Q2 2014 | OFFICE
NORTH AMERICA
HIGHLIGHTS
Frozenomics Thaw Unfreezes Office Market in Q2 ANDREA CROSS National Office Research Manager | USA MARKET INDICATORS
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Relative to prior period
US Q2 2014 VACANCY NET ABSORPTION CONSTRUCTION RENTAL RATE**
US Canada Canada Q3 Q2 Q3 2014* 2014 2014*
*Projected | Construction is the change in Under Construction. **Rental rates for current quarter are for CBD Class A space. Rent forecast is for metro-wide rents.
NORTH AMERICAN OFFICE MARKET Summary Statistics, Q2 2014
US
CAN
NA
VACANCY RATE (%)
13.72
8.52
13.36
CHANGE FROM Q1 2014 (%)
-0.21
0.52
-0.15
ABSORPTION (MSF)
17.0
-0.1
16.9
NEW CONSTRUCTION (MSF)
8.8
2.6
11.5
UNDER CONSTRUCTION (MSF)
80.6
21.2
101.8
ASKING RENTS PER SF
US
CAN
DOWNTOWN CLASS A ($)
44.95
48.19
CHANGE FROM Q1 2014 (%)
1.4
-2.9
SUBURBAN CLASS A ($)
27.33
31.64
CHANGE FROM Q1 2014 (%)
0.8
-2.5
WWW.COLLIERS.COM
• Both the U.S. and Canada surmounted the effects of “Frozenomics” in Q2. The U.S. added more than 200,000 jobs each month between February and July – the longest stretch since 1997. Projected job growth and rising business confidence levels bode well for office demand through the remainder of 2014. • The U.S. economic recovery is broadening: half of the metro areas tracked by Colliers have recovered all of the office-using jobs lost during the recession, including hard-hit markets like Atlanta, Miami and Jacksonville. • Continuing the trend of recent quarters, the overall U.S. vacancy rate decreased by 21 basis points to 13.72% in Q2 2014 and the overall Canadian vacancy rate increased by 52 basis points to 8.52%. Of the markets tracked by Colliers reporting both Q1 and Q2 data, 56 of 72 U.S. markets posted quarterly vacancy decreases, whereas vacancies declined in only one of the seven Canadian markets. • North American absorption totaled about 16.9 million square feet in Q2 2014, up from 15.3 million square feet in Q1 2014. The U.S. posted just under 17 million square feet of positive absorption, compared with 83,530 square feet of negative absorption in Canada. • Construction activity continued to increase in both countries, but at a faster pace in the U.S. At mid-year, 101.8 million square feet were under construction in the U.S. and Canadian markets tracked by Colliers, up from 92.1 million square feet at the end of Q1 2014 and 75.7 million square feet one year earlier.
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
U.S. Economic Trends
OFFICE VACANCY, INVENTORY & ABSORPTION | Q2 2014 | NORTH AMERICA 8.5% vac.
Following the weak, weather-impacted first quarter of 2014, the U.S. economy bounced back strongly in Q2. After a 2.1% contraction in Q1 2014 – the largest decline since Q1 2009 – real GDP surged by 4.2% in Q2 2014, with gains in nearly every category. The U.S. labor market continued to show signs of improvement, with more than 200,000 jobs added each month since February 2014. The average monthly gain of 277,000 jobs in Q2 2014 was the highest total since Q1 2006. Also, weekly initial uninsurance claims dipped below 300,000 in recent weeks, on par with 2005-2006 levels.
Tech and energy markets continue to lead the recovery, although economic growth is broadening to include additional markets. As of June 2014, half of the 84 metro areas tracked by Colliers had recovered all of the office-using jobs that were lost during the recession. This includes many Sunbelt markets such as Atlanta, Charlotte and Miami that were hit particularly hard by the housing bust and financial crisis. Officeusing employment is approaching the pre-recession peak in other highly impacted markets, including Orlando, Tampa-St. Petersburg, West Palm Beach and Phoenix. Many of these markets are benefiting from financial services firms relocating to or expanding within lower-cost areas. In contrast, many traditional financial centers, including Chicago, Boston, Los Angeles, San Francisco and New York, are lagging the national recovery in financial activities employment growth. Instead, growth in TAMI (technology, advertising, media and information) industries remains the driver of the office market recoveries in these markets. Tech-driven submarkets, such as San Francisco’s SoMa, New York’s Midtown South, Los Angeles’ Westside, Chicago’s River North and Boston’s Seaport District and Cambridge, remain among the strongest in the U.S., with a shortage of available space and high rents driving demand to other submarkets in these metro areas and adjacent markets. Although robust growth in temporary hiring has garnered much attention, the recovery in permanent employment has gained steam during the last few years. In fact, the recovery in the professional and business services sector excluding temporary employment is ahead of the recovery in temporary employment, with nearly two permanent jobs in the professional and business services sector regained per one lost during the recession, compared with about 1.25 temporary jobs regained for every one lost. This trend reflects businesses’ greater confidence in the strength of the economic recovery and is boosting office demand.
Absorption Per Market (SF) q1 '14 - q2 '14
1,600,000 800,000 160,000 -160,000 -800,000 -1,600,000
Sq. Ft. By Region
2 billion 1 billion 200 mil.
Occupied Sq. Ft. Vacant Sq. Ft.
CHANGE IN EMPLOYMENT FROM CYCLICAL PEAK | US 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% -12%
0
7
14
21
28
35
42
49
56
63
70
77
84
91
MONTHS Total Employment
Office-Using Employment
Professional & Business Services
Financial Activities
Note: Latest data as of July 2014; x-axis indicates number of months elapsed since each sector’s previous cyclical employment peak; office-using employment sectors include professional and business services, financial activities and information services; information services not displayed separately because sector peaked in 2001. | Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Colliers International.
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS REPORT | US 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Growth in office-using employment continues to track ahead of overall employment growth, an encouraging sign for the office market. As of July 2014, the primary office-using employment sectors had recovered about 122% of jobs lost during the recession, compared with the recovery in total employment of approximately 107% of jobs lost in the downturn. Professional and business services, which contains many jobs in the technology sector, has been the main driver of office-using employment growth, having recovered about 173% of jobs lost during the recession. However, since bottoming in early 2011, financial activities has also been adding jobs at a modest pace.
(
Note: Latest data as of August 9, 2014; data are seasonally adjusted. Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Colliers International.
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| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
OFFICE MARKET | Q2 2012–Q2 2014 | US 14.78 14.73 14.63 14.49 14.45 14.15
25.0
14.00 13.93 13.72
20.0
16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0
15.0
8.0 10.0
6.0
Vacancy %
We expect steady growth in job creation to continue through 2014 and 2015, driving office absorption. IHS projects the addition of an average of 208,000 jobs per month in 2014 for a total of 2.5 million jobs to be added this year, the highest annual total since 2000, followed by nearly 2.7 million jobs added in 2015. Due to the weak Q1 2014 GDP figure, IHS expects real GDP growth to slow slightly, from 2.22% in 2013 to 2.11% in 2014, accelerating to 2.84% in 2015. Steady job creation and economic growth as well as rising business confidence bode well for office demand during the next few years.
4.0
5.0
2.0 0.0
Q2 2012 Q3
FASTEST OFFICE-USING EMPLOYMENT GROWTH | JUNE 2013-2014 | US MSA
PERCENT CHANGE
MSA
9.8
Charlotte
3.4
Austin
6.9
Los Angeles
3.4
Nashville
5.6
Atlanta
3.3
Inland Empire
5.4
Memphis
3.3
Indianapolis
5.3
Miami
3.2
Dallas - Fort Worth
5.1
Sacramento
3.2
San Francisco
3.8
St. Louis
3.2
Jacksonville
3.6
West Palm Beach
3.1
Las Vegas
3.5
Orlando
3.1
Richmond
3.4
San Jose - Silicon Valley
3.1
UNITED STATES: 2.4 Note: All data are seasonally adjusted as of June 2014; Includes markets tracked by Colliers with at least 100,000 office-using jobs as of June 2014. Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Colliers International.
TOP 20 MARKETS FOR OFFICE-USING JOBS RECOVERED | JUNE 2014 | US MSA
PERCENT RECOVERED MSA
PERCENT RECOVERED
Austin
504.9
Indianapolis
187.3
Raleigh
349.5
Baltimore
165.0
Nashville
313.2
St. Louis
160.1
San Francisco
267.7
Denver
156.9
Pittsburgh
238.7
Charlotte
152.2
Dallas - Fort Worth
231.8
Atlanta
142.2
San Jose - Silicon Valley
226.1
Jacksonville
Houston
216.6
Minneapolis - St. Paul
Columbus
190.3
Portland, OR
Omaha
188.5
Boston
Q1 2013 Q2
Absorption MSF
PERCENT CHANGE
Raleigh
Q4
Q3
Q4
Completions MSF
Q1 2014 Q2
-
Vac Rate (%) Source: Colliers International.
OFFICE-USING EMPLOYMENT SECTOR RECOVERY - MAJOR MARKETS PROFESSIONAL & FINANCIAL BUSINESS ACTIVITIES JOBS SERVICES JOBS RECOVERED % RECOVERED %
MSA
Chicago
8.5
137.2
Boston
8.6
156.6
Los Angeles
11.6
101.7
San Francisco
25.9
357.0
New York
26.4
197.5
Washington, DC
49.7
281.0
UNITED STATES:
37.4
170.3
Note: Data represent % of jobs lost during the recession that have been regained as of Jun-14. Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve of St. Louis, Colliers International.
MARKETS WITH FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES EMPLOYMENT AT OR ABOVE PRE-RECESSION PEAK | JUNE 2014 | US % OF JOBS MSA RECOVERED
MSA
% OF JOBS RECOVERED
St. Louis
377.8
Richmond
150.0
Dallas - Fort Worth
315.9
Phoenix
141.4
Nashville
305.6
Jacksonville
114.8
128.3
Omaha
266.7
Cincinnati
110.5
128.0
Austin
248.3
Birmingham
103.6
Pittsburgh
172.7
127.1 125.6
UNITED STATES: 119.2 Note: All data are seasonally adjusted as of June 2014; Includes markets tracked by Colliers with at least 100,000 office-using jobs as of June 2014. Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Colliers International.
