Canadian Surety

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Canadian Surety 2010 Issue – Market Analysis of 2009 Results

Montreal

Toronto

François Dagneau | Aon Benfield [email protected]

Charles Campisi | Aon Benfield [email protected]

Mara Torresan | Aon Benfield [email protected]

Heather McLeod | Aon Benfield [email protected]

700 de La Gauchetière West, Suite 1810 Montreal, Quebec, Canada H3B 0A6

150 King Street West, Suite 1900 Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5H 1J9

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary …………………………………………………………………………… 1 Summary of Surety Results …………………………………………………………………

2

Comparative Surety Results of Top 10 Insurers …………………………………………… 3 Comparative Surety Results of Top 10 Reinsurers ………………………………………

4

GRAPHICAL EXHIBITS Comparison of Insurance vs Reinsurance Markets ……………………………………… 5 Comparison of Insurers' Results …………………………………………………………… 6 Comparison of Reinsurers' Results ………………………………………………………… 7 Comparison of Volume and Results by Region …………………………………………… 8 Individual Results - Top 15 Insurers ………………………………………………………… 9 Individual Results - Top 10 Reinsurers …………………………………………………… 10

Note: Throughout this study "Reinsurance Market" refers to the licensed Reinsurance Market and does not take into account any reinsurance written on an unlicensed basis.

Executive Summary

This is the 14th annual Surety Report produced by Aon Benfield Canada for the benefit of our key partners: our clients and reinsurers.

Data Like we have done in the past, we analyze the results of the main surety writers in Canada mainly for the period 2005 to 2009. However, beginning this year, we also track premium growth by region over a tenyear period. This report is designed to provide valuable insight on the sureties operating on a direct and reinsurance basis and is based on publicly available data for writers licensed in Canada. This report does not capture cessions to unregistered reinsurers.

Premium and Concentration Canadian industry premium continues to grow steadily. Over the past 5 years, DWP has seen a 50% growth. Over the past ten years, DWP has more than tripled (+240%). For 2009, despite slowdowns in BC and Alberta, a 5% DWP growth has been achieved in Canada (448.5 million vs 470.5 million). The largest dollar growth is seen in Ontario, which grew by 34.7 million while Atlantic Canada saw the largest percentage change in premium growing by 53%. British Columbia and Alberta have experienced a decrease of their DWP of 18.6% and 17% respectively. DWP variation by region is illustrated below:

Ontario Quebec British Columbia Alberta Manitoba & Saskatchewan Atlantic Provinces

DWP (in millions) 2008 2009 $146.4 $181.1 $92.2 $101.8 $89.0 $72.4 $69.1 $57.3 $24.7 $26.9 $17.6 $27.0

Growth $34.7 $9.6 ($16.6) ($11.8) $2.2 $9.4

+23.7% +10.4% -18.6% -17.0% +8.8% +53.0%

Ontario generates 38% of 2009 Canadian DWP, followed by Quebec with 22%, and by BC and Alberta with 15% and 12% respectively. Top 5 primary writers hold 62.5% of DWP. Top 10 hold 85.5% of DWP. The composition of the top 10 primary writers is relatively stable. While there has been some movement over the past few years in the lower half of the top 10, the top 4 positions have been held for many years by the same 4 companies.

Results Positive trend continues in Canada with an industry five-year loss ratio of 19.56%. 2009 results for primary carriers average 17.51% loss ratio without distinction as to ranking.

Reinsurance While there are many pure excess of loss reinsurance programs, proportional cessions are still very significant in Canada and tend to balance the results of the reinsurers. The average estimated volume ceded to reinsurance (based on the difference between NWP and DWP) is approximately 23% of DWP. Cession to registered reinsurers is equal to 13.7% of DWP. The percentage of cessions to registered reinsurance that is held by the Top 5 registered reinsurers is 66.5%. The Top 10 registered reinsurers hold 94%. The composition of the Top 10 reinsurers has been very stable. For the past five years, the first 6 positions have been held by the same 6 companies. For 2009, the Top 5 reinsurers fare better with 15% loss ratio than the rest of the Top 10 reinsurers who collectively have a 29% loss ratio. While reinsurers’ results for 2009 are worse than those of primary carriers by about 6.5 points, five-year loss ratios remain very comparable with just one point difference between them. Aon Benfield is proud to place the reinsurance programs of many Canadian primary surety carriers listed in this report.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Summary of Surety Results

Direct Premiums Written ($000) INSURANCE REINSURANCE

REINSURANCE

REINSURANCE

REINSURANCE

273,194

44,253

16.20%

Overall

470,492

349,594

323,214

56,605

17.51%

60,633

53,677

15,469

28.82%

Top 10 Overall

64,577

57,381

13,816

24.08%

470,492

414,171

380,595

70,421

18.50%

Top 10

393,083

303,627

255,636

49,276

19.28%

Overall

448,643

352,619

301,720

60,082

19.91%

Top 10

54,022

49,612

7,648

15.42%

Overall

56,480

51,984

6,295

12.11%

409,099

353,704

66,377

18.77%

448,643 Top 10

333,724

249,429

236,344

42,824

18.12%

Overall

381,563

293,404

275,433

53,149

19.30%

Top 10

46,827

46,145

9,344

20.25%

Overall

49,225

49,506

9,427

19.04%

342,629

324,939

62,576

19.26%

381,563 Top 10

303,077

235,787

224,812

39,809

17.71%

Overall

340,523

260,966

247,239

40,945

16.56%

44,982

43,801

7,820

17.85%

Top 10 Overall

47,077

46,372

10,178

21.95%

340,523

308,043

293,611

51,123

17.41%

Top 10

283,011

221,830

209,207

54,994

26.29%

Overall

313,145

241,290

226,250

55,223

24.41%

39,756

40,473

9,046

22.35%

39,688

42,183

11,481

27.22%

280,978

268,433

66,704

24.85%

TOTAL

INSURANCE REINSURANCE

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

293,416

TOTAL

INSURANCE

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

402,295

TOTAL

INSURANCE

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Top 10

TOTAL

INSURANCE

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Top 10 Overall

TOTAL

313,145

5 YEARS TOTAL (2005 TO 2009) INSURANCE REINSURANCE TOTAL

Top 10

1,686,739

1,279,069

1,186,510

228,200

19.23%

Overall

1,954,366

1,497,873

1,373,856

266,004

19.36%

242,000

230,348

47,779

20.74%

257,047 1,754,920

247,426 1,621,282

51,197 317,201

20.69% 19.56%

Top 10 Overall 1,954,366

Source: MSA Research Inc.

