Complexity, complicatedness and complexity: A ... - UniGaia-Brasil.org

Report 1 Downloads 134 Views
&RPSOH[LW\FRPSOLFDWHGQHVVDQGcRPSOH[LW\$QHZVFLHQFHEHKLQGRUJDQL]DWLRQDOLQWHUYHQWLRQ" (&26SHFLDO'RXEOH,VVXH9RO1RVSS

Academic

Complexity, complicatedness and complexity: A new science behind organizational intervention? If Price )DFLOLWLHV0DQDJHPHQW*UDGXDWH&HQWUH6KHIìHOG+DOODP8QLYHUVLW\8.

This paper explores the origin of costly complexity/complicatedness from a stance in evolutionary complexity. It argues that the tendency to the former is a property of the evolution in the latter. The creation of space, physical and virtual for adaptation may be a managerial solution - one amenable to various interventions which draw upon complexity as a metaphor.

growth of outsourcing. In 1988, judging at least from WLWOHVRQWKH3URTXHVWGDWDEDVHWKHWHUPoRXWVRXUFLQJp was restricted to manufacturing industries procuring rather than making components. A decade later EXVLQHVVWKHRULVWVZHUHDEOHWRQRWHWKDWqWKHSUDFWLFH RIRXWVRXUFLQJKDVJURZQUDSLGO\LQWKHSDVWGHFDGHr &RRPEV %DWDJOLD DQGDUJXHIRULWVXVHWREH UHVWULFWHGWRqNQRZOHGJHVHUYLFHVUDWKHUWKDQPDWHULDOV RUFRPSRQHQWSURFXUHPHQWr

Introduction: Three senses of complexity

O

QHRIP\SHUVRQDOIDYRULWHGHìQLWLRQVRIoOLIHp DQG FRPSOH[LW\ LV WKDW RIIHUHG E\ 5LFKDUG Dawkins (1988)

“[Life is] ... a property of improbable complexity possessed by an entity that works to keep itself out of equilibrium with its environment.”  7RH[DSW'DZNLQVpVPRVWJUDSKLFH[DPSOHD GHDGSDUURWWKURZQLQWRWKHDLUREH\VWKHODZVRISK\V LFVGHVFULEHVDSHUIHFWSDUDERODDQGWKHQIDOOVEDFNWR HDUWK$OLYHRQHGLVDSSHDUVRYHUWKHFRXQW\ERXQGDU\ its component parts working together to maintain WKHLUFROOHFWLYHHQWLW\DJDLQVWWKHIRUFHRIJUDYLW\7KH GHìQLWLRQFDQDOVREHJHQHUDOL]HG2QHVFLHQWLìFPHD VXUHRIWKHFRPSOH[LW\LQDQ\V\VWHPLVWKHGHJUHHWR ZKLFKLWPDLQWDLQVDWKHUPRG\QDPLFGLVHTXLOLEULXP ZLWKLWVHQYLURQPHQWGHìHVLQHIIHFWWKHVHFRQGODZRI WKHUPRG\QDPLFV/LYLQJV\VWHPVZKHWKHUELRORJLFDO RUFXOWXUDOQRWRQO\GLVSOD\WKLVIRUPRIFRPSOH[LW\ WKH\DOVRPDLQWDLQLWRYHUWLPH  7KHVFLHQWLìFPHDVXUHRIFRPSOH[LW\LJQRUHVRI course other senses in which the word has entered the discourse of social and managerial researchers and pracWLWLRQHUVVHQVHVH[SORUHGLQWKLVYROXPHDQGWULJJHUHG LQ QR VPDOO SDUW E\ WKH VFLHQWLìF VWXGLHV RI FRPSOH[ V\VWHPV :DOGURS 3UHGDWLQJWKLVFXUUHQWXVDJH and perhaps for practitioners the common sense understanding of the word, is as a description of the shear cost DQGEXUGHQRIRUJDQL]DWLRQDOEXUHDXFUDF\:RUNLQJLQ DPXOWLQDWLRQDOHQWHUSULVH,HQFRXQWHUHGWKHWHUPoFRVW RIFRPSOH[LW\p DQGRUJDQL]DWLRQDOFRQFHUQDERXWLW  ZKHQP\WKHQERVVUHWXUQHGIURPDJURXSPDQDJH PHQWFRQIHUHQFHLQ1RYHPEHU7KHìUPZDVRQH RIPDQ\PDNLQJDVLPLODUGLVFRYHU\DWWKHVDPHVRUWRI WLPHo&RVWRIFRPSOH[LW\pSURYLGHVDPHWDSKRUIRUWKH IRUPVRIEXVLQHVVFRQFHUQWKDWODXQFKHGLQWKHV PDQ\ PRYHPHQWV IRU RUJDQL]DWLRQDO FKDQJH DQG WKH

