ESRI 2005 Health GIS Conference Health Effects Near USEPA ...

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ESRI 2005 Health GIS Conference Health Effects Near USEPA Toxic Release Inventory (TRI) Sites Presented By:

Allan C. Harris Harris-Brown & Associates [email protected] October 25th, 2005 Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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Health Effects Near USEPA Toxic Release Inventory (TRI) Sites This study uses Remote Sensing and Geographic Information Systems with visualization algorithms for an innovative Land Use / Land Cover (LU/LC) computer model of the 2004-2005 U.S. EPA Environmental Justice Action Plans. The LU/LC computer model compares/analyzes environmental health-effects near toxic release sites with geographic, demographic, and socioeconomic data from the U.S. Census 2000, and community Sourcebook America data from ESRI Business Information Solution. This presentation extends President Clinton’s February 1994 Executive Order 12898 on Environmental Justice; the revised U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Environmental Justice Action Plans; the American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) Phase I Environmental Site Assessment requirements; and the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Land Use/Land Cover (LU/LC) classification system created to be& Associates used with satellite data. Harris-Brown Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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Harris-Brown & Associates The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Toxic Release Inventory (TRI) Database and other databases used herein contain information used to derive health effects data derived from actual published information. The Author has manipulated the data and applied certain assumptions, however, assumptions applied and actual outcomes may vary between interpreters and analyst of similar data. The Author does not invite others to rely on this data and suggests using professional judgment when interpreting any results contained herein. Copyright July, 2005 Harris-Brown & Associates

Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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REFERENCE DATABASE:

ESRI Free Demo Software: GIS Solutions for Health and Human Services

• The Demo Databases Major Diagnostic Category (MDC) for each U.S. Zip code show health demand estimates for 2002 and projections for 2007 for a sample data • Shows the expected number of circulatory conditions for the targeted years for each Zip Code MDC. Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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ESRI Free Demo: GIS Solutions for Health and Human Services Major Diagnostic Category (MDC) Data

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ESRI Free Demo: GIS Solutions for Health and Human Services Major Diagnostic Category (MDC) Data

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ESRI Free Demo: GIS Solutions for Health and Human Services Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Data http://cms.hhs.gov

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MODIFIED GIS ANALYSIS Major Diagnostic Criteria (MDC5) Data From ESRI Free Demo: GIS Solutions for Health and Human Services AND U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 2002 Toxic Release Inventory Database Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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MODIFIED GIS ANALYSIS Major Diagnostic Criteria (MDC) ESRI Free Demo GIS Solutions for Health and Human Services AND U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 2002 Toxic Release Inventory Database

Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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MODIFIED GIS ANALYSIS Major Diagnostic Criteria (MDC) ESRI Free Demo GIS Solutions for Health and Human Services AND U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 2002 Toxic Release Inventory Database

Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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MODIFIED GIS ANALYSIS Major Diagnostic Criteria (MDC) ESRI Free Demo GIS Solutions for Health and Human Services AND U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 2002 Toxic Release Inventory Database

Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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Scorecard Databases – http://www.scorecard.com Health Effects - 15 Categories • • • • • • • • • • • • • • •

Gastrointestinal or Liver Toxicants Suspected Carcinogens Carcinogens Suspected Cardiovascular Toxicants Suspected Developmental Toxicants Developmental Toxicants Suspected Endocrine Toxicants Suspected Immunotoxicity Definitions Suspected Kidney Toxicants Neurotoxicants Suspected Reproductive Toxicants Reproductive Toxicants Suspected Respiratory Toxicants Skin or Sense Organ Toxicants Suspected Musculoskeletal Toxicants Suspected

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Developmental Toxicants

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Reproductive Toxicants

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Carcinogen Toxicants

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Lead and Lead Compounds

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TRI Lead and Lead Compounds Percent African American

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DATA ANALYSIS SITE SELECTION Pattern Recognition Statistical and Algebraic Analysis Model Building Etc. Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

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(1) Percent Minority, (2) Mortality Rate, (3) Acute & Chronic Respiratory Rate (4) Malignant Cancer Rate 1

