The Future of Affordable Housing Karl Tupling 13 October 2010
Contents
• The story so far • Role of the agency • Challenges ahead • Conclusions
HCA spend 2009/10 Spend (£m)
Existing stock
Programme
Growth and other funding
Housing stimulus
Regeneration
Affordable housing 0
500
1000
1500
2000 Spend (£m)
2500
3000
3500
4000
2009/10 delivery Total housing completions
7%
21%
Total housing starts
above target
above target
Target
Outturn
Target
Outturn
52,325
56,118
53,315
64,811
Total affordable completions
8%
17%
Total affordable starts
above target
above target
Target
Outturn
Target
Outturn
49,200
52,936
40,500
47,446
Local Investment Plans 28 completed nationwide Need to address core elements
Economic Growth Outputs and outcomes
Community engagement
Progress at request of LAs Core Elements
All completed by end 2010/11 Successful LIPs will include wide range of stakeholders Significance of affordable housing
Appraisal and prioritisation
Statutory duties
Housing Supply
2010/11 spend and delivery In year budget reduction of £390m or 10% Total budget £4.7bn Overall completions sustained despite budget reduction Significant reduction in starts
Good results from Kickstart and Local Authority New Build
Challenges Ahead Responding to government priorities
Delivering better value with substantially less resources
Challenges
Moving forward on standards and sustainability
Delivering in a fragile and changing market
Government priorities
• Tackling the deficit • Localism • New planning framework • Major institutional change
The future of the HCA • An enabling and investment Agency • Responsible for: New Housing Supply
Place making and regeneration
Existing stock
“I see (the HCA) as an enabling and investment body. Or in plain English, the people who help to get things done.” Grant Shapps MP on the HCA, CIH conference 2010
Drive for better value • Investment recovery models • Viability appraisal/ robust benchmarking
North East Consortium
Cumbrian Housing Partners
• Smarter procurement
Existing Consortia 2010
Efficiency North Procure - Plus
Lancashire Housing Partners
• Increased competition
Procurement For All
Central Housing Investment
Eastern Procurement EEM
Cyntra
• Framework agreements
Westworks South East Consortium
Advantage South West
• Diversification of providers
SCMG
Standards and Sustainability UK CO2 emissions by sector to 2050 on an 80% emissions reduction path2
• New HCA standards • Funded 700 new homes at code 4 since 2008/09 • The challenge of existing stock “Housing is key to delivery of Government targets”
A fragile market: North South divide House prices in southern areas are predicted to recover sooner Southern areas will see a greater increase in prices up to 2020
Thriving communities, affordable homes
Source: Savills
Supporting People current/emerging issues Personalisation Floating support model Cuts to SP budget Lifetime homes / Space Standards Remodelling
Thriving communities, affordable homes
Uncertainties Affordable housing programme “as we know it” Commissioning Assessment Delivery models The quantum of resources
Likelihoods Severely constrained resources Changing geographies for commissioning / delivery arrangements Budget From Prospectus to “Offer” Outputs and Outcomes
Certainties Extending the range delivery partners Changing landscape More for less Meet local priorities Procurement to achieve best value for money Growing support and interest in Modern Methods of Construction
What do we want to achieve?
Resources permitting Regardless of resources
Thriving communities, affordable homes
Conclusion • Housing – a vital agenda • Real achievements to celebrate • Clear context for delivery of Affordable Housing through localism • Localism - not a fig leaf for poor value for money!