40

 6XFKFRPSOH[LW\DQGWKHFRQVHTXHQWULVHRI RXWVRXUFLQJFKDOOHQJHVWKHWKHRUHWLFDOMXVWLìFDWLRQRI WKHìUPEHLQJDEOHWRWUDQVDFWLQWHUQDOEXVLQHVVPRUH FKHDSO\WKDQWKHPDUNHW &RDVH 7KHDG PLQLVWUDWLYHDQGPDQDJHULDOFRVWVRIWKHRUJDQL]DWLRQ DQGWKHRSSRUWXQLW\FRVWVRIRUJDQL]DWLRQDOLQHUWLDDW VRPHSRLQWRXWZHLJKDQ\EHQHìWVRIWUDQVDFWLRQFRVW FRQWURO+RZHYHUVXFKFRPSOH[LW\LVQRWUHVWULFWHGWR VLQJOHRUJDQL]DWLRQV7UDQVDFWLRQVEHWZHHQoVXSSOLHUVp DQG oSXUFKDVHUVp LQFXU FRVWV RI SURFXUHPHQW LQ IRU H[DPSOHWKHZULWLQJRIWHQGHUVSHFLìFDWLRQVWKHWHQ GHULQJSURFHVVWKHWHQGHUHYDOXDWLRQWKHQHJRWLDWLRQ RIDFRQWUDFWWKHOHJDODQGSURIHVVLRQDOVSHFLìFDWLRQRI FRQWUDFWVDQGWKHUHVROXWLRQRIVXEVHTXHQWGLVSXWHV,Q WKHRU\DWOHDVWVXFKSURFHVVHVHQVXUHWKHSXUFKDVHURI UHFHLSWRIWKHEHVWYDOXHIRUPRQH\DQGWKHEHVWJRYHU QDQFHRYHUWKHH[SHQGLWXUHRIVWDNHKROGHULQYHVWPHQW @ LQWKH$PD]RQFRPGDWDEDVHZLWKoFRPSOH[LW\pLQWKH WLWOH )LJXUH FDQEHWDNHQDVDJXLGHoFRPSOH[LW\pLV IROORZLQJWKHVDPHWUHQG7KHUHLVDFRPPRQG\QDPLF in each case. As a particular discourse spreads it genHUDWHVLWVRZQPRPHQWXPYLDSRVLWLYHIHHGEDFNDQG VXVWDLQVDORRVHRUJDQL]DWLRQRIUHVHDUFKHUVSXUVXLQJ JUDQWV SXEOLVKHUV SXUVXLQJ WLWOHV DQG FRQVXOWDQWV SXUVXLQJ PDUNHW GLIIHUHQWLDWLRQ 6RPH HJ TXDOLW\ FLUFOHV HPHUJHDQGIDGHFRPSOHWHO\0RUHVXFFHVVIXO H[DPSOHVVXFKDV7RWDO4XDOLW\0DQDJHPHQW 740  %XVLQHVV 3URFHVV5H(QJLQHHULQJ %35 .QRZOHGJH 0DQDJHPHQW .0  RU LQGHHG )DFLOLWLHV 0DQDJHPHQW (FM)[5] sustain institutes, journals, research centres DQGRWKHUIRUPVRIRUJDQL]DWLRQZKLFKVHUYHWRIXUWKHU SURSDJDWHWKHoIDGIDVKLRQpFRQFHUQHG$WWLPHVWZR RUPRUHPD\FRPSHWHIRUVSDFHLQWKHVDPHFXOWXUDO QLFKH7KHODWHVDQGHDUO\VVDZQXPHURXV YDULDWLRQV RQ %XVLQHVV 3URFHVV FKDQJH HPHUJH RI Price

ZKLFKRQO\oUHHQJLQHHULQJpVXUYLYHGWRFD 3ULFH 6KDZ 

Number

PHURXVERRNVZKLFKKDYHH[SRVHGWKDWZRUNWRDZLGHU OD\DXGLHQFH :DOGURS/HZLQ.DXIIPDQ *HOO0DQQ+ROODQG 7KHUHLV QRZDVFLHQFHRI&RPSOH[$GDSWLYH6\VWHPVRQH,ZLOO DLPWRGLVWLQJXLVKDVoKDUGFpcRPSOH[LW\>@7KHWKLUG VHQVHPDQ\RIZKRVHDGYRFDWHVKDYHGUDZQLQVSLUDWLRQIURPFRPSOH[LW\,ZLOOODEHODVWKHPRUHJHQHUDO FRPSOH[LW\ ZLWKRXWWKHHPSKDVLV 7KHLQWHUPHGLDWH VHQVH DJDLQRQO\LQWHUPVRIWKHRUGHUDERYH PLJKW EHWHUPHGRUJDQL]DWLRQDOQRQVLPSOLFLW\+RZHYHUWKH more common description, among those who make the GLVWLQFWLRQLQWKHJHQHUDOìHOGRIoFRPSOH[LW\p>@VHHPV WREHoFRPSOLFDWHGQHVVp>@DQG,ZLOOXVHWKDWWHUPKHUH ,ZLOODUJXHFRPSOLFDWHGQHVVDVDQHPHUJHQWSURSHUW\ of cRPSOH[LW\LQRUJDQL]DWLRQVRQHDPHQDEOHWRWKH WRROV DQG DSSURDFKHVRIFRPSOH[LW\HVSHFLDOO\ ZKHQ understood as such.

30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Year of publication

Figure 1 Complexity titles by year of publication (source Amazon.com)  7KHYDULRXVIRUPVRIRUJDQL]DWLRQZKLFKKHOS propagate a particular management fashion, show FRPSOH[LW\7KH\PDLQWDLQDIRUPRIRUGHUDSDUWLFXODU GHSDUWXUH IURP WKHUPRG\QDPLF HTXLOLEULXPWKDW would not exist without a particular discourse, in this FDVHoFRPSOH[LW\p7KDWRUGHULVemergent. The coalition RIIDVKLRQSURSDJDWLQJoRUJDQL]DWLRQVpLVVHOIRUJDQL]LQJ$VUHIHUHQFHWRRWKHUFRQWULEXWLRQVLQWKHYROXPH WHVWLìHVWKHSURFHVVGRHVQRWGHPDQGDVLQJOHDFFHSWHG DQGSUHFLVHGHìQLWLRQRIoFRPSOH[LW\p7KHVDPHLVWUXH RI RWKHU VXFFHVVIXO IDGV $V o%XVLQHVV 3URFHVV 5HHQJLQHHULQJp o/HDUQLQJ 2UJDQL]DWLRQp 3ULFH  6KDZ   o%HQFKPDUNLQJp 3ULFH D  RU )DFLOLWLHV 0DQDJHPHQW 3ULFH VSUHDGHDFKJDLQHGVHYHUDO meanings.  &RPSOH[LW\DVVFLHQFHVHHPVDEOHWRH[SODLQ KRZ VXFK HPHUJHQW RUGHU VHOIRUJDQL]DWLRQ LV D SURSHUW\ RI QHWZRUNV RI LQWHUFRQQHFWHG DJHQWV HDFK RSHUDWLQJWRFRQVLVWHQWEXWVLPSOHUXOHV:KLOHVRPH SLRQHHUV LQ WKH ìHOG QRWDEO\ .DXIIPDQ    KDYH VWUHVVHG WKH GHQVLW\ RI LQWHUFRQQHFWLRQ RWKHUV KDYHVWUHVVHGWKHDJHQWVIROORZLQJWKHVDPHUXOHV +ROland, 1995). Gell-Mann (1994) takes the proposition one stage further arguing the need for rules encoded LQ WKH oVFKHPDWDp LQ DQ\ &RPSOH[ $GDSWLYH 6\VWHP ,IìUVWWKHVHSURSRVLWLRQVDUHFRUUHFWDQGVHFRQGWKH oIDGpEDVHGH[DPSOHVDERYHDUHDFFHSWHGDVHPHUJHQW VHOIRUJDQL]DWLRQWKHQLWVKRXOGEHSRVVLEOHWRLGHQWLI\ WKHVFKHPDWDDWZRUN,QSDUWWKH\DUHERXQGXSZLWK the unwritten rules (Scott-Morgan, 1994) of academic research and consulting. Disseminating a particular IDVKLRQKHOSVWKHDJHQWVZKRSDUWLFLSDWHZKHWKHUWKH\ DUHGULYHQE\DGHVLUHWRHDUQUHSXWDWLRQDQGJUDQWVIHHV RUSOHDVXUHLQWKHDFWRIVFKRODUVKLS+RZHYHUHDFKLQGLYLGXDOFDVHHDFKVHOIRUJDQL]LQJV\VWHPSURSDJDWLQJ a particular fashion, or exploring a particular domain of DFDGHPLFHQTXLU\DOVRUHTXLUHVDXQLTXHVFKHPDWKH SDUWLFXODU oIDGp RU oGRPDLQp FRQFHUQHG 7KH FRQFHSWV HQFRGHGLQDSDUWLFXODUGLVFRXUVHJLYHULVHWRDSDUWLFXODU VHOIRUJDQL]LQJ V\VWHP WKDW LQ WXUQ SHUSHWXDWHV DQG disseminates the discourse. To the degree that, that

