Revenue Overview FY 2015 Proposed Budget - Arlingtonva

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Revenue Overview FY 2015 Proposed Budget

County Board Work Session – February 27, 2014

Recent Board Inquiries • Regional Tax Advertisement and Budget Schedules • State Budget & General Assembly Actions

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Regional Tax Advertisement & Budget Schedule CY 2013 Tax Rates

Arlington County

$0.993 - base $0.013 -stormwater

Residential Assessment Change 2013-2014 6.13%

Total Assessment Base Change

5.79%

$0.125 - commercial only

CY 2014 Tax Rates Proposed $0.993 – base & advertised $0.013 -stormwater

$1.038 -base

4.80%

3.56%

$1.038 – base

City of Falls Church

$1.305 - base

6.73%

6.77%

Not available Proposes budget on March 10

Fairfax County

City of Fairfax

$0.125 - commercial only $1.04 -base $0.02 - stormwater

7.06%

5.77%

Loudoun County

$1.085 - base $0.0225 - stormwater $0.001 - pest control $0.015 - leaf collection

May 1 April 28

April 29

$0.125 - commercial only Not available Proposes budget in March

Not available

Not available

$1.181 -base $0.0727 -fire $0.0025 – moth control

7.5%

2.5%

$1.126 –base $0.0693 -fire $0.0025 – moth control

April 29

$1.205 – base

8.68%

8.30%

$1.1553 – base (proposed)

April 2

$0.055 - commercial only

Prince William County

April 22

$0.125 - commercial only

City of Alexandria

$1.085 - base $0.020 - stormwater $0.001 -pest control $0.015 -leaf collection

FY 2015 Budget Adoption Date

Not available

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Jurisdiction Tax Rate Comparison Total Rate Applied to Residential Properties $1.40 $1.305

$1.30

$1.256 $1.198

$1.205

$1.20

$1.155 $1.121 $1.123

$1.10 $1.006 $1.006

$1.060

$1.038 $1.038

$1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50 Arlington

Alexandria

Fairfax County

CY 2013 Adopted

Fairfax City

Falls Church

Loudoun

Prince William

CY 2014 Proposed/Advertised

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State Revenue Proposed Budget • State revenue up from FY 2014 adopted ($4.2 million / 6.5%) – Highway aid up $1.6 million in line with state estimates – Comp Board increases based on Governor’s proposed budget ($99k) • Deputy Sheriff, Deputy Court Clerks, & Assistant Commonwealth Attorneys – Two new grants in Mental Health/Intellectual Disability – Commuter Assistance increases due to early notification of grant funds

General Assembly Action • Adjustments to FY 2015 estimates will be recommended by County Manager at 3rd Quarter Review – Compensation Board – HB 599 Law Enforcement Aid – E-911

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State Budget • February 26: Completed action on budget bills & put them into conference • March 8 or 9: Conferees expected to complete budget, followed by the vote • March 8: Session scheduled to adjourn sine die • April 7: Last day for Governor’s action on legislation • April 23: Reconvened Session • July 1: Effective date of enacted legislation

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State Tax Revenue Generated in Arlington (FY 2012) $800.0 $700.0 $600.0

$699.3

($ millions)

$500.0 $400.0 $300.0 $200.0 $182.7

$100.0 $0.0

Revenue Generated for State

Revenue Returned to Arlington

Revenue generated for the state does not include tax revenue related to car rentals ($7.8 million generated), corporate income (no measures available), and motor vehicles (vehicle sales and use tax, vehicle gas tax, vehicle license fees, vehicle license plate fees, and vehicle title registration fees).

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General Fund Revenue By Source

License, Permits & Fees, 1% Charges for Services, 5%

Local Taxes, 85%

State, 6%

Misc., 2% Federal, 1%

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Local Tax Revenue by Source (General Fund)

RE Detached & Townhouse, 25%

RE Commercial, 21%

RE Apartments, 13%

RE Condominium, 9%

PP Bus. Tangible, 4%

Meals, 4% Utility Tax, 1%

PP Vehicle, 8% BPOL, 6%

Other, 2%

Transient Occ., 2% Sales, 4% Communication, 1%

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FY 2014 to FY 2015 Proposed Revenue Changes Revenue Source

Real Estate

FY 2014 Adopted

FY 2015 Proposed

(millions)

(millions)

$ Change (millions)

% Change

$603.0

$643.7

$40.6

6.7%

Personal Property

106.5

108.7

2.2

2.0%

Business License

60.5

59.5

(1.0)

-1.7%

Sales

40.9

40.0

(0.9)

-2.2%

Meals

34.7

36.8

2.1

6.1%

Transient Occupancy

21.8

21.8

0.0

0.0%

Other Taxes

37.8

37.4

(0.4)

-0.9%

$905.2

$947.9

$42.7

4.7%

Charges for Service

51.2

53.9

2.8

5.4%

Fines, Interest, Rents

12.9

15.4

14.2

-8.1%

State

64.9

69.1

4.2

6.5%

Federal

14.5

15.2

0.7

4.8%

(existing rate: $0.993)

Total Taxes

Total revenue excludes prior year fund balances carried over.