UNITED STATES: 37.4 Note: All data are seasonally adjusted as of June 2014; Includes markets tracked by Colliers with at least 25,000 financial activities jobs as of June 2014. Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Colliers International.
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 3
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
CANADA ECONOMIC TRENDS The Canadian economy expanded further through the first half of 2014, adding nearly 53,000 jobs. Major drivers included growth in the energy and tech industries, the improving economy in its key trading partner the United States, and low interest rates. Looking forward, the Conference Board of Canada projects accelerating employment and GDP growth driven by the private sector into 2015, which should support further demand for office space. In 2014 and 2015, the Conference Board predicts average annual employment growth of 1.4% and 1.8%, respectively. Real GDP growth is expected to accelerate from 1.8% in 2013 to 2.4% in 2014 and 2.6% in 2015. Edmonton and Calgary should remain leading markets, fueled by robust energy industry growth in Alberta. Vancouver and Toronto also should experience above-average economic growth, benefiting from both expansions by local tech firms and tech companies relocating from other areas, as well as a preference among many young employees for a walkable environment accessible to transit, restaurant, retail and entertainment options. CANADA AVERAGE ANNUAL FORECASTED REAL GDP GROWTH % CITY
2015F-2018F CITY
2015F-2018F
Edmonton
3.1
Winnipeg
2.4
Calgary
2.9
Kitchener - Cambridge - Waterloo
2.4
Vancouver
2.8
Victoria
2.3
Abbotsford - Mission
2.7
Ottawa-Gatineau
2.2
Saskatoon
2.7
Halifax
2.2
Toronto
2.6
Moncton
2.1
Oshawa
2.4
Montreal
2.1
Regina
2.4 CANADA
2.2 Source: The Conference Board of Canada.
LOWEST OVERALL VACANCY RATES | Q2 2014 | NA MARKET
VACANCY (%)
MARKET
VACANCY (%)
OFFICE OUTLOOK 2014 BEHIND THE STATISTICS & BEYOND THE BASICS
Scope of Colliers’ Office Outlook Report: Colliers’ office space universe encompasses 87 markets in the U.S. and Canada with a combined total of more than 6.4 billion square feet. The 75 U.S. markets account for most of this space, with nearly 6.0 billion square feet of tracked inventory and the remaining 448 million square feet in Canada. Our coverage includes 21 markets with more than 100 million square feet of space, which combined account for 3.8 billion square feet, or nearly 60% of our office market inventory. The largest U.S. markets are New York, Washington, D.C., Chicago, Dallas and Atlanta; Toronto is the only Canadian market with more than 100 million square feet of space.
Vacancy
Vacancy rate trends in Q2 2014 mirrored recent quarters. In the U.S., both the CBD and suburban vacancy rates decreased at a moderate pace, driven by solid office-using employment growth and relatively low levels of new supply. The overall U.S. vacancy rate decreased by 21 basis points to 13.72% in Q2 2014, a slightly faster rate than the 16 basis-point quarterly average decrease since the vacancy rate’s cyclical peak in Q2 2010. Of the 72 U.S. markets tracked by Colliers reporting both Q1 and Q2 vacancy rates, 56 posted vacancy rate decreases during the quarter. In Canada, both the CBD and suburban vacancy rates increased as new supply came online. The overall Canadian vacancy rate increased by 52 basis points to 8.52%, with all but one of the Canadian markets reporting both Q1 and Q2 data posting vacancy rate increases in Q2 2014. LARGEST Q-o-Q DECREASE IN OVERALL VACANCY RATE | NA VACANCY RATE (%) Q2 2014
VACANCY RATE (%) Q1 2014
Savannah, GA
16.51
17.81
-130
San Francisco, CA
8.28
9.45
-117
Nashville, TN
8.00
9.13
-113
New York, NY - Downtown Manhattan
13.35
14.43
-108
MSA
BASISPOINT CHANGE
Toronto, ON
6.29
San Francisco, CA
8.28
Waterloo Region, ON
16.02
17.08
-106
Saskatoon, SK
6.86
Pittsburgh, PA
8.36
Las Vegas, NV
20.00
21.05
-105
Bakersfield, CA
7.77
Montréal, QC
8.68
Fairfield County, CT
12.85
13.84
-99
Winnipeg, MB
7.84
Calgary, AB
8.77
Charleston, SC
10.45
11.38
-93
Nashville, TN
8.00
NYC - Midtown South Manhattan
8.93
Orange County, CA
14.98
15.67
-71
Ft. Lauderdale - Broward, FL
13.64
14.34
-70
NORTH AMERICA
13.36
13.51
-16
NORTH AMERICA 13.36 Source: Colliers International.
Source: Colliers International.
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| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
Like the employment data, the Q2 2014 U.S. vacancy data indicate that the office market recovery is broadening to include more markets. Although some leading markets such as San Francisco and Nashville still rank high in terms of vacancy rate decrease, hard-hit markets such as Las Vegas, Orange County, Fort Lauderdale and West Palm Beach also posted significant decreases in the quarter. We also are observing more spillover demand from the tightest markets and submarkets to adjacent areas with greater availabilities and/or lower rents. Examples include Oakland (spillover demand from San Francisco and Silicon Valley) and Downtown and Midtown Manhattan (spillover demand from Midtown South), all of which posted faster vacancy rate decreases than the U.S. average. Rent trends also reflect increasing demand in these markets: Midtown Manhattan (12.8%) and Downtown Manhattan (7.9%) posted the first-highest and third-highest year-over-year Class A CBD rent growth among Northeast markets in Q2 2014, with Midtown South (8.7%) ranking second; and Oakland (7.5%) posted the fifth-highest year-over-year Class A CBD rent growth among West markets during the quarter, although growth still trailed San Francisco (18.8%) and San Jose/ Silicon Valley (15.5%). In many Canadian markets, the large amount of new supply coming online is contributing to an upward trend in vacancies. Of the markets reporting both Q1 and Q2 data, only the Waterloo Region posted a quarterly decrease in vacancy rate. In general, the Canadian office market has shifted in favor of tenants, particularly for older buildings as companies move into newly constructed properties. However, the overall Canadian office vacancy rate remains well below the 10% threshold considered indicative of a healthy market, and anticipated continued job growth bodes well for market fundamentals into 2015.
North American Downtown Markets: Excluding renewals, of the leases signed this quarter in your CBD/downtown, did most tenants...? Expand 16.7% Contract 9.7%
Hold Steady 73.6%
North American Downtown Markets: What was the trend in Free Rent (in months) offered by CBD landlords this quarter?
Less 14.3% More 2.9%
Tenant Demand and Leasing Activity
Tenants in many industries, particularly tech and other creative firms, continue to lease space in areas and properties preferred by their employees in order to attract and retain top talent. For example, many tech firms in New York are eschewing contemporary corporate space for the renovated nineteenth-century cast-iron buildings common in Midtown South, driving robust rent growth in this office market. Several non-tech companies opened offices or signed leases for their tech operations in the San Francisco Bay Area in recent months, reflecting the region’s deep talent base. Examples included: Wal-Mart’s recently signed lease for an additional 127,000 at Sunnyvale Business Park, for a total footprint of about 312,000 square feet at the park; a new McDonald’s tech incubator on San Francisco’s Market Street; and Target’s recently opened second Bay Area tech hub in Silicon Valley’s Sunnyvale submarket, following the opening of its Technology Innovation Center in San Francisco in 2013. Brooklyn also remains a preferred location by tech tenants in response to many of their employees’ preference to live and work in the borough. Etsy recently signed on to anchor the Dumbo Heights complex where it will have space to grow its current employee base of 350 to 650 or more in the next five years. Also, Vice Media will double its current Williamsburg, Brooklyn footprint by leasing 60,000 square feet that will accommodate its growing workforce, set to increase from 400 employees to 925 employees, citing that three-quarters of its employees live in the neighborhood as a key reason for locating there. Other premier tech submarkets such as Manhattan’s Meatpacking District continue to experience strong demand from tenants seeking to use their office space as a recruiting tool. Samsung Electronics North America leased the entire building at 837 Washington Street in the Meatpacking District for more than $100 per square foot, illustrating the area’s tremendous appeal to TAMI and fashion tenants. In Los Angeles, True Car will double the size of its Santa Monica office to 33,700 square feet when it relocates to oceanfront Portofino Plaza, which will accommodate up to 400 employees. In Chicago, the Merchandise Mart in the River North submarket continues to draw tech tenants. eBay unit Braintree will relocate from 27,000 square feet in the West Loop to 60,000 square feet at the Merchandise Mart, with plans to hire about 360 additional people through 2017. Also, in August, Yelp announced plans to expand from its current Chicago incubator space into a permanent 50,000 square-foot office at the Merchandise Mart, at which it will hire about 300 people during the coming year. Many of these deals also indicate the very high densities employed by tech companies due to open, collaborative layouts as well as the increased mobility of their workforces.
