DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT CEO Presentation Abdul Razique Samadi, CEO
ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND AVAILABLE ENERGY RESOURCES IN AFGHANISTAN
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DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Presentation Summary •
Overview of Afghan Power Sector
•
Energy Consumption at DABS
•
DABS Loss Reduction Strategy
•
Energy Efficiency Initiatives
•
Renewable Resources and Clean Energy
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DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Afghanistan Energy Sector Afghanistan Energy Infrastructure, generation, transmission and distribution were almost destroyed over the past three decades due to the war and conflict. The government of Afghanistan corporatized the National electricity service department Da Afghanistan Breshna Mossasa (DABM) into an independent state owned utility. As such, all assets, staff and other Rights and Obligations of (DABM) were transferred to Da Afghanistan Breshna Sherkat (DABS) on May 2008. دافغانستان برښنا شرکت لوی رياست
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DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Power vs. GDP • Power Foundational to Stabilization • Increased Power Fuels Economic Growth
DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Energy Driving Afghan Economy Afghanistan Economy & Energy
US$, Bn 20
GWh, Th 3
18 2.5
16 14
2
GDP
12
Annual Elec. Production
10 8
1.5 1
6 4
0.5
2 0
0
2006 دافغانستان برښنا شرکت لوی رياست
2007
2008
2009
2010 5
DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Power Supplies – meeting burgeoning demand • • • •
Develop/Expand import agreements Support private investment in 200 MW Sheberghan gas plant Construct run‐of‐river hydropower on Kabul river & Other Water Resources Support trans‐boundary dialogue on shared water resource development
Power Transmission & Distribution – moving power to the people • Strengthen TL backbone from Uzbekistan through Kabul to Kandahar • Synchronize systems with neighboring countries • Expand access to homes, businesses, industry and the mining sector
Capacity – building sector governance • Facilitate the commercial viability of DABS • Build trans‐boundary and investment promotion capacity at MoEW • Strengthen regulatory capability and oversight دافغانستان برښنا شرکت لوی رياست
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Supply and Demand • Demand Growth: Connections • Routing: Transmission Lines • Supplies: Production and Imports Surobi II Hydro
MEGAWATTS
1400 1200 1000 800
Sheberghan IPP NEPS Expansion
600 400 200
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Generation & Transmission Eastern Corridor Demand Imports & Transmission
Actual Projected
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DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Major Donor Assistance Projects •
Operations and Commercialization (USAID 2008‐today)
•
NEPS Construction (ADB/India 2007‐2009)
•
Tarakhil 100MW TPP (USAID 2006‐2009)
•
Kandahar Helmand Project (USAID 2010‐2013)
•
Transmission, Expansion Connectivity (USAID 2011‐14)
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System Afghanistan Sustainable Near‐term Power Constraints and Power Sector COIN Power Availability Expansion Opportunities Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan Imports 100MW to 470MW $20M ($.06/KwH) Qal'a‐i Mamay
NEPS 2 Expansion 600MW Capacity $400‐600M 48 Months
Iran
445
Sheberghan
150
Sheberghan Gas Field
54
400
48
Kelegai
Fertilizer Plant Pul‐e‐Khumri Substation
Northern Run‐ of‐River Hydropower Tajikistan Imports Untapped 300MW 1,200MW April‐ October ADB ‐$2.5 to $3B Construction 48 Months Underway ($0.035 KwH)
Aynak Coal
SEPS Expansion Sheberghan Gas Field Kajaki Power and Kajaki Unit 2 Thermal Power Plants Irrigation Expansion from 34 to 52MW Power and Gas Lines 60‐100MW Plus Transmission 200MW + 48MW $400 to $500M and Distribution $440M ($.06/KwH) $442M 60‐84 Months 24 Months 32‐38 Months
250 Tarakhil
Proposed 500kV Line Existing 220kV 2 Circuit Proposed 22okV 2 Circuit Existing 110kV Line Proposed 110kV Line Existing 20kV Import Line Proposed 500/220kV Substation
Existing/Proposed 110kV Substation 27
5234
Kajaki
Proposed Natural Gas Pipeline TPP
Thermal Power Plant Hydropower Plant (proposed)
Baghdara
Shal
800
100 Naghlu Gamberi 36 22 Sarubi
180
Sarubi 2
11
Darunta
Aynak Copper
SEPS
Existing/Proposed 220kV Substation
Existing Natural Gas Pipeline
NEPS
Hajigak Iron
Gulbakhar
400
66
105
TPP
120
Dala
Natural Gas Field
Pakistan
NEPS‐Kandahar Transmission and Tactical Tie‐in Distribution to 30MW‐150MW Eastern Populations $350M 400MW Capacity 36 Months $280M 24‐30 Months
DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Energy Consumption at DABS •
The availability of power in Afghanistan has improved significantly over the last two years: ‐
105MW thermal power plant at Tarakhil was commissioned 1388
‐
North Eastern Power System improving power imports from Uzbekistan was commissioned in 2010 and added an extra 550MW capacity to regional grid
‐
Rehabilitation of Hydro Stations serving Kabul: Naghlu, Sarobi, Mahipar
•
Power supply to Kabul has improved dramatically
•
The challenge is now to improve commercial performance and customer service and reduce non‐technical losses.
