Demographics

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Demographics

2008 Demographic Highlights 1.

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Wichita's population at the end of 2008 is estimated at 362,245, an increase of 17,961 since 2000. Sedgwick County has experienced an increase of 29,491 since 2000, for a 2008 population of 482,360. The total WAMPO region has increased by 33,220 since 2000 to reach a 2008 population of 493,790. The Wichita Area Association of Realtors figures show 7,668 homes totaling $1.12 billion sold in Sedgwick County in 2008. This is down 19 percent from homes sold in 2007, and is 11% lower than the five-year average. The average price for homes sold in Sedgwick County in 2008 was approximately $145,950. This is 9% higher than 2007 figures. Wichita’s incorporated area grew to 163.3 square miles in 2008. All other cities in Sedgwick County grew to a total of 65.7 square miles. Andover, in Butler County, has 10.0 square miles within its city limits.

WAMPO Development and Transportation Trends Report—2009

Demographics POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS Table 1 presents 2000 and 2007 Census numbers along with 2035 projections for all cities in Sedgwick County plus the city of Andover in Butler County. The 2035 projections are the same projections used for the 2035 Metropolitan Transportation Plan 2035 (MTP) now under development. The projections anticipate moderate growth for the region through the year 2035, with over half of the new growth occurring by 2020. Growth rates are also shown in Table 1 for the estimates and projections with 2000 Census numbers as the starting point. Household size and owner occupancy data are obtained from 2000 Census figures for each jurisdiction within the WAMPO region along with building permit data to calculate population growth. The majority of population growth in the region occurred in the urbanizing fringe portions of Sedgwick County adjacent to cities. As a result of city’s continuing annexations, the unincorporated areas of the Sedgwick County continue to experience a net decline in population. Total WAMPO region 2008 population is estimated at 493,790. Wichita’s population at the end of 2008 is estimated at 362,245, and Sedgwick County’s population is estimated at 482,360 at the end of 2008. These estimates are consistent with the trend expected from 2005 and 2010 projections, and reflect the use of the Census Bureau’s July, 2007 estimate which incorporates other factors such as the downturn in employment earlier in the decade, causing some loss of population to Wichita and Sedgwick County at that time. While these estimates reflect growth rates that are in line with previous projections, the current economic downturn is likely to bring another population decline for the near term. Currently, there is not enough data to measure this latest development.

Figure 1

For the near future, Wichita’s predominantly east -west growth pattern is expected to continue. According to the Wichita-Sedgwick County Comprehensive Plan, western Wichita (northwest and southwest growth areas) is projected to experience a population increase of approximately 31,000 persons from 2005 to 2030. If current development densities continue, about 8.4 square miles of undeveloped land will be converted into urban use . In eastern Wichita (northeast and southeast Wichita growth areas), population is expected to increase by 20,000 persons from 2005 to 2030. This means that about 5.4 square miles of undeveloped land would be converted to urban uses based on current development densities. While the fringe urbanized areas of Sedgwick County have been experiencing steady growth since 1990, the older central area of Wichita has not grown much. Based on data from the last decade and current trends and revitalization efforts called for in the Comprehensive Plan, it is estimated that central Wichita will gain 3,000 people between 2005 and 2030. However, there have been some recent developments and proposed projects in the downtown and other central Wichita neighborhoods that may exceed anticipated future growth rates.

Figure 1 illustrates the stable population growth trend of Wichita and Sedgwick County and the WAMPO region for the past six years. WAMPO Development and Transportation Trends Report—2009

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Demographics 4

WAMPO Development and Transportation Trends Report—2009

Demographics POPULATION IMPACTS ON TRANSPORTATION

Figure 2

Overall, the region appears to be on track with the WAMPO 2035 population projections for the MTP shown in Table 1. RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY SALES Home sales serve as a barometer of economic health within the region, and the price of homes can signal shifts in income levels and the type of homes being bought within the region. Wichita Area Association of Realtors (WAAR) sales geography does not match the WAMPO region precisely. However, data on Sedgwick County makes up the bulk of the region. Data on home sales can be a better indicator of determining where population shifts may be occurring since it covers existing housing stock as well as new construction.

from 2007. And, has fallen below the five year average of 8,646 sales shown in Table 2B. Figure 2 illustrates the trend in Sedgwick County home sales from 2003 to 2008. Table 2B shows average homes sold, average home prices and average valuations for the nine real estate zones in Sedgwick County from 2003 to 2007. The real estate zones are illustrated in Figure 3.

