Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Tuesday, April 26, 2016 Jennifer McNatt National Weather Service
Some of the briefing presented is “worstcase scenario” and may differ in detail from local NWS Weather Forecast Offices.
Southern Region Headquarters Regional Operations Center Fort Worth, TX
Overview • Severe storms likely this afternoon into this evening; will linger into the overnight hours – Very large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes and heavy rain are all possible
• Additional rain/storms late Thursday into Saturday • Another round of rainfall Monday (potentially heavy) then looks like a drying trend
Latest Radar Image As of 9:30am
To view updated radar images, go to http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southplains.php
Severe Weather Threat Today and Wednesday • Thunderstorms expected to develop Tuesday afternoon and evening • Very large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes will be possible • Storms likely to linger into the overnight hours
Expected Rainfall Tuesday AM – Wednesday AM
Wednesday AM - Thursday AM
Thursday AM - Friday AM
Friday AM – Sunday AM
5 Day Total Expected Rainfall • Rain chances return to the state Friday/Saturday • Could see heavy rainfall over already-impacted areas of E TX • Don’t focus on amounts or locations; those are likely to be updated throughout the week
Impact Threat Today Extreme ---------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------High Severe Storms
Moderate ---------------------------------------------------------
N-Central to NE
Slight -----------------------------------------------
Marginal ---------------------------------------------
Severe Storms
River Flooding
No Threat ---------------------------------------------Flash Flooding
River Tornadoes Hail/ Flooding Winds
Confidence
Little Confidence
Very Confident
Impact Threat Wednesday Extreme ---------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------High
Moderate ---------------------------------------------------------
Severe Storms
Slight -----------------------------------------------
Marginal ---------------------------------------------
River Flooding
No Threat ---------------------------------------------Flash Flooding
River Tornadoes Hail/ Flooding Winds
Confidence
Little Confidence
Very Confident
Impact Threat Thursday Extreme ---------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------High Severe Storms (Late Night)
Moderate ---------------------------------------------------------
Slight -----------------------------------------------
Marginal ---------------------------------------------
River Flooding
No Threat ---------------------------------------------Flash Flooding
River Tornadoes Hail/ Flooding Winds
Confidence
Little Confidence
Very Confident
Extended Outlook Rainfall Friday/Saturday
• Another round of rain/storms possible on Monday and then it looks like things could begin to dry out
• Storms that develop late Thursday into Friday morning will continue across north-central portions of the state Friday and eastern portions of the state Saturday • Could see heavy rainfall over already-impacted areas of E and SE TX • Don’t focus on amounts or locations; those are likely to be updated throughout the week
NWS Offices Supporting Texas
ABRFC • 918-832-4109 • weather.gov/abrfc WGRFC • 817-831-3289 • weather.gov/wgrfc LMRFC • 985-641-4343 • weather.gov/lmrfc
[email protected] http://www.srh.noaa.gov https://www.facebook.com/NWSSouthern https://twitter.com/NWS_Southern_US
Backup Slides
Flash Flood Threat
Today • Thunderstorms expected to develop in the afternoon and evening hours • Very large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes and heavy rainfall will be possible • Storms likely to linger into the overnight hours
Rainfall Tuesday AM – Wednesday AM
Flash Flood Threat
Wednesday • Storms likely to be ongoing in the morning • Some may be strong to severe with damaging winds and hail • Rain chances clear out of the state in the afternoon and evening Rainfall Wednesday AM – Thursday AM
Flash Flood Threat
Thursday • Storm chances increase late in the evening into the overnight hours • Could see some strong to severe storms over northern portions of the state, most likely early Friday morning • This will continue during the day on Friday Rainfall Thursday AM – Friday AM
Extended Outlook Rainfall Friday/Saturday
• Another round of rain/storms possible on Monday and then it looks like things could begin to dry out
• Storms that develop late Thursday into Friday morning will continue across north-central portions of the state Friday and eastern portions of the state Saturday • Could see heavy rainfall over already-impacted areas of E and SE TX • Don’t focus on amounts or locations; those are likely to be updated throughout the week
Some of the briefing presented is “worstcase scenario” and may differ in detail from local NWS Weather Forecast Offices.
