Cognition AWS
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
Kevin Bloch, CTO
MARKETS
POLITICAL
@KevinBloch
Securely connecting nearly everything that can be digitally connected
RETAIL
TECHNOLOGY
Top 6: US$6.1T 334%-2,161% ‘09-’18
TECHNOLOGY
TEC FINANCIAL HN OL OG Y
VEHICLE
Top 10 Trends 2018
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
PCs
Data Centres
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Servers
Handsets Switches A NEW WORLD ORDER
MEDIA
Road, Rail
Cloud
WiFi
SmartPhones
IT
SDWan
Water, Electricity, Gas
OT
Mines
Mobile Bridges
#1 Augmented Intelligence
Jobs
“Automation”
Risk
“Cyber” “Algorithmic accountability” “Mobiles”
Trust Attention / Cognition
Extending human intelligence pervasively, at machine-scale
Mobility / BYOD
“Fixed” Computing
Internet of Things
500B
50B 10B 200M
1995
2000
2013
2020
2030
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
1
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
#1 Augmented Intelligence
3/13/18
Extending human intelligence pervasively, at machine-scale
#1 Augmented Intelligence
Extending human intelligence pervasively, at machine-scale
AlphaGo à AlphaZero
Power Law
Time to Completion (s)
100
Tc
1/n2
4h
50
! o u rs
1. Deep Neural Networks 2. General Reinforcement Algorithm Stockfish 8: 70,000,000 positions per sec AlphaZero: 80,000 positions per sec 100 games à 28 wins, 72 draws
Tensor Processor Board
5
10
Number of Trials (n)
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#2 Intuitive Systems
Sensing, Thinking, Acting
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
THE NETWORK. INTUITIVE Powered by intent, informed by context.
I N T E N T
CONTEXT
S E C U R I T Y
Measurement / Context
Action / Intent
L E A R N I N G
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
Natural Disasters
Extreme Weather
Cyber Attack
Global stability Top 3 risks
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
Most Damaging Hacks 2017
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
No Silver Bullet
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
2
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
1. Vulnerability dwell time 2. Time to Detect Global
3. Time to React 4. Time to Remediate
Action / Intent
Network
Endpoint
S
E
R
V
I
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
C
E
Measurement / Context
Local
THREAT INTELLIGENCE —
Cloud
Data Breach
S
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
Systematically combining IoT, AI, Network, Fog and Cyber for true digital transformation
#4 IoT
Cyber insurance
75% Failing
IoT “Phase 2”
Power
Complex
Data, Secure
Distance
Solution A
Solution B
Water/Soil
Machines
Solution C
Energy
Solution D Your Farm
Weather
Solution E
Livestock
Solution F
Solution G
Crop
Other
DATA
App
App
App
App
APPS App
IoT “Phase 1”
FARM DECISION PLATFORM
Water/Soil
Machines
Energy
Weather
Livestock
Crop
Other
3
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
Systematically combining IoT, AI, Network, Fog and Cyber for true digital transformation
#4 IoT
#5 Crypto, Blockchain
Cash is (almost) dead, long live digital, mobile and crypto
World-First Traffic Congestion Management using LiDAR, IoT
Cash is (almost) dead Intent
Context
Digital & Mobile: $5 Trillion (2016)
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#5 Crypto, Blockchain
Cash is (almost) dead, long live digital, mobile and crypto
#5 Crypto, Blockchain
Cash is (almost) dead, long live digital, mobile and crypto
US$830 Billion Barter
Hard currency
Paper currency
Credit Cards
Internet, Mobile
Interaction -less
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
19-2-18
“Clearly, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies represent the mother of all bubbles”
Nouriel Roubini Professor of Economics at the Stern School of Business, New © 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch York University
Cisco Confidential
“Bitcoin is noxious poison”
Charlie Munger Vice-Chairman, Berkshire Hathaway
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
4
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
1994
TRUST
Blockchain good Bitcoin bad
ZBytes Idle © 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#6 Workspace Human Interface
Cryptocurrency incentivised file storage network
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Meet digitally-by-default, in-person by exception
CONSUMER
1. No double spend 2. No intermediary
Human Interaction
#6 Workspace
Meet digitally-by-default, in-person by exception
Organisational Collaboration SILOS
TURBULENCE, CONFUSION
Digital-by-Default
WORKSPACE
VOICE, DIGITAL DEFAULT
CONVERGENCE © 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
INTUITIVE
Voice User I/f
DIGITAL (Default)
VOICE
We are here!
