April 2010
Country file
UKRAINE TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.
INTRODUCTION................................................................................................... 2
2.
GENERAL OVERVIEW ........................................................................................ 4 2.1. Map
......................................................................................................... 4
2.2. Main economic, geographical and environmental indicators ............................ 4 2.3. Trade data – Ukraine in the world .................................................................. 5 2.3.1.
Ukraine, trade with the world (mio €) ............................................... 5
2.3.2.
Main trading partners (% of the total) ............................................... 5
2.3.3.
Main composition of merchandise trade by main commodity group (%)......................................................................................... 5
2.4. Trade data – EU with Ukraine........................................................................ 6
3.
2.4.1.
Global figures (mio €) ....................................................................... 6
2.4.2.
Detailed figures (merchandise trade in mio €, 2008) .......................... 6
ENERGY OVERVIEW........................................................................................... 7 3.1. Ukraine at a glance......................................................................................... 7 3.1.1.
Selected indicators (2007)................................................................. 7
3.1.2.
Production, consumption (details)..................................................... 8
3.1.3.
CO2 emissions and indicators ............................................................ 9
3.2. Ukraine by sector – oil and gas..................................................................... 10 3.2.1.
Oil and gas infrastructure ................................................................ 10
3.2.2.
Oil – production, reserves, discoveries ............................................ 11
3.2.3.
International oil pipelines ................................................................ 11
3.2.4.
Refineries........................................................................................ 11
3.2.5.
Gas – production, reserves, discoveries........................................... 12
3.2.6.
Gas storage capacities..................................................................... 12
3.2.7.
International gas pipelines ............................................................... 12
3.2.8.
Electricity – electricity mix, generation, consumption ...................... 14
Legal notice: The European Commission does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication, nor does it accept responsibility for any use made thereof.
1.
INTRODUCTION
Ukraine is an important transit country for both oil and gas to the EU. Around 20% of the EU’s gas consumption and 80% of all gas from Russia destined for Europe transits Ukraine mainly through the Brotherhood i.e. Bratstvo pipeline (between 95 and 120 billion cubic metres per year). The gas reaches as many as 12 EU Member States and members of the Energy Community Treaty. The Druzhba oil pipeline system supplies Russian oil to the Czech Republic, Germany, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia in the volumes of nearly 10% of EU consumption (60 million tons/year). The southern branch of the Druzhba pipeline is connected with the Brody-Odessa pipeline, which is currently used to ship Russian oil to the Black Sea but which could be made to work in the opposite direction. Ukraine is also an energy producer. It produces surplus electricity and exports electricity to EU Member States Slovakia, Poland, Hungary and Romania. Nuclear energy is the largest source of electricity output (in 2007 it accounted for 92.5 TWh or 48 % of the electricity mix). Ukraine is currently part of the IPS/UPS electricity system, except for the so-called Burshtyn Island in western Ukraine that is directly connected to the UCTE system and disconnected from the rest of the Ukrainian electricity system. Finally, Ukraine has its own oil and gas production covering about 30 % of gross inland consumption of crude oil and gas (around 20 billion cubic meters per year). The capacity of operating gas storages is 60 bcm. The EU-Ukraine energy cooperation takes place in the context of the European Neighbourhood Policy where an EU-Ukraine Association Agenda replaced the previous European Neighbourhood Policy Action Plan. In this framework, a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on energy cooperation was signed at the 2005 EU-Ukraine Summit. This document still forms the principal basis for EU-Ukraine bilateral energy cooperation. In view of the January 2009 gas crisis between Russia and Ukraine and the consequent cutoff of gas supplies to the EU, the EU is pursuing both short- and medium- to long-term options to avoid a repetition of the crisis and to ensure uninterrupted and guaranteed supply and transit of gas to EU consumers. These include engaging in various ways with both Russia and Ukraine as well as with other countries in the region. Discussions with Ukraine have focused on support to necessary gas market reforms, including negotiations for Ukraine's accession to the Energy Community Treaty, and the modernisation of Ukraine’s main gas transit infrastructure. In the view of the EU, Ukraine's difficulties in its gas sector cannot be dealt with without structural reforms of the gas market. Considering the significant Ukrainian nuclear power production it is important that the Ukrainian nuclear power plants meet internationally recognized nuclear safety standards. The EU has for many years cooperated with and assisted Ukraine in this area, lately through the joint EUIAEA-Ukraine project on the safety evaluation of Ukraine’s nuclear power plants. Ukraine is one of the most energy intensive countries in the world and has a vast potential for energy efficiency. The 2009 EU-Ukraine Summit highlighted the need to increase efforts in this area. In December 2009, the Energy Community ministerial also approved Ukraine's accession to the Energy Community Treaty. The accession will be effective subject to the adoption of a 2
new Ukrainian gas law complying with the EU gas legislation and subsequent ratification. Accession to the Energy Community implies the implementation by Ukraine of the full EU gas and electricity legislation as well as relevant renewable energy, environmental and competition rules in accordance with a negotiated timetable.