41

V\VWHPUHSUHVHQWVRUGHURUDQDVFHQWIRUPRIRUJDQL]DWLRQLWLVHQDEOHGE\WKHVDPHGLVFRXUVH  7KH SURFHVV HPHUJHQW VHOIRUJDQL]DWLRQ DURXQG D UHSOLFDWLQJ GLVFRXUVH FDQ EH DUJXHG DV D UHODWLYHO\ VLPSOH DQG SHUKDSV HYHQ VLPSOLVWLF FDVH RI D PRUH JHQHUDO SKHQRPHQRQ 'LIIHUHQW ìHOGV DQG VXEVHWVRIVFLHQWLìFVFKRODUVKLSFDQEHFRQVLGHUHGDV IRUPV RI RUJDQL]DWLRQ HQDEOHG E\ DQG GHGLFDWHG WR WKHPDLQWDLQLQJRISDUWLFXODUSDUDGLJPV +XOO  0RUH JHQHUDOO\ RUJDQL]DWLRQV FDQ EH KHOG WR GHSHQG RQWKHRUJDQL]DWLRQoUXOHVDQGSURFHGXUHVp +DQQDQ  )UHHPDQ RUoLQVWLWXWLRQVp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ìQG FRPPRQJURXQGLQUHFRJQL]LQJWKHRUJDQL]DWLRQDOUHsistance to the introduction of newer ideologies. I will DUJXHEHORZIRUWKLVFRPPRQJURXQG&RPSOH[LW\DV more paradigm than metaphor, can help those who use FRPSOH[LW\ DV PHWDSKRU LQ GHVLJQLQJ RUJDQL]DWLRQDO LQWHUYHQWLRQV)RUWKHPRPHQWKRZHYHUWKHDUJXPHQW LV WKDW oFRPSOH[LW\p VLPSO\ DV DQ LWHP RI GLVFRXUVH KDVHQDEOHGWKHHPHUJHQFHRIDQHWZRUNRIRUJDQL]DWLRQVZKRVHH[LVWHQFHDXWRPDWLFDOO\OHDGVWRZDUGVWKH WHUPpVIXUWKHUGLVVHPLQDWLRQ:K\WKHQWKHGLYHUVLW\ of meaning that adds a measure of complicatedness to GLVFXVVLRQVRIoFRPSOH[LW\pLQLWVPDQ\JXLVHV":K\ WKHVDPHSKHQRPHQRQLQWKHRWKHUH[DPSOHVSURYLGHG DERYH"

Cui bono: Why the diversity of meaning?

:

KREHQHìWVIURPWKHGLYHUVLW\RIPHDQLQJ LQKHUHQWLQoFRPSOH[LW\pRUVLPLODUoIDGVp" +DUGO\WKHXVHUVH[FHSWSHUKDSVLQVRIDUDV GHEDWHRYHUPHDQLQJEHFRPHVDQDUHDRIVFKRODUVKLSLQ LWVRZQULJKW&HUWDLQO\QRWVWXGHQWVRUEXVLQHVVFOLHQWV VHHNLQJWRHYDOXDWHWKHXWLOLW\WRWKHPRIWKHWHUP 3HUKDSV FI'HQQHWW WKHTXHVWLRQLVIUDPHG E\ D OLPLWLQJ DVVXPSWLRQ WKDW D oZKRp DQ LQGLYLGXDO RUJURXSRILQGLYLGXDOVEHQHìW'HQQHWWpVDUJXPHQW ZRXOGEHWKDWZHVKRXOGFRQVLGHUWKHTXHVWLRQIURP WKHEHQHìWRIWKHWHUPoFRPSOH[LW\pLWVHOIDVDSLHFHRI GLVFRXUVH,IGLYHUVLW\RIPHDQLQJDLGVWKHVSUHDGRID SDUWLFXODUWHUPWKHQWKHWHUPLWVHOIFDQEHFRQVLGHUHG WRKDYHEHQHìWHG