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
2001
2015
2018
2020
5
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
Spotlight on DevOps, microservices, orchestration and pay-per-second compute
#7 Cloud
#8 Mobile
Cloud Services Growth = 3x Cloud/DC hw, sw Multi-Cloud 27%
Cloud-Native
FOG or Edge
73%
42%
58%
Demand for speed & richer user-experience
Gold Coast 2018
PyeongChang 2018
Tokyo 2020
Monolithic
Private
Microservices
#8 Mobile
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Demand for speed & richer user-experience
#8 Mobile
Demand for speed & richer user-experience
When you change the way you see the world, you can change the world you see
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#9 Autonomous Vehicles
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Accelerating journey to Autonomous, Connected, Electric, Shared (ACES)
#10 M&A, Innovation
Cash repatriation windfall, “Double-A” (Amazon/Alibaba) paranoia
Autonomy
Connectivity
$2.5 Trillion
Electric Shared © 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
6
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
Cash repatriation windfall, “Double-A” (Amazon/Alibaba) paranoia
#10 M&A, Innovation
http://bit.ly/2odtH2S Augmented Intelligence
MACHINERY
01 10
Context BUY
Intent SELL
Innovation, M&A
Crypto, Blockchain
05
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Thank-you!
Intuitive Systems
02 Autonomous Vehicles
09
Cyber security
03 Mobile
IoT
04 Cloud
Workspace
06
07
08
Kevin Bloch, CTO @KevinBloch
http://bit.ly/2odtH2S
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
7
3/13/18
Kevin Bloch, CTO
MARKETS
POLITICAL
@KevinBloch
Securely connecting nearly everything that can be digitally connected
RETAIL
TECHNOLOGY
Top 6: US$6.1T 334%-2,161% ‘09-’18
TECHNOLOGY
TEC FINANCIAL HN OL OG Y
VEHICLE
Top 10 Trends 2018
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
PCs
Data Centres
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Servers
Handsets Switches A NEW WORLD ORDER
MEDIA
Road, Rail
Cloud
WiFi
SmartPhones
IT
SDWan
Water, Electricity, Gas
OT
Mines
Mobile Bridges
#1 Augmented Intelligence
Jobs
“Automation”
Risk
“Cyber” “Algorithmic accountability” “Mobiles”
Trust Attention / Cognition
Extending human intelligence pervasively, at machine-scale
Mobility / BYOD
“Fixed” Computing
Internet of Things
500B
50B 10B 200M
1995
2000
2013
2020
2030
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
1
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
#1 Augmented Intelligence
3/13/18
Extending human intelligence pervasively, at machine-scale
#1 Augmented Intelligence
Extending human intelligence pervasively, at machine-scale
AlphaGo à AlphaZero
Power Law
Time to Completion (s)
100
Tc
1/n2
4h
50
! o u rs
1. Deep Neural Networks 2. General Reinforcement Algorithm Stockfish 8: 70,000,000 positions per sec AlphaZero: 80,000 positions per sec 100 games à 28 wins, 72 draws
Tensor Processor Board
5
10
Number of Trials (n)
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#2 Intuitive Systems
Sensing, Thinking, Acting
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
THE NETWORK. INTUITIVE Powered by intent, informed by context.