2 0 0 9

2 0 0 8

2 0 0 7

2 0 0 6

2 0 0 5

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparative Surety Results of Top Ten Insurers

2009 Market Share based on Direct WP (%)

INSURERS

1 Guarantee Company of North America

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

16.31%

76,756

55,945

52,010

3,638

6.99%

16.16%

76,010

74,608

78,307

15,571

19.88%

12.95%

60,933

44,865

43,755

9,772

22.33%

4 Aviva Canada Group (1)

9.98%

46,975

39,016

34,204

5,295

15.48%

5 Zurich Insurance Company

7.13%

33,558

12

11

-1,149

-10445%

6 Jevco Insurance Company (including Kinsgway General)

5.11%

24,055

20,325

17,797

5,468

30.72%

7 Chartis Insurance Company of Canada

4.88%

22,961

16,908

7,648

1,422

18.59%

8 Intact Financial Corporation

4.77%

22,461

17,062

17,050

313

1.84%

9 Trisura Guarantee Insurance Company

4.17%

19,608

12,690

11,338

2,398

21.15%

4.03%

18,978

11,985

11,074

1,525

13.77%

Top Ten Total

85.51%

402,295

293,416

273,194

44,253

16.20%

Insurance Market Total

100.00%

470,492

349,594

323,214

56,605

17.51%

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

2 Travelers Guarantee Company of Canada

(1)

3 AXA Canada Group

10 Western Surety Company

(1)

Direct Premiums Written ($000)

Figures indicated above include Home Warranty business.

2008 Market Share based on Direct WP (%)

INSURERS

1 Travelers Guarantee Company of Canada (1)

18.57%

83,308

88,193

80,948

19,646

24.27%

2 Guarantee Company of North America

15.58%

69,921

50,901

47,135

3,429

7.27%

3 Aviva Canada Group (1)

15.13%

67,873

58,049

30,131

4,155

13.79%

4 AXA Canada Group

13.30%

59,652

43,951

42,653

14,593

34.21%

5.24%

23,531

17,310

16,615

1,832

11.03%

6 Zurich Insurance Company

4.83%

21,651

7

8

-808

-10100.00%

7 Jevco Insurance Company (including Kingsway General)

4.81%

21,561

14,309

12,659

1,719

13.58%

8 Western Surety Company

4.06%

18,195

10,681

10,610

1,197

11.28%

9 Trisura Guarantee Insurance Company

3.41%

15,285

10,464

9,147

2,127

23.25%

2.70%

12,106

9,762

5,730

1,386

24.19%

Top Ten Total

87.62%

393,083

303,627

255,636

49,276

19.28%

Insurance Market Total

100.00%

448,643

352,619

301,720

60,082

19.91%

5 Intact Financial Corp

(formerly ING Canada)

10 Groupe La Capitale

(1)

Direct Premiums Written ($000)

Figures indicated above include Home Warranty business. Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparative Surety Results of Top Ten Insurers

2007 Market Share based on Direct WP (%)

INSURERS

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

1 Travelers Guarantee Company of Canada(1)

21.76%

83,017

83,446

77,395

21,182

27.37%

2 Guarantee Company of North America

16.00%

61,068

44,972

44,483

566

1.27%

3 AXA Canada Group

14.67%

55,982

40,663

40,524

12,556

30.98%

4 Aviva Canada Group

8.56%

32,643

26,791

25,579

1,963

7.67%

5 Zurich Insurance Company

6.26%

23,871

8

15

796

5306.67%

6 Intact Financial Corp

5.33%

20,336

15,670

15,463

260

1.68%

7 Western Surety Company

4.58%

17,475

10,298

10,210

-18

-0.18%

8 Jevco Insurance Company (including Kinsgway General)

4.47%

17,050

11,113

9,777

1,978

20.23%

2.94%

11,207

8,800

6,441

409

6.35%

2.90%

11,075

7,668

6,457

3,132

48.51%

Top Ten Total

87.46%

333,724

249,429

236,344

42,824

18.12%

Insurance Market Total

100.00%

381,563

293,404

275,433

53,149

19.30%

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

9 Northbridge Financial

(formerly ING Canada)

(1)

10 Trisura Guarantee Insurance Company

(1)

Direct Premiums Written ($000)

Figures indicated above include Home Warranty business.

2006 Market Share based on Direct WP (%)

INSURERS

1 Travelers Guarantee Company of Canada(1)

22.35%

76,090

80,615

76,979

27,160

35.28%

2 Guarantee Company of North America

18.28%

62,248

44,496

43,198

3,263

7.55%

3 AXA Canada Group

15.80%

53,796

39,954

38,805

4,095

10.55%

4 Aviva Canada Group

8.59%

29,242

24,583

23,764

482

2.03%

5.94%

20,228

15,629

15,200

1,999

13.15%

6 Western Surety Company

4.94%

16,806

10,096

9,094

231

2.54%

7 Zurich Insurance Company

4.75%

16,168

-244

-60

-110

183.33%

8 Jevco Insurance Company (including Kinsgway General)

3.61%

12,277

7,919

7,112

1,156

16.25%

9 Northbridge Financial (1)

2.49%

8,466

6,591

4,231

327

7.73%

2.28%

7,756

6,148

6,489

1,206

18.59%

Top Ten Total

89.00%

303,077

235,787

224,812

39,809

17.71%

Insurance Market Total

100.00%

340,523

260,966

247,239

40,945

16.56%

5 Intact Financial Corp

(formerly ING Canada)

10 Co-Operators & Sovereign

(1)

Direct Premiums Written ($000)

Figures indicated above include Home Warranty business. Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparative Surety Results of Top Ten Insurers

2005 Market Share based on Direct WP (%)

INSURERS

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

1 Travelers Guarantee Company of Canada(1)

25.13%

78,688

77,621

72,884

32,308

44.33%

2 Guarantee Company of North America

17.79%

55,713

42,692

40,976

-67

-0.16%

3 AXA Canada Group

15.06%

47,167

35,829

35,093

11,267

32.11%

4 Aviva Canada Group

8.71%

27,285

22,313

22,048

5,028

22.80%

6.13%

19,201

14,807

14,135

1,321

9.35%

6 Zurich Insurance Company

4.72%

14,791

255

67

740

1104.48%

7 Western Surety Company

4.60%

14,397

8,628

7,931

1,061

13.38%

8 Jevco Insurance Company (including Kinsgway General)

3.49%

10,924

7,096

6,613

1,420

21.47%

9 Co-Operators & Sovereign

2.75%

8,615

8,023

5,238

927

17.70%

1.99%

6,230

4,566

4,222

989

23.42%

Top Ten Total

90.38%

283,011

221,830

209,207

54,994

26.29%

Insurance Market Total

100.00%

313,145

241,290

226,250

55,223

24.41%

5 Intact Financial Corp

(formerly ING Canada)

10 Groupe La Capitale

(1)

Direct Premiums Written ($000)

Figures indicated above include Home Warranty business.

