wpx howardweil

Report 1 Downloads 33 Views
Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference Ralph Hill President and Chief Executive Officer March 19, 2013

Disclaimer The information contained in this summary has been prepared to assist you in making your own evaluation of the Company and does not purport to contain all of the information you may consider important in deciding whether to invest in shares of the Company’s common stock. In all cases, it is your obligation to conduct your own due diligence. All information contained herein, including any estimates or projections, is based upon information provided by the Company. Any estimates or projections with respect to future performance have been provided to assist you in your evaluation but should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of future results. No persons have been authorized to make any representations other than those contained in this summary, and if given or made, such representations should not be considered as authorized. Certain statements, estimates and financial information contained in this summary constitute forward-looking statements or information. Such forward-looking statements or information involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from the results implied or expressed in such forward-looking statements or information. While presented with numerical specificity, certain forward-looking statements or information are based (1) upon assumptions that are inherently subject to significant business, economic, regulatory, environmental, seasonal, competitive uncertainties, contingencies and risks including, without limitation, the ability to obtain debt and equity financings, capital costs, construction costs, well production performance, operating costs, commodity pricing, differentials, royalty structures, field upgrading technology, and other known and unknown risks, all of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond the Company's control, and (2) upon assumptions with respect to future business decisions that are subject to change. There can be no assurance that the results implied or expressed in such forward-looking statements or information or the underlying assumptions will be realized and that actual results of operations or future events will not be materially different from the results implied or expressed in such forward-looking statements or information. Under no circumstances should the inclusion of the forward-looking statements or information be regarded as a representation, undertaking, warranty or prediction by the Company or any other person with respect to the accuracy thereof or the accuracy of the underlying assumptions, or that the Company will achieve or is likely to achieve any particular results. The forward-looking statements or information are made as of the date hereof and the Company disclaims any intent or obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Recipients are cautioned that forward-looking statements or information are not guarantees of future performance and, accordingly, recipients are expressly cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements or information due to the inherent uncertainty therein.

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

2

Reserves Disclaimer The SEC requires oil and gas companies, in filings made with the SEC, to disclose proved reserves, which are those quantities of oil and gas, which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible – from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, under existing economic conditions, operating methods, and governmental regulations. The SEC permits the optional disclosure of probable and possible reserves. We have elected to use in this presentation “probable” reserves and “possible” reserves, excluding their valuation. The SEC defines “probable” reserves as “those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves but which, together with proved reserves, are as likely as not to be recovered.” The SEC defines “possible” reserves as “those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves.” The Company has applied these definitions in estimating probable and possible reserves. Statements of reserves are only estimates and may not correspond to the ultimate quantities of oil and gas recovered. Any reserve estimates provided in this presentation that are not specifically designated as being estimates of proved reserves may include estimated reserves not necessarily calculated in accordance with, or contemplated by, the SEC’s reserves reporting guidelines. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure regarding our business that may be accessed through the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. The SEC’s rules prohibit us from filing resource estimates. Our resource estimations include estimates of hydrocarbon quantities for (i) new areas for which we do not have sufficient information to date to classify as proved, probable or even possible reserves, (ii) other areas to take into account the low level of certainty of recovery of the resources and (iii) uneconomic proved, probable or possible reserves. Resource estimates do not take into account the certainty of resource recovery and are therefore not indicative of the expected future recovery and should not be relied upon. Resource estimates might never be recovered and are contingent on exploration success, technical improvements in drilling access, commerciality and other factors.

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

3

2013 Path to Greater Shareholder Value

 Grow oil production

 Maintain disciplined natural gas development, poised for rapid growth when prices recover  Continue cost improvements  Pursue new opportunities, including Niobrara discovery and oil exploration

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

4

2013 Strategy Driving Shareholder Value Transition to multi-well pads driving Bakken production growth and lower well costs ► ►

Strong annual production growth of approximately 25 - 30% Recent long lateral wells result in 10 - 20% lower cost ► ► ►



Multi-well pad drilling Zipper frac completions Spud to rig release days reduced; record well, 25 days

Doing more with less; 29% efficiency gain in wells drilled in 2013 ► ►

2012: Drilled 43 gross wells while averaging 5.7 rigs 2013: Plan to drill approximately 40 gross wells while averaging 4.1 rigs

Focused infrastructure supporting development ►

Van Hook gathering system improves netbacks by $2 - $4 barrel, Unit Rail with East and West Coasts access starts 2Q ’13

