Global Challenges in Passive Safety
Global Challenges in Passive Safety
Steve J. Peterson January 31, 2012
© TRW Automotive 2012
Global Challenges in Passive Safety Passive Safety includes seat belts, airbags, and energy absorbing features of the vehicle. Passive Safety is implemented when the accident can’t be avoided! What are the key challenges over the next few years?
© TRW Automotive 2012
2
T1
Challenge #1: Holding the Line 70
USA EU27 Japan
Thousand Fatalities
60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Every 30 seconds there is an auto related fatality… More miles will be driven as economies improve and populations grow… More small cars on the road… Source: US Trend Data: FARS 2008 EU Trend Data: 2009 CARE Database Japan Trend Data: 2009 data, Official Statistics of Japan Website © TRW Automotive 2012
3
Challenge #2: An Aging Population People 65+ represented 12.9% of the population in the U.S. in the year 2009 but are expected to grow to be 19.3% of the population by 2030. This trend should be similar in other Western nations. Older adults are more susceptible to serious injury (less bone mass, etc.) Older adults may have more difficulty donning and adjusting the seat belt.
Source: Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland Source: Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland © TRW Automotive 2012
Germany
USA
Source: A Profile of Older Americans: 2010 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services 4
Challenge #3:
Global Regulations / Consumers Trends Europe
North America IIHS
FMVSS
ECE-R94 ECE-R95 Euro-NCAP Pedestrian Safety
CMVSS FMVSS 201 FMVSS 208 FMVSS 214 FMVSS 226 ejection mitigation IIHS TWG (OOP) US-NCAP
Asia Pacific TRIAS 47 J-NCAP (rear seated ATD) K-NCAP
MY2011 onwards
C-NCAP
(speed increased)
Middle & South America Australia
CONTRAN LATIN NCAP
Global
© TRW Automotive 2012
Frontal /Thor - Side /WorldSID Pedestrian Safety Whiplash
ADR 73, ADR 72, A-NCAP
5
Challenge #3:
Global Regulations / Consumer Trends
Depending on the region, regulatory and consumer preferences may differ: – Pedestrian Injury Mitigation vs. Avoidance – Enhanced Frontal and Side Protection – Injury Mitigation for small stature adults, children – Ejection Mitigation – Rollover vs. First Impact Side Protection – Rear Seat Occupants – Unbelted Occupants
© TRW Automotive 2012
6
Challenge #3: Global Regulations EuroNCAP
© TRW Automotive 2012
7
Challenge #4: Growth in the Emerging Markets China annual production alone could grow to 30M vehicles within the next decade Growth in potential accidents Global vehicles/local supply development will challenge available resources Unique local requirements leads to duplicate design efforts in each region
To achieve robust standardization within the global markets, scalable products and innovations are required. © TRW Automotive 2012
8
Challenge #5:
Integration of Active & Passive Safety
How to Best Integrate Active Sensing with Passive Restraints? Potential for better positioning occupant for crash scenarios: – Pre-Crash Triggering – Helping Reduce Belt Slack
Pre Crash Warning
– Seat / door movement to increase space to absorb energy – Earlier Deployment / Larger Bags Collision Warning and Preparation
© TRW Automotive 2012
9
Challenge #6: Putting It All Together Generally, much technology is already available to enhance passive safety: – Dual stage / Dual Contour Airbags – Dynamic Locking Tongues – Motorized Seat Belts – Seat Belt Pretensioners, Variable Load Limiters – Inflatable Belts, Inflatable Bolsters – Roof Bags, Interaction Bags, Curtains/Side/Knee Bags We need to be able to connect the dots to select and prioritize the best solutions for the motoring public.
© TRW Automotive 2012
10
Challenge #6: Putting It All Together We can do this when we increase our knowledge of the accident: – Type of occupant and specific injury / trauma – Data on the vehicle environment relative to the injury – Data on the crash environment (speed, angle, severity) – Connect the Dots to Make Sense of it All! Collaboration between industry / government and universities is essential to complete the whole picture.