Table 2A shows total units sold, average home prices and total valuations during 2008 in nine zones in Sedgwick County, as well as total units sold in Butler County as reported by the WAAR. The year 2008 saw the sale of 7,667 singlefamily homes and condominiums in Sedgwick County. This number is down by 19 percent

Table 2A

2008 Sedgwick County Area Residential Sales Zone Zone 100 Zone 200 Zone 300 Zone 400 Zone 500 Zone 600 Zone 700 Zone 800 Zone 900 Sedgwick County Total Butler County

Total

Average

Total Valuation

Percent of

Sold 1,584 671 824 1,637 1,365 534 246 216 590 7,667

Price $180,189 $77,016 $93,609 $199,621 $106,732 $130,536 $154,774 $144,705 $158,100 $145,952

$285,419,312 $51,678,063 $77,133,662 $326,778,798 $145,689,524 $69,706,367 $38,074,488 $31,256,266 $93,278,990 $1,119,015,470

Homes Sold* 21% 9% 11% 21% 18% 7% 3% 3% 8% 100%

1,023

$159,289

$162,952,891

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Based on information from the Wichita Area Association of Realtors for the Period January 1, 2008 through December 31, 2008 *Percent of total sold for zones in Sedgwick County only.

WAMPO Development and Transportation Trends Report—2009

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Demographics Table 2B

2003-2007 Sedgwick County Area Average Residential Sales Zone Zone 100 Zone 200 Zone 300 Zone 400 Zone 500 Zone 600 Zone 700 Zone 800 Zone 900 Sedgwick County Total Butler County

Average

Average

5-Year Average

Sold 1,734 778 989 1,909 1,543 495 295 215 688 8,646

Price $156,430 $72,057 $89,312 $172,646 $90,974 $117,190 $136,976 $116,577 $132,512 $127,251

Valuation $271,250,393 $56,074,965 $88,347,145 $329,580,539 $140,409,852 $57,962,156 $40,380,628 $25,087,406 $91,115,558 $1,100,208,641

1,063

$131,302

$139,521,091

Percent of Homes Sold* 20% 9% 11% 22% 18% 6% 3% 2% 8% 100%

Based on information from the Wichita Area Association of Realtors for the Period January 1, 2003 through December 31, 2007 *Percent of total sold for zones in Sedgwick County only.

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WAMPO Development and Transportation Trends Report—2009

Demographics oped. The remaining 67 percent was developing or anticipated to develop in the near future.

ANNEXATIONS As a result of subdivision and other development activity at the fringe of Wichita, the City of Wichita has tried to accommodate this growth and the subsequent provision of services through annexations. In the past year, Wichita has grown to 163.3 square miles with an average density of approximately 2,242 persons per square mile. In 2008, Wichita annexed 379.8 acres or 0.59 square miles. The majority of these annexations were due to property owner requests associated with new development. In 2008, about 6 residents were added through annexation. This is down from the 564 residents added to Wichita’s population by annexation in 2007.

Many of the smaller cities in the WAMPO region have also grown through annexation activity. Topping the list in acres annexed during 2008 among these cities are Maize, Derby and Clearwater. Table 3 shows annexation activity for each of the cities in Sedgwick County for 2008 along with total square miles for 2000 and 2008. Annexations to each of the cities throughout the WAMPO planning area have occurred in several school districts and are an indicator of future enrollment patterns for them. School districts serving the cities in Sedgwick County along with current city limits are depicted in Figure 4.

Of Wichita’s 2007 annexation cases, about 33 percent of the land annexed was already develTable 3 WAMPO Region Annexation Activity CITY Andale Bel Aire Bentley Cheney Clearwater Colwich Derby Eastborough Garden Plain Goddard Haysville Kechi Maize Mount Hope Mulvane* Park City Sedgwick* Valley Center Viola Wichita Andover

2000 Total Square Miles 0.5 2.2 0.2 1.4 1.1 0.9 7.3 0.4 0.4 2.2 3.4 1.4 0.9 1.0 1.6 5.4 0.2 3.2 0.2 140.0 9.7

2008 Acres Annexed 10.0 389.8 429.1 379.8 174.0

2008 Total Square Miles* 0.6 6.8 0.3 2.0 1.9 1.3 9.4 0.4 0.6 4.0 4.5 6.0 7.6 1.5 2.1 9.4 0.3 6.9 0.2 163.3 10.0

Source: Sedgwick County Geographic Information Systems and Small City Survey *Totals reflect city area within Sedgwick County

WAMPO Development and Transportation Trends Report—2009

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Demographics

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School District

District Name

Primary City

USD 206 USD 259 USD 260 USD 261 USD 262 USD 263 USD 264 USD 265 USD 266 USD 267 USD 268 USD 312 USD 331 USD 356 USD 369 USD 375 USD 385 USD 394 USD 439 USD 440

Remington-Whitewater Wichita Derby Haysville Valley Center Mulvane Clearwater Goddard Maize Renwick Cheney Haven Kingman Conway Springs Burton Circle Andover Rose Hill Sedgwick Halstead

Whitewater Wichita Derby Haysville Valley Center Mulvane Clearwater Goddard Maize Colwich Cheney Bentley Kingman Conway Springs Burton Towanda Andover* Rose Hill Sedgwick Bentley

WAMPO Development and Transportation Trends Report—2009