5 YEARS TOTAL (2005 TO 2009) Market Share based on Direct WP (%)

Direct Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

1 Travelers Guarantee Company of Canada(1)

20.32%

397,113

404,483

386,513

115,867

29.98%

2 Guarantee Company of North America

16.67%

325,706

239,006

227,802

10,829

4.75%

3 AXA Canada Group

14.20%

277,530

205,262

200,830

52,283

26.03%

10.44%

204,018

170,752

135,726

16,923

12.47%

5 Zurich Insurance Company

5.63%

110,039

38

41

-531

-1295%

6 Intact Financial Corp

5.41%

105,757

80,478

78,463

5,725

7.30%

7 Jevco Insurance Company (including Kingsway General)

4.39%

85,867

60,762

53,958

11,741

21.76%

8 Western Surety Company

4.39%

85,851

51,688

48,919

3,996

8.17%

9 Trisura Guarantee Insurance Company

2.56%

50,005

33,373

28,300

8,102

28.63%

2.30%

44,853

33,227

25,958

3,265

12.58%

Top Ten Total

86.31%

1,686,739

1,279,069

1,186,510

228,200

19.23%

Insurance Market Total

100.00%

1,954,366

1,497,873

1,373,856

266,004

19.36%

INSURERS

4 Aviva Canada Group

(1)

(formerly ING Canada)

10 Groupe La Capitale

(1)

Figures indicated above include Home Warranty business. Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparative Surety Results of Top Ten Reinsurers

2009 Market Share based on Net WP (%)

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

1 Hannover Ruckversicherung AG

19.22%

12,412

11,054

-374

-3.38%

2 Westport Insurance Corp. & Swiss Re

14.40%

9,298

7,048

-85

-1.21%

3 Transatlantic Reinsurance Company

14.25%

9,200

8,309

1,014

12.20%

4 Munich Re Canada / Munich Re America

9.82%

6,339

5,661

2,937

51.88%

5 Everest Reinsurance Company

8.92%

5,760

5,054

2,182

43.17%

6 Partner Reinsurance Europe Limited

7.80%

5,040

4,696

1,439

30.64%

7 St. Paul Fire and Marine Insurance Company

6.10%

3,939

3,939

488

12.39%

8 PARIS RE

5.95%

3,845

3,819

4,769

124.88%

9 SCOR Canada Reinsurance Company

4.61%

2,975

2,243

1,798

80.16%

2.83%

1,825

1,854

1,301

70.17%

Top Ten Total

93.89%

60,633

53,677

15,469

28.82%

Reinsurance Market Total

100.00%

64,577

57,381

13,816

24.08%

Market Share based on Net WP (%)

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

1 Hannover Rückversicherung AG

20.18%

11,396

10,855

3,503

32.27%

2 Transatlantic Reinsurance Company

16.51%

9,323

8,434

333

3.95%

3 Westport Insurance Corp. / Swiss Re

13.34%

7,533

6,676

1,404

21.03%

4 Munich Re Canada / Munich Re America

11.06%

6,246

4,892

-1,796

-36.71%

5 Partner Reinsurance Europe Limited

7.82%

4,418

3,983

340

8.54%

6 Everest Reinsurance Company

7.81%

4,410

4,122

1,386

33.62%

7 St. Paul Fire and Marine Insurance Company

6.30%

3,560

3,560

488

13.71%

8 PARIS RE

6.02%

3,401

3,314

1,299

39.20%

9 SCOR Canada Reinsurance Company

3.68%

2,078

1,953

493

25.24%

2.93%

1,657

1,823

198

10.86%

Top Ten Total

95.65%

54,022

49,612

7,648

15.42%

Reinsurance Market Total

100.00%

56,480

51,984

6,295

12.11%

REINSURERS

10 Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

2008 REINSURERS

10 Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparative Surety Results of Top Ten Reinsurers

2007 Market Share based on Net WP (%)

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

1 Hannover Rückversicherung AG

19.53%

9,612

9,245

2,641

28.57%

2 Swiss Re Group

15.04%

7,405

8,039

-715

-8.89%

3 Transatlantic Reinsurance Company

11.52%

5,670

5,192

2,330

44.88%

4 Munich Re Canada / Munich Re America

10.51%

5,174

6,021

562

9.33%

5 Partner Reinsurance Europe Limited

9.64%

4,747

3,888

1,689

43.44%

6 Everest Reinsurance Company

9.10%

4,480

4,200

1,189

28.31%

7 PARIS RE

5.80%

2,854

2,665

2,503

93.92%

8 St. Paul Fire and Marine Insurance Company

5.28%

2,600

2,600

-2,698

-103.77%

9 Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation

5.04%

2,481

2,653

1,558

58.73%

3.66%

1,804

1,642

285

17.36%

Top Ten Total

95.13%

46,827

46,145

9,344

20.25%

Reinsurance Market Total

100.00%

49,225

49,506

9,427

19.04%

Market Share based on Net WP (%)