•
Kabul Electricity Service Improvement Program (KESIP) is a USAID initiative to support the commercialization and revenue improvement at DABS
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DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Energy Consumption at DABS •
Energy Consumption for entire Afghanistan in 1389 was 1.8 GWhr ‐
This represents a 18% improvement on previous year 1388
‐
and a 80 % improvement on consumption compared with 1387
•
Total number of DABS customers served throughout Afghanistan in 1389 was 786,302 customers
•
The average annual consumption per customer category for the year 1389: Average Consumption in kwh per year
1388
1389
Household
kwh
1,641
kwh
1,843
Commercials
kwh
2,298
kwh
2,967
Governmental
kwh 36,211
kwh
32,694
Holy places
kwh
2,216
kwh
2,604
NGO's
kwh
8,405
kwh
8,898
Registered factories
kwh 60,897
kwh 123,095
Unregistered factories
kwh 33,365
kwh
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31,369 11
DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000
1,112,631
1,800,000
1,318,695
2,000,000
1,512,419
Annual Energy Consumption (MWh) DABS Customers Consumption 1389 Vs.1388
1,782,839
دافغانستان برښنا شرکت
1,000,000
20,296
22,321
91,337
76,487
8,578
6,119
14,443
13,152
157,522
200,000
152,629
400,000
171,969
600,000
129,080
800,000
‐
1388 دافغانستان برښنا شرکت لوی رياست
1389 12
دافغانستان برښنا شرکت لوی رياست
136,895
145,436
601,352
477,779
Revenues in million AFA 8,081,598
56,598
6,645,283
1389
83,809
1388
133,810
118,506
1,543,224
1,489,455
1,564,204
1,206,920
4,018,302
3,150,589
DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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DA AFGHANISTAN BRESHNA SHERKAT
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Energy available for system Actual
Actual
Forecast
1388
1389
1390
2,313,193
2,737,767
3,002,825
936,520
871,171
927,472
876,896
772,803
827,525
3,562
41,245
38,950
Diesel generator
56,061
57,123
60,998
Import
1,376,673
1,866,596
2,075,353
Republic of Uzbekistan
657,183
964,242
1,102,800
Republic of Turkmenistan
323,662
386,306
420,650
74,347
87,234
102,623
321,481
428,813
449,280
Internal generation
Hydro Thermal
Republic of Tajikistan Islamic Republic of Iran
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Energy Available in mwh 2,500 2,000
1,377
1,500 1,000
2,075
1,867
937
871
927
500 ‐ 1388
1389
1390
Actual
Actual
Forecast
Internal generation
Import
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Actual and Forecast Revenues by Customer Category Revenues in AFA
Actual 1388
Actual 1389
Forecast 1390
Revenues in AFA 4,500,000,000
Household
3,150,588,669 4,018,302,183 4,263,851,967
Commercials
1,206,919,568 1,564,204,457 1,578,756,042
4,000,000,000 3,500,000,000 3,000,000,000
Governmental
1,489,455,180 1,543,224,409 1,622,733,415
2,500,000,000 2,000,000,000
Holy places
118,505,651
133,810,231
121,514,042
NGO's
56,597,895
83,809,201
88,023,749
1,500,000,000 1,000,000,000 500,000,000
Registered factories
477,779,413
601,351,982
737,833,826
Unregistered factories
145,436,305
136,895,482
287,286,960
Total
‐
6,645,282,680 8,081,597,944 8,700,000,000
Exchange rate
46.00
46.00
46.00
$ 144,462,667 $ 175,686,912 $ 189,130,435
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Actual 1388
Actual 1389
Forecast 1390
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DABS Loss Reduction and Revenue Improvement Plan The DABS Loss Reduction Plan: •
•
•
Process Enhancement Initiatives to include: ‒
Customer enumeration and verification
‒
GIS Regularisation
‒
Customer Service Improvements
‒
Commercial process enhancement