42

In making the case Dennett is of course drawLQJ RQ WKH 'DUZLQLDQ HYROXWLRQDU\ SDUDGLJP DQG HVSHFLDOO\RQWKHFXUUHQWO\GRPLQDQWQHR'DUZLQLDQ YHUVLRQWKDWWUHDWVHYROXWLRQDVDVHOHFWLRQSURFHVVEHWZHHQ UHSOLFDWRUV 'DZNLQVpV    PHWDSKRU of 6JG5GN¼UJ)GPG>@KDVEHFRPHWKHSRSXODUH[SUHVVLRQ>@7KHHVVHQFHRIWKHDUJXPHQWLVWKDWJHQRPHV FDUU\WKHVFKHPDWDIRUFRPSOH[ELRORJLFRUGHU7KHLU LQKHUHQWSURSHUW\RIUHSOLFDWLRQYLDWKHSKHQRW\SHV WKH\HQFRGHIRUXQGHUSLQVWKHHPHUJHQFHDQGPDLQWHQDQFHRIELRORJLFDOFRPSOH[LW\0RUHVSHFLìFDOO\KRZHYHU'HQQHWWLVGUDZLQJRQ'DZNLQVpVVXJJHVWLRQRID VHFRQGFXOWXUDOUHSOLFDWRUWKHPHPHDEHOLHIIDVKLRQ RULGHDWKDWUHSOLFDWHVQRWFKHPLFDOO\EXWLQDEURDG sense through imitation. It is to Dennett (1995) that ZHRZHWKHPHWDSKRURIWKHODZ\HUVpTXHVWLRQDVNLQJ oZKREHQHìWVpRIDoVHOìVKpUHSOLFDWRU"  7KH FDVH IRU PHPHV KDV EHHQ DUJXHG HOVHZKHUHDVXQGHUSLQQLQJDWKHRU\RIVRFLDOO\FRQWDJLRXV EHKDYLRU LQ LQGLYLGXDOV 0DUVGHQ  %ODFNPRUH   RU DV WKH IRXQGDWLRQ RI D PRUH JHQHUDO WKHRU\ RI LQGLYLGXDO FRQVFLRXVQHVV 'HQQHWW  *DERUD  $ZLGHUYLHZZRXOGVHHPHPHVRUFRPSOH[HVRI coexisting memes, as encoding a schemata for cultural RUJDQL]DWLRQ>@ +XOO/OR\G3ULFH 3ULFH  .HQQLH  3ULFH  6KDZ  :HDYHU %DONLQ:LOOLDPV:HHNV *DOXQLF  :LWKGLIIHUHQFHVRIHPSKDVLVWKHVHDXWKRUVDOO DUJXH IRU RUJDQL]DWLRQDO oUXOHVp DV D SURGXFW RI D VHOI UHSOLFDWLQJV\VWHPRILGHDVDQGGLDORJXHLQHVVHQFHD Foucauldian discourse. The examples of managerial fads and fashions SURYLGHDVLPSOHH[DPSOHRIWKHSURFHVVDWZRUNRUJDQL]DWLRQLVDQHPHUJHQWSURSHUW\RIWKHUHSOLFDWLRQRI a discourse. CRPSOH[LW\DULVHVIURPDQGLVHQDEOHGE\ WKDW UHSOLFDWLRQ +RZHYHU LI ZH WDNH 'HQQHWWpV DQG RWKHUVp  VWDQFH ZH ORRN DW WKH EHQHìWV QRW IURP WKH YLHZSRLQWRIWKHDJHQWVLQWKHV\VWHPEXWIURPWKDWRI WKHUHSOLFDWRULIZHFRQVLGHUWKHGLVFRXUVHoFRPSOH[LW\p DV D oVHOìVK PHPHp UHSOLFDWLQJ E\ OHDSLQJ IURP PLQGWRPLQGWKHODFNRIFODULW\DVWRPHDQLQJLVD SRVLWLYH EHQHìW 7KH PHPH LV UHSOLFDWHG HYHU\ WLPH someone joins a discussion as to its meaning and gains PRUHVSDFHLQWKHHFRORJ\RIKXPDQFRQYHUVDWLRQWKH PRUH GLIIHUHQW PHDQLQJV LW FRQYH\V>@ q:H DUH OHVV ZKDW ZH VSHDN EXW PRUH ZKDW VSHDNV XVr 'HQQHWW FLWLQJ/RGJHpVSRUWUD\DORISRVWPRGHUQLVP LQ FULWLFDO WKHRU\  7KH H[DPSOH VHUYHV DV D JHQHULF explanation for the emergence of complicatedness.

Organizations as complex adaptive (?) systems

C

RPSOH[LW\KDVSURYLGHGWKHFRQFHSWRI&RPSOH[ $GDSWLYH6\VWHPV &$6 V\VWHPVWKDWGLVSOD\ QRWRQO\WKHHPHUJHQFHRIVHOIRUJDQL]LQJRUE:CO Vol. 6 Nos. 1-2 2004 pp. 40-48

GHUEXWDOVRWKHPDLQWHQDQFHRIWKDWRUGHURYHUWLPH ,Q JHQHUDO WHUPV WKH ELRWLF DQG WKH DELRWLF GRPDLQV offer two isomorphic meta-groups of CAS. The term adaptiveLVKRZHYHUXQIRUWXQDWHLQWKDWERWKGRPDLQV VSHQGORQJSHULRGVYHHULQJWRZDUGVVHOIPDLQWHQDQFH RU DXWRSRLHVLV :LQRJUDG  )ORUHV  0LQJHUV 1994) rather than adaptation. In simple terms a literal FRPSDULVRQRIWKHWZRV\VWHPV VXPPDUL]LQJ3ULFH 1999) is as follows: 1.

1RQOLQHDU RU SDUWLDOO\ GHWHUPLQLVWLF VHOIRUJDQL]DWLRQ  D SURSHUW\ LQKHUHQW LQ PDQ\ QDWXUDO V\VWHPV  DULVHV IURP VRPH FULWLFDO GHQVLW\ RI LQWHUFRQQHFWLYLW\DQGWKHSUHVHQFHLQWKHV\VWHP RI VFKHPDWD UXOHV JRYHUQLQJ WKH LQWHUDFWLRQ RI WKHV\VWHPVDJHQWV,WLVUHYHDOHGE\DSRZHUODZ UHODWLRQVKLSEHWZHHQPDJQLWXGHDQGIUHTXHQF\

2.

:LWKLQ WKH VHW RI VHOIRUJDQL]LQJ V\VWHPV LV D VXEVHWZKLFKDOVRVKRZWKHSURSHUW\RIVHOIPDLQWHQDQFH EURDGO\DXWRSRLHVLV KHQFHIRUH[DPSOH RYHUWLPHWKHPDJQLWXGHRIH[WLQFWLRQHYHQWVLQ the geological record, departs from a power law UHODWLRQVKLS.DXIIPDQpV  LQWHUSUHWDWLRQRI 5DXSpV  H[WLQFWLRQGDWDìWVWKHSRVWXQLIRUPLWDULDQ YLHZ RI WKH VWUDWLJUDSKLF UHFRUG $JHU  DQGWKHSXQFWXDWLRQLVWRUQRQHVWHDG\UDWH LQWHUSUHWDWLRQRIVSHFLDWLRQHYHQWVRYHUJHRORJLFDO WLPH $ VLPLODU SXQFWXDWHG G\QDPLF PD\ EH REVHUYHGLQWKHKLVWRU\RUHYROXWLRQRIVRFLDOV\VWHPVDWPDQ\VFDOHV HJ*HUVLFN7\OHFRWH  5RWKVFKLOG  +RGJVRQ  3ULFH  (YDQV 



