Economic Impacts of Coffee Rust
Economic Impacts of Coffee Rust Amy Angel Let´s Talk Roya El Salvador, November 2013
Coffee Rust Intensity Coffee Area (hct) Costa Rica 93,774 El Salvador 152,187 Guatemala 276,479 Honduras 282,513 Nicaragua 126,154 Panamá 19,490 Perú 415,000 México 769,786 Dominican Rep. 131,250 Total 2,266,633 Source: CATIE, ICO
% of Area Affected by Roya 2012/13 64% 71% 59% 30% 36% 32% 43% 10% 46% 35%
Produc7on in Central America 6000
1000 60kg bags
5000 4000
Honduras Guatemala
3000
Costa Rica Nicaragua
2000
El Salvador
1000 0 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sources: ICO, USDA, media reports
Produc7on in Other Rust Affected Countries 800 700 1000 60kg bags
600 500 Dominican Rep.
400
Panama
300 200 100 0
07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14
Sources: ICO, USDA, media reports
Produc7on in Other Rust Affected Countries 14,000
1000 60kg bags
12,000 10,000 8,000
Colombia Peru
6,000
Mexico
4,000 2,000 0 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sources: ICO, USDA, media reports
Export Value from Central America 4000 3500
US$ million
3000 El Salvador
2500
Nicaragua
2000
Costa Rica
1500
Guatemala
1000
Honduras
500 0 10/11 * Projected value
11/12
12/13
13/14*
Coffee Rust not only destroyed my farm, but also my dreams. -‐ Ernes&na Mar*nez, Ojo de Agua, Honduras
Es7mates of Average Gross Annual Income for Coffee Farmers 16,000 14,000 12,000 US$
10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 10/11 Honduras
Guatemala
11/12 Costa Rica
12/13 Nicaragua
13/14* El Salvador
Other Compounding Factors • • • •
Greater losses among small scale farmers Other plagues and diseases Lower quality – less income from differeneals Lower price and smaller crop -‐ lower credit
More than a crisis, it is a new beginning for coffee in Central America.
-‐ Robéiro Oliveira Silva, Execu&ve Director ICO
Coffee Rust Intensity Coffee Area (hct) Costa Rica 93,774 El Salvador 152,187 Guatemala 276,479 Honduras 282,513 Nicaragua 126,154 Panamá 19,490 Perú 415,000 México 769,786 Dominican Rep. 131,250 Total 2,266,633 Source: CATIE, ICO
% of Area Affected by Roya 2012/13 64% 71% 59% 30% 36% 32% 43% 10% 46% 35%
Produc7on in Central America 6000
1000 60kg bags
5000 4000
Honduras Guatemala
3000
Costa Rica Nicaragua
2000
El Salvador
1000 0 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sources: ICO, USDA, media reports
Produc7on in Other Rust Affected Countries 800 700 1000 60kg bags
600 500 Dominican Rep.
400
Panama
300 200 100 0
07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14
Sources: ICO, USDA, media reports
Produc7on in Other Rust Affected Countries 14,000
1000 60kg bags
12,000 10,000 8,000
Colombia Peru
6,000
Mexico
4,000 2,000 0 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sources: ICO, USDA, media reports
Export Value from Central America 4000 3500
US$ million
3000 El Salvador
2500
Nicaragua
2000
Costa Rica
1500
Guatemala
1000
Honduras
500 0 10/11 * Projected value
11/12
12/13
13/14*
Coffee Rust not only destroyed my farm, but also my dreams. -‐ Ernes&na Mar*nez, Ojo de Agua, Honduras
Es7mates of Average Gross Annual Income for Coffee Farmers 16,000 14,000 12,000 US$
10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 10/11 Honduras
Guatemala
11/12 Costa Rica
12/13 Nicaragua
13/14* El Salvador
Other Compounding Factors • • • •
Greater losses among small scale farmers Other plagues and diseases Lower quality – less income from differeneals Lower price and smaller crop -‐ lower credit
More than a crisis, it is a new beginning for coffee in Central America.
-‐ Robéiro Oliveira Silva, Execu&ve Director ICO
