UKRAINE

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April 2010

Country file

UKRAINE TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.

INTRODUCTION................................................................................................... 2

2.

GENERAL OVERVIEW ........................................................................................ 4 2.1. Map

......................................................................................................... 4

2.2. Main economic, geographical and environmental indicators ............................ 4 2.3. Trade data – Ukraine in the world .................................................................. 5 2.3.1.

Ukraine, trade with the world (mio €) ............................................... 5

2.3.2.

Main trading partners (% of the total) ............................................... 5

2.3.3.

Main composition of merchandise trade by main commodity group (%)......................................................................................... 5

2.4. Trade data – EU with Ukraine........................................................................ 6

3.

2.4.1.

Global figures (mio €) ....................................................................... 6

2.4.2.

Detailed figures (merchandise trade in mio €, 2008) .......................... 6

ENERGY OVERVIEW........................................................................................... 7 3.1. Ukraine at a glance......................................................................................... 7 3.1.1.

Selected indicators (2007)................................................................. 7

3.1.2.

Production, consumption (details)..................................................... 8

3.1.3.

CO2 emissions and indicators ............................................................ 9

3.2. Ukraine by sector – oil and gas..................................................................... 10 3.2.1.

Oil and gas infrastructure ................................................................ 10

3.2.2.

Oil – production, reserves, discoveries ............................................ 11

3.2.3.

International oil pipelines ................................................................ 11

3.2.4.

Refineries........................................................................................ 11

3.2.5.

Gas – production, reserves, discoveries........................................... 12

3.2.6.

Gas storage capacities..................................................................... 12

3.2.7.

International gas pipelines ............................................................... 12

3.2.8.

Electricity – electricity mix, generation, consumption ...................... 14

Legal notice: The European Commission does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication, nor does it accept responsibility for any use made thereof.

1.

INTRODUCTION

Ukraine is an important transit country for both oil and gas to the EU. Around 20% of the EU’s gas consumption and 80% of all gas from Russia destined for Europe transits Ukraine mainly through the Brotherhood i.e. Bratstvo pipeline (between 95 and 120 billion cubic metres per year). The gas reaches as many as 12 EU Member States and members of the Energy Community Treaty. The Druzhba oil pipeline system supplies Russian oil to the Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia in the volumes of nearly 10% of EU consumption (60 million tons/year). The southern branch of the Druzhba pipeline is connected with the Brody-Odessa pipeline, which is currently used to ship Russian oil to the Black Sea but which could be made to work in the opposite direction. Ukraine is also an energy producer. It produces surplus electricity and exports electricity to EU Member States Slovakia, Poland, Hungary and Romania. Nuclear energy is the largest source of electricity output (in 2007 it accounted for 92.5 TWh or 48 % of the electricity mix). Ukraine is currently part of the IPS/UPS electricity system, except for the so-called Burshtyn Island in western Ukraine that is directly connected to the UCTE system and disconnected from the rest of the Ukrainian electricity system. Finally, Ukraine has its own oil and gas production covering about 30 % of gross inland consumption of crude oil and gas (around 20 billion cubic meters per year). The capacity of operating gas storages is 60 bcm. The EU-Ukraine energy cooperation takes place in the context of the European Neighbourhood Policy where an EU-Ukraine Association Agenda replaced the previous European Neighbourhood Policy Action Plan. In this framework, a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on energy cooperation was signed at the 2005 EU-Ukraine Summit. This document still forms the principal basis for EU-Ukraine bilateral energy cooperation. In view of the January 2009 gas crisis between Russia and Ukraine and the consequent cutoff of gas supplies to the EU, the EU is pursuing both short- and medium- to long-term options to avoid a repetition of the crisis and to ensure uninterrupted and guaranteed supply and transit of gas to EU consumers. These include engaging in various ways with both Russia and Ukraine as well as with other countries in the region. Discussions with Ukraine have focused on support to necessary gas market reforms, including negotiations for Ukraine's accession to the Energy Community Treaty, and the modernisation of Ukraine’s main gas transit infrastructure. In the view of the EU, Ukraine's difficulties in its gas sector cannot be dealt with without structural reforms of the gas market. Considering the significant Ukrainian nuclear power production it is important that the Ukrainian nuclear power plants meet internationally recognized nuclear safety standards. The EU has for many years cooperated with and assisted Ukraine in this area, lately through the joint EUIAEA-Ukraine project on the safety evaluation of Ukraine’s nuclear power plants. Ukraine is one of the most energy intensive countries in the world and has a vast potential for energy efficiency. The 2009 EU-Ukraine Summit highlighted the need to increase efforts in this area. In December 2009, the Energy Community ministerial also approved Ukraine's accession to the Energy Community Treaty. The accession will be effective subject to the adoption of a 2

new Ukrainian gas law complying with the EU gas legislation and subsequent ratification. Accession to the Energy Community implies the implementation by Ukraine of the full EU gas and electricity legislation as well as relevant renewable energy, environmental and competition rules in accordance with a negotiated timetable.

