New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
Which primary are you more likely to Democratic vote in—the Democratic Primary or Republican the Republican primary? Or have you Won’t vote in either not yet made up your mind? Don’t Know / Have not made up mind / Refused Total
35%
29%
41%
25%
32%
39%
36%
24%
36%
33%
44%
44%
50%
38%
47%
40%
44%
44%
50%
40%
50%
37%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
21%
21%
21%
28%
28%
16%
20%
26%
23%
17%
19%
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Which primary are you leaning toward Democratic voting in as of now? Republican
30%
23%
37%
20%
21%
40%
34%
14%
32%
34%
41%
30%
36%
23%
36%
33%
26%
25%
48%
24%
21%
22%
41%
41%
40%
43%
46%
34%
41%
38%
44%
45%
37%
92
44
47
19
22
29
22
26
23
19
25
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS Democratic
41%
33%
48%
31%
38%
46%
43%
27%
43%
39%
52%
Republican
50%
58%
43%
57%
49%
49%
49%
63%
46%
54%
41%
Undecided
9%
9%
8%
12%
13%
6%
8%
10%
10%
8%
7%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
83%
76%
87%
94%
88%
77%
83%
88%
88%
69%
86%
15%
19%
12%
6%
12%
19%
14%
5%
12%
28%
12% 2%
Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Democratic primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Republican primary?
Sure I will vote in Democratic primary Might change mind, vote in Republican primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Republican primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Democratic primary?
Sure I will vote in Republican primary Might change mind, vote in Democratic primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
3%
5%
1%
0%
0%
4%
3%
7%
0%
3%
153
60
93
18
24
70
40
23
35
36
58
87%
87%
87%
85%
85%
90%
86%
87%
86%
87%
89%
12%
11%
13%
15%
13%
10%
12%
11%
14%
11%
11%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
192
105
87
33
30
80
49
49
39
55
48
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 1 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
Which primary are you more likely to Democratic vote in—the Democratic Primary or Republican the Republican primary? Or have you Won’t vote in either not yet made up your mind? Don’t Know / Have not made up mind / Refused Total
35%
36%
34%
26%
36%
41%
24%
25%
33%
58%
44%
44%
30%
51%
42%
44%
52%
51%
44%
29%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
21%
21%
36%
23%
22%
16%
23%
24%
23%
13%
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Which primary are you leaning toward Democratic voting in as of now? Republican
30%
29%
32%
33%
21%
30%
10%
25%
47%
31%
30%
29%
59%
20%
37%
27%
31%
48%
18%
15%
41%
42%
9%
47%
42%
43%
59%
28%
36%
54%
92
83
5
21
27
21
19
29
30
14
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS Democratic
41%
42%
45%
34%
41%
45%
27%
31%
44%
62%
Republican
50%
50%
52%
55%
50%
48%
60%
63%
48%
31%
Undecided
9%
9%
3%
11%
9%
7%
14%
7%
8%
7%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
83%
82%
79%
93%
73%
80%
82%
89%
83%
79%
15%
15%
21%
7%
24%
17%
12%
11%
15%
18% 3%
Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Democratic primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Republican primary?
Sure I will vote in Democratic primary Might change mind, vote in Republican primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Republican primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Democratic primary?
Sure I will vote in Republican primary Might change mind, vote in Democratic primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
3%
3%
0%
0%
2%
3%
6%
0%
2%
153
145
5
23
44
54
20
29
43
59
87%
88%
100%
86%
82%
93%
91%
84%
85%
94%
12%
12%
0%
14%
15%
7%
8%
16%
14%
6%
1%
1%
0%
0%
3%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
192
178
4
45
50
58
43
61
57
29
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 2 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
Which primary are you more likely to Democratic vote in—the Democratic Primary or Republican the Republican primary? Or have you Won’t vote in either not yet made up your mind? Don’t Know / Have not made up mind / Refused Total
35%
38%
31%
36%
34%
85%
0%
0%
19%
25%
13%
44%
39%
49%
43%
46%
0%
88%
0%
62%
50%
66%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
21%
23%
20%
21%
20%
15%
12%
100%
19%
25%
21%
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Which primary are you leaning toward Democratic voting in as of now? Republican
30%
29%
26%
24%
47%
100%
0%
0%
14%
26%
13%
30%
34%
44%
14%
28%
0%
100%
0%
43%
40%
51%
41%
37%
30%
62%
26%
0%
0%
100%
43%
34%
36%
92
28
21
26
16
27
27
37
43
46
37
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS Democratic
41%
45%
36%
41%
43%
100%
0%
0%
22%
31%
16%
Republican
50%
47%
58%
46%
52%
0%
100%
0%
70%
60%
77%
Undecided
9%
8%
6%
13%
5%
0%
0%
100%
8%
8%
8%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
83%
79%
84%
80%
91%
83%
0%
0%
75%
85%
79%
15%
21%
16%
14%
5%
15%
0%
0%
19%
10%
16% 5%
Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Democratic primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Republican primary?
Sure I will vote in Democratic primary Might change mind, vote in Republican primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Republican primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Democratic primary?
Sure I will vote in Republican primary Might change mind, vote in Democratic primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
3%
0%
0%
6%
5%
3%
0%
0%
7%
5%
153
47
33
46
27
153
0
0
43
47
23
87%
91%
86%
79%
97%
0%
87%
0%
93%
87%
90%
12%
9%
13%
20%
3%
0%
12%
0%
7%
12%
9%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
192
48
52
54
37
0
192
0
138
94
116
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 3 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Overall 436
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
Which primary are you more likely to Democratic vote in—the Democratic Primary or Republican the Republican primary? Or have you Won’t vote in either not yet made up your mind? Don’t Know / Have not made up mind / Refused Total
35%
29%
59%
52%
11%
32%
74%
27%
6%
44%
50%
21%
26%
69%
47%
7%
19%
80%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
21%
22%
20%
22%
20%
21%
19%
54%
14%
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Which primary are you leaning toward Democratic voting in as of now? Republican
30%
27%
38%
42%
12%
30%
55%
15%
13%
30%
33%
31%
30%
52%
33%
4%
23%
69%
41%
40%
31%
28%
36%
36%
41%
62%
19%
92
76
40
49
33
75
33
23
30
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS Democratic
41%
35%
66%
61%
14%
38%
84%
35%
8%
Republican
50%
57%
28%
33%
79%
54%
8%
31%
90%
Undecided
9%
9%
6%
6%
7%
8%
8%
34%
3%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
83%
82%
83%
86%
84%
84%
86%
67%
68%
15%
14%
15%
11%
16%
12%
12%
33%
22% 10%
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Democratic primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Republican primary?
Sure I will vote in Democratic primary Might change mind, vote in Republican primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Republican primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Democratic primary?
Sure I will vote in Republican primary Might change mind, vote in Democratic primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
Major priority 348
3%
4%
2%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
153
100
117
114
19
117
127
12
12
87%
88%
76%
78%
93%
89%
19%
58%
94%
12%
11%
22%
20%
7%
10%
75%
33%
6%
1%
1%
2%
3%
0%
1%
6%
9%
0%
192
173
43
57
116
172
12
8
168
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 4 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
Which primary are you more likely to Democratic vote in—the Democratic Primary or Republican the Republican primary? Or have you Won’t vote in either not yet made up your mind? Don’t Know / Have not made up mind / Refused Total
35%
90%
69%
27%
7%
2%
18%
11%
26%
32%
44%
1%
9%
19%
78%
89%
64%
71%
51%
50%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
21%
8%
22%
54%
16%
9%
19%
18%
23%
17%
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Which primary are you leaning toward Democratic voting in as of now? Republican
30%
87%
51%
15%
10%
30%
23%
3%
38%
31%
30%
0%
5%
23%
68%
70%
26%
46%
34%
34%
41%
13%
44%
62%
21%
0%
50%
51%
28%
35%
92
3
29
23
26
4
25
21
33
30
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS Democratic
41%
98%
80%
35%
8%
4%
22%
12%
35%
38%
Republican
50%
1%
10%
31%
88%
96%
68%
79%
59%
56%
Undecided
9%
1%
10%
34%
3%
0%
9%
9%
6%
6%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
83%
91%
84%
67%
65%
100%
84%
83%
66%
74%
15%
9%
13%
33%
24%
0%
11%
17%
23%
24% 2%
Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Democratic primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Republican primary?
Sure I will vote in Democratic primary Might change mind, vote in Republican primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Republican primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Democratic primary?
Sure I will vote in Republican primary Might change mind, vote in Democratic primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
3%
0%
3%
0%
11%
0%
5%
0%
11%
153
37
90
12
11
1
24
13
36
56
87%
100%
16%
58%
93%
97%
89%
91%
86%
90%
12%
0%
78%
33%
7%
3%
10%
9%
13%
9%
1%
0%
6%
9%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
12
8
129
39
86
85
72
88
192
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 5 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
Which primary are you more likely to Democratic vote in—the Democratic Primary or Republican the Republican primary? Or have you Won’t vote in either not yet made up your mind? Don’t Know / Have not made up mind / Refused Total
35%
15%
11%
60%
53%
44%
66%
73%
17%
22%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
21%
19%
16%
23%
25%
436
126
104
143
258
Which primary are you leaning toward Democratic voting in as of now? Republican
30%
26%
17%
57%
38%
30%
53%
64%
4%
27%
41%
21%
18%
39%
35%
92
24
17
33
64
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS Democratic
41%
20%
14%
73%
62%
Republican
50%
76%
83%
18%
29%
Undecided
9%
4%
3%
9%
9%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
83%
75%
61%
88%
82%
15%
16%
25%
12%
16%
Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Democratic primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Republican primary?
Sure I will vote in Democratic primary Might change mind, vote in Republican primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Republican primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Democratic primary?
