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International Year of the Potato 2008

The global potato economy

World potato production 1990-2006 200

Ad valorem import tariffs are used Developed countries Developing countries to protect domestic potato markets. Other

China and India now account for of 30processed percent products Imports and exports now dominate world potato trade of world potato output Russian Russian Global potato trade volume (tuber equivalent), Federation Federation USA 13%1986-2005 11% USA 6% 7%

million tonnes

EU 29%

EU 20%

25

processed volume

fresh volum

20

others* 30%

100 15

India 6%

China 15%

China 22%

10

Major producers, 1992/94 (av.)

Major producers, 2003/05 (av.)

5

2002

2001

2000

1998

1997

Developing countries

1996

Developed countries

* including Ukraine, Belarus, Canada, Islamic Republic of Iran, Turkey, Bangladesh, Peru, Brazil 0 1995

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

1994

0

1993

50

others* 33%

India 8%

1999

150

Despite its importance as a staple food and in combating hunger and poverty, potato has been neglected in agricultural development policies for food crops

0 Trade policies 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 200

1992

Developing countries are net importers in international potato trade, which in 2005 was estimated to be worth US$6 billion.

Potatoes are commonly regarded as a bulky, perishable commodity with high transport costs and limited export potential, confined mostly to cross-border transactions. These constraints have

World potato production International trade in 1990-2006 potatoes and potato products still remains thin 200 relative to production, as only around 6150percent of output is traded. High transport costs, including the cost of 100 refrigeration, are major obstacles to a50wider international marketplace.

1991

In international trade, both the value and volume of traded processed products far outweigh trade in fresh tubers

not hampered the international potato trade, which has doubled in volume and risen almost fourfold in value since the mid-1980s. This growth is due to unprecedented international demand for processed products, particularly frozen and dehydrated potato products. To date, developing countries have not been beneficiaries of this trade expansion. As a group, they have emerged as leading net importers of the commodity.

1990

Global consumption is shifting from fresh potatoes to addedvalue processed products

Fresh potato consumption, once the mainstay of world potato utilization, is decreasing in many countries, especially in developed regions. Currently, more potatoes are processed to meet rising demand from the fast food, snack and convenience food industries. The major drivers behind this development include growing urban populations, rising incomes, the diversification of diets and lifestyles that leave less time for preparing the fresh product for consumption.

In 2006, the world produced some 315 million tonnes of potatoes. Photo: © FAO

1989

Subsistence potato growing in developing countries is declining as producers reorient toward domestic and international markets

In 2005, the developing countries’ share of global potato output stood at 52 percent, surpassing that of the developed world. This is a remarkable achievement, considering that just 20 years ago the developing countries’ share in global production was little more than 20 percent. Even so, world potato production and consumption are currently expanding more slowly than the global population.

1988

In 2005, for the first time, the developing world’s potato production exceeded that of the developed world

Commonwealth of Independent States, has declined on average by one percent per annum over the past 20 years. However, output in developing countries has expanded at an average rate of five percent per year. Asian countries, particularly China and India, fuelled this growth.

1987

Key points

Potato production in developed countries, especially in Europe and the

1986

Developing countries are now the world’s biggest potato producers – and importers – and consumer demand is shifting from fresh tubers to processed products

Countries wishing to supply potato commodities to the international market – especially to the more lucrative developed country markets – also face

About IYP 2008 The International Year of the Potato, to be celebrated throughout 2008, aims at raising global awareness of the potato’s key role in agriculture, the economy and world food security.

Credits: Information provided by the Trade and Markets Division, FAO.

20

-2 -3 -4

WTO Bound Tariff (%) Product

Trade Weighted Average

Maximum

Fresh potatoes (inc. seed)

29

378

Frozen potatoes

16

414

Potato flour*

38

446

Potato starch

109

550

* includes flour, meal, flakes, granules and pellets

Contact: International Year of the Potato Secretariat Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Room C-776 Viale delle Terme di Caracalla 00153 Rome, Italy Tel. + (39) 06-5705-5859, 06-5705-4233 E-mail: [email protected]

2004

2003

1999 2003 2000 2004

1997 2001 1998 2002

1995 1999 1996 2000

1993 1997 1994 1998

1991 1995 1992 1996

Potato’s positive attributes, particularly its high nutritional value and potential to boost incomes, have not received the attention they deserve from governments. The lack of established marketing channels, inadequate institutional support and infrastructure, and restrictive trade policies are impediments to commercialization of the sector. National and international stakeholders need to place potato higher on the development agenda.

