Economic Challenges facing the 45th Parliament

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Melbourne Economic Forum

Economic Challenges facing the 45th Parliament Dr David Gruen Deputy Secretary, Economic Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet

IMF forecasts – global GDP growth

Source: IMF

Australian labour market

Source: ABS cat. no. 6202.0

Real wages

Notes: real wages are calculated by dividing the wage price index (seasonally adjusted) by the consumer price index (seasonally adjusted, excluding interest & tax changes of 1999-2000); growth rates are through-the-year geometric averages 4 Source: ABS cat. no. 6345.0; RBA; PM&C calculations

Non-farm labour costs and productivity (TTY)

Source: ABS cat no. 5206.0; RBA

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Australian government budget balance* Share of GDP

* Underlying cash balance; 2016/17 Budget. Source: Commonwealth Treasury

Melbourne Economic Forum

Economic Challenges facing the 45th Parliament Dr David Gruen Deputy Secretary, Economic Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet