CALIFORNIA CA
CALIFORNIA
CA
2015 Estimated Uninsured Rate of 18 to 64 year olds: 2013 Estimated Uninsured Rate of 18 to 64 year olds: Decrease from 2013 to 2015:
10.6% 17.9% 7.3%
Before the first Affordable Care Act enrollment period began, Enroll America and Civis Analytics used sophisticated data targeting techniques to create a model of the uninsured population in America. Over the last three years, this model has proven to be timely and accurate, and has played a critical role in our ability to understand who and where the uninsured are and get them the help they need to enroll in coverage. This year, the model has been updated and was used to estimate insurance status for over 180 million non-elderly adult Americans. Grouping individual-level estimates by geography, race, age, gender, and other characteristics enables us to understand the landscape of the uninsured population across the country. Here we provide a detailed look at the uninsured population in California, put into context by nationwide uninsured rates. All uninsured rates listed in this document are based on the Enroll America/Civis Analytics uninsured model.
Chart 1: California Uninsured Rates for 2013 and 2015 of Key Demographic Groups
Overall
Uninsured Rate
30
Race
25
27 24
20 15 10
Age
Gender
23 19
18
16 11
11
15
14
13
15 11
9
9
5
17
18
16
2013
18
2015
14
10
10
9
8
0 National
California
Black
White
Hispanic
Asian
Male
Quick Summary
Female
18 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
State Map: 2015 Uninsured Rates by County
● The current uninsured rate in California is 11%. This has decreased by 7% since 2013 prior to the first open enrollment period. ● 15% of Hispanics in California are uninsured, 13% of African-Americans are uninsured and 16% of young adults (ages 18-34) are uninsured. Targeting Recommendations ● Geographic - More uninsured people live in Los Angeles County (30% of the uninsured population) and San Diego County (8% of the uninsured population) than any other county. ● Geographic - The counties with the highest uninsured rates currently are Imperial County (18%), Tulare County (16%), Madera County (15%) and Kings County (15%). ● Demographic - Hispanic men ages 18 to 34 (22%) have the highest 2015 uninsured rates, followed by African American men ages 18 to 34 (20%) and Hispanic women ages 18 to 34 (19%).
Map Scale: Uninsured Rates per County
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Table 1: Distribution of Uninsured Population by Demographic Groups in Quick Summary Race [1] Distribution of Uninsured Population, Ages 18 to 64 % 2013 Uninsured Population in California % 2015 Uninsured Population in California Change from 2013 to 2015
Gender
Age
Black
White
Hispanic
Asian
Male
Female
18 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
3.3% 2.8% -0.5%
44.8% 45.3% 0.4%
43.4% 42.9% -0.5%
8.5% 9.1% 0.6%
50.9% 50.1% -0.8%
49.1% 49.9% 0.8%
31.2% 35.7% 4.5%
19.4% 16.8% -2.7%
32.7% 30.0% -2.6%
16.7% 17.5% 0.8%
Table 2: 2015 Uninsured Rates in Most Populous Counties Total Top 10 Most Populous Counties, Ordered by Population Size ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ###
Los Angeles County San Diego County Orange County Riverside County San Bernardino County Santa Clara County Alameda County Sacramento County Kern County Fresno County
Race
Gender
Age
Percent
2015 Uninsured Rate
Black
White
Hispanic
Asian
Male
Female
18 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
12% 10% 8% 13% 13% 7% 8% 10% 15% 15%
14% 12% 8% 12% 14% 7% 10% 12% 15% 16%
10% 8% 6% 11% 11% 6% 7% 9% 12% 12%
16% 14% 13% 16% 16% 10% 10% 12% 19% 19%
11% 9% 9% 11% 11% 6% 7% 10% 13% 16%
13% 10% 9% 14% 14% 7% 8% 10% 16% 16%
12% 9% 8% 12% 12% 6% 7% 9% 14% 14%
18% 14% 12% 19% 18% 11% 12% 14% 21% 22%
11% 9% 7% 11% 12% 6% 7% 9% 13% 13%
11% 9% 8% 12% 12% 6% 7% 9% 14% 14%
9% 7% 6% 10% 9% 5% 5% 7% 10% 11%
Page 1 of 2 - California State Snapshot - Enroll America - October 2015
% of CA Uninsured Population 30% 8% 6% 7% 7% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3%
www.enrollamerica.org
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CALIFORNIA
CA
Remaining Uninsured Estimates from June 2015 Kaiser Family Foundation Study
Estimated Number of Remaining Uninsured in California: [2] % Medicaid Eligible of Remaining Uninsured % Tax Credit Eligible of Remaining Uninsured % Ineligible for Financial Assistance of Remaining Uninsured [3]
3,845,000 37% 16% 47%
National Map: 2015 Uninsured Rates by County
● In 2013 before the first open enrollment period, California's uninsured rate of 17.9% was 1.5% greater than the national uninsured rate. ● In 2015, California's uninsured rate of 10.6% is 0.1% lower than the current national uninsured rate.
