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THE CRUISE REVIEW PUBLISHED MARCH 2014

CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3 MORE GROWTH FOR UK MARKET 4 BRITS CHANGE THEIR CRUISE HABITS 6 MILLION CRUISE FROM UK PORTS IN 2013 8 CRUISE CONTINUES TO PROVIDE GREAT VALUE 10 CRUISE DEVOTEES REMAIN LOYAL 12 PASSENGERS LEAVE IT LATE 13 DESTINATIONS AND VALUE STILL THE GREAT CRUISE PERSUADERS 14 CRUISING POPULARITY GOES SOUTH 15 BUMPER YEAR FOR EUROPEAN RIVERS 16

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2013 UK CRUISE MARKET

UK cruise market still growing and retains its position as No.1 in Europe The Mediterranean remains the go-to destination although Northern Europe looks set to become the top choice for cruising Brits European river cruising reinvents itself as passenger numbers soar 22% Cruises from UK ports set to overtake fly-cruises Overseas cruise passengers flock to UK in record numbers Air Passenger Duty continues to dampen Caribbean fly-cruise holidays but this may change following the reform of APD Destinations and value still the keys to higher cruise sales

2

3

MORE GROWTH FOR UK MARKET

The UK cruise market is on the march again. After a decade of growth came to a virtual standstill in 2012, there was a significant increase of 25,000 passengers in 2013. This ensured that the UK held off the challenge of Germany to remain the largest cruise market in Europe and the second largest in the world (after North America). This was achieved despite another tough trading year with consumer confidence and discretionary spending still not back to pre-recession levels. As a result, little extra cruise capacity was put on sale in the UK.

This is a situation that continues into 2014 but 2015 will be a completely different story with the arrival of the new P&O Cruises’ ship, Britannia, and Royal Caribbean International’s new Anthem of the Seas, both sailing out of Southampton. Britannia launches in March and Anthem of the Seas, one of the company’s new Quantum-class ships, will arrive in May for the summer and autumn. Princess Cruises’ Royal Princess also makes a return to Southampton after its naming ceremony there last year, offering cruises in the spring and summer.

These deployments are a reflection of the industry’s renewed confidence in the UK and should ensure the sector increases its share of the UK holiday market. This appeared to have dropped in 2013 as although passenger numbers grew 1.5%, early estimates were for a 4% increase in foreign holidays and 6% in package holidays.

1 UK Ocean Cruise Market

However, cruising has still trebled its share of the package holiday sector and more than doubled that of the whole foreign holidays market since 2001.

Year

Passengers (000s)

% change

2004

1,029

6.7

2005

1,071

4.1

2006

1,204

12.4

2007

1,335

10.9

2008

1,477

10.5

2009

1,533

3.8

2010

1,622

5.8

2011

1,700

4.8

2012

1,701

0.1

2013

1,726

1.5

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

2 Ocean Cruising’s Share of Foreign Holidays Market From The UK

Year 2001 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Foreign Holidays (000s)

Foreign Inclusive Holidays/tours (000s)

Ocean Cruise Holidays** (000s)

Ocean Cruises’ share of inclusive foreign holidays

Ocean cruises’ share of all foreign holidays

38,670 38,492 36,442 36,819 36,173 37,607*

20,631 14,507 14,257 14,740 14,470 15,331*

776 1,533 1,622 1,700 1,701 1,726

3.8% 10.6% 11.2% 11.5% 11.8% 11.3*

2.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.6% 4.7% 4.6*

* Estimated ** Includes Republic of Ireland Source: IRN Research; International Passenger Survey Crown Copyright 2014

4

5

BRITS CHANGE THEIR CRUISE HABITS

As the UK cruise market has continued to grow, there have also been some major changes not just in where the British choose to cruise but also in how they cruise.

ten years. And this means it has overtaken the Mediterranean for the first time as the favourite destination for those passengers beginning their cruise from a British port.

Just 13 years ago in 2001, fewer than one in eight UK passengers were cruising within Northern Europe. That meant less than 100,000 people, a number that increased more than fivefold by 2013 when nearly one in every three passengers was cruising to Norway, the Baltic, around Britain or along the North and Western coasts of Continental Europe.

There was a 20% increase in cruise passengers to Northern Europe in 2013 while numbers for the Mediterranean fell 8%. A similar result in 2014 would see Northern Europe overtake the Mediterranean as the top cruise destination for UK passengers for the first time since the Brits invented cruising two centuries ago. And that is despite the number of passengers to the Mediterranean doubling since 2001.

