Transportation 2040 Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
1
Transportation 2040 Toward a Sustainable Transportation System Sultan Planning Board February 1, 2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
2
PSRC - Who We Represent Our Region • 4 Counties • 82 Cities and Towns • Urban & Rural
Our Members • Cities, Counties, Ports, and Transit • State Agencies and Tribal Governments
1
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
3
Our Mission To play a key regional role in keeping central Puget Sound thriving as we grow
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
4
Transportation 2040 Adopted May 20, 2010 • Addresses major transportation system issues and informs nearterm project decisions • Aligns with VISION 2040 and the Regional Economic Strategy • Responds to the 2040 growth forecasts for person and freight travel demand
2
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
5
The Region is Growing In spite of the current recession we anticipate the region will continue to grow and change. • Population: 3.5 million (2006) to 5.0 million (2040) • More seniors: population over 65 will double by 2040 • More diverse and higher demand for special needs transportation
• 43% Population Growth • 60% Employment Growth
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
6
Plan Investment Structure
3
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
7
Sultan
Transportation 2040
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
8
SR 9 US 2 SR 520
SR 522
Bus Rapid Transit
4
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
9
LINK to Everett
LINK to Redmond
Light Rail
LINK to Tacoma
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
10
Strategic Investments
Commuter Rail
Sounder Improvements: Everett to Lakewood
BNSF Corridor: Renton to Snohomish
5
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
11
Strategic Investments
SR 520
I-405
Rail/Bus (to be determined)
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
12
SR 9 I-5 US 2
I-405
SR 522
State Highways
6
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
13
Strategic Investments Evergreen Way
Airport Rd.
Avondale Rd.
Arterial Novelty Hill Rd.
WoodinvilleDuvall Rd.
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
BNSF Corridor Trail
14
SR 522 Trail
Centennial Trail US 2 Trail
Bicycle/Pedestrian Snoqualmie Valley Trail
7
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
15
Strategic investments near Sultan Bus Rapid Transit on US 2, SR 522, SR 9
BNSF Corridor: Renton to Snohomish
100% increase in local bus service
US 2
Centennial Trail
Centennial Trail SR 522
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
16
TDM in T-2040 – Constrained Element Transportation Options: Carshare and bikeshare outreach and incentive programs in centers (supply-side and demand-side)
Vanpool Expansion: 151% increase over 2006 levels = 4,301 daily vanpools in operation Comparison of Baseline Vanpool Growth to Transportation 2040 Vanpool Growth 4,500
T-2040: 4,300 vanpools in operation 40,000 daily riders
4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500
55% increase over baseline
1,000 500 0 2000
2010
2020 Baseline
2030 T2040
2040
16
8
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
17
Reducing Delay For All Forms of Travel Transportation 2040 reduces freeway and arterial delay for transit, freight and general travel. Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled, Hours Traveled, and Delay Vehicle Miles Traveled
Vehicle Hours Traveled
Freeway Delay Hours
Arterial Delay Hours
Percent Change from 2040 Baseline
0% -10%
• VMT and VHT reduced
-20% -30% -40% -50%
• Roadway speeds and delay improve dramatically
Range of Benefits Full Plan
• Increasing choices for travel
Constrained Plan
-60% -70% -80%
The Plan includes some actions and would have some effects not quantified in the analysis findings
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
18
Supports Regional Growth Strategy Improves access to our regional centers by reducing travel time and improving reliability (reducing the cost of travel). Average Per Trip Benefits for all Trips Originating within Area (Change from 2040 Baseline in dollars per trip) $3.50
Range of Benefits Full Plan
$3.00 Constrained Plan
$2.50
• 97% of growth in Urban Growth Area
$2.00 $1.50
• Supports centers growth: an additional 173,000 people and 475,000 jobs in regional centers
$1.00 $0.50 $Regional Growth Centers Regional
Regional Growth Growth Centers
Region
Region Region
9
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
19
Benefits to Economic Centers Travel time and reliability is improved to the region’s economic centers. Average Per Trip Benefits All Trips Originating in Zones with High Concentrations of Sector Employment (Change from 2040 Baseline in dollars per trip) $3.00
• Benefits to centers
Full Plan
$2.50
Constrained Plan
$2.00 $1.50
• Significant benefits to freight users – over $2 billion travel cost savings per year by 2040 • High per trip benefit to areas with identified industry clusters
$1.00 $0.50 $Cluster
Freight
High Wage
Region
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
20
Sustainable Funding for Transportation The plan includes a Sustainable Funding Strategy: Transportation 2040 Financial Plan (Revenues by source in billions of 2008 dollars) $200 $190
New funding: $65 B
$175 $150
Tolls
HOT Lanes, Facility, and Network Toll Revenues (18%) * New Fuel Taxes, State Fees, and Fuel Tax Replacements (3%)
$125 New Transit/Ferry Specific Sources (8%)
$100 New Local Sources (6%)
Existing (current law)
funding: $125 B
$75 Current Law Revenues (65%)
$50 $25
* Toll revenue may be used to reduce other funding sources (approximately 4%).