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

1 Swiss Re Group

21.91%

10,313

10,422

1,160

11.13%

2 Hannover Rückversicherung AG

16.35%

7,699

7,510

1,292

17.20%

3 Munich Re Canada / Munich Re America

11.73%

5,522

5,300

500

9.43%

4 Everest Reinsurance Company

8.31%

3,914

3,750

-834

-22.24%

5 Partner Reinsurance Europe Limited

8.19%

3,854

3,857

119

3.09%

6 Transatlantic Reinsurance Company

7.55%

3,553

3,229

-44

-1.36%

7 Endurance Reinsurance Corporation of America

6.21%

2,925

2,873

569

19.81%

8 St. Paul Fire and Marine Insurance Company

5.31%

2,502

2,502

2,230

89.13%

9 PARIS RE

5.00%

2,354

1,961

295

15.04%

4.98%

2,346

2,397

2,533

105.67%

Top Ten Total

95.55%

44,982

43,801

7,820

17.85%

Reinsurance Market Total

100.00%

47,077

46,372

10,178

21.95%

REINSURERS

10 SCOR Canada Reinsurance Company

2006 REINSURERS

10 Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparative Surety Results of Top Ten Reinsurers

2005 Market Share based on Net WP (%)

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

1 Swiss Re & Employers Re

26.24%

10,414

10,824

-139

-1.28%

2 Hannover Rückversicherung AG

14.86%

5,898

6,027

-2,868

-47.59%

3 Munich Re Canada / Munich Re America

13.01%

5,164

5,625

6,805

120.98%

4 Partner Reinsurance Europe Limited

9.46%

3,754

3,928

523

13.31%

5 Everest Reinsurance Company

8.82%

3,502

3,339

268

8.03%

6 Transatlantic Reinsurance Company

8.24%

3,270

3,409

-11

-0.32%

7 St. Paul Fire and Marine Insurance Company

6.30%

2,500

2,500

2,453

98.12%

8 Endurance Reinsurance Corporation of America

6.15%

2,440

1,349

761

56.41%

9 Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation

4.24%

1,684

2,301

644

27.99%

2.85%

1,130

1,171

610

52.09%

Top Ten Total

100.17%

39,756

40,473

9,046

22.35%

Reinsurance Market Total

100.00%

39,688

42,183

11,481

27.22%

REINSURERS

10 PARIS RE

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

Note: XL Re America have declared -2.635 million which results in the top ten total being higher than the overall total.

5 YEARS TOTAL (2005 TO 2009) Market Share based on Net WP (%)

Net Premiums Written ($000)

Net Premiums Earned ($000)

Net Claims Incurred ($000)

Earned Claims Ratio (%)

1 Hannover Rückversicherung AG

18.29%

47,017

44,691

4,194

9.38%

2 Swiss Re Group

17.49%

44,963

43,009

1,625

3.78%

3 Transatlantic Reinsurance Company

12.07%

31,016

28,573

3,622

12.68%

4 Munich Re Canada / Munich Re America

11.07%

28,445

27,499

9,008

32.76%

5 Everest Reinsurance Company

8.58%

22,066

20,465

4,191

20.48%

6 Partner Reinsurance Europe Limited

8.49%

21,813

20,352

4,110

20.19%

7 St. Paul Fire and Marine Insurance Company

5.87%

15,101

15,101

2,961

19.61%

8 PARIS RE

5.28%

13,584

12,930

9,476

73.29%

9 Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation

3.89%

9,993

11,028

6,234

56.53%

REINSURERS

10 SCOR Canada Reinsurance Company 17 Top Ten Total

3.11%

8,002

6,700

2,358

35.19%

94.15%

242,000

230,348

47,779

20.74%

Reinsurance Market Total

100.00%

257,047

247,426

51,197

20.69%

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparison of Insurance vs Reinsurance Markets

Direct Premiums Written

Net Premiums Written Insurance

500

Reinsurance

in millions

400

2009

2005 300

16%

14% 200 100 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Net Loss Ratios - Overall Market Insurers

Reinsurers

84%

86%

2009

Net Loss Ratios - Top 5 vs Others Top 5 Insurers Other Insurers

Market

30%

Top 5 Reinsurers Other Reinsurers

60%

25%

40%

20% 20%

15% 10% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparison of Insurers Results

2009 Market Share (DWP)

2009 Direct Written Premium ($) GCNA

GCNA

Travelers

AXA Canada

Aviva Canada

Zurich

Others

Travelers 16%

AXA Canada 38%

Aviva Canada

16%

Zurich Others

7% 0

20

40

60

10%

13%

80 100 120 140 160 180 200 in millions

Net Loss Ratios 50% 40% 30%

GCNA

20%

Travelers Guarantee

10%

AXA Canada

0% -10%

Aviva Canada

-20%

Zurich (1)

-30% -40% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

(1) Zurich loss ratios are on a gross basis

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparison of Reinsurers Results

2009 Market Share (NWP)

2009 Net Written Premium ($)

Hannover Re Munich Re

Hannover Re Westport / Swiss

Westport / Swiss Everest Re

Transatlantic Re

Transatlantic Re Others

19% 34%

Munich Re Everest Re

14%

Others 9% 0

5

10

15

20

25

14%

10%

in millions

Net Loss Ratios 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60% 2005

Hannover Re Westport / Swiss Transatlantic Re Munich Re Everest Re

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

Comparison of Volume and Results by Region

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - CANADA

2009 Direct Results - Major Regions Province Ontario Quebec British Columbia Alberta Manitoba / Saskatchewan Atlantic Provinces Others, incl. out of Canada CANADA

Written Premium 181,149 101,767 72,421 57,346 26,892 26,989 4,088 470,652

2009 DWP Share - Major Regions

Earned Premium 147,898 97,479 64,752 58,576 25,607 21,615 8,796 424,723

Incurred Losses 11,515 14,411 13,555 16,280 (418) (929) 460 54,874

Loss Ratio 8% 15% 21% 28% -2% -4% 5% 13%

6%

6% 1%

12%

38%

15% 22% Ontario British Columbia Manitoba / Saskatchewan Others, incl. out of Canada

Quebec Alberta Atlantic Provinces

10-Year Growth 400%

Ontario

Growth over 2000 2000 = 100%

350%

Quebec 300%

British Columbia

250%

Alberta Manitoba / Saskatchewan

200%

Atlantic Provinces Canada

150% 100% 50% 2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - CANADA Top 5 Writers