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Tax & Fee Changes in Proposed Budget • Tax Rates – Real Estate Tax Rate – proposed budget includes the base tax rate of $0.993/$100 of assessed value – The advertised base tax rate is $0.993 – no change from CY 2013

No Change Recommended – Stormwater Tax Rate – $0.013/$100 (of assessed value) – Commercial Transportation Tax Rate – $0.125/$100 – Personal Property & Business Tangible Tax – $5.00/$100 – Business License Tax Rates – no changes to various rates – Business Improvement Districts – proposed budget assumes flat tax rates for all BIDs; fully funds the proposed business plan for each. 11

Tax & Fee Changes (Continued) • Fees – ART bus fares to be consistent with WMATA – Increase various Park & Recreation fees – Increase accident report, criminal history check, & police report verification fees for Police to $10 per request – Increase household solid waste rate $6.96 from $293.76 to $300.72 • Advertised rate of $313.80 ($20.04 annual increase) in order to consider expanding service and allowance for contract rates currently being negotiated

– New Dept. of Human Services fee for nursing case management on a sliding scale in line with CSB fees. 85% of clients would pay $13 per month or less. • Revenue not included in base budget.

• Other Funds – Utilities Fund - Water/sewer rate increases $0.43 per thousand gallons to $13.04. Corresponds to an estimated annual increase of $30.10 per household annually, assuming 70,000 gallons of water consumption.

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Tax & Fee Burden on Average Household Summary of Residential Taxes and Fees Average Homeowner Impact

CY 2010

CY 2011

CY 2012

CY 2013

CY 2014 (FY 2015) Proposed

Average Assmt Tax Rate (Inc. Sanitary Dist)

503,200

510,200

519,400

524,700

$552,700

$0.958

$0.958

$0.971

$1.006

$1.006

Real Estate Tax

$4,821

$4,888

$5,043

$5,278

$5,560

Personal Property*

273

322

368

410

459

Annual Decal Fee*

66

66

66

66

66

Refuse Fee

344

326

294

294

301

Water / Sewer Service

822

853

883

883

913

Residential Utility Tax

72

72

72

72

72

Total Residential Tax & Fees

$6,398

$6,527

$6,726

$7,003

$7,371

Percent Change

5.7%

2.0%

3.0%

4.1%

5.3%

Dollar Change

$347

$129

$199

$277

$368

* For two car household

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Real Estate Assessment Information

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Average Single Family Home Assessment CY 2005 – CY 2014 $600,000 $541,800 $537,500

$550,000

$552,700 $530,800 $520,100 $503,200

$510,200

$519,400

CY 2011

CY 2012

$524,700

$500,000 $458,200

$450,000

$400,000

$350,000

$300,000

$250,000 CY 2005

CY 2006

CY 2007

CY 2008

CY 2009

CY 2010

CY 2013

CY 2014

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1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

$'s Billions

Total Commercial versus Total Residential Real Estate Tax Base Value 1977 to 2014 $35

$30

$25

$20

$15

$10

$5

$Commercial RE Residential RE

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Assessment Base Percent Change Residential vs. Commercial 1995-2014 (year-over-year percent change) 30%

Commercial

Residential

Total Growth

25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15%

CY '95 CY '96 CY '97 CY '98 CY '99 CY '00 CY '01 CY '02 CY '03 CY '04 CY '05 CY '06 CY '07 CY '08 CY '09 CY '10 CY '11 CY '12 CY'13 CY'14

Commercial

-2.3% 3.6%

3.8%

5.5%

6.7%

7.5%

Residential

1.9%

0.4%

0.6%

0.0%

3.1%

6.3% 10.8% 21.9% 20.4% 17.2% 25.2% 22.9% 2.4%

0.9% -1.1% -2.5% 1.7%

1.3%

1.0%

6.1%

Total Growth -0.1% 1.9%

2.2%

2.7%

4.9%

6.9% 10.0% 15.7% 16.5% 12.3% 18.9% 19.8% 7.2%

5.9%

7.3%

2.0%

5.8%

9.3%

9.7% 12.3% 6.5% 11.0% 15.3% 14.5% 12.5% 2.5% -11.3% 12.6% 14.3% 2.9% 0.5% -6.6% 6.4%

5.4%

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General Fund Comparative Tax Burden Residential vs. Commercial Tax Base 65.0%

59%

60.0%

60%

56% 55.0%

50.0%

58%

53%

55% 54%

57% 54%

52%

50% 49% 49%

48% 45.0%

46%

47% 42%

44% 40.0%

51% 51%

41%

45% 46%

43%

40%

35.0%

CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY CY 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Residential

