CALCULATE YOUR WIN NUMBER

CALCULATE YOUR WIN NUMBER CALCULATE AVERAGE TURNOUT To find the average turnout in your district, calculate the turnout rate for three recent similar elections. Add those rates together and divide by three. Election 1

1

Turnout

Registered Voters

Rate 2

Election 2 ex: 55,000

ex: 105,000

ex: .524 3

Election 3 Turnout

Registered Voters

Rate

CALCULATE EXPECTED TURNOUT To find the expected turnout for your race multiply the Average Turnout Rate by your district’s current registration. 4

5

Current Registration

Expected Turnout

CALCULATE WIN NUMBER To find the Win Number for your race divide the Expected Turnout by two. Then add one to that number. 5

6

(Round up) 6

7

Win Number

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