Piceance – Unique, world-class position delivers proven track record of attractive returns and long-lived inventory ► ► ►

Significant growth potential with more than 10,000 3P remaining locations(1) Favorable long-term liquids processing contracts with new Willow Creek contract, effective 1/1/13 Continuous operational efficiencies lead to further well-cost reductions

Marcellus – Strong production growth, increasing EURs and lower cost ► ► ►



Production growth of 75% - 80% in 2013 Completion cost down 46% from 4Q ’11 to 4Q ’12 Spud to rig release down 60% from 3Q ’10; record 11 days Demonstrating capital flexibility within play by moving rig to improving Westmoreland

(1) The Piceance remaining locations exclude any potential locations related to our recent Niobrara discovery

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

5

2013 Strategy Driving Shareholder Value

(continued)

First horizontal Niobrara Shale well in Piceance Basin is a major discovery ► ►

20 - 30 Tcfe of resource potential Additional resource that will provide significant ability to rapidly grow production and reserves ►



180,000 acres HBP and infrastructure already in place

Plan for 4 horizontal wells in 2013 ► ► ►

Focus on proving adjacent acreage and demonstrating repeatability of play Ability to quickly move to development mode Significant gathering, processing and transportation takeaway already in place

Opened data room to explore monetization of Powder River Basin ►

We continue to review other potential value-creating options including asset-specific joint ventures, MLPs and royalty trust

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

6

Preeminent Piceance Position Superior acreage position WPX contrast to offset operators ► ►

38% less D&C capital costs (1) 53% less operating lifting costs (2)

State-of-the-art water management systems Infrastructure and takeaway capacity in place New emerging play ►



$2,000

Initial IP 16 MMcf/d 30-day average 12 MMcf/d 60-day average @ 10.6 MMcf/d

$1,000



Up to 4 new horizontal wells planned in 2013 180,000 net acres held by production 20 - 30 TCF resource potential

WPX Energy

$2,500

$1,500





Offset Operator

Niobrara discovery well drilled in 2012 ►



WPX vs. Offset Operator Well D&C and Lifting Costs

53% Less

38% Less

$500 $0 D&C Well Cost ($M/well)

Lifting Cost ($/well/month)

Notes: (1) Utilizing data from eight 2012 Rulison field non-op wells (2) Utilizing data from 221 Valley non-op wells

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

7

WPX Positioned for Rapid Growth when Natural Gas Prices Recover We’ve done it before…

We are ready to do it again…

12% CAGR 800

Well Count

700

400

900

350

800

300

+157 Bcfe

600

238 197

500

116

300

251

150

650

550

489

81

200

301 10

25

22

17

250 200

152

400

100

1,000

26

0

2005

2006

2007

2008

600

400

370

350

+155 Bcfe

310

450

300

269

250

500 200

400 300

100

200

50

100

0

2004

700

424

400

262

150

577

576

573

539

100

8

16

17

17

17

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

0

50 0

Infrastructure built for growth

Current 150-permit inventory

2006 milestone year

Highly experienced team in place



First delivery of “new” rigs

Support services available



Begin SIMOPS

We are faster, better, smarter



Highlands drilling under way

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

8

Net Operated Bcfe

900

450

Well Count

Well Count Avg. Rig Count Net Op Bcfe

Net Operated Bcfe

1,000

Bakken Creating Value – Improving Well Performance, Lowering Cost and Strong Reserve Growth 28 of 31 wells put on first sales in 2012 were at, or surpassed, our well performance expectations Top 10 performers: 4 - Middle Bakken, 6 - Three Forks Proved Reserves ►

Four Middle Bakken wells averaged ~38% higher than expectations Six Three Forks wells averaged > 14% higher than expectations

Middle Bakken delivering excellent results Independence 2-35HC (Middle Bakken – Long Lateral) ►

9% higher than type well

Three Forks exceeding expectations Kate Soldier 23-14HZ (Three Forks – Long Lateral) ►

90

80.0

80 Proved Reserves, MMboe



70 60

47.6

50 40 30

22.9

20

10 0

YE'10

17% higher than type well

D&C cost down 10 - 20% on recent long lateral wells

YE'11

Percent Held by Production 100%

Drilling improvements lowering drilling days New efficiency rigs, experienced personnel and brine fluid system Spud to rig release improvement: ► ► ►

2012 average 1Q 2013 average Black Hawk 1-26HW

43 days 32 days 25 days

YE'12

~98%

90% 80% 70% 60% 50%

36%

40% 30% 20%

16%

10% 0%

YE'10

YE'11

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

YE'12

9

Appalachia – Strong Production & Reserves Growth, Increasing EURs, Lower Well Cost Strong reserves growth demonstrated by proved reserves