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2.

GENERAL OVERVIEW

2.1. Map

Source: CIA

2.2. Main economic, geographical and environmental indicators 2006

2007

2008

2009 (f)

579,330

Size (km2) Population (Millions)

46.5

46.2

45.9

45.6

GDP (Billions $)

108.0

143.2

179.6

115.7

GDP per capita ($)

2,324

3,100

3,910

2,538

Agriculture

7

8

Industry

37

37

Services

56

55

GDP growth (%)

7.9

2.1

12.8

25.2

6.9

6.9

-3.7

-7.2

GDP share per sector (%):

Inflation, average consumer prices (%)

9.1

Unemployment rates (%) Current account balance (% of GDP)

-1.5

Sources: IMF, CIA, World Bank, State Statstics Committee of Ukraine Note: 1 estimate

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16.3

0.4

2.3. Trade data – Ukraine in the world 2.3.1. Ukraine, trade with the world (mio €) Imports

Yearly % change

Exports

Yearly % change

Balance

Trade

2006

46,386

59.2

31,203

14.7

-15,183

77,588

2007

54,835

18.2

37,789

21.1

-17,046

92,624

2008

67,841

23.7

45,804

21.2

-22,037

113,645

Source: DG TRADE

2.3.2. Main trading partners (% of the total) 2008 Imports European Union

40.9

Russia

27.4

China

8.7

Turkmenistan

4.7

Belarus

3.1

Exports European Union

28.6

Russia

23.4

Turkey

8.2

United States

3.4

Belarus

2.9

Source: DG TRADE

2.3.3. Main composition of merchandise trade by main commodity group (%) 2008 Merchandise exports Agricultural products

16.9

Fuels and mining products

13.0

Manufactures

69.6

Merchandise imports Agricultural products

8.2

Fuels and mining products

30.8

Manufactures

59.2

Source: WTO

5

2.4. Trade data – EU with Ukraine 2.4.1. Global figures (mio €)

Year

Imports

Yearly % change

Share of total EU imports

Exports

Yearly % change

Share of total EU exports

Balance

Trade

2004

8,416

32.9

0.8

10,588

19.1

1.1

2,142

18,974

2005

8,655

2.8

0.7

13,281

25.8

1.3

4,625

21,936

2006

9,859

13.9

0.7

18,257

37.5

1.6

8,398

28,115

2007

12,395

25.7

0.9

22,360

22.5

1.8

9,965

34,755

2008

14,367

15.9

0.9

25,157

12.5

1.9

10,790

39,524

Average annual growth

14.3

24.2

20.1

Ranking (2008)

22

14

16

Source: DG TRADE

2.4.2. Detailed figures (merchandise trade in mio €, 2008) 8,000 7,340

7,000 6,281

6,000 5,000 4,000

3,529

3,548 3,242

3,000 2,000

2,719

2,642

1,648

1,419 1,337

1,107

1,058 809

1,000

696 410

306

0 Agricultural products

Energy -82

Machinery

Transport equipment

-1,000 -995

-2,000

Imports

Exports

Source: DG TRADE

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Balance

Chemicals

Textiles and clothing

3.

ENERGY OVERVIEW

3.1. Ukraine at a glance 3.1.1. Selected indicators (2007) Ukraine

EU-27

Gross inland consumption (Mtoe)

137

1,759

Gross inland consumption/population (toe/capita)

2.96

3.55

Gross inland consumption/GDP1 (toe/thousand $)

2.63

0.18

Electricity consumption/population (kWh/capita)

3,539

6,388

314

3,926

CO2 emissions (Mio tCO2 from fuel combustion) Source: IEA Note: 1 prices from base year 2000

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3.1.2. Production, consumption (details) 2007

2006

81.6 Mtoe

83.0 Mtoe

137.3 Mtoe

137.3 Mtoe

74.1 Mtoe

74.3 Mtoe

Note: values under 1 % are not presented.

Note: values under 1 % are not presented.

© OECD/IEA [2010]

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3.1.3. CO2 emissions and indicators CO2 emissions (Mt CO2) 600

2006

2005

328.7 MtCO2

349.8 MtCO2

500 400 300 200 100 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Source: EIA Note: emissions from the consumption of petroleum, natural gas, and coal and the flaring of natural gas Indicators for year 2007

Ukraine

EU-27

CO2/gross inland consumption (t CO2/toe)

2.29

2.23

CO2/population (t CO2/capita)

6.77

7.92

CO2/GDP1 (kg CO2/$)

6.01

0.40

Source: IEA Note: 1 prices from base year 2000

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3.2. Ukraine by sector – oil and gas 3.2.1. Oil and gas infrastructure

3.2.2. Oil – production, reserves, discoveries Year Annual production [Mbbl]

2006

2007

2008

34

33

32

World rank (calculated by EIA)

50 (2007)

Production to date [Mbbl]

2,800

2,830

2,860

World %

0.3 %

0.3 %

0.2 %

Reserves (proven and probable) as calculated by IHS [Mbbl]

2,190

2,160

2,130

Reserves (proven) as calculated by EIA [Mbbl]

395

395

395

World rank in proven reserves (calculated by EIA)

44 (2007)

Reserve to production ratio [year]

65

65

67

Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.