Sure I will vote in Republican primary Might change mind, vote in Democratic primary Don’t Know / Refused Total
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
3%
9%
14%
0%
3%
153
19
12
86
136
87%
97%
97%
62%
71%
12%
3%
3%
35%
26%
1%
0%
0%
3%
3%
192
83
76
24
58
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 6 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIMARY CHOICE CERTAINTY
Sure Democratic
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
22%
35%
24%
28%
30%
30%
21%
32%
23%
38%
6%
7%
5%
2%
4%
9%
6%
3%
4%
10%
6%
Undecided, Leaning Democratic
6%
5%
8%
6%
6%
7%
7%
4%
7%
6%
8%
Undecided
9%
9%
8%
12%
13%
6%
8%
10%
10%
8%
7%
Undecided, Leaning Republican
6%
8%
5%
10%
9%
4%
5%
12%
6%
4%
4%
Republican, might change
6%
6%
5%
7%
6%
4%
6%
6%
6%
6%
4%
38%
44%
33%
40%
34%
40%
38%
44%
35%
44%
33%
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Favorable
31%
37%
26%
35%
24%
31%
34%
41%
26%
33%
26%
Unfavorable
52%
47%
57%
43%
54%
56%
51%
39%
53%
54%
60%
Heard of / Undecided
14%
14%
15%
17%
20%
12%
14%
18%
16%
11%
13%
Never heard of
1%
1%
2%
5%
2%
1%
0%
3%
4%
0%
0%
Refused
1%
1%
%
0%
1%
%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Favorable
28%
36%
20%
37%
23%
22%
33%
38%
20%
34%
20%
Unfavorable
65%
54%
75%
55%
68%
69%
61%
51%
75%
56%
75%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
10%
5%
8%
9%
8%
6%
11%
5%
9%
6%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Favorable
32%
30%
34%
32%
32%
33%
33%
31%
33%
30%
35%
Unfavorable
49%
49%
50%
54%
49%
49%
46%
49%
57%
49%
44%
Heard of / Undecided
18%
20%
16%
14%
19%
17%
21%
19%
10%
20%
20%
Never heard of
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Refused Total Favorables - Jeb Bush
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
29%
Total
Favorables - Donald Trump
AGE CATEGORIES
Democratic, might change
Sure Republican Favorables - Chris Christie
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 7 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIMARY CHOICE CERTAINTY
Sure Democratic
Less than $50k 94
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
29%
26%
24%
27%
32%
20%
22%
27%
46%
6%
6%
7%
2%
10%
8%
4%
3%
6%
12%
Undecided, Leaning Democratic
6%
6%
12%
8%
5%
5%
2%
6%
11%
4%
Undecided
9%
9%
3%
11%
9%
7%
14%
7%
8%
7%
Undecided, Leaning Republican
6%
6%
21%
5%
8%
4%
7%
12%
4%
2%
Republican, might change
6%
5%
0%
7%
7%
3%
5%
8%
7%
2%
38%
38%
30%
44%
34%
41%
47%
43%
37%
27%
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Favorable
31%
31%
24%
37%
21%
33%
30%
27%
40%
26%
Unfavorable
52%
52%
76%
47%
57%
51%
47%
53%
42%
68%
Heard of / Undecided
14%
15%
0%
14%
17%
15%
21%
16%
17%
4%
Never heard of
1%
2%
0%
0%
4%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
Refused
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Favorable
28%
28%
13%
33%
30%
25%
38%
36%
27%
9%
Unfavorable
65%
64%
87%
61%
62%
66%
48%
56%
64%
89%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
8%
0%
5%
7%
10%
14%
8%
8%
2%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Favorable
32%
32%
52%
35%
33%
30%
31%
38%
32%
27%
Unfavorable
49%
49%
42%
45%
54%
48%
53%
45%
45%
56%
Heard of / Undecided
18%
18%
6%
19%
12%
22%
15%
15%
22%
16%
Never heard of
%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
Refused
%
%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Refused Total Favorables - Jeb Bush
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
EDUCATION LEVEL
29%
Total
Favorables - Donald Trump
INCOME RANGES
Democratic, might change
Sure Republican Favorables - Chris Christie
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 8 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIMARY CHOICE CERTAINTY
Sure Democratic
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
30%
26%
29%
31%
70%
0%
0%
14%
21%
10%
6%
8%
5%
7%
3%
15%
0%
0%
5%
4%
3%
Undecided, Leaning Democratic
6%
7%
5%
5%
9%
15%
0%
0%
3%
6%
3%
Undecided
9%
8%
6%
13%
5%
0%
0%
100%
8%
8%
8%
Undecided, Leaning Republican
6%
8%
9%
3%
6%
0%
12%
0%
8%
10%
11%
Total
6%
4%
7%
9%
1%
0%
11%
0%
5%
7%
6%
38%
36%
42%
34%
45%
0%
77%
0%
57%
44%
60%
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Favorable
31%
37%
30%
33%
21%
17%
42%
34%
40%
28%
45%
Unfavorable
52%
52%
47%
52%
61%
69%
42%
36%
40%
50%
38%
Heard of / Undecided
14%
9%
19%
15%
15%
13%
13%
27%
18%
19%
16%
Never heard of
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
1%
2%
3%
1%
3%
1%
Refused
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
%
1%
0%
1%
%
%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Favorable
28%
26%
32%
28%
23%
8%
43%
29%
45%
32%
44%
Unfavorable
65%
67%
59%
63%
71%
89%
45%
61%
43%
56%
41%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
7%
10%
9%
5%
3%
11%
9%
12%
11%
14%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Favorable
32%
27%
31%
40%
32%
27%
38%
24%
35%
36%
35%
Unfavorable
49%
50%
53%
43%
51%
57%
44%
44%
47%
46%
45%
Heard of / Undecided
18%
23%
15%
15%
18%
16%
17%
29%
17%
17%
20%
Never heard of
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Refused Total Favorables - Jeb Bush
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
IMMIGR ATION
29%
Sure Republican
Favorables - Donald Trump
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Democratic, might change
Republican, might change
Favorables - Chris Christie
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 9 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIMARY CHOICE CERTAINTY
Sure Democratic
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
23%
49%
45%
9%
27%
64%
18%
4%
6%
5%
10%
7%
2%
5%
10%
9%
2%
Undecided, Leaning Democratic
6%
6%
8%
9%
2%
6%
10%
8%
2%
Undecided
9%
9%
6%
6%
7%
8%
8%
34%
3%
Undecided, Leaning Republican
6%
7%
6%
7%
10%
7%
1%
13%
10%
Total
6%
6%
5%
6%
5%
5%
6%
8%
5%
38%
43%
16%
20%
64%
42%
1%
11%
75%
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Favorable
31%
35%
25%
26%
36%
33%
15%
35%
44%
Unfavorable
52%
47%
61%
60%
44%
50%
69%
46%
40%
Heard of / Undecided
14%
15%
12%
11%
17%
14%
14%
19%
14%
Never heard of
1%
2%
1%
2%
3%
1%
1%
0%
2%
Refused
1%
%
%
1%
%
1%
1%
0%
%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Favorable
28%
33%
9%
17%
50%
30%
5%
21%
47%
Unfavorable
65%
58%
87%
78%
39%
62%
91%
72%
42%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
9%
4%
4%
10%
8%
3%
7%
12%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
%
%
%
%
%
0%
0%
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Favorable
32%
35%
29%
32%
36%
34%
28%
32%
36%
Unfavorable
49%
48%
54%
55%
45%
48%
58%
43%
44%
Heard of / Undecided
18%
17%
16%
14%
18%
16%
14%
22%
18%
Never heard of
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
3%
0%
Refused
%
%
1%
0%
1%
%
0%
0%
1%
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Refused Total Favorables - Jeb Bush
ISIS
29%
Sure Republican
Favorables - Donald Trump
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
Democratic, might change
Republican, might change
Favorables - Chris Christie
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 10 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIMARY CHOICE CERTAINTY
Sure Democratic
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173 82%
58%
18%
4%
2%
15%
9%
17%
24%
6%
8%
11%
9%
2%
0%
3%
2%
9%
9%
Undecided, Leaning Democratic
6%
7%
12%
8%
2%
3%
4%
1%
9%
5%
Undecided
9%
1%
10%
34%
3%
0%
9%
9%
6%
6%
Undecided, Leaning Republican
6%
0%
1%
13%
11%
6%
5%
8%
8%
6%
Republican, might change
6%
0%
7%
8%
5%
2%
7%
7%
7%
5%
38%
1%
1%
11%
72%
87%
56%
64%
44%
46%
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Favorable
31%
10%
17%
35%
45%
41%
100%
45%
43%
43%
Unfavorable
52%
71%
69%
46%
41%
34%
0%
32%
40%
46%
Heard of / Undecided
14%
16%
14%
19%
12%
23%
0%
19%
14%
9%
Never heard of
1%
4%
0%
0%
2%
3%
0%
3%
3%
1%
Refused
1%
0%
1%
0%
%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Favorable
28%
1%
7%
21%
45%
51%
40%
100%
24%
23%
Unfavorable
65%
97%
90%
72%
42%
39%
56%
0%
70%
71%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
2%
3%
7%
12%
10%
4%
0%
5%
6%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Favorable
32%
24%
29%
32%
38%
29%
45%
29%
100%
48%
Unfavorable
49%
62%
57%
43%
45%
42%
40%
60%
0%
35%
Heard of / Undecided
18%
14%
14%
22%
17%
25%
14%
11%
0%
17%
Never heard of
%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Refused Total Favorables - Jeb Bush
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
29%
Total
Favorables - Donald Trump
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
Democratic, might change
Sure Republican Favorables - Chris Christie
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 11 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIMARY CHOICE CERTAINTY
Sure Democratic
11%
7%
53%
43%
6%
4%
4%
7%
10%
Undecided, Leaning Democratic
6%
5%
3%
13%
9%
Undecided
9%
4%
3%
9%
9%
Undecided, Leaning Republican
6%
10%
10%
1%
7%
Republican, might change
6%
2%
2%
6%
6%
38%
64%
71%
10%
16%
436
126
104
143
258
Favorable
31%
57%
37%
23%
25%
Unfavorable
52%
31%
47%
65%
61%
Heard of / Undecided
14%
10%
15%
11%
13%
Never heard of
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
Refused
1%
1%
1%
1%
%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Favorable
28%
38%
48%
7%
17%
Unfavorable
65%
54%
40%
91%
80%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
8%
12%
1%
3%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
436
126
104
143
258
Favorable
32%
55%
39%
33%
36%
Unfavorable
49%
32%
48%
54%
51%
Heard of / Undecided
18%
13%
12%
13%
12%
Never heard of
%
0%
0%
1%
%
Refused
%
0%
1%
0%
1%
436
126
104
143
258
Refused Total Favorables - Jeb Bush
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256 29%
Total
Favorables - Donald Trump
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Democratic, might change
Sure Republican Favorables - Chris Christie
FAV CRUZ
Total
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 12 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - John Kasich
Favorable
40%
44%
37%
37%
35%
39%
47%
38%
34%
48%
39%
Unfavorable
34%
33%
35%
31%
34%
36%
32%
35%
36%
32%
34%
Heard of / Undecided
21%
19%
23%
23%
23%
20%
19%
21%
20%
16%
24%
Never heard of
5%
5%
6%
9%
8%
5%
2%
6%
9%
4%
3%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Favorable
29%
34%
24%
29%
21%
34%
26%
32%
22%
36%
25%
Unfavorable
54%
50%
58%
53%
57%
48%
62%
48%
59%
51%
57%
Heard of / Undecided
15%
14%
16%
14%
20%
15%
12%
16%
17%
13%
15%
Never heard of
2%
2%
2%
4%
2%
2%
0%
4%
2%
0%
2%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Favorable
24%
34%
15%
33%
22%
23%
21%
39%
17%
30%
13%
Unfavorable
62%
58%
65%
62%
54%
62%
68%
52%
62%
64%
68%
Heard of / Undecided
Favorables - Marco Rubio
Favorables - Ted Cruz
14%
7%
20%
5%
22%
14%
11%
9%
20%
5%
19%
Never heard of
%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
Refused
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Favorable
33%
24%
41%
24%
29%
35%
38%
15%
43%
32%
39%
Unfavorable
59%
69%
51%
67%
61%
57%
57%
75%
53%
63%
50%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
8%
8%
9%
10%
8%
5%
10%
4%
6%
11%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Total Favorables - Hillary Clinton
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 13 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - John Kasich
Favorable
40%
41%
32%
39%
45%
39%
32%
39%
38%
50%
Unfavorable
34%
33%
61%
30%
32%
35%
39%
34%
33%
32%
Heard of / Undecided
21%
21%
6%
22%
15%
24%
20%
22%
24%
15%
Never heard of
5%
6%
0%
9%
8%
2%
9%
5%
5%
3%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Favorable
29%
28%
38%
23%
24%
29%
25%
33%
30%
26%
Unfavorable
54%
54%
62%
58%
55%
56%
55%
49%
51%
63%
Heard of / Undecided
15%
16%
0%
15%
17%
15%
20%
14%
18%
9%
Never heard of
2%
2%
0%
4%
4%
0%
0%
4%
2%
2%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Favorable
24%
23%
49%
20%
23%
26%
28%
32%
21%
16%
Unfavorable
62%
63%
45%
59%
65%
63%
54%
57%
60%
76%
Heard of / Undecided
Favorables - Marco Rubio
Favorables - Ted Cruz
14%
13%
6%
19%
11%
10%
15%
11%
20%
8%
Never heard of
%
%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
%
%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Favorable
33%
33%
23%
23%
36%
37%
20%
23%
38%
47%
Unfavorable
59%
59%
51%
69%
57%
58%
72%
72%
53%
44%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
7%
26%
9%
7%
5%
8%
5%
9%
9%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Total Favorables - Hillary Clinton
