53% 61% 63% 60% - Thirdway

ER

T EN

EC

H FT

SO

C ITI

L

O EP

TH

Y

365

DE

KERRY

Y

251

S WON B O DEM CRA

• TS

20 0 0 • E

GORE

Y

266

B DE

379

S WON B Y O D E M C RA Y

S WON

B

S•

TE O

DE

DUKAKIS

Y

111

DE Y

13

MOCR DE Y

49

S WON B

O DEM CRA Y

297

S WON

B LIBERALS

CARTER

TE O

53%

TORAL V

% OF MODERATES WON

83%

% OF LIBERALS WON

82%

% OF LIBERALS WON

71%

% OF LIBERALS WON

60%

• 1976 • EL EC

TS

TE

A

S WON B

CARTER

TORAL V O

43%

% OF LIBERALS WON

• 1980 • EL EC

% OF MODERATES WON

TS

TE

M O C RA

S WON B

MONDALE

TORAL VO

46%

88%

• 1984 • EL EC

% OF MODERATES WON

TS

% OF LIBERALS WON

1988 • EL

TE

M O C RA T

370

TORAL VO

51%

CLINTON

EC

% OF MODERATES WON

81%

L

TORAL V

61%

• 1992 • E

EC

% OF MODERATES WON

TE

M O C RA T

S WON

CLINTON

TS

% OF LIBERALS WON

1996 • EL

S•

TORAL VO

63%

85%

EC

% OF MODERATES WON

% OF LIBERALS WON

E OT

53%

89%

2004 • E

S•

CTORAL V LE

% OF MODERATES WON

% OF LIBERALS WON

TE O

MOCRA T

S WON B

54%

TE O

DE

OBAMA

R CTO AL V LE

% OF MODERATES WON

L

RA L V

60%

20 0 8 • E

S•

TO EC

% OF MODERATES WON

M O C RA T

Dems need 60% to win the White House

% OF LIBERALS WON

74%

MODERATES

To win in the electoral college, a Democratic Presidential candidate needs to dominate among moderate voters. A simple majority isn’t enough— Democrats generally need 60% to declare victory. The only Democrat to nab the White House without hitting that mark was Carter in 1976, but he pulled over 30% of conservatives, a level no Democratic candidate has even approached in the years since.

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SOURCE INFORMATION: http://www.thirdway.org/publications/590