Innovation and Clean Energy:

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Innovation and Clean Energy: Sustainable Opportunities and Immediate Challenges Walter V. Cicha, Ph.D. Technical Business Analyst, CISTI [email protected] “Problems cannot be solved at the same level of awareness that created them.”

– Albert Einstein

"All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident." - Arthur Schopenhauer (1788-1860)

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

“I find out what the world needs, then I proceed to invent.” - Thomas A. Edison (1847–1931)

1093 patents

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

The Plan…

ƒ The Global Clean Energy Innovation Imperative ƒ Canada: A Special Case ƒ The Role of Clean Technology ƒ Case Studies ƒ The Distributed Storage-Generation Grid (2050)

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

The Energy Innovation Imperative Challenge of the Century: Securing affordable and clean primary energy

ƒ Tension between diverse aims for energy strategy – Economic – Environmental – National and international security

ƒ No “silver bullet” – Innovative and efficient multifaceted energy portfolio necessary

ƒ High technology investment costs and long turnover times – Value of global energy supply: $12 trillion – Lifetime: 30-40 years October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Source: J. P. Holdren, Innovations, MIT Press, Spring 2006

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

World Energy Consumption

Clean tech contributions increased 4-fold during past three decades, but account for only 4 ppt of global energy October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Source: MRS Bulletin, April 2008

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Powering Canada (2006) Energy Sources Biomass 6.0% Nuclear 7.0%

Hydro 11.0%

Electricity Sources Solar, Wind, Tidal, Geothermal 0.1%

Other Solar, Wind and renewables Tidal Natural gas 1.3% 0.4% 6.7% Nuclear 15.6%

Coal and Oil 43.0%

Hydro 59.0%

Coal and Oil 17.0%

> 12 % of world’s hydropower Natural gas 33.0% October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

76 % hydrocarbons Source: Natural Resources Canada

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Consumption Increase 2002 to 2007, By Region

% Consumption Increase 2002 to 2007

80 70

China World Canada U.S.

60 50 40

Global Fraction (2007, %)

Primary Oil U.S. 21.3 23.9 China 16.8 9.3 Canada 2.9 2.6

30 20 10 0

Primary Energy

Oil

hydrocarbon and hydro October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Adapted from BP Statistical Review of World Energy (June 2008)

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

The Oil Roulette

? CO2

July 14, 2008 = $145 per barrel 28 % annual increase (6 years) - 46 %

October 10, 2008 = $78 pb 17 % annual increase (6 years)

Exxon-Mobil record 2007 profits* $40.6 billion October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

*Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2007/02/01/AR2007020100714.html

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Athabasca Tar Sands (140,000 km2 = NY State) Potential: 1.7 – 2.5 trillion barrels of synthetic crude Currently ~ 2 M barrels per day, primarily for export 2 tons oil sands = 42 gallons (1 brl) crude = 1200 ft3 natural gas required = 80 kg greenhouse gas released “Mining oil” releases more CO2 than conventional drilling 4 % of Canada’s total emissions > 10 % of emissions by 2015 Requires vast amounts of CH4 + H2O CO2 sequestration: a seeming necessity October 2006 - Sierra Club Canada

Growing international investment, est. at $14 billion in 2006 2004-07: $4.3 billion in royalties to Alberta government ($1200/resident)! October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

www.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Athabasca_Tar_Sands and www.energy.gov.ab.ca/OurBusiness/oilsands.asp

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

How Energy Efficient is Canada? Primary Energy Consumption per GDP (1980-2004) “North America does not have such high energy costs as Europe and Japan, so the incentive to improve efficiency is not as strong.” – Anonymous

Essential need: Increase efficiency

energy utility stakeholder

Goal: Reduce carbon footprint of energy consumption October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Source: MRS Bulletin (April 2008)

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Rick Smalley’s Top 10 Global Concerns “Energy… a $3 trillion per year enterprise and by far the biggest endeavor of humankind… is the single most important challenge facing us today.”

1. Energy

- Rick Smalley (2005)

2. Water 3. Food

1.

Increasing energy demand (population/industrialization)

4. Environment

2.

Strained fossil fuel supplies (“peak oil” looming)

5. Poverty

3.

Climate change

6. Terrorism and war

= Socioeconomic disturbances

7. Disease 8. Education 9. Democracy 10. Population

Improved, integrated and lower-cost Systematic technology and policy innovation

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Adapted from R. E. Smalley, MRS Bulletin, Vol. 30, pgs. 412-417 (June, 2005)

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Challenge of the Century 50 Terawatts “The North American [power] grid is largely based on technology created and developed more than a century ago.” – Clean Edge

15 TW (Today) 1. Primary Source – Production 2. Transmission 3. Storage

50 TW (2050) Solar, wind, tidal, geothermal, nuclear, biomass, “clean” coal, natural gas, oil

Smart grid, high I/low R wires (nanowires, superconductors), hydrogen

Batteries, fuel cells, supercapacitors

Energy (power) as electricity, not as mass Advanced “nanostructured” materials October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

“The world needs to invest $45 trillion in energy in coming decades, build some 1,400 nuclear power plants and vastly expand wind power in order to halve greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.” – The IEA (June 6, 2008)

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

The Cost Conundrum The Six Cs: “Cost, capital, competition, China, consumers and climate.” – Clean Edge

Clean Tech: > 10 % of total VC investment in the U.S. GE: $6 billion for 3.6 GW new wind capacity by 2010 BC: 600 MW wind by 2012 Hydro

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Sources: N. Lewis, MRS Bulletin, pg. 808 (October 2007); Clean Edge

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Nuclear Power?