Proved Reserves

Over 1,000% reserve growth since 2010

350

Susquehanna County compression pilots doubled production confirming our type curve Production increased 320% over 2011 to an average of 63 MMcf/d in 2012

Proved Reserves, Bcf



300 250 200

142

150 100 50

28

0

Williams field receipt point compression scheduled to come on 1Q 2013 ►

322

YE'10

Currently 30 MMcf/d of net production constrained

YE'11

Average Production by Year

Completion costs continue their downward trend ►

Completion cost down 46% from 4Q ’11 to 4Q ’12

Net Production MMcf/d

70

Westmoreland wells continue to outperform expectations

YE'12

63

60 50 40 30

15

20 10

5

2010

2011

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

2012

10

Emerging Niobrara Resource Play – Piceance Basin Basin-wide Niobrara activity de-risking play WPX has 20 - 30 Tcf Resource Potential

► ► ►

40 Niobrara horizontals drilled Multiple horizontal pay zones Horizontal EURs 6+ Bcf

WPX Energy activity: 2011

WPX Lease Position



180,000 net acres (Deep)





Drilled vertical test well in 4Q Completed 2 Niobrara zones with promising results Additional potential zones to be tested in 2013

WPX Energy activity: 2012 ►

► ►

Horizontal test well drilled, completed and producing by YE 2012 Obtained 535′ core and specialty logs Has produced for last 60 days ► ► ►

IP 16 MMcf/d @7,300 psi 60 day average – 10.6 MMcf/d @ 6,300 psi First 60 days – 0.64 Bcf produced

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

11

WPX Has Drilled the Top Niobrara Shale Well (Based on IP Rate) Ranking

Flow

Operator

Well #

County, State

Location/Basin

Comp. Date

1

2,666.67 Boepd (16 MMcfpd)

WPX Energy

GM 701-4 HN1 Garfield, Colo.

Piceance

Dec. 2012

2

1,831.3 Boepd (367,875 Mcf; 1,770 Bopd)

EOG Resources, Inc.

2-01H Jake

Weld, Colo.

Denver Julesburg

Dec. 2009

3

1,770 Boepd (2.4 MMcf, 1,270 Bopd)

Chesapeake

33-71 25-1H Sims

Converse, Wyo.

Powder River

Aug. 2012

4

1,677.3 Boepd (4.94 MMcf, 854 Bopd)

Chesapeake

29-33-70 1H Combs Ranch Unit

Converse, Wyo.

Powder River

May 2012

5

1,605 Boepd (3 MMcf, 1,105 Bopd)

Chesapeake

23-33-71A 3H Wallis

Converse, Wyo.

Powder River

Sept. 2012

6

1,451.3 Boepd (3.61 MMcf, 849 Bopd)

Chesapeake

32-35-71A 1H Box Creek

Converse, Wyo.

Powder River

Sept. 2012

7

1,441.67 Boepd (2.2 MMcf, 1,075 Bopd)

Chesapeake

25-34-71 STA 1H Clausen Ranch

Converse, Wyo.

Powder River

Aug. 2012

8

1,321 Boepd (1.56 MMcf, 1,061 Bopd)

Whiting Oil & Gas Corp.

16-13H Wild Horse

Weld, Colo.

Denver Julesburg

June 2011

9

1,243.3 Boepd (7.46 MMcfpd)*

Encana Oil & Gas

20-12H (K20OU) Orchard Unit

Mesa, Colo.

Piceance

Jan. 2010

10

1,110.3 Boepd (2.15 MMcf, 752 Bopd)

Chesapeake

26-33-70A 1H York Ranch

Converse, Wyo.

Powder River

Aug. 2012

11

1,100 Bopd

EOG Resources, Inc.

10-16H Red Poll

Weld, Colo.

Denver Julesburg

June 2010

12

1,075 Boepd**

SM Energy Co.

1-19H Atlas

Laramie, Wyo.

