Nutrition Economics

Report 6 Downloads 37 Views
Nutrition Economics Wayne Cast Value-Added Science & Technologies

Source: Agristats 2012

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

Jul-11

Jun-11

May-11

Apr-11

Mar-11

Feb-11

Jan-11

Dec-10

Nov-10

Oct-10

Sep-10

Aug-10

Jul-10

Jun-10

May-10

Apr-10

Mar-10

Feb-10

Jan-10

Dec-09

Nov-09

Oct-09

Sep-09

Aug-09

Jul-09

Jun-09

May-09

Apr-09

Mar-09

Feed as % of Total Cost

75

70

65

60

55

50

Sow 92

Finishing 616

Nursery 60

 With

recent volatility in commodity markets, risk management has become an important task for profitable swine producers

 Monocal

• $335-1,060 per ton  Fat

• $240-1,200 per ton

 Key

areas regardless of prices

 Importance

prices

amplified in periods of high

Ingredient

Prices in dollars per ton

Corn (800 microns, 14.5% Mois.)

215

Soybean Meal

400

DDGS

200

Choice White Grease

1000

Limestone

40

Monocalcium Phosphate, 21%

650

Salt

60

Phytase

2400

Lysine HCl

2200

Threonine

2300

Methionine

3950

VTM

2875

Ingredient

Inclusion

Corn (800 microns, 14.5% Mois.)

1392.4

Soybean Meal

474

DDGS

0

Choice White Grease

87

Limestone

17.5

Monocalcium Phosphate, 21%

17.5

Salt

6.7

Phytase

0

Lysine HCl

2.9

Threonine

0

Methionine

0

VTM

2

Cost

$300.30

 600-1000

Microns

 100

micron reduction = 1.25-1.5% improvement in utilization

 800

• 2.80

600 microns 2.75 = 11 lbs of feed per pig (50 – 270 lbs)

60

Angle of Repose

58 56 6% 3% 0% 6% 3% 0%

54 52 50 48 46

Fat Fat Fat Fat Fat Fat

44 42 300

500

700

900

1100

1300

Particle Size, microns Groesbeck, et al., 2002

HM HM HM RM RM RM

 1200

head barn = 980 ton of feed  $270/ton  200 micron  1.25% x 2 x 70% of diet is 1.75%  $4630/barn we can spend to get feed to flow  Jitter balls • Hog Slat

Ingredient

800 Microns

600 Microns

Corn

1392.4

1413.4

Soybean Meal

474

472

DDGS

0

0

Choice White Grease

87

68

Limestone

17.5

17.5

Monocal. Phosphate, 21%

17.5

17.5

Salt

6.7

6.7

Phytase

0

0

Lysine HCl

2.9

2.9

Threonine

0

0

Methionine

0

0

VTM

2

2

Cost

$300.30

$292.66

 Plant

phosphorus  First know pig’s requirement  5 grams  Good products  Confusing nomenclature  Comparison tool

Optiphos Phyzyme Natuphos Ronozyme Avail P FTU FTU FTU FYT Release 120 375 375 1110 0.075 160 500 500 1480 0.090 200 625 625 1850 0.100 230 750 750 2220 0.110 250 900 900 2550 0.120 300 1000 1000 2900 0.125 350 1125 1125 3300 0.130 450 4292 0.140 750 0.170 1000 0.195

Ingredient

600, No Phy

600, Phy

Corn

1413.4

1438.15

Soybean Meal

472

470

DDGS

0

0

Choice White Grease

68

58

Limestone

17.5

16

Monocal. Phosphate, 21%

17.5

6

Salt

6.7

6.7

Phytase

0

0.25

Lysine HCl

2.9

2.9

Threonine

0

0

Methionine

0

0

VTM

2

2

Cost

$292.66

$286.45

 Lysine

 Methionine  Threonine

 Ratio to Lysine, TID • Threonine • Methionine + Cystine • Tryptophan • Valine • Isoleucine  Hybrid KSU/PIC/Ajinomoto

Ingredient

600, Phy

600, Phy, AA

Corn

1438.15

1549

Soybean Meal

470

357

DDGS

0

0

Choice White Grease

58

53

Limestone

16

17

Monocal. Phosphate, 21%

6

6.5

Salt

6.7

6.7

Phytase

0.25

0.25

Lysine HCl

2.9

6.5

Threonine

0

1.5

Methionine

0

0.55

VTM

2

2

Cost

$286.45

$280.22

 DDGS is an economical • Energy • Amino acids • Phosphorus

source of nutrients

 DDGS is not 1 ingredient • Plant to plant variation • Within plant variation  Most

producers do not effectively capture the value of DDGS

 Prices

similar from plant to plant  Values quite different  Some better buys than others  Process can change – Spinning Oil  Need to monitor  ILLUMINATE®

