Earnings Presentation

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Earnings Presentation Q4 2017

www.savola.com

DISCLAIMER This presentation contains forward-looking statements which may be identified by the use of words like “plans,” “expects,” “will,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “intends,” “projects,” “estimates” or other words of similar meaning. All statements that address expectations or projections about the future, including, but not limited to, statements about the strategy for growth, market position, expenditures, and financial results, are forward looking statements.

Forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events. The Savola Group (Savola or Group), its subsidiaries and its affiliates (the “Companies”) referred to in this presentation cannot guarantee that these assumptions and expectations are accurate or will be realized. The actual results, performance or achievements of the Companies, could thus differ materially from those projected in any such forward-looking statements. The Companies assume no responsibility to publicly amend, modify or revise any forward looking statements, on the basis of any subsequent developments, information or events, or otherwise. The Q4 2017 numbers are based on interim unaudited financials.

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GROUP – HIGHLIGHTS •

In Q4 2017, the Group reported a net loss of SAR 37.5 mn; compared to a loss of SAR 915.7 mn last year due to margins improvement and lower operating expenses, and lower exceptional items.



Savola’s retail segment recorded a net loss of SAR 407.6 mn for Q4 2017 compared to a loss of SAR 543 last year. This year loss includes a SAR 302 mn goodwill impairment and store closure and project write-off cost while last year’s net loss included SAR 377 mn loss from the inventory reduction campaign, implying a loss of SAR 106 vs. SAR 166 mn in the same quarter last year. The turnaround is ongoing; the business has maintained the negative working capital position and cash flow from operations is positive.



Savola Foods recorded a net profit of SAR 198 mn; with an adjusted net profit of SAR 258 mn compared to a loss of 221 last year given the sugar losses and impairments in the same period last year.



Herfy recorded a net income of SAR 47.8 mn for the quarter, a decline of 13.9% compared to the same quarter last year.



Almarai recorded a profit of SAR 512.9 mn in Q4, translating into SAR 177.1 mn net income contribution to the Group.



Savola share of goodwill impairment and store closure costs is SAR 275 mn. 3

Q4 2017 – SNAPSHOT

GROUP

RETAIL

FOODS

HERFY INVESTMENTS

»

Q4 2017 revenue of SAR 5.8 bn (Q4 2016: SAR 6.8 bn)

»

Q4 2017 net loss SAR 37.5 mn (Q4 2016 net loss : SAR 915.7 mn)

»

Q4 2017 adjusted net income is SAR 328 mn

»

»

Q4 2017 revenue of SAR 3.0 bn (Q4 2016: SAR 3.4 bn) Q4 2017 net loss of SAR 407.6 mn (Q4 2016: net loss of SAR 543.0 mn) Goodwill impairment of SAR 222 mn and stores closure and project write-off of SAR 80 mn Q4 2017 adjusted net loss is SAR 106 mn

»

Q4 2017 revenue of SAR 2.6 bn (Q4 2016: 3.1 bn)

»

Q4 2017 net income of SAR 198.0 mn (Q4 2016: net loss of SAR 224.0 mn)

»

Currency exchange effect of SAR 60 mn

»

Q4 2017 adjusted net income is SAR 258 mn

»

Q4 2017 revenue of SAR 299.0 mn (Q4 2016: SAR 280.2 mn)

»

Q4 2017 net income of SAR 47.8 mn (Q4 2016: SAR 55.5 mn)

»

Almarai recorded quarterly net income of SAR 512.9 mn

» »

4

FY2017 – SNAPSHOT »

GROUP

» » » »

RETAIL

FOODS

HERFY INVESTMENTS

2017 revenue of SAR 23.8 bn (2016: SAR 26.3 bn) 2017 net profit of SAR 1,025.6 mn (2016 net loss : SAR 363.3 mn) Capital gain of SAR 693.9 million from the sale of 2% of Almarai shares 2017 adjusted net income is SAR 645 mn

»