Denver Julesburg

May 2010

Data Source: HIS Inc. *Source: Encana Oil & Gas

**Source: SM Energy

Gas: 6,000 cu. ft. of gas = 1 bbl. of oil equivalent

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

12

WPX 2012 Domestic Reported Reserves 2012 year-end reserves before price revisions show strong growth year ► ► ► ►

200% reserve replacement ratio* Proved reserves growth of 10%* $1.74 drilling finding and development cost Liquids increase from 21 to 25%, all from oil growth

Domestic Reserves (Bcfe)

5,500 5,000

+6 -496

4,500 4,000

+634

+848

-498

5,339

4,984.0

4,846 4,350.2

4,350.2

Production

Extensions & Discoveries

4,492.0

4,491

Revisions

YE2012 SEC Case

4,491.1

3,500 3,000 YE2011 Adjusted for Asset Sale

Purchases and Transfers

**Price Alternate Price Revisions and Scenario Extensions

*Adjusted for sale of Barnett Shale and Arkoma assets ** Assumes natural gas price of $3.68 per Mcf, oil price of $86.75 and NGL price of $51.83 per barrel. Chart numbers affected by rounding

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

13

Premier WPX Portfolio Piceance Basin

Bakken Shale

Marcellus Shale

San Juan

Powder River

Apco*

3,010 Bcfe Proved 12,039 Bcfe 3P 216,829 Net Acres

80.0 MMboe Proved 173.4 MMboe 3P 84,205 Net Acres

322 Bcfe Proved 2,023 Bcfe 3P 114,067 Net Acres

423 Bcfe Proved 1,873 Bcfe 3P 155,472 Net Acres

236 Bcfe Proved 1,044 Bcfe 3P 398,470 Net Acres

25 MMboe Proved 62 MMboe 3P 435,191 Net Acres *Reflects WPX’s 69% ownership

Total TotalDomestic 4,650 Bcfe Proved 18,530 Bcfe 3P 1,558,124 Net Acres

Natural Gas

ARGENTINA

Oil Natural Gas Liquids Note: Acreage, Proved and 3P numbers are as of 12/31/12. Total includes other acreage not depicted on slide

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

14

Appendix

Key Statistics by Basin

Net Acreage (YE2012)

2012 Average Rig Count (Operated)

2012 Production (MMcfe/d)

Oil/NGL Focused

3P Gross Drilling Locations

Proved Reserves (YE2012 Bcfe)

3P Reserves (YE2012 Bcfe)

Additional Resource Potential

Primary Areas of Focus Piceance

216,829

5.4

852

X

10,424

3,010

12,039

20 - 30 Tcfe

Bakken

84,205

5.7

10.3 Mboe/d

X

478

80 MMboe

173 MMboe

Evaluating

Marcellus

114,067

2.1

63

561

322

2,023

Evaluating

San Juan

155,472

0

133

1,914

423

1,873

2 - 3 Tcfe

Total

570,573

13

1,110

13,377

4,235

16,975

22 - 33 Tcfe

Exploration

Exploration

X

75 - 100 MMboe

Other Powder River

398,470

0

209

Apco*

435,191

0

9.2 Mboe/d

Other

153,890

0

12

X

1,945

236

1,044

Evaluating

627

25 MMboe

62 MMboe

Evaluating

1,298

29

141

•Reflects WPX’s 69% ownership, except 3P drilling locations which are gross Chart numbers affected by rounding

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

16

2012 Year-End Domestic Reserves Year-End 2012 Before Price Changes*

2012 SEC Case Gas Bcf

NGL Mbbl

Oil Mbbl

Equivalent Bcfe

Gas Bcf

NGL Mbbl

Oil Mbbl

Equivalent Bcfe

2,339

103,094

8,755

3,010

2,773

124,204

11,025

3,584

Bakken Shale

34

6,790

67,463

480

34

6,835

67,911

483

Marcellus Shale

322

̶

̶

322

389

̶

̶

389

Powder River Basin

235

17

110

236

324

17

111

325

San Juan Basin

420

458

78

423

526

565

77

530

Other

19

̶

141

20

27

̶

200

28

3,369

110,359

76,547

4,491

4,073

131,621

79,324

5,339

Piceance Basin

Total Proved Domestic PV-10 (in millions)

$2,340

$5,072

*Overall average natural gas price of $3.68per Mcf, oil price of $86.75and NGL price of $51.83 per barrel. These average prices reflect the 12-month average, first-of-month price during 2011 for the applicable indices for each basin as adjusted for local price differentials and applied to our 2012 SEC case or 2012 year-end reserves PV-10 is a non-GAAP financial measure and generally differs from Standardized Measure of Discounted Future Net Cash Flows (“Standardized Measure”), the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, because it does not include the effects of income taxes on future net revenues. Neither PV-10 nor Standardized Measure represents an estimate of the fair market value of our oil and natural gas assets. We, and others in the industry, use PV-10 as a measure to compare the relative size and value of proved reserves held by companies without regard to the specific tax characteristics of such entities.