Different Book Values, as is basis

NRC

U of M

KSU

ILLUMINATE Avg

ILLUMINATE Low

ILLUMINATE High

93

89

Not Listed

89.2

86.7

93.2

Crude Protein, %

27.7

23.1

27.2

26.8

24.9

32.1

Crude Fat, %

8.4

8.7

10.7

9.4

5.5

11.9

Swine ME Kcal/kg

2820

3500

3419

3233

2657

3601

Total Lys, %

0.62

0.85

0.78

0.87

0.62

1.02

Total Met, %

0.50

0.45

0.55

0.53

0.43

0.75

Total Phos, %

0.77

0.82

0.60

0.77

0.54

0.93

AvPhos, %

0.59

Not listed

0.46

0.58

0.41

0.70

Item DM, %



Ongoing lab analysis of DDGS samples



Weekly relative value analysis



Identification of best value, best cost DDGS source for each client



Weekly updates of nutrient loadings for selected sources



Formulation work or provide loadings to outside nutritionist



Merchandising assistance

Ingredient

600, Phy, AA

600,Phy,AA,DDGA

600,Phy,AA,DDGB

Corn

1549

1137.74

1169.98

Soybean Meal

357

264

259

DDGS

0

500

500

Choice White Grease

53

60

34

Limestone

17

22

21.5

Monocal. Phosphate, 21%

6.5

0

0

Salt

6.7

6

6

Phytase

0.25

0.11

0.12

Lysine HCl

6.5

7.7

7.1

Threonine

1.5

0.45

0.3

Methionine

0.55

0

0

VTM

2

2

2

Cost

$280.22

$267.73

$256.37

 Increase

energy  Maintain lysine:calorie ratio  Improves ADG  Improves F/G  Not a good buy today • High priced hogs • Expensive fat 4.65x

Start Wt. ADG (Prog. 1) F/G (Prog. 1) ME per 1% fat: Fat ($/ton) Lbs Pork Produced Ending Live Weight Pig Value Total Feed Cost F/G Net per Pig

Lbs Pork Produced Ending Live Weight ADG (Prog. 2) Pig Value Total Feed Cost F/G Net per Pig Prog. 1 vs Prog. 2

50 1.80 2.85 0.022 $

$ $ $

$ $ $ $

Exp. ADG % Exp. F/G % GMD ($/ton) $ Live Hogs ($/cwt) $ Fixed Cost ($/pig/day) $ 388.0 221.6 271.6 Lbs needed/pig 176.51 F/G 80.15 Lbs of Gain 2.86 Diet ME (kcal/lb) 96.36 Diet cost ($/ton) Feed Costs

0.50% 1.80% 12.00 65.00 $ 0.11 Prog. 1 Phase 1 40 1.97 20.5 3.32

$ $

222.9 272.9 Lbs needed/pig 1.81 F/G 177.41 Lbs of Gain 82.32 Diet ME (kcal/lb) 2.79 Diet cost ($/ton) $ 95.10 Feed Costs $ (1.26) Return ($/hd) by ration $

0.50% 1.80%

Prog. 2 Phase 1 39.7 1.92 20.6 3.37

0.50% 1.80%

0.50% 1.80%

0.50% 1.80%

0.50% 1.80%

86.67

Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 Phase 6 115 136 191 60 90 2.34 2.70 3.24 3.40 3.65 49.4 50.4 59.0 17.6 24.7 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.33 3.33 256.10 $ 250.23 $ 244.10 $ 237.54 $ 236.39 $ 230.38 5.40 $ 15.12 $ 17.44 $ 23.83 $ 7.45 $ 10.91 $

Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 113.6 134.1 188.0 58.9 2.28 2.64 3.17 3.31 49.7 50.7 59.3 17.8 3.37 3.37 3.37 3.40 267.44 $ 260.86 $ 254.85 $ 247.83 $ 249.11 $ 5.54 $ 15.49 $ 17.89 $ 24.42 $ 7.69 $ (0.06) $ (0.18) $ (0.26) $ (0.36) $ (0.16) $

Phase6 88.4 3.55 24.8 3.40 243.17 11.27 $ (0.25) $

SUM 633 221.6 3.00 80.15

SUM 623 222.94 3.06 82.32 2.17

 Grind  Phytase  Crystalline

amino acids

 DDGS  Energy

levels

Ingredient

Base Diet

Enhanced Diet

Corn

1392.4

1169.98

Soybean Meal

474

259

DDGS

0

500

Choice White Grease

87

34

Limestone

17.5

21.5

Monocal. Phosphate, 21%

17.5

0

Salt

6.7

6

Phytase

0

0.12

Lysine HCl

2.9

7.1

Threonine

0

0.3

Methionine

0

0

VTM

2

2

Cost

$300.30

$256.37

ADG

F/G

ISU

3.0%

6.5%

KSU

5.0%

7.0%

Average

4.0%

6.75%

Commercial

1.5%

3.0%

2.6

2.56 2.55

2.5

2.5

2.51

2.44

F/G 2.45

2.4

2.4

2.35

2.3 Meal

90% Pellets

70% Pellets

50% Pellets

30% Pellets

Pollmann, 2011

Meal

100

Pellets

Survival Rate

98 96 94 92 90

PIC 380

PIC 280

PIC 337

 Mortality

• Genotype • Feed interruptions • Health and bio-security  Bottom

line

• Does the economic improvement due to F/G and

ADG from pelleting more than offset the cost of pelleting and the increased mortality?