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 14 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - John Kasich
Favorable
40%
34%
44%
43%
39%
37%
45%
28%
35%
37%
38%
Unfavorable
34%
39%
37%
25%
38%
35%
37%
16%
37%
41%
39%
Heard of / Undecided
21%
24%
16%
24%
16%
21%
16%
45%
23%
19%
19%
Never heard of
5%
3%
3%
8%
7%
7%
3%
10%
5%
3%
4%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Favorable
29%
29%
31%
31%
23%
14%
44%
14%
39%
31%
44%
Unfavorable
54%
53%
52%
50%
65%
72%
40%
50%
41%
49%
40%
Heard of / Undecided
15%
17%
13%
17%
12%
13%
14%
30%
17%
17%
13%
Never heard of
2%
1%
4%
2%
0%
1%
2%
6%
2%
2%
2%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Favorable
24%
21%
31%
25%
18%
8%
40%
8%
37%
27%
40%
Unfavorable
62%
63%
56%
60%
71%
82%
45%
66%
43%
56%
45%
Heard of / Undecided
Favorables - Marco Rubio
Favorables - Ted Cruz
14%
16%
13%
16%
8%
10%
14%
26%
18%
15%
14%
Never heard of
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
Refused
%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Favorable
33%
30%
39%
33%
29%
58%
11%
35%
16%
22%
12%
Unfavorable
59%
64%
55%
58%
61%
30%
85%
50%
79%
67%
82%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
6%
6%
10%
10%
12%
4%
15%
5%
11%
6%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Total Favorables - Hillary Clinton
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 15 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - John Kasich
Favorable
40%
39%
41%
36%
35%
37%
37%
30%
44%
Unfavorable
34%
33%
31%
35%
41%
36%
35%
32%
34%
Heard of / Undecided
21%
23%
20%
21%
18%
21%
20%
36%
18%
Never heard of
5%
5%
8%
7%
6%
6%
8%
3%
3%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Favorable
29%
34%
16%
19%
42%
32%
11%
27%
45%
Unfavorable
54%
50%
68%
66%
41%
51%
75%
51%
38%
Heard of / Undecided
15%
15%
14%
12%
15%
15%
12%
20%
16%
Never heard of
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Favorable
24%
27%
11%
12%
40%
26%
5%
28%
40%
Unfavorable
62%
57%
78%
74%
45%
59%
85%
57%
44%
Heard of / Undecided
Favorables - Marco Rubio
Favorables - Ted Cruz
14%
14%
10%
13%
15%
15%
11%
15%
15%
Never heard of
%
%
1%
0%
1%
%
0%
0%
1%
Refused
%
%
1%
1%
0%
%
0%
0%
1%
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Favorable
33%
30%
55%
46%
8%
29%
67%
23%
6%
Unfavorable
59%
64%
35%
42%
88%
64%
21%
55%
92%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
6%
11%
12%
4%
8%
11%
22%
2%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Total Favorables - Hillary Clinton
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 16 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - John Kasich
Favorable
40%
26%
40%
30%
46%
39%
56%
34%
59%
100%
Unfavorable
34%
48%
31%
32%
35%
33%
26%
46%
21%
0%
Heard of / Undecided
21%
18%
21%
36%
19%
16%
16%
17%
17%
0%
Never heard of
5%
8%
9%
3%
1%
12%
3%
2%
3%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Favorable
29%
18%
8%
27%
44%
50%
53%
40%
49%
40%
Unfavorable
54%
70%
77%
51%
39%
34%
37%
44%
41%
47%
Heard of / Undecided
15%
12%
12%
20%
16%
16%
9%
13%
10%
11%
Never heard of
2%
0%
3%
3%
2%
0%
1%
3%
0%
1%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Favorables - Marco Rubio
Favorables - Ted Cruz
Favorable
24%
2%
6%
28%
36%
52%
29%
42%
29%
22%
Unfavorable
62%
85%
85%
57%
47%
33%
56%
44%
59%
68%
Heard of / Undecided
14%
14%
10%
15%
16%
12%
14%
14%
10%
8%
Never heard of
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
1%
0%
Refused
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Favorable
33%
81%
63%
23%
5%
10%
24%
9%
33%
39%
Unfavorable
59%
10%
25%
55%
92%
88%
73%
90%
61%
56%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
9%
12%
22%
2%
2%
3%
1%
6%
5%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Total Favorables - Hillary Clinton
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 17 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - John Kasich
Favorable
40%
55%
37%
48%
42%
Unfavorable
34%
25%
42%
28%
32%
Heard of / Undecided
21%
16%
17%
18%
19%
Never heard of
5%
4%
4%
6%
7%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Favorable
29%
100%
56%
14%
19%
Unfavorable
54%
0%
31%
72%
67%
Heard of / Undecided
15%
0%
12%
12%
13%
Never heard of
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Favorable
24%
47%
100%
6%
16%
Unfavorable
62%
42%
0%
83%
74%
Heard of / Undecided
10%
Favorables - Marco Rubio
Favorables - Ted Cruz
14%
10%
0%
11%
Never heard of
%
0%
0%
0%
%
Refused
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Total Favorables - Hillary Clinton
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
436
126
104
143
258
Favorable
33%
16%
8%
100%
46%
Unfavorable
59%
79%
88%
0%
45%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
4%
4%
0%
9%
Never heard of
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 18 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - Bernie Sanders
Favorable
59%
58%
60%
57%
59%
60%
60%
55%
62%
61%
58%
Unfavorable
32%
37%
28%
35%
31%
32%
30%
39%
28%
35%
27%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
4%
12%
4%
10%
8%
10%
4%
9%
4%
15%
Never heard of
1%
1%
0%
4%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Bernie Sanders
59%
60%
59%
78%
58%
61%
49%
60%
64%
60%
56%
Hillary Clinton
33%
31%
34%
5%
35%
31%
48%
23%
34%
38%
34%
Martin O’Malley
4%
9%
1%
17%
3%
0%
4%
17%
0%
2%
1%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
1%
0%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
2%
DEM HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
Total DEM HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
126
45
80
16
22
54
34
20
31
25
50
Bernie Sanders
60%
64%
58%
73%
60%
64%
49%
65%
63%
63%
55%
Hillary Clinton
32%
26%
36%
11%
35%
29%
46%
20%
35%
31%
37%
Martin O’Malley
4%
9%
1%
16%
3%
2%
3%
15%
0%
5%
1%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
1%
2%
0%
3%
2%
2%
0%
2%
2%
2%
Total
153
60
93
18
24
70
40
23
35
36
58
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 19 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - Bernie Sanders
Favorable
59%
59%
77%
53%
64%
61%
47%
57%
58%
73%
Unfavorable
32%
32%
16%
35%
26%
35%
38%
34%
33%
23%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
8%
6%
11%
8%
5%
14%
6%
9%
4%
Never heard of
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Bernie Sanders
59%
59%
54%
77%
60%
63%
62%
68%
58%
55%
Hillary Clinton
33%
33%
46%
16%
38%
33%
11%
32%
31%
42%
Martin O’Malley
4%
4%
0%
0%
2%
2%
17%
0%
6%
0%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
7%
0%
0%
10%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
5%
0%
DEM HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
Total DEM HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
126
120
4
22
32
43
16
26
35
47
Bernie Sanders
60%
60%
42%
78%
63%
58%
62%
72%
55%
58%
Hillary Clinton
32%
32%
58%
15%
36%
35%
16%
28%
33%
39%
Martin O’Malley
4%
4%
0%
0%
1%
4%
14%
0%
7%
0%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
7%
0%
0%
8%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
4%
1%
Total
153
145
5
23
44
54
20
29
43
59
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 20 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - Bernie Sanders
Favorable
59%
63%
51%
61%
61%
89%
34%
60%
42%
51%
38%
Unfavorable
32%
33%
33%
30%
33%
5%
56%
20%
47%
34%
51%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
4%
14%
10%
7%
6%
8%
21%
11%
13%
10%
Never heard of
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Bernie Sanders
59%
73%
33%
63%
65%
59%
0%
0%
50%
63%
48%
Hillary Clinton
33%
25%
49%
35%
22%
33%
0%
0%
38%
26%
36%
Martin O’Malley
4%
0%
14%
2%
0%
4%
0%
0%
12%
3%
15%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%
4%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
7%
1%
0%
0%
0%
4%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
1%
2%
4%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
DEM HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
Total DEM HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
126
37
28
37
24
126
0
0
32
40
18
Bernie Sanders
60%
75%
32%
63%
66%
60%
0%
0%
56%
61%
54%
Hillary Clinton
32%
24%
49%
36%
20%
32%
0%
0%
33%
27%
29%
Martin O’Malley
4%
0%
15%
2%
0%
4%
0%
0%
12%
5%
17%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
1%
4%
0%
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
153
47
33
46
27
153
0
0
43
47
23
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 21 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - Bernie Sanders
Favorable
59%
54%
83%
78%
35%
57%
88%
73%
33%
Unfavorable
32%
36%
11%
14%
55%
34%
6%
20%
57%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
9%
6%
6%
9%
8%
7%
7%
9%
Never heard of
1%
1%
0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
0%
1%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Bernie Sanders
59%
50%
59%
62%
43%
60%
57%
94%
50%
Hillary Clinton
33%
40%
34%
32%
26%
34%
37%
6%
0%
Martin O’Malley
4%
5%
2%
1%
21%
2%
1%
0%
50%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
2%
2%
2%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
2%
2%
2%
10%
2%
1%
0%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
1%
1%
2%
2%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
DEM HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
Total DEM HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
126
82
97
98
16
98
109
8
8
Bernie Sanders
60%
54%
60%
63%
46%
61%
57%
96%
66%
Hillary Clinton
32%
37%
34%
32%
22%
32%
38%
4%
0%
Martin O’Malley
4%
5%
1%
1%
24%
3%
1%
0%
34%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
2%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
2%
1%
1%
8%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
2%
0%
0%
Total
153
100
117
114
19
117
127
12
12
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 22 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - Bernie Sanders
Favorable
59%
87%
88%
73%
35%
25%
47%
37%
66%
63%
Unfavorable
32%
6%
6%
20%
54%
72%
49%
55%
28%
30%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
7%
7%
7%
10%
2%
5%
7%
6%
6%
Never heard of
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Bernie Sanders
59%
60%
56%
94%
45%
100%
44%
65%
43%
43%
Hillary Clinton
33%
40%
36%
6%
0%
0%
35%
6%
48%
48%
Martin O’Malley
4%
0%
1%
0%
55%
0%
21%
29%
3%
8%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
7%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
DEM HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
Total DEM HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
126
34
75
8
7
1
20
11
24
42
Bernie Sanders
60%
54%
58%
96%
64%
100%
48%
62%
50%
45%
Hillary Clinton
32%
44%
36%
4%
0%
0%
29%
5%
41%
46%
Martin O’Malley
4%
0%
1%
0%
36%
0%
22%
33%
5%
8%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
4%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
Total
153
37
90
12
11
1
24
13
36
56
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 23 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
FAV CRUZ
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Favorables - Bernie Sanders
Favorable
59%
39%
40%
83%
100%
Unfavorable
32%
56%
56%
11%
0%
Heard of / Undecided
8%
4%
4%
6%
0%
Never heard of
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Bernie Sanders
59%
35%
73%
41%
65%
Hillary Clinton
33%
46%
19%
53%
30%
Martin O’Malley
4%
20%
7%
1%
2%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
1%
0%
0%
2%
2%
DEM HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
Total DEM HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
126
14
7
75
111
Bernie Sanders
60%
45%
74%
40%
66%
Hillary Clinton
32%
35%
12%
55%
29%
Martin O’Malley
4%
21%
14%
1%
2%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
0%
0%
3%
2%
Total
153
19
12
86
136
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 24 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
DEM HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Bernie Sanders
60%
64%
58%
65%
63%
61%
55%
63%
59%
65%
58%
Hillary Clinton
33%
27%
37%
22%
33%
32%
39%
24%
40%
28%
35%
Martin O’Malley
3%
8%
1%
13%
3%
1%
3%
13%
0%
4%
1%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
2%
2%
0%
2%
1%
2%
0%
2%
3%
2%
Total
180
70
110
21
29
82
48
27
42
43
68
DEM HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Bernie Sanders MODERATE REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
57%
65%
52%
56%
60%
59%
54%
62%
52%
67%
52%
32%
24%
37%
30%
30%
31%
35%
24%
42%
24%
34%
Martin O’Malley
5%
8%
3%
14%
2%
4%
3%
9%
3%
7%
3%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
2%
0%
2%
2%
0%
2%
1%
0%
2%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