Same 82.9%
North American Downtown Markets: What was the trend for tenant improvement allowances offered by CBD landlords this quarter? Less 12.9% More 8.6%
Same 78.6%
North American Suburban Markets: Excluding renewals, of the leases signed this quarter in your suburban market, did most tenants...? Expand 26.0% Contract 11.0%
Hold Steady 63.0%
Note: Charts above reflect % of markets reporting
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 5
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
Absorption
North American absorption increased in Q2 2014, totaling about 16.9 million square feet, up from 15.3 million square feet in Q1 2014. Positive Q2 absorption was solely due to the U.S., which posted just under 17 million square feet of positive absorption, compared with 83,530 square feet of negative absorption in Canada. Although the U.S. absorption figures are volatile on a quarterly basis, the trend has been consistent improvement: four-quarter trailing average quarterly absorption reached more than 17.6 million square feet in Q2 2014, the highest figure during the current recovery. More than three-quarters of the markets tracked by Colliers posted positive absorption on both a quarterly and year-to-date basis in Q2 2014. Once again, Houston led all North American markets, with 1.6 million square feet of absorption in Q2 2014 and nearly 3.9 million square feet of absorption through the first half of the year, as energy firm leasing remained robust. The confluence of energy and technology remains key to the market’s strength, with advanced oil and natural gas extraction techniques driving the current boom. Illustrative of this trend, Element Materials Technology recently opened its new Oil and Gas Materials Technology Centre near the booming Energy Corridor. The tech industry drove absorption in many of the other top markets in Q2, including San Francisco, Orange County, Seattle and Chicago. Phoenix also is benefiting from tech industry growth. Recent announcements included San Francisco-based Weebly’s plan to open a 25,000 square-foot North American customer operations headquarters in Scottsdale, and Silicon Valley Bank’s plan to add 250 positions, including finance and IT roles, in Tempe during the next three years and make at least $100 million in loans to Arizona firms during the next five years. Other top markets include Atlanta and Dallas, which continue to benefit from expansions of local firms as well as company relocations from other markets. Year-to-date absorption in Atlanta through Q2 nearly reached the total for all of 2013, and Texas continues to attract firms from out-of-state. Recent announcements included a pair of San Diegoarea firms, Active Network and Omnitracs, moving their headquarters and a total of nearly 1,500 jobs to Dallas, and Charles Schwab moving 1,200 jobs to El Paso and Austin. Many markets without significant tech and energy industry concentrations and that were hit particularly hard by the housing bust and financial market correction have been lagging in the recovery. However, positive signs have emerged in many of these markets in recent quarters. For example, although their overall vacancy rates remain high, Las Vegas and the Inland Empire each posted positive absorption for four or more consecutive quarters through Q2. Moderate improvements should continue in these office markets, driven by continued job growth, rising business confidence and a lack of new supply.
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| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
TOP MARKETS FOR METRO OFFICE ABSORPTION | YTD | NA ABSORPTION (MSF)
MARKET
ABSORPTION (MSF)
MARKET
Houston, TX
3.86
Boston, MA
1.41
NYC - Downtown Manhattan
2.45
NYC - Midtown South Manhattan
1.31
Atlanta, GA
2.05
Phoenix, AZ
1.11
Dallas, TX
1.96
Minneapolis, MN
1.04
San Francisco, CA
1.77
Baltimore, MD
.96
YTD NORTH AMERICA ABSORPTION: 16.9 MSF Source: Colliers International.
Construction Activity
Construction activity continued to tick up in Q2 2014, driven by higher occupancy gains and rents, rising business and developer confidence, a gradually loosening lending environment, and a shortage of certain types and blocks of space in some markets. At mid-year, 101.8 million square feet were under construction in the U.S. and Canadian markets tracked by Colliers, up from 92.1 million square feet at the end of Q1 2014 and 75.7 million square feet one year earlier. The amount of new construction increased in both countries during the last 12 months. However, with concerns growing regarding new supply levels in some Canadian markets, construction activity increased at a slower pace than in the U.S., which is further behind in the development cycle. Between mid-year 2013 and mid-year 2014, the amount of square footage under way in the markets tracked by Colliers increased by about 25% in Canada, compared with a 37% increase in the U.S. Absorption in the U.S. and Canada during the first half of 2014 totaled 32.2 million square feet, outpacing new supply totaling 27.2 million square feet – a 1.2:1 ratio. However, the new supply picture varied significantly between the two countries. The absorption to new supply ratio through H1 2014 in the U.S. was nearly 1.4:1, whereas the ratio was 0.1:1 in Canada. Despite the increase in construction activity in the U.S., overbuilding is generally not a concern yet, with development activity still concentrated in the strongest markets and submarkets. The top 10 markets for square footage under construction at mid-year accounted for about 69% of all construction under way in Colliers’ U.S. markets, down only slightly from 72% at mid-year 2013. Moreover, the top ten markets for construction activity include many of the strongest intellectual capital, energy and education (ICEE) markets where tenant demand remains robust, such as Houston, San Jose/Silicon Valley, San Francisco, Seattle and Manhattan’s Midtown South. In other markets with construction under
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
way, development generally is occurring in response to a shortage of a particular type of space or lack of availabilities in a given submarket. Tishman Speyer recently announced groundbreaking on Three Alliance Center, Atlanta’s first new office tower since 2008, in the Buckhead submarket, which has one of the lowest vacancy rates in the metro area. In Phoenix, tightening market conditions in eastern and southeastern submarkets such as Tempe, Scottsdale, Gilbert and Mesa are prompting development activity; all of the 1.8 million square feet under construction at mid-year 2014 were in these areas. TOP MARKETS FOR OFFICE SPACE NEW SUPPLY | YTD | NA YTD SQUARE FEET DELIVERED
MSA
Houston, TX
3,855,608
New York, NY - Downtown Manhattan
2,861,402
Washington DC
2,820,143
Calgary, AB
1,375,670
Dallas, TX
1,311,871
Boston, MA
1,300,000
San Francisco, CA
1,194,405
Montréal, QC
937,060
New York, NY - Midtown South Manhattan
894,672
Baltimore, MD
778,400
Note: Rankings are based on the 87 U.S. and Canadian markets tracked by Colliers International. Source: Colliers International.
CONSTRUCTION AS % OF EXISTING INVENTORY | Q2 2014 | NA SQUARE FEET UNDERWAY (MSF)
MSA
% OF EXISTING INVENTORY
Calgary, AB
5.84
8.81%
Houston, TX
17.77
8.39%
San Jose - Silicon Valley
4.99
6.89%
Vancouver, BC
3.58
6.58%
Edmonton, AB
1.69
6.33%
Halifax, NS
0.46
5.92%
San Francisco, CA
4.99
5.59%
Toronto, ON
6.75
Regina, SK Seattle/Puget Sound, WA NORTH AMERICA
Owners in both the U.S. and Canada are repositioning existing buildings to make them more competitive with newer buildings, with a focus on attracting the creative, tech and media tenants that have been the greatest source of current office demand in many markets. With new supply outpacing absorption in Canada and a large amount of space still under construction, some landlords in markets including Calgary, Vancouver and Ottawa are renovating older buildings to incorporate features such as higher ceilings, energy efficient upgrades, increased on-site amenities, and highly customized spaces. In the U.S., tech tenant demand continues to spread from the strongest tech submarkets to adjacent areas, and developers are repositioning assets to capture this spillover demand. Lane Partners plans to redevelop the 400,000 square-foot Sears Building in downtown Oakland into creative office space in response to a shortage of sizeable blocks of space in buildings with large floorplates in San Francisco and Oakland. Also, Ridge Capital Investors and Contrarian Capital Management recently purchased the 114,000 square-foot Latham Square office building in downtown Oakland with plans to renovate it into creative space. In Downtown Los Angeles, several developers are repositioning former warehouses to attract tech/ creative tenants, including Lincoln Property, which recently signed a lease with AEG to occupy all of the 82,000 square feet of office space at The Desmond, a former department store warehouse that currently is under renovation in the South Park submarket. Redevelopment activity in both Oakland and Downtown Los Angeles also reflects their growing popularity as residential areas, particularly among Millennials desiring a walkable environment and access to public transit.
CAPITAL MARKETS & TRANSACTION ACTIVITY
Investment in North American office properties increased through the first half of 2014, with transaction volume totaling $52.9 billion, up 25% compared with the year-earlier period according to Real Capital Analytics (RCA) data. The increase was entirely due to growth in U.S. transaction activity, which grew by 30% to $51.0 billion during the period. Canadian office transaction volume decreased by nearly 40% to $1.9 billion. OFFICE TRANSACTION VOLUME | Q2 2014 | NA Bil. $300
200%
$250
150%
4.87%
$200
100%
0.20
4.45%
$150
50%
4.61
4.11%
101.80
1.58%
$100
0%
Note: Rankings are based on the 87 U.S. and Canadian markets tracked by Colliers International. Source: Colliers International
$50 $0
-50% 2007
2008
2009
2010
12-Month Trailing Volume (left-axis)
2011
2012
2013
2014
-100%
Year-Over-Year % Change (right-axis)
Note: Latest data as of Q2 2014; all data are 12-month trailing. Sources: Real Capital Analytics; Colliers International.
P. 7
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
Despite the specter of rising interest rates, investor demand for CBD assets in gateway cities remains voracious, further compressing cap rates. According to RCA, the average cap rate in the top quartile of CBD properties in major U.S. metros was just 4.4% in the first half of the year, and the lowest cap rates for office properties in New York, Boston, Washington, DC and San Francisco were in the low- to mid-3% range. Based on the Moody’s/RCA Commercial Property Price Index (CPPI), pricing for major metro CBD properties is now 16.6% above the pre-recession peak, the only segment of the office market in which pricing has fully recovered from the recession. However, quarterly price growth for major metro CBD properties decelerated to 0.2% in Q2 2014, the slowest growth among the four segments. Growth was strongest for non-major metro suburban properties, at 11.2%, reflecting investor interest broadening to include more geographies as well as suburban assets. Nonetheless, pricing in non-major markets remains nearly 19% off the peak for CBD assets and 24% off the peak for suburban assets. Given high pricing and stiff competition for office properties in gateway markets, we expect investor interest to continue to shift to secondary and tertiary markets as well as suburban assets in search of higher yields, driving further price growth in these areas. Foreign investors remain a key source of capital in North American real estate, particular in gateway cities. Of the $13.0 billion of crossborder capital invested in U.S. office properties year-to-date through mid-August 2014, nearly 80% was in Boston, Manhattan, Los Angeles, Washington, DC, and San Francisco. In Canada, 15 of the 19 properties, accounting for 76% of cross-border capital flows, that were purchased by foreign investors were in Toronto. The relative stability and transparency of the North American real estate markets will likely continue to attract foreign investors to both gateway cities and, increasingly, secondary markets in search of higher returns and less competition. Looking forward, the 10-year Treasury yield is expected to rise as the Federal Reserve ends its bond purchases in October 2014 and likely begins raising interest rates in 2015. U.S. office assets, particularly secondary, tertiary and suburban properties, still offer attractive riskadjusted returns and should benefit from continued capital inflows, particularly as economic conditions strengthen further and development activity remains low and targeted in most markets. For suburban office properties, the cap rate spread to the 10-year Treasury was 469 basis points in Q2 2014, higher than the average of 410 basis points between Q1 2001 and Q2 2014 and well above the recent low of 183 basis points in Q2 2007. Non-gateway markets with favorable growth prospects, such as many Texas markets, Raleigh/Durham, Nashville, Phoenix and Portland, will likely attract a greater amount of interest from both domestic and foreign capital sources in the coming quarters.