 Raised

mostly for human food

 Usually

only 10% of U.S. crop fed to livestock

 This

year could be different with small corn carryover

35

 Increases  Slightly

with higher soybean meal price

less energy per lb BUT:

• More available phosphorus • Higher protein and amino acids

• 4 more lbs in a bushel

36

 Can

replace all the corn in swine diets  Bad reputation undeserved: • Often wheat fed has been rejected • Light test weight – even lower energy • Sprouted • Scab – vomitoxin, zearalenone • Garlic 160 bublets  If

we only had rejected corn to feed we wouldn’t like corn either 37

 Bad

news

• Wheat tends to flour, especially when ground with a

hammer mill (rpm)  Feeders can bridge  Flour can absorb moisture and plug feeder  Overcome by using a mixture

38

 Good

News

• Reducing particle size is not as important as with

corn or milo  Only half the response  Roller mills can do a very nice job  Improves pellet quality

39

Wheat

Corn

Wheat:Corn

Dry matter, % Energy, kcal/lb

88.00

85.50

103%

Metabolizable

1,456

1,520

96%

NE NRC

2,225

2,395

93%

Crude protein, %

13.50

8.30

163%

Available P, %

0.185

0.039

474%

Crude fat, %

2.00

3.40

59%

Crude fiber, %

2.4

2.2

109%

Dig. Lysine, %

0.28

0.20

140%

Dig. Met & Cys, %

0.44

0.32

138%

Dig. Threonine, %

0.31

0.24

129%

Dig. Tryptophan, %

0.135

0.050

270% 40

Another dusty and broken feeder crank!!!



Pigs per feeder space - “New” feeder designs • Dry feeders – 10 pigs • Wet/Dry feeders – 10 to 15 pigs (depends on “quality” of space)



Feeder space Quality • Correct dimensions for intended BW range of growth  Depth and Width are most important • Some degree of protection – at least nose/snout divider bars  Reduces wastage associated with pig-to-pig interactions  Reduces aggression  Limits ability of pigs to waste feed by rooting

classification/filename/author/date (Trebuchet MS 11 pt)



Feeder opening/adjustment • Dry Feeder  50 to 60% trough coverage for pigs < 150 lb BW  30 to 50% trough coverage for pigs > 150 lb BW • Wet/Dry Feeder  65 to 85% trough coverage for pigs < 200 lb BW  50 to 65% trough coverage for pigs > 200 lb BW

classification/filename/author/date (Trebuchet MS 11 pt)

Wet-Dry Feeder

Conventional Dry Feeder

35%

9%

1.27 cm opening (setting 6)

1.5 to 2.0 cm opening (setting 6)

d 19 57%

21%

1.91 cm opening (setting 10)

2.0 to 2.7 cm opening (setting 8)

65% 2.54 cm opening (setting 14)

79% 2.7 to 3.4 cm opening (setting 10)

classification/filename/author/date (Trebuchet MS 11 pt), New Horizon Farms, Kansas State University

P < 0.01 Linear

2.10

2.08 2.05

ADG, lb

2.05 2.00 1.95

1.94

1.90 1.85 1

3 Feeder Settings

5

P < 0.67 Linear

2.45 2.40

FG

2.37 2.34

2.35

2.25

1

3 Feeder Settings

5

lbs of feed 8

Bump Feeding

7 6

Reduce embryonic mortality

5

Feed to condition

Mate

Wean

2

4

6

8

10

Weeks post-mating

12

14

16

Farrow

Drop intake

4

18

 Rapid

growth of fetuses last 3 weeks of gestation

 Historically

have done it “blindly”

 As

feed prices increase is bump feeding still cost effective? • Each 1 lb bump for 30 days costs > $3/litter

Gilts

Sows

Normal

3# Bump

Normal

3# Bump

Litters

151

148

382

399

Born Alive

9.35

9.66

10.14

10.12

Birth Wt.

2.99

3.08

3.12

3.10

Weaned

7.93

8.5

8.38

8.34

Weaning Wt.,

11.13

11.37

11.51

11.83

PWM, %

15.0

12.1

16.0

17.4 Cromwell et.al., 1989

49

Gilts

Sows

Normal

2# Bump

Normal

2# Bump

22

21

33

32

Born Alive

13.8

12.9

11.2

12.3

Birth Wt.

3.13

3.32

3.39

3.15

Weaned

11.5

11.5

10.6

10.5

13.40

13.35

13.45

13.28

7.35

7.05

5.65

8.28

Litters

Weaning Wt., PWM, %

Shelton, et.al., 2009

50

Gilts

Litters Born Alive

Sows

Normal

2# Bump

4# Bump

Normal

2# Bump

4# Bump

24

24

24

50

51

51

11.05a

12.13a

11.67a

11.29a

12.03a

11.24a

Birth Wt.

2.89a

3.06ab

3.17b

3.50a

3.34a

3.35a

Litter Birth Wt.

35,46a

37.76ab

41.11b

41.99a

41.64a

42,13a

P