3.2.3. International oil pipelines Section Capacity (Mbbl/year)

Country Names

Pipeline Name

BELARUS – UKRAINE – SLOVAKIA

Druzhba Line I

BELARUS – UKRAINE

Druzhba Line II (loop line)

RUSSIA – UKRAINE

Kremenchug Line (Samara – Lisichansk)

205

Nikolskoye – Kremenchug UKRAINE – HUNGARY

Druzhba II

UKRAINE – RUSSIA

Lisichansk – Tikhoretsk

132

Lisichansk – Tikhoretsk (loop line) UKRAINE – POLAND

Brody – Gdansk (planned)

Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.

3.2.4. Refineries Refinery name

Status

Drohobych

Operating

3,900

Kherson

Operating

6,900

Kremenchuk

Operating

18,000

Lisichansk

Operating

8,750

Nadvirna

Operating

2,500

Shebelinka

Operating

2,000

TOTAL Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.

Crude input (kt/y)

42,050

88

3.2.5. Gas – production, reserves, discoveries Year Annual Production [bcm]

2006

2007

2008

20

20

20

World rank (calculated by EIA)

30 (2006)

Production to Date [bcm]

1,730

1,750

1,770

2%

2%

2%

Reserves (proven and probable) as calculated by IHS [bcm]

1,050

1,030

1,010

Reserves (proven) as calculated by EIA [bcm]

1,120

1,100

1,100

World %

World rank in proven reserves (calculated by EIA)

23 (2006)

Reserve to production [year]

52

52

50

Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.

3.2.6. Gas storage capacities Capacity Gas [bcm]

63

Working Capacity Gas [bcm]

34

Cushion capacity [bcm]

29 349

Compressor Capacity [MW]

Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: due to the big number of gas storages in Ukraine, only aggregate and rounded values are presented.

3.2.7. International gas pipelines Country Names

Pipeline Name

MOLDOVA – UKRAINE

Ananyiv - Izmail (loop line)

Section Capacity (bcm/year)

Mohyliv-Podilskyy Distribution Line Reni Distribution Line Sokiryany Distribution Line Tiraspol - Odessa Yampol Distribution Line MOLDOVA – UKRAINE – ROMANIA

Shebelinka Dnepropetrovsk - Izmail

POLAND – UKRAINE

Bratstvo Export Line

RUSSIA – BELARUS – UKRAINE

Torzhok - Dolina Yamal - Uzhgorod

12

4.0

40.0

Yamal - Uzhgorod (loop line) RUSSIA – KAZAKHSTAN – UKRAINE

Orenburg - Novo-Pskov - Shebelinka (loop line)

44.0

RUSSIA – KAZAKHSTAN – UKRAINE – SLOVAKIA – CZECH REPUBLIC – GERMANY – FRANCE

Soyuz Export Line

23.8

RUSSIA – UKRAINE

Aksay - Mariupol` Aksay - Mariupol` (loop line) Dar`Yevka - Krasnyy Sulin Gorlovka - Taganrog Gorlovka - Taganrog (loop line) Kursk - Kremenchug

32.0

Markovo - Lugansk Mayevka - Alekseyevka North Caucasus - Centre North Caucasus - Centre (loop line) Petrovsk - Novo-Pskov (loop line) Semeykino - Belaya Kalitya Tula - Shostka - Kiyev

20.0

Urengoy - Novo-Pskov

32.0

Urengoy - Uzhgorod

70.2

Urengoy - Uzhgorod (loop line) Yelets - Kremenchug Krivoy Rog Yelets - Kursk Dikann`Ka TURKMENISTAN – UZBEKISTAN – KAZAKHSTAN – RUSSIA – UKRAINE

Central Asia - Centre IV (loop line)

UKRAINE – BELARUS

Dashava - Minsk

25.9

Shchors - Gomel` UKRAINE – HUNGARY

Brotherhood pipeline (Bratstvo)

16.5

UKRAINE – MOLDOVA

Kremenchug - Dolina

22.8

UKRAINE – MOLDOVA – ROMANIA – BULGARIA

Shebelinka Dnepropetrovsk - Izmail

25.7

13

Shebelinka Dnepropetrovsk - Izmail (loop line) UKRAINE – ROMANIA

Tekovo - Satu Mare

UKRAINE – RUSSIA

Kiev - Bryansk Belousovo

UZBEKISTAN – TURKMENISTAN – KAZAKHSTAN – RUSSIA – UKRAINE

Central Asia - Centre IV

Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.

3.2.8. Electricity – electricity mix, generation, consumption

© OECD/IEA [2010]

14

35.0

© OECD/IEA [2010]

Source: EIA Note: net generation + electricity imports - electricity exports - electricity distribution losses

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