P. 8
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
US OFFICE SPREADS: CAP RATE TO 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD Basis Points 700
600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
CBD
Suburban
2011
2012 2013 2014
All Office
Note: Latest data as of Q2 2014. Sources: Real Capital Analytics, IHS Global Insight, Colliers International Research.
MOODY’S/RCA COMMERCIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDICES - US OFFICE 300 250 200
Average Cap Rates - Q2 2014 Office U.S. Overall Major Metro CBD Non-Major Metro CBD Major Metro Suburban Non-Major Metro Suburban
5.8% 5.3% 6.9% 6.7% 7.6%
150 100 50 0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2011
2012 2013 2014
Major Off-CBD
Non-Major Off-CBD
Major Off-Sub
Non-Major Off-Sub Note: Latest data as of Q2 2014. Sources: Moody’s Investor Service, Real Capital Analytics.
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY MARKET
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
NEW SUPPLY Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD NEW SUPPLY 2014 (SF)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION (SF)
VACANCY RATE (%) MARCH 31, 2014
VACANCY RATE (%) JUNE 30, 2014
ABSORPTION YTD Q2 2014 ABSORPTION (SF) 2014 (SF)
NORTHEAST
Baltimore, MD
28,652,392
Boston, MA Hartford, CT New York, NY Downtown Manhattan New York, NY Midtown Manhattan New York, NY Midtown South Manhattan Philadelphia, PA
45,000
45,000
0
62,623,701
0
1,050,000
2,047,827
9,971,800
0
0
0
110,938,458
0
2,861,402
2,800,000
230,068,701
0
0
162,245,367
0
894,672
12.77
12.99
-21,458
-339,193
12.02
12.30
-175,631
649,702
12.53
13.45
-92,168
19,926
14.43
13.35
1,201,140
2,447,603
0
11.78
11.39
902,866
-367,202
3,600,000
8.83
8.93
-162,903
1,305,850
42,857,113
0
0
0
11.08
11.33
-105,278
84,052
Pittsburgh, PA
32,091,162
0
0
1,560,643
10.28
9.64
43,805
38,023
Stamford, CT*
18,708,865
0
0
0
21.28
20.74
152,473
152,473
Washington DC
144,431,119
287,800
863,741
1,513,291
10.38
10.77
-423,371
-208,780
7,671,679
0
0
0
14.89
15.79
-69,577
-90,629
850,260,357
332,800
5,714,815
11,521,761
11.53
11.39
1,249,898
3,691,825
White Plains, NY Northeast Total SOUTH
Atlanta, GA
50,075,209
0
0
487,034
16.26
15.63
319,826
575,588
Birmingham, AL
4,985,532
0
0
0
20.43
20.48
-2,406
450,850
Charleston, SC
2,252,548
0
0
21,000
9.41
7.49
43,231
37,952
Charlotte, NC
22,609,763
0
0
0
9.15
9.65
-111,837
-79,125
Columbia, SC
4,678,427
0
0
0
12.11
11.81
13,964
-36,435
33,948,885
0
0
450,000
26.47
26.91
-150,176
-20,070
8,121,843
0
0
0
12.59
11.29
105,588
165,980
10,154,101
0
0
75,971
15.76
15.87
-11,979
124,173
Dallas, TX Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL Ft. Worth, TX
3,293,679
0
0
0
17.87
18.78
-30,169
-39,468
Houston, TX
Greenville, SC
42,670,624
0
0
1,464,268
12.05
11.33
303,907
316,159
Jacksonville, FL
15,572,544
0
0
0
13.24
14.19
-148,449
-133,485
Little Rock, AR
6,482,552
0
0
0
10.79
10.62
27,815
3,330
Louisville, KY
43,702,531
0
299,483
130,000
10.83
10.39
191,924
496,801
5,403,149
0
0
0
17.52
14.71
151,809
184,321
Miami-Dade, FL
Memphis, TN
18,812,554
0
0
172,932
17.63
17.29
65,323
95,249
Nashville, TN
13,240,053
0
0
262,000
12.69
11.56
149,521
134,000
Orlando, FL
12,194,869
0
0
22,832
11.76
13.04
-156,152
-160,132
Raleigh/Durham/ Chapel Hill, NC
14,306,307
0
388,279
242,969
6.53
6.46
9,817
291,219
Richmond, VA
16,533,157
0
106,662
321,500
11.68
11.17
84,145
169,579
Savannah, GA Tampa Bay, FL West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL South Total
803,516
0
0
0
14.06
11.61
19,678
18,442
6,779,680
0
0
0
15.13
15.06
4,801
23,280
10,086,288
0
0
0
15.86
15.27
58,859
55,850
346,707,811
0
794,424
3,650,506
14.37
14.10
939,040
2,674,058
* Q1-14 data used for Stamford.
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 9
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY (continued) MARKET
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
NEW SUPPLY Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD NEW SUPPLY 2014 (SF)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION (SF)
VACANCY RATE (%) MARCH 31, 2014
VACANCY RATE (%) JUNE 30, 2014
ABSORPTION YTD Q2 2014 ABSORPTION (SF) 2014 (SF)
MIDWEST
Chicago, IL
158,102,210
0
0
1,073,100
12.71
12.41
475,307
393,097
Cincinnati, OH
18,989,060
0
0
0
15.13
14.97
30,682
12,653
Cleveland, OH
32,520,214
0
0
0
17.66
17.50
49,818
57,258
Columbus, OH
19,452,521
0
0
490,000
10.96
9.97
192,463
246,829
Grand Rapids, MI Indianapolis, IN
5,314,801
0
0
0
17.43
15.02
85,119
107,774
22,548,402
0
0
0
9.49
9.22
60,961
-6,527
Kansas City, MO
34,737,964
0
0
0
14.80
14.64
55,518
146,983
Milwaukee, WI
18,749,253
0
0
42,000
12.27
12.39
-21,790
104,031
Minneapolis, MN
31,690,413
0
0
1,160,000
13.45
12.43
324,289
170,204
6,457,869
0
0
0
7.18
7.06
9,615
-11,707
23,216,158
0
0
0
20.37
19.77
138,714
-386,762
Omaha, NE St. Louis, MO St. Paul, MN
11,730,218
0
0
0
14.08
14.25
-19,239
-95,754
409,631,096
0
0
2,765,100
13.98
13.53
1,381,457
934,987
Albuquerque, NM
3,191,080
0
0
0
27.73
27.00
23,261
40,566
Bakersfield, CA
3,243,457
12,991
12,991
59,242
8.72
8.74
10,955
2,743
Midwest Total WEST
Boise, ID Denver, CO
4,177,362
46,368
298,715
466,022
8.69
11.34
-110,776
-104,324
34,319,952
112,552
112,552
868,100
12.01
12.04
89,363
182,211
Fresno, CA
3,288,944
0
0
0
10.83
11.10
-8,864
-51,311
Honolulu, HI
7,164,686
0
0
0
14.36
14.22
9,727
-39,655
Las Vegas, NV
5,017,501
0
49,200
129,000
11.88
10.78
55,401
153,621
Los Angeles, CA*
32,566,100
0
0
508,200
19.73
20.14
-137,400
-137,400
Oakland, CA
17,255,313
0
0
0
11.49
11.22
47,674
58,788
Phoenix, AZ
20,181,280
0
0
0
21.26
21.26
-2
67,788
Portland, OR
34,830,351
0
15,579
205,290
9.61
9.31
105,075
271,840
3,337,018
0
0
0
15.12
14.41
23,812
308
Reno, NV Sacramento, CA*
13,570,765
0
0
0
15.86
15.49
49,426
49,246
San Diego, CA
10,172,525
0
0
320,000
19.36
18.82
54,760
-44,306
San Francisco, CA
89,213,545
425,993
1,194,405
4,990,366
9.45
8.28
1,442,981
1,772,981
San Jose - Silicon Valley
8,060,488
0
0
0
18.16
16.72
104,197
137,414
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA
55,619,584
58,959
58,959
3,246,507
11.10
10.64
301,649
545,203
Stockton, CA Walnut Creek, CA West Total U.S. TOTALS
8,221,819
0
0
0
15.87
15.66
16,744
41,822
12,443,115
0
0
0
15.29
14.78
62,985
138,734
365,874,885
656,863
1,742,401
10,792,727
13.01
12.57
2,140,968
3,086,269
1,972,474,149
989,663
8,251,640
28,730,094
12.81
12.53
5,711,363 10,387,139
*Q1-14 data used for Sacramento and Los Angeles markets.