State Comparison with National Uninsured Rate
Uninsured Rate
20
Map Scale: Uninsured Rates per County
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
15 10
17.9
16.4
10.7
10.6
2013 2015
5 0 National
California
Footnotes [1] Civis Analytics uses a similar scoring method to assign most likely race to consumers which explains why the race distribution adds up to 100%. [2] Estimates of Eligibility for ACA Coverage among the Uninsured released by the Kaiser Family Foundation on June 1, 2015. Additional data and methodology can be found at: http://kff.org/uninsured/issue-brief/new-estimates-of-eligibility-for-aca-coverage-among-the-uninsured/ [3] Ineligible for Financial Assistance is due to Income, ESI Offer, or Citizenship.
Additional Enroll America Research, Blogs and Maps can be found at : https://www.enrollamerica.org/research-maps/
Page 2 of 2 - California State Snapshot - Enroll America - October 2015
www.enrollamerica.org
CA
2015 Estimated Uninsured Rate of 18 to 64 year olds: 2013 Estimated Uninsured Rate of 18 to 64 year olds: Decrease from 2013 to 2015:
10.6% 17.9% 7.3%
Before the first Affordable Care Act enrollment period began, Enroll America and Civis Analytics used sophisticated data targeting techniques to create a model of the uninsured population in America. Over the last three years, this model has proven to be timely and accurate, and has played a critical role in our ability to understand who and where the uninsured are and get them the help they need to enroll in coverage. This year, the model has been updated and was used to estimate insurance status for over 180 million non-elderly adult Americans. Grouping individual-level estimates by geography, race, age, gender, and other characteristics enables us to understand the landscape of the uninsured population across the country. Here we provide a detailed look at the uninsured population in California, put into context by nationwide uninsured rates. All uninsured rates listed in this document are based on the Enroll America/Civis Analytics uninsured model.
Chart 1: California Uninsured Rates for 2013 and 2015 of Key Demographic Groups
Overall
Uninsured Rate
30
Race
25
27 24
20 15 10
Age
Gender
23 19
18
16 11
11
15
14
13
15 11
9
9
5
17
18
16
2013
18
2015
14
10
10
9
8
0 National
California
Black
White
Hispanic
Asian
Male
Quick Summary
Female
18 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
State Map: 2015 Uninsured Rates by County
● The current uninsured rate in California is 11%. This has decreased by 7% since 2013 prior to the first open enrollment period. ● 15% of Hispanics in California are uninsured, 13% of African-Americans are uninsured and 16% of young adults (ages 18-34) are uninsured. Targeting Recommendations ● Geographic - More uninsured people live in Los Angeles County (30% of the uninsured population) and San Diego County (8% of the uninsured population) than any other county. ● Geographic - The counties with the highest uninsured rates currently are Imperial County (18%), Tulare County (16%), Madera County (15%) and Kings County (15%). ● Demographic - Hispanic men ages 18 to 34 (22%) have the highest 2015 uninsured rates, followed by African American men ages 18 to 34 (20%) and Hispanic women ages 18 to 34 (19%).
