Conductivity (md*ft)

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HOW TO GET THE MOST OUT OF YOUR MULTI-STAGE UNCONVENTIONAL FRACTURE DESIGN Based on SPE-184816 Bob Shelley, PE Brian Davidson Koras Shah Amir Mohammadnejad, PhD Stanislav Sheludko

McGuire and Sikora Post Fracture Productivity Increase

π‘€π‘“π‘˜π‘π‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘ π‘˜π‘“π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘š 2

β€’

For high-permeability reservoirs, fracture conductivity is more important than fracture length.

β€’

For low-permeability reservoirs, fracture length is more important than fracture conductivity.

β€’

For a given fracture length, there is an optimum value of conductivity ratio

β€’

For horizontal wellbores, the number of fractures propagated can multiply the stimulation ratio for the well.

3 Well Utica Pad, Monroe Co. OH - TVD 10,600 ft. β€’

Direct Offsets – Similar Prod Start Dates – 220 Days Production

β€’ β€’

Similar Lateral Lengths Different Frac Designs – Proppant Volume & Selection – Frac Volume – Frac Stages Completed

3

Well

Prop Description

Prop. Wt. (Million Lb.)

Fluid Vol. (Million gal.)

Lateral Length (ft.)

Frac Stages Completed

Perf Clusters per Stage

A B C

Resin Coated Sand (RCS) - Sand Low Density Ceramic (LDC) - Sand Low Density Ceramic (LDC)

10.3 11.5 7.1

9.3 10.3 8.8

5,800 6,100 6,200

24 24 21

5 5 5

Well Production Comparison RCS-Sand LDC-Sand LDC

4

Well Performance Modeling Approach Production History Match

Drilling, Reservoir & Geology

Property (Unit)

FP1

FP2

FP3

Pore Pressure (psi)

9,074

9,074

9,074

Pore Pressure Gradient (psi/ft)

0.85

0.85

0.85

Reservoir Permeability (mD)

0.0035

0.0035

0.0035

Effective Fracture Half-length (ft)

170

135

100

Effective Fracture Height (ft)

110

75

75

# Fractures

114

114

114

Effective Fracture Conductivity (mD-ft)

11.0

6.0

3.0

Dimensionless Conductivity [FCD]

5.9

4.0

2.8

Frac Pressure Match

Calibrated Frac Model

Calibrated Reservoir Model Compare Fracture Characteristics

Frac Model Geometry - Wellbore Profile View RCS-Sand; 120 Fractures

LDC-Sand; 114 Fractures

LDC; 94 Fractures

Reservoir Model - Production History Match (Well B)

FP 1

7

FP 2

FP 3

Property (Unit)

FP1

FP2

FP3

Pore Pressure (psi)

9,074

9,074

9,074

Pore Pressure Gradient (psi/ft)

0.85

0.85

0.85

Reservoir Permeability (mD)

0.0035

0.0035

0.0035

# Fractures

114

114

114

Effective Fracture Half-length (ft)

170

135

100

Effective Fracture Height (ft)

110

75

75

Effective Fracture Conductivity (mD-ft)

11.0

6.0

3.0

Dimensionless Conductivity [Fcd]

5.9

4.0

2.8

Surface Flowing Pressure & Stress on Proppant (Well B) Actual Flowing Pressure (psi)

8000

6,800 psi

Stress on Proppant (psi)

7000 6000

4,500 psi

5000 4000 3000 2000 1000

Flow Period 1

Flow Period 3

Flow Period 2

0 0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Producing Time (Days) 8

140

160

180

200

220

Stress vs. Proppant Conductivity 20

-36%

-58% -60% -90%

Conductivity (md*ft)

LDC 30/50 White Sand 30/50

15 4,500 psi

6,800 psi

10

5

0 1000

3000

5000

7000

Stress (psi) 9

9000

11000

Source: Dynamic Conductivity from PredictK (StimLab)

Fracture Modeling RCS - Sand Most Degradation

LDC - Sand

Most Effective

LDC Most Efficient

Fracture Characteristics

RCSSand

LDCSand

LDC

Proppant (lb)

85,800

100,900

75,500

Fluid Volume (gal)

77,500

90,400

93,600

Avg Created Half-Length (ft)

650

730

680

Avg. Propped Half-Length (ft)

540

630

530

Avg Propped height (ft)

200

230

190

Effective Half-Length (ft)

150 - 75

170 - 100

165 - 100

Effective Height (ft)

85 - 60

110 - 75

65 - 60

Effective Cond. (md-ft)

10 - 2

11 - 3

10 - 5

Contributing Area (Msqft/frac) 25.5 – 9.0 37.4 – 15.0 21.5 – 12.0 Fracture Efficiency %

8

12.0 - 4.2

12.9 - 5.3

10.5 - 6.1

Fracture Efficiency vs. Conductivity Fracture Efficiency (FE) = Effective Area (Aeff)/Propped Area (Aprop)

LDC LDC-Sand RCS-Sand

r2=0.965

𝐹𝐸 = 0.01 βˆ— 𝐹𝑐 + 0.02

9

Frac Design Production Forecasts 4

Cumulative Gas (BCF)

3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

Case

Lateral Length (ft)

Frac Cost (Millon $)

Frac Stages

Total Proppant (Million lb)

Fluid Volume (Thousand BBL)

1Y Cum Gas (BCF)

Resin Coated Sand-Sand

5,800

$1.91

24

10.3

221

2.8

Sand

5,800

$1.51

24

10.3

221

2.3

Large Sand

5,800

$2.50

24

21.3

389

3.2

Low Density Ceramic-Sand

5,800

$2.64

24

12.1

258

3.7

0.5

Time (Years) 10

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

Frac Design Economic Forecasts

11

Case

1 Year NPV (Million $)

Fracturing Cost Total Proppant Fluid Volume (Million $) (Million lb) (Thousand BBL)