2005

2004

Potato potential

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1986

2005

2004

2003

2001 2005 2002

1999 2003 2000 2004

1997 2001 1998 2002

-5

-5

2001 2005 2002

20

20

20

20

20

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

considerable hurdles in the form of food Net trade position of developing countries continues to deteriorate health standards and technical regulations. Potato net trade (exports-imports) The Doha Development Round of in tuber equivalent, 1986-2005 trade negotiations recognizes the million tonnes 5 developing negative impacts of tariffcountries escalation 4 developed countries 3 and contains important provisions 2 1 aimed at ensuring that standards and 0 regulations-1 do not become de facto -2 barriers to-3trade or hidden protectionist -4 policies, while at the same time putting -5 public health concerns foremost. Unfortunately, negotiations pertaining to the Doha agenda have suffered a series of setbacks, and agreement on a final solution has yet to materialize. 1994

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

2005

4 500

www.potato2008.org

0

1993

million US$ freshpotatoes value processed value Import tariffs on and potato 4 000 3 500 products are applied by most countries. 3 000 The binding rates agreed under the 2 500 2 000 aegis of the World Trade Organization 1 500 vary 1 000considerably. Potato provides a 500 classic example of “tariff escalation”, 0 where importing countries protect processing industries by levying higher duties on processed products than on raw material. By preventing countries from diversifying their export base into higher-value processed products, tariff escalation can therefore keep them “trapped” as providers of raw material.

-1

-4 1995 1999 1996 2000

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

1994

1993

1992

1991

1990

1989

1988

1987

1986

policies that restrict access to markets Global transactions worth close to US$6 billion, driven by processed include sanitarypotatoes and phytosanitary Global potato trade value, 1986-2005 measures and technical barriers to trade.

0

-1

-3

500

0

1

0

-2

1 000

500

0

1986

1 500

1992

1 000

1991

1 500

5

1990

,) 1992/94 (av.) Major producers, Major2003/05 producers, (av.) 2003/05 (av.)

Belarus, Canada, Islamic Republic of Iran, Turkey, nada, Islamic Republic of Iran, Turkey, Brazil

2

1

1989 1993 1990 1994

2 000

2 000

2

1987 1991 1988 1992

2 500

1989 1986 1990

2 500

3

1988

3 000

5

developing developing countries countries 4 developed developed countries countries 3

4

1987

3 500

3 000

1993 1997 1994 1998

10

3 500

5

value fresh valuefresh value processedprocessed value

1989

China 22%

a

4 000

1991 1995 1992 1996

China 22%

4 000

1988

15

4 500

1987

others* 33%

others* 33%

India 8%

million tonnes million tonnes

4 500

1986

20 India others* 8% 30%

million US$million US$ fresh volume

1989 1993 1990 1994

processed volume

1987 1991 1988 1992

20%

1989 1986 1990

20% 25

Net tradeNet position developing countriescountries tradeof position of developing continuescontinues to deteriorate to deteriorate Potato net tradenet (exports-imports) Potato trade (exports-imports) in tuber equivalent, 1986-2005 in tuber equivalent, 1986-2005

1987

others* 30%

EU tonnesEU million

Global transactions worth close to US$6 Global transactions worth closebillion, to US$6 billion, driven bydriven processed potatoes potatoes by processed Global potato value, 1986-2005 Globaltrade potato trade value, 1986-2005

1988

account for 30 percent dia now account for 30 percent Imports and exports of processed products ut ato output now dominate world potato trade Russian sian Russian Federation ation Federation Global potato trade (tuber equivalent), USAvolume 11% USA % 11% USA 6% 6% 1986-2005 7%

19

19

Developing countries

1986

d countries