Investment Initiatives to include: ‒
Boundary and Grid Meters
‒
Replace analogue meters with digital meters
‒
New Customer Information System (CIS) and Customer Relationship Management (CRM) System
‒
Upgrade of vehicles, tools and equipment
USAID, KESIP Providing Technical Assistance and Support
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Energy Efficiency Initiatives at DABS •
•
•
Load Management Initiatives ‐
Skills trainings and capacity building
‐
Identification of grid defects through data analysis
‐
Transmission line maintenance program
‐
Decreasing the number of over loaded feeders
‐
Decreasing the number of over loaded Transformer stations
Energy Loss Reduction ‐
Installation of grid meters : “Proof of Concept” Pilot being implemented in Kabul
‐
Revenue Protection Department conducting Meter Audit of entire Kabul
Community Awareness Program: media campaign, brochures, leaflets, etc.
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Energy Efficiency Plans at DABS •
Automatic Meter Reading (AMR) Meters •
•
Pilot planning in process for largest industrial customers in Kabul
Prepaid Metering •
Pilot planned for 10,000 customers in Macroryan area of Kabul
•
Upgrading of the system (15kv to 20kv)
•
Developing computerized tool for optimization of our generation and imported power.
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Available Renewable Resources •
Hydro power potential for Afghanistan is in excess of 23,000 MW (large, medium and micro hydro power plants )
•
Solar power potential is best in Southern Afghanistan (see map)
•
Wind power potential best in the Western Region of Afghanistan (see map)
•
USAID has provided support for the establishment of a Clean Energy Program in Afghanistan. Program has developed pilot projects: ‐
Solar pilot projects have been implemented at 6 schools in Bamyan and Nuristan, and 2 clinics in Ghazni
‐
Solar pilots for water pumping and solar heaters also being developed
‐
Mini‐hydro rehabilitation project was implemented in Panjshir
‐
Wind water pumping projects also planned in Heart and Balkh Provinces
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Solar Energy Resources in Afghanistan
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Wind Energy Resources in Afghanistan
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Uzbekistan
Afghanistan Vision 2014/2015
Qal'a‐i Mamay
Turkmenistan
445
Sheberghan
200
54 48
Sheberghan Gas Field
Iran
Transboundary agreements developed Major hydropower and major hydropower projects on Kunar and projects on Kunar and Amu Darya rivers Amu Darya rivers initiated initiated
Kelegai
Fertilizer Plant Pul‐e‐Khumri Substation
MCC Coal MCC coal deposit quantified and construction on 400MW Thermal Power Plant underway
Proposed 500kV Line Existing 220kV 2 Circuit Proposed 22okV 2 Circuit Existing 110kV Line
Tarakhil 105
Hajigak Iron
TAPI gas pipeline and extension of 220kV power transmission network to Herat under development
Shal 800+
400 66
Baghdara 100 Naghlu Gamberi 36 22 Sarubi 180
11
Darunta
Sarubi 2
Aynak Copper
Proposed 110kV Line Existing 20kV Import Line Proposed 500/220kV Substation Existing/Proposed 220kV Substation Existing/Proposed 110kV Substation Existing Natural Gas Pipeline
27
5234
Kajaki
Proposed Natural Gas Pipeline TPP
Thermal Power Plant Hydropower Plant (proposed)
Dala
Natural Gas Field
Pakistan
Power transit and Power transit and export lines to Pakistan export lines to Pakistan for power from from Turkmenistan Turkmenistan and and Tajikistan (CASA Tajikistan, as well as 1000); surplus generation
Tashakor!