The Absence of Consensus
February 8, 2016
The Absence of Consensus
The latest missile test this weekend (February 7) indicates DPRK fluency with longrange missile launch technology -- they know how to put a payload into orbit. Unclear is whether they can accurately guide a warhead back through the atmosphere to a target thousands of miles away.
The growing absence of consensus between the United States and China/Russia is evident in the protracted length of time it takes to obtain a UN Security Council resolution after a North Korean nuclear test or long-range missile launch.
During the Bush Administration, the average amount of time for a UNSCR to pass after a DPRK nuclear weapons test or missile launch was 7.5 days.
During the Obama administration, the average number of days between a UNSCR and DPRK provocation is 27 days.
The chart below, from CSIS's database of North Korean provocations, details this observation. It has been 33 days since the January 6 nuclear test with no UNSCR yet from the UNSC. DPRK Provocations and UNSCRs since 2006
February 8, 2016
CSIS OFFICE OF THE KOREA CHAIR PUBLICATION SERIES FEATURED IN
Korea Chair Snapshot is a product by the CSIS Korea Chair providing key takeaways from breaking events of the day. Korea Chair Snapshot is published by the Office of the Korea Chair (http://www.csis.org/ program/korea-chair) at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a private, tax-exempt institution focusing on international public policy issues. Its research is nonpartisan and nonproprietary. CSIS does not take specific policy positions. Accordingly, all views, positions, and conclusions expressed in this publication should be understood to be solely those of the author(s).
The Absence of Consensus
The latest missile test this weekend (February 7) indicates DPRK fluency with longrange missile launch technology -- they know how to put a payload into orbit. Unclear is whether they can accurately guide a warhead back through the atmosphere to a target thousands of miles away.
The growing absence of consensus between the United States and China/Russia is evident in the protracted length of time it takes to obtain a UN Security Council resolution after a North Korean nuclear test or long-range missile launch.
During the Bush Administration, the average amount of time for a UNSCR to pass after a DPRK nuclear weapons test or missile launch was 7.5 days.
During the Obama administration, the average number of days between a UNSCR and DPRK provocation is 27 days.
The chart below, from CSIS's database of North Korean provocations, details this observation. It has been 33 days since the January 6 nuclear test with no UNSCR yet from the UNSC. DPRK Provocations and UNSCRs since 2006
February 8, 2016
CSIS OFFICE OF THE KOREA CHAIR PUBLICATION SERIES FEATURED IN
Korea Chair Snapshot is a product by the CSIS Korea Chair providing key takeaways from breaking events of the day. Korea Chair Snapshot is published by the Office of the Korea Chair (http://www.csis.org/ program/korea-chair) at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a private, tax-exempt institution focusing on international public policy issues. Its research is nonpartisan and nonproprietary. CSIS does not take specific policy positions. Accordingly, all views, positions, and conclusions expressed in this publication should be understood to be solely those of the author(s).
