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Stainless Steel in Figures 2017

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 2

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Contents History and Competition

Potential

Compound annual growth rate of world stainless melt shop production

Stainless steel demand versus stainless steel consumption

Regional share of stainless steel production

Per capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel for selected countries.

Stainless steel production versus plastics production Compound annual growth rate of major metals

GDP PPP per capita versus stainless steel use per capita.

Actual Performance

Comparison of direct stainless steel use versus total stainless steel use

Stainless melt shop production

Stainless steel use per sector - 2016

Stainless melt shop production by quarter Stainless steel foreign trade Apparent stainless steel use by region Stainless melt shop production by region Stainless melt shop production by grade Stainless melt shop production by quarter

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ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 3

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Secretary-General’s Message Dear Members This is the sixth in what is now a regular series of Annual Statistical Publications, known as “Stainless Steel in Figures”. JOHN ROWE Secretary-General It is commonly and openly acknowledged that we have the most accurate and reliable data in the stainless steel industry – and it is logical that this should be so. No-one knows our industry as well as our members and we are the focal point for the collection and analysis of the statistical data which forms the substance of this book. But this information only acquires a value if it is used. There is a wealth of data on our Extranet and our Website, with appropriate historical information. This book summarises what is available, but you are encouraged to make regular use of our database. If you do not have a password to gain access to our extranet, or if you have had one and cannot find it, please contact Jo ([email protected]) and she will send you fresh access details.

Following the successful introduction of statistical data from our colleagues in the raw materials’ associations in 2015, this has now become a regular feature. It has the advantage of providing readers with a ready reference source of all statistical information about stainless steel and its essential elements in one book. We acknowledge and appreciate the efforts of our raw materials partners in the Team Stainless network for their assistance in providing their up-dated data for this book. We are grateful to the International Chrome Development Association (ICDA), the International Nickel Study Group (INSG) and the International Molybdenum Association (IMOA) all of whom continue to openly share their information with us. We kindly remind readers that the raw materials data is confidential and is for the use of ISSF members and the members of the contributing associations only. That information should please not be re-published without the express permission of the associations and any republication must include the applicable source – ISSF, ICDA, INSG or IMOA. Of course, the stainless steel data belongs to you as members of the ISSF and you are welcome to use it as you wish.

If any of you have any comments or suggestions on how this book may be improved for future editions, or perhaps on other information which you would like us to include, please let me know. John Rowe Secretary-General, International Stainless Steel Forum (ISSF) Brussels, May 2017

HISTORY AND COMPETITION

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 4

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Compound annual growth rate of world stainless melt shop production (slab/ingot equivalent)

Figure 1

Million metric tonnes (Mt)

Compound annual growth: 5.86%

45.8Mt (2015)

1 Mt 1950

2016

HISTORY AND COMPETITION

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 5

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Regional share of stainless steel production

Figure 2

Rest of World 3%

Rest of World 1%

EU-27 16%

China 13% EU-27 34%

Americas 6% China 54%

2005 Other Asia (excluding China) 39%

2016 Other Asia (excluding China) 22%

Americas 11%

HISTORY AND COMPETITION

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 6

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Stainless steel production versus plastics production.

Figure 3

400

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41.5 Mt (2015)

Index: 1990 = 100

350

300

250 Stainless Steel 200

150 Plastics 100

6.9 Mt

50 1980

2015

HISTORY AND COMPETITION

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 7

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Figure 4

Compound annual growth rate of major metals (%/year): 1980 - 2016

Average: 2.40%

Lead: 2.00%

Copper: 2.73%

Zinc: 2.25%

Aluminium: 3.80%

Carbon Steel: 2.31%

Stainless Steel: 5.40%

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ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 8

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Table 1 Stainless melt shop production (ingot/slab equivalent) in 1,000 metric tonnes. Note: A major correction of Chinese data in 2011 means data from 2011 onwards is not comparable with earlier years. Country/region

