Update on Five Year Plan - Almarai

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Almarai Company 2012 Full Year Earnings Presentation

Disclaimer Information contained in this presentation is subject to change without further notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the company. Neither we nor our advisors make any representation regarding, and assume no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, to any information contained herein. In addition, the information contains projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks and may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the company’s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. This presentation is strictly not to be distributed without the explicit consent of Almarai Company management under any circumstances.

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

2

Business Highlights

Financial Highlights – Full year 2012    

 

Revenue of 9.9B SAR, growth of 24.3% driven by core business (poultry 58%, bakery 34% and juice 21%) and inclusion of IDJ results in the top line. Revenue growth of 17.6% in KSA, 17.1% in all other GCC states and 583.7% in rest of the world including Jordan and Egypt, driven by first time consolidation of IDJ. EBITDA of 2.4B SAR grew by 17.2%, EBITDA Margin now stands at 24.2% of revenue. EBIT of 1.7B SAR grew by 10.2%. EBIT growth lags revenue growth due to delayed impact of commodity price softening and higher overheads in line with capacity growth, which is yet to match revenue growth. The net results of the company includes capital gain of 47.2M resulting from the sale of land to the government to facilitate road widening in Al-Kharj. Net operating cash flow of 2.4B SAR grew by 23.9% backed by EBIT growth of 10.2%, improvement in working capital and higher sales of assets.



Capital expenditure spend for the full year was 3.1B SAR, which is in line with earlier forecasts.



The first tranche of Sukuk program was launched earlier in the year amounting to 1.0B SAR.



The Board of Directors propose for approval at the AGM a dividend of SAR 0.5B (SAR 1.25 / share).

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

4

Operational Highlights – Full year 2012 

 

  



Volume growth of 13.9% excluding IDJ. Price & Mix effect accounted for 2.7% of the growth. Strong sales growth experienced across all key product categories.

Distribution drive helped achieved higher sales growth, with particular focus for bakery expansion in Gulf and new/improved distribution facilities. In addition, lean management program across the full supply chain and stock replenishment program were introduced to achieved higher product penetration and lower wastage. Manufacturing efficiency program helped further available capacity across major product lines, assisted by state of the art line extention of bread line. Further the commercial start of baby food manufacturing plant, the commissioning of poultry processing plant and expansion of Al-Badiya Farm were the key milestones during the year. Procurement & operational initiatives, along with commodity hedging, helped manage operating margin. Staff strength stood at 28.5K, an increase of 28% yoy. Staff strength accounted for part of the increase of overhead growth, including higher statutory charges, which is running in line with capacity expansion but behind volume and revenue growth. Within KSA, Almarai ranking still stands at high end of green band in Nitaqat. IDJ consolidation effect accounted for 7.7% of the full year growth. High double digit organic growth experienced across all IDJ entities, especially Beyti. Most controls & processes are updated with Almarai systems and this process will continue in 2013.

Lead the innovation efforts in our selected markets by launching 33 news products during the year

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

5

Strong pipeline of innovation throughout 2012

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

6

Sales Highlights

Sales Growth – Geography mix Full year 2012

Full year 2011 All Ot hers 1% GCC 28 %

GCC 26%

KSA 67%

KSA 71%

6.7

KSA

5.7 2.6

GCC All Others Almarai Group

All Ot hers 7%

17. 6%

17.1 %

2.2 0 .7

584 %

0 .1

9.9 8 .0

2011 Rev in B SAR

24.3 %

2012 Rev in B SAR %

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

Growth 8

Sales Analysis by Product & Region Sales by Country - YTD Q4 2012

Sales by Product YT D Q 4

Sa les by Pr oduct Gr oup SAR M illion Fresh Dairy Long-Life Dairy Fruit Juice Cheese & Butter Bakery Poultry Arable and Horticulture Other Sales T ota l Sa les