$0
10
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
21
T-2040 Implementation – Prioritize Investments A
Step
: What?
– Which projects and programs – Across programs or ranked within programs
Step
B
: How?
– Measuring benefits, costs and goal support – How to integrate measurable and non-measurable factors
Step – – – –
C•
: To What End?
Priorities within the plan Moving projects in and out TIP framework Legislative recommendations
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
22
Prioritization - Organization and Roles Modes & Interest • Aviation • Bike/Ped • Ferry • Freight • Health • Roadway/ITS • Special Needs • TDM • Transit
Key Roles Advisory Core decisions Adoption
Advisory Committees
Regional Staff Committee NEW Working Group (includes TPB, GMPB, EDD, EB, RSC)
Transportation Policy Board
GMPB & EDD
Executive Board 2012 General Assembly
11
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
23
Prioritization - Schedule
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
24
Rural Transportation • Rural transportation strategy is proposed • Complete by 2014 in time for plan update • Strategy builds upon V-2040 and T-2040 to: -
Improve the process for identifying rural transportation programs in regional priorities Better understand rural travel demand Address growing rural transportation needs, including special needs groups Integrate bike and walk programs Identify rural safety issues in future plan updates
• Rural town centers and corridors program: -
$2,000,000 allocated to 6 projects 2nd & Lincoln traffic signal design in Snohomish
12
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
25
Contacts and Information Puget Sound Regional Council www.psrc.org Stephen Kiehl 206-971-3290 [email protected] Mike Cummings 206-464-6172 [email protected]
13
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
1
Transportation 2040 Toward a Sustainable Transportation System Sultan Planning Board February 1, 2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
2
PSRC - Who We Represent Our Region • 4 Counties • 82 Cities and Towns • Urban & Rural
Our Members • Cities, Counties, Ports, and Transit • State Agencies and Tribal Governments
1
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
3
Our Mission To play a key regional role in keeping central Puget Sound thriving as we grow
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
4
Transportation 2040 Adopted May 20, 2010 • Addresses major transportation system issues and informs nearterm project decisions • Aligns with VISION 2040 and the Regional Economic Strategy • Responds to the 2040 growth forecasts for person and freight travel demand
2
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
5
The Region is Growing In spite of the current recession we anticipate the region will continue to grow and change. • Population: 3.5 million (2006) to 5.0 million (2040) • More seniors: population over 65 will double by 2040 • More diverse and higher demand for special needs transportation
• 43% Population Growth • 60% Employment Growth
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
6
Plan Investment Structure
3
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
7
Sultan
Transportation 2040
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
8
SR 9 US 2 SR 520
SR 522
Bus Rapid Transit
4
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
9
LINK to Everett
LINK to Redmond
Light Rail
LINK to Tacoma
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
10
Strategic Investments
Commuter Rail
Sounder Improvements: Everett to Lakewood
BNSF Corridor: Renton to Snohomish
5
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
11
Strategic Investments
SR 520
I-405
Rail/Bus (to be determined)
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
12
SR 9 I-5 US 2
I-405
SR 522
State Highways
6
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
13
Strategic Investments Evergreen Way
Airport Rd.
Avondale Rd.
Arterial Novelty Hill Rd.
WoodinvilleDuvall Rd.