Low Density Ceramic-Sand

$7.92

$2.64

12.1

Trk Loads Proppant

1 Y Cum Gas (BCF)

258

270

3.7

Large Sand

$6.69

$2.50

21.3

389

473

3.2

Resin Coated Sand-Sand

$6.20

$1.91

10.3

221

229

2.8

Sand

$5.03

$1.51

10.3

221

229

2.3

2 Well Utica Pad, Belmont Co. OH - TVD 8,600 ft. o

o

Each Well used Different Frac Designs o

Large volume 100% sand

o

Smaller volume 100% ceramic

Frac Stage Cost Neutral

Parameter (Unit) Horizontal Length (ft) # of Stages # of Clusters/Stage Cluster Spacing (ft) Total Proppant (MMlb) Total Fluid (Mbbl) 2017 Frac Cost (MM$)

Ceramic 6,840 27 5 48 5.6 143 2.6

Sand 9,110 38 5 48 17.0 258 3.5

Well Production Comparison

Fracture Modeling Sand Frac

100 Day Production History Match Frac Type

Sand Well Frac Stages Leff – 188’

Sand 38

27

8,100

5,400

5

5

Created Half Length (ft)

469

342

Prop HalfLLength (ft) – 206’

447

332

Prop Height (ft)

212

202

𝐹𝑐𝑑 =

Fcd = 2.1

Prop Wt (lb)/Stage

Leff

Frac Vol (bbl)/Stage

Lprop

Ceramic

Fractures/Stage

π‘˜π‘π‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘βˆ—π‘€π‘“ 450,000 200,000 πœ‹βˆ—π‘˜βˆ—πΏ

Ceramic Well

Ceramic Frac

eff

𝐿

Fcd = 3.6 Leff

Lprop

Frac Conductivity (md-ft) 𝑒𝑓𝑓

β‰ˆ

π‘˜π‘π‘Ÿπ‘œπ‘ 103 βˆ—π‘€π‘“ 158 πœ‹βˆ—π‘˜βˆ—πΉπ‘π‘‘

Fracture Effectiveness over Time 230 Day Production History Matches Sand Leff – 140 ft

Formation Pressure Frac Type Perm Gradient (mD) (psi/ft) Sand Ceramic

0.0087 0.0087

0.8 0.8

Ceramic Leff – 190 ft

100 day 100 Day 100 day Est Stress 230 Day Leff (ft) md-ft On Prop Leff (ft) (psi) 188 206

11 20

3,383 3,745

140 190

230 Day Change Change md-ft Leff md-ft 2.25 5.00

-26% -8%

-80% -75%

230 day Est Stress On Prop (psi)

Cum Gas per Frac Stage (MCF)

4,517 4,985

56,157 78,351

40% More

Proppant Characteristics Comparison Laboratory Conductivity Measurements at 1 lb/ft2 Concentration

Day 0

Day 100 Day 230

Conductivity (md-ft)

Fc Ratioβ‰ˆ1.5 Fc Ratioβ‰ˆ2.1 Fc Ratioβ‰ˆ2.8

Stress (psi)

Utica Operator Perspective β€’

β€’

Consol Energy, September 2016, SPE 184078, Dry Utica Proppant and Frac Fluid Design Optimization; β€œfor the ceramic well to be cost effective, between 20% to 30% uplift in production is needed to justify the incremental capex in todays markets. Based on the current production data and BHFP, the ceramic well is on the path to reaching those expectations.” EQT, February 2017, World Oil Shaletech; β€œWe had a view that maybe sand would work, and at the time would be significantly cheaper than ceramics, so we switched over,” says new CEO Steven T. Schlotterbeck. β€œThose next couple of wells were significant underperformers from the Scotts Run. And then we switched back to ceramics for the last couple of wells, and they were significantly better than the wells with sand. Those two wells have gotten us much closer to the target recoveries that we think we need. Our current plans is to use ceramics for all wells in the future.”

5 Well Eagle Ford Pad, McMullen Co. TX - TVD 10,600 ft. β€’ β€’

β€’

Significant fracture inefficiency. Apparent fracture degradation with aggressive production drawdown. Data indicates that there is a positive relationship between fracture conductivity and efficiency.

Fracture Efficiency (FE) = Effective Area (Aeff)/Propped Area (Aprop)

20

3 Well Eagle Ford Pad, McMullen Co. TX - TVD 11,600 ft. β€’ β€’

β€’

Significant fracture inefficiency Apparent fracture degradation with aggressive production drawdown. Data indicates that there is a positive relationship between fracture conductivity and efficiency.

Fracture Efficiency (FE) = Effective Area (Aeff)/Propped Area (Aprop)

21

Summary ο‚§ All of the cases presented indicate significant hydraulic fracture inefficiency. ο‚§ Due to stranding of large portions of the propped fracture area which consequently do not contribute to well performance.

ο‚§ Increasing fracture conductivity appears to mitigate this issue resulting in improved fracture effectiveness, greater effective frac length and area.

ο‚§ Proppant placement difficulties which reduce cluster efficiency, proppant and treatment volumes placed; decrease fracture effectiveness and well production. ο‚§ These issues can be caused by formation and/or completion/frac design issues.

ο‚§ This data indicates that a hydraulic fracture’s effectiveness degrades over time. It was necessary to incorporate fracture degradation to match the production performance of these wells. ο‚§ Pressure drawdown due to production which increases the stress on proppants appears to reduce fracture conductivity and effective fracture area. 22

Thank You!