2017 revenue of SAR 11.6 bn (2016: SAR 13.6 bn) 2017 net loss of SAR 1,016.0 mn (2016: net loss of SAR 810.6 mn) Goodwill impairment of SAR 222 mn, stores closure and project write-off of SAR 80 mn and a capital gain of SAR 68 mn from lease rights 2017 adjusted net loss is SAR 782 mn

»

2017 revenue of SAR 11.4 bn (2016: 11.9 bn)

»

2017 net income of SAR 606.7 mn (2016: net income of SAR 126.1 mn)

»

Currency exchange effect of SAR 60 mn

»

2017 adjusted net income is SAR 651 mn

»

2017 revenue of SAR 1.2 bn (2016: SAR 1.2 bn)

»

2017 net income of SAR 200.0 mn (2016: SAR 217.6 mn)

»

Almarai recorded yearly net income of SAR 2,182.3 mn

» »

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GROUP – CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

EBIT

Net Income

Adjusted Net Income

1,152

311

(38)

328

-14.5% vs. LY

+25.8% vs. LY

vs. (105) LY

vs. (916) LY

+866% vs. LY

23,832

4,386

1,023

1,026

645

-9.5% vs. LY

-6.8% vs. LY

-2.3% vs. LY

vs. (363) LY

-28% vs. LY

Revenue

Gross Profit

5,796

SAR Mn

Q4 2017

2017

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GROUP – CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS SAR Mn

YoY Sales

Growth

Margin

FY Sales -10%

-6%

-9%

-8%

-14% 26,331

6,422

5,833

Q1 2016 Q1 2017

7,141

6,711

Q2 2016 Q2 2017

5,993

5,492

6,775

5,796

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

Q4 2016

Q4 2017

YoY Gross Profit -14%

-18%

1,273

1,040

Q1 2016 Q1 2017 19.8%

17.8%

1,333

1,140

Q2 2016

Q2 2017

18.7%

17.0%

Note: the figures presented in the charts are rounded

FY 2017

-7%

+26%

1,054

Q3 2016 Q3 2017 19.7%

FY 2016

FY Gross Profit

-11%

1,183

23,832

19.2%

916

Q4 2016 13.5%

4,704

4,386

Q4 2017

FY 2016

FY 2017

19.9%

17.9%

18.4%

1,152

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GROUP – CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS SAR Mn

YoY EBITDA

Growth

Margin

FY EBITDA +3%

-36%

-35%

+5% 683

512

440

332

+589%

512

488

1,761

1,817

FY 2016

FY 2017

533 77

Q1 2016 Q1 2017 8.0%

5.7%

Q2 2016 Q2 2017 9.6%

6.6%

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

8.1%

9.3%

Q4 2016 1.1%

Q4 2017 9.2%

YoY Net Profit -96%

-10%

-96%

829 254

Q1 2016 Q1 2017 1.9%

0.1%

(916)

(363)

180 Q2 2016 Q2 2017 3.6%

3.4%

Note: the figures presented in the charts are rounded

Q3 2016 3.0%

1,026

(38)

229

5

7.6%

FY Net Profit

+362%

119

6.7%

Q3 2017

Q4 2016

15.1%

-13.5%

Q4 2017 -0.6%

FY 2016 -1.4%

FY 2017 4.3% 8

GROUP – CONSOLIDATED REVENUE MIX, NET DEBT & CAPEX SAR Bn

Revenue by Business

FY 2016 SAR 26.3 Bn

Net Debt

FY 2017 SAR 23.8 Bn

4.3%

-21%

4.8% 44.7%

51.0%

7,659

Foods Food Services

6,048

47.1%

Retail

48.1% Dec-16

Revenue by Geography

CAPEX

FY 2017 SAR 23.8 Bn

FY 2016 SAR 26.3 Bn

-57%

7.2%

7.7% 10.5% 8.7%

KSA

11.0%

Egypt

1,268

9.0%

Iran

550

Others

73.2%

Dec-17

72.9% FY 2016

FY 2017 9

(451) (363)