For Norway alone, the number of cruise passengers joining their ship at a UK port has increased from 37,000 to 218,000 in

The Caribbean has not fared quite so well with a 3% decline in 2013 meaning that passenger numbers, having peaked in the

3 Destinations Booked by UK Passengers (000s) 2001

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

% change 13/12

Mediterranean

334

592

697

767

698

643

(8)

Northern Europe

98

296

303

342

443

531

146

275

272

While the Northern European boom can be attributed, in part, to the cruise lines’ need to reduce sailing distances and speeds to conserve fuel and minimise costs, the tailing off in Caribbean cruise numbers is down to a big shift towards cruising from UK ports at the expense of fly-cruise sales. Only a third of UK passengers began their cruise holiday at a British port in 2007, by 2013 it was just short of half and either this year or in 2015, they are expected to be in the majority. This has been driven by the deployment of more ships to existing and emerging cruise homeports around the UK coastline.

From the cruise consumer point of view, there is no doubt that the Air Passenger Duty (APD) and the impact of higher fuel costs on the rest of the flight fare has put Caribbean fly-cruise prices out of the reach of some. There were nearly 100,000 fewer Caribbean fly-cruises taken in 2013 compared with 2009. However, the Government announcement that APD is being reformed may change this, as from April 2015 all long haul flights will carry the same APD cost. This means that passengers flying to the Caribbean will pay the same APD as if they were flying to the US.

4 UK Port Cruises Vs Fly Cruises

Destination

Caribbean

late 2000s, have now only grown 25% since 2001 despite the corresponding 123% increase in the UK market.

238

189

183

Year

Passengers (000s)

% growth

UK Port Passengers (000s)

% share

Fly Cruise Passengers (000s)

% share

20

2007

1,335,000

11.3

467,000

35.0

867,000

65

(3)

2008

1,477,000

10.2

557,000

37.7

920,000

62.3

1,533,000

3.8

594,000

38.8

939,000

61.2

Atlantic Islands

77

102

98

116

145

161

11

2009

Other Areas

121

268

252

237

226

208

8

2010

1,622,000

5.8

653,000

40.3

968,000

59.7

Total

776

1,533

1,622

1,700

1,701

1,726

1

2011

1,700,000

4.8

729,000

42.9

971,000

57.1

2012

1,701,000

0.3

807,000

47.4

894,000

52.6

2013

1,726,000

1.5

844,000

49.0

882,000

51.0

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

6

7

MILLION CRUISE FROM UK PORTS IN 2013

The fast-growing popularity of cruising close to the UK has not been confined to British passengers. In 2013, a bumper 41% increase in overseas passengers flying in to embark on cruises from the UK meant that their number had almost doubled in six years. It also meant that - for the first time in a single year – more than a million passengers (UK and overseas) embarked on cruises from UK ports.

Also, passengers calling at UK ports during a cruise grew 20% in 2013 so that their number had more than doubled over the same six-year period. This total is also on course to reach a million within a couple of years. The number of different British ports benefiting from cruise calls also topped 50 for the second year running.

5 Embarkations at UK Ports (000s) Year

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Total Embarkations

591

714

733

833

878

962

1062

% Increase

3

21

3

14

5

10

10

UK Passengers

460

557

594

653

729

807

844

Overseas passengers

124

157

139

180

149

155

218

% share of overseas

21

22

19

22

17

16

21

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

6 Port of Call Passengers at UK Ports (000s) Year

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Passengers

365 (4) 46

420 15 38

448 7 43

563 26 47

651 16 50

723 11 52

866 20 51

% change Ports Visited

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

8

9

CRUISING CONTINUES TO PROVIDE GREAT VALUE

With average cruise durations varying year-onyear, the most accurate price comparison for cruise holidays are the daily rates and these show that cruises cost an average £134 per day in 2013, £6 more than in 2012. However, in 2013 the average price paid for a cruise dropped by £12 and that for a summer cruise by £26 to £1,287 with an increase in shorter cruises contributing to the fall in prices. Even better news for consumers was that one in every two cruises sold in 2013 cost less than £1,000. There was strong demand for longer winter cruises and the ultra-luxury cruise companies had another good year attracting more than 27,000 guests.