Southern Region Headquarters Regional Operations Center Fort Worth, TX
Overview • Severe storms likely this afternoon into this evening; will linger into the overnight hours – Very large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes and heavy rain are all possible
• Additional rain/storms late Thursday into Saturday • Another round of rainfall Monday (potentially heavy) then looks like a drying trend
Latest Radar Image As of 9:30am
To view updated radar images, go to http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southplains.php
Severe Weather Threat Today and Wednesday • Thunderstorms expected to develop Tuesday afternoon and evening • Very large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes will be possible • Storms likely to linger into the overnight hours
Expected Rainfall Tuesday AM – Wednesday AM
Wednesday AM - Thursday AM
Thursday AM - Friday AM
Friday AM – Sunday AM
5 Day Total Expected Rainfall • Rain chances return to the state Friday/Saturday • Could see heavy rainfall over already-impacted areas of E TX • Don’t focus on amounts or locations; those are likely to be updated throughout the week
Impact Threat Today Extreme ---------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------High Severe Storms
Moderate ---------------------------------------------------------
N-Central to NE
Slight -----------------------------------------------
Marginal ---------------------------------------------
Severe Storms
River Flooding
No Threat ---------------------------------------------Flash Flooding
River Tornadoes Hail/ Flooding Winds
Confidence
Little Confidence
Very Confident
Impact Threat Wednesday Extreme ---------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------High
Moderate ---------------------------------------------------------
Severe Storms
Slight -----------------------------------------------
Marginal ---------------------------------------------
River Flooding
No Threat ---------------------------------------------Flash Flooding
River Tornadoes Hail/ Flooding Winds
Confidence
Little Confidence
Very Confident
Impact Threat Thursday Extreme ---------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------High Severe Storms (Late Night)
Moderate ---------------------------------------------------------
Slight -----------------------------------------------
Marginal ---------------------------------------------
River Flooding
No Threat ---------------------------------------------Flash Flooding
River Tornadoes Hail/ Flooding Winds
Confidence
Little Confidence
Very Confident
Extended Outlook Rainfall Friday/Saturday
• Another round of rain/storms possible on Monday and then it looks like things could begin to dry out
• Storms that develop late Thursday into Friday morning will continue across north-central portions of the state Friday and eastern portions of the state Saturday • Could see heavy rainfall over already-impacted areas of E and SE TX • Don’t focus on amounts or locations; those are likely to be updated throughout the week
NWS Offices Supporting Texas
ABRFC • 918-832-4109 • weather.gov/abrfc WGRFC • 817-831-3289 • weather.gov/wgrfc LMRFC • 985-641-4343 • weather.gov/lmrfc
[email protected] http://www.srh.noaa.gov https://www.facebook.com/NWSSouthern https://twitter.com/NWS_Southern_US
Backup Slides
Flash Flood Threat
Today • Thunderstorms expected to develop in the afternoon and evening hours • Very large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes and heavy rainfall will be possible • Storms likely to linger into the overnight hours
Rainfall Tuesday AM – Wednesday AM
Flash Flood Threat
Wednesday • Storms likely to be ongoing in the morning • Some may be strong to severe with damaging winds and hail • Rain chances clear out of the state in the afternoon and evening Rainfall Wednesday AM – Thursday AM
Flash Flood Threat
Thursday • Storm chances increase late in the evening into the overnight hours • Could see some strong to severe storms over northern portions of the state, most likely early Friday morning • This will continue during the day on Friday Rainfall Thursday AM – Friday AM
Extended Outlook Rainfall Friday/Saturday
• Another round of rain/storms possible on Monday and then it looks like things could begin to dry out
• Storms that develop late Thursday into Friday morning will continue across north-central portions of the state Friday and eastern portions of the state Saturday • Could see heavy rainfall over already-impacted areas of E and SE TX • Don’t focus on amounts or locations; those are likely to be updated throughout the week