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Belgium

1,306

1,241

1,241

1,298

1,388

Belgium/Austria Finland

998

1,003

1,078

1,080

2016

1,607

1,672

2,215

2,327

1,216

Finland/Sweden/UK France

2015

276

300

285

300

323

291

287

Germany

1,509

1,502

1,313

1,091

864

459

414

Italy

1,583

1,602

1,696

1,556

1,457

1,452

1,421

Spain

844

807

844

855

945

979

1,002

Sweden

546

586

510

501

541

United Kingdom

279

330

294

257

295

Other EU

152

188

195

211

223

165

157

European Union

7,494

7,559

7,455

7,147

7,252

7,169

7,280

USA

2,201

2,074

1,977

2,030

2,389

2,346

2,481

409

413

391

425

424

401

450

Americas

2,609

2,486

2,368

2,454

2,813

2,747

2,931

Japan

3,427

3,247

3,166

3,175

3,328

3,061

3,093

South Korea

2,048

2,157

2,167

2,143

2,038

2,231

2,276

Taiwan, China

1,514

1,203

1,107

1,067

1,108

1,109

1,263

China

11,256

14,091

16,087

18,984

21,692

21,562

24,938

India

2,022

2,163

2,834

2,891

2,858

3,060

3,324

Asia

20,267

22,861

25,361

28,260

31,025

31,024

34,894

South Africa

480

443

503

492

472

514

582

Russia

122

125

112

152

123

95

90

Ukraine

118

147

118

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

31,090

33,621

35,917

38,506

41,686

41,548

45,778

Brazil

World

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 9

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Table 2 Stainless melt shop production (slab/ingot equivalent) by quarter in 1,000 metric tonnes: 2015 compared to 2016

Quarter 1

Quarter 2

First half

Quarter 3

Quarter 4

Second half

Full year

Western Europe/ Africa

Central & Eastern Europe

The Americas

Asia (excluding China)

China

World

2015

2,007

64

768

2,366

5,015

10,220

2016

1,958

65

642

2,395

5,214

10,274

% change

-2.4

0.7

-16.4

1.2

4.0

0.5

2015

2,058

69

685

2,318

5,852

10,982

2016

2,047

61

722

2,447

6,551

11,827

% change

-0.6

-10.6

5.3

5.5

11.9

7.7

2015

4,065

133

1,453

4,684

10,867

21,202

2016

4,005

126

1,363

4,842

11,765

22,102

% change

-1.5

-5.1

-6.2

3.4

8.3

4.2

2015

1,673

65

693

2,392

5,371

10,195

2016

1,761

63

815

2,524

6,321

11,483

% change

5.3

-3.4

17.6

5.5

17.7

12.6

2015

1,780

61

601

2,385

5,324

10,152

2016

1,939

58

753

2,590

6,852

12,193

% change

8.9

-4.8

25.2

8.6

28.7

20.1

2015

3,453

126

1,294

4,777

10,696

20,346

2016

3,700

121

1,568

5,115

13,172

23,676

% change

7.1

-4.1

21.2

7.1

23.2

16.4

2015

7,518

259

2,747

9,461

21,562

41,548

2016

7,705

247

2,931

9,957

24,938

45,778

% change

2.5

-4.6

6.7

5.2

15.7

10.2

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 10

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Figure 5

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Stainless steel foreign trade

Hot plate and sheet 6.6%

Hot plate and sheet 6.7%

Hot coils 27.0%

Hot coils 28.7% Cold rolled flat 47.7%

2014

Semis flat 1.1% Cold bars/wire 7.2% Hot bars/wire rod 8.2%

Semis long 2.1%

Cold rolled flat 47.2%

2016

Semis flat 1.2% Cold bars/wire 6.8% Hot bars/wire rod 7.9%

Semis long 1.6%

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 11

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Table 3 Foreign trade exports of stainless steel in 1,000 metric tonnes. Includes feedstock material for further processing. Note: *Indicated imports from that region 2015