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

17

Piceance Basin Continues to Deliver Efficiencies and Lower Costs Prolific resource with 3P Reserves of 12.2 Tcfe with 10,000 locations Drilling efficiencies = More wells with fewer rigs ►





Spud 42 wells in 4Q with 5 rigs, 208 spuds for 2012 Record well in Valley: 3.7 days, Ryan Gulch 7.7 days Average Valley drilling time reduced to 8 days, 11.5 days in Ryan Gulch

Water infrastructure lowering costs ►



Added 8,400 Bpd capacity to existing injection to reduce disposal costs further 100% recycled water utilized for hydraulic fracturing

WPX received 2 awards for environmental protection in 2012 1st Niobrara horizontal well drilled, completed and producing ► ►

► ►

16 MMcf/d @ 7,300 psi 30-day average – 12 MMcf/d @ 6,800 psi FCP 60-day average – 10.6 MMcf/d @ 6,300 psi FCP First 60 days – 0.64 Bcf produced

Drilling Performance Spud to Rig Release (Days)

30

2009

2010

25

2011

2012

2012 Record

20

15

10

5

0 Ryan Gulch

Valley

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

18

Piceance Continuous Improvements Major cost savings made in Ryan Gulch ► ► ►

Drilling cycle time improvements Completion design improvements New Infrastructure

Continued Improvement in Valley ► ►

Ruthless attention to efficiencies High-grading drilling/completion locations

Continued D&C cost reductions ► ►





7% decrease drilling days for the Valley 22% decrease in drilling days in Ryan Gulch Reduced well costs by +20% in Ryan Gulch Continue to focus on rig efficiencies and areas for further cost reductions

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

19

Piceance Cryo Capacity Willow Creek ►





Modified processing agreement with a revenue sharing component Mont Belvieu priced products via Overland Pass Pipeline Volume dedication yields advantaged OPPL T&F rates

Enterprise – Meeker ►



Modified processing agreement with a revenue sharing component Mont Belvieu priced products via Mid-America Pipeline

Cryo Capacity ► ►

► ►

Willow Creek, 450 MMcf/d Meeker, 200 MMcf/d (plus 100 200 Mcf of additional interruptible) Echo Springs, 120 MMcf/d Adding new Parachute, 350 MMcf/d (ISD ’14)

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

20

Piceance Composite NGL Barrel and Realized Price (4th Quarter, 2012) Product Mix

$/Gal

Ethane(1)

50%

.29

Propane

23%

.88

Iso-Butane

7%

1.82

Normal Butane

6%

1.64

Natural Gasoline

14%

2.15

NGL Product

*Included in revenue as a deduction ** Total NGL sales revenue minus any associated cost, divided by total Piceance gas sales volumes (1) Lower ethane percentage as a component of the composite barrel was driven by reduced ethane recovery in the 4th quarter.

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

21

Piceance Basin Green: HighlandsYellow: Yellow: Valley Green: Highlands Valley Acreage: 292,000/230,000 (gross/net) Net Acreage: 216,829(1) Average rigs running in 2013: 5 Average rigs running in 9,884 2013: 5 Undrilled locations: Remaining 3P drilling locations:Liquids 10,424(1) Composition: 80% Gas/20% Composition: 80% Gas/20% Liquids

(1) Acreage and drilling locations are based on YE 2012

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

22

4Q 2012 Bakken Drilling Results Drilling performance improved significantly over prior periods: Spud 11 wells w/5 rigs ►



8 Middle Bakken (Green) 3 Three Forks (Dark Green)

Finalizing “One & Gone” drilling ►

7 wells drilled ►



4 long laterals ► Average drill days: 33 days 3 short laterals ► Average drill days: 21 days

3 rigs converted to brine drilling fluid system ►



1st long lateral well drilled in 27-day average (1 MB and 1 Three Forks) Cost reduced by ~$200k

Howard Weil 41st Annual Energy Conference - March 19, 2013

23

4Q 2012 Bakken Completion Results 14 wells put on 1st sales ► ► ► ►

10 Middle Bakken (Blue) 4 Three Forks (Dark Blue) 10 long laterals 4 short laterals

Finalizing “One & Gone” completions ►

4 completions in 4Q’12 ►



4 long laterals

6 completions in 1Q’13 ►

4 long laterals; 2 short laterals

Zipper frac completions successful in reducing costs ►





3 short lateral wells completed in