3%
5%
0%
6%
1%
9%
3%
2%
3%
6%
Total DEM HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
217
88
129
30
39
92
57
37
52
51
77
Bernie Sanders
59%
67%
52%
65%
60%
58%
55%
70%
52%
65%
53%
Hillary Clinton
28%
20%
35%
24%
27%
29%
32%
18%
39%
22%
32%
Martin O’Malley
6%
9%
3%
11%
6%
5%
3%
9%
4%
10%
2%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
1%
2%
0%
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
2%
6%
0%
5%
2%
10%
2%
4%
2%
7%
Total
244
104
140
37
46
100
62
49
58
55
83
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 25 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
DEM HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Bernie Sanders
60%
60%
57%
79%
67%
55%
59%
73%
57%
56%
Hillary Clinton
33%
33%
43%
14%
32%
39%
18%
27%
34%
40%
Martin O’Malley
3%
3%
0%
0%
1%
3%
13%
0%
6%
0%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
5%
0%
0%
7%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
3%
2%
0%
3%
1%
Total
180
170
6
30
49
60
22
36
57
63
DEM HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Bernie Sanders MODERATE REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
57%
58%
60%
66%
64%
53%
46%
72%
57%
55%
32%
32%
40%
19%
33%
37%
28%
22%
33%
38%
Martin O’Malley
5%
5%
0%
7%
1%
3%
17%
3%
5%
0%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
4%
0%
1%
5%
2%
1%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
4%
0%
5%
2%
6%
3%
2%
5%
4%
Total DEM HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
217
204
7
40
60
69
33
44
68
71
Bernie Sanders
59%
58%
72%
65%
65%
54%
54%
69%
57%
55%
Hillary Clinton
28%
29%
28%
17%
29%
35%
24%
17%
32%
36%
Martin O’Malley
6%
6%
0%
7%
3%
4%
15%
7%
5%
1%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
2%
0%
4%
2%
1%
4%
3%
1%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
4%
0%
7%
2%
5%
3%
4%
6%
4%
Total
244
229
9
44
70
75
39
58
73
73
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 26 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
DEM HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Bernie Sanders
60%
71%
34%
64%
69%
60%
0%
0%
56%
63%
55%
Hillary Clinton
33%
27%
50%
35%
20%
33%
0%
0%
32%
26%
30%
Martin O’Malley
3%
%
13%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
11%
4%
15%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
5%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
2%
3%
0%
2%
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
Total
180
55
39
52
34
180
0
0
49
59
28
DEM HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Bernie Sanders MODERATE REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
57%
69%
36%
57%
65%
60%
0%
43%
54%
60%
50%
32%
22%
50%
32%
26%
33%
0%
26%
27%
24%
27%
Martin O’Malley
5%
%
11%
7%
0%
3%
0%
11%
14%
7%
17%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
2%
0%
3%
2%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
2%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
3%
1%
3%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
5%
3%
5%
2%
2%
0%
15%
4%
4%
4%
Total DEM HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
217
65
45
68
39
180
0
37
67
75
41
Bernie Sanders
59%
69%
42%
57%
66%
60%
69%
43%
55%
62%
56%
Hillary Clinton
28%
20%
43%
30%
23%
33%
3%
26%
22%
20%
19%
Martin O’Malley
6%
1%
11%
9%
3%
3%
15%
11%
14%
9%
16%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
2%
0%
3%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
4%
0%
0%
4%
1%
6%
3%
2%
2%
3%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
6%
4%
4%
1%
2%
8%
15%
6%
4%
6%
Total
244
75
54
72
43
180
27
37
86
93
60
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 27 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
ISIS
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
DEM HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Bernie Sanders
60%
54%
59%
61%
51%
60%
56%
89%
Hillary Clinton
33%
38%
35%
33%
22%
34%
40%
11%
0%
Martin O’Malley
3%
5%
1%
1%
20%
2%
1%
0%
25%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
1%
1%
7%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
2%
0%
0%
Total
180
121
133
135
23
139
145
15
16
DEM HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Bernie Sanders MODERATE REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
57%
53%
58%
60%
45%
58%
53%
69%
76%
32%
35%
34%
33%
22%
31%
40%
16%
0%
Martin O’Malley
5%
6%
2%
1%
18%
4%
2%
0%
19%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
1%
1%
5%
2%
1%
2%
2%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
3%
3%
3%
8%
4%
3%
10%
3%
Total DEM HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
75%
217
152
145
148
35
167
158
30
21
Bernie Sanders
59%
55%
59%
62%
53%
59%
52%
70%
73%
Hillary Clinton
28%
31%
32%
31%
15%
27%
40%
14%
0%
Martin O’Malley
6%
8%
4%
1%
19%
6%
3%
3%
16%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
2%
1%
2%
3%
2%
1%
2%
5%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
4%
3%
3%
10%
5%
3%
8%
6%
Total
244
177
157
163
52
192
160
35
42
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 28 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
DEM HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Bernie Sanders
60%
50%
58%
89%
71%
100%
45%
62%
49%
51%
Hillary Clinton
33%
48%
36%
11%
0%
0%
36%
5%
44%
40%
Martin O’Malley
3%
0%
1%
0%
29%
0%
19%
33%
4%
7%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
Total
180
41
105
15
14
2
30
14
49
66
DEM HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Bernie Sanders MODERATE REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
57%
51%
54%
69%
74%
100%
46%
69%
47%
54%
32%
48%
38%
16%
0%
0%
34%
9%
41%
36%
Martin O’Malley
5%
0%
3%
0%
21%
0%
13%
18%
6%
6%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
1%
2%
2%
0%
0%
2%
3%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
2%
3%
10%
3%
0%
6%
2%
4%
4%
Total DEM HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
217
41
117
30
19
2
43
25
58
76
Bernie Sanders
59%
51%
53%
70%
77%
41%
53%
73%
52%
57%
Hillary Clinton
28%
48%
38%
14%
0%
0%
30%
6%
34%
32%
Martin O’Malley
6%
0%
3%
3%
13%
33%
11%
13%
7%
7%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
0%
1%
2%
5%
0%
1%
2%
2%
%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
2%
3%
8%
4%
26%
6%
5%
5%
3%
Total
244
41
119
35
37
5
49
35
69
87
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 29 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
DEM HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Bernie Sanders
60%
43%
70%
40%
66%
Hillary Clinton
33%
40%
17%
54%
29%
Martin O’Malley
3%
16%
13%
1%
2%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
2%
0%
0%
3%
2%
Total
180
25
15
105
160
DEM HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Bernie Sanders MODERATE REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
57%
47%
76%
38%
66%
32%
33%
14%
56%
28%
Martin O’Malley
5%
14%
10%
1%
3%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
3%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
3%
0%
4%
2%
Total DEM HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
217
30
18
118
183
Bernie Sanders
59%
52%
72%
38%
67%
Hillary Clinton
28%
23%
9%
56%
25%
Martin O’Malley
6%
14%
15%
1%
4%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
4%
0%
1%
1%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
5%
4%
4%
2%
Total
244
43
29
119
200
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 30 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
DEM HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Bernie Sanders LOWEST REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
59%
67%
54%
69%
58%
58%
57%
68%
52%
66%
54%
28%
21%
33%
21%
28%
30%
29%
20%
38%
21%
30%
Martin O’Malley
5%
9%
3%
10%
6%
5%
3%
9%
4%
9%
2%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
%
2%
0%
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
1%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
1%
3%
0%
1%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
4%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
2%
5%
0%
5%
2%
9%
2%
3%
2%
7%
Total
269
117
151
42
50
107
69
55
63
62
88
Ben Carson
4%
4%
5%
2%
5%
4%
5%
2%
5%
5%
5%
Carly Fiorina
4%
4%
4%
1%
1%
8%
3%
5%
4%
4%
5%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
4%
0%
8%
1%
10%
4%
3%
5%
5%
Donald Trump
20%
21%
19%
24%
21%
15%
27%
23%
21%
20%
17%
Jeb Bush
16%
GOP HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
13%
9%
18%
23%
10%
12%
10%
8%
19%
9%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
%
0%
John Kasich
19%
17%
22%
14%
17%
21%
21%
11%
20%
23%
23%
Marco Rubio
7%
7%
7%
7%
5%
10%
4%
7%
6%
7%
9%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
3%
2%
Rand Paul
7%
8%
5%
5%
12%
7%
4%
10%
6%
7%
4%
%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
12%
15%
9%
17%
12%
12%
9%
20%
9%
10%
10%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
2%
Don't know / Refused
5%
6%
3%
8%
8%
4%
2%
8%
5%
5%
2%
Total
310
163
147
53
55
125
77
78
66
85
81
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 31 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
DEM HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Bernie Sanders LOWEST REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
59%
59%
72%
64%
65%
56%
59%
73%
55%
53%
28%
28%
28%
19%
29%
33%
22%
15%
32%
38%
Martin O’Malley
5%
6%
0%
6%
3%
4%
13%
6%
5%
1%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
3%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
2%
0%
3%
1%
1%
4%
3%
3%
0%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
4%
0%
6%
2%
5%
3%
3%
5%
4%
Total
269
251
9
50
79
79
43
68
82
75
Ben Carson
4%
4%
0%
2%
5%
2%
3%
3%
6%
3%
Carly Fiorina
4%
4%
0%
4%
4%
7%
4%
0%
8%
7%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
0%
5%
3%
4%
2%
5%
6%
3%
Donald Trump
20%
21%
18%
25%
20%
22%
32%
26%
15%
5%
Jeb Bush
13%
13%
10%
12%
21%
9%
13%
14%
14%
10%
GOP HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
John Kasich
19%
21%
0%
20%
20%
18%
14%
18%
18%
30%
Marco Rubio
7%
7%
19%
5%
5%
11%
3%
9%
5%
14%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
0%
3%
1%
0%
5%
0%
1%
0%
Rand Paul
7%
6%
9%
5%
8%
8%
4%
8%
7%
8%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
12%
11%
29%
13%
7%
14%
17%
11%
10%
11%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
2%
2%
%
3%
0%
1%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
7%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
2%
3%
Don't know / Refused
5%
5%
4%
3%
5%
2%
0%
7%
7%
5%
Total
310
287
10
67
88
90
65
93
95
55
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 32 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
DEM HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Bernie Sanders LOWEST REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
59%
69%
43%
59%
66%
60%
68%
43%
57%
64%
62%
28%
19%
42%
28%
23%
33%
12%
26%
22%
19%
16%
Martin O’Malley
5%
1%
10%
8%
2%
3%
9%
11%
13%
8%
13%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
%
3%
2%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
3%
1%
1%
4%
1%
6%
3%
3%
2%
3%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
6%
4%
4%
1%
2%
4%
15%
5%
3%
5%
Total
269
79
62
83
44
180
51
37
96
106
71
Ben Carson
4%
3%
8%
5%
0%
1%
5%
1%
6%
2%
4%
Carly Fiorina
4%
1%
7%
6%
2%
10%
4%
0%
4%
6%
3%
Chris Christie
4%
5%
4%
3%
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
5%
4%
Donald Trump
20%
17%
24%
16%
26%
5%
26%
8%
29%
21%
29%
Jeb Bush
13%
GOP HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
13%
9%
9%
17%
17%
21%
10%
17%
11%
13%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
19%
23%
18%
15%
22%
41%
15%
16%
10%
17%
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
12%
4%
6%
4%
7%
7%
6%
6%
3%
9%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
3%
2%
0%
1%
6%
2%
1%
1%
Rand Paul
7%
7%
4%
11%
4%
7%
5%
13%
5%
5%
2%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
12%
8%
15%
11%
14%
4%
15%
8%
17%
18%
18%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
5%
1%
1%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
3%
1%
0%
4%
%
3%
%
%
1%
Don't know / Refused
5%
11%
2%
5%
0%
0%
5%
13%
6%
7%
4%
Total
310
86
79
90
55
54
219
37
192
148
158
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 33 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Overall 436
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
DEM HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Bernie Sanders LOWEST REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
59%
57%
59%
62%
54%
59%
54%
73%
28%
30%
33%
31%