2 0 12

4,0 62.1 1,0 16.2 1,243.2 1,60 1.8 1,290 .6 50 4.4 115.3 49.4 9 ,8 8 3 .0

Qatar 4.2%

2 0 11 % chang e 3,475.7 16.9% 761.1 33.5% 8 8 8 .1 40 .0 % 1,446.6 10 .7% 966.4 33.6% 319.2 58 .0 % 72.6 58 .8 % 21.2 132.8 % 7,9 5 1.0 2 4 .3 %

Bahrain 2.0%

Oman 5.2%

UAE 9.8%

Egypt 3.3%

Jordan 1.9% Export / Others 1.4%

Kuwait 4.9%

KSA 67.3%

Participation vs Growth – YTD Q4 2012 Participation YTD Q4 2012

Poultry

Growth (YTD Q4 2012 v YTD Q4 2011)

5.1%

Long-Life Dairy

58.0%

10.3% 33.5%

Fruit Juice

12.6%

40.0%

Bakery

13.1%

33.6%

Cheese & Butter

16.2%

10.7%

Fresh Dairy

41.1% 0%

Almarai Company

40% 10%

30% 20% 20%

30%10%

16.9%

40%0%

10% 50%

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

20% 60%

30% 70%

40%80%

90%

9

Statement of Income

Statement of Income – Full Year 2012 20 12

SAR m illion Net Sales Cost of sales Gross Profit Selling and Distribution Expenses General and Administration Expenses EBIT Share of Results of Associates

7,9 51.0 (4,954.5)

24 .3% 28 .6%

3,511.1 (1,616.7) (221.4)

2,9 9 6 .5 (1,213.2) (265.7)

17.2% 33.3% (16.7%)

1,6 72.9 (24.6)

1,517.6 (42.3) (160 .2) (135.0 )

10 .2% (41.9%) n.a 16.7%

1,18 0 .1

26 .3%

(157.5)

Incom e from Main and Continuing Operations Zakat and Income Tax

Change

9 ,8 8 3.0 (6,371.9)

Im pairm ent Loss Bank Charges

Full Year 20 11

1,4 9 0 .9 (50 .9)

(33.2)

53.6%

Net incom e before Minority Interest Minority Interest

1,4 39 .9 0 .7

1,14 6 .9 (7.4)

25.5% (10 9.7%)

Net Incom e

1,4 4 0 .6

1,139 .5

26 .4 %

3.6 0

2.8 5

Earnings Per Share

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

11

Evolution of key financial metrics - during the year 2012 Net Sales Gross Profit EBIT DA EBIT Net Incom e EPS

Q1

Q2

20 12 Q3

2,0 40 .3 70 7.3 447.5 292.5 242.1 0 .6

2,524.1 921.7 60 6.8 434.6 379.5 0 .9

2,673.0 1,0 12.2 699.3 50 8 .6 450 .0 1.1

Full Year

2,645.5 8 69.9 633.5 437.3 369.0 0 .9

9,8 8 3.0 3,511.1 2,38 7.1 1,672.9 1,440 .6 3.6

20 12 Growth rate Q2 Q3 Q4

Q1 Net Sales Gross Profit EBIT DA EBIT Net Incom e EPS

Q4

17.0 % 11.5% 11.6% 0 .3% 2.9% 2.9%

25.4% 18 .7% 15.7% 7.1% 8 .7% 8 .7%

27.0 % 16.2% 13.9% 6.6% 4.7% 4.7%

26.6% 20 .2% 27.3% 27.4% 29.2% 29.2%

Full Year

24.3% 16.8 % 17.2% 10 .2% 26.4% * 26.4% *

* The full year growth includes the effect of Zain impairment of 160.2M SAR in 2011

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

12

Segment Reporting SAR M illion YTD Q 4 20 12 Sales Third Part y Sales Net Depreciat ion Income/(loss) before Minorit y Int erest Tot al Asset s Tot al Liabilit ies

D airy & Juice

Bakery

Poult ry

Arable and H ort icult ure

O t her Act ivit ies

Alm arai Consolidat ed

7,98 8 .4 7,972.7 (48 1.3)

1,290 .6 1,290 .6 (114.2)

