SMD Science Program Leads The World ! $5.5b/year budget. ! Large Earth science, heliophysics, planetary science, & astrophysics programs. ! 53 flight missions in operation. ! 41 flight missions in development. ! 3000+ operating R&A grants. ! These numbers exceed the combined efforts of all other Earth & space science programs of the World.
SMD Major Activities: Next 12 months
But Strong Community Concerns Have Been Stated ! NASA and SMD!s budgets are not growing.
! SMD future flight rates have been declining. ! Research funds have been cut. ! Progress on decadal survey objectives has been slow. ! SMD has been slow or simply unresponsive to these issues and others.
New Team At The Helm Associate Administrator (AA) (Alan Stern) Deputy AA (Todd May - Act) Deputy AA for Programs (Jim Adams - Act) Chief Scientist (J. Mather) DCS for ES (Randy Friedl) DCS for SS (Andy Cheng) Senior Advisor for Science Process & Ethics (Paul Hertz)
Chief Engineer (K. Ledbetter)
Management & Policy Division Dir. (R. Maizel) Deputy (Vacant)
Heliophysics Division Dir. (R. Fisher) Deputy (V. Elsbernd-Act)
Budget (C. Tupper) Policy & Administration (G. Williams- Act) Blue dashed boxes denote individuals who report to other organizations, but support SMD
AAA for Strategy, Policy & International (Marc Allen) Senior Advisor for R & A (Yvonne Pendleton) Special Asst for NEOs and Exploration (Dan Durda) Chief of Staff (Jens Feeley - Act) Safety & Mission Assurance (P. Martin)
Earth Science Division Dir. (M. Freilich) Deputy (B. Cramer) Dep - Programs (M. Luther) Flight (S. Volz) Applied Science (T. Fryberger) Research (J. Kaye)
Astrophysics Division Dir. (J. Morse) Deputy (R. Howard)
Planetary Science Division Dir. (J. Green) Dep. (J. Adams) Mars Program (D. McCuistion)
Draft: January 14, 2008
We Intend To Fully Meet These Issues Head On ! By controlling costs to increase flight rates. ! By rebalancing queues to increase flight rates. ! By expanding foreign collaborations. ! By repairing R&A processes & budgets. ! By ensuring missions fully fund their science. ! By valuing responsiveness to community concerns.
Some Actions We Have Taken Since Arriving In April ! Avoided >$150m in overruns. ! Funded four new SMEX explorer missions, replacing one MIDEX. ! Increased Suborbital Rocket and Balloon flight rates. ! Entered into partnerships for both an Outer Planet flagship and solar orbiter. !Taken R&A off the table for cuts. ! And initiated an effort to simplify AOs .
And We!ve Had Five SMD New Mission Starts Since April ! Astrophysics: NuStar Small Explorer. ! Heliophysics: BARREL MoO. ! Planetary: GRAIL Discovery mission and the NeXT and EPOXI comet flyby MoOs.
More Flight Program Changes Are Afoot ! We!re making $70M available in Explorer Mission of Opportunity (MoO) funding. ! We!ve initiated an annual MoO AO beginning in 2008, to foster more international collaboration opportunities. ! We!ve worked to find an affordable, non-nuclear Solar Probe mission capable of being funded. ! And we desire an Exoplanets program that keeps NASA!s Astrophysics portfolio healthy.
R&A Changes Have Also Been Made ! We established the SARA position within SMD. ! We provided a mailbox for complaints and feedback about R&A programs (
[email protected]). ! We eliminated a backlog of hundreds of no-cost extension requests. ! We adopted widespread funding of 4-year grants. ! We no longer redact budgets from review panels in ROSES-08. ! We accelerated grant win notifications after panel reviews, from months to weeks.