Commercial

If we include the Stormwater Fund and Transportation Fund, the percentages for tax burden would shift: Commercial 51%; Residential 49%

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Personal Property Tax Revenue FY 2011 – FY 2015 Business Tangible

Vehicles

$120.0 $106.50

$108.65

$35.24

$35.20

$33.50

$71.72

$71.30

$75.15

$61.28

$65.72

FY 2011

FY 2012

FY 2013

FY 2014 Adopted

FY 2015 Proposed

$100.93

$ Millions

$100.0 $80.0

$106.96

$95.25

$33.97

$35.21

$60.0 $40.0 $20.0 $-

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Average Vehicle Value CY 2008 - CY 2014 $10,000

$9,284 $8,842

$9,000 $8,000

$8,421 $7,905

$7,735 $7,218

$7,264

2009

2010

$7,000 $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 2008

2011

2012

2013

2014 projected

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Proposed Formula for Allocation of State Relief Monies Clean fuel vehicles & Vehicles Equipped to Transport the Physically Disabled •

100% exemption on first $3,000 of value



50% exemption on value from $3,001 – $20,000



No exemption on value over $20,000

Conventional fuel vehicles •

100% exemption on first $3,000 of value



Balance of remaining subsidy provided to conventional fuel value from $3,001 to $20,000



Current assumption is that 27% exemption will be available for this portion of vehicle value

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Regional Personal Property CY 2013 Tax Rate Comparison 5.5

Arlington & Loudoun base assessments on the average loan value, which is 10% lower than the average trade-in value, resulting lower "effective" tax rates

$5.00

$5.00

$4.84

5 $4.50

$4.57

4.5

$4.20 $3.78

4

$3.70

3.5 3 Arlington

City of City of Falls Alexandria Church

Fairfax County

Loudoun

Prince William

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Business, Professional, Occupational License Tax (BPOL) $65

$61.9

$61.3 $60.5

$60.5

$ millions

$60

$59.5

$55

$50

$45

$40

FY 2011

FY 2012

FY 2013

FY 2014 Adopted

FY 2015 Proposed

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FY 2013 BPOL by Month $35,000,000 52.6%

% of Revenue Received for Fiscal year $30,000,000

$25,000,000 33.5% $20,000,000

$15,000,000

$10,000,000

$5,000,000

4.9% 0.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.5%

0.1%

0.3%

4.2% 1.5%

1.0%

$-

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Sales Tax, Meals Tax, & Transient Occupancy Tax Revenue $45.0 $40.9

$39.4

$40.0

$ Millions

$35.0

$40.0

$38.6

$36.8

$36.9

$34.7

$34.7

$33.4 $31.4

$30.0 $25.0

$21.8

$22.3

$21.8

$21.8

$21.8

$20.0 $15.0 $10.0 FY 2011

FY 2012

Sales

FY 2013

Meals

FY 2014 Adopted

FY 2015 Proposed

Transient 25

Changing Trend in Sales Tax Revenue 0.2 FY 2012 – 10 months positive / 2 months negative

FY 2013 – 9 months positive / 3 months negative

0.15

0.1 12 month moving average

0.05

0

-0.05

-0.1

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Other Tax Revenue FY 2014 Adopted

FY 2015 Proposed

($ millions)

($ millions)

Utility Tax

$11.7

Communications Tax

(millions)

% Change

$11.8

$0.1

1%

$7.8

$7.5

($0.3)

(4%)

Recordation Tax

$6.0

$6.0

Flat

0%

Car Rental Tax

$5.40

$5.35

($0.05)

(1%)

Cigarette Tax

$3.2

$3.0

($0.2)

(6%)

Revenue Source

$ Change

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Non-Tax Revenue • Charges for Services (up $2.8 million / 5% increase) • Parking meter revenue down 4% • Increased revenue from Commuter Store & Arlington Transit reflects new and expanded ART bus routes and increased fares • Recreational program fee income • Reimbursements from City of Falls Church • Reflects increase in refuse rate from $293.76 to $300.72

• Fines, Interest, Rents (down $1.3 million / 8% decline) • Parking tickets decrease $1.6 million based on recent actual receipts • Fines revenue increases $0.2 million based on recent actual receipts

• Licenses, Permits, Fees (>$0.1 million / 1% increase) • Motor vehicle license fees ($100,000) • Highway Permits related to use of public right of way ($70,000) 28

Federal Revenue • Federal revenue increases 5% ($0.7 million). – CSBG, CDBG, & HUD/HOME grants expected to decrease 5% – Addition of a new Bureau of Justice Assistance grant for a Drug Court Coordinator ($112,402) – New Community Oriented Policing Services (COPS) grant ($245,669)

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Revenue Overview FY 2015 Proposed Budget

County Board Work Session – February 27, 2014