Karl Tupling's presentation from the CIH Affordable Homes ...

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The Future of Affordable Housing Karl Tupling 13 October 2010

Contents

• The story so far • Role of the agency • Challenges ahead • Conclusions

HCA spend 2009/10 Spend (£m)

Existing stock

Programme

Growth and other funding

Housing stimulus

Regeneration

Affordable housing 0

500

1000

1500

2000 Spend (£m)

2500

3000

3500

4000

2009/10 delivery Total housing completions

7%

21%

Total housing starts

above target

above target

Target

Outturn

Target

Outturn

52,325

56,118

53,315

64,811

Total affordable completions

8%

17%

Total affordable starts

above target

above target

Target

Outturn

Target

Outturn

49,200

52,936

40,500

47,446

Local Investment Plans  28 completed nationwide  Need to address core elements

Economic Growth Outputs and outcomes

Community engagement

 Progress at request of LAs Core Elements

 All completed by end 2010/11  Successful LIPs will include wide range of stakeholders  Significance of affordable housing

Appraisal and prioritisation

Statutory duties

Housing Supply

2010/11 spend and delivery  In year budget reduction of £390m or 10%  Total budget £4.7bn  Overall completions sustained despite budget reduction  Significant reduction in starts

Good results from Kickstart and Local Authority New Build

Challenges Ahead Responding to government priorities

Delivering better value with substantially less resources

Challenges

Moving forward on standards and sustainability

Delivering in a fragile and changing market

Government priorities

• Tackling the deficit • Localism • New planning framework • Major institutional change

The future of the HCA • An enabling and investment Agency • Responsible for: New Housing Supply

Place making and regeneration

Existing stock

“I see (the HCA) as an enabling and investment body. Or in plain English, the people who help to get things done.” Grant Shapps MP on the HCA, CIH conference 2010

Drive for better value • Investment recovery models • Viability appraisal/ robust benchmarking

North East Consortium

Cumbrian Housing Partners

• Smarter procurement

Existing Consortia 2010

Efficiency North Procure - Plus

Lancashire Housing Partners

• Increased competition

Procurement For All

Central Housing Investment

Eastern Procurement EEM

Cyntra

• Framework agreements

Westworks South East Consortium

Advantage South West

• Diversification of providers

SCMG

Standards and Sustainability UK CO2 emissions by sector to 2050 on an 80% emissions reduction path2

• New HCA standards • Funded 700 new homes at code 4 since 2008/09 • The challenge of existing stock “Housing is key to delivery of Government targets”

A fragile market: North South divide  House prices in southern areas are predicted to recover sooner  Southern areas will see a greater increase in prices up to 2020

Thriving communities, affordable homes

Source: Savills

Supporting People current/emerging issues  Personalisation  Floating support model  Cuts to SP budget  Lifetime homes / Space Standards  Remodelling

Thriving communities, affordable homes

Uncertainties  Affordable housing programme “as we know it”  Commissioning Assessment Delivery models  The quantum of resources

Likelihoods  Severely constrained resources  Changing geographies for commissioning / delivery arrangements  Budget  From Prospectus to “Offer”  Outputs and Outcomes

Certainties  Extending the range delivery partners  Changing landscape  More for less  Meet local priorities  Procurement to achieve best value for money  Growing support and interest in Modern Methods of Construction

What do we want to achieve?

 Resources permitting  Regardless of resources

Thriving communities, affordable homes

Conclusion • Housing – a vital agenda • Real achievements to celebrate • Clear context for delivery of Affordable Housing through localism • Localism - not a fig leaf for poor value for money!