Considering within year rainfall patterns Considering 104 years of ...

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Normalized Deficit Index: Using 104 years of climate data Fraction of average annual rainfall needed to meet the demands

Considering within year rainfall patterns

Considering 104 years of climate variability & effects of multiyear droughts

“GRACE Satellite detects largest groundwater mining Operation in the world” The E-W band depicting the excessive groundwater extraction is the food bowl region of the country

One of the most heavily populated (600 million people) & intensely irrigated regions in world

Source: Tiwari, et al., 2009

Current Cropping Pattern

Rainfed Results – Optimal Cropping Pattern

Spatial Income distribution - Much of the country is benefiting from the new cropping patterns

Negative due to lower comparative yields and prices of oilseeds & pulses in the region

Fractional increase/decrease from current income

Shadow Price distribution – change in net agri revenue (Rs/Hectare) Rainfed – Area Constraint

Irrigation Constraint

0 - 50 50 - 100 100 - 150 150 - 500

Rainfed and Irrigated – Comparative Results

Current Practice

Optimum pattern Optimum pattern under rainfed under irrigated

National Agricultural Revenue ($ billions)

8.58

17.75

22.14

Irrigation Water Requirement (1000 billion liters)

165

94

132

Energy usage (GWH)

14856

-

14759