Destination

Africa

Middle East

Australia/ Oceania

NAFTA

Western Europe

Total

107.2

13.1

29.5

9.8

23.8

1.7

138.7

334.7

103.2

4,951.6

137.5

139.8

215.5

484.3

72.7

1,386.2

7,490.9

Eastern Europe

0.0

3.8

22.5

0.0

0.0

2.3

0.0

12.3

40.9

Latin America

2.8

25.7

2.6

41.2

4.3

15.7

0.4

36.6

129.3

Middle East*

0.0

3.2

0.0

0.0

n/a

4.1

0.6

1.1

9.0

NAFTA

0.7

81.6

0.2

32.9

2.6

659.0

0.8

133.5

911.3

Australia/Oceania

0.0

2.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.6

0.4

0.2

3.6

76.8

435.9

95.6

48.9

60.8

376.4

19.8

7,269.6

8,383.9

194.6

5,611.4

271.4

292.4

293.0

1,566.2

96.3

8,978.3

17,303.6

Asia

Western Europe Total

2016

Destination

Africa

Eastern Europe

Asia

Latin America

Middle East

Australia/ Oceania

NAFTA

Western Europe

Total

10.6

147.6

29.4

37.7

18.9

19.2

1.2

157.9

422.5

115.7

5,611.8

191.2

141.0

221.8

449.7

71.6

1,584.6

8,387.4

Eastern Europe

0.0

4.3

23.9

0.0

0.0

1.9

0.0

15.2

45.3

Latin America

2.4

19.0

3.7

44.3

3.3

27.8

0.3

39.8

140.5

Middle East

0.1

6.3

0.0

0.0

50.2

0.7

0.0

1.7

59.0

NAFTA

0.9

74.6

0.1

22.7

2.7

724.5

1.4

90.8

917.8

Australia/Oceania

0.0

2.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.4

1.3

0.5

4.4

72.9

433.4

95.7

39.0

52.9

356.0

16.9

7,467.1

8,533.8

202.6

6,299.1

344.1

284.7

349.9

1,580.1

92.8

9,357.6

18,510.9

Africa Asia Origin

Latin America

11.0

Africa

Origin

Eastern Europe

Asia

Western Europe Total

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 12

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Table 4 Foreign trade exports of stainless steel scrap in 1,000 metric tonnes. Includes feedstock material for further processing. Note: *Indicated imports from that region 2015

Destination

Origin

Africa

Eastern Europe

Asia

Middle East

Australia/ Oceania

NAFTA

Western Europe

Total

Africa

0.0

14.2

0.0

0.0

0.4

0.0

0.3

1.5

16.5

Asia

1.2

647.5

0.0

0.1

0.4

0.3

0.0

21.1

670.5

Eastern Europe

0.0

3.5

0.3

1.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

84.3

89.3

Latin America

0.0

30.2

0.0

0.4

0.0

2.6

0.0

35.5

68.9

Middle East*

0.0

80.4

0.0

0.0

n/a

0.0

0.0

11.4

91.8

NAFTA

0.0

524.6

0.0

1.9

1.1

209.2

0.1

64.8

801.7

Australia/Oceania

0.0

49.8

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.0

0.2

1.7

51.7

Western Europe

0.6

365.8

1.5

0.1

1.2

0.9

0.0

3,172.5

3,542.5

Total

1.8

1,716.0

1.8

3.7

3.3

213.0

0.5

3,392.8

5,332.9

2016

Destination

Africa

Origin

Latin America

Eastern Europe

Asia

Latin America

Middle East

Australia/ Oceania

NAFTA

Western Europe

Total

Africa

0.0

7.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.0

6.1

13.3

Asia

1.8

744.7

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.5

0.0

16.6

763.8

Eastern Europe

0.0

5.8

1.5

0.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

97.9

105.5

Latin America

0.0

24.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

1.0

0.0

35.3

60.5

Middle East*

0.0

87.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

10.8

98.1

NAFTA

0.1

515.8

0.0

1.4

0.8

452.2

0.1

30.9

1,001.3

Australia/Oceania

0.0

63.0

0.0

0.0

0.1

0.0

0.4

2.6

66.0

Western Europe

0.0

318.9

5.7

0.0

1.7

1.8

0.1

2,917.2

3,245.4

Total

1.9

1,766.7

7.2

1.9

2.9

455.6

0.5

3,117.3

5,353.9

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 13

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Figure 6

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Apparent stainless steel use by region.

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

2006

2007

Western Europe

2008

2009

2010

Central/Eastern Europe

2011 Americas

2012

2013

2014

Asia excluding China

2015 China

2016 Others

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 14

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Figure 7

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Stainless melt shop production (slab/ingot equivalent) by region in 1,000 metric tonnes

45 40 35 30

31.094 28.706

28.146 26.218

24.904

25 20 15 10 5 0

2006

2007

Western Europe

2008

2009

2010

Central/Eastern Europe

Major correction of Chinese data for 2011, not comparable with previous years

45.778 41.686

41.548

2014

2015

38.506 35.917 33.621

2011 Americas

2012

2013

Asia excluding China

2016 China

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 15

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Stainless meltshop production (slab/ingot equivalent) by grade.