16% 38%

7%

13%

10%

GCNA AXA Canada Zurich

5-Year DWP & Results - Travelers Market Share 16% 100%

90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

80% 60%

in millions

16%

5-Year DWP & Results - GCNA Market Share 16%

Travelers Guarantee Aviva Canada Others

40% 20% 0% -20% -40% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

100%

90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

80% 60%

in millions

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

2009

40% 20% 0% -20% -40% 2005

Direct Loss Ratio

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

5-Year DWP & Results - AXA Canada

5-Year DWP & Results - Aviva Canada

5-Year DWP & Results - Zurich

Market Share 13%

Market Share 10%

Market Share 7%

in millions

80

60%

60

40%

40

20% 0%

20 0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

100

100% 60%

60

40%

40

20%

-20%

20

-40%

0

0% -20% -40% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

80%

80

80%

80

100%

100

in millions

80%

in millions

100%

100

Note: increased premiums in 2008 are due in part to one-time portfolio transfer for Home Warranty business. (source Aviva Canada)

60%

60

40%

40

20% 0%

20

-20%

0

-40% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - ONTARIO

5-Year Progression of Direct Results

10-Year Growth 100%

200

300%

175 in millions

150 125

60%

100 40%

75 50

20%

25 0%

0 2005

2006

2007 DWP

2008

200% 150% 100% 50%

Direct Loss ratio

Region

Canada

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

Written Premium 35,471

Earned Premium 32,986

Incurred Losses 5,845

Loss Ratio 18%

GCNA

26,110

24,599

(716)

-3%

Aviva Insurance

22,314

20,342

1,854

9%

Chartis Insurance

18,784

2,754

1,206

44%

Zurich Insurance

18,418

16,124

(963)

-6%

Others

60,052

51,093

4,289

8%

MARKET

181,149

147,898

11,515

8%

Travelers Guarantee

250%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

2009

2009 Direct Results - Top 5 Writers Company

Growth over 2000 2000 = 100%

80%

20%

34%

14% 10%

10%

Travelers Guarantee Aviva Insurance Zurich Insurance

12% GCNA Chartis Insurance Others

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - ONTARIO Top 5 Writers

5-Year DWP & Results - Travelers

5-Year DWP & Results - GCNA

Market Share 24%

Market Share 18%

20% in millions

34%

14% 10%

12%

10%

Travelers Guarantee

GCNA

Aviva Insurance

Chartis Insurance

Zurich Insurance

Others

100%

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

75% 50% 25% 0% -25%

in millions

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

-50% -75% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

100%

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

2009

75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% 2005

Direct Loss Ratio

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

5-Year DWP & Results - Chartis

5-Year DWP & Results - Zurich

Market Share 15%

Market Share 13%

Market Share 13%

75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

100%

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

in millions

100%

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

in millions

in millions

5-Year DWP & Results - Aviva Insurance

100%

40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

75% 50% 25% 0% -25% -50% -75% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - QUEBEC

10-Year Growth

120

100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

in millions

100 80 60 40 20 0 2005

2006

2007 DWP

2008

200% 150% 100% 50% 2001

2002

Direct Loss ratio

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Canada

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

Earned Premium 25,835

Incurred Losses 3,659

Loss Ratio 14%

Jevco

15,923

15,420

5,444

35%

GCNA

14,588

14,201

235

2%

Intact

12,096

11,827

598

5%

Travelers Guarantee

10,767

10,476

1,291

12%

Others

22,527

19,720

3,188

16%

MARKET

101,767

14,415

15%

97,479

2003

Region

Written Premium 25,866

AXA Assurances

250%

2000

2009

2009 Direct Results - Top 5 Writers Company

300% Growth over 2000 2000 = 100%

5-Year Progression of Direct Results

22%

25%

11% 12% AXA Assurances GCNA Travelers Guarantee

16% 14% Jevco Intact Others

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - QUEBEC Top 5 Writers

22%

5-Year DWP & Results - AXA Assurances

5-Year DWP & Results - Jevco

Market Share 25%

Market Share 16%

in millions

25%

11% 16%

12%

14%

30

100%

30

100%

25

75%

25

75%

20

50%

15 25%

10 5

AXA Assurances GCNA Travelers Guarantee

0

Jevco Intact Others

2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

in millions

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

20

50%

15 25%

10

0%

5

-25%

0

2009

0% -25% 2005

Direct Loss Ratio

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

5-Year DWP & Results - Intact

5-Year DWP & Results - Travelers

Market Share 14%

Market Share 12%

Market Share 12%

100%

30

100%

30

100%

25

75%

25

75%

25

75%

20

50%

15 25%

10 5 0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

20

50%

15 25%

10

0%

5

-25%

0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

in millions

30

in millions

in millions

5-Year DWP & Results - GCNA

20

50%

15 25%

10

0%

5

-25%

0

0% -25% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - BRITISH COLUMBIA

10-Year Growth 100%

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

300% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2005

2006

2007 DWP

2008

100% 50% 2001

2002

Loss Ratio 14%

Travelers Guarantee

12,719

18,754

9,330

50%

Aviva Insurance

10,889

10,416

2,389

23%

Zurich Insurance

9,953

1,943

(11)

-1%

GCNA

7,448

6,259

(1)

0%

Others

15,150

13,398

(127)

-1%

13,555

21%

64,752

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Canada

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers Incurred Losses 1,975

72,421

150%

Region

Earned Premium 13,982

MARKET

200%

Direct Loss ratio

Written Premium 16,262

AXA Pacific

250%

2000

2009

2009 Direct Results - Top 5 Writers Company

Growth over 2000 2000 = 100%

in millions

5-Year Progression of Direct Results

21%

22%

10% 14% AXA Pacific Aviva Insurance GCNA

18% 15% Travelers Guarantee Zurich Insurance Others

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - BRITISH COLUMBIA Top 5 Writers

5-Year DWP & Results - Axa Pacific

5-Year DWP & Results - Travelers

Market Share 22%

Market Share 18%

10%

in millions

22%

21%

18% 14%

15%

30

100%

30

100%

25

75%

25

75%

20

50%

15 25%

10 5

AXA Pacific Aviva Insurance GCNA

0

Travelers Guarantee Zurich Insurance Others

2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

in millions

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

20

50%

15 25%

10

0%

5

-25%

0

2009

0% -25% 2005

Direct Loss Ratio

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

5-Year DWP & Results - Aviva Insurance

5-Year DWP & Results - Zurich

5-Year DWP & Results - GCNA

Market Share 15%

Market Share 14%

Market Share 10%

100%

25

75%

20

50%

15

25%

10 5 0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

30

100%

30

100%

25

75%

25

75%

20

50%

15 25%

10

0%

5

-25%

0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

in millions

30

in millions

in millions

Note: increased premiums in 2008 are due in part to one-time portfolio transfer for Home Warranty business. (source Aviva Canada)