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
Strategic Investments
BNSF Corridor Trail
14
SR 522 Trail
Centennial Trail US 2 Trail
Bicycle/Pedestrian Snoqualmie Valley Trail
7
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
15
Strategic investments near Sultan Bus Rapid Transit on US 2, SR 522, SR 9
BNSF Corridor: Renton to Snohomish
100% increase in local bus service
US 2
Centennial Trail
Centennial Trail SR 522
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
16
TDM in T-2040 – Constrained Element Transportation Options: Carshare and bikeshare outreach and incentive programs in centers (supply-side and demand-side)
Vanpool Expansion: 151% increase over 2006 levels = 4,301 daily vanpools in operation Comparison of Baseline Vanpool Growth to Transportation 2040 Vanpool Growth 4,500
T-2040: 4,300 vanpools in operation 40,000 daily riders
4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500
55% increase over baseline
1,000 500 0 2000
2010
2020 Baseline
2030 T2040
2040
16
8
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
17
Reducing Delay For All Forms of Travel Transportation 2040 reduces freeway and arterial delay for transit, freight and general travel. Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled, Hours Traveled, and Delay Vehicle Miles Traveled
Vehicle Hours Traveled
Freeway Delay Hours
Arterial Delay Hours
Percent Change from 2040 Baseline
0% -10%
• VMT and VHT reduced
-20% -30% -40% -50%
• Roadway speeds and delay improve dramatically
Range of Benefits Full Plan
• Increasing choices for travel
Constrained Plan
-60% -70% -80%
The Plan includes some actions and would have some effects not quantified in the analysis findings
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
18
Supports Regional Growth Strategy Improves access to our regional centers by reducing travel time and improving reliability (reducing the cost of travel). Average Per Trip Benefits for all Trips Originating within Area (Change from 2040 Baseline in dollars per trip) $3.50
Range of Benefits Full Plan
$3.00 Constrained Plan
$2.50
• 97% of growth in Urban Growth Area
$2.00 $1.50
• Supports centers growth: an additional 173,000 people and 475,000 jobs in regional centers
$1.00 $0.50 $Regional Growth Centers Regional
Regional Growth Growth Centers
Region
Region Region
9
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
19
Benefits to Economic Centers Travel time and reliability is improved to the region’s economic centers. Average Per Trip Benefits All Trips Originating in Zones with High Concentrations of Sector Employment (Change from 2040 Baseline in dollars per trip) $3.00
• Benefits to centers
Full Plan
$2.50
Constrained Plan
$2.00 $1.50
• Significant benefits to freight users – over $2 billion travel cost savings per year by 2040 • High per trip benefit to areas with identified industry clusters
$1.00 $0.50 $Cluster
Freight
High Wage
Region
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
20
Sustainable Funding for Transportation The plan includes a Sustainable Funding Strategy: Transportation 2040 Financial Plan (Revenues by source in billions of 2008 dollars) $200 $190
New funding: $65 B
$175 $150
Tolls
HOT Lanes, Facility, and Network Toll Revenues (18%) * New Fuel Taxes, State Fees, and Fuel Tax Replacements (3%)
$125 New Transit/Ferry Specific Sources (8%)
$100 New Local Sources (6%)
Existing (current law)
funding: $125 B
$75 Current Law Revenues (65%)
$50 $25
* Toll revenue may be used to reduce other funding sources (approximately 4%).
$0
10
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
21
T-2040 Implementation – Prioritize Investments A
Step
: What?
– Which projects and programs – Across programs or ranked within programs
Step
B
: How?
– Measuring benefits, costs and goal support – How to integrate measurable and non-measurable factors
Step – – – –
C•
: To What End?
Priorities within the plan Moving projects in and out TIP framework Legislative recommendations
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
22
Prioritization - Organization and Roles Modes & Interest • Aviation • Bike/Ped • Ferry • Freight • Health • Roadway/ITS • Special Needs • TDM • Transit
Key Roles Advisory Core decisions Adoption
Advisory Committees
Regional Staff Committee NEW Working Group (includes TPB, GMPB, EDD, EB, RSC)
Transportation Policy Board
GMPB & EDD
Executive Board 2012 General Assembly
11
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
23
Prioritization - Schedule
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
24
Rural Transportation • Rural transportation strategy is proposed • Complete by 2014 in time for plan update • Strategy builds upon V-2040 and T-2040 to: -
Improve the process for identifying rural transportation programs in regional priorities Better understand rural travel demand Address growing rural transportation needs, including special needs groups Integrate bike and walk programs Identify rural safety issues in future plan updates
• Rural town centers and corridors program: -
$2,000,000 allocated to 6 projects 2nd & Lincoln traffic signal design in Snohomish
12
1/26/2011
Transportation 2040 – Toward a Sustainable Transportation System
25
Contacts and Information Puget Sound Regional Council www.psrc.org Stephen Kiehl 206-971-3290 [email protected] Mike Cummings 206-464-6172 [email protected]
13
