Q1 2017
CANADA’S OIL AND GAS EMPLOYMENT AND LABOUR MARKET DATA
Q1 2017
181,400
197,700
8.2%
Directly employed by Canada’s upstream and midstream oil and gas industry
Employed or available and actively seeking work in the oil and gas industry
Percentage of Canada’s oil and gas labour force that is unemployed
-1% -7%
-1,500 jobs from Q4 2016 -14,500 jobs from Q1 2016
+1% -1%
+1 -4%
%
+1,500 people from Q4 2016 -26,100 from Q1 2016
+1.4% from Q4 2016 -4.2% from Q1 2016
Oil + Gas Labour Force Statistics 250 000
3.8%
6.2%
4.9%
4.4%
9.4%
10.1%
8.1%
10%
Q1 2014
Q2 2014
Q3 2014
Q4 2014
Q1 2015
Q2 2015
Q3 2015
Q4 2015
12.4%
14%
8.7%
6.8%
8.2%
Q3 2016
Q4 2016
Q1 2017
200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 Employment
Unemployment
Q1 2016
Q2 2016
Unemployment Rate
Source: Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey employment estimates, seasonally unadjusted and quarterly averages within the following sectors: exploration and production (including oil sands), oil and gas services and pipeline transmission.
WESTERN CANADA PROVINCIAL HIGHLIGHTS DIRECT EMPLOYMENT Q1 2017 FROM Q4 2016
In Q1 2017, Alberta made up 74% of Canada’s direct oil and gas employment. Between Q4 2016 and Q1 2017, Alberta’s oil and gas employment declined 2%. Across Canada, the industry declined 0.8%. The labour force across both Alberta and Canada remained the same.
-2% ALBERTA
British Columbia (BC) and Saskatchewan represented 6% of Canada’s total oil and gas employment. BC saw a 15% decline, or a decrease of just under 1,600 jobs during the period. Saskatchewan experienced a 10% increase, or just over 1,100 jobs.
-15% BRITISH COLUMBIA
Across all industries, including oil and gas, Alberta and Saskatchewan experienced a 1% decline in employment while BC had a slight gain of 0.1%.
+10% SASKATCHEWAN
193,400
195,000
191,000 190,000 Modest Recovery scenario (annual average)
Oil + Gas Employment Forecast vs. Actual
Number of direct jobs
Delayed Recovery scenario (annual average) 185,000
181,400 180,000
175,000
Source: PetroLMI’s Labour Market Outlook 2017 to 2021 for Canada’s Oil and Gas Industry employment scenario projections; Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey employment estimates, seasonally unadjusted and quarterly averages within the following sectors: exploration and production (including oil sands), oil and gas services and pipeline transmission.
Labour Force Survey (Q1 2017 actual) 180,000
181,100
180,600
173,900
170,000
165,200
165,000 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
INSIGHTS - LOOKING FORWARD
Canada’s oil and gas industry appears to be tracking toward the Modest Recovery scenario, highlighted in PetroLMI’s Labour Market Outlook 2017 to 2021 for Canada’s Oil and Gas Industry report. That said, spring break up within the oil and gas services sector tends to move employment downward in the second quarter.
Funded in part by the Government of Canada’s Sectoral Initiatives Program
Q1 2017
181,400
197,700
8.2%
Directly employed by Canada’s upstream and midstream oil and gas industry
Employed or available and actively seeking work in the oil and gas industry
Percentage of Canada’s oil and gas labour force that is unemployed
-1% -7%
-1,500 jobs from Q4 2016 -14,500 jobs from Q1 2016
+1% -1%
+1 -4%
%
+1,500 people from Q4 2016 -26,100 from Q1 2016
+1.4% from Q4 2016 -4.2% from Q1 2016
Oil + Gas Labour Force Statistics 250 000
3.8%
6.2%
4.9%
4.4%
9.4%
10.1%
8.1%
10%
Q1 2014
Q2 2014
Q3 2014
Q4 2014
Q1 2015
Q2 2015
Q3 2015
Q4 2015
12.4%
14%
8.7%
6.8%
8.2%
Q3 2016
Q4 2016
Q1 2017
200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 Employment
Unemployment
Q1 2016
Q2 2016
Unemployment Rate
Source: Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey employment estimates, seasonally unadjusted and quarterly averages within the following sectors: exploration and production (including oil sands), oil and gas services and pipeline transmission.
WESTERN CANADA PROVINCIAL HIGHLIGHTS DIRECT EMPLOYMENT Q1 2017 FROM Q4 2016
In Q1 2017, Alberta made up 74% of Canada’s direct oil and gas employment. Between Q4 2016 and Q1 2017, Alberta’s oil and gas employment declined 2%. Across Canada, the industry declined 0.8%. The labour force across both Alberta and Canada remained the same.
-2% ALBERTA
British Columbia (BC) and Saskatchewan represented 6% of Canada’s total oil and gas employment. BC saw a 15% decline, or a decrease of just under 1,600 jobs during the period. Saskatchewan experienced a 10% increase, or just over 1,100 jobs.
-15% BRITISH COLUMBIA
Across all industries, including oil and gas, Alberta and Saskatchewan experienced a 1% decline in employment while BC had a slight gain of 0.1%.
+10% SASKATCHEWAN
193,400
195,000
191,000 190,000 Modest Recovery scenario (annual average)
Oil + Gas Employment Forecast vs. Actual
Number of direct jobs
Delayed Recovery scenario (annual average) 185,000
181,400 180,000
175,000
Source: PetroLMI’s Labour Market Outlook 2017 to 2021 for Canada’s Oil and Gas Industry employment scenario projections; Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey employment estimates, seasonally unadjusted and quarterly averages within the following sectors: exploration and production (including oil sands), oil and gas services and pipeline transmission.
Labour Force Survey (Q1 2017 actual) 180,000
181,100
180,600
173,900
170,000
165,200
165,000 2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
INSIGHTS - LOOKING FORWARD
Canada’s oil and gas industry appears to be tracking toward the Modest Recovery scenario, highlighted in PetroLMI’s Labour Market Outlook 2017 to 2021 for Canada’s Oil and Gas Industry report. That said, spring break up within the oil and gas services sector tends to move employment downward in the second quarter.
Funded in part by the Government of Canada’s Sectoral Initiatives Program