P. 10
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
AVERAGE ANNUAL QUOTED RENT (USD PSF)
Baltimore, MD
12,805,993
21.47
Boston, MA
43,673,537
49.63
13.36%
Hartford, CT
6,771,455
22.60
11.21%
MARKET
VACANCY RATE (%) MAR 31, 2014
VACANCY RATE (%) JUNE 30, 2014
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN RENT (%)
ANNUAL CHANGE IN RENT(%)
18,629
228,016
-0.6%
-8.4%
13.90%
-209,907
529,633
-1.0%
2.4%
13.48%
-154,205
-80,207
0.1%
-0.6%
NORTHEAST
NYC - Downtown Manhattan NYC - Midtown Manhattan NYC - Midtown South Manhattan
11.77%
11.62%
80,463,304
50.97
16.44%
14.98%
1,173,885
2,155,612
-2.7%
7.9%
197,217,338
76.00
12.38%
11.86%
1,020,961
-107,596
1.3%
12.8%
34,311,898
67.16
9.64%
9.43%
71,827
1,059,295
1.9%
8.7%
Philadelphia, PA
30,476,310
27.63
10.99%
11.34%
-106,806
43,380
0.5%
6.0%
Pittsburgh, PA
18,367,184
25.65
8.14%
7.72%
96,262
-43,468
-0.7%
4.0%
Stamford, CT*
13,339,184
38.10
22.04%
21.77%
65,472
65,472
-0.5%
-0.5%
Washington DC
89,488,906
54.54
11.58%
11.53%
311,301
766,835
3.1%
0.7%
White Plains, NY
4,887,012
31.48
17.23%
17.90%
-32,789
-41,736
-0.4%
-0.3%
531,802,121
58.00
12.79%
12.43%
2,254,630
4,575,236
0.8%
8.1%
Northeast Total SOUTH
30,396,533
21.63
17.63%
16.79%
257,499
440,454
-0.1%
-6.6%
Birmingham, AL
Atlanta, GA
4,029,421
20.99
15.21%
15.08%
5,058
476,113
-0.3%
-0.3%
Charleston, SC
1,009,994
34.51
9.33%
6.28%
30,753
31,052
3.7%
5.7%
Charlotte, NC
16,132,547
25.15
9.64%
9.68%
-6,576
53,085
-0.1%
1.0%
Columbia, SC
2,131,068
20.77
11.29%
10.73%
11,957
-39,949
0.8%
1.2%
22,640,759
22.95
25.12%
25.80%
-154,911
-54,371
0.7%
5.8%
Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL
Dallas, TX
4,494,296
33.05
17.67%
14.79%
129,694
162,836
0.2%
5.9%
Ft. Worth, TX
5,855,897
28.90
17.08%
17.45%
-21,522
-5,592
0.0%
-0.7%
Greenville, SC Houston, TX
2,021,715
21.26
17.52%
19.14%
-32,085
-25,752
1.8%
10.0%
30,778,455
40.54
10.56%
9.82%
227,672
197,191
4.9%
10.0%
Jacksonville, FL
6,846,824
19.98
16.50%
16.50%
-370
-215,242
0.3%
0.3%
Little Rock, AR
2,635,440
17.30
10.71%
10.69%
681
4,555
4.4%
6.1%
Louisville, KY
10,578,190
20.43
10.78%
10.74%
4,243
254,621
0.6%
0.9%
Memphis, TN
2,009,825
17.12
26.76%
20.64%
123,143
133,943
0.1%
-1.5%
Miami-Dade, FL
9,980,567
40.15
17.75%
17.12%
62,660
108,641
1.0%
1.7%
Nashville, TN
4,058,652
23.77
11.28%
9.98%
52,720
55,383
1.6%
9.5%
Orlando, FL
5,776,846
25.00
12.56%
14.29%
-99,535
-101,212
-0.6%
2.5%
Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC
7,059,959
26.03
6.64%
6.67%
-2,081
13,584
-1.0%
9.6%
Richmond, VA
6,355,704
24.88
9.83%
8.09%
110,852
119,490
0.2%
7.1%
Savannah, GA
645,713
20.91
9.65%
6.82%
18,273
14,795
0.0%
1.6%
Tampa Bay, FL
4,999,570
24.24
13.25%
13.26%
-518
11,665
1.9%
4.8%
West Palm Beach/ Palm Beach County, FL
3,515,957
35.63
18.73%
17.84%
31,550
44,363
0.6%
0.9%
183,953,932
27.35
14.93%
14.53%
749,157
1,679,653
1.4%
3.3%
South Total
* Q1-14 data used for Stamford.
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 11
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A (continued) MARKET
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
AVERAGE ANNUAL QUOTED RENT (USD PSF)
61,039,401
39.12
VACANCY RATE (%) MAR 31, 2014
VACANCY RATE (%) JUNE 30, 2014
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN RENT (%)
ANNUAL CHANGE IN RENT(%)
140,347
2.1%
5.4%
MIDWEST
Chicago, IL
12.85%
12.42%
267,455
Cincinnati, OH
8,359,432
21.77
19.36%
18.79%
47,903
82,998
-2.7%
0.4%
Cleveland, OH
10,512,842
21.34
15.20%
14.83%
38,894
23,102
0.5%
-3.3%
Columbus, OH
8,377,149
19.75
11.96%
11.21%
62,933
106,903
-0.3%
2.9%
Grand Rapids, MI
1,461,047
18.48
22.51%
19.26%
47,385
65,030
-2.2%
-4.6%
Indianapolis, IN
9,501,787
18.95
12.01%
12.07%
-5,780
-58,448
0.0%
0.5%
Kansas City, MO
10,518,171
19.03
20.96%
20.33%
66,538
58,206
0.5%
0.8%
5,106,083
26.53
8.92%
8.80%
5,931
10,877
0.0%
-0.4%
13,618,828
17.17
12.37%
10.85%
205,929
52,768
2.6%
1.6%
Milwaukee, WI Minneapolis, MN Omaha, NE
3,549,103
20.25
3.48%
3.32%
5,544
33,599
0.0%
0.6%
St. Louis, MO
9,558,798
18.06
20.05%
19.76%
28,172
-508,055
-0.2%
0.6%
St. Paul, MN
2,773,960
14.45
12.54%
13.51%
-26,706
-109,108
0.0%
8.0%
151,576,895
27.62
14.06%
13.50%
744,198
97,411
1.4%
3.5%
Albuquerque, NM
575,047
20.14
26.55%
26.55%
0
0
0.0%
1.9%
Bakersfield, CA
729,040
17.40
6.12%
6.35%
-1,737
-13,243
0.0%
0.0%
Midwest Total WEST
Boise, ID Denver, CO
1,941,427
20.75
4.40%
11.52%
-93,934
-56,044
8.0%
9.0%
21,463,546
32.62
12.78%
12.81%
93,041
180,056
0.5%
8.3%
Fresno, CA
1,026,046
24.60
8.43%
6.11%
23,730
809
0.0%
2.5%
Honolulu, HI
4,644,304
35.52
14.16%
12.32%
29,628
-30,844
0.0%
1.9%
Las Vegas, NV
1,103,341
33.36
12.67%
13.10%
-4,771
-665
5.7%
6.9%
Los Angeles, CA*
18,098,100
37.32
19.20%
19.48%
-53,000
-53,000
1.3%
3.0%
Oakland, CA
10,562,045
34.20
9.68%
9.64%
4,133
-37,565
0.7%
7.5%
Phoenix, AZ
9,474,848
22.94
22.43%
22.75%
-30,459
-11,801
0.2%
2.1%
Portland, OR
13,302,291
26.61
9.82%
10.22%
-52,597
-142,686
1.3%
2.9%
583,955
23.51
13.85%
13.42%
2,461
-811
-0.4%
-2.2%
Reno, NV Sacramento, CA*
5,945,146
31.32
15.61%
15.29%
18,734
18,734
-1.1%
-2.6%
San Diego, CA
7,257,266
29.76
18.60%
17.85%
54,316
-53,231
2.5%
6.0%
57,465,551
59.73
10.24%
8.75%
1,190,858
1,458,016
6.0%
18.8%
San Jose - Silicon Valley
San Francisco, CA
3,493,453
36.72
18.31%
17.57%
24,544
26,344
8.1%
15.5%
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA
32,199,750
34.07
11.35%
10.68%
110,223
312,459
0.8%
7.5%
Stockton, CA
2,790,574
19.44
19.49%
19.49%
77
18,649
-3.0%
-10.0%
Walnut Creek, CA
8,271,861
28.08
14.62%
13.62%
82,637
124,189
0.9%
1.7%
200,927,591
39.62
13.01%
12.46%
1,397,884
1,739,366
3.2%
10.1%
1,068,260,539
44.95
13.38%
12.95%
5,145,869
8,091,666
1.4%
7.5%
West Total U.S. TOTALS
* Q1-14 data used for Sacramento and Los Angeles markets.