© TRW Automotive 2012
11
Steve J. Peterson January 31, 2012
© TRW Automotive 2012
Global Challenges in Passive Safety Passive Safety includes seat belts, airbags, and energy absorbing features of the vehicle. Passive Safety is implemented when the accident can’t be avoided! What are the key challenges over the next few years?
© TRW Automotive 2012
2
T1
Challenge #1: Holding the Line 70
USA EU27 Japan
Thousand Fatalities
60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Every 30 seconds there is an auto related fatality… More miles will be driven as economies improve and populations grow… More small cars on the road… Source: US Trend Data: FARS 2008 EU Trend Data: 2009 CARE Database Japan Trend Data: 2009 data, Official Statistics of Japan Website © TRW Automotive 2012
3
Challenge #2: An Aging Population People 65+ represented 12.9% of the population in the U.S. in the year 2009 but are expected to grow to be 19.3% of the population by 2030. This trend should be similar in other Western nations. Older adults are more susceptible to serious injury (less bone mass, etc.) Older adults may have more difficulty donning and adjusting the seat belt.
Source: Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland Source: Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland © TRW Automotive 2012
Germany
USA
Source: A Profile of Older Americans: 2010 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services 4
Challenge #3:
Global Regulations / Consumers Trends Europe
North America IIHS
FMVSS
ECE-R94 ECE-R95 Euro-NCAP Pedestrian Safety
CMVSS FMVSS 201 FMVSS 208 FMVSS 214 FMVSS 226 ejection mitigation IIHS TWG (OOP) US-NCAP
Asia Pacific TRIAS 47 J-NCAP (rear seated ATD) K-NCAP
MY2011 onwards
C-NCAP
(speed increased)
Middle & South America Australia
CONTRAN LATIN NCAP
Global
© TRW Automotive 2012
Frontal /Thor - Side /WorldSID Pedestrian Safety Whiplash
ADR 73, ADR 72, A-NCAP
5
Challenge #3:
Global Regulations / Consumer Trends
Depending on the region, regulatory and consumer preferences may differ: – Pedestrian Injury Mitigation vs. Avoidance – Enhanced Frontal and Side Protection – Injury Mitigation for small stature adults, children – Ejection Mitigation – Rollover vs. First Impact Side Protection – Rear Seat Occupants – Unbelted Occupants
© TRW Automotive 2012
6
Challenge #3: Global Regulations EuroNCAP
© TRW Automotive 2012
7
Challenge #4: Growth in the Emerging Markets China annual production alone could grow to 30M vehicles within the next decade Growth in potential accidents Global vehicles/local supply development will challenge available resources Unique local requirements leads to duplicate design efforts in each region
To achieve robust standardization within the global markets, scalable products and innovations are required. © TRW Automotive 2012
8
Challenge #5:
Integration of Active & Passive Safety
How to Best Integrate Active Sensing with Passive Restraints? Potential for better positioning occupant for crash scenarios: – Pre-Crash Triggering – Helping Reduce Belt Slack
Pre Crash Warning
– Seat / door movement to increase space to absorb energy – Earlier Deployment / Larger Bags Collision Warning and Preparation
© TRW Automotive 2012
9
Challenge #6: Putting It All Together Generally, much technology is already available to enhance passive safety: – Dual stage / Dual Contour Airbags – Dynamic Locking Tongues – Motorized Seat Belts – Seat Belt Pretensioners, Variable Load Limiters – Inflatable Belts, Inflatable Bolsters – Roof Bags, Interaction Bags, Curtains/Side/Knee Bags We need to be able to connect the dots to select and prioritize the best solutions for the motoring public.
© TRW Automotive 2012
10
Challenge #6: Putting It All Together We can do this when we increase our knowledge of the accident: – Type of occupant and specific injury / trauma – Data on the vehicle environment relative to the injury – Data on the crash environment (speed, angle, severity) – Connect the Dots to Make Sense of it All! Collaboration between industry / government and universities is essential to complete the whole picture.
© TRW Automotive 2012
11