20

50%

15 25%

10

0%

5

-25%

0

0% -25% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - ALBERTA

5-Year Progression of Direct Results

10-Year Growth 100%

80

400%

70 in millions

60 50

60%

40 40%

30 20

20%

10 0%

0 2005

2006

2007 DWP

2008

Loss Ratio 32%

AXA Pacific

9,732

10,163

7,756

76%

Travelers Guarantee

8,257

9,648

(562)

-6%

Aviva Insurance

4,932

5,600

1,722

31%

Western Surety

4,756

4,646

942

20%

13,354

13,193

1,475

11%

16,280

28%

57,346

200% 150% 100% 50% 2001

2002

58,576

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Canada

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers Incurred Losses 4,947

MARKET

250%

Region

Earned Premium 15,326

Others

300%

Direct Loss ratio

Written Premium 16,315

GCNA

350%

2000

2009

2009 Direct Results - Top 5 Writers Company

Growth over 2000 2000 = 100%

80%

23%

29%

8% 9%

14%

GCNA Travelers Guarantee Western Surety

17% AXA Pacific Aviva Insurance Others

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - ALBERTA Top 5 Writers

5-Year DWP & Results - GCNA

5-Year DWP & Results - AXA Pacific

Market Share 29%

Market Share 17% 100%

20 23%

in millions

29%

8% 9%

17%

14%

GCNA Travelers Guarantee Western Surety

80%

15

60% 40%

10

20%

5

0% -20%

0

AXA Pacific Aviva Insurance Others

2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

100%

20

in millions

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

80%

15

60% 40%

10

20%

5

0% -20%

0

2009

2005

Direct Loss Ratio

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

5-Year DWP & Results - Travelers

5-Year DWP & Results - Aviva Insurance

5-Year DWP & Results - Western Surety

Market Share 14%

Market Share 9%

Market Share 8%

60% 40%

10

20%

5

0% -20%

0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

in millions

in millions

80%

15

80%

15

60% 40%

10

20%

5

0% -20%

0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

100%

20

100%

20

in millions

100%

20

Note: increased premiums in 2008 are due in part to one-time portfolio transfer for Home Warranty business. (source Aviva Canada)

80%

15

60% 40%

10

20%

5

0% -20%

0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - MANITOBA & SASKATCHEWAN

10-Year Growth

30

100%

25

80%

20

60%

15

40%

10

20%

5

0%

0

-20% 2005

2006

2007 DWP

2008

200% 150% 100% 50% 2001

2002

2003

Direct Loss ratio

2004

Region

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Canada

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

Written Premium 5,680

Earned Premium 5,328

Incurred Losses (74)

Loss Ratio -1%

GCNA

4,659

4,022

616

15%

Travelers Guarantee

4,325

3,978

564

14%

Western Surety

250%

2000

2009

2009 Direct Results - Top 5 Writers Company

300% Growth over 2000 2000 = 100%

in millions

5-Year Progression of Direct Results

AXA Pacific

4,304

4,462

(1,615)

-36%

SGI CANADA

3,114

3,027

(64)

-2%

Others

4,810

4,790

155

3%

MARKET

26,892

25,607

(418)

-2%

18%

21%

12% 17% 16% Western Surety Travelers Guarantee SGI CANADA

16% GCNA AXA Pacific Others

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - MANITOBA & SASKATCHEWAN Top 5 Writers

5-Year DWP & Results - Western Surety

5-Year DWP & Results - GCNA

Market Share 21%

Market Share 17% 100%

10 18%

21% in millions

17% 16%

80%

8

12%

16%

60%

6

40%

4

20% 0%

2 Western Surety Travelers Guarantee SGI CANADA

2006 DWP

2007

2008

60%

6

40%

4

20% 0%

2

-20%

0

-40% 2005

80%

8

-20%

0

GCNA AXA Pacific Others

100%

10

in millions

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

2009

-40% 2005

Direct Loss Ratio

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

5-Year DWP & Results - Travelers

5-Year DWP & Results - AXA Pacific

5-Year DWP & Results - SGI Canada

Market Share 16%

Market Share 16%

Market Share 12%

60%

6

40%

4

20% 0%

2

-20%

0

-40% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

60%

6

40%

4

20% 0%

2

-20%

0

-40% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

100%

10

80%

8 in millions

in millions

8

100%

10

80%

80%

8 in millions

100%

10

60%

6

40%

4

20% 0%

2

-20%

0

-40% 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - ATLANTIC PROVINCES

5-Year Progression of Direct Results

10-Year Growth

30

25% 300%

20 15

0%

10 5 0

-25% 2005

2006

2007 DWP

2008

200% 150% 100% 50% 2001

2002

Direct Loss ratio

2003

2004

Region

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Canada

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

Written Premium 6,867

Earned Premium 5,774

Incurred Losses 167

Loss Ratio 3%

Aviva Insurance

4,871

3,922

(1,324)

-34%

Travelers Guarantee

3,653

3,070

715

23%

Western Surety

3,218

2,595

586

23%

Intact Insurance

2,596

2,628

(1,241)

-47%

Others

5,784

3,626

168

5%

MARKET

26,989

21,615

(929)

-4%

GCNA

250%

2000

2009

2009 Direct Results - Top 5 Writers Company

Growth over 2000 2000 = 100%

in millions

25

21%

25%

10% 12%

18% 14%

GCNA Travelers Guarantee Intact Insurance

Aviva Insurance Western Surety Others

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Comparisons of Volume and Results by Region - ATLANTIC PROVINCES Top 5 Writers

21%

5-Year DWP & Results - GCNA

5-Year DWP & Results - Aviva Insurance

Market Share 25%

Market Share 18%

in millions

25%

10% 18%

12%

14%

10

100%

10

8

80%

8

60%

6

40% 4

20%

2 GCNA Travelers Guarantee Intact Insurance

0

Aviva Insurance Western Surety Others

2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

in millions

2009 DWP Share - Top 5 Writers

100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60%

6 4

0%

2

-20%

0

2009

2005

Direct Loss Ratio

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

5-Year DWP & Results - Travelers

5-Year DWP & Results - Western Surety

5-Year DWP & Results - Intact

Market Share 14%

Market Share 12%

Market Share 10%

in millions

8 6 4 2 0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

10

100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60%

8 6 4 2 0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

Direct Loss Ratio

2009

10

100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60%

8 in millions

100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% -60%

in millions

10

6 4 2 0 2005

2006 DWP

2007

2008

2009

Direct Loss Ratio

Source: MSA Research Inc.