26

YTD 2017 Adjusted NI

25

Gain on Sale of Marai Shares

Panda Goodwill Impairment

65 60

Store closure and project write-off

62

FX impact

33

Share of impairment loss from an associate

1,026

Capital Gain on Sale of Hyper Panda UAE

Adjusted FY 2016 Net Income

Dilution Gain on USCE

YTD 2017 reported NI

374

YTD Dec 2016 normalized NI

343

Pandati store closures cost

Inventory Cleanup

Morocco Reinstatement

FX impact

SFC Impairments

20

Loss from Hosoon

88 272

Non-Core Impairment

YTD 2016 IFRS adjusted NI

IFRS Adjustment

YTD Dec 2016 reported NI

IMPLICATIONS OF EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS SAR Mn

Adjusted FY 2017 Net Income

-28%

202

73 694

645

898

245

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PANDA RETAIL COMPANY

RETAIL – HIGHLIGHTS • In November 2017 Dr. Bandar joined as Panda’s CEO replacing Rayan Fayez who was the acting CEO. • The transformation exercise started end of last year and continued in 2017 with several initiatives being made throughout the year. • One supermarket was closed and one opened during the 4th quarter while 37 Pandati stores were closed. Total retail selling space decreased by -0.29% in Q4 2017 from Dec 2016. • Month on month customer count and average daily sales trends have improved over the year, although the year was challenging with deflation, overall decline in retail market, expat exodus and pressure on disposable incomes. • Reported net loss for Q4 2017 for Retail was SAR 408 mn, compared to SAR 543 mn last year • Adjusted Net loss for Q4 after removing Goodwill impairment and exceptional items is SAR 106 mn, compared to a loss of SAR 543 mn in Q4 2016. 12

RETAIL - SNAPSHOT

Revenue

Gross Profit

Net Loss

Adjusted Net Loss

Selling Space

2,985

652

(408)

(106)

-12.6% vs. LY

+191% vs. LY

vs. (543) LY

vs. (166) LY

Reduced by 6,136 m2

11,644

2,326

(1,016)

-14.2% vs. LY

-1.3% vs. LY

vs. (811) LY

SAR m

Q4 2017

2017

(782) vs. (359) LY

Total Space 750,625 m2

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RETAIL – FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Growth

SAR Mn

Margin

FY Sales

YoY Sales

-14% -13% -17%

-15%

-13% 13,572

3,874 3,271

3,389

2,721

Q1 2016

Q1 2017

Q2 2016

Q2 2017

3,014

2,549

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

3,414

2,985

Q4 2016

Q4 2017

11,644

FY 2016

FY 2017

FY Gross Profit

YoY Gross Profit

-1% -29%

741

-20%

529

735

-15%

586

656

+191% 2,357

2,326

Q4 2017

FY 2016

FY 2017

21.9%

17.4%

653

558 224

Q1 2016

Q1 2017

Q2 2016

22.7%

19.5%

19.0%

Q2 2017

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

17.3%

21.8%

21.9%

Note: the figures presented in the charts are rounded

Q4 2016 6.6%

20.0% 14

RETAIL – FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Margin

SAR Mn

YoY EBITDA

99

FY EBITDA

34 (18)

4 (409)

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

Q4 2016

Q4 2017

FY 2016

FY 2017

-0.6%

-2.8%

-12.0%

0.1%

-2.2%

-2.1%

(293)

(86)

Q1 2016 Q1 2017 3.0%

-3.1%

Q2 2016 Q2 2017 0.9%

-2.5%

YoY Net Profit

(32)

(94)

(160)

-1.0%

-8.4%

Q2 2016 Q2 2017 -2.4%

-4.7%

Note: the figures presented in the charts are rounded

FY Net Profit

(142)

(408)

(811)

Q4 2016

Q4 2017

FY 2016

FY 2017

-15.9%

-13.7%

-6.0%

-8.7%

(219)

(543)

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

-4.5%

-8.1%

(230)