:LWKLQ WKH ELRORJLFDO GRPDLQ WKH VFKHPDWD DUH HQFRGHGDVJHQHVFRPSOLFDWHGV\VWHPVRILQIRUPDWLRQZLWKWKHDELOLW\WRVSHFLI\VWUXFWXUHVWKDWZLOO LQWXUQFUHDWHFRSLHVRIWKHPVHOYHV*UDQWLQJWKH VHOìVKJHQHDVqDPHWDSKRUIRUDV\VWHPRILQWHUFRQQHFWHGJHQHVRIDOPRVWLQGHVFULEDEOHFRPSOH[LW\r 'DZNLQV JUDQWLQJWKHLURSHUDWLRQDV SDUWRIDFRPSOH[IHHGEDFNV\VWHPLQYROYLQJWKHLU LPPHGLDWHDQGZLGHUHQYLURQPHQWDQGJUDQWLQJ WKDWVHOHFWLRQIRUUHSURGXFWLYHFRQWLQXLW\RSHUDWHV RQ YHKLFOHV LQGLYLGXDO RUJDQLVPV  UDWKHU WKDQ GLUHFWO\RQJHQHVRUJHQRPHVWKHDVVHUWLRQPDGH KHUH LV WKDW QR VDWLVIDFWRU\ DOWHUQDWLYH KDV EHHQ found for Darwin’s Dangerous Idea (see Dennett,   DV WKH RULJLQ RI RUGHU :LWKLQ WKH DELRWLF GRPDLQVFKHPDWDDUHHQFRGHGLQFRPSOLFDWHGV\VWHPV RI PHWDSKRUV SDUDGLJPV PLQGVHWV EHOLHI V\VWHPV DUWHIDFWV DQG LQVWLWXWLRQDO WUDGLWLRQV &RQFHSWXDOL]LQJWKLVPL[DVPHPHVZLWKWKHLQKHUHQWWHQGHQF\WRVHOIUHSOLFDWLRQSURYLGHVHLWKHU a literal explanation from which to understand RUJDQL]DWLRQ RU LI RQH LV LPEXHG ZLWK D GLIIHUent tradition, a rich new metaphor from which WRH[DPLQHRUJDQL]DWLRQDOEHKDYLRUCRPSOH[LW\

Price

WKHRU\HQULFKHVUDWKHUWKDQUHSODFHVWKHEDVLFWHQHWRIQDWXUDOVHOHFWLRQDVWKHVRXUFHRIELRORJLFDO FRPSOH[LW\,WZLOOKHOSXVDSSUHFLDWHoWKHRULJLQ RI RUGHUp EXW LV E\ DQG RI LWVHOI QR HVFDSH IURP 'DUZLQLVPRUWKHo6HOìVK*HQHp.DXIIPDQ   makes the same point with his plea for “a proper PDUULDJHRIVHOIRUJDQL]DWLRQDQGVHOHFWLRQrWRWHOO XVqZKRDQGKRZZHDUHLQWKHQRQHTXLOLEULXP ZRUOGZHPXWXDOO\FUHDWHDQGWUDQVIRUPr 4.

(YROYLQJ ELRORJLFDO V\VWHPV KDYH DQ LQKHUHQW WHQGHQF\WRVHHNDQHYROXWLRQDU\VWDEOHVWUDWHJ\ (66  RQH ZKLFK LV VWDEOH XQWLO SHUWXUEHG E\ DQ HYROXWLRQDU\ FULVLV &XL %RQR DJDLQ 7KH V\VWHP RIVHOìVKUHSOLFDWRUVEHQHìWVIURPVWDVLV3ULFHDQG .HQQLH  KDYHVXJJHVWHGIRXUFODVVHVRIVXFK HYHQWV DQG H[SORUHG SRWHQWLDO DQDORJXHV RQ WKH strategic rather than the stratigraphic timescale.

 %\WKXVJUDQWLQJWKHVFKHPDWDLQHLWKHUV\VWHP WKHVWDWXVRIUHSOLFDWRUVRQHDUULYHVDWDQH[SODQDWLRQRI WKHODFNRIDGDSWDWLRQLQHLWKHUGRPDLQ2QHDOVRDUULYHV DWDWKHRU\RIRUJDQL]DWLRQFDSDEOHRIHPEUDFLQJERWK HYROXWLRQDU\HFRQRPLFV 5RWKVFKLOG+RGJVRQ 7\OHFRWH ZLWKLWVHPSKDVLVRQoUXOHVpDQG WHFKQRORJLHVDVFXOWXUDOUHSOLFDWRUVDQG+XOOpV   allocation of paradigms to the same role and concepts of VRFLDOFRQVWUXFWLRQRIRUJDQL]DWLRQVWKURXJKGLVFRXUVH DQGLQVWLWXWLRQDOWUDGLWLRQ7KHìUPLVDQLQWUDRUJDQL]DWLRQDOHFRORJ\RIPHPHV :HHNV *DOXQLF  SDUWLFLSDWLQJLQDZLGHUPHPHWLFHFRV\VWHP 2QH YDOLG REMHFWLRQ WR WKH SURSRVLWLRQ RI memes in this context is that it adds nothing to these ROGHU HYROXWLRQDU\ HSLVWHPRORJLHV $OWHUQDWLYHO\ LW JURXQGV HDFK RI WKHP LQ D UHSOLFDWRU EDVHG YLHZ RI WKH HPHUJHQFH RI RUGHU DQG SURYLGHV VRPH XQLI\LQJ IUDPHZRUNLQWRZKLFKHDFKFDQìW$VDVSHFLHVHomo Sapiens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cultural cRPSOH[LW\>@DQGLQGHHGFRPSOLFDWHGQHVV