14%
27%
40%
13%
4%
Martin O’Malley
5%
7%
4%
1%
16%
5%
2%
3%
13%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
2%
1%
2%
2%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
3%
1%
2%
4%
3%
1%
2%
7%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
3%
3%
2%
8%
4%
3%
8%
5%
Total
269
198
167
176
60
210
170
39
52
Ben Carson
4%
5%
5%
2%
7%
4%
0%
2%
6%
Carly Fiorina
4%
4%
6%
8%
4%
5%
8%
0%
4%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
5%
4%
3%
4%
5%
3%
4%
Donald Trump
20%
23%
7%
15%
28%
22%
9%
5%
28%
Jeb Bush
10%
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
GOP HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
Unweighted count
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
Major priority 348
70%
13%
13%
15%
16%
9%
12%
22%
11%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
John Kasich
19%
17%
35%
25%
6%
16%
37%
24%
12%
Marco Rubio
7%
8%
4%
5%
8%
7%
6%
8%
7%
Mike Huckabee
1%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
1%
Rand Paul
7%
5%
6%
4%
9%
6%
7%
5%
7%
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
12%
13%
10%
11%
19%
13%
3%
19%
14%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
5%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
2%
2%
0%
1%
1%
6%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
5%
4%
6%
3%
6%
2%
11%
5%
Total
310
268
103
122
152
265
63
35
201
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 34 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
DEM HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Bernie Sanders LOWEST REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
59%
51%
55%
73%
72%
52%
55%
71%
55%
58%
28%
48%
37%
13%
4%
0%
29%
10%
32%
32%
Martin O’Malley
5%
0%
3%
3%
11%
27%
9%
11%
6%
7%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
1%
2%
2%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
0%
1%
2%
7%
0%
1%
4%
2%
1%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
2%
3%
8%
3%
21%
5%
4%
4%
3%
Total
269
41
129
39
46
6
59
43
79
95
Ben Carson
4%
0%
0%
2%
5%
8%
3%
3%
3%
3%
Carly Fiorina
4%
0%
9%
0%
6%
0%
3%
2%
5%
1%
Chris Christie
4%
0%
5%
3%
6%
0%
10%
3%
3%
5%
Donald Trump
20%
7%
9%
5%
26%
33%
17%
53%
6%
10%
Jeb Bush
10%
GOP HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
13%
34%
20%
11%
10%
13%
13%
6%
28%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
%
0%
%
%
John Kasich
19%
32%
38%
24%
14%
4%
16%
5%
25%
42%
Marco Rubio
7%
21%
4%
8%
7%
7%
8%
4%
9%
7%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
Rand Paul
7%
0%
8%
5%
8%
3%
5%
8%
6%
7%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
12%
0%
4%
19%
13%
16%
15%
11%
10%
7%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
1%
6%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
6%
2%
11%
2%
13%
6%
3%
4%
6%
Total
310
7
55
35
158
43
115
109
118
133
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 35 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
DEM HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Bernie Sanders LOWEST REP TURNOUT Hillary Clinton
59%
55%
73%
39%
68%
28%
22%
8%
55%
25%
Martin O’Malley
5%
13%
14%
1%
4%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
2%
1%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
2%
3%
0%
1%
1%
Don't know / Undecided / Refused
4%
5%
4%
4%
2%
Total
269
46
31
128
217
Ben Carson
4%
5%
6%
0%
4%
Carly Fiorina
4%
5%
4%
5%
5%
Chris Christie
4%
2%
1%
4%
3%
Donald Trump
20%
14%
23%
6%
10%
Jeb Bush
17%
GOP HORSERACE: LOWEST DEM, HIGHEST REP TURNOUT
13%
10%
5%
18%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
19%
13%
5%
43%
31%
Marco Rubio
7%
20%
8%
4%
6%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
Rand Paul
7%
6%
7%
6%
7%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
12%
17%
34%
1%
8%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
Don't know / Refused
5%
7%
6%
6%
6%
Total
310
112
97
67
147
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 36 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
4%
5%
2%
5%
5%
6%
2%
5%
6%
5%
Carly Fiorina
4%
3%
5%
2%
0%
8%
3%
2%
4%
4%
5%
Chris Christie
5%
5%
4%
0%
8%
1%
11%
4%
3%
6%
5%
Donald Trump
22%
24%
20%
24%
19%
17%
29%
24%
20%
24%
19%
Jeb Bush
11%
8%
16%
21%
10%
10%
7%
8%
19%
7%
13%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
John Kasich
16%
13%
19%
14%
17%
16%
18%
10%
19%
16%
19%
Marco Rubio
8%
8%
8%
7%
5%
11%
5%
7%
6%
8%
9%
Mike Huckabee
1%
2%
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
3%
3%
Rand Paul
7%
9%
5%
6%
13%
8%
4%
10%
7%
8%
4%
%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
13%
15%
10%
17%
13%
13%
10%
21%
9%
10%
11%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
3%
Don't know / Refused
5%
7%
4%
8%
8%
5%
2%
8%
5%
5%
3%
Total
283
149
134
52
52
109
71
75
62
74
72
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 37 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
5%
0%
2%
5%
3%
3%
3%
7%
4%
Carly Fiorina
4%
4%
0%
4%
4%
5%
4%
0%
8%
5%
Chris Christie
5%
5%
0%
6%
4%
4%
2%
5%
6%
4%
Donald Trump
22%
22%
20%
26%
23%
23%
34%
26%
15%
6%
Jeb Bush
11%
12%
0%
13%
16%
10%
12%
13%
11%
8%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
John Kasich
16%
17%
0%
18%
16%
13%
11%
16%
19%
18%
Marco Rubio
8%
7%
21%
5%
6%
12%
3%
9%
5%
18%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
0%
3%
1%
0%
5%
0%
1%
0%
Rand Paul
7%
7%
10%
5%
9%
9%
5%
8%
7%
10%
Rick Santorum
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
13%
12%
32%
13%
8%
15%
18%
12%
10%
15%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
2%
2%
%
3%
0%
2%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
8%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
2%
5%
Don't know / Refused
5%
5%
5%
3%
6%
3%
0%
7%
7%
7%
Total
283
261
9
66
77
79
62
89
88
43
Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 38 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
3%
8%
5%
0%
1%
5%
1%
6%
2%
5%
Carly Fiorina
4%
1%
8%
4%
2%
11%
4%
0%
3%
7%
2%
Chris Christie
5%
6%
4%
4%
4%
5%
4%
4%
5%
5%
4%
Donald Trump
22%
19%
25%
17%
28%
3%
26%
8%
29%
22%
30%
Jeb Bush
11%
7%
8%
16%
14%
12%
10%
17%
10%
11%
11%
Jim Gilmore
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
16%
16%
16%
12%
22%
30%
15%
16%
9%
17%
10%
Marco Rubio
8%
14%
5%
7%
5%
13%
7%
6%
6%
3%
10%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
4%
2%
0%
1%
6%
2%
1%
1%
Rand Paul
7%
7%
4%
12%
4%
14%
5%
13%
5%
6%
2%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
13%
10%
15%
12%
15%
3%
15%
8%
17%
18%
18%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
5%
1%
1%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
3%
1%
0%
7%
%
3%
%
1%
1%
Don't know / Refused
5%
13%
2%
5%
0%
0%
5%
13%
6%
7%
5%
Total
283
76
74
81
53
27
219
37
181
140
153
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 39 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
5%
6%
3%
7%
5%
0%
3%
6%
Carly Fiorina
4%
3%
4%
7%
4%
4%
5%
0%
4%
Chris Christie
5%
4%
7%
5%
3%
4%
7%
3%
5%
Donald Trump
22%
24%
8%
17%
29%
23%
11%
3%
28%
Jeb Bush
11%
12%
12%
13%
8%
10%
22%
7%
9%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
John Kasich
16%
15%
30%
20%
6%
15%
28%
22%
12%
Marco Rubio
8%
8%
5%
6%
8%
8%
8%
9%
8%
Mike Huckabee
1%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
1%
Rand Paul
7%
5%
7%
5%
9%
7%
10%
6%
7%
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
13%
13%
13%
12%
19%
14%
5%
22%
14%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
0%
6%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
2%
2%
0%
1%
2%
7%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
5%
5%
7%
3%
6%
3%
12%
5%
Total
283
250
82
106
149
247
45
31
197
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 40 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
0%
0%
3%
5%
8%
3%
3%
3%
3%
Carly Fiorina
4%
0%
6%
0%
6%
0%
3%
2%
3%
1%
Chris Christie
5%
0%
7%
3%
6%
0%
10%
3%
3%
5%
Donald Trump
22%
12%
10%
3%
27%
33%
18%
55%
7%
11%
Jeb Bush
11%
37%
21%
7%
8%
13%
11%
5%
26%
10%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
%
0%
%
%
John Kasich
16%
0%
30%
22%
14%
4%
17%
5%
25%
37%
Marco Rubio
8%
40%
5%
9%
8%
7%
9%
4%
10%
8%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
Rand Paul
7%
0%
11%
6%
8%
3%
6%
8%
7%
8%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
13%
0%
5%
22%
13%
16%
15%
10%
10%
7%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
6%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
2%
7%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
11%
3%
12%
2%
13%
6%
3%
4%
7%
Total
283
4
41
31
155
43
111
107
105
118
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 41 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: LOWER DEM, HIGHER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
5%
6%
0%
4%
Carly Fiorina
4%
3%
1%
6%
5%
Chris Christie
5%
2%
2%
5%
4%
Donald Trump
22%
15%
24%
7%
11%
Jeb Bush
11%
9%
4%
17%
15%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
16%
13%
6%
37%
26%
Marco Rubio
8%
21%
8%
5%
7%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%
Rand Paul
7%
7%
8%
7%
9%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
13%
17%
35%
2%
9%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
4%
1%
Don't know / Refused
5%
7%
6%
7%
8%
Total
283
107
93
57
121
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 42 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
4%
6%
2%
5%
6%
6%
2%
6%
6%
6%
Carly Fiorina
3%
2%
5%
0%
0%
7%
3%
2%
3%
2%
6%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
5%
0%
9%
0%
11%
3%
3%
5%
6%
Donald Trump
24%
25%
23%
26%
21%
19%
31%
25%
23%
24%
22%
Jeb Bush
11%
8%
15%
20%
9%
10%
8%
8%
18%
8%
13%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
John Kasich
15%
13%
17%
13%
19%
14%
13%
11%
20%
15%
13%
Marco Rubio
7%
8%
7%
5%
6%
10%
5%
7%
2%
8%
11%
Mike Huckabee
2%
2%
2%
0%
0%
4%
1%
0%
0%
4%
3%
Rand Paul
7%
9%
4%
6%
8%
8%
4%
8%
6%
9%
3%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
14%
16%
11%
18%
12%
14%
11%
20%
10%
11%
13%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
Don't know / Refused
6%
7%
4%
9%
9%
5%
2%
9%
6%
6%
3%
Total
256
139
117
48
47
97
63
72
55
67
62
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 43 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
5%
0%
2%
5%
3%
4%
4%
8%
4%
Carly Fiorina
3%
4%
0%
2%
5%
4%
3%
0%
6%
5%
Chris Christie
4%
5%
0%
6%
4%
5%
2%
5%
6%
4%
Donald Trump
24%
24%
24%
27%
25%
25%
34%
29%
17%
7%
Jeb Bush
11%
12%
0%
11%
17%
11%
12%
12%
12%
8%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
5%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
John Kasich
15%
16%
0%
19%
14%
12%
11%
14%
18%
16%
Marco Rubio
7%
6%
26%
5%
5%
10%
3%
10%
3%
16%
Mike Huckabee
2%
2%
0%
3%
1%
0%
6%
0%
1%
0%
Rand Paul
7%
7%
0%
4%
7%
8%
5%
8%
6%
8%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
14%
12%
39%
13%
8%
16%
19%
12%
12%
16%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
2%
2%
%
3%
0%
2%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
5%
Don't know / Refused
6%
6%
6%
4%
6%
3%
0%
7%
9%
8%
Total
256
237
7
59
71
73
60
82
73
39
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 44 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
3%
9%
6%
0%
0%
5%
1%
6%
2%
5%
Carly Fiorina
3%
1%
7%
3%
1%
0%
4%
0%
3%
6%
2%
Chris Christie
4%
6%
5%
4%
3%
0%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
Donald Trump
24%
20%
27%
18%
32%
0%
26%
8%
30%
23%
30%
Jeb Bush
11%
7%
9%
18%
11%
0%
10%
17%
11%
12%
12%
Jim Gilmore
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
15%
17%
16%
7%
21%
0%
15%
16%
9%
16%
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
12%
3%
8%
5%
0%
7%
6%
6%
2%
10%
Mike Huckabee
2%
0%
0%
4%
3%
0%
1%
6%
2%
2%
1%
Rand Paul
7%
7%
3%
12%
3%
0%
5%
13%
5%
5%
2%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
14%
11%
16%
13%
16%
0%
15%
8%
18%
19%
19%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
%
2%
0%
4%
0%
1%
5%
1%
1%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
%
3%
1%
0%
1%
Don't know / Refused
6%
14%
2%
6%
0%
0%
5%
13%
6%
8%
5%
Total
256
68
68
74
45
0
219
37
175
128
148
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 45 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
5%
8%
3%
7%
5%
0%
3%
6%
Carly Fiorina
3%
2%
2%
5%
4%
4%
0%
0%
4%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
7%
5%
3%
4%
6%
4%
5%
Donald Trump
24%
26%
8%
21%
29%
25%
14%
3%
29%
Jeb Bush
11%
12%
13%
12%
8%
10%
29%
8%
9%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
John Kasich
15%
15%
30%
21%
6%
14%
32%
17%
12%
Marco Rubio
7%
