Transit Development Plan Update Fiscal Years 2017-2026
Department of Environmental Services -Transit Bureau Fall 2015
Agenda • About the Transit Development Plan (TDP) • What we learned from our initial analysis – County-wide – Columbia Pike – Crystal City-Pentagon City
• Considerations as we develop recommendations • Next steps 2
Timeline
Complete
Here we are today In Progress
Upcoming
Your input is needed: • Do you agree with our findings? • What improvement strategies would you like to see?
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About the Transit Development Plan (TDP)
TDP Purpose • Re-examine bus needs and prioritize service and capital improvements • Develop ‘cost affordable’ 10-year plan for new services and supporting capital improvements
• Ensure eligibility for State funding – Required by Virginia Department of Rail and Public Transportation (largest funding partner for capital and operating support)
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TDP Elements
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Columbia Pike/Pentagon City/Crystal City Analysis
• Determine transit solutions to replace streetcar service and enhance capacity in the near-term (next 10 years) • Address wide range of service and capital alternatives – – – –
Routes: Alignment, schedule, service hours, new connections Service types: Circulators, limited stop services, shuttles Vehicle configurations: Longer buses Capital improvements: • • • •
Off-board fare collection Transit signal priority / queue jumps Real-time arrival information displays Lane repurposing
• Address operating responsibility 7
Initial Findings: County-wide Service
County-wide Service Analysis Analyzed Metrobus and ART Services:
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FY 2015 Ridership Ridership Growth FY 2011 - 2015 18,000 16,000
Ridership (in thousands)
14,000 12,000 10,000
14,129
13,721
13,850
13,741
2,251
2,533
2,645
2,828
2,810
FY 2011
FY 2012
FY 2013
FY 2014
FY 2015
13,636 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000
0
ART
Metrobus
Arlington County Trend
16.5 million passenger trips carried on Arlington bus services • Metrobus: 13,741,363 passenger trips (83%) • ART: 2,810,452 passenger trips (17%) Ridership increased 4% since FY 2011 • Metrobus: slight increase • ART: 25% increase
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Cost Effectiveness Trends – Five Years ART
Metrobus
Cost per Passenger Trip: 11% increase
Cost per Passenger Trip: 18% increase
$4.67 average cost per passenger on transit within Arlington County 16% increase from FY 2011 Cost per Passenger $6.00
Average Cost per Passenger
$5.00
$4.36 $4.03
$4.67
$4.16 $4.01
$4.00
$3.00
$4.24
$2.00 $2.78
$4.23 $2.84
$4.99
$4.72
$4.42
$3.08
$2.78
$2.62
$1.00
$0.00 FY 2011
FY 2012 ART
FY 2013 Metrobus
FY 2014
FY 2015
Arlington County Average
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Identifying Service Gaps Two steps were undertaken to identify service and connection gaps Step #1 Market Analysis
Review against existing service frequency and location
Determine locational gaps in service
Used Census and American Community Service data to develop maps showing where transit is most viable
Step #2 Travel Flow Analysis
Review against existing service connections
Used the Regional Travel Demand Model, bus transfer data and survey results to develop origin-destination maps identifying major flows between areas and activity centers.
