Conducted for WBUR by WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 ...
Conducted for WBUR by
WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Primary Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016 Survey of 436 Likely Voters, Registered Undeclared (Independent) Which primary are you more likely to vote in—the Democratic Primary or the Republican primary? Or have you not yet made up your mind? Democratic Republican Don’t Know / Have not made up mind / Refused Won’t vote in either TERMINATE
35% 44% 21%
Next question asked to those who said to previous question that they have not made up their mind. Which primary are you leaning toward voting in as of now? Democratic Republican Don’t Know / Refused
30% 30% 41%
Democratic Republican Undecided
41% 50% 9%
Primary choice with leaners:
Next question asked to those who said they are planning to vote in the Democratic primary. Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Democratic primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Republican primary? Sure I will vote in Democratic primary Might change mind, vote in Republican primary Don’t Know / Refused
83% 15% 3%
Next question asked to those who said they are planning to vote in the Republican primary. Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Republican primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Democratic primary? Sure I will vote in Republican primary Might change mind, vote in Democratic primary Don’t Know / Refused
87% 12% 1%
Primary choice certainty: Sure Democratic Democratic, might change Undecided, Leaning Democratic Undecided Undecided, Leaning Republican Republican, might change Sure Republican
29% 6% 6% 9% 6% 6% 38%
Next question asked to those who have not made their mind up which primary to choose. What are the main factors that will help you decide which primary you will vote in? Open end, coded afterwards. Percentages may not add up to 100% as respondents could mention more than one topic. Concerned with specific issues Based on choice of candidates / personal qualities Undecided / Waiting to decide Watching the polls Want to vote against Trump Want to vote against Clinton Want to vote for Sanders Other
24% 20% 14% 10% 8% 8% 4% 14%
I'm going to read you the names of several people who are active in public affairs. After I read each one please tell me if you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of the person. If you have never heard of the person or if you are undecided, please just say so. READ FIRST NAME. How about READ NEXT NAME? REPEAT QUESTION TEXT ONLY IF NECESSARY, PROBE IF RESPONDENT SAYS “DON’T KNOW”. Have you heard of READ NAME and are undecided about (him/her)? Or PAUSE have you never heard of (him/her)? Order rotated. Bernie Sanders John Kasich Hillary Clinton Jeb Bush Chris Christie Marco Rubio Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Favorable 59% 40% 33% 32% 31% 29% 28% 24%
WBUR Poll Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group
Unfavorable 32% 34% 59% 49% 52% 54% 65% 62%
Heard of / Undecided 8% 21% 8% 18% 14% 15% 8% 14%
Never heard of 1% 5% 0%
WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Primary Field Dates: January 16-19, 2016 Survey of 436 Likely Voters, Registered Undeclared (Independent) Which primary are you more likely to vote in—the Democratic Primary or the Republican primary? Or have you not yet made up your mind? Democratic Republican Don’t Know / Have not made up mind / Refused Won’t vote in either TERMINATE
35% 44% 21%
Next question asked to those who said to previous question that they have not made up their mind. Which primary are you leaning toward voting in as of now? Democratic Republican Don’t Know / Refused
30% 30% 41%
Democratic Republican Undecided
41% 50% 9%
Primary choice with leaners:
Next question asked to those who said they are planning to vote in the Democratic primary. Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Democratic primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Republican primary? Sure I will vote in Democratic primary Might change mind, vote in Republican primary Don’t Know / Refused
83% 15% 3%
Next question asked to those who said they are planning to vote in the Republican primary. Would you say you are sure you will vote in the Republican primary, or is it possible you will change your mind and vote in the Democratic primary? Sure I will vote in Republican primary Might change mind, vote in Democratic primary Don’t Know / Refused
87% 12% 1%
Primary choice certainty: Sure Democratic Democratic, might change Undecided, Leaning Democratic Undecided Undecided, Leaning Republican Republican, might change Sure Republican
29% 6% 6% 9% 6% 6% 38%
Next question asked to those who have not made their mind up which primary to choose. What are the main factors that will help you decide which primary you will vote in? Open end, coded afterwards. Percentages may not add up to 100% as respondents could mention more than one topic. Concerned with specific issues Based on choice of candidates / personal qualities Undecided / Waiting to decide Watching the polls Want to vote against Trump Want to vote against Clinton Want to vote for Sanders Other
24% 20% 14% 10% 8% 8% 4% 14%
I'm going to read you the names of several people who are active in public affairs. After I read each one please tell me if you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of the person. If you have never heard of the person or if you are undecided, please just say so. READ FIRST NAME. How about READ NEXT NAME? REPEAT QUESTION TEXT ONLY IF NECESSARY, PROBE IF RESPONDENT SAYS “DON’T KNOW”. Have you heard of READ NAME and are undecided about (him/her)? Or PAUSE have you never heard of (him/her)? Order rotated. Bernie Sanders John Kasich Hillary Clinton Jeb Bush Chris Christie Marco Rubio Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Favorable 59% 40% 33% 32% 31% 29% 28% 24%
WBUR Poll Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group
Unfavorable 32% 34% 59% 49% 52% 54% 65% 62%
Heard of / Undecided 8% 21% 8% 18% 14% 15% 8% 14%
Never heard of 1% 5% 0%