Complicatedness

C

an the memetic stance on that cRPSOH[LW\RIIHU an explanation for the emergence of compliFDWHGQHVV" &DQ LW H[SODLQ WKH HIIHFWLYHQHVV RI LQWHUYHQWLRQV EDVHG RQ FRPSOH[LW\" 7KH DQVZHU LQ ERWKFDVHVVHHPVWREH\HV  &RQVLGHU IRU D PRPHQW WKH ELRWLF GRPDLQ and the complex of interacting selfish genes. The DPRXQWRIFRPSOH[LW\QHJDWLYHHQWURS\RUELRPDVV GHYRWHGWRWKHLUUHSOLFDWLRQUDWKHUWKDQWKDWRIVRPH ULYDOFRPSOH[GHWHUPLQHVWKHLUoVXFFHVVp$ELRWLFcomSOH[LW\SURGXFHVQRWELRPDVVEXWWKHFRPELQDWLRQRI NQRZOHGJH DQG DUWLIDFWV WKDW ZH WHUP oZHDOWKp>@ RU oYDOXHDGGHGp6XFFHVVLQVHOìVKUHSOLFDWRUWHUPVPD\ EHFRQVLGHUHGDVWKHDPRXQWRIWKHYDOXHJHQHUDWHGLQD JLYHQHFRQRPLFV\VWHPGLYHUWHGWRWKHUHSOLFDWLRQRID particular meme. Dawkins (1988) has used the example RIWKHOHJDOSURIHVVLRQDVHYLGHQFHRIWKHHPHUJHQFHRI VSRQWDQHRXVFROODERUDWLRQ7ZRRUPRUHPHPEHUVRI WKDWSURIHVVLRQHQJDJHGE\WKHSDUWLHVWRDSDUWLFXODU GLVSXWHWDFLWO\FROODERUDWHLQPDLQWDLQLQJWKHGLVSXWH 7KLVLVQRWWRLPSXJQLQDQ\ZD\WKHSURIHVVLRQDOLQWHJULW\RIHLWKHU%\IROORZLQJWKHJHQHUDOPRUHVDQG FRGHV RI D JLYHQ OHJDO V\VWHP WKHLU SDUWLFXODU OHJDO institutions (sensu 3RZHOO  'L0DJJLR   ERWK GLYHUWWRWKDWV\VWHPDQGLWVUHSOLFDWLRQDVKDUHRIWKH YDOXH LQ GLVSXWH 7KLV LV QRW WR VD\ WKDW WKH V\VWHP VHUYHVQRSXUSRVH(FRQRPLVWVZLOODUJXHWKHH[LVWHQFH of a legal framework within which trade can take place DV DQ HVVHQWLDO FRPSRQHQW RI DQ DGYDQFHG HFRQRPLF LQIUDVWUXFWXUH &DVVRQ ,WLVSDUWRIWKHPHPHWLF SDWWHUQWKDWHQDEOHVDSDUWLFXODUIRUPRIZHDOWKFUHDWLQJ VRFLHW\ WR IXQFWLRQ  %DONLQpV   oSUHYDLOLQJ LGHRORJ\pEXWDOVRVHHNVWRGLYHUWWKDWZHDOWKWRZDUGV its own replication. The complicatedness of the legal GLVSXWHEHQHìWVWKHOHJDOPHPHRUOHJDOPHPHV DQG LWVWKHLUFDUULHUV EXWEHFRPHVYDOXHVXEWUDFWLQJUDWKHU WKDQYDOXHFUHDWLQJ>@  /HVWWKLVVHHPOLNHDQDWWDFNRQODZ\HUVLWLV offered as no more than a simple example of inter-orJDQL]DWLRQDOFRPSOLFDWHGQHVV6XEVHWVRIRWKHUSURIHVVLRQDO PHPHV FRQWULEXWH WR YDOXH JHQHUDWLRQ LQ EXW DOVRYDOXHGLYHUVLRQIURPRWKHUIRUPVRIRUJDQL]DWLRQ $ODUJHRUJDQL]DWLRQDV:HHNVDQG*DOXQLF  HPSKDVL]HHQFRPSDVVHVPDQ\PHPHWLFVXEVHWV7HDPV and departments of strategic planners are for example still a common feature of corporate management. The YDOXHWKH\DGGLVGHEDWDEOH0LQW]EHUJ  KDVDUJXHGSHUKDSVIRUVRPHUKHWRULFDOHIIHFWWKDWqWKHRQO\ RUJDQL]DWLRQWRKDYHEHQHìWHGIURPVWUDWHJLFSODQQLQJ LVWKHSURIHVVLRQRIVWUDWHJLFSODQQLQJr:KLWWLQJWRQ  GUDZVDWWHQWLRQWRWKHWHQGHQF\IRUWKHVL]HRI FRUSRUDWLRQVWRULVHQRWWRWKHSRLQWDWZKLFKEHQHìWV RI VFDOH PD[LPL]H WKH HFRQRPLF UHWXUQ WR LQYHVWRUV EXWWRWKHODUJHVWVL]HPDQDJHPHQWFDQFUHDWHZLWKRXW

44

LQYHVWRUVEHFRPLQJGLVVDWLVìHGZLWKWKHLUUHWXUQ7KH FRPSOLFDWHGQHVVRIDGGLWLRQDOJURZWKEHQHìWVDSDUWLFXODUVHWRIPDQDJHULDOPHPHVEXWGLYHUWVUHVRXUFHV WRWKHLUUHSOLFDWLRQUDWKHUWKDQWRWKHSURFHVVRIYDOXH creation. The tendering process referred to earlier justiìHVWKHDFWLYLWLHVRISURFXUHPHQWDQGRWKHUSURIHVVLRQals engaged in the construction and interpretation of contracts and the resolution of the resulting disputes. 3URIHVVLRQDOPHPHVRIYDULRXVNLQGVDUHUHSOLFDWHGDV WKRVHZKRFDUU\WKHPFUHDWHDSHUFHLYHGGHPDQGIRU WKHLUVHUYLFHV7KH(JDQ5HSRUWDQGWKHVXEVHTXHQW PXFKSXEOLFL]HGHIIRUWVE\WKH8.FRQVWUXFWLRQLQGXVWU\WRFKDQJHPDQ\RILWVWUDGLWLRQDOZRUNLQJSUDFWLFHV GUHZPXFKLQVSLUDWLRQIURPWKH&5,1(>@LQLWLDWLYH LQWKH8.pV2IIVKRUH2LOLQGXVWU\7KDWLQLWLDWLYHKDG LWVRULJLQVLQWKHUHDOL]DWLRQWKDWWKHFRPSOLFDWHGQHVV ZKLFKKDGHPHUJHGLQWKHLQGXVWU\LQLWVERRP\HDUV FD KDGSURGXFHGDFRVWVWUXFWXUHLQZKLFK DQHZJHQHUDWLRQRIVPDOOHUìHOGVZRXOGEHLPSRVVLEOH WRGHYHORS7KHEHQHìFLDULHVZHUHWKHOHJLRQRIGLIIHUHQWSURIHVVLRQDOVZKRFRQWULEXWHGWRWKHHPHUJHQFH of such complicatedness[14] and the memes of those particular professions.  +HQFH DQRWKHU SURSRVLWLRQ WR DGG WR WKRVH PDGHDERYH  &RPSOLFDWHGQHVVWKHYDOXHVXEWUDFWLQJPDQDJHULDO SURIHVVLRQDODGPLQLVWUDWLYH FRPSOH[LW\ IRXQG LQRUJDQL]DWLRQVDQGVXSSO\FKDLQVLVDQLQKHUHQW SURSHUW\RIHPHUJHQWPHPHWLFV\VWHPV  7KLVLVQRWWRVD\WKDWLWZLOOLQHYLWDEO\SHUVLVW 1HZOHVVFRPSOLFDWHGRUJDQL]DWLRQDOIRUPVSURGXFH new market offerings, new space is created for new oIDGVpZKLFKRIIHUWKHSRVVLEOHVROXWLRQWRWKHPDQDJHment of complicatedness and sometimes reactions in WKHZLGHUSROLWLFDORUHFRQRPLFHQYLURQPHQWLPSRVH OLPLWVWRJURZWK2YHUFRPSOLFDWHGRUJDQL]DWLRQVRIten go extinct. Their successors emerge with the same GDQJHURIXQDGDSWLELOLW\

