Control Risks: The World of Risks 2016

Control Risks: The World of Risks 2016 March 24, 2016

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An overview of Control Risks’ RiskMap 2016

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Global risk information and the Risk Manager

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Q&A

Key Trends For 2016

Six Cs for 2016

China (GDP) 16 14 12 10 8 6 New normal?

4 2 0 1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

Commodities

Since 2011 Food  25% Minerals  50% Energy  50% 2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

= Acute fiscal pressure

Corruption

Romania

China

Mexico Guatemala Nigeria Peru

India

Malaysia

Indonesia Brazil South Africa Reduced political stability in EMs

Crime

Violent, transnational organized crime will remain the main security threat in South and Central America

Maintenance of “ungoverned spaces” across the Sahel region will facilitate further convergence of crime and militancy

Converging networks and tactics

Increased exploitation of cyber methods to enhance and expand illicit activity

Competition

Geopolitics is back for the long haul

Conflict

Turkey

Russia

Western Europe

North America

Terrorism Refugees War

Resolution Syria Iraq remains unlikely GCC states

Afghanistan & Pakistan

SE Asia

Australia North Africa

RISKMAP

2016

RISKMAP

2016

RISKMAP

2016

RISKMAP

2016

RISKMAP

2016

Iain Donald | Senior Managing Director [email protected]

Questions?