P. 12
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY MARKET
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
NEW SUPPLY Q2 2014 (SF)
UNDER YTD NEW SUPPLY CONSTRUCTION 2014 (SF) (SF)
VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%) RATE (%) MAR 31, 2014 JUNE 30, 2014
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
NORTHEAST
Baltimore, MD Boston, MA
88,259,043
0
733,400
0
12.39%
12.15%
207,916
1,299,972
112,698,600
250,000
250,000
1,673,573
18.06%
17.70%
291,990
757,713
Fairfield County, CT
40,646,251
0
0
0
13.84%
12.85%
213,792
194,596
Hartford, CT
12,784,662
0
0
0
13.04%
11.86%
150,825
419,283
Long Island, NY
74,486,194
0
0
154,999
10.23%
10.18%
32,915
-44,348
New Jersey Central
131,315,428
0
20,525
0
15.66%
15.56%
135,589
766,086
New Jersey Northern
163,629,090
0
40,018
0
15.73%
15.79%
-100,064
-327,930
Philadelphia, PA
110,544,032
229,838
605,631
535,000
15.25%
14.94%
545,868
457,790
Pittsburgh, PA
91,138,395
208,981
444,605
1,347,989
7.55%
7.91%
-38,625
-84,678
Washington DC
289,371,434
1,916,402
1,956,402
3,796,119
16.86%
17.28%
252,078
-670,152
38,211,929
0
0
0
13.08%
13.24%
-60,743
-129,118
1,153,085,058
2,605,221
4,050,581
7,507,680
14.75%
14.75%
1,631,541
2,639,214
Westchester County, NY Northeast Total SOUTH
Atlanta, GA
171,907,388
0
0
1,029,608
16.17%
15.95%
424,193
1,480,850
Birmingham, AL
14,683,072
0
0
0
15.02%
14.18%
123,347
-4,800
Charleston, SC
9,818,033
0
114,880
215,000
11.84%
11.13%
69,184
160,216
Charlotte, NC
62,302,056
105,500
241,235
433,758
12.19%
11.72%
382,770
668,161
Columbia, SC
4,966,961
0
0
0
22.62%
22.43%
9,325
62,291
Dallas, TX
238,058,523
969,191
1,311,871
4,621,008
14.72%
14.72%
839,485
1,983,167
Ft. LauderdaleBroward, FL
43,222,291
0
0
515,000
14.67%
14.08%
253,292
114,130
Ft. Worth, TX
21,168,105
153,195
181,285
928,651
10.56%
10.82%
81,459
124,024
Greenville, SC Houston, TX
4,896,690
0
0
0
19.60%
18.54%
51,783
15,959
169,088,850
1,728,894
3,855,608
16,303,874
11.84%
11.98%
1,290,750
3,546,701
Jacksonville, FL
46,157,943
0
12,151
223,000
11.75%
11.28%
214,601
529,741
Little Rock, AR
7,551,255
0
0
0
12.59%
11.83%
39,299
68,375
Memphis, TN
27,227,184
0
0
241,000
14.96%
14.77%
52,426
190,590
Miami-Dade, FL
65,547,026
80,000
80,000
303,768
11.28%
10.88%
334,576
493,769
Nashville, TN
15,010,996
0
0
532,720
5.99%
4.86%
171,544
268,640
Orlando, FL
54,400,023
220,000
295,997
60,000
13.62%
13.88%
-170,392
83,408
Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC
64,772,682
206,409
264,481
1,155,043
12.24%
11.99%
343,220
396,296
Richmond, VA
34,772,603
0
15,000
314,658
11.07%
11.03%
66,862
-24,099
Savannah, GA
1,461,838
0
0
0
19.88%
19.21%
9,832
1,261
Tampa Bay, FL
57,275,381
0
0
18,000
17.66%
17.44%
127,713
269,957
West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL
28,464,865
0
0
133,586
18.08%
17.45%
180,268
294,510
1,142,753,765
3,463,189
6,372,508
27,028,674
13.83%
13.65%
4,895,537
10,723,147
South Total
* Q1-14 data used for Stamford.
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 13
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY (continued) MARKET
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
NEW SUPPLY Q2 2014 (SF)
UNDER YTD NEW SUPPLY CONSTRUCTION 2014 (SF) (SF)
VACANCY VACANCY RATE (%) RATE (%) MAR 31, 2014 JUNE 30, 2014
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
MIDWEST
Chicago, IL
155,576,032
123,475
123,475
915,000
17.19%
17.19%
110,798
-652,665
Cincinnati, OH
46,579,893
0
135,576
0
16.03%
15.89%
66,399
219,673
Cleveland, OH
47,980,920
0
139,212
127,708
11.40%
11.10%
147,404
29,275
Columbus, OH
44,027,261
0
0
424,840
10.46%
10.49%
-11,388
36,460
Grand Rapids, MI
12,533,768
140,593
140,593
0
19.16%
19.20%
-31,258
-31,258
Indianapolis, IN
43,264,183
0
0
132,991
9.70%
9.37%
144,135
110,087
Kansas City, MO
58,622,017
131,200
131,200
637,800
11.94%
11.33%
472,518
588,448
Milwaukee, WI
33,330,654
0
0
160,000
12.36%
12.00%
122,039
203,521
Minneapolis, MN
79,206,435
0
598,400
870,900
13.49%
13.39%
76,411
878,834
Omaha, NE
21,486,334
168,489
284,489
78,689
10.38%
10.18%
275,009
532,931
St. Louis, MO Midwest Total
55,394,777
0
183,000
435,000
9.45%
9.18%
152,087
127,682
737,494,892
571,677
1,755,977
3,872,096
14.35%
14.01%
1,524,154
2,921,390
10,877,999
0
0
0
15.69%
19.09%
-369,650
-306,408
6,070,404
0
8,984
131,894
6.53%
7.24%
-43,291
34
WEST
Albuquerque, NM Bakersfield, CA Boise, ID
17,158,432
3,576
24,142
153,048
12.42%
12.95%
-87,145
-334,958
106,931,545
48,537
91,537
690,310
13.00%
12.71%
352,021
655,505
Fairfield, CA
4,995,686
0
0
30,000
20.05%
19.97%
3,863
12,215
Fresno, CA
17,562,156
0
20,000
0
13.10%
13.34%
-43,410
146,469
Honolulu, HI
7,730,394
0
0
0
11.85%
12.93%
-83,603
-78,267
Denver, CO
Las Vegas, NV
36,776,508
0
47,000
577,894
22.30%
21.26%
382,762
479,548
Los Angeles - Inland Empire, CA
20,516,142
0
94,891
58,000
18.90%
18.46%
102,300
214,800
Los Angeles, CA*
167,879,800
152,300
152,300
1,588,000
17.82%
17.64%
364,700
364,700
Oakland, CA
16,271,372
0
0
0
19.99%
19.03%
155,298
153,599
Orange County, CA
81,476,457
488,696
488,696
354,845
15.67%
14.98%
1,150,900
884,401
Phoenix, AZ
111,159,050
100,622
218,332
1,997,202
18.27%
18.11%
261,531
1,044,490
Pleasanton/TriValley, CA
27,748,942
0
0
0
12.81%
12.48%
90,516
-208,837
Portland, OR
43,981,869
0
45,521
53,000
9.37%
8.93%
192,191
365,717
9,592,304
0
0
0
14.47%
14.93%
-43,645
-72,526
Sacramento, CA*
52,144,531
68,417
68,417
77,000
19.13%
18.91%
141,121
141,160
Reno, NV San Diego, CA
71,901,725
45,917
587,052
920,416
12.79%
12.63%
154,798
847,920
San Francisco Peninsula
35,209,871
57,741
57,741
485,924
11.28%
11.11%
9,726
-4,835
San Jose - Silicon Valley
64,391,616
246,000
711,283
4,993,108
9.89%
9.95%
260,466
521,899
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA
56,542,804
0
0
1,363,700
10.31%
9.95%
287,220
206,577
Walnut Creek, CA West Total U.S. TOTALS
5,513,617
0
0
0
16.27%
16.68%
-22,357
19,330
972,433,224
1,211,806
2,615,896
13,474,341
15.01%
14.80%
3,216,312
5,052,533
4,005,766,939
7,851,893
14,794,962
51,882,791
14.48%
14.31%
11,267,544
21,336,284
* Q1-14 data used for Sacramento and Los Angeles markets.
P. 14
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | CLASS A MARKET
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
AVERAGE VACANCY VACANCY ANNUAL RATE (%) RATE (%) QUOTED RENT MAR 31, 2014 JUNE 30, 2014 (USD PSF)
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN RENT (%)
ANNUAL CHANGE IN RENT (%)
NORTHEAST
Baltimore, MD
31,999,072
24.30
13.27%
12.49%
207,916
1,299,972
1.3
-3.0
Boston, MA
48,244,601
26.20
16.52%
16.19%
291,990
757,713
1.0
4.7
Fairfield County, CT
18,121,467
39.48
13.42%
12.63%
213,792
194,596
2.0
8.1
Hartford, CT
7,123,495
21.01
12.82%
11.46%
150,825
419,283
-1.7
0.5
Long Island, NY
25,394,853
30.76
10.92%
10.57%
32,915
-44,348
1.8
0.7
New Jersey - Central
61,295,100
26.50
15.42%
15.33%
135,589
766,086
3.0
0.3
New Jersey - Northern
87,786,735
28.00
18.04%
18.32%
-100,064
-327,930
0.2
6.6
Philadelphia, PA
67,648,043
25.62
13.55%
13.23%
545,868
457,790
0.8
1.4
Pittsburgh, PA
16,920,743
25.92
7.11%
8.69%
-38,625
-84,678
17.1
15.7
Washington DC
139,579,792
31.75
17.22%
17.74%
252,078
-670,152
-2.3
-2.7
Westchester County, NY Northeast Total