3
2.
GENERAL OVERVIEW
2.1. Map
Source: CIA
2.2. Main economic, geographical and environmental indicators 2006
2007
2008
2009 (f)
579,330
Size (km2) Population (Millions)
46.5
46.2
45.9
45.6
GDP (Billions $)
108.0
143.2
179.6
115.7
GDP per capita ($)
2,324
3,100
3,910
2,538
Agriculture
7
8
Industry
37
37
Services
56
55
GDP growth (%)
7.9
2.1
12.8
25.2
6.9
6.9
-3.7
-7.2
GDP share per sector (%):
Inflation, average consumer prices (%)
9.1
Unemployment rates (%) Current account balance (% of GDP)
-1.5
Sources: IMF, CIA, World Bank, State Statstics Committee of Ukraine Note: 1 estimate
4
16.3
0.4
2.3. Trade data – Ukraine in the world 2.3.1. Ukraine, trade with the world (mio €) Imports
Yearly % change
Exports
Yearly % change
Balance
Trade
2006
46,386
59.2
31,203
14.7
-15,183
77,588
2007
54,835
18.2
37,789
21.1
-17,046
92,624
2008
67,841
23.7
45,804
21.2
-22,037
113,645
Source: DG TRADE
2.3.2. Main trading partners (% of the total) 2008 Imports European Union
40.9
Russia
27.4
China
8.7
Turkmenistan
4.7
Belarus
3.1
Exports European Union
28.6
Russia
23.4
Turkey
8.2
United States
3.4
Belarus
2.9
Source: DG TRADE
2.3.3. Main composition of merchandise trade by main commodity group (%) 2008 Merchandise exports Agricultural products
16.9
Fuels and mining products
13.0
Manufactures
69.6
Merchandise imports Agricultural products
8.2
Fuels and mining products
30.8
Manufactures
59.2
Source: WTO
5
2.4. Trade data – EU with Ukraine 2.4.1. Global figures (mio €)
Year
Imports
Yearly % change
Share of total EU imports
Exports
Yearly % change
Share of total EU exports
Balance
Trade
2004
8,416
32.9
0.8
10,588
19.1
1.1
2,142
18,974
2005
8,655
2.8
0.7
13,281
25.8
1.3
4,625
21,936
2006
9,859
13.9
0.7
18,257
37.5
1.6
8,398
28,115
2007
12,395
25.7
0.9
22,360
22.5
1.8
9,965
34,755
2008
14,367
15.9
0.9
25,157
12.5
1.9
10,790
39,524
Average annual growth
14.3
24.2
20.1
Ranking (2008)
22
14
16
Source: DG TRADE
2.4.2. Detailed figures (merchandise trade in mio €, 2008) 8,000 7,340
7,000 6,281
6,000 5,000 4,000
3,529
3,548 3,242
3,000 2,000
2,719
2,642
1,648
1,419 1,337
1,107
1,058 809
1,000
696 410
306
0 Agricultural products
Energy -82
Machinery
Transport equipment
-1,000 -995
-2,000
Imports
Exports
Source: DG TRADE
6
Balance
Chemicals
Textiles and clothing
3.
ENERGY OVERVIEW
3.1. Ukraine at a glance 3.1.1. Selected indicators (2007) Ukraine
EU-27
Gross inland consumption (Mtoe)
137
1,759
Gross inland consumption/population (toe/capita)
2.96
3.55
Gross inland consumption/GDP1 (toe/thousand $)
2.63
0.18
Electricity consumption/population (kWh/capita)
3,539
6,388
314
3,926
CO2 emissions (Mio tCO2 from fuel combustion) Source: IEA Note: 1 prices from base year 2000
7
3.1.2. Production, consumption (details) 2007
2006
81.6 Mtoe
83.0 Mtoe
137.3 Mtoe
137.3 Mtoe
74.1 Mtoe
74.3 Mtoe
Note: values under 1 % are not presented.
Note: values under 1 % are not presented.
© OECD/IEA [2010]
8
3.1.3. CO2 emissions and indicators CO2 emissions (Mt CO2) 600
2006
2005
328.7 MtCO2
349.8 MtCO2
500 400 300 200 100 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Source: EIA Note: emissions from the consumption of petroleum, natural gas, and coal and the flaring of natural gas Indicators for year 2007
Ukraine
EU-27
CO2/gross inland consumption (t CO2/toe)
2.29
2.23
CO2/population (t CO2/capita)
6.77
7.92
CO2/GDP1 (kg CO2/$)
6.01
0.40
Source: IEA Note: 1 prices from base year 2000
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3.2. Ukraine by sector – oil and gas 3.2.1. Oil and gas infrastructure
3.2.2. Oil – production, reserves, discoveries Year Annual production [Mbbl]
2006
2007
2008
34
33
32
World rank (calculated by EIA)
50 (2007)
Production to date [Mbbl]
2,800
2,830
2,860
World %
0.3 %
0.3 %
0.2 %
Reserves (proven and probable) as calculated by IHS [Mbbl]
2,190
2,160
2,130
Reserves (proven) as calculated by EIA [Mbbl]
395
395
395
World rank in proven reserves (calculated by EIA)
44 (2007)
Reserve to production ratio [year]
65
65
67
Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.