8%
3%
5%
8%
7%
0%
10%
8%
Mike Huckabee
2%
2%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
1%
Rand Paul
7%
4%
4%
2%
9%
6%
5%
7%
6%
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
14%
14%
15%
15%
19%
15%
8%
24%
14%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
0%
7%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
%
2%
0%
0%
%
0%
4%
0%
Don't know / Refused
6%
6%
7%
9%
3%
7%
6%
14%
5%
Total
256
229
67
86
145
225
27
28
194
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 46 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
0%
0%
3%
5%
9%
3%
3%
3%
4%
Carly Fiorina
3%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
2%
1%
2%
1%
Chris Christie
4%
0%
6%
4%
6%
0%
10%
3%
4%
6%
Donald Trump
24%
53%
13%
3%
28%
33%
19%
55%
8%
12%
Jeb Bush
11%
0%
30%
8%
9%
11%
11%
5%
27%
11%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
%
0%
%
%
John Kasich
15%
0%
33%
17%
14%
4%
17%
5%
25%
34%
Marco Rubio
7%
0%
0%
10%
8%
8%
8%
4%
7%
8%
Mike Huckabee
2%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
Rand Paul
7%
0%
5%
7%
7%
3%
6%
8%
6%
8%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
14%
0%
8%
24%
13%
16%
15%
10%
10%
8%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
7%
0%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
6%
47%
4%
14%
2%
14%
6%
3%
5%
7%
Total
256
1
26
28
152
42
105
106
93
109
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 47 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: MODERATE DEM, EDGE TO REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
5%
6%
0%
5%
Carly Fiorina
3%
2%
1%
3%
3%
Chris Christie
4%
2%
2%
5%
4%
Donald Trump
24%
16%
25%
9%
13%
Jeb Bush
11%
10%
4%
18%
15%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
15%
14%
5%
38%
25%
Marco Rubio
7%
18%
7%
0%
5%
Mike Huckabee
2%
1%
1%
2%
0%
Rand Paul
7%
7%
8%
5%
8%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
14%
17%
35%
2%
10%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
4%
2%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
Don't know / Refused
6%
8%
6%
10%
10%
Total
256
101
90
38
97
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 48 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Ben Carson MODERATE REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
5%
4%
7%
2%
7%
6%
6%
3%
7%
6%
7%
4%
2%
6%
0%
0%
8%
3%
3%
4%
2%
7%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
5%
0%
9%
0%
12%
4%
2%
5%
7%
Donald Trump
26%
28%
25%
28%
26%
21%
34%
29%
24%
26%
26%
Jeb Bush
10%
9%
12%
14%
12%
9%
8%
10%
13%
9%
11%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
John Kasich
15%
12%
18%
13%
16%
15%
14%
9%
21%
14%
16%
Marco Rubio
7%
8%
6%
6%
7%
10%
4%
8%
3%
8%
10%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
2%
2%
Rand Paul
5%
7%
4%
3%
8%
7%
3%
6%
7%
8%
1%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
15%
17%
12%
22%
10%
15%
12%
22%
11%
12%
12%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
7%
3%
11%
5%
5%
1%
7%
6%
6%
0%
Total
219
121
98
40
37
87
54
62
45
59
53
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 49 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Ben Carson MODERATE REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
5%
6%
0%
2%
6%
3%
4%
4%
8%
5%
4%
4%
0%
2%
5%
5%
3%
0%
7%
7%
Chris Christie
4%
5%
0%
5%
5%
4%
0%
6%
7%
3%
Donald Trump
26%
27%
26%
33%
25%
29%
38%
31%
18%
8%
Jeb Bush
10%
11%
0%
10%
13%
11%
6%
13%
11%
10%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
6%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
John Kasich
15%
15%
0%
18%
15%
13%
11%
13%
18%
16%
Marco Rubio
7%
7%
28%
6%
5%
10%
3%
9%
4%
18%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
0%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
2%
0%
Rand Paul
5%
5%
0%
5%
4%
8%
6%
6%
4%
6%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
15%
13%
41%
13%
10%
16%
23%
11%
12%
17%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Don't know / Refused
5%
5%
0%
2%
7%
1%
0%
6%
7%
6%
Total
219
202
7
49
60
64
49
74
63
31
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 50 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Ben Carson MODERATE REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
5%
4%
10%
6%
0%
0%
5%
0%
6%
2%
5%
4%
2%
8%
3%
2%
0%
4%
0%
3%
7%
2%
Chris Christie
4%
5%
5%
4%
4%
0%
4%
0%
4%
4%
4%
Donald Trump
26%
23%
30%
22%
32%
0%
26%
0%
32%
26%
32%
Jeb Bush
10%
8%
7%
18%
8%
0%
10%
0%
10%
12%
12%
Jim Gilmore
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
15%
17%
12%
10%
22%
0%
15%
0%
9%
15%
9%
Marco Rubio
7%
10%
4%
10%
6%
0%
7%
0%
6%
2%
9%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
Rand Paul
5%
5%
3%
10%
3%
0%
5%
0%
4%
5%
2%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
15%
13%
18%
12%
17%
0%
15%
0%
18%
20%
18%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1% 1%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
1%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
11%
2%
4%
0%
0%
5%
0%
5%
7%
5%
Total
219
58
62
58
41
0
219
0
157
113
135
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 51 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Overall 436
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
5%
6%
10%
3%
8%
5%
0%
3%
6%
4%
3%
2%
6%
5%
4%
0%
0%
4%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
6%
4%
3%
4%
7%
0%
5%
Donald Trump
26%
29%
10%
23%
31%
28%
14%
3%
29%
Jeb Bush
10%
10%
16%
9%
8%
10%
19%
16%
9%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
John Kasich
15%
15%
31%
23%
6%
14%
51%
16%
11%
Marco Rubio
7%
8%
3%
5%
7%
7%
0%
9%
8%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
%
0%
0%
1%
Rand Paul
5%
3%
3%
2%
7%
4%
0%
8%
5%
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
15%
15%
15%
17%
20%
16%
6%
37%
14%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1% 0%
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Ben Carson MODERATE REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
Major priority 348
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
5%
5%
6%
4%
5%
3%
7%
5%
Total
219
198
55
72
133
197
13
14
188
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 52 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Ben Carson MODERATE REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173 5%
0%
0%
3%
6%
9%
3%
2%
4%
4%
4%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
2%
1%
2%
1%
Chris Christie
4%
0%
7%
0%
6%
0%
10%
4%
3%
6%
Donald Trump
26%
100%
11%
3%
28%
33%
19%
58%
9%
13%
Jeb Bush
10%
0%
20%
16%
9%
11%
13%
5%
25%
12%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
%
0%
%
%
John Kasich
15%
0%
53%
16%
13%
4%
17%
5%
26%
31%
Marco Rubio
7%
0%
0%
9%
8%
8%
8%
4%
8%
8%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
3%
2%
Rand Paul
5%
0%
0%
8%
6%
3%
5%
6%
5%
8%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
15%
0%
7%
37%
13%
16%
16%
11%
11%
7%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
0%
3%
7%
2%
14%
5%
3%
5%
7%
Total
219
13
14
146
42
93
95
83
98
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 53 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: EDGE TO DEM, Ben Carson MODERATE REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256 5%
5%
6%
0%
6%
4%
2%
1%
5%
4%
Chris Christie
4%
2%
2%
7%
6%
Donald Trump
26%
17%
26%
8%
16%
Jeb Bush
10%
10%
4%
12%
15%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
15%
14%
3%
51%
24%
Marco Rubio
7%
17%
7%
0%
6%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
1%
4%
0%
Rand Paul
5%
6%
8%
2%
3%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
15%
18%
35%
3%
11%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
Don't know / Refused
5%
7%
7%
7%
9%
Total
219
96
87
25
75
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 54 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
3%
7%
0%
7%
5%
6%
2%
6%
3%
8%
Carly Fiorina
4%
3%
6%
0%
0%
8%
3%
3%
5%
2%
8%
Chris Christie
5%
5%
5%
0%
11%
0%
12%
5%
2%
4%
8%
Donald Trump
26%
28%
24%
26%
25%
21%
35%
28%
25%
27%
24%
Jeb Bush
10%
9%
12%
17%
14%
8%
6%
9%
15%
9%
10%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
John Kasich
15%
12%
19%
16%
14%
16%
14%
10%
21%
13%
18%
Marco Rubio
7%
8%
6%
8%
6%
8%
4%
6%
3%
8%
8%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
2%
3%
Rand Paul
6%
8%
4%
4%
10%
8%
3%
7%
8%
9%
1%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
14%
17%
11%
18%
10%
16%
12%
22%
10%
13%
12%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
Don't know / Refused
4%
7%
1%
11%
3%
4%
1%
7%
2%
6%
0%
Total
192
105
87
33
30
80
49
49
39
55
48
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 55 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
5%
0%
2%
4%
4%
5%
3%
7%
6%
Carly Fiorina
4%
5%
0%
3%
6%
5%
4%
0%
8%
7%
Chris Christie
5%
5%
0%
6%
5%
5%
0%
7%
7%
3%
Donald Trump
26%
27%
44%
33%
20%
29%
39%
30%
20%
9%
Jeb Bush
10%
10%
0%
9%
15%
9%
7%
12%
11%
11%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
10%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
John Kasich
15%
16%
0%
17%
17%
12%
13%
14%
20%
13%
Marco Rubio
7%
6%
47%
7%
4%
9%
3%
6%
4%
19%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
0%
3%
2%
0%
3%
0%
2%
0%
Rand Paul
6%
6%
0%
6%
5%
9%
7%
8%
5%
6%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
14%
14%
0%
13%
12%
16%
17%
14%
12%
18%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Don't know / Refused
4%
4%
0%
2%
6%
1%
0%
7%
5%
3%
Total
192
178
4
45
50
58
43
61
57
29
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 56 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
2%
12%
4%
0%
0%
5%
0%
6%
%
4%
Carly Fiorina
4%
2%
9%
3%
2%
0%
4%
0%
3%
8%
2%
Chris Christie
5%
6%
5%
4%
4%
0%
5%
0%
4%
5%
5%
Donald Trump
26%
27%
28%
19%
33%
0%
26%
0%
34%
25%
32%
Jeb Bush
10%
8%
7%
19%
5%
0%
10%
0%
10%
13%
12%
Jim Gilmore
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
15%
18%
14%
10%
20%
0%
15%
0%
9%
16%
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
7%
2%
10%
7%
0%
7%
0%
5%
2%
9%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
Rand Paul
6%
6%
4%
10%
4%
0%
6%
0%
5%
6%
3%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
14%
13%
14%
13%
19%
0%
14%
0%
17%
19%
18%
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1% 1%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
1%
0%
Don't know / Refused
4%
8%
3%
5%
0%
0%
4%
0%
4%
5%
4%
Total
192
48
52
54
37
0
192
0
138
94
116
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 57 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
5%
9%
4%
7%
4%
0%
5%
5%
Carly Fiorina
4%
3%
3%
7%
5%
5%
0%
0%
5%
Chris Christie
5%
4%
7%
5%
3%
4%
8%
0%
5%
Donald Trump
26%
29%
8%
23%
30%
27%
15%
6%
29%
Jeb Bush
10%
10%
19%
9%
9%
11%
21%
26%
9%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
John Kasich
15%
16%
36%
27%
5%
14%
53%
8%
12%
Marco Rubio
7%
7%
4%
2%
7%
6%
0%
15%
7%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
Rand Paul
6%
3%
4%
3%
9%
5%
0%
14%
6%
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
14%
15%
8%
13%
20%
16%
0%
26%
15%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1% 0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
4%
4%
2%
4%
3%
5%
3%
0%
5%
Total
192
173
43
57
116
172
12
8
168
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 58 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
0%
0%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
4%
3%
Carly Fiorina
4%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
2%
1%
3%
1%
Chris Christie
5%
0%
8%
0%
7%
0%
10%
4%
3%
6%
Donald Trump
26%
100%
12%
6%
27%
33%
20%
56%
8%
12%
Jeb Bush
10%
0%
22%
26%
8%
11%
13%
5%
24%
13%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
%
0%
1%
%
John Kasich
15%
0%
55%
8%
15%
5%
18%
5%
27%
32%
Marco Rubio
7%
0%
0%
15%
7%
8%
9%
4%
8%
8%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
3%
2%
Rand Paul
6%
0%
0%
14%
7%
3%
5%
7%
5%
9%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
14%
0%
0%
26%
15%
17%
13%
12%
8%
7%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
4%
0%
3%
0%
1%
15%
4%
2%
5%
7%
Total
192
12
8
129
39
86
85
72
88
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 59 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHER DEM, LOWER REP TURNOUT
Ben Carson
5%
6%
4%
0%
3%
Carly Fiorina
4%
2%
1%
5%
5%
Chris Christie
5%
3%
2%
8%
7%
Donald Trump
26%
17%
28%
8%
17%
Jeb Bush
10%
10%
3%
13%
15%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
15%
15%
4%
52%
27%
Marco Rubio
7%
16%
7%
0%
5%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
1%
4%
0%
Rand Paul
6%
7%