17,711,395
27.71
15.60%
15.66%
-60,743
-129,118
1.2
2.7
521,825,296
28.49
15.48%
15.53%
1,631,541
2,639,214
0.6
1.6
81,351,202
22.87
14.07%
14.08%
424,193
1,480,850
1.1
3.3
9,276,993
20.79
11.88%
9.55%
123,347
-4,800
0.5
0.3
SOUTH
Atlanta, GA Birmingham, AL Charleston, SC
3,689,350
25.06
8.08%
7.43%
69,184
160,216
2.7
2.8
Charlotte, NC
20,362,557
23.50
13.33%
12.38%
382,770
668,161
1.7
2.3
Columbia, SC
1,001,769
17.11
18.42%
18.91%
9,325
62,291
-0.1
2.3
Dallas, TX
97,441,781
24.90
13.28%
13.65%
839,485
1,983,167
0.4
5.3
Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL
10,571,174
27.47
14.79%
15.18%
253,292
114,130
1.1
0.4
Ft. Worth, TX
3,591,539
24.30
1.87%
1.83%
81,459
124,024
-2.6
-1.6
Greenville, SC
2,458,553
19.33
14.46%
11.02%
51,783
15,959
1.3
9.8
75,225,262
32.17
8.48%
9.37%
1,290,750
3,546,701
0.2
7.7
Jacksonville, FL
9,183,817
19.60
9.31%
7.42%
214,601
529,741
0.7
1.0
Little Rock, AR
2,843,202
19.74
17.26%
16.82%
39,299
68,375
7.0
3.2
Houston, TX
Memphis, TN
8,310,062
20.97
8.22%
8.05%
52,426
190,590
-0.2
-1.2
16,208,719
27.47
15.17%
14.20%
334,576
493,769
1.1
0.4
Nashville, TN
7,660,730
26.50
6.83%
4.78%
171,544
268,640
6.0
10.6
Orlando, FL
16,822,153
21.04
16.96%
17.26%
-170,392
83,408
-0.6
-0.1
Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC
25,192,507
21.33
10.08%
9.88%
343,220
396,296
0.1
4.6
Richmond, VA
13,754,859
18.70
11.21%
11.15%
66,862
-24,099
4.4
1.6
Savannah, GA
490,035
22.08
15.96%
16.05%
9,832
1,261
-5.4
-5.0
18,368,902
23.59
17.19%
16.73%
127,713
269,957
0.4
2.3
8,999,060
31.38
18.82%
16.32%
180,268
294,510
-0.1
3.0
432,804,226
25.06
12.48%
12.40%
4,895,537
10,723,147
0.8
4.6
Miami-Dade, FL
Tampa Bay, FL West Palm Beach/ Palm Beach County, FL South Total
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 15
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | CLASS A (continued) MARKET
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
AVERAGE VACANCY VACANCY ANNUAL RATE (%) RATE (%) QUOTED RENT MAR 31, 2014 JUNE 30, 2014 (USD PSF)
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN RENT (%)
ANNUAL CHANGE IN RENT (%)
MIDWEST
Chicago, IL
78,047,353
27.33
18.53%
18.75%
110,798
-652,665
0.0
0.6
Cincinnati, OH
18,266,220
20.36
18.40%
17.72%
66,399
219,673
3.8
-1.4
Cleveland, OH
9,345,155
21.15
11.36%
11.23%
147,404
29,275
0.0
-0.2
Columbus, OH
18,337,079
19.67
9.00%
8.91%
-11,388
36,460
1.9
2.5
Grand Rapids, MI
937,115
17.50
17.14%
18.75%
-31,258
-31,258
0.0
0.0
Indianapolis, IN
12,456,333
18.80
12.52%
11.49%
144,135
110,087
1.9
3.0
Kansas City, MO
16,559,970
20.52
12.81%
12.05%
472,518
588,448
-0.1
-0.1
Milwaukee, WI Minneapolis, MN Omaha, NE St. Louis, MO Midwest Total
6,187,173
22.14
11.08%
10.67%
122,039
203,521
0.1
0.4
26,563,731
14.63
16.00%
14.88%
76,411
878,834
2.8
5.8
5,229,149
26.35
2.86%
2.43%
275,009
532,931
3.4
6.3
26,374,431
21.86
9.15%
8.27%
152,087
127,682
0.0
-0.7
252,583,758
22.11
14.70%
14.33%
1,524,154
2,921,390
0.7
0.6
811,008
21.30
4.31%
4.69%
-369,650
-306,408
-3.6
2.2
WEST
Albuquerque, NM Bakersfield, CA
2,776,404
24.00
5.84%
6.50%
-43,291
34
0.0
0.0
Boise, ID
5,826,036
15.75
15.38%
16.36%
-87,145
-334,958
1.5
4.3
35,797,994
25.04
11.90%
11.60%
352,021
655,505
0.8
5.0
Denver, CO Fairfield, CA
1,950,606
25.61
19.82%
19.74%
3,863
12,215
-2.5
-0.9
Fresno, CA
3,973,324
25.80
16.99%
17.49%
-43,410
146,469
0.0
2.4
Las Vegas, NV
4,898,279
30.00
33.12%
28.95%
382,762
479,548
0.8
2.5
Los Angeles - Inland Empire, CA
5,019,438
25.56
21.01%
19.93%
102,300
214,800
0.5
4.9
102,218,200
35.04
16.72%
16.37%
364,700
364,700
0.0
2.8
Los Angeles, CA*
3,682,927
29.40
23.83%
23.66%
155,298
153,599
-0.8
-0.4
Orange County, CA
Oakland, CA
33,193,269
26.52
16.21%
15.48%
1,150,900
884,401
0.5
3.8
Phoenix, AZ
30,886,235
24.16
17.43%
17.45%
261,531
1,044,490
0.5
3.0
Pleasanton/Tri-Valley, CA
15,526,039
29.04
10.07%
10.82%
90,516
-208,837
0.4
9.0
Portland, OR
11,443,780
23.70
10.98%
10.20%
192,191
365,717
-0.2
2.4
Reno, NV
912,364
20.92
14.93%
17.90%
-43,645
-72,526
0.6
8.9
Sacramento, CA*
14,682,299
22.32
17.78%
17.39%
141,121
141,160
0.5
1.1
San Diego, CA
24,117,278
35.64
12.32%
11.86%
154,798
847,920
1.0
5.7
San Francisco Peninsula
22,580,852
45.72
10.33%
10.51%
9,726
-4,835
4.7
5.8
San Jose - Silicon Valley
33,234,700
43.20
12.45%
12.18%
260,466
521,899
1.1
5.9
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA
20,752,875
34.55
9.42%
9.11%
287,220
206,577
4.3
4.3
737,964
28.56
19.13%
19.51%
-22,357
19,330
-0.4
-14.4
375,021,871
31.87
14.65%
14.36%
3,299,915
5,130,800
1.0
4.4
1,582,235,151
27.33
14.34%
14.20%
11,351,147
21,414,551
0.8
3.0
Walnut Creek, CA West Total U.S. TOTALS
* Q1-14 data used for Sacramento and Los Angeles markets.
P. 16
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
CANADA | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY MARKET
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
Calgary, AB
40,447,480
Edmonton, AB
17,140,407 4,547,627
Halifax, NS*
NEW SUPPLY Q2 2014 (SF)
0
YTD NEW SUPPLY 2014 (SF)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION (SF)
VACANCY RATE (%) MAR 31, 2014
VACANCY RATE (%) JUNE 30, 2014
8.13
8.23
ABSORPTION YTD ABSORPTION Q2 2014 2014 (SF) (SF)
841,064
3,359,000
-39,401
389,794
0
0
1,490,493
8.47
8.66
-50,864
-25,644
17,000
17,000
463,900
11.46
12.41
-159,741
-159,741
Montréal, QC
49,610,579
279,476
279,476
653,498
5.14
5.94
-128,429
-34,930
Ottawa, ON
15,995,156
0
0
0
9.47
9.47
-110,669
259,669
Regina, SK
3,714,792
0
0
160,000
12.75
12.79
-1,405
-57,012
2,402,872
0
0
0
6.22
6.86
-15,509
-19,075
Toronto, ON
Saskatoon, SK
70,514,344
40,000
40,000
5,190,400
3.78
3.61
134,792
362,274
Vancouver, BC
24,474,251
0
45,770
2,150,490
5.56
5.78
-54,165
-53,402
Victoria, BC*
4,902,931
0
0
29,000
8.69
9.85
-36,664
-36,664
Waterloo Region, ON
3,938,504
25,586
25,586
43,280
12.90
12.71
29,596
7,696
11,944,204
0
0
70,000
8.65
8.26
46,911
46,911
249,633,147
362,062
1,248,896
13,610,061
6.35
6.55
-385,548
679,876
Winnipeg, MB* CANADA TOTAL
CANADA | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A MARKET
Calgary, AB Edmonton, AB
EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
AVERAGE ANNUAL QUOTED RENT (CAD PSF)
VACANCY RATE VACANCY RATE (%) MAR 31, (%) JUNE 30, 2014 2014
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN RENT (%)
ANNUAL CHANGE IN RENT (%)
27,568,453
58.00
7.53%
7.01%
143,972
630,126
0.0
-5.6
8,434,321
21.50
6.11%
6.34%
16,027
44,935
-2.3
-14.0
Halifax, NS*
1,951,103
32.53
9.14%
9.42%
9,991
9,991
4.3
-0.2
Montréal, QC
23,073,808
45.00
5.87%
7.69%
-157,167
-162,175
0.0
0.0
Ottawa, ON
10,004,044
36.75
6.48%
7.45%
-96,150
-96,150
-19.3
-26.5
Regina, SK
1,392,816
34.97
6.08%
6.11%
-516
-56,123
0.0
16.6
570,571
43.00
5.75%
6.88%
-6,498
-6,498
0.0
0.0
Saskatoon, SK Toronto, ON
39,391,697
53.94
4.54%
4.56%
74,229
201,107
-4.0
-0.7
Vancouver, BC
10,094,997
53.01
5.51%
5.43%
7,554
-7,852
0.9
-5.9
513,808
35.00
3.55%
2.33%
8,969
8,969
2.9
0.0
Victoria, BC* Waterloo Region, ON
1,561,288
24.86
10.50%
10.69%
-2,939
-1,042
3.1
-4.5
Winnipeg, MB*
2,619,428
33.75
3.99%
4.50%
-13,347
-13,347
0.0
0.0
127,176,334
48.19
5.90%
6.24%
-15,875
551,941
-2.9%
-4.3%
CANADA TOTAL
*Halifax, Victoria and Winnipeg report semi-annually. Q2 data displayed.