Individual Results – Top 15 Insurers

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Guarantee Company of North America

in thousands

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0

GCNA

Others

2005 27.2%

2005

2006

2007

2008

GCNA

2009 17.8%

16.3%

37.5%

46.2%

55.0%

2009

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Top 5 less GCNA

Net Loss Ratio GCNA

Insurance Market

160% 150% 140% 130% 120% 110% 100% 90%

Insurance Market

30% 20% 10%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Travelers Guarantee Company of Canada

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

100,000

Travelers Guarantee

Top 5 less Travelers Guarantee

Others

in thousands

80,000

2005

60,000

2009

27.2%

40,000

16.2%

37.5%

25.1%

20,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

47.7%

2009

46.4%

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Travelers Guarantee

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

160% 150% 140% 130% 120% 110% 100% 90%

Travelers Guarantee

Insurance Market

50%

25%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS AXA Canada Group

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

70,000

AXA

Top 5 less AXA

Others

in thousands

60,000 50,000

2005

2009

40,000 27.2%

30,000

15.1%

13.0%

37.5%

20,000 10,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

AXA

49.6%

57.8%

2009

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

AXA

160% 150%

Insurance Market

40% 30%

140% 130% 120% 110%

20% 10%

100% 90% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Aviva Canada Group

in thousands

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0

Aviva

Others

2005

2006

2007

2008

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

Aviva

270%

30%

240%

25%

210%

20%

180%

15%

150%

10%

120%

5%

90% 2006

2007

2008

52.6%

64.1%

Direct Written Premium Growth

2005

10.0%

37.5%

2009

Note: increased premiums in 2008 are due in part to one-time portfolio transfer for Home Warranty business. (source Aviva Canada)

Aviva

2009 8.7%

27.2%

2005

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Top 5 less Aviva

2009

0% 2005

2006

Insurance Market

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Zurich Insurance Company

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

40,000

Zurich

in thousands

35,000

Top 5 less Zurich

Top 5

Others

30,000

2005

25,000 20,000

2009 4.7%

22.4%

7.1%

37.5%

15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Zurich

55.4%

72.8%

Gross Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

Zurich

240%

30%

210%

20%

180%

10%

150%

0%

Insurance Market

-10%

120%

-20%

90% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-30% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Jevco Insurance Company (including Kingsway General)

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

30,000

Jevco

Top 5

Others

in thousands

25,000 20,000

2005

15,000

23.7%

2009 3.5%

5.1%

32.4%

10,000 5,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Jevco

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

Jevco

240% 215% 190% 165% 140% 115% 90% 2005

2006

2007

2008

62.5%

72.8%

2009

2009

35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2005

2006

Insurance Market

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Chartis Insurance Company of Canada (including former AIG Group companies American Home and Commerce& Industry)

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

25,000

Chartis

Top 5

Others

in thousands

20,000

2005

15,000 26.3%

10,000

2009 0.9%

4.9%

32.6%

5,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Chartis

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

Chartis

975% 825% 675% 525% 375% 225% 75% 2005

2006

2007

2008

62.5%

72.8%

2009

2009

30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 2005

2006

Insurance Market

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Intact Financial Corporation (formerly ING Canada)

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

25,000

Intact

Top 5 less Intact

Top 5

Others

in thousands

20,000

2005

15,000

6.1%

27.2%

10,000

2009 4.8%

32.7%

5,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Net Loss Ratio

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Intact

62.5%

66.7%

2009

Intact

Insurance Market

Insurance Market

30%

160% 150% 140% 130% 120% 110% 100% 90%

25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Trisura Guarantee Insurance Company

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

22,500

Trisura

in thousands

20,000 17,500 15,000 12,500

Top 5

Others

2006 25.6%

10,000 7,500

2009 3.4%

4.2%

33.3%

5,000 2,500 0 2006

2007

2008

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2006 2006 = 100%

Trisura

Net Loss Ratio Trisura

Insurance Market

525% 450% 375% 300% 225% 150% 75% 2006

2007

2008

62.5%

71.0%

2009

2009

Insurance Market

60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% 2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Western Surety Company

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

in thousands

22,500

Western Surety

20,000 17,500 15,000 12,500 10,000 7,500 5,000 2,500 0

Others

2005

2006

2007

2008

4.0%

33.4%

62.5%

72.8%

2009

Direct Written Premium Growth Western Surety

2009 4.6%

22.6%

2005

Net Loss Ratio Western Surety

Insurance Market

Insurance Market

30%

160% Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Top 5

140%

20%

120% 10%

100% 80% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Groupe La Capitale

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

14,000

Groupe La Capitale

Top 5

Others

in thousands

12,000 10,000

2005

8,000 25.2%

6,000

2009 2.0%

2.4%

35.0%

4,000 2,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Direct Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Groupe La Capitale

62.5%

72.8%

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

Groupe La Capitale

Insurance Market

30%

225% 200% 175% 150% 125% 100% 75%

25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Chubb Canada Group

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

12,000

Chubb

Top 5

Others

in thousands

10,000 8,000

2005

6,000

25.3%

2009 1.9%

2.0%

35.4%

4,000 2,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Direct Written Premium Growth Chubb

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

Chubb

Insurance Market

30%

180% Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

62.5%

72.8%

160% 20%

140% 120%

10%

100% 80% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Industrial Alliance Pacific General Insurance Corp.

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

10,000

IAP

Top 5

Others

in thousands

8,000

2007

6,000 32.1%

4,000

2009 0.6%

1.8%

35.7%

2,000 0 2007

2008

2009

Direct Written Premium Growth IAP

Growth over 2007 2007 = 100%

62.5%

67.3%

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

IAP

Insurance Market

100%

400% 350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50%

80% 60% 40% 20% 2007

2008

2009

0% 2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Co-Operators General & Sovereign

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

10,000

Co-Op Group

Top 5

Others

in thousands

8,000

2005

6,000 24.4%

4,000

2009 2.8%

1.7%

35.7%

2,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Direct Written Premium Growth Co-Op Group

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

Co-Op Group

175% Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

62.5%

72.8%

60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2005

150% 125% 100% 75% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2006

2007

Insurance Market

2008

2009

Note: due to an incorrect internal allocation by LOB of IBNR, ULAE and discounting, 2009 loss ratio is overstated by approximately 1 million. (source: Sovereign General).