50 4.4 50 4.4 (50 .3)

38 6.0 115.3 (68 .3)

0 .0 0 .0 0 .0

10 ,169.4 9,8 8 3.0 (714.2)

1,371.8

171.8

(96.8 )

30 .9

(37.8 )

1,439.9

11,0 47.0 (10 ,0 50 .0 )

2,0 0 2.5 (233.5)

3,728 .6 (28 7.5)

1,736.2 (243.7)

1,0 0 4.4 (533.0 )

19,518 .6 (11,347.7)

Ret urn on Sales Growt h versus Q4 YTD 20 11 - Third Part y Sales

17.2%

13.3%

(19.2%)

26.8 %

n.a.

14.6%

20 .9%

33.6%

58 .0 %

58 .8 %

n.a.

24.3%

- Income before Minorit y Int erest

13.9%

45.6%

n.a.

(41.4%)

n.a.

25.5%

2,10 7.7 2,10 2.4 (134.1)

369.3 369.3 (31.3)

162.5 162.5 (13.6)

97.4 11.4 (17.3)

0 .0 0 .0 0 .0

2,736.9 2,645.5 (196.2)

366.0

61.5

(32.8 )

(12.9)

(9.4)

372.4

Q 4 20 12 Sales Third Part y Sales Net Depreciat ion Income/(loss) before Minorit y Int erest Ret urn on Sales Growt h versus Q4 20 11 - Third Part y Sales

17.4%

16.6%

(20 .2%)

(113.4%)

n.a.

14.1%

24.5%

33.1%

64.0 %

(53.1%)

n.a.

26.6%

- Income before Minorit y Int erest

41.5%

10 2.3%

47.7%

(136.7%)

(44.0 %)

30 .5%

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

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Trend charts

Robust revenue growth with challenging – but anticipated – EBITDA & EBIT trend Revenue, EBITDA and EBIT Evolution

25.7%

26.0%

26.7%

27.2% 25.6%

25.3%

24.2%

SAR in Million

20.7%

21.0%

21.8%

9,883

21.1%

19.4%

19.1%

CAGR 2006 – 2012: 23.7% (w/o impact of acquisitions 17.8%) Revenues

7,951 6,931

16.9%

5,869

EBIT %

5,030

EBITDA % 3,770 2,757

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

• After excluding the impact of IDJ consolidation, Net Operating income % for 2012 is revised to 17.9%.

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

15

Quarterly Performance – Net Income 2012 versus 2011 500

Q3 = 4.7% 450

Q4 = 29.2%

Q2 = 8.7%

400 350

3 6 9.0 28 5.5

28 3.5

24 8 .8

219 .2

19 3.1

13 0 .2

4 50 .0

4 29 .7

4 24 .5

3 6 3.4

29 3 .7

18 6.1

122.6

3 79.5

3 4 9.3

28 7.1

23 5.2

16 5.3

23 5.2

24 2.1

121.8

122.8

50

9 0 .6

100

19 7.4

150

23 4 .1

200

3 4 3.1

Q1 = 2.9%

250

16 2.2

SAR M illion

300

0

16 0 .2m

= Im pairment Loss on Zain Investment

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

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Cash Flows

Cash Flow Statement (Full year 2012) 400

3,000 2,384

300

SAR Million

Strong revenue growth resulted in positive operating cash flow….

2,500

200 264

100

2,000

0

(97)

(100)

(200)

1,500

(266) (449)

989

(300)

(548)

(400) (500)

383

(600)

SAR M illion From Operating Activities Used in Investing Activities Cashflow Av'ble for Dist'n From Financing Activities Increase/(Decrease) in Cash Cash at beginning of period Cash at end of period

Almarai Company

Q 4 YTD 20 12 20 11 2,38 4 1,924 (2,933) (3,237) (548 ) (1,313) 694 1,345 145 31 272 241 4 17 272

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

486 Free Cash Flow

526 Operating Cash Flow

1,000

500 -

….but additional capex investment especially for poultry (1.8B) resulted in negative free cash flow of 0.5B