9%
2%
4%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
14%
16%
35%
0%
7%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz Some other candidate (not read) Would not vote (not read)
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
%
0%
0%
0%
2%
Don't know / Refused
4%
7%
6%
8%
8%
Total
192
83
76
24
58
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 60 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Ben Carson LOWEST REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
3%
6%
0%
3%
6%
5%
2%
5%
4%
7%
4%
2%
7%
0%
0%
8%
4%
4%
6%
0%
9%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
5%
0%
13%
0%
9%
5%
3%
2%
6%
Donald Trump
29%
31%
27%
31%
26%
24%
37%
33%
26%
29%
27%
8%
6%
10%
8%
10%
7%
7%
2%
12%
10%
8%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
John Kasich
14%
10%
19%
14%
16%
13%
14%
8%
20%
12%
18%
Marco Rubio
6%
7%
5%
9%
7%
8%
2%
7%
3%
7%
6%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
2%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
2%
3%
Rand Paul
6%
8%
4%
4%
9%
8%
3%
7%
8%
10%
1%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
16%
20%
13%
21%
12%
18%
14%
25%
12%
15%
13%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
4%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
8%
1%
13%
4%
4%
1%
8%
3%
7%
0%
Total
167
91
76
28
26
72
42
43
34
48
42
Major priority
51%
56%
47%
50%
45%
53%
55%
54%
47%
58%
48%
Minor priority
34%
32%
35%
36%
43%
32%
30%
39%
33%
26%
36%
Not a priority
13%
11%
15%
13%
12%
15%
11%
7%
19%
15%
12%
Don't know / Refused
2%
%
3%
2%
0%
1%
4%
0%
2%
%
4%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Major priority
43%
38%
48%
35%
43%
44%
46%
34%
42%
42%
52%
Minor priority
45%
50%
40%
55%
49%
43%
38%
58%
47%
43%
35%
Not a priority
10%
10%
10%
8%
8%
10%
12%
7%
11%
14%
9%
Don't know / Refused
2%
1%
3%
1%
1%
2%
4%
2%
1%
1%
5%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Reducing taxes
AGE CATEGORIES
4%
Jeb Bush
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Stopping Illegal Immigration
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 61 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Ben Carson LOWEST REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
4%
0%
0%
5%
4%
5%
3%
3%
6%
4%
5%
0%
0%
8%
6%
4%
0%
7%
8%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
0%
4%
6%
5%
0%
5%
7%
3%
Donald Trump
29%
29%
44%
38%
22%
31%
43%
34%
20%
9%
8%
8%
0%
4%
10%
8%
4%
7%
9%
12% 0%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
10%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
John Kasich
14%
15%
0%
20%
12%
11%
11%
12%
23%
8%
Marco Rubio
6%
5%
47%
8%
5%
7%
0%
5%
5%
20%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
0%
3%
2%
0%
3%
0%
2%
0%
Rand Paul
6%
6%
0%
5%
5%
10%
7%
9%
3%
7%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
16%
16%
0%
15%
15%
17%
19%
16%
14%
19%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
3%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3%
Don't know / Refused
5%
5%
0%
2%
8%
1%
0%
8%
6%
3%
Total
167
156
4
39
41
54
39
51
49
28
Major priority
51%
51%
62%
58%
47%
49%
67%
54%
54%
32%
Minor priority
34%
34%
25%
28%
34%
37%
22%
33%
34%
43%
Not a priority
13%
13%
8%
13%
18%
11%
9%
10%
10%
23%
Don't know / Refused
2%
2%
5%
%
0%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Major priority
43%
42%
42%
49%
42%
34%
61%
47%
39%
30%
Minor priority
45%
45%
50%
39%
44%
53%
30%
45%
50%
49%
Not a priority
10%
10%
8%
9%
10%
12%
9%
8%
8%
16%
Don't know / Refused
2%
2%
0%
3%
3%
1%
0%
1%
4%
4%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Reducing taxes
INCOME RANGES
4%
Jeb Bush
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Stopping Illegal Immigration
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 62 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Ben Carson LOWEST REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
2%
11%
3%
0%
0%
4%
0%
5%
0%
4%
4%
2%
8%
4%
2%
0%
4%
0%
3%
8%
2%
Chris Christie
4%
6%
5%
1%
4%
0%
4%
0%
4%
4%
4%
Donald Trump
29%
27%
33%
24%
31%
0%
29%
0%
35%
28%
34%
8%
6%
7%
12%
5%
0%
8%
0%
7%
8%
7%
Jim Gilmore
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
14%
16%
12%
9%
20%
0%
14%
0%
9%
16%
11%
Marco Rubio
6%
8%
0%
10%
7%
0%
6%
0%
5%
1%
7%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
Rand Paul
6%
7%
3%
11%
4%
0%
6%
0%
5%
6%
3%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
0%
16%
14%
16%
16%
20%
0%
16%
0%
19%
22%
20%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
Don't know / Refused
5%
9%
3%
6%
0%
0%
5%
0%
4%
6%
5%
Total
167
44
45
43
36
0
167
0
128
82
104
Major priority
51%
49%
57%
56%
41%
27%
72%
49%
100%
66%
79%
Minor priority
34%
39%
26%
33%
38%
47%
22%
38%
0%
28%
19%
Not a priority
13%
10%
15%
10%
21%
23%
5%
13%
0%
5%
2%
Don't know / Refused
2%
3%
2%
1%
1%
3%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Major priority
43%
40%
45%
41%
48%
33%
51%
42%
55%
100%
58%
Minor priority
45%
49%
42%
44%
43%
51%
41%
38%
37%
0%
38%
Not a priority
10%
9%
12%
11%
8%
14%
7%
11%
7%
0%
4%
Don't know / Refused
2%
2%
1%
4%
1%
3%
1%
9%
2%
0%
%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Reducing taxes
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
4%
Jeb Bush
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Stopping Illegal Immigration
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 63 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
ISIS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Overall 436
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
4%
5%
9%
3%
6%
3%
0%
0%
4%
4%
3%
0%
7%
5%
5%
0%
0%
5%
Chris Christie
4%
4%
8%
4%
4%
4%
0%
0%
4%
Donald Trump
29%
32%
9%
27%
32%
29%
21%
0%
30%
8%
7%
22%
3%
6%
8%
0%
30%
7%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
John Kasich
14%
14%
30%
26%
6%
15%
63%
0%
13%
Marco Rubio
6%
7%
5%
3%
6%
5%
0%
0%
7%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
Rand Paul
6%
4%
3%
2%
9%
5%
0%
24%
6%
%
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
0%
%
16%
17%
10%
16%
21%
18%
0%
46%
16%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
1%
0%
3%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
5%
3%
5%
3%
5%
16%
0%
5%
Total
167
152
33
44
107
154
2
5
158
Major priority
51%
60%
35%
39%
77%
55%
25%
40%
74%
Minor priority
34%
32%
41%
42%
19%
32%
49%
41%
20%
Not a priority
13%
6%
22%
17%
3%
10%
23%
19%
4%
Don't know / Refused
2%
1%
3%
1%
1%
2%
3%
0%
1%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Major priority
43%
47%
38%
43%
57%
48%
32%
50%
49%
Minor priority
45%
45%
45%
43%
35%
42%
48%
32%
45%
Not a priority
10%
6%
14%
11%
6%
7%
15%
15%
5%
Don't know / Refused
2%
1%
3%
3%
2%
2%
4%
3%
%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Unweighted count
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
Major priority 193
Jeb Bush
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Reducing taxes
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
Major priority 348
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Ben Carson LOWEST REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Stopping Illegal Immigration
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Page 64 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Ben Carson LOWEST REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173 0%
0%
0%
4%
5%
4%
2%
5%
4%
4%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
2%
0%
3%
1%
Chris Christie
4%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
9%
4%
2%
4%
Donald Trump
29%
100%
0%
0%
29%
34%
22%
60%
10%
13%
8%
0%
0%
30%
7%
9%
9%
2%
18%
13%
Jim Gilmore
%
0%
0%
0%
%
0%
1%
0%
1%
%
John Kasich
14%
0%
79%
0%
16%
5%
17%
5%
29%
28%
Marco Rubio
6%
0%
0%
0%
6%
8%
10%
3%
9%
9%
Mike Huckabee
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
1%
3%
3%
Rand Paul
6%
0%
0%
24%
6%
3%
5%
8%
5%
9%
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
16%
0%
0%
46%
16%
18%
15%
13%
9%
8%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Don't know / Refused
5%
0%
21%
0%
1%
15%
5%
2%
6%
8%
Total
167
2
5
120
38
76
77
62
79
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Reducing taxes
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
4%
Jeb Bush
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Stopping Illegal Immigration
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Major priority
51%
26%
25%
40%
73%
81%
67%
85%
56%
44%
Minor priority
34%
54%
47%
41%
22%
14%
26%
13%
35%
36%
Not a priority
13%
17%
25%
19%
4%
5%
7%
2%
8%
17%
Don't know / Refused
2%
3%
3%
0%
2%
0%
%
0%
1%
2%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Major priority
43%
38%
31%
50%
53%
37%
38%
51%
48%
39%
Minor priority
45%
47%
49%
32%
41%
61%
55%
43%
41%
46%
Not a priority
10%
15%
15%
15%
6%
3%
6%
6%
10%
12%
Don't know / Refused
2%
0%
5%
3%
1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 65 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
GOP HORSERACE: HIGHEST DEM, Ben Carson LOWEST REP TURNOUT Carly Fiorina
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256 6%
4%
0%
4%
4%
2%
1%
0%
4%
Chris Christie
4%
3%
2%
10%
5%
Donald Trump
29%
18%
28%
5%
22%
8%
10%
3%
21%
9%
Jim Gilmore
%
%
0%
0%
0%
John Kasich
14%
16%
4%
46%
24%
Marco Rubio
6%
13%
6%
0%
5%
Mike Huckabee
1%
1%
1%
6%
0%
Rand Paul
6%
7%
10%
0%
5%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
16%
16%
35%
0%
10%
Some other candidate (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Would not vote (not read)
1%
0%
0%
0%
2%
Don't know / Refused
5%
7%
6%
13%
11%
Rick Santorum Ted Cruz
Total
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Reducing taxes
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
4%
Jeb Bush
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Stopping Illegal Immigration
FAV CRUZ
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
167
81
74
15
41
Major priority
51%
70%
80%
25%
37%
Minor priority
34%
26%
15%
49%
41%
Not a priority
13%
3%
4%
24%
19%
Don't know / Refused
2%
1%
1%
2%
2%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Major priority
43%
46%
49%
29%
37%
Minor priority
45%
48%
47%
54%
47%
Not a priority
10%
6%
5%
13%
12%
Don't know / Refused
2%
1%
0%
4%
3%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 66 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Increasing the size of the US Military
Major priority
40%
44%
37%
48%
29%
39%
45%
46%
32%
42%
41%
Minor priority
35%
33%
37%
35%
37%
38%
30%
36%
38%
31%
37%
Not a priority
21%
21%
21%
14%
30%
22%
18%
17%
25%
24%
18%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Defeating ISIS
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing global warming
Don't know / Refused
3%
2%
5%
4%
4%
1%
6%
%
5%
3%
5%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Major priority
80%
81%
80%
90%
74%
76%
85%
80%
81%
81%
79%
Minor priority
15%
17%
14%
7%
23%
18%
9%
18%
16%
16%
12%
Not a priority
3%
2%
4%
2%
2%
5%
2%
2%
2%
2%
5%
Don't know / Refused
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
1%
3%
0%
1%
1%
3%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Major priority
46%
38%
53%
35%
53%
49%
43%
34%
53%
42%
52%
Minor priority
36%
36%
36%
41%
35%
34%
38%
43%
38%
30%
35%
Not a priority
17%
25%
10%
24%
12%
17%
15%
22%
9%
27%
10%
Don't know / Refused
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
0%
4%
1%
0%
1%
3%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 67 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Increasing the size of the US Military
Major priority
40%
40%
29%
44%
41%
34%
56%
52%
33%
21%
Minor priority
35%
35%
59%
31%
35%
46%
24%
26%
41%
49%
Not a priority
21%
21%
11%
20%
24%
18%
17%
19%
20%
29%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Defeating ISIS
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing global warming
Don't know / Refused
3%
3%
0%
4%
1%
2%
2%
2%
6%
2%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Major priority
80%
80%
89%
83%
78%
78%
92%
80%
81%
71%
Minor priority
15%
15%
6%
13%
13%
20%
2%
18%
16%
22%
Not a priority
3%
3%
5%
3%
5%
2%
6%
1%
3%
3%
Don't know / Refused
1%
2%
0%
1%
4%
0%
1%
1%
1%
3%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Major priority
46%
45%
64%
37%
45%
52%
36%
33%
46%
67%
Minor priority
36%
37%
20%
38%
44%
31%
32%
48%
40%
21%
Not a priority
17%
17%
16%
22%
11%
16%
30%
18%
13%
10%
Don't know / Refused
1%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
2%
1%
%
2%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 68 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Increasing the size of the US Military