Map Scale: Uninsured Rates per County
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Table 1: Distribution of Uninsured Population by Demographic Groups in Quick Summary Race [1] Distribution of Uninsured Population, Ages 18 to 64 % 2013 Uninsured Population in California % 2015 Uninsured Population in California Change from 2013 to 2015
Gender
Age
Black
White
Hispanic
Asian
Male
Female
18 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
3.3% 2.8% -0.5%
44.8% 45.3% 0.4%
43.4% 42.9% -0.5%
8.5% 9.1% 0.6%
50.9% 50.1% -0.8%
49.1% 49.9% 0.8%
31.2% 35.7% 4.5%
19.4% 16.8% -2.7%
32.7% 30.0% -2.6%
16.7% 17.5% 0.8%
Table 2: 2015 Uninsured Rates in Most Populous Counties Total Top 10 Most Populous Counties, Ordered by Population Size ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ###
Los Angeles County San Diego County Orange County Riverside County San Bernardino County Santa Clara County Alameda County Sacramento County Kern County Fresno County
Race
Gender
Age
Percent
2015 Uninsured Rate
Black
White
Hispanic
Asian
Male
Female
18 - 34
35 - 44
45 - 54
55 - 64
12% 10% 8% 13% 13% 7% 8% 10% 15% 15%
14% 12% 8% 12% 14% 7% 10% 12% 15% 16%
10% 8% 6% 11% 11% 6% 7% 9% 12% 12%
16% 14% 13% 16% 16% 10% 10% 12% 19% 19%
11% 9% 9% 11% 11% 6% 7% 10% 13% 16%
13% 10% 9% 14% 14% 7% 8% 10% 16% 16%
12% 9% 8% 12% 12% 6% 7% 9% 14% 14%
18% 14% 12% 19% 18% 11% 12% 14% 21% 22%
11% 9% 7% 11% 12% 6% 7% 9% 13% 13%
11% 9% 8% 12% 12% 6% 7% 9% 14% 14%
9% 7% 6% 10% 9% 5% 5% 7% 10% 11%
Page 1 of 2 - California State Snapshot - Enroll America - October 2015
% of CA Uninsured Population 30% 8% 6% 7% 7% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3%
www.enrollamerica.org
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CALIFORNIA
CA
Remaining Uninsured Estimates from June 2015 Kaiser Family Foundation Study
Estimated Number of Remaining Uninsured in California: [2] % Medicaid Eligible of Remaining Uninsured % Tax Credit Eligible of Remaining Uninsured % Ineligible for Financial Assistance of Remaining Uninsured [3]
3,845,000 37% 16% 47%
National Map: 2015 Uninsured Rates by County
● In 2013 before the first open enrollment period, California's uninsured rate of 17.9% was 1.5% greater than the national uninsured rate. ● In 2015, California's uninsured rate of 10.6% is 0.1% lower than the current national uninsured rate.
State Comparison with National Uninsured Rate
Uninsured Rate
20
Map Scale: Uninsured Rates per County
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
15 10
17.9
16.4
10.7
10.6
2013 2015
5 0 National
California
Footnotes [1] Civis Analytics uses a similar scoring method to assign most likely race to consumers which explains why the race distribution adds up to 100%. [2] Estimates of Eligibility for ACA Coverage among the Uninsured released by the Kaiser Family Foundation on June 1, 2015. Additional data and methodology can be found at: http://kff.org/uninsured/issue-brief/new-estimates-of-eligibility-for-aca-coverage-among-the-uninsured/ [3] Ineligible for Financial Assistance is due to Income, ESI Offer, or Citizenship.
Additional Enroll America Research, Blogs and Maps can be found at : https://www.enrollamerica.org/research-maps/
Page 2 of 2 - California State Snapshot - Enroll America - October 2015
www.enrollamerica.org