Complexity

I

IWKHWKHVLVSUHVHQWHGDERYHLVYDOLGRULIWKHPHWDSKRULFSHUVSHFWLYHLVDSSUHFLDWHGFRPSOLFDWHGQHVV is an offshoot of cRPSOH[LW\&RPSOLFDWHGQHVVLQ turn, generates much of the need for the third sense of oFRPSOH[LW\pWKHIRUPVRIRUJDQL]DWLRQDOLQWHUYHQWLRQ FRPLQJWREHFRQVLGHUHGDVFRPSOH[7KHVKLIWIURP the industrial to the post-industrial age represents a PDMRUSXQFWXDWLRQRIWKHHFRQRPLFHTXLOLEULXPRIWR ZKLFKPDQ\RUJDQL]DWLRQVKDYHDGDSWHG>@2UJDQL]DWLRQDO FRPSOLFDWHGQHVV KDPSHUV HIIRUWV WR FKDQJH and approaches to change rooted in mechanistic and UHGXFWLRQLVWSDUDGLJPVRIRUJDQL]DWLRQDUHLQFUHDVLQJO\ VXVSHFW1HZHUZKROHV\VWHPVLQWHUYHQWLRQVDUHE\QR PHDQVJXDUDQWHHG6RPHDUHLQDSSURSULDWHO\GHVLJQHG E:CO Vol. 6 Nos. 1-2 2004 pp. 40-48

DQGRWKHUVIDLOWRVXIìFLHQWO\LQWHUUXSWWKHLQKHUHQWO\ DXWRSRLHWLFSDWWHUQVLQRUJDQL]DWLRQVWRZKLFKWKH\DUH DSSOLHG 3ULFH 6KDZ%DWFKHORUet al., 1998).  $OO FRPSOH[LW\ EDVHG DSSURDFKHV VKDUH WKH SURSHUW\ RI WU\LQJ LQ VRPH ZD\ WR H[SRVH RU DPHQG OLPLWLQJDVSHFWVRIDQRUJDQL]DWLRQVXQZULWWHQUXOHV VWRULHVEHKDYLRUDOQRUPVPHQWDOPRGHOVRUODQJXDJH 'HVLJQLQJSURFHVVHVDQGHQYLURQPHQWV SK\VLFDORUYLUWXDO ZKHUHGLIIHUHQWIRUPVRIFRQYHUVDWLRQFDQRFFXU EHFRPHVWKHMRERIWKHFRPSOH[LW\FRQVXOWDQW>@,WLV DIRUPRIPHPHWLFHQJLQHHULQJRUPHPHWLFFXOWLYDWLRQ for those for whom the engineering metaphor signals GDQJHU+HQFHDQRWKHUSURSRVLWLRQ  &RPSOH[LW\ EDVHG PDQDJHPHQW RI FKDQJH DQG LQQRYDWLRQ LV D SURFHVV RI FUHDWLQJ SK\VLFDO DQG PHQWDO VSDFH LQ ZKLFK GLIIHUHQW FRQYHUVDWLRQV FDQRFFXUDQGRXWRIZKLFKQHZSRVVLELOLWLHVDUH created.  7KHUHDUHDQDORJLHVZLWKJHQHWLFPRGLìFDWLRQ EXWWKH\DUHLPSUHFLVH$WWKHFXUUHQWVWDWHRIXQGHUVWDQGLQJ *0 WHFKQRORJ\ VHHPV FRQFHUQHG WR VSOLFH particular genes from one species into another the EHWWHUWRHQJHQGHUVRPHGHVLUHG ZKHWKHUGHVLUDEOHRU QRW SURSHUW\,DPQRWDZDUHRISHRSOHGHVLJQLQJQHZ genes from scratch. The same is not true of memes. 6RPHPD\EHWUDQVSRVHGIURPRQHFRQWH[WWRDQRWKHU RWKHUVPD\EHJHQXLQHO\QHZ,IDPHPHWLFVWDQFHRU PHWDSKRUHQDEOHVJURXSVWRKDYHPRUHFUHDWLYHFRQYHUVDWLRQVDQGWRH[SORUHOLPLWLQJSHUFHSWXDOPRGHOV PRUHHDVLO\WKHQLWVHUYHVDXVHIXOSXUSRVH,DUJXHWKDW LWFDQDQGFRPSOH[LW\WKHQEHFRPHVDQDQWLGRWHIRU FRPSOLFDWHGQHVVLWVHOIDE\SURGXFWRIcRPSOH[LW\

Science or not?

I

KDYHRIFRXUVHLJQRUHGLQWKHDERYHFULWLFVRIERWK the neo-Darwinism from which memetics springs, DQGFULWLFVRIPHPHWLFVLWVHOI7KHUHDUHELRORJLVWV ZKRKDYHVRXJKWDOWHUQDWLYHH[SODQDWLRQVIRUWKHRULJLQ RIELRORJLFDOFRPSOH[LW\GULYHQSHUKDSVE\FRQFHUQDW WKHLPSOLFDWLRQVRWKHUVKDYHGUDZQIURPoVXUYLYDORI WKHìWWHVWpDVDPHWDSKRUIRUKXPDQVRFLHW\6WHSKHQ -D\*RXOGLVPRVWRIWHQFLWHGGHVSLWHQXPHURXVHVVD\V in which he has made clear his admiration of Darwin DQGKLVUHIXVDOWRFKDOOHQJHWKHEDVLFWHQHWRIQDWXUDO VHOHFWLRQ5HDGHUVRI*RXOGDQG'DZNLQVZLOOEHIDPLOLDUZLWKWKHGHEDWHV*RXOGpVDUJXPHQWVFRQGHQVH to three: 1.