Source: MSA Research Inc.

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Northbridge Financial Group

Direct Written Premium

Market Share (based on DWP)

12,000

Northbridge

Top 5

Others

in thousands

10,000 8,000

2005

6,000

25.4%

2009 1.7%

1.7%

35.8%

4,000 2,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Direct Written Premium Growth Northbridge

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

62.5%

72.8%

Net Loss Ratio

Insurance Market

Northbridge

225%

30%

200%

20%

175%

10%

150%

0%

125%

-10%

100%

Insurance Market

-20%

75% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-30% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Source: MSA Research Inc.

Individual Results – Top 10 Reinsurers

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Hannover Rückversicherung-AG

Net Written Premium

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

14,000

Hannover Re

in thousands

12,000 10,000

Top 5 less Hannover Re

2009

2005

8,000 27.6%

6,000

Others

14.9%

33.4%

19.2%

4,000 2,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

47.4%

57.5%

2009

Net Written Premium Growth Hannover Re

Net Loss Ratio

Reinsurance Market

Hannover Re 50%

250% Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Reinsurance Market

25%

200%

0% 150%

-25%

100%

-50%

50% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-75% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Westport Insurance Corporation / Swiss Reinsurance Company

Net Written Premium

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

12,500

Westport

Top 5 less Westport

Others

in thousands

10,000

2009

2005

7,500 27.6%

5,000

14.4%

33.4%

26.2%

2,500 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

52.2%

46.2%

2009

Net Written Premium Growth Westport

Net Loss Ratio

Reinsurance Market

Westport

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

175%

Reinsurance Market

50%

150% 125%

25%

100% 75%

0%

50% 25% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-25% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Transatlantic Reinsurance Company

Net Written Premium

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

10,000

Transatlantic Re

Top 5 less Transatlantic Re

Top 5

Others

in thousands

8,000

2009

2005

6,000

8.2%

19.4%

4,000

14.2%

33.4%

2,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Net Written Premium Growth Transatlantic Re

Net Loss Ratio Transatlantic Re

Reinsurance Market

Reinsurance Market

50%

300% Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

52.4%

72.4%

2009

250% 25%

200% 150%

0%

100% 50% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-25% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Munich Re Canada / Munich Re America

Net Written Premium

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

7,000

Munich Re

Top 5 less Munich Re

Others

in thousands

6,000 5,000

2009

2005

4,000

13.0%

27.6%

3,000

9.8%

33.4%

2,000 1,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

56.8%

59.4%

2009

Net Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Munich Re

Net Loss Ratio Munich Re

Reinsurance Market

170%

150%

150%

100%

130%

Reinsurance Market

50%

110%

0%

90% 70% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-50% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Everest Reinsurance Company

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

Net Written Premium 7,000

Everest Re

Top 5 less Everest Re

Others

in thousands

6,000 5,000

2009

2005

4,000

8.8%

27.6%

3,000

8.9%

33.4%

2,000 1,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Net Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Everest Re

57.7%

63.6%

2009

Net Loss Ratio

Reinsurance Market

Everest Re

170%

60%

150%

45%

Reinsurance Market

30%

130%

15%

110%

0%

90%

-15%

70% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-30% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Partner Reinsurance Europe Limited

Net Written Premium

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

6,000

PartnerRe

Top 5 less PartnerRe

Top 5

Others

in thousands

5,000 4,000

2009

2005

3,000

9.5%

27.6%

7.8%

25.6%

2,000 1,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Net Loss Ratio

Net Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

PartnerRe

PartnerRe

Reinsurance Market

180%

50%

160%

40%

140%

30%

120%

20%

100%

10%

80% 2005

2006

2007

2008

66.6%

62.9%

2009

2009

0% 2005

2006

Reinsurance Market

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS St-Paul Fire & Marine Insurance Company

Net Written Premium

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

5,000

St-Paul

Top 5

Others

in thousands

4,000

2009

2005

3,000

6.3%

21.3%

2,000

6.1%

27.3%

1,000 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

72.4%

2009

66.6%

Net Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

St-Paul

Net Loss Ratio

Reinsurance Market

St-Paul

180%

150%

160%

100%

Reinsurance Market

50%

140%

0%

120%

-50%

100%

-100%

80% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-150% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS PARIS RE

in thousands

Net Written Premium

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0

PARIS Re

Others

2009

2005 24.8%

2005

2006

2007

2008

2.8%

PARIS Re

2006

PARIS Re

Reinsurance Market

2007

2008

66.6%

Net Loss Ratio

400% 350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 2005

6.0%

27.4%

72.4%

2009

Net Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Top 5

2009

140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2005

2006

Reinsurance Market

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS SCOR Canada Reinsurance Company

Net Written Premium

Market Share (based on reinsurance NWP)

3,500

SCOR Canada

Top 5

Others

in thousands

3,000 2,500

2009

2005

2,000 25.4%

1,500

2.2%

4.6%

28.8%

1,000 500 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Net Loss Ratio

Net Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

SCOR Canada

66.6%

72.4%

2009

Reinsurance Market

SCOR Canada

400%

100%

325%

0%

250%

Reinsurance Market

-100%

175%

-200%

100% 25% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-300% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE

CANADIAN SURETY MARKET ANALYSIS Odyssey America Reinsurance Corporation

Net Written Premium

Net Written Premium Market Share

3,000

Odyssey

Top 5

Others

in thousands

2,500 2,000

2009

2005

1,500

23.4%

4.2%

2.8%

30.6%

1,000 500 0 2005

2006

2007

2008

Net Loss Ratio

Net Written Premium Growth

Growth over 2005 2005 = 100%

Odyssey

66.6%

72.4%

2009

Odyssey

Reinsurance Market

Reinsurance Market

120%

170% 150% 130% 110% 90% 70% 50%

100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

0% 2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

SOURCE: CANADIAN INSURANCE STATISTICAL ISSUE