Q1 2016 Q1 2017

(241)

(75)

(84)

(1,016)

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RETAIL – NUMBER OF STORES BY QUARTER Hyper Hyper

Super 4 in Egypt

1 KSA 1 Egypt

163

1

2

(4)

KSA Hyper

162 66

Dec 2016

Q1 ’17

Q2 ’17

Q3 ’17

Q4 ’17

Closures YTD ’17

Dec 2016

UAE Hyper

Egypt Hyper

1

1

Q1 ’17

Q2 ’17

(1)

Q3 ’17

67

Q4 Closures YTD ’17 ’17

Total Total

Pandati

Selling Area 750,625 m2

Selling Area 752,784 m2

(YTD Decline: -0.29%)

181

410

1

138

3

(49)

(44) Dec 2016

Q1 ’17

Q2 ’17

Q3 ’17

Q4 Closures YTD ’17 ’17

367

1

2

Dec 2016

Q1 ’17

Q2 ’17

Q3 ’17

Q4 Closures YTD ’17 ’17 16

SAVOLA FOODS

FOODS – HIGHLIGHTS • Q4 2017 total revenue of SAR 2.59 billion is 17.7% below Q4 2016 revenue of SAR 3.14 billion while 2017 revenue was 11.38 billion vs. 2016 revenue of 11.89 billion (-4.2%) attributed to the following: • • •

Oil revenues decreased by 3.6% across Arabia, Egypt, Iran and Turkey Sugar revenues decreased by 3.4% due to USC KSA Pasta revenues decreased by 21.7%

• Total volume of 3,319 k MT 2.2% below 2016 attributed to the following: • Oil volumes increased by 1.6% • Sugar volumes decreased by 6.5% • Pasta volumes decreased by 2.6% • Reported net income for Q4 2017 for Food was SAR 198 mn; compared to a loss of 221 last year due to lower forex and impairment charges compared to the previous period last year. The adjusted net profit is SAR 258 mn.

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FOODS - SNAPSHOT

EBIT

Net Income

Adjusted Net Income

415

266

198

258

-17.7% vs. LY

-11.3% vs. LY

+1.6% vs. LY

vs. (221) LY

vs. +138 LY

11,384

1,731

908

607

651

-4.2% vs. LY

-7.4% vs. LY

-5.8% vs. LY

+381% vs. LY

vs. +680 LY

Revenue

Gross Profit

2,585

SAR m

Q4 2017

2017

19

FOODS – FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Growth

SAR Mn

YoY Sales

Margin

FY Sales -4%

+1%

+1% -1%

2,954

2,925

Q1 2016

Q1 2017

-18% 11,887

11,384

FY 2016

FY 2017

3,146

3,103

Q2 2016

Q2 2017

2.717

2.699

3,142

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

Q4 2016

2,585

Q4 2017

YoY Gross Profit

FY Gross Profit -7%

-8%

-5%

-5%

447

425

Q1 2016

Q1 2017

15.3%

14.4%

523

481

432

Q2 2016

Q2 2017

16.9%

15.3%

Note: the figures presented in the charts are rounded

-11%

409

468

415

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

Q4 2016

Q4 2017

15.9%

15.2%

14.9%

16.1%

1,869

1,731

FY 2016

FY 2017

15.7%

15.2% 20

FOODS – FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Margin

Growth

SAR Mn

YoY EBITDA

FY EBITDA -4%

-11%

+3%

0%

-12% 261

339

303

228

227

297

306

Q2 2016

Q2 2017

Q3 2016

Q3 2017

Q4 2016

Q4 2017

10.9%

9.6%

8.4%

9.4%

11.8%

1,114

1,065

FY 2016

FY 2017

229

Q1 2016 Q1 2017 8.9%

7.8%

8.4%

YoY Net Profit +34%

+5%

9.4%

FY Net Profit

+8%

-190% +381%

198 106

111

Q1 2016 Q1 2017 3.6%

3.7%

144 Q2 2016 4.6%

192

98

106 (221)