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Percent Minority - Hamilton County, Ohio

Mortality Per 100 Persons - Cincinnati, Ohio 275

275

Ross

Ross 27

Pleasant Run

128

27

Sha ronville

75

Forest Park Gle ndale

Scale Legend 1

Fe atures Legend

Mount Healthy Heights

Gr e enhills

Evendale

Cities, OH

2

Northbrook

0.0 - 12.000 12.001 - 25.000

Mount Healthy

25.001 - 50.000

74

75.001 - 100.000

Dillonvale

275

Mount Healthy

Evendale

71

Linc oln Heights

W yoming

9.760 - 75.000

22

Re ading

75

Amberley

City lm, OH Z IP5, OH

275

71

The Village of I

Silverton 22 Madeira

Ohio

71

White Oak West

128

Elmwood Place

Dillonvale Kenwood

Finneytown Nor th College Hill

W hite Oak

Elmwood Place

74

Monfort Heights East

Monfort Heights East

Gr andview

St. Bernard Norwood

Monfor t Heights South

St. Bernard Norwood

Monfor t Heights South

75

75

Ma ck North Br idgetown North

50F

Fairfax

71

Ma ck North Br idgetown North

Cincinnati Newtown

50

50

Mack South Tur pin Hills

Tur pin Hills

Addyston

Covedale

Covedale 52

52

275

Acute & Chronic Respiratory Medical Visits Per 100 Persons Ross

27

Pleasant Run

128

Sha ronville

75

Forest Park Glendale

275

42

Mount Healthy Heights

2

Features Legend

275

Northbrook

Cities, OH Highw ays, OH

Mount Healthy

Trct_ham - RST_RATE 103.931 - 114.883

W hite Oak

158.689 - 169.640

Amberley

Ma ck North Br idgetown North

213.446 - 224.398 224.398 - 235.351

Silverton

Terrace

Evendale

Northbrook

W hite Oak

50F

22

Re ading

Dillonvale

Newtown

Kenwood

Finneytown Nor th College Hill

75

Amberley

The Village of Indian Hi Silverton

Madeira

71

White Oak West

Elmwood Place

74

0.629 - 0.686

Monfort Heights East

Gr andview 0.686 - 0.743

Terrace

St. Bernard Norwood

Monfor t Heights South 75

Z IP5, OH

Ma ck North Br idgetown North

Ohio

Cincinnati

Montgomery 71

Lincoln Heights

W yoming

22

City lm, OH

Fairfax

Blue Ash

Groesbeck

0.344 - 0.401 74 0.401 - 0.458

0.743 - 0.801

Norwood 71

Gr eenhills

Mount Healthy

0.458 - 0.515 275 0.515 - 0.572 128 - 0.629 0.572

Madeira

St. Bernard

City lm, OH Z IP5, OH

275

0.287 - 0.344

The Village of Indian Hi

75

202.495 - 213.446

275

42

Mount Healthy Heights

0.230 - 0.287

71

Monfor t Heights South

191.543 - 202.495

50

Dillonvale

Elmwood Place

Monfort Heights East

180.592 - 191.543

Glendale Features Legend

0.173 - 0.230

Kenwood 75

Sha ronville

75

Forest Park

Trct_ham - CSN7_RAT

74

Gr andview169.640 - 180.592

Pleasant Run

0.116 - 0.173

Finneytown Nor th College Hill

White Oak West

147.737 - 158.689

27

0.060 - 0.116

22

136.786 - 147.737

Ross

128

Highw ays, OH

22

Re ading

125.834 - 136.786 128

275

Malignant Cancer Cases Per 100 Persons - Hamilton Co., Ohio Cities, OH

Montgomery 71

Linc oln Heights

W yoming

114.883 - 125.834

275

Blue Ash

Groesbeck

92.980 - 103.931 74

Evendale

4

WINTON RD

1

Gr eenhills WINTON RD

Scale Legend 0

50F

Fairfax

71

Cincinnati Newtown

Mack South Addyston

3

Montgomery

Blue Ash

Groesbeck

9.210 - 9.750

74

Gr andview

Northbrook

7.510 - 9.200

74

The Village of I

Silverton 22 Madeira

Ohio

Gr e enhills

Highw ays, OH Trct_ham - MORT_RAT

74

White Oak West

Mount Healthy Heights

4.660 - 7.500

Amberley

Z IP5, OH 128

Fe atures Legend Cities, OH

2

Kenwood 75

City lm, OH

275

1

0.0 - 4.650

Finneytown Nor th College Hill

W hite Oak

0 22

Re ading

27

42

Scale Legend

Montgomery 71

Linc oln Heights

W yoming

Groesbeck

50.001 - 75.000 74

Gle ndale

WINTON RD

275

WINTON RD

Highw ays, OH Trct_ham - PER_MIN

Blue Ash

Sha ronville

75

Forest Park

27

42

0

Pleasant Run

128

Fairfax

71

50F

Cincinnati Newtown

50

Mack South

Mack South

Ohio

Addyston

Tur pin Hills

Addyston

Covedale 52

0

50

Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

Tur pin Hills Covedale

Scale Legend 52

1

52

2 50

52