I N T E N T
CONTEXT
S E C U R I T Y
Measurement / Context
Action / Intent
L E A R N I N G
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
Natural Disasters
Extreme Weather
Cyber Attack
Global stability Top 3 risks
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
Most Damaging Hacks 2017
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
No Silver Bullet
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
2
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
1. Vulnerability dwell time 2. Time to Detect Global
3. Time to React 4. Time to Remediate
Action / Intent
Network
Endpoint
S
E
R
V
I
#3 Cyber & Trusted Systems
C
E
Measurement / Context
Local
THREAT INTELLIGENCE —
Cloud
Data Breach
S
From Denial of Service to Destruction of Service
Systematically combining IoT, AI, Network, Fog and Cyber for true digital transformation
#4 IoT
Cyber insurance
75% Failing
IoT “Phase 2”
Power
Complex
Data, Secure
Distance
Solution A
Solution B
Water/Soil
Machines
Solution C
Energy
Solution D Your Farm
Weather
Solution E
Livestock
Solution F
Solution G
Crop
Other
DATA
App
App
App
App
APPS App
IoT “Phase 1”
FARM DECISION PLATFORM
Water/Soil
Machines
Energy
Weather
Livestock
Crop
Other
3
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
Systematically combining IoT, AI, Network, Fog and Cyber for true digital transformation
#4 IoT
#5 Crypto, Blockchain
Cash is (almost) dead, long live digital, mobile and crypto
World-First Traffic Congestion Management using LiDAR, IoT
Cash is (almost) dead Intent
Context
Digital & Mobile: $5 Trillion (2016)
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#5 Crypto, Blockchain
Cash is (almost) dead, long live digital, mobile and crypto
#5 Crypto, Blockchain
Cash is (almost) dead, long live digital, mobile and crypto
US$830 Billion Barter
Hard currency
Paper currency
Credit Cards
Internet, Mobile
Interaction -less
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
19-2-18
“Clearly, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies represent the mother of all bubbles”
Nouriel Roubini Professor of Economics at the Stern School of Business, New © 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch York University
Cisco Confidential
“Bitcoin is noxious poison”
Charlie Munger Vice-Chairman, Berkshire Hathaway
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
4
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
1994
TRUST
Blockchain good Bitcoin bad
ZBytes Idle © 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#6 Workspace Human Interface
Cryptocurrency incentivised file storage network
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Meet digitally-by-default, in-person by exception
CONSUMER
1. No double spend 2. No intermediary
Human Interaction
#6 Workspace
Meet digitally-by-default, in-person by exception
Organisational Collaboration SILOS
TURBULENCE, CONFUSION
Digital-by-Default
WORKSPACE
VOICE, DIGITAL DEFAULT
CONVERGENCE © 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
INTUITIVE
Voice User I/f
DIGITAL (Default)
VOICE
We are here!
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
2001
2015
2018
2020
5
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
Spotlight on DevOps, microservices, orchestration and pay-per-second compute
#7 Cloud
#8 Mobile
Cloud Services Growth = 3x Cloud/DC hw, sw Multi-Cloud 27%
Cloud-Native
FOG or Edge
73%
42%
58%
Demand for speed & richer user-experience
Gold Coast 2018
PyeongChang 2018
Tokyo 2020
Monolithic
Private
Microservices
#8 Mobile
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Demand for speed & richer user-experience
#8 Mobile
Demand for speed & richer user-experience
When you change the way you see the world, you can change the world you see
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
#9 Autonomous Vehicles
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Accelerating journey to Autonomous, Connected, Electric, Shared (ACES)
#10 M&A, Innovation
Cash repatriation windfall, “Double-A” (Amazon/Alibaba) paranoia
Autonomy
Connectivity
$2.5 Trillion
Electric Shared © 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
6
Kevin Bloch, CTO – Top 10 2018
3/13/18
Cash repatriation windfall, “Double-A” (Amazon/Alibaba) paranoia
#10 M&A, Innovation
http://bit.ly/2odtH2S Augmented Intelligence
MACHINERY
01 10
Context BUY
Intent SELL
Innovation, M&A
Crypto, Blockchain
05
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
Thank-you!
Intuitive Systems
02 Autonomous Vehicles
09
Cyber security
03 Mobile
IoT
04 Cloud
Workspace
06
07
08
Kevin Bloch, CTO @KevinBloch
http://bit.ly/2odtH2S
© 2018 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. KBloch Cisco Confidential
7
