Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
2016?
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Gridlock!
• House: 247 R, 188 D • Senate: 54 R, 46 D
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Dems. Toss-ups
185 Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
16
Reps.
234
Red States Carried by Obama FL, IA, IL, NH, OH, PA, WI
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
3 Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
50
• Demographics • Economy/GDP • The Clinton Machine • Bush fatigue • Trump backlash Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
• Third term tough • Some GOP winners running • Obama/Clinton fatigue • Democratic disarray Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
85 Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
206
Are we headed for: Hillary vs. Jeb? Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Hillary
“Don’t Stop Thinking About the Nineties”
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Jeb
“I Am Not My Brother’s Keeper”
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Republicans: No Early Favorite Tier #1: The Long-Shot Frontrunners Donald Trump Ben Carson Carly Fiorina
Tier #2: Best Positioned Distance Runners Jeb Bush Marco Rubio John Kasich Ted Cruz
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Republicans: No Early Favorite Tier #3: The Breakthrough Seekers Mike Huckabee Chris Christie Rand Paul Bobby Jindal Rick Santorum Lindsey Graham George Pataki Jim Gilmore
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Hillary: A Coronation or a Contest? Tier #1: The Damaged Frontrunner
Hillary Clinton Tier #2: The Emerging Challenger
Bernie Sanders
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Hillary: A Coronation or a Contest? Tier #3: The Wild Card
Joe Biden Tier #4: The Others
Martin O’Malley Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Lawrence Lessig Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball
Free! Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Available from the following:
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Gridlock!
• House: 247 R, 188 D • Senate: 54 R, 46 D
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Dems. Toss-ups
185 Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
16
Reps.
234
Red States Carried by Obama FL, IA, IL, NH, OH, PA, WI
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
3 Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
50
• Demographics • Economy/GDP • The Clinton Machine • Bush fatigue • Trump backlash Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
• Third term tough • Some GOP winners running • Obama/Clinton fatigue • Democratic disarray Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
85 Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
206
Are we headed for: Hillary vs. Jeb? Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Hillary
“Don’t Stop Thinking About the Nineties”
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Jeb
“I Am Not My Brother’s Keeper”
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Republicans: No Early Favorite Tier #1: The Long-Shot Frontrunners Donald Trump Ben Carson Carly Fiorina
Tier #2: Best Positioned Distance Runners Jeb Bush Marco Rubio John Kasich Ted Cruz
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Republicans: No Early Favorite Tier #3: The Breakthrough Seekers Mike Huckabee Chris Christie Rand Paul Bobby Jindal Rick Santorum Lindsey Graham George Pataki Jim Gilmore
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Hillary: A Coronation or a Contest? Tier #1: The Damaged Frontrunner
Hillary Clinton Tier #2: The Emerging Challenger
Bernie Sanders
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Hillary: A Coronation or a Contest? Tier #3: The Wild Card
Joe Biden Tier #4: The Others
Martin O’Malley Jim Webb Lincoln Chafee Lawrence Lessig Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball
Free! Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
Available from the following:
Copyright Larry J. Sabato 2015