“Nuclear Power is the Only Green Solution” “I write as an independent scientist and environmentalist, not as a representative of any government department, or industry, or NGO… Sometime in the coming century…we will look back and see what a vast disservice our politicians had done [globally] by neglecting the benefits of the atom.”

- James Lovelock (July 2005)

“No nuclear power.”

James Lovelock at 88

Nuclear energy’s contribution: World = 6 % Canada = 7 % U.S.A. = 9 % World’s leading uranium producer: Canada

– The BC Energy Plan October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/16956300/the_prophet_of_climate_change_james_lovelock

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Global Clean Technology Leaders in 2006

(Renewable Energy added in 2006)

5*6 point scale Germany = 25 U.S. = 20 China = 13 Spain = 7 Japan = 5 October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Canada absent from top 5 list! ~ $200 billion predicted growth for Clean Tech globally over next decade! Source: Renewables 2007 Global Status Report

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Two Canadian National Energy Programs

ƒ Bioproducts National Program – In place – Iogen, Lignol, and other industrial successes

ƒ Hydrogen and Fuel Cell National Program – Canada leads world in per capita FC investment – Proposed for 2009

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

A Sustainable Energy Cycle academic – government – industrial

Industrial sector Private investor sector Public sector (provincial federal government)

$$$

$$

Development and optimization of advanced materials and processes for sustainable energy infrastructure (solar, biomass, H2, etc.)

“Promoting renewable sources makes sense strictly on economic grounds…” – D. M. Kammen (2006)

Economic benefits Education Quality employment World-class workforce

(short and long term)

Curtail global warming Conserve resources Improve lifestyle PROFITS FROM SUSTAINABLE ENERGY

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

B.C. Transit Fuel Cell Electric Bus Project ƒ 20 PEM fuel cell / electric hybrid buses in regular operation at Whistler by Dec. ‘09 ƒ 20 years of operation planned ƒ $89 million expenditure ƒ 6th generation fuel cell bus fleet – 60 kg H2, 150kW FC/80kW EL ƒ Net 60 % GHG emission reduction vs. diesel buses Ballard, New Flyer, Siemens, ISE, Dynetek, Cobasys, Sacré-Davey, HTEC, Hydrogenics, BC Government, Government of Canada October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Sources: Hydrogen & Fuel Cell Canada; The Canadian Press (June 26, 2008)

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

The Tesla Roadster Future of Personal Transportation?

W. Cicha

Clean Tech Summit, Palm Springs, CA (February 2008)

US$109,000 0-100 km/h in 4.0 s, 300 km range 6800 Li-batteries (450 kg) October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

US$60,000 sedan models planned Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Waste Hydrogen Success Story

650,000 tons of waste H2 generated annually by Canadian chemical industry

• 150 kW PEMFC powered carwash • Fuel: waste H2 from N. Vancouver NaClO3 plant • Excess capacity made available to BC Hydro • In operation 24/7 since 2006 October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Source: http://www.hydrogenhighway.ca/code/navigate.asp?Id=241#

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Energy from Waste

ƒ Hydrogen, electricity, heat production – Fuel: biogas from municipal solid waste – Low cost, high efficiency

ƒ “Leveraged technology” – Commercially available 300 kW molten carbonate fuel cell (MCFC) – Proprietary post-fuel cell gas processor

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

SRI Explorer, Fuel Cells (June 2008)

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

MIT’s Answer to Photosynthesis > 90 % of 40 billion kg H2 produced from hydrocarbons “This is probably the most important single discovery of the century.” D. Coveney, MIT

- Karsten Meyer, F. Alexander University, Germany

“sunlight”

H2Oaq

H2 + 0.5 O2

Co(NO3)2/K3(PO4)aq

Dan Nocera splitting water

Self-regenerating

“2Co:P:K”

Low cost renewable hydrogen, environmentally benign huge potential

(~$1 per oz.) October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

http://www.technologyreview.com/Energy/21155; C&EN, August 4, 2008

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Transmission: NANOWIRES (e.g. CNTs) Generation: CLEAN TECH essential!

QUANTUM WIRES Storage: diversified devices with higher efficiency required: NANOMATERIALS

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Adapted from: http://www.rice.edu/energy/publications/docs/Smalley_Vision_chart_3-15-07.pdf

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Call for Papers! Contact: [email protected] (October 31 deadline)

May 31 – June 3, 2009 Vancouver Convention Centre

October 28, 2008 IIT Innovation Forum

Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI

Thank You… Professor Emeritus Felix Aubke (UBC) Dr. Leo Manzer (Dupont and Catalytic Insights) Professor Hank Foley (Penn State) Dr. Eric Lang (E3-Design) Professor Philip Kosky (Union College and GE Emeritus) Dr. John Leman (GE Global Research) Dr. Larry Lewis (GE Global Research) Professor Peter Eklund (Penn State) Bruce Sampson (former BC Hydro VP of Sustainability) Dr. Ged McLean (Angstrom Power) Michael Alldritt (NRC-IRAP) Professor Frank Ko (UBC) Alan Guest (NRC-IRAP) Nancy Glass (NRC-CISTI) David Minns (NRC-IFCI) Don Furseth (Acorn Solutions) Javis Lui (H2 & Fuel Cells Canada) Constantin Pitis (BC Hydro Power Smart) Jeff Grant (Ballard Power Systems) Ryan Baker (NRC-IFCI) …plus many other mentors and co-workers over the years

1984

2008

Further suggested reading: Richard Smalley, Wade Adams, Nathan October 28, 2008 Lewis, James Kunstler, James Lovelock… Walter Cicha – NRC CISTI IIT Innovation Forum