7 Price (£) Trends In UK Cruise Market

8 Average Revenue (£) per UK Passenger Year

Summer

Winter

Year

2007

1270

1480

1334

2008

1313

1647

1409

2009

1238

1532

1330

2010

1323

1629

1421

2011

1331

1729

1434

2012

1313

1573

1388

2013

1287

1602

1376

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

9 UK Market Cruise Per Diems Year

£

2005

£132

2006

£130

2007

£137

2008

£135

2009

£120

2010

£130

2011

£132

2012

£128

2013

£134

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

Year

% 500

% 5011,000

% 1,001 1,500

% 2,501 5,000

% 5,000+

10 Ultra-Luxury Cruise Passengers

2004

15

25

24

24

9

3

2005

15

27

26

23

6

1

Year

Summer

Winter

Total

% of all cruises

2006

13

21

22

29

12

2

2007

13816

7552

21368

1.6

2007

12

26

25

27

8

2

2008

13238

6427

19665

1.3

2008

11

24

23

28

11

2

2009

14710

7960

22670

1.5

2009

12

24

21

26

13

2

2010

16125

7899

24024

1.5

2010

14

26

21

27

12

2

2011

15371

10498

25869

1.5

2011

15

27

22

24

11

2

2012

20057

8393

28450

1.7

2012

13

34

24

21

6

2

2013

18780

8260

27040

1.6

2013

16

33

22

21

7

2

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland Included Crystal, Compagnie du Ponant, Hapag-Lloyd, Hebridean, Regent, Seabourn, Seadream, Silversea

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

10

% 1,501 2,500

11

CRUISE DEVOTEES REMAIN LOYAL

PASSENGERS LEAVE IT LATE

Cruising has maintained one of the highest satisfaction levels in leisure travel and this continues to drive an equally high level of repeat business – and not just from year to year. In 2013, for the second consecutive year, more passengers took multiple cruises than took just the one cruise.

This trend in repeat customers means that the majority of passengers at sea at any one time have cruised before and this has been reflected in the average age of passengers being 57 years in 2013. The percentage of first-time cruisers has been volatile in the recent recessionary years as cruise companies have marketed even more strongly to their pastpassengers.

The ratio of first-timers fell by four percentage points and as they are generally younger than the average repeat cruise passenger, this also contributed to the increase in the average age.

The percentage of 2013 cruises booked within three months of departure was the highest for 10 years but this reflected, to some extent, the market situation in 2012 when economic indicators had not yet started to improve. This affected the early booking market for 2013 cruises to the extent that the ratio of cruises booked more than nine months in advance (23%) was the lowest for 10 years. This led to more late sales in 2013 despite the slow economic improvement in the UK economy as the year progressed.

11 UK Cruise Market Age Analysis % passengers Year

Up to 26

26-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Average Age

2004

9

5

10

19

26

32

54.2

2005

10

5

9

18

25

33

53.5

2006

8

5

11

21

27

27

52.5

2007

8

4

9

19

27

31

53.2

2008

8

4

8

18

27

33

53.7

2009

7

4

8

18

28

35

55.6

2010

9

4

9

19

27

33

54.8

2011

9

4

9

19

26

35

55.6

2012

8

4

7

18

27

37

56.1

2013

7

4

7

17

26

40

57.0

% of bookings (no. of months)

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

12 First Time Cruisers as % of UK Market

14 UK Cruise Market - Trends in Booking Lead Times

13 UK Passengers Booking Multiple Cruises Annually

Year

%

2007

38

Year

1

2

3

4

5

6+

2008

32

2009

38

35

15

5

2

4

2009

29

2010

43

33

12

5

3

6

2010

33

2011

58

27

9

2

1

1

2011

40

2012

46

30

14

4

2

2

2012

36

2013

45

33

12

4

2

1

2013

32

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

Cruises taken in last year (%)

Year

12+

9 - 12

6-9

3-6

0-3

2002

7

13

17

22

36

2003

8

12

14

24

41

2004

11

15

18

23

33

2005

17

17

18

22

22

2006

15

18

18

24

27

2007

18

17

18

23

24

2008

18

17

18

22

26

2009

25

19

17

22

17

2010

16

16

18

22

28

2011

15

15

17

20

34

2012

13

12

17

23

36

2013

11

12

16

21

40

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

12

13

DESTINATIONS AND VALUE STILL THE GREAT CRUISE PERSUADERS

Destination remains the number one reason given when choosing a cruise holiday. Price and perceived value for money follow as the reasons most choose when deciding on their last cruise holiday. In times of economic stress, it is no surprise to see that the biggest changes over the last three years are the way that more

CRUISING POPULARITY GOES SOUTH

all-inclusive pricing and other special offers have taken on even greater importance. The other significant development mirrors that sea-change in favour of cruising from a British port and away from fly-cruises in that flight availability from local airports is considered increasingly less important.