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 17
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
CANADA | SUBURBAN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
MARKET
NEW SUPPLY Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD NEW SUPPLY 2014 (SF)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION (SF)
VACANCY RATE (%) MAR 31, 2014
VACANCY RATE (%) JUNE 30, 2014
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
Calgary, AB**
25,818,920
534,606
534,606
2,478,741
9.49
9.62
153,225
153,225
Edmonton, AB
9,544,323
178,631
278,631
197,400
12.37
12.50
130,801
134,953
Halifax, NS*
3,282,082
34,000
34,000
0
10.23
9.42
56,960
56,960
Montréal, QC
25,664,903
586,676
657,584
1,270,962
11.38
13.99
-150,690
-184,707
Ottawa, ON
21,293,374
211,204
211,204
230,500
10.39
11.44
-34,108
-19,533
784,404
0
31,122
40,000
3.27
6.34
-24,081
-24,081
Toronto, ON
Regina, SK
67,879,191
119,206
472,974
1,554,921
8.05
9.08
-165,311
-173,117
Vancouver, BC
29,985,814
556,000
616,000
1,434,462
11.27
12.23
205,703
214,245
Victoria, BC*
3,717,151
0
0
99,600
9.87
10.03
-5,849
-5,849
Waterloo Region, ON
7,379,966
35,186
35,186
203,265
19.29
17.79
61,528
-475,511
Winnipeg, MB*
3,386,471
0
0
70,000
8.54
6.36
73,840
73,840
198,736,599
2,255,509
2,871,307
2,871,307
10.06
10.50
302,018
-249,575
CANADA TOTAL
CANADA | SUBURBAN OFFICE | CLASS A EXISTING INVENTORY (SF) JUNE 30, 2014
MARKET
Calgary, AB**
AVERAGE ANNUAL QUOTED RENT (CAD PSF)
VACANCY RATE (%) MAR 31, 2014
VACANCY RATE (%) JUNE 30, 2014
ABSORPTION Q2 2014 (SF)
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN RENT (%)
YTD ABSORPTION 2014 (SF)
ANNUAL CHANGE IN RENT (%)
12,727,120
43.00
9.49
8.44
153,225
153,225
-2.3
-2.3
Halifax, NS*
1,478,125
28.56
11.50
10.54
56,960
56,960
-3.7
0.2
Montréal, QC
14,491,322
29.00
10.02
14.62
-184,707
-184,707
0.0
3.6
Ottawa, ON
12,250,530
32.00
10.45
11.58
-34,108
-19,533
8.9
4.6
Regina, SK
141,122
29.00
0.00
22.05
-24,081
-24,081
0.0
0.0
Toronto, ON
32,652,849
31.11
9.07
9.60
-173,117
-173,117
-0.2
1.3
Vancouver, BC
15,332,892
27.62
12.06
13.07
214,245
214,245
-17.4
-17.9
Victoria, BC* Waterloo Region, ON CANADA TOTAL
808,145
40.00
16.53
17.15
-5,849
-5,849
0.0
5.3
3,696,762
22.44
17.57
16.74
-475,511
-475,511
0.0
-7.6
93,578,867
31.64
10.37
11.43
97,377
-458,368
-2.5
-2.2
*Halifax, Victoria and Winnipeg report semi-annually. Q2 data displayed. | **Q1-14 data displayed for Calgary Suburban.
CBD OFFICE UNDER CONSTRUCTION BY MARKET | Q2 2014 | CANADA
CBD OFFICE ABSORPTION BY MARKET | Q2 2014 | CANADA 134.8
Toronto, ON
46.9
Winnipeg, MB*
29.6
Waterloo Region, ON
Edmonton, AB Vancouver, BC
Halifax, NS*
Regina, SK
-50.9
Winnipeg, MB*
-54.2
Waterloo Region, ON
-110.7
Ottawa, ON Montréal, QC
Victoria, BC*
-150
0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Saskatoon, SK 0.0 Ottawa, ON 0.0
-128.4 -159.7 -200
0.5
Halifax, NS*
-39.4
Calgary, AB
0.7
Montréal, QC
-36.7
Victoria, BC*
2.2 1.5
Edmonton, AB
-15.5
Saskatoon, SK
3.4
Calgary, AB Vancouver, BC
-1.4
Regina, SK
5.2
Toronto, ON
-100
-50
0
50
100 150 SF (Thousands)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0 6.0 SF (Millions)
*Victoria, Halifax and Winnipeg report data semi-annually Q2 data shown | Source: Colliers International.
P. 18
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
UNITED STATES | OFFICE INVESTMENT (continued)
UNITED STATES | OFFICE INVESTMENT MARKET
CBD CBD SUBURBAN SUBURBAN SALES PRICE CAP RATE SALES PRICE CAP RATE (USD PSF) (%) (USD PSF) (%)
CBD CBD SUBURBAN SUBURBAN SALES PRICE CAP RATE SALES PRICE CAP RATE (USD PSF) (%) (USD PSF) (%)
MARKET
Albuquerque, NM
145.00
9.00
175.00
8.00
Oakland, CA
Atlanta, GA
125.00
7.90
127.00
8.20
Orange County, CA
Bakersfield, CA
108.00
Baltimore, MD
288.98
Boston, MA
421.00
Chicago, IL
350.00
5.50
225.00
7.50
Pittsburgh, PA
Cincinnati, OH
125.00
9.75
135.00
9.25
Pleasanton/Tri-Valley, CA
57.00
8.00
Portland, OR
Dallas, TX
166.00
6.80
73.00
6.75
Sacramento, CA*
Denver, CO
375.00
6.00
150.00
7.00
San Diego, CA
139.00
7.80
San Francisco Peninsula
Fresno, CA
125.00
8.50
160.00
8.00
San Francisco, CA
565.00
4.58
Ft. LauderdaleBroward, FL
173.00
163.00
8.37
San Jose - Silicon Valley
130.00
Ft. Worth, TX
132.00
8.10
Savannah, GA
160.00
Houston, TX
202.00
7.50
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA
205.00 6.70
124.80
7.65
213.00
Columbia, SC
Fairfield County, CT
Indianapolis, IN
170.00
8.00
150.00
7.25
Jacksonville, FL
94.00
7.00
127.00
9.70
130.35
8.00
117.00
9.00
Long Island, NY
168.00
8.15
Los Angeles - Inland Empire, CA
200.00
7.50
Los Angeles, CA*
276.00
6.44
Las Vegas, NV Little Rock, AR
88.00
9.00
Miami-Dade, FL
311.00
5.00
212.00
6.75
Milwaukee, WI
120.00
8.75
110.00
9.00
116.00
7.40
Minneapolis, MN Nashville, TN
150.00
7.00
New Jersey - Central
200.53
6.26
New Jersey - Northern
155.66
7.75
NYC- Downtown Manhattan NYC - Midtown Manhattan NYC - Midtown South Manhattan
275.00
7.20
440.00
4.50
1221.00
4.50
590.00
4.10
275.00
7.00
180.00
7.75
182.00
6.40
Orlando, FL
220.00
7.50
154.70
7.50
Philadelphia, PA
145.00
7.20
172.00
7.56
Phoenix, AZ
100.00
6.50
120.00
6.80
90.00
8.25
115.00
8.50
163.00
7.90
122.57
6.01
187.97
7.80
85.24
6.50
70.00
8.20
141.50
6.75
325.00
7.45
7.50
394.00
5.70
9.25
120.00
9.50
321.00
5.50
191.00
7.50
St. Louis, MO
90.00
9.50
135.00
8.50
Stamford, CT
186.00
8.00
Tampa Bay, FL
110.58
7.50
125.76
7.75
Walnut Creek, CA
369.00
5.50
180.00
8.00
Washington DC
600.00
5.28
221.00
7.10
West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL
90.00
215.00
Westchester County, NY White Plains, NY
283.73
U.S. TOTALS**
254.06
6.96
179.00
7.60
163.82
7.70
* Q1-14 data used for Sacramento, Stamford and Los Angeles markets. ** Average sales price and cap rate use straight averages.
CANADA | OFFICE INVESTMENT CBD SALES PRICE (CAD PSF)
MARKET
CBD CAP RATE (%)
SUBURBAN SUBURBAN SALES PRICE CAP RATE (CAD PSF) (%)
Edmonton, AB
279.62
5.75
Montréal, QC
265.00
6.75
185.00
6.50 7.25
Regina, SK
280.00
6.75
200.00
7.25
Saskatoon, SK
306.00
6.75
Vancouver, BC
500.00
5.00
375.00
6.25
Victoria, BC*
300.00
6.25
280.00
6.50
Waterloo Region, ON
180.00
7.50
141.00
7.50
Winnipeg, MB*
150.00
7.25
140.00
7.25
CANADA TOTALS**
251.18
5.78
188.71
6.06
*Victoria and Winnipeg report semi-annually. Q2 data displayed. **Straight averages used.
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |
P. 19
HIGHLIGHTS | Q2 2014 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA
485 offices in 63 countries on 6 continents United States: 146 Canada: 44 Latin America: 25 Asia Pacific: 186 EMEA: 84 • $2.1
billion in annual revenue
• 15,800
professionals and staff
• 1.46
billion square feet under management
• $75
billion in total transaction value
Glossary Inventory — Includes all existing multi- or single-tenant leased and owner-occupied office properties greater than or equal to 10,000 square feet (net rentable area). In some larger markets this minimum size threshold may vary up to 50,000 square feet. Does not include medical or government buildings. Vacancy Rate — Percentage of total inventory physically vacant as of the survey date, including direct vacant and sublease space. Absorption — Net change in physically occupied space over a given period of time. New Supply — Includes completed speculative and build-to-suit construction. New supply quoted on a net basis after any demolitions or conversions.
Annual Quoted Rent — Includes all costs associated with occupying a full floor in the mid-rise portion of a Class A building, inclusive of taxes, insurance, maintenance, janitorial and utilities (electricity surcharges added where applicable). All office rents in this report are quoted on an annual, gross per square foot basis. Rent calculations do not include sublease space. Cap Rate — (Or going-in cap rate) Capitalization rates in this survey are based on multi-tenant institutional grade buildings fully leased at market rents. Cap rates are calculated by dividing net operating income (NOI) by purchase price. NOTE: SF = square feet
MSF = million square feet
PSF = per square foot
CBD = central business district
COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL 601 Union Street, Suite 4800 Seattle, WA 98101 TEL +1 206 695 4200 FOR MORE INFORMATION Andrea B. Cross Office Research Manager | USA TEL +1 415 288 7892 EMAIL
[email protected] CONTRIBUTORS Jeff Simonson Senior Research Analyst | USA
VACANCY RATES
Cliff Plank National Director | GIS & Mapping
13.72
Copyright © 2014 Colliers International. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.
Accelerating success.
8.52
101.
8msf
Up from 88.2 msf at year-end 2013 75.7 msf at mid-year 2013 Note: Office statistics are based on the 87 U.S. and Canadian markets tracked by Colliers Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve of St. Louis, Colliers International
P. 20
| COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL