7
7 Sales and customer service occs
6,900
5.2
6.1
7.4
Soc 2000 major group 8-9
23,600
18.1
13.3
17.9
8 Process plant & machine operatives 10,400
7.9
4.5
6.6
9 Elementary occupations
10.1
8.7
11.1
13,300
Source: ONS annual population survey, Apr 2009 – Mar 2010 Notes:Numbers and % are for those of 16+ % is a proportion of all persons in employment
23
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431877/report.aspx?town=Bren
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
14. Business
24
VAT Registrations per 10,000 residents (1997 – 2007)25
Chart XX: Time series for new personal insolvencies
http://neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadTableView.do?a=7&b=276747&c=Brent&d=13&e=4&g=328340&i=1001x 1003x1004&m=0&r=1&s=1292853036343&enc=1&dsFamilyId=2066 25
ONS VAT registrations, 2009
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Brent’s Borough Profile The Evidence Base for Brent - Part 1: Demographics and Economic Data
Table of Contents 1.
Population Estimates ............................................................................................................. 2
2.
Population Density ................................................................................................................ 4
3.
Population Change ................................................................................................................ 5
4.
Migration................................................................................................................................ 6
5.
Diversity................................................................................................................................. 7
6.
Deprivation ............................................................................................................................ 8
7.
Income................................................................................................................................. 10
8.
Employment and Unemployment ........................................................................................ 14
9.
Claimant Count .................................................................................................................... 16
10.
Other Benefit Claimants ...................................................................................................... 18
11.
Housing and Council Tax Benefits ...................................................................................... 19
12.
Qualifications ....................................................................................................................... 22
13.
Employment by Occupation................................................................................................. 24
14.
Business .............................................................................................................................. 25
Key: London Borough Brent Borough and Brent Wards
Green Purple
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
1.
Population Estimates Population estimates are provided by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) and the Greater London Authority (GLA). The ONS recently conducted a review of its national population projections and now estimates Brent’s population for June 2009 to be 255,5001. This represents a decrease of 7,500 people since the 2001 Census. The ONS estimates there are 128, 200 males and 127,200 females living in Brent. The GLA population estimate for Brent is 282,6722. An independent population study commissioned by Brent estimated the population as closer to 289, 000 in 20073.
Chart 1: ONS Population of Brent (revised)4
Chart 2: 2009 ONS Population Estimates for Brent by age group1
1
http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadSByAChoose.do?a=3&c=brent&d=13&i=1001x1021&m=0&r=1&s= 279197792718&enc=1&areaId=276747&OAAreaId=328340&dsInstanceId=2231 2 2007 Greater London Authority (GLA ) Round of Ward Population Projections 3 Mayhew Associates, Brent population estimation, household composition and change, 2007 4 http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadTrendView.do?a=3&b=276747&c=brent&d=13&e=13&f=26484&g= 328340&i=1001x1003x1004x1005&l=1813&o=322&m=0&r=1&s=1279203158703&enc=1&adminCompId=26484&variableFamilyId s=6681&xW=758
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Chart 3: ONS Age groups as percentages of Brent population 1
Chart 4: London borough populations5
5
http://www.neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadTrendView.do?a=3&b=276747&c=brent&d=13&e=13&f=26484&g=3 28340&i=1001x1003x1004x1005&l=1813&o=322&m=0&r=1&s=1279203158703&enc=1&adminCompId=26484&variableFamilyIds =6681&xW=758
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
2.
Population Density
Brent is one of the most densely populated Outer London Boroughs. The average density is 61 persons per hectare (pph), with the highest rates in the south east of the borough. Brent is the 15th largest borough in London, with an area of 4,323 hectares (43 square kms) and a population of 263,464 in 2001. With an average density of 61 people per hectare (pph) in 2001, it is well above the London and Outer London averages of 46 and 35 pph respectively) 6. Map 1: Population Density, 2001 Census
6
2001 Census, http://intranet.brent.gov.uk/demographic.nsf/97adad6ff206607c8025663c0065c536/1444fe88cc2376cd80256cd8003aabd8!OpenD ocument
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
3.
Population Change
According to the GLA and independent research, Brent’s Population is growing In 2009, GLA released high and low population level projections (PLP) for Brent’s wards. The wards which are predicted to have the highest levels of growth by 2020 are: Tokyington, Queensbury, and Mapesbury7.
Modelled data within the customer segmentation model Mosaic Public Sector shows that households who live in the south of the borough have a higher likelihood of having only lived here for less than 1 year
Map 2: Mosaic: resident likely to have lived in the borough less than 1 year
Very unlikely Unlikely Average Likely Very likely
7
2009 Greater London Authority (GLA ) Round of Ward Population Projections
Population in each ward is projected to increase from the 2001 Census by the following amount by 2020: Alperton Barnhill Brondesbury Park Dollis Hill Dudden Hill Fryent Harlesden Kensal Green Kenton Kilburn Mapesbury Northwick Park Preston Queens Park Queensbury Stonebridge Sudbury Tokyngton Welsh Harp Wembley Central Willesden Green
330 -85 885 195 598 351 776 1114 129 397 1405 334 872 628 3570 871 571 10109 -37 1161 1375
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
4.
Migration
Brent has very high levels of migration into the borough compared to the rest of London. Brent has the second highest number of people born outside of the UK 8 Brent has a high inflow of migration at 9100 in 2007/08; this was the 6th highest in London9. National Insurance Number (NINo) registrations are a means of measuring migration into a borough. In 2008/09 Brent had the second highest number of adults registering for NINos with 18,78010. This represents a decrease of 460 NINo registrations, the first decrease in Brent since 2003. Chart 5: National Insurance Number Registrations
Map 3: NINo, non UK Registrations number 2009/10
8
2007/08, Annual Population Survey (APS)/Labour Force Survey (LFS), ONS ONS, Inflow of international migration 10 National Insurance Number Allocation to Adult Overseas National Entering the UK for 2008-09, DWP 9
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
5.
Diversity
Brent has the largest proportion of ethnic minorities in London with 71 per cent of the population from an ethnic group other than White British. • • • •
59% of the population are black, Asian and minority ethnic groups, this is double the outer London average11 71% of the population are from a group other than white British6 48% of population born outside of the UK12 130 different languages are spoken in Brent schools
Chart 6: Ethnicity of Brent (%)
Chart 7: BAME demographic of Brent (%)
11 12
2001 Census DMAG 2008, A profile of Londoners by country of birth Estimates, 2006 Annual Population Survey
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
6.
Deprivation13
Whilst many of Brent’s residents are affluent, parts of the borough continue to experience high levels of deprivation. Brent is ranked 53rd out of 354 boroughs in the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) 2007 (1 = Most Deprived, 354 = Least Deprived). This is a drop of 28 places from our position of 81 in 2004. This moves us from being within the 25% most deprived local authorities in the country to be within the 15% most deprived. Brent is the most deprived borough compared with our west London neighbours. Increasing levels of deprivation in Brent’s is visible 19 of the 21 wards. Only Harlesden and Queen’s Park wards have become less deprived compared to respective IMD levels in 2004. These wards were already experiencing high levels of deprivation. Deprivation levels in the south of the borough have increased, in particular the areas of Barnhill, Willesden Green, Dollis Hill and Dudden Hill. New pockets of deprivation have appeared in the north of the Borough in historically affluent areas of Preston, Kenton and Queensbury have all become more deprived. Maps of IMD in Brent 2004 and 2007
IMD 2004
13
IMD 2007
Index of Multiple Deprivation 2007(Appendix) http://www.communities.gov.uk/communities/neighbourhoodrenewal/deprivation/deprivation07/
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
The IMD measures seven domains: Income, Employment, Health, Education, Barriers to Housing and Services14, Crime and Living Environment. Brent is in the top 20 most income deprived local authorities in the country. Just over 16% of Brent’s SOAs are within the top 10% most deprived. Almost 64% of Brent’s SOAs are within the top 10% most deprived in the country for Barriers to Housing and Services (compared to 36% in 2004). IMD by Domain, (Dark red = top 10% most deprived, with exception of Barriers to Housing, Services Deprivation in Brent where Black = top 10% most deprived)
14
Income
Housing & Services
Employment
Crime
Heath
Education & Skills
In regards to the Domain ‘Barriers to Housing and Services’, access to owner occupancy and distance to amenities such as GP surgeries and Post Offices are the main factors affecting performance in this domain.
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
7.
Income
15
Brent residents have one of the income levels in London In 2010 the median gross annual income for Brent residents was £23,145, while the average income was £26,471 Over all Brent has the second lowest median and mean income levels in London Brent has the 3rd lowest average income levels in London (only Barking & Dagenham, and Newham have lower levels than Brent). Chart 8: Gross Median Annual Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
City of London data not available
Chart 9: Gross Average Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Kensington and Chelsea data not available City of London data not available
15
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=1951
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Chart 10: Male Gross Median Annual Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Kensington and Chelsea data not available City of London data not available
Chart 11: Male Gross Average Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Kensington and Chelsea data not available City of London data not available Islington data not available
Chart 12: Female Gross Median Annual Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
City of London data not available Chart 13: Female Gross Average Income of London boroughs by residence for 2010 (£)
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011 Map 6: 2010 Mean Annual Income (CACI)
Map 7: 2008 Density of Households in Brent with mean income of £15,000 or less
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
8.
Employment and Unemployment16
Brent unemployment rate has been steadily increasing since April 2008, and are marginally above the rates for London and Great Britain. Employment rate for April 2009 to March 2010 was 67.7%, representing a 1.1% decease since Jan 09 -Dec 09 Employment rate is marginally below both the London average (68.8%) and the Great Britain (70.3%). Brent is now ranked 16th in London for employment levels, representing a decrease of one place from last year. Ethnic employment rate of 64.4% (2nd quarter 2009) is below the average employment rate for Brent (most recent figures), Employment rates for Pakistanis/Bangladeshis are 58.8%, up from 37.8%. The employment rate for Black or Black British is 59.3%, which has decreased from 64.4%. Brent’s unemployment rate is 9.6 (Apr 2009-Mar 2010).The rate is marginally above the London rate (9.1) and Great Britain average (7.9). Chart 14: Employment Rate (%) Legend: Green= Great Britain, Red = London, Blue = Brent
Chart 15: Unemployment Rate (%)
16
17
17
Nomis, Annual population survey, https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/default.asp
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431877/subreports/ea_time_series/report.aspx
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011 18
Chart 16: Unemployment Rate Across London at March 2010 (%)
Chart 17: Employment Rate Across London at March 2010 (%)
18
Source: ONS annual population survey [Apr 2009-Mar 2010] https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431877/subreports/ea_compared/report.aspx
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
9.
Claimant Count19
Brent has had a sharp increase in people claiming Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) and National Insurance credits since the recession began. In October 2010, Brent’s JSA claimant rate was 5.3% (9,069) DWP figures show that JSA claimant count in Brent has been slightly deceasing since April 2010, with 539 less JSA claimants. JSA claimant counts in the priority neighbourhoods far exceed the Brent average. In Harlesden the count in April 2010 was 9.94%, Stonebridge 10.41%m, St Raphael’s 8.4%, Church End 10.45%, and South Kilburn 10.02% Brent has the 8th highest claimant count in London Chart 18: JSA claimants in Brent, December 09 – October 2010 (% of 16 to 64 population)
Chart 19: JSA claimant over 12 months duration, December 09 – October 2010 (% of 16 to 64 population)
19
Nomis, JSA claimant count records the number of people claiming Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) and National Insurance credits at Jobcentre Plus local offices. https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/default.asp
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011 Chart 20: JSA Claimant Counts, London Comparison, October 2010
(above table is ranked in order of percentage of working age population receiving JSA)
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
10. Other Benefit Claimants
20
As of May 2010, 12,450 people in Brent claimed a type of incapacity benefits, 4,605 of these claimants were for mental health.. There is a gap of 630 claimants between the highest and lowest wards for people claiming incapacity benefit. There were 985 people claiming in Stonebridge and 275 people claiming in Kenton. There is a 555 gap between the highest and lowest wards for people claiming disability living allowance. There are 865 people claiming in Stonebridge and 310 people claiming in Northwick Park. Working age client group (16-64) - key benefit claimants, May 2010 (last update of figures)
Total claimants Job seekers ESA & Incapacity benefits Lone parents Carers Others on income related benefits Disabled Bereaved Key out-of-work benefits
20
Brent (numbers)
Brent (%)
London (%)
30,390 8,650 12,450 4,650 1,670 1,210
117.7 5.0 7.3 2.7 1.0 0.7
14.4 3.8 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.5
Great Britain (%) 14.7 3.5 6.7 1.7 1.1 0.5
1,400 370 26,960
0.8 0.2 15.7
0.8 0.2 12.7
1.0 0.2 12.4
Nomis, August 2008, https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/default.asp
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
11. Housing and Council Tax Benefits21 The impact of the recession can also be seen in the increase of people claiming housing and council tax benefits from the council. Brent’s total number of recipients for housing and council tax benefits in June 2010 is 38,339. Since June 2008, there has been a borough wide increase of 2,765 (7.8%) of Brent residents eligible for this benefit. Every ward in Brent has experienced a growth in the number of residents eligible for this benefit, with the largest increase in Dudden Hill (15.4%), and the smallest increase in Sudbury (3.4%). Map 8: Housing and Council Tax Benefit in Brent, November 2009
21
Brent Council, Housing and Council Tax Benefit Recipients
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Tax and Housing Benefits Claimants, 2008 – 2010
Dudden Hill Willesden Green Harlesden Brondesbury Park Kensal Green Wembley Central Welsh Harp Tokyngton Queensbury Kenton Mapesbury Queen's Park Barnhill Preston Stonebridge Dollis Hill Kilburn Alperton Fryent Northwick Park Sudbury
2008 count 1683 2132 3157 1427 2101 1371 1657 1293 1257 640 1790 1497 1816 1304 3187 1564 2861 1302 1249 748 1538
2010 count 1942 2437 3542 1563 2300 1477 1784 1385 1345 683 1908 1594 1931 1385 3382 1644 2996 1363 1306 782 1590
Total
35574
38339
Ward
259 305 385 136 199 106 127 92 88 43 118 97 115 81 195 80 135 61 57 34 52
% difference 15.4% 14.3% 12.2% 9.5% 9.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.1% 5.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 3.4%
2765
7.8%
Difference
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Map 10: Density of Brent residents accessing 1-4 services
Map 11: Density of Brent residents accessing greater than 5 services
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
12. Qualifications22 Brent has significantly improving qualification levels Brent is now ranked 15th in London for NVQ 1 and above, representing an increase of 13 places from the previous year with 62.2%, this is still below the London average of 74% and the Great Britain average of 78.9% Brent is now ranked 14th in London for NVQ 2 and above, representing an increase of 15 places from the previous year with 54.7%, this is still below the London average of 64.5% and the Great Britain average of 65.4%. Brent is now ranked 14th in London for NVQ 3 and above, representing an increase of 14 places from the previous year with 46.2%, this is still below the London average of 53.2% and the Great Britain average of 49.3%. Brent is now ranked 16th in London for NVQ 4 and above, representing an increase of 10 places from the previous year with 34.6%, this is still below the London average of 39.7% , but higher than the Great Britain average of 29.9%. Maps: Qualification levels, London Comparison (%)
22
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431877/report.aspx?town=Brent
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
Brent tops the London boroughs for people with other qualifications, and is closely followed by the boroughs of Newham and Ealing. All three of these London Boroughs have very high migrant populations Since 2006, the figures for Brent residents with ‘other qualifications have fluctuated. The numbers jumped from 52,000 in 2006, to 65,700 in 2007, then went from 65,000 in 2008, to 52,900 in 2009 Brent figures for no qualifications had been declining between 2004 and 2008, however, in 2009 the figures jumped back up to 18,400. Brent does remain however, below both the London (11.8%) and Great Britain (12.3%) with 9.8% of the working population
Definitions Qualifications The variables show the total number of people who are qualified at a particular level and above, so data in this table are not additive. The trade apprenticeships are split 50/50 between NVQ level 2 and 3. This follows ONS policy for presenting qualifications data in publications. No qualifications: No formal qualifications held Other qualifications: includes foreign qualifications and some professional qualifications NVQ 1 equivalent: e.g. fewer than 5 GCSEs at grades A-C, foundation GNVQ, NVQ 1, intermediate 1 national qualification (Scotland) or equivalent NVQ 2 equivalent: e.g. 5 or more GCSEs at grades A-C, intermediate GNVQ, NVQ 2, intermediate 2 national qualification (Scotland) or equivalent NVQ 3 equivalent: e.g. 2 or more A levels, advanced GNVQ, NVQ 3, 2 or more higher or advanced higher national qualifications (Scotland) or equivalent NVQ 4 equivalent and above: e.g. HND, Degree and Higher Degree level qualifications or equivalent
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
13. Employment by Occupation23
Employment Type
Brent Brent London Great Britain (numbers) (%) (%) (%)
Soc 2000 major group 1-3
61,100
46.9
54.9
44.3
1 Managers and senior officials
18,900
14.4
17.4
15.7
2 Professional occupations
22,200
16.8
18.2
13.7
3 Associate professional & technical Soc 2000 major group 4-5
20,100
15.2
19.0
14.7
26,000
19.9
18.5
21.6
4 Administrative & secretarial
13,100
10.0
11.0
11.2
5 Skilled trades occupations Soc 2000 major group 6-7
12,800
9.8
7.3
10.4
19,600
15.0
13.4
16.2
6 Personal service occupations
12,700
9.7
7.1
8.7
7 Sales and customer service occs
6,900
5.2
6.1
7.4
Soc 2000 major group 8-9
23,600
18.1
13.3
17.9
8 Process plant & machine operatives 10,400
7.9
4.5
6.6
9 Elementary occupations
10.1
8.7
11.1
13,300
Source: ONS annual population survey, Apr 2009 – Mar 2010 Notes:Numbers and % are for those of 16+ % is a proportion of all persons in employment
23
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/reports/lmp/la/2038431877/report.aspx?town=Bren
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
14. Business
24
VAT Registrations per 10,000 residents (1997 – 2007)25
Chart XX: Time series for new personal insolvencies
http://neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk/dissemination/LeadTableView.do?a=7&b=276747&c=Brent&d=13&e=4&g=328340&i=1001x 1003x1004&m=0&r=1&s=1292853036343&enc=1&dsFamilyId=2066 25
ONS VAT registrations, 2009
Part 1, Brent’s Borough Profile, Updated January 2011
