Nuclear Weapons Spending

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Marc Quint Monterey Institute of International Studies

Many thanks to Jon Wolfsthal and Jeffrey Lewis

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New START  Section 1251 NDAA 2010 Existing MFP-1 inadequate ◦ GAO; Secretary of Defense Task Force agree



1251 Report November 17th, 2010 as amended ◦ $214 billion between NNSA/DOD  NNSA: $88 billion  DOD: $125 billion



Full report classified – the unclassified 1251 Report as amended defines $32/125 billion for DOD

$115/125 Billion: ~92%

P RDTE OM PRS Total

2011 1.6 1.5 3.3 2 8.4

2012 1.9 2 3.4 2 9.3

2013 1.7 1.7 3.4 2.1 8.9

2014 1.7 2.3 3.4 2.1 9.5

2015 1.7 2.6 3.5 2.1 9.9

2016 1.6 2.7 3.5 2.1 9.9

2017 2.3 2.2 3.6 2.2 10.3

2018 2.4 2.2 3.5 2.1 10.2

2019 4.3 9.3 3.5 2.1 19.2

2020 4.3 9.3 3.5 2.1 19.2

FY11-20 23.5 35.8 34.6 20.9 114.8



10 Years vs. 30 Years ◦ SSBN(X): $29.4 vs. $100-110 Billion (CBO)



Unknown Costs ◦ LRS-B  $1.7B  $8B  $44-55B (USAF)  $75B ◦ ICBM  $.02B  $71-79 (GAO) ◦ LRSO  $.8B  $1.3B  ?



Command & Control ◦ $5-6 billion annually



$300-400 Billion to replace current force at today’s level



Excludes Warheads and Command and Control



Procurement chokepoint: ~2025-2030



Competition with conventional acquisition, costgrowth, delays, and ultimately, reductions

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SSBN(X): $100-110 B LRS-B & LRSO: $50-60 B ICBM: $71-79 B 30-Year O&M and MILPERS: $165 B

◦ 1/3-1/2 systems expected