Major priority
40%
38%
45%
40%
38%
15%
62%
35%
62%
54%
100%
Minor priority
35%
38%
35%
36%
31%
48%
26%
28%
25%
23%
0%
Not a priority
21%
23%
15%
21%
26%
32%
10%
35%
10%
18%
0%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Defeating ISIS
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing global warming
Don't know / Refused
3%
2%
6%
2%
4%
5%
3%
2%
3%
5%
0%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Major priority
80%
81%
79%
82%
79%
67%
91%
83%
93%
88%
99%
Minor priority
15%
18%
19%
12%
11%
24%
8%
13%
5%
9%
1%
Not a priority
3%
1%
1%
2%
9%
6%
1%
0%
%
2%
1%
Don't know / Refused
1%
0%
1%
3%
1%
2%
%
4%
1%
%
0%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Major priority
46%
46%
44%
47%
46%
74%
25%
33%
31%
41%
28%
Minor priority
36%
41%
36%
34%
33%
19%
49%
43%
44%
39%
47%
Not a priority
17%
11%
18%
19%
20%
6%
24%
22%
24%
18%
24%
Don't know / Refused
1%
2%
2%
%
0%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 69 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
ISIS
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Increasing the size of the US Military
Major priority
40%
49%
25%
29%
67%
44%
14%
39%
62%
Minor priority
35%
33%
40%
42%
22%
33%
45%
36%
28%
Not a priority
21%
14%
32%
24%
8%
19%
37%
24%
7%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Defeating ISIS
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing global warming
Don't know / Refused
3%
4%
3%
4%
3%
4%
5%
1%
2%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Major priority
80%
100%
73%
76%
91%
85%
68%
72%
92%
Minor priority
15%
0%
19%
19%
7%
11%
23%
22%
7%
Not a priority
3%
0%
5%
3%
1%
3%
6%
6%
%
Don't know / Refused
1%
0%
3%
2%
2%
1%
3%
0%
%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Major priority
46%
42%
100%
68%
22%
44%
73%
56%
22%
Minor priority
36%
39%
0%
27%
47%
37%
22%
24%
51%
Not a priority
17%
18%
0%
4%
29%
18%
4%
18%
26%
Don't know / Refused
1%
1%
0%
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 70 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Increasing the size of the US Military
Major priority
40%
8%
15%
39%
60%
70%
58%
65%
43%
38%
Minor priority
35%
49%
43%
36%
28%
30%
30%
25%
38%
36%
Not a priority
21%
32%
38%
24%
9%
0%
12%
8%
16%
23%
Don't know / Refused
3%
10%
4%
1%
3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
3%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Major priority
80%
75%
66%
72%
91%
97%
90%
95%
88%
79%
Minor priority
15%
18%
24%
22%
8%
3%
9%
4%
8%
16%
Not a priority
3%
6%
6%
6%
%
0%
0%
%
3%
4%
Don't know / Refused
1%
2%
4%
0%
%
0%
%
0%
2%
1%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Major priority
46%
80%
71%
56%
21%
23%
37%
15%
42%
47%
Minor priority
36%
14%
25%
24%
53%
44%
44%
54%
45%
38%
Not a priority
17%
7%
3%
18%
24%
34%
18%
31%
12%
14%
Don't know / Refused
1%
0%
1%
2%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
1%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Defeating ISIS
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing global warming
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 71 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Increasing the size of the US Military
Major priority
40%
62%
67%
14%
26%
Minor priority
35%
26%
25%
47%
43%
Not a priority
21%
10%
5%
33%
27%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Defeating ISIS
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing global warming
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Don't know / Refused
3%
2%
3%
6%
4%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Major priority
80%
93%
92%
74%
74%
Minor priority
15%
7%
8%
21%
20%
Not a priority
3%
0%
1%
3%
4%
Don't know / Refused
1%
0%
0%
3%
2%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Major priority
46%
25%
20%
77%
64%
Minor priority
36%
48%
43%
18%
28%
Not a priority
17%
25%
36%
5%
7%
Don't know / Refused
1%
2%
0%
%
1%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 72 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
GENDER
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
AGE CATEGORIES
Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 224 212 47 91 143
AGE AND GENDER
Women Men age age 18- Men age Women 60+ 18-49 49 50+ age 50+ 155 82 95 142 117
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing income inequality
Major priority
51%
39%
62%
51%
45%
52%
52%
39%
65%
38%
59%
Minor priority
34%
42%
27%
35%
37%
34%
32%
39%
25%
45%
28%
Not a priority
13%
18%
9%
13%
16%
13%
11%
21%
9%
16%
9%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Repealing Obamacare
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Improving the economy
Don't know / Refused
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
1%
4%
2%
2%
1%
3%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Major priority
38%
43%
34%
39%
42%
37%
38%
44%
36%
43%
33%
Minor priority
23%
26%
21%
34%
21%
19%
24%
32%
20%
21%
22%
Not a priority
35%
28%
41%
27%
33%
41%
32%
22%
42%
34%
40%
Don't know / Refused
3%
2%
4%
0%
3%
3%
6%
3%
2%
2%
6%
Total
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Major priority
83%
86%
81%
78%
88%
84%
82%
85%
82%
86%
81%
Minor priority
16%
14%
18%
22%
11%
15%
17%
14%
17%
13%
19%
Not a priority
1%
1%
%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
%
1%
%
0%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
436
209
227
70
76
179
111
99
97
110
130
Don't know / Refused Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 73 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
RACE
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
INCOME RANGES
White / Caucasia Overall n All others 436 391 13
Less than $50k 94
EDUCATION LEVEL
Some High college, College $50k - $100k or School or no graduate Advance $99k more less degree (BA/BS) d degree 117 124 71 115 170 76
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing income inequality
Major priority
51%
50%
70%
58%
52%
47%
44%
48%
51%
59%
Minor priority
34%
35%
19%
23%
39%
34%
35%
36%
33%
33%
Not a priority
13%
13%
11%
12%
9%
18%
16%
15%
13%
8%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Repealing Obamacare
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Improving the economy
Don't know / Refused
2%
2%
0%
7%
0%
1%
4%
1%
3%
0%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Major priority
38%
38%
55%
40%
40%
35%
55%
45%
30%
29%
Minor priority
23%
23%
23%
24%
22%
24%
19%
25%
29%
15%
Not a priority
35%
36%
22%
30%
34%
40%
19%
27%
37%
54%
Don't know / Refused
3%
3%
0%
7%
4%
1%
6%
3%
3%
1%
Total
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Major priority
83%
83%
100%
88%
82%
81%
83%
86%
89%
75%
Minor priority
16%
16%
0%
11%
18%
18%
16%
13%
11%
25%
Not a priority
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
436
407
14
89
120
133
82
119
130
102
Don't know / Refused Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 74 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Overall 436
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
PRIMARY CHOICE WITH LEANERS
REGIONS
Hillsboro Rockingh Central / ugh am South 144 95 121
West / Democra Republic Undecide North tic an d 76 175 221 40
IMMIGR ATION
TAXES
MILITAR Y
Major priority 227
Major priority 185
Major priority 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing income inequality
Major priority
51%
50%
52%
49%
53%
75%
33%
37%
38%
50%
37%
Minor priority
34%
33%
32%
40%
27%
19%
44%
46%
43%
33%
42%
Not a priority
13%
15%
12%
9%
20%
4%
21%
10%
16%
15%
19%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Repealing Obamacare
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Improving the economy
Don't know / Refused
2%
2%
4%
2%
0%
2%
2%
7%
2%
2%
2%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Major priority
38%
32%
42%
41%
40%
13%
61%
32%
58%
51%
64%
Minor priority
23%
32%
17%
23%
20%
23%
24%
21%
22%
22%
20%
Not a priority
35%
34%
37%
32%
36%
62%
12%
39%
16%
23%
13%
Don't know / Refused
3%
2%
4%
5%
3%
2%
3%
9%
4%
4%
3%
Total
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Major priority
83%
87%
78%
87%
80%
77%
90%
74%
90%
94%
91%
Minor priority
16%
11%
22%
13%
20%
22%
9%
26%
10%
6%
9%
Not a priority
1%
1%
0%
%
0%
0%
1%
0%
%
%
0%
%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
436
123
107
126
80
180
219
37
224
187
175
Don't know / Refused Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 75 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
GLOBAL INCOME REPEAL WRMIN INEQUA ING ECONO G LITY OCARE MY
ISIS
Overall 436
Major priority 348
Major priority 193
Major priority 214
Major priority 165
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Major Democra priority t 369 170
Independ ent / Republic Other an 48 204
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing income inequality
Major priority
51%
48%
75%
100%
35%
51%
78%
42%
31%
Minor priority
34%
36%
20%
0%
43%
34%
18%
35%
46%
Not a priority
13%
14%
4%
0%
21%
13%
3%
19%
20%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Repealing Obamacare
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Improving the economy
Don't know / Refused
2%
2%
1%
0%
1%
2%
2%
4%
2%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Major priority
38%
43%
19%
26%
100%
42%
11%
36%
61%
Minor priority
23%
24%
23%
23%
0%
24%
23%
14%
27%
Not a priority
35%
28%
57%
46%
0%
30%
64%
43%
8%
Don't know / Refused
3%
4%
2%
4%
0%
4%
3%
6%
4%
Total
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Major priority
83%
89%
79%
85%
91%
100%
76%
86%
90%
Minor priority
16%
11%
20%
15%
8%
0%
23%
14%
9%
Not a priority
1%
%
%
0%
1%
0%
%
0%
1%
%
0%
%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
436
350
200
220
168
364
172
43
209
Don't know / Refused Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 76 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL L
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
FAV CHRISTI FAV E TRUMP
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
FAV BUSH
FAV KASICH
Independ Independ ent Lean Independ ent Lean Democra Democra ent / Republic Republic Total Total Total Total Overall t t Other an an favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 38 132 48 166 38 138 126 140 173
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing income inequality
Major priority
51%
82%
76%
42%
31%
32%
42%
32%
49%
46%
Minor priority
34%
18%
17%
35%
46%
49%
42%
47%
35%
38%
Not a priority
13%
0%
4%
19%
21%
17%
14%
20%
11%
14%
Don't know / Refused
2%
0%
2%
4%
2%
3%
2%
1%
4%
1%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Repealing Obamacare
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Improving the economy
Major priority
38%
6%
12%
36%
60%
66%
44%
70%
42%
33%
Minor priority
23%
19%
24%
14%
26%
27%
27%
20%
32%
25%
Not a priority
35%
72%
61%
43%
9%
6%
25%
6%
24%
39%
Don't know / Refused
3%
3%
2%
6%
5%
0%
4%
3%
2%
3%
Total
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Major priority
83%
84%
73%
86%
91%
89%
89%
90%
89%
78%
Minor priority
16%
16%
25%
14%
9%
11%
9%
8%
10%
21%
Not a priority
1%
0%
%
0%
1%
0%
1%
2%
1%
1%
%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
436
41
130
43
166
44
135
120
141
174
Don't know / Refused Total
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 77 of 78
New Hampshire Statewide Poll of 436 Undeclared Likely Voters in 2016 Presidential Primaries
OVERAL FAV L RUBIO
FAV CRUZ
FAV FAV CLINTO SANDER N S
Total Total Total Total Overall favorable favorable favorable favorable 436 121 104 144 256
UNWEIGHTED COUNT
Unweighted count
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Addressing income inequality
Major priority
51%
33%
26%
71%
67%
Minor priority
34%
46%
44%
24%
23%
Not a priority
13%
19%
28%
2%
7%
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Repealing Obamacare
PRIORITY FOR NEXT PRESIDENT: Improving the economy
Don't know / Refused
2%
2%
2%
2%
3%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Major priority
38%
56%
63%
9%
23%
Minor priority
23%
27%
26%
21%
25%
Not a priority
35%
13%
9%
68%
48%
Don't know / Refused
3%
3%
2%
3%
4%
Total
436
126
104
143
258
Major priority
83%
93%
91%
73%
80%
Minor priority
16%
6%
8%
26%
19%
Not a priority
1%
1%
1%
%
%
%
0%
0%
1%
%
436
126
104
143
258
Don't know / Refused Total
Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016
Conducted for WBUR by More information, including full question wording, available at WBUR.org
Page 78 of 78