Figure 8

Major correction of Chinese data for 2011, not comparable with previous years

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2006

2007

2008

2009

CrNi grades (300-series)

2010

2011

2012

CrMn grades (200 series)

2013

2014

2015

Q1

Cr grades (400 series)

Q2

Q3

Q4

2016

Other/not known

ACTUAL PERFORMANCE

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 16

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Figure 9

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Stainless meltshop production (slab/ingot equivalent) by quarter in 1,000 metric tonnes

Major correction of Chinese data for 2011, not comparable with previous years

13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 2006

Quarter 1

2007

2008

2009

2010

Quarter 2

2011

2012

2013

Quarter 3

2014

2015

2016

Quarter 4

POTENTIAL

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 17

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Figure 10

Stainless steel demand versus stainless steel consumption

Stainless steel consumption (000t) 2500

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Stainless steel demand index (2010=100)

Europe/Africa

2500

Americas 230

120 2000

2000

190 100 1500

1500

150 80 1000

1000

110 60

500

500

70 40

0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

POTENTIAL

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 18

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Figure 11

Stainless steel demand versus stainless steel consumption

Stainless steel consumption (000t) 4500

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Stainless steel demand index (2010=100)

Asia 220

4000

200

3500

180 160

3000 140 2500

120

2000

100

5500

China

5000 180

4500 4000

160

3500

140

3000

120

2500 100

80

1500

60

2000 80

1500

1000

500

0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

40

1000

20

500 0

60

40 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

POTENTIAL

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 19

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Figure 12

Stainless steel demand versus stainless steel consumption

Stainless steel consumption (000t) 10500

Stainless steel demand index (2010=100)

World 150

9450 125

8400 7350

100 6300 5250

75

4200 50

3150 2100

25 1050 0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

0

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POTENTIAL

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 20

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Per capita direct and indirect use of stainless steel (kg/capita) for selected countries. Source: IMF, Yale

Figure 13

35

2005

2010

30

25

20

15

10

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POTENTIAL

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 21

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GDP PPP per capita versus stainless steel use per capita. Source: IMF, ISSF, Yale.

Figure 14

US$60000

US$60000

US$55000

US$55000

US$50000

USA

US$50000

USA

Australia

US$45000

Germany

US$45000

Australia

US$40000

France

US$40000

UK Germany

UK

US$35000

Japan

France

Korea

US$20000

US$20000

Russia

2010

5

Turkey Mexico Brazil

Thailand China South Africa Indonesia

US$10000

India

Indonesia India

0

Russia

US$15000

Mexico Turkey Brazil South Africa Thailand China

US$5000

Korea

US$30000

US$25000

US$10000

Italy

US$35000

US$25000

US$15000

Japan

Spain

Italy

Spain

US$30000

Taiwan, China

Taiwan, China

US$5000

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0

2014

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

POTENTIAL

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 22

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Comparison of direct stainless steel use (mill products) versus total stainless steel use (plus trade balance of stainless containing goods). Source: IMF, Yale, Vale Inco

Figure 15 45

45

40

40

Direct use

35

Total use

30

30

25

25

20

20

15

15

10

10

5

5

A

UK

US

wa

i Ta

2005

na

hi

C n,

n

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Sp

So

u

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M

ly

Ita

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di

In

an

G

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Direct use

35

ce

an Fr

a

in

Ch

il

az Br

Total use

A

UK

US

wa

i Ta

2010

na

hi

C n,

n

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Sp

So

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Af

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POTENTIAL

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 23

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Figure 16

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Stainless steel use per sector - 2016

Electrical machinery 7.7%

Motor vehicles and parts 9.6%

Mechanical engineering 27.8% Metal products 37.8%

Motor vehicles in developed countries 19.0%

Other transport 4.9% Construction 12.2%

Motor vehicles in developing countries 5.1%

ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 24

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Data sources Unless otherwise indicated, all data in this booklet has been provided by the International Stainless Steel Forum (ISSF). Data has also been provided by: 1. International Monetary Fund (IMF) 2. Vale Inco 3. Yale University: School of Forestry and Environmental Studies (Reck et al.)

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ISSF STAINLESS STEEL IN FIGURES 2017- 25

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About ISSF The International Stainless Steel Forum (ISSF) is a non-profit research and development organisation which was founded in 1996 and which serves as the focal point for the international stainless steel industry.

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Who are the members? ISSF has two categories of membership: company members and affiliated members. Company members are producers of stainless steel (integrated mills and rerollers). The association has 56 members from all over the world and currently represents approximately 90% of the total production of stainless steel.

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For more information about ISSF, please consult our website worldstainless.org.

For more information about stainless steel and sustainability, please consult the sustainablestainless.org website.

Disclaimer The International Stainless Steel Forum believes that the information presented is technically correct. However, ISSF, its members, staff and consultants specifically disclaim any and all liability or responsibility of any kind for loss, damage, or injury resulting from the use of the information contained in this brochure.

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