Determine gaps in service connections
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County-wide Issues - Summary • ART service has expanded over the past 5 years, with ridership up by 25% • Some communities may need more transit service • More frequent and direct connections are needed between several neighborhoods and popular destinations • Some routes do not meet productivity standards • Accessibility improvements are needed on additional routes 13
Survey Responses Preference
Yes
Willing to transfer for more frequent service
60%
Willing to walk farther to bus stop if bus would come more often rather than shorter walk with longer wait
50%
Comfortable with 10 minute headways and no schedule
91%
More willing to ride bus if it came more often
46%
Service to areas in Arlington
Service to areas outside Arlington
Top 5 • Clarendon • Ballston • Rosslyn • Shirlington • Columbia Pike
Top 2 • DC • Alexandria 14
Initial Findings: Columbia Pike Corridor Service
Columbia Pike Vision • Revitalize town centers and neighborhood centers • Create a pedestrian friendly “main street” served by highquality transit • Preserve the Pike’s character, diversity and affordability • Invest in infrastructure for a more vibrant, sustainable community • Manage growth
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Evolving Columbia Pike Significant population and employment growth is forecast – Higher rate of population growth projected over next 10 years compared to County • Columbia Pike corridor: 21% growth • County-wide: 11% growth
– Employment growth will occur over a longer time period • More growth observed between 2025 and 2030
+
+
+
Columbia Pike corridor population projected in 2025
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Columbia Pike Travel Patterns Highest ridership corridor in Arlington and the Commonwealth • 17,000 passengers/weekday
Highest amount of bus service in Arlington • Bus every 2-3 minutes during peak periods
Top destination for trips from Columbia Pike
Top origin for trips to Columbia Pike
Main destinations (% of daily trips): • Pentagon (39%) • Pentagon City (25%) • DC (12%) • Rosslyn/Ballston destinations (24%)
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Columbia Pike Survey Responses Preference
% of Respondents
More frequent service
41%
More evening and weekend service
39%
Better transit information
23%
Faster boarding
21%
Service to areas in Arlington
Top 5 • Clarendon • Rosslyn • Ballston • Crystal City • Shirlington
Service to areas outside Arlington
Top • DC 19
Columbia Pike Issues – Summary • Many Columbia Pike buses are at or near capacity during weekday peak periods – High population growth forecast on corridor over next 10 years (21% increase) will increase demands • ‘Bus bunching’ delays at several stops – Columbia Pike Transit Stations Project will consolidate stops and provide longer bus stop platforms – Other delay factors, including fare payment and intersection delays, not currently being addressed
• Demand for enhanced connections, including – Crystal City – Rosslyn-Ballston corridor 20
Initial Findings: Crystal City-Pentagon City Service
Crystal City Sector Plan • Projects dedicated to improving mobility and access for residents and workers in Crystal City • Existing system of disconnected highwaystyle one-way streets is being converted into multimodal two-way streets and connected at grade level and enhance: Pedestrian and bicyclist mobility and safety Transit access and routing Streetscapes, with modern lighting, new textures and styles, and new stormwater features
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Land Use (2015-2025) Significant population and employment growth for Crystal City and Pentagon City – Higher rate of population and employment growth projected over next 10 years compared to County Population - 2025
County 10-year population growth forecast – 11%
Employment - 2025
County 10-year employment growth forecast – 11%
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Crystal City-Pentagon City Bus Service Overview
• 4 ART routes –
2 routes (ART 43 & 92) serve Crystal City
–
2 routes (ART 74 & 84) serve Pentagon City
• 15 Metrobus routes –
Columbia Pike with Pentagon City (16G&K)
–
Columbia Pike with Pentagon City and Crystal City (16H)
–
Crystal City with City of Alexandria (Metroway, 9A, 10A,E,R&S)
–
Crystal City with Shirlington, Glebe Road, Ballston, McLean and Tysons Corner (23 A&B)
• Public and private commuter routes/shuttles 24
Crystal City-Pentagon City Survey Responses
Preference
% of Respondents
More frequent service
34%
More evening and weekend service
37%
Better transit information
22%
Faster boarding
14%
Service to areas in Arlington
Top 2 • Columbia Pike • Ballston Only 18% requested service to other areas in Arlington
Service to areas outside Arlington
Top 2 • DC • Old Town Alexandria 25
Crystal City-Pentagon City Issues – Summary • Transit service needs to match demands – Intense development, population/employment growth
• Desire for enhanced/expanded connections – Rosslyn-Ballston corridor – Columbia Pike
• Need to address low performing service – ART 92
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Considerations for Developing TDP Recommendations
Considerations • Securing property for bus parking, maintenance facility is most pressing need – Essential to support existing and expanded ART service – Potential use of longer buses would affect parking, facility requirements
• Wide differential in WMATA and ART operating costs* – – – –
WMATA cost: $162/hr for regional service, $116/hr for non-regional service ART cost: $77/hr WMATA operates 80% of County service Increased ART service would result in additional costs for administration, buses, facilities and equipment
• Challenges developing solutions to travel time issues – State requires Arlington to maintain four general purpose travel lanes on the Pike – Need to coordinate transit signal priority, off-vehicle fare payment technologies with WMATA * Costs are based upon FY2016 budgets and are preliminary
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Next Steps
Your input is needed today: Do you agree with our findings? What improvement strategies would you like to see? How? Let's go to the Boards!