18

Cash Flow Bridge 1,0 0 0

2,3 8 4

(2,9 37)

20 6 Sukuk Loans Issues / Others

(512) Capex

4

272

Cash Dec 20 11

Almarai Company

Dividend

Operating Cash Flow

+ SAR 145 m

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

4 17

Investment in Subsidiary Cash Dec 20 12

19

Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet S AR M illion

3 1.12.12

Net Operat ing Working Capit al Biological Asset s Propert y , Plant and Equipment Net Operat ing Asset s Int angible Asset s - Goodwill Invest ment and Financial Asset s & Deferred Charges

3 1.12.11

932 90 1 13,416 15,249 1,335

805 8 18 10 ,50 8 12,131 8 21

295

90 7

16,8 8 0

13,8 59

Net Debt Employ ee Terminat ion Benefit s Deferred Tax (Net ) Tot al Equit y Net Capit al Employ ed

8 ,30 5 28 7 116 8 ,171 16,8 8 0

6,749 243 88 6,778 13,8 59

Net Debt t o Equit y Rat io

10 1.6%

99.6%

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

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Net Debt 9 ,0 0 0 8 ,0 0 0

2.8 x

in m illion

7,0 0 0 6 ,0 0 0

350 %

3 .2x

2.3 x

2.3 x

2.3 x

30 0 % 250 %

2.2x

2.0 x 20 0 %

5,0 0 0

4 ,0 0 0

150 %

3 ,0 0 0 2,0 0 0 1,0 0 0

69%

10 0 %

96%

8 1%

73 %

10 2%

76 %

10 0 %

50 % 1,3 15

2,4 6 3

3 ,4 9 9

3 ,9 51

4 ,6 79

6 ,74 9

8 ,3 0 5

0

0% 20 0 6

20 0 7

20 0 8 N e t Debt

20 0 9 N e t Debt / Equity Ratio

20 10

20 11

20 12

N e t Debt / EBITDA

Net Averge Debt to EBITDA by Quarter

3.3x 3.0 x

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

3.3x 3.2x

22

Debt Profile highlights balanced approach for funding…. 2.5

Debt Maturity by Age and Type Islamic Bonds

2.0

Govt / Semi Govt Inst. 1.0, 12%

SAR Billion

Banks 1.5 1.9, 22%

1.0

5.8, 66%

0.5

0.0 2013

Almarai Company

2014

2015

2016

2017

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

2018 & Beyond

23

Capital Expenditure

Capex spend in line with Guidance…  

  

Capex spend of 3.1B SAR in line with earlier forecast provided and on track for our 5 year projection. Poultry capex spend for the year amounted to 1.8B SAR. Poultry plant started commissioning late in Q4 and is expected to be in full swing by mid Q1.

General sales expansion accounted for 0.4B SAR driven by expansion in depot and sales van. It also included fleet expansion in long haul reefers. Manufacturing and Farming capex, including 0.1B for baby food plant, accounted for 0.5B SAR for the year 2012. Replacement and other accounted for 0.4B SAR.

Almarai Company

capex

including

IDJ,

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

25

Key Share Data Key Statistics for Almarai (19 Jan 2013)

300%

250%

200%

Current P/E Ratio (ttm) Estimated P/E(12/2012) Earnings Per Share (SAR) (ttm) Market Cap (M SAR) Shares Outstanding (M) 30 Day Average Volume Dividend Indicated Gross Yield Cash Dividend (SAR) Last Dividend 5 Year Dividend Growth

21.7 18.4 3.0 25,998 400.0 286,033 2.0% 1.3 04-03-12 17.6%

150%

100%

50%

0%

Almarai

Almarai Company

TASI

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

26

Q&A

Almarai Company

2012 Q4 Earnings Presentation

27

Thank you

Almarai Company Exit 7, North Circle Road Al Izdihar District P.O. Box 8524 Riyadh, 11492 Saudi Arabia Contact for investor relations matters: Khalid M. Al Nasser +966 1 470 00 05 ext 1280 [email protected]