3.2.3. International oil pipelines Section Capacity (Mbbl/year)
Country Names
Pipeline Name
BELARUS – UKRAINE – SLOVAKIA
Druzhba Line I
BELARUS – UKRAINE
Druzhba Line II (loop line)
RUSSIA – UKRAINE
Kremenchug Line (Samara – Lisichansk)
205
Nikolskoye – Kremenchug UKRAINE – HUNGARY
Druzhba II
UKRAINE – RUSSIA
Lisichansk – Tikhoretsk
132
Lisichansk – Tikhoretsk (loop line) UKRAINE – POLAND
Brody – Gdansk (planned)
Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.
3.2.4. Refineries Refinery name
Status
Drohobych
Operating
3,900
Kherson
Operating
6,900
Kremenchuk
Operating
18,000
Lisichansk
Operating
8,750
Nadvirna
Operating
2,500
Shebelinka
Operating
2,000
TOTAL Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.
Crude input (kt/y)
42,050
88
3.2.5. Gas – production, reserves, discoveries Year Annual Production [bcm]
2006
2007
2008
20
20
20
World rank (calculated by EIA)
30 (2006)
Production to Date [bcm]
1,730
1,750
1,770
2%
2%
2%
Reserves (proven and probable) as calculated by IHS [bcm]
1,050
1,030
1,010
Reserves (proven) as calculated by EIA [bcm]
1,120
1,100
1,100
World %
World rank in proven reserves (calculated by EIA)
23 (2006)
Reserve to production [year]
52
52
50
Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.
3.2.6. Gas storage capacities Capacity Gas [bcm]
63
Working Capacity Gas [bcm]
34
Cushion capacity [bcm]
29 349
Compressor Capacity [MW]
Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: due to the big number of gas storages in Ukraine, only aggregate and rounded values are presented.
3.2.7. International gas pipelines Country Names
Pipeline Name
MOLDOVA – UKRAINE
Ananyiv - Izmail (loop line)
Section Capacity (bcm/year)
Mohyliv-Podilskyy Distribution Line Reni Distribution Line Sokiryany Distribution Line Tiraspol - Odessa Yampol Distribution Line MOLDOVA – UKRAINE – ROMANIA
Shebelinka Dnepropetrovsk - Izmail
POLAND – UKRAINE
Bratstvo Export Line
RUSSIA – BELARUS – UKRAINE
Torzhok - Dolina Yamal - Uzhgorod
12
4.0
40.0
Yamal - Uzhgorod (loop line) RUSSIA – KAZAKHSTAN – UKRAINE
Orenburg - Novo-Pskov - Shebelinka (loop line)
44.0
RUSSIA – KAZAKHSTAN – UKRAINE – SLOVAKIA – CZECH REPUBLIC – GERMANY – FRANCE
Soyuz Export Line
23.8
RUSSIA – UKRAINE
Aksay - Mariupol` Aksay - Mariupol` (loop line) Dar`Yevka - Krasnyy Sulin Gorlovka - Taganrog Gorlovka - Taganrog (loop line) Kursk - Kremenchug
32.0
Markovo - Lugansk Mayevka - Alekseyevka North Caucasus - Centre North Caucasus - Centre (loop line) Petrovsk - Novo-Pskov (loop line) Semeykino - Belaya Kalitya Tula - Shostka - Kiyev
20.0
Urengoy - Novo-Pskov
32.0
Urengoy - Uzhgorod
70.2
Urengoy - Uzhgorod (loop line) Yelets - Kremenchug Krivoy Rog Yelets - Kursk Dikann`Ka TURKMENISTAN – UZBEKISTAN – KAZAKHSTAN – RUSSIA – UKRAINE
Central Asia - Centre IV (loop line)
UKRAINE – BELARUS
Dashava - Minsk
25.9
Shchors - Gomel` UKRAINE – HUNGARY
Brotherhood pipeline (Bratstvo)
16.5
UKRAINE – MOLDOVA
Kremenchug - Dolina
22.8
UKRAINE – MOLDOVA – ROMANIA – BULGARIA
Shebelinka Dnepropetrovsk - Izmail
25.7
13
Shebelinka Dnepropetrovsk - Izmail (loop line) UKRAINE – ROMANIA
Tekovo - Satu Mare
UKRAINE – RUSSIA
Kiev - Bryansk Belousovo
UZBEKISTAN – TURKMENISTAN – KAZAKHSTAN – RUSSIA – UKRAINE
Central Asia - Centre IV
Copyright (2010) Petroconsultants SA Note: the figures are rounded.
3.2.8. Electricity – electricity mix, generation, consumption
© OECD/IEA [2010]
14
35.0
© OECD/IEA [2010]
Source: EIA Note: net generation + electricity imports - electricity exports - electricity distribution losses
15