Strathcona Update Buyer Seller Forum

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Strathcona Update Buyer Seller Forum Industrial Heartland Supply Chain Opportunity Gerry Gabinet Director Economic Development and Tourism Strathcona County

Agenda Who we are: • Stats Canada Update

• What is the Heartland What we do for Heartland Projects • Shell , Enbridge, Kinder Morgan • Sasol, Suncor, Access, Northwest Redwater Partnership • Keyara, Interpipeline, MEG Energy,

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Heartland Advantage • • • •

At the cross roads of Alberta’s pipeline systems Road, rail and air logistical centers in the region Pre-zoned industrial lands Capital region has the workforce and infrastructure to support development • Synergistic opportunities with existing industrial base • Water availability in the North Saskatchewan river • Center for Carbon Capture and Storage

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Existing Industrial Base • Canada’s largest hydrocarbon processing center home to 15 world scale facilities responsible for 43% of national basic chemical manufacturing • Major center for – Petroleum Refining (400 Mbdp capacity) – Bitumen Upgrading (250 Mbdp expanding to 400 Mbpd capacity) – Petrochemical Production (Ethylene, Styrene, Fertilizers) – Natural Gas Fractionation and Processing – A variety of other specialty products • Approximately $1 billion in annual expenditure (excluding feedstocks) • 7,500 full time direct employees

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Pipelines and Terminal Activities • Kinder Morgan- Expansion of Trans-Mountain pipeline. New tanks in SIA • Enbridge Pipelines –Terminal and starting point for Northern Gateway project New pipeline and tanks for the Heartland Area • Inter-pipeline – Polaris diluent terminal and pipeline expansion • Access Pipeline – 42” dilbit pipeline to add 350,000 bpd capacity (potential for future expansions) • Keyera Energy – Diluent pipeline connection • Pembina and Canexus – Pipe to rail transfer point for incoming diluent and outgoing bitumen 10/30/2012

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Major Investment Announcements 1. Northwest Redwater Partnership –

Bitumen Refinery

$5 billion

2. Williams Energy – –

Off-Gas pipeline and Fractionization Propylene PDH facility

$500 million $700 million

3. Pembina Pipelines –

NGL fractionization expansion

$ 600 million

4. Sasol –

Gas to Liquids facility

$ 8 billion

5. MEG Energy –

Bitumen “Viscosity Reduction” facility

$100 million

6. Keyera –

De-ethanizer addition

$ 110 million

7. BA Energy –

Bitumen upgrader continuation

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$ 3 billion 9

Shell Refinery

Shell Upgrader Expansion One

Shell Chemicals

Construction storage

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Sasol Update Sept. 5

Optioned the site from Total. Future study required for 48,000 bpd facility. If built 5,000 construction jobs, 500 fulltime jobs. 10/30/2012

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the Canada GTL Project

New Market for Domestic Natural Gas 48,000 bpd = 500 mmcf/d natural gas use 96,000 bpd = 1 bcf/d natural gas use

10/30/2012 Copyright @ 2012, Sasol Canada

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project timeline

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Did you know facility lifecycle costs? 1. Capital cost (Capex) of the project 2. Typical operating annual and operating costs average 2-3% of installed cost of upgrader ($5.0B -$6.0B) 3. Annual sustaining capital costs average 2% over the 30 to 50 year life of each project

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Typical Process Configurations Offsites and Utilities • Electrical Distribution • Cooling Water • Flare System • Fuel Gas • Effluent Treating • Boiler/Power • Control Rooms • Buildings • Interconnecting Pipelines • Tank Farm • Blending/Loading Racks • Plant Air

Process Units • Diluent recovery • Vacuum • Deasphalt • Coking • Hydrocraking • Hydotreating • Gas recovery unit • Gas Sweetening Units • Sulphur recovery • Hydrogen Production • Sour Water Stripping • Coke Gasification

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Typical Upgrader/Refinery Cost Breakdown Equipment % of installed cost • Heaters 2 • Heat exchangers 5 • Vessels 7 • Pumps 7 • Compressors 1 • Mechanical equipment 1 Bulks • Structural Steel 2 • Piping 13 • Electrical 5 • Instruments and controls 2 • Insulation and paint 2 Total 47%

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Massive opportunity Capital Construction

Pressure vessels, industrial furnaces, cooling towers/heat exchangers

43% of $3.5 Billion $1.5 Billion CDN

Instrumentation & control systems

12% ~ $420 million CDN

Pumps & gas compressors

6% ~ $74 million CDN

Engines

2% ~ $70 million CDN

Steel Pipe & Tube

1% ~ $35 million CDN

Valves

1% ~ $35 million CDN

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Assumption 50,000 bpd upgrader/refiner ~ $5 Billion CDN Equipment represents 70% of total cost = $3.5 Billion CDN

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What is Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)? •Capture from industrial facilities •Transport via pipeline •Storage deep underground •Storage options – Depleted gas reservoirs – Oil reservoirs in tertiary recovery (EOR) – Deep geological formations with porous rock (basal cambrian)

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Shell Quest CCS Project 

Quest CCS Project - Joint Venture among Shell (60%); Chevron (20%); and Marathon (20%)



Quest is a fully integrated CCS Project: capture, transport, inject, store & monitor CO2



Capacity to capture over one million tonnes of CO2 per year or 35% of current emissions



Equivalent of taking 175,000 vehicles off the road



CO2 will be transported by pipeline and stored over 2 kms underground

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Turn Around Activity $50 Million upwards • • • • • •

Suncor Dow Shell Scottford – four turnarounds Agrium Sheritt Keyara- Alberta Envirofuels

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Petrochemical Growth Opportunities • Alberta Petrochemical industry has been growth limited due to shrinking volumes of feedstocks • Increasing volumes of feedstocks are coming on line : – “Vantage” pipeline to North Dakota of 40,000 bpd of ethane – “Off-Gases” potential of 160,000 bpd – Growing liquids rich shale gas deposits in Alberta and NW British Columbia

• Advancement to propylene derivatives • Provide first opportunity in decades to sustain and grow the industry across Alberta. 10/30/2012

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Investment Opportunity Analysis

Derivative Ranking Results 8 7.0

7

6.9 6.1

6 5

7.1

4.9 4.4

5.3

4.3

4

7.0

7.2

7.0

6.6

6.5

6.1

6.3

6.0

5.5 5.1

5.1 4.5 4.1

4.5

4.9

4.6

4.8

4.6

4.1

3 2 1 0

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7.0

23

5.9

Summary • Work with the local Economic Development office for meetings/working relationships • Follow the Major Projects list of Government of Alberta • Work with Garret from AIH (starting Nov. 5) • Attend trade shows such as this and CERI, CAPP

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