Summer Assessment
Summer Assessment 2010 Jay Teixeira Manager Regional Planning ERCOT
Introduction • Planning Process • 2010 Summer Assessment • Overview of Planning and Operation Information (POI) Website
2
Objectives At the completion of this course of instruction you will: • Be familiar with the Planning Process in ERCOT • Know the 2010 Assessment of Transmission Capabilities • Be Able to Navigate around the Planning and Operation Information (POI) Website
3
Definitions
• • • •
RPG – Regional Planning Group, part of the open planning process and includes anyone interested. POI – Planning and Operations Information Website, http://planning.ercot.com/login/login Weather Zones – eight geographic zones within ERCOT with similar weather patterns used for load modeling TPIT – Transmission Project Information and Tracking 4
Data Needed For Planning Studies • Three input components needed for planning studies: • Load • Projections from LSE - ALDR • ERCOT Econometric Load Forecast
• Generation • Current • Additions – Generation Interconnection Process • Subtractions – Notices to Suspend Operations
• Transmission • Existing • Planned Projects – TPIT, RPG Review, Five-Year Transmission Plan 5
Basic Planning Process • Conduct Studies (ERCOT, TSP, MP) – Study combinations of the three inputs – Three categories of studies • Steady state (Reliability and Economic) - All • System Protection - TSP • Dynamic – ERCOT, TSP
• Report Results (All) – Submit to RPG for review as required by Planning Charter
• Endorsements, Recommendations, Acceptance • Certification, Right of Way, and Construction (TSP) 6
Planning Charter Tiers and Review Levels
7
Constraints and Needs Report
8
Generation ERCOT has received interconnection requests for proposed generation having aggregate nameplate capacity over 79,000 MW. Of this capacity, over 20,000 MW is public and is shown on the map to the right. 9
Load Forecast This figure shows the historical peak demand from 1990 through 2009 and the forecasted peak demand through 2014. The historical compound growth rate for the last eight years has been approximately 1.83%. The forecasted growth rate between 2009 and 2014 is 2.21% due to a strong economic recovery reflected in the economic forecast after 2011. The all-time peak demand for ERCOT of 63,534 was recently set this past summer, occurring on July 13, 2009.
10
Reserve Margin Reserve margin is the percentage by which the available generating capacity in a system exceeds the peak demand.
11
ERCOT Weather Zones
12
Coast Weather Zone Projected Constraints
13
East Weather Zone Projected Constraints
14
Far West Weather Zone Projected Constraints
15
North Weather Zone Projected Constraints
16
North Central Weather Zone Projected Constraints
17
South Central Weather Zone Projected Constraints
18
Southern Weather Zone Projected Constraints
19
West Weather Zone Projected Constraints
20
Planning and Operation Information (POI) Site Entry 1
Planning and Operation Information (POI) Site Entry 1
Planning and Operation Information (POI) Site Entry 2
POI Login Page
Register for POI
POI Demonstration
http://planning.ercot.com/login/login
26
Other Posted Information • Public Reports – http://www.ercot.com/news/presentations/
• RMR Information (need digital certificate) – https://tmlretail.ercot.com/ercot/Participants/P ublicMarketInfo/RMR.htm formation
• TCR Information – https://tcr.ercot.com/
27
Summary
• • •
Planning Process in ERCOT 2010 Assessment of Transmission Capabilities Planning and Operation Information Website
28
References
•
Report on Existing and Potential Electric System Constraints and Needs, December, 2009 posted on http://www.ercot.com/news/presentations/
29
Anonymous Questions for the Presenter
1. Stated learning objectives were effectively met A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree
31
2. The materials were accurate and relevant and contributed to the achievement of the learning objectives A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree 32
3. The method of instruction was appropriate for the subject matter presented A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree
33
4. The time allotted to the learning activity was appropriate A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree
34
5. The instructor was effective A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree
35
OTS 2010 Wrap-Up
The Breakfasts provided were… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Not Enough Variety
37
Lunch on Tuesday was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Don’t serve that again!
38
Lunch on Wednesday was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Don’t serve that again!
39
The Hotel and Conference Facility was… A. Excellent- Have it here again! B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor- Don’t have it here again!
40
Your experience with the iClickers was… A. Excellent- Use them again! B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor- Don’t use them again!