17 Cruise Passengers as % by Region of Residence

15 UK Passengers - Reasons* For Choosing To Take A Cruise Holiday Reasons

2011 %

2012 %

2013 %

Itinerary/Destinations

69

70

71

Region

2006

2013

UK pop %

Cruised with this line before

64

55

56

South East

14

23

14

Departure Date

31

38

38

North West

16

13

11

Duration

22

24

23

South West

10

12

8

Flights from local airport

22

13

12

Scotland

11

6

9

No flight

21

25

25

Yorkshire & Humberside

8

8

8

To try another cruise line

9

17

16

West Midlands

8

8

9

To try another ship

10

9

10

East Midlands

7

8

7

Personal recommendation

9

6

8

East of England

5

6

9

Travel agent recommendation

4

5

3

North East

6

5

4

Recommendation on web review/blog

4

2

3

London

7

4

13

Wales

5

4

5

Northern Ireland

3

1

3

* Asked to select three principal reasons. Source: UK Cruise Survey 2013 (IRN Research)

Source: IRN Research for CLIA UK & Ireland

16 UK Passengers - Reasons* For Choosing Their Last Cruise Reasons

14

South East England has become the clear leading region for the sourcing of cruise passengers but – if London is included – its 27% share is actually the same as its 27% cut of the UK population, leaving the South West as the real stand-out performer with a passenger ratio significantly ahead of its population share.

2011 %

2012 %

2013 %

Price/value for money

67

62

66

Special Offer

17

24

21

Service on-board

29

24

23

On-board atmosphere/service

26

24

22

Dining

26

23

24

Facilities on board

25

21

23

Special Occasion

20

18

16

Loyalty membership benefits

13

18

15

All-inclusive nature of package

19

17

19

Entertainment

16

15

15

Cabins and public rooms

15

13

17

All-inclusive drinks package

11

7

11

Cruise themes

5

5

5

Pre-post land stays

3

4

5

Maiden Voyage

1

1

1

* Asked to select three principal reasons Source: UK Cruise Survey 2013 (IRN Research)

15

BUMPER YEAR FOR EUROPEAN RIVERS

The continued investment in new river cruise ships has led to a 22% increase in the number of UK passengers taking a European river holiday in 2013, a rise of nearly 50% since 2010. European river cruising is in the process of a major product re-invention and this is reflected by UK travel agents reporting a surge in demand for river cruises. In just the last two years (2012-13), 27 new ships have been introduced on Europe’s rivers and 24 more are due during 2014. The previous generation of river cruise ships were small with few if any cabins with balconies. Dining was limited to one venue and fixed times while entertainment options were limited. This has changed radically with the new generation of ships.

16

A third of European river cruise ships have been built within the last ten years - a quarter within the last five. These are larger than their predecessors with some having a new-style twin-deck design. They also offer the kind of multiple dining venues, spa facilities and range of cabins with balconies which have already combined to transform the ocean cruising. Another key change is that most river cruise brands have now moved towards a more comprehensive and easier-to-understand all-inclusive pricing model. The overall size of the UK river cruising market is still being masked by Egypt’s ongoing political problems which have had a devastating impact on the country’s tourism and Nile river holidays. This has resulted in the number of UK passengers taking Nile cruises dropping 50% in 2013 and by 80% since 2010.

18 UK River Cruise Market (000s) European Destinations

2010

2011

2012

2013

% change 2012/13

Rhine/Moselle/tributaries

23.6

20.0

26.9

35.5

32

Danube

12.5

12.9

15.0

17.3

15

Rhine/Danube

4.1

8.3

4.6

5.1

11

Rhone/Seine

8.0

10.1

10.2

14.1

38

Russian

4.4

4.9

5.2

6.4

23

Italian (Po)

2.0

2.9

3.0

3.1

3

Elbe

2.5

2.2

2.4

3.6

50

Douro

8.7

9.4

9.3

10.7

15

Other European

9.1

9.6

13.4

14.2

6

Total European

74.9

80.3

90.0

109.9

22

Non European Destinations

2010

2011

2012

2013

% change

Nile

58.0

25.2

28.3

12.2

(57)

Far East/China

4.7

5.0

6.9

4.3

(38)

Other non-European

4.6

3.3

4.6

5.2

13

Total non-European

67.3

33.5

39.8

21.7

(45)

17

Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA) is the world’s largest cruise industry trade association with representation in North and South America, Europe, Asia and Australasia. CLIA represents the interests of cruise lines, travel agents, port authorities and destinations, and various industry business partners before regulatory and legislatory policy makers.

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