(YROXWLRQDWOHDVWLQWKHVHQVHRIVSHFLDWLRQLVQRW JUDGXDO(SLVRGHVRIJHRORJLFDOO\VKRUWSXQFWXDWHG HTXLOLEULXP LQWHUVSHUVH ZLWK ORQJ SHULRGV RIVWDELOLW\

2.

6HOHFWLRQDFWVQRWRQJHQHVEXWRQRUJDQLVPV

Price



Selection has no place in theories of cultural or KXPDQVRFLDOEHKDYLRU

 2QWKHìUVWWKHZHLJKWRIJHRORJLFDOHYLGHQFH LVYHU\GHìQLWHO\RQ*RXOGpVVLGH$JHU  SUHVHQWV DUHDGDEOHDFFRXQWZKLOH.DXIIPDQ  DOVRPXFK TXRWHG DV GLVSURYLQJ 'DUZLQLVP FRQFHGHV WKDW WKH pattern of geological extinction with time shows a WHQGHQF\WRGHSDUWIURPSXUHoHGJHRIFKDRVpVHOIRUJDQL]DWLRQ%LRORJLFDOREVHUYDWLRQRIVSHFLDWLRQEHLQJ easier in peripheral isolates than in large populations LV FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK WKH SRLQW WKDW D GRPLQDQW V\VWHP RIoVHOìVKJHQHVpZLOOUHVLVWFKDQJHVLIWKH\FDQ 3ULFH 3ULFH 6KDZFK 2QWKHVHFRQG*RXOG VHHPVRQOHVVVXUHJURXQGDQGPDMRULW\RSLQLRQZRXOG QRZDOLJQEHKLQG+XOOpV RSFLW GLVWLQFWLRQRIUHSOLFDWRUVWKHJHQHVWKHPVHOYHVDQGYHKLFOHVWKHJHQHWLFDOO\HQFRGHGFRQVWUXFWVWKURXJKZKLFKVHOHFWLRQDQG replication is accomplished.  7KHWKLUGSRLQWLVPRUHFRQWHQWLRXV8QGRXEWHGO\ oVRFLDO 'DUZLQLVPp KDV HDUQHG LWV EDG QDPH DV an excuse for eugenics and ethnic cleansing to name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self-replicating meme as a unit of cultural selection FDQEHFRQVLGHUHGRQHRIWKHPDMRUFRXQWHUDUJXPHQWV to genetic determinism which nonetheless remains ZLWKLQWKHVHDUFKIRUDVFLHQWLìFH[SODQDWLRQRIFXOWXUDO FRPSOH[LW\0HPHWLFVLVDFRXQWHUWRWKHIXOOJHQHWLF GHWHUPLQLVPRIHYROXWLRQDU\SV\FKRORJ\  7KHUH LV WKHQ WKH YLHZ HJ &DSUD  *RRGZLQ   WKDW FRPSOH[LW\ LQ VRPH ZD\ GLVplaces Darwinism. Species are the result of some form RI HPHUJHQFH DQG FDQQRW EH UHGXFHG WR WKHLU JHQHV 'DZNLQVZKRVHZRUN,KDYHREYLRXVO\GUDZQKHDYLO\ XSRQLVODEHOOHGRQHRIWKHDUFKUHGXFWLRQLVWVGHVSLWH KLVUHIHUHQFHVWRWKHoFRPSOH[LW\pRIWKHIXQFWLRQLQJRI JHQHWLFV\VWHPV)RUPHDWOHDVWVXFKH[SODQDWLRQVPLVV WKHSRLQW7KHUHLVDQHOHJDQWDQGPLQLPDOVLPSOLFLW\LQ seeing information, encoded in auto-replicating strucWXUHVDVWKHXQGHUO\LQJVFKHPDWDIURPZKLFKFRPSOH[ V\VWHPV VHOIFRQVWUXFW 7KH DXWRFDWDO\WLF SURSHUWLHV RIFRPSOH[QHWZRUNV .DXIIPDQ DQGWKH SURSHUWLHV RI DJHQW EDVHG V\VWHPV UHQGHU LW HDVLHU WR

45

DSSUHFLDWHWKHZRUNLQJVRIJHQHWLFV\VWHPV,QDQGRI WKHPVHOYHV WKH\FDQQRWPDNHDFDVHIRUOLIHZLWKRXW genes.  :KHWKHU PHPHWLFV RU D PHPHWLF VWDQFH RQ FRPSOH[LW\FDQEHIDOVLìHGRUQRWZKHWKHULQWKDWVHQVH it meets the Popperian criterion of a science, remains an RSHQTXHVWLRQ,WRIIHUVKRZHYHUDPLQLPDOLVWKHXULVWLF 0DUVGHQ IURPZKLFKWRGHYHORSDQHYROXWLRQDU\ SHUVSHFWLYH RQ VRFLDO SKHQRPHQD ,I SHUKDSV ZH WDNH /OR\GpV   YLHZ RI FRUSRUDWLRQV DQG RWKHU ODUJHRUJDQL]DWLRQVZLWKDWHQGHQF\WRZDUGVHFRQRPLF SDUDVLWLVP 5RWKVFKLOG DVoDQDOLHQVSHFLHVpZH KDYHDVFLHQWLìFEDVLVIRUWUHDWLQJWKHPDVLQWHQWLRQDO V\VWHPV :HDYHU DQGDQLQVLVWHQFHRQJUHDWHU RUJDQL]DWLRQDODFFRXQWDELOLW\,IWKHPHPHWLFVWDQFHLV YDOLGZHDUHOLNHLWRUQRWFDXJKWLQWKHUDSLGVRIQRQ ELRWLF HYROXWLRQ 7KH VHOìVK PHPH SHUVSHFWLYH PD\ JUDQWJUHDWHUDELOLW\WRXQGHUVWDQGqZKRDQGKRZZH DUHLQWKHQRQHTXLOLEULXPZRUOGZHPXWXDOO\FUHDWH DQGWUDQVIRUPr .DXIIPDQ 7KHPHWDSKRULFDO marriage of reductionism, replicators and complex wholes is one of hope more than despair.

References $JHU ' 9   The nature of the stratigraphical record, Macmillan Press. $EUDKDPVRQ(  q0DQDJHPHQWIDVKLRQrAcademy of Management Review, 21(1): 254-285. %DONLQ-0  Cultural software: A theory of ideology, 1HZ+DYHQ