SMD Flight Program: January 2007 SMD Launches by Calendar Year
Earth Helio A stro Planetary
12
CINDI SET-1
10 M3 Planck 8 TWINS-A
Herschel
ST-6
IBEX
Hinode
OSTM
6
ST-5
TWINS-B
OCO
ST-7
Discovery 11
CloudSat
A IM
Glory
WISE
Mars Scout 2
CA LIPSO
THEMIS
GLA ST
Kepler
LDCM
ExoMars
GPM Const
STEREO
Daw n
HST SM-4
NPP
Juno
GPM Core
Discovery 12
New Horizons
Phoenix
SDO
MSL
A quarius
CY 06
CY 07
CY 08
CY 09
CY 10
4
2
SOFIA
RBSP
JWST
MMS
CY 11
CY 12
CY 13
CY 14
0
SMD Flight Program: January 2008 SMD Launches by Calendar Year
Earth
TWINS-B
Helio
12
Astro
CINDI
Planetary
LWS SET-1 10 M3 Planc k 8 TWINS-A
Hers c hel
ST-6
IBEX
Hinode
OSTM
ST-5
OCO
WISE
6 ST-7
BA RREL Ex oMars
4 CloudSat
A IM
Glory
Kepler
NuSTA R
SMEX-13
CA LIPSO
THEMIS
GLA ST
NPP
GRA IL
BA RREL
Mars Sc out 2
GPM Cons t
STEREO
Daw n
HST SM-4
SOFIA
LDCM
SMEX-12
GPM Core
Dis c ov ery 12
New Horiz ons
Phoenix
SDO
MSL
A quarius
Juno
RBSP
JWST
MMS
CY 06
CY 07
CY 08
CY 09
CY 10
CY 11
CY 12
CY 13
CY 14
ES PI-led Mission
2
0
SMD: The Road Ahead
! We Will Get More Science Done With Our Budget. ! We Will Help Ensure “The Vision” Succeeds. ! We Will Promote U.S. Leadership Across All of SMD Science Disciplines. ! We Will Improve SMD Actual and Perceived Impact on and Relevance to the Public. ! We Will Create a Great Workplace.
GOING FORWARD: WE WILL NEED YOUR HELP
New Horizons NPP OCO OST M Phoenix Planck Roset t a SDO
30. 7 127. 2 2. 2
123. 6 130. 8 2. 2 23. 4
140. 1 102. 0 18. 9 23. 8
4. 7 12. 4
25. 5 13. 4 1. 0 88. 1
202. 6 132. 1 49. 5 26. 3 116. 3 9. 7 3. 0 136. 9
65. 3 21. 2 40. 8 19. 7
9. 3 57. 1 84. 8 50. 2
14. 5 75. 1 53. 2 33. 3
13. 2 115. 2 28. 8 8. 7
115. 3 107. 2 11. 1 33. 0
141. 5 6. 3 3. 0 183. 4
111. 2 7. 3 4. 1 173. 8
19. 7 9. 5 4. 0 128. 4
1. 2 10. 1 5. 1 29. 7
30. 3 65. 2 78. 5
714. 6 867. 9 291. 5 218. 4 420. 1 124. 3 85. 4 885. 4
Why Have Launch Rates Declined?
SOF I A Solar-B Spit zer ST EREO
25. 3 8. 8
57. 8
64. 9
17. 2
96. 6
68. 3
66. 9 15. 8 76. 8 123. 2
71. 5 15. 4 75. 7 90. 3
90. 8 14. 1 74. 3 64. 6
47. 0 18. 4 78. 6 28. 4
77. 1 14. 9 80. 8 22. 7
88. 9 16. 0 76. 8 14. 4
2286. 5 8. 0 138. 4 3. 0
2728. 7 184. 7 601. 4 511. 5
COST OVERRUNS AND UNEXPECTED MISSION EXPENDITURES
Swif t T HEMI S T WI NS WI SE
139. 2
Prior
47. 5 12. 1
2. 1
32. 2 68. 8 2. 0 11. 4
5. 0 54. 0 1. 9 28. 6
6. 9 37. 9 2. 3 54. 5
7. 0 14. 7 2. 5 60. 0
7. 6 2. 5 83. 4
2. 6 2. 4 74. 6
F Y03
F Y04
F Y05
F Y06
F Y07
F Y08
F Y09
Ch a n g e s: AI M Aquarius Aura CALI PSO CI NDI Cloudsat Dawn Deep I mpact GLAST Glory GP-B GPM Hayabusa
-21. 6 16. 5
1. 4
1. 6 -0. 5
Herschel BEX I Juno JW ST Kepler M3 Mars Express MESSENGER MRO MSL New Horizons NPP
10. 5
21. 1
10. 3
0. 5
5. 3 37. 1 20. 8 0. 5
-0. 6 3. 0 10. 3 0. 5
0. 9 0. 5 10. 0 1. 3
11. 6
15. 6
0. 9 0. 8
3. 4 2. 8
1. 9 0. 6
18. 7 1. 5 31. 0 -12. 3