Q2 2017 6.1%

Note: the figures presented in the charts are rounded

Q3 2016 36%

9.4%

Q3 2017 3.9%

Q4 2016 -7.0%

Q4 2017 7.7%

126

607

FY 2016

FY 2017

1.1%

5.3% 21

FOODS – OIL SEGMENT ANALYSIS SAR Mn

Volume (MT 000)

Revenues

+1.6%

1,580 5%

-3.6%

1,605 5% 5%

4%

8%

9%

9%

10%

31%

14%

29%

8,166

30%

13%

6%

11%

34%

Algeria YoY +14% Turkey YoY +3%

14%

Iran YoY -2%

29%

Egypt YoY -5%

7,871 5% 7%

11%

Morocco YoY +6% Sudan YoY +21%

4% 4%

28%

33%

11%

29%

KSA YoY +2%

FY 2016

FY 2017

Note: the figures presented in the charts are rounded

4%

Morocco YoY +13% Sudan YoY +17% Algeria YoY +18% Turkey YoY -7%

Iran YoY -5% Egypt YoY -22% KSA YoY -1%

FY 2016

FY 2017 22

FOODS – SUGAR SEGMENT ANALYSIS SAR Mn

Volume (MT ‘000) (1)

Revenues (1) KSA YoY -6%

KSA YoY -4%

Egypt YoY -9%

Egypt YoY 0%

-6.5%

-3.4%

3,184

1,521

3,076

1,422

89%

89%

89%

89%

11%

11%

11%

11%

FY 2016

FY 2017

FY 2016

FY 2017

(1) Sugar volumes and revenues include only the contribution from sugar operations (USC and ASC).

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FINANCIAL SUMMARY

FINANCIALS – FY 2017 (all figures are in SAR millions) Segment Wise Financials FY 2017 Revenue Food Oil-Mature Markets Oil-Start-up Markets* Total Oil

Gross Profit

EBIT

FY 2016 Net Income

EBITDA

Revenue

Gross Profit

EBIT

Net Income

EBITDA

6,608 1,275 7,883

1,199 155 1,354

600 64 664

463 42 504

672 76 748

7,070 1,097 8,167

1,395 90 1,485

777 12 790

470 5 475

843 25 868

Sugar

3,084

318

216

86

278

3,188

263

108

(345)

166

Pasta

417

59

28

16

39

532

121

66

(4)

80

11,384

1,731

908

607

1,065

11,887

1,869

964

126

1,114

11,472 173 11,644

2,307 19 2,326

(758) (25) (783)

(1,057) 41 (1,016)

(224) (17) (241)

13,233 339 13,572

2,294 63 2,357

(739) (2) (741)

(809) (2) (811)

(297) 3 (293)

1,158 (355)

337 (8)

215 (55) 785 (47)

200 (55) 785 505

285 (55) 785 (22)

1,157 (285)

348 130

230 (55) 786 (137)

218 (55) 786 (628)

310 (55) 786 (101)

4,386

1,023

1,026

26,331

4,704

Total Foods Retail KSA Overseas Total Retail Herfy Real Estate Al Marai-Savola Share HQ/Elimination/Impairments Total

23,832

Adjustments Non-Core Impairments Foods Impairments Retail Inventory Reduction Foods FX Losses Store Closure and project write-off PANDA Goodwill Impairment-Geant Gain on Sale of USCE Gain on Sale of Hyper Panda UAE Gain on Sale of 2% of Al Marai Share of impairment Loss from an Associate Morocco Reinstatement Loss from Hosoon Adjusted Profit

60 73 202 (25) (62) (694) 65

645

1,817

1,047

(363)

1,761

272 245 343 374 33 (26) 20 898

* Start-up markets include Algeria, Morocco and Sudan

Note: FY2016 net income has been adjusted for IFRS, whereas Adjusted Profit excludes the impact of both SFC FX impact, USD sourcing and Panda one off items shown earlier in slide 10.

25