41
Your experience registering for the seminar was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Next year offer online registration and credit card payments
42
Your experience with the staff at the registration desk was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor
43
Your experience with the coordinator, Lindley Ellisor was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor
44
The Seminar was Overall… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor
45
Questions or Concerns? [email protected]
Twenty-Sixth Annual ERCOT Region Operations Training Seminar Thank you for Attending! 47
Introduction • Planning Process • 2010 Summer Assessment • Overview of Planning and Operation Information (POI) Website
2
Objectives At the completion of this course of instruction you will: • Be familiar with the Planning Process in ERCOT • Know the 2010 Assessment of Transmission Capabilities • Be Able to Navigate around the Planning and Operation Information (POI) Website
3
Definitions
• • • •
RPG – Regional Planning Group, part of the open planning process and includes anyone interested. POI – Planning and Operations Information Website, http://planning.ercot.com/login/login Weather Zones – eight geographic zones within ERCOT with similar weather patterns used for load modeling TPIT – Transmission Project Information and Tracking 4
Data Needed For Planning Studies • Three input components needed for planning studies: • Load • Projections from LSE - ALDR • ERCOT Econometric Load Forecast
• Generation • Current • Additions – Generation Interconnection Process • Subtractions – Notices to Suspend Operations
• Transmission • Existing • Planned Projects – TPIT, RPG Review, Five-Year Transmission Plan 5
Basic Planning Process • Conduct Studies (ERCOT, TSP, MP) – Study combinations of the three inputs – Three categories of studies • Steady state (Reliability and Economic) - All • System Protection - TSP • Dynamic – ERCOT, TSP
• Report Results (All) – Submit to RPG for review as required by Planning Charter
• Endorsements, Recommendations, Acceptance • Certification, Right of Way, and Construction (TSP) 6
Planning Charter Tiers and Review Levels
7
Constraints and Needs Report
8
Generation ERCOT has received interconnection requests for proposed generation having aggregate nameplate capacity over 79,000 MW. Of this capacity, over 20,000 MW is public and is shown on the map to the right. 9
Load Forecast This figure shows the historical peak demand from 1990 through 2009 and the forecasted peak demand through 2014. The historical compound growth rate for the last eight years has been approximately 1.83%. The forecasted growth rate between 2009 and 2014 is 2.21% due to a strong economic recovery reflected in the economic forecast after 2011. The all-time peak demand for ERCOT of 63,534 was recently set this past summer, occurring on July 13, 2009.
10
Reserve Margin Reserve margin is the percentage by which the available generating capacity in a system exceeds the peak demand.
11
ERCOT Weather Zones
12
Coast Weather Zone Projected Constraints
13
East Weather Zone Projected Constraints
14
Far West Weather Zone Projected Constraints
15
North Weather Zone Projected Constraints
16
North Central Weather Zone Projected Constraints
17
South Central Weather Zone Projected Constraints
18
Southern Weather Zone Projected Constraints
19
West Weather Zone Projected Constraints
20
Planning and Operation Information (POI) Site Entry 1
Planning and Operation Information (POI) Site Entry 1
Planning and Operation Information (POI) Site Entry 2
POI Login Page
Register for POI
POI Demonstration
http://planning.ercot.com/login/login
26
Other Posted Information • Public Reports – http://www.ercot.com/news/presentations/
• RMR Information (need digital certificate) – https://tmlretail.ercot.com/ercot/Participants/P ublicMarketInfo/RMR.htm formation
• TCR Information – https://tcr.ercot.com/
27
Summary
• • •
Planning Process in ERCOT 2010 Assessment of Transmission Capabilities Planning and Operation Information Website
28
References
•
Report on Existing and Potential Electric System Constraints and Needs, December, 2009 posted on http://www.ercot.com/news/presentations/
29
Anonymous Questions for the Presenter
1. Stated learning objectives were effectively met A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree
31
2. The materials were accurate and relevant and contributed to the achievement of the learning objectives A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree 32
3. The method of instruction was appropriate for the subject matter presented A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree
33
4. The time allotted to the learning activity was appropriate A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree
34
5. The instructor was effective A. Strongly Agree B. Agree C. Neutral D. Disagree E. Strongly Disagree
35
OTS 2010 Wrap-Up
The Breakfasts provided were… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Not Enough Variety
37
Lunch on Tuesday was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Don’t serve that again!
38
Lunch on Wednesday was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Don’t serve that again!
39
The Hotel and Conference Facility was… A. Excellent- Have it here again! B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor- Don’t have it here again!
40
Your experience with the iClickers was… A. Excellent- Use them again! B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor- Don’t use them again!
41
Your experience registering for the seminar was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Next year offer online registration and credit card payments
42
Your experience with the staff at the registration desk was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor
43
Your experience with the coordinator, Lindley Ellisor was… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor
44
The Seminar was Overall… A. Excellent B. Above Average C. Average D. Below Average E. Poor
45
Questions or Concerns? [email protected]
Twenty-Sixth Annual ERCOT Region Operations Training Seminar Thank you for Attending! 47