8. 1 3. 1 7. 6 -8. 2
9. 2 15. 8 -2. 6 12. 6
2. 0 63. 4
1. 0 1. 5
1. 0
2. 5 30. 5 1. 2 -0. 2
-0. 8 3. 2 -0. 3 0. 5
51. 5 -0. 6 -2. 1 0. 5
86. 3 6. 0 -17. 9
58. 5 1. 6 -15. 1
6. 6
4. 3
-0. 6 -8. 5 -29. 7
-2. 4 3. 2 -24. 5 108. 3
-9. 8 6. 0 -7. 2 241. 7
25. 5 1. 2 1. 2 7. 8
72. 0 -0. 2 3. 7 4. 1
81. 2 1. 1 4. 6 12. 5
3. 1
3. 8 44. 8 6. 1 75. 1
3. 8 3. 3 7. 3 115. 2
-9. 9 1. 4
-43. 0 -32. 6
0. 4 18. 4
1. 0 1. 6
43. 7
-2. 4
24. 4 6. 0 21. 4
237. 8 222. 1 19. 6 336. 0
BT C
T ot al
0. 2 19. 3
4. 0 31. 7
21. 0 54. 2
7. 9 48. 9 23. 1
-8. 4 0. 7
744. 7 2. 3
1. 1 3. 6 55. 9 207. 3
18. 1 1. 6 181. 7 868. 1
22. 0
7. 9
9. 8 1. 9 19. 2
39. 0 95. 6 36. 0 86. 3 254. 4 40. 7 701. 6 3. 8 17. 3 14. 4 197. 4 1342. 8 179. 3 4. 0 10. 9 71. 5
12. 8
33. 8
23. 3 -1. 5
86. 8 -9. 0
-19. 1 -40. 4
-9. 1 3. 1 -9. 7 50. 2
1. 3 -16. 0 -3. 4 1. 0
4. 1 0. 2 13. 5 2. 0
-14. 0 1. 4 39. 3 0. 2
32. 7 37. 0 14. 2 0. 3
45. 3 25. 4 -15. 8
24. 6 4. 4 -5. 1 1. 7
Roset t a SDO SOF I A Solar-B
-1. 7 22. 3 3. 4
1. 1 -21. 5 20. 6 3. 2
-0. 4 54. 5 42. 5 -0. 7
0. 4 61. 1 -10. 1 3. 7
1. 3 87. 5 17. 7 2. 4
0. 3 10. 6 28. 7 3. 5
23. 9 25. 9 1006. 5 1. 9
24. 9 240. 4 1105. 9 17. 4
Spit zer ST EREO Swif t T HEMI S
-5. 7 24. 5 26. 0 -4. 6
-9. 8 16. 5 -0. 5 -1. 2
-9. 4 32. 0 1. 9 -1. 0
-3. 8 9. 1 3. 8 10. 8
3. 2 10. 4
3. 8 11. 5
65. 8 3. 0
-0. 5
-3. 7
24. 4
44. 1 107. 0 30. 9 24. 7
-2. 3
-0. 4 -26. 4
0. 3 -17. 4
1. 0 6. 5
1. 7 44. 3
2. 4 74. 6
6. 0 21. 4
8. 7 103. 0
OCO OST M Phoenix Planck
2. 0 0. 2 0. 4 -4. 1
-0. 3 0. 5
T WI NS WI SE T o ta l Gro wth :
19. 1
209. 9
81. 2
187. 8
572. 5
750. 2
635. 7
1. 1 0. 2 0. 7 107. 2
106. 3 57. 1 47. 3 6. 5
11. 1 33. 0 11. 7
3325. 3
49. 3 51. 4 95. 4 298. 8 105. 3 85. 8 38. 6 16. 9
5781. 7
Why Else Have Launch Rates Declined? SMD Launches by Year and Development CostLARGE (Phase A-D,MISSIONS $M) A RECENT IMBALANCE TOWARD 6000 Earth
BA RREL and Ex oMars
Helio A s tro Planetary
SMEX-13
5000
Mars Sc out 2 ST-7 GPM Core 4000 TWINS-B, CINDI,
WISE
SET-1, M3 and Planc k Kepler 3000
Hers c hel IBEX OSTM TWINS-A
NPP
OCO
and ST-6
Glory
2000
NuSTA R SOFIA
1000
Hinode ST-5 CloudSat CA LIPSO STEREO
A IM THEMIS
BA RREL
Juno
SDO
CY 07
MMS
RBSP
A quarius
0 CY 06
Dis c ov ery 12 SMEX-12
MSL
Phoenix
ES Pi-Led Mis s ion GPM Cons t
LDCM
HST SM-4
Daw n New Horiz ons
JWST
GRA IL
GLA ST
CY 08
CY 09
CY 10
CY 11
CY 12
CY 13
CY 14
Higher Flight Rates Depend On You Too ! We need your help to achieve better cost control and a more balanced program, leading to faster progress in the accomplishing decadal surveys. ! The community has to be part of the solution.
Decadal Survey 2010: One Part Of The Solution ! A baseline plan that fits in a baseline budget. ! Independent cost estimates that feed into mission prioritization. ! Trip wire costs above which a mission should be cancelled.