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INTERPRETATION LogicTree Diagram (1) Percent Minority, (2) Mortality Rate, (3) Acute & Chronic Respiratory Rate (4) Malignant Cancer Rate (5) GIS Locations Cat. % n 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 13.64 18 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 4.55 6 Low 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 13.64 18 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 62.12 82 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 6.06 8 Total (60.83) 132

Cat. % n 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 14.75 32 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 15.67 34 minority percent 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 11.52 25 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 51.15 111 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 6.91 15 Total (100.00) 217

%Minority Root Node

mortality rate P-value=0.0000 Chi-square=61.8573 df=8

Acute & Chronic Respiratory Cat. % n Rate 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 19.67 12 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 21.31 13

High 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority Total

8.20 44.26 6.56 (28.11)

5 27 4 61

Cat. % 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 8.33 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 62.50 Very High;Very High;Very High 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 8.33 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 8.33 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 12.50 Total (11.06)

n 2 15 2 2 3 24

Motality Rate Harris-Brown & Associates Copyright July 31, 2005 [email protected]

Cat. % 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 0.00 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 57.14 2 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 0.00 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 28.57 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 14.29 Total (3.23)

n 0 4 0 2 1 7

Malignant Cancer Cat. % nRate

respiratory rate P-value=0.1601 Chi-square=6.5748 df=4

Cat. % 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 11.76 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 64.71 5;3;13;1;4 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 11.76 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 0.00 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 11.76 Total (7.83)

n 2 11 2 0 2 17

GIS Location U.S. Census Tract

cancer rate P-value=0.0132 Chi-square=10.7446 df=3

12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 14.29 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 71.43 7;5;12;13;6;9;1 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 0.00 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 0.00 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 14.29 Total (6.45)

Cat. 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 8;4 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority Total

% 0.00 33.33 66.67 0.00 0.00 (1.38)

2 10 0 0 2 14

n 0 1 2 0 0 3

TRACTID P-value=0.0000 Chi-square=28.0000 df=4

Cat. % 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 0.00 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 100.00 390610016.00;390610038.00;390610004.00;390610015.00;390610037.00;390610036.00;390610002.00;390610001.00;390610034.00;390610008.00 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 0.00 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 0.00 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 0.00 Total (4.61)

n 0 10 0 0 0 10

Cat. % 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 100.00 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 0.00 390610100.01;390610020.00 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 0.00 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 0.00 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 0.00 Total (0.92)

n 2 0 0 0 0 2

Cat. % 12.00 - 25.00 %Minority 0.00 75.00 - 100.00 %Minority 0.00 390610062.01;390610081.00 25.00 - 50.00 %Minority 0.00 0.00 - 12.00 %Minority 0.00 50.00 - 75.00 %Minority 100.00 Total (0.92)

n 0 0 0 0 2 2

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ESRI ModelBuilder Geographic Information System

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THE END … THANKYOU ARE THERE ANY QUESTIONS

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