SMD Status and Issues
SMD STATUS AND ISSUES MARCH 2008
www.nasa.gov
Alan Stern Associate Administrator/SMD
SMD’s Science Program Leads The World
$4.441B/yr budget.
Large Earth science, heliophysics, planetary science, & astrophysics programs. 53 flight missions in operation. 41 flight missions in development. 3000+ operating R&A grants. These numbers exceed the combined efforts of all other Earth & space science programs of the World.
SMD Major Activities: Next 12 months
PRESENTATION OVERVIEW SMD Overview & ’08 Events FY09 SMD Budget Overview Mars Next Decade MSL Issues Q&A
FY09 PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: OVERVIEW
SMD MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVES
We will get more science done within our budget. We will help ensure that U.S. Space Exploration Policy succeeds. We will promote U.S. leadership across all of SMD’s science disciplines. We will improve SMD’s actual and its perceived impact on, and relevance to, the public. We will create a better workplace.
MAJOR FY09 BUDGET INITIATIVES
Increased commitment to Earth Science to accelerate the ES decadal survey. Initiated seven new FY09 mission starts: more than in the past four budgets combined; at least one per SMD science area: Earth Science: SMAP and IceSat II (2012, 2015 launches) Astrophysics: JDEM (launch in 2014/2015) Heliophysics: Solar Probe Plus (launch in 2015) Planetary: Outer Planets Flagship (launch by 2017) small lunar science orbiter (launch by 2011), and lunar mini-landers (launch by 2014). Substantial increases in astrophysics, heliophysics, and planetary science R&A/MO&DA. Increased budgets for suborbital rockets and balloons.
NASA AND SMD PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: FY09-FY13 * FY2007
* FY2008
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
$16,231.0
$17,300.5
$17,610.7
$18,022.9
$18,457.0
$18,901.6
$19,355.4
$4,609.9 $1,198.5 $1,215.6 $1,365.0 $583.7 $247.2
$4,706.2 $1,280.3 $1,247.5 $1,337.5 $590.9 $250.0
$4,441.5 $1,367.5 $1,334.2 $1,164.5 $575.3
$4,482.0 $1,350.7 $1,410.1 $1,122.4 $598.9
$4,534.9 $1,250.9 $1,537.5 $1,057.1 $689.4
$4,643.4 $1,264.4 $1,570.0 $1,067.7 $741.2
$4,761.6 $1,290.3 $1,608.7 $1,116.0 $746.6
Aeronautics Research Education
$593.8 $114.1
$511.7 $137.9
$446.5 $112.1
$447.5 $122.7
$452.4 $120.4
$456.7 $120.4
$467.7 $120.4
Exploration System s Constellation System s Advanced Capabilities
$2,837.6 $2,114.7 $722.9
$3,143.0 $2,471.9 $671.1
$3,500.5 $3,048.2 $452.3
$3,737.7 $3,252.8 $484.9
$7,048.2 $6,479.5 $568.7
$7,116.8 $6,521.3 $595.5
$7,666.8 $7,080.5 $586.3
Space Operations Space Shuttle International Space Station Space and Flight Support (SFS)
$5,093.5 $3,295.3 $1,469.0 $329.2
$5,526.2 $3,266.7 $1,813.2 $446.3
$5,774.7 $2,981.7 $2,060.2 $732.8
$5,872.7 $2,983.6 $2,277.0 $612.1
$2,900.1 $95.7 $2,176.4 $628.0
$3,089.9
$2,788.5
$2,448.2 $641.7
$2,143.1 $645.4
Cross-Agency Support Agency Managem ent and Operations Institutional Investm ents Congressionally Directed Item s Center Managem ent and Operations
$2,949.9 $971.2 $223.8
$3,299.9 $945.6 $308.7
$3,323.9 $945.5 $331.7
$3,363.7 $939.8 $335.9
$3,436.1 $950.5 $330.4
$3,511.2 $961.3 $338.3
$1,754.9
$3,242.9 $830.2 $319.7 $80.0 $2,013.0
$2,045.6
$2,046.7
$2,088.0
$2,155.2
$2,211.6
$32.2
$32.6
$35.5
$36.4
$37.3
$38.3
$39.2
Total NASA Science Earth Science Planetary Science Astrophysics Heliophysics DSN / Ground Netw ork
Inspector General
* FY07-08 are consistent w ith IBPD, and exclude latest Operating Plans. Subsequent charts INCLUDE Operating Plans.
SMD BUDGET BY SCIENCE THEME $5,000 Ground Network / DSN $4,500 $4,000 Earth Science $3,500 $3,000 Astrophysics
$2,500 $2,000 $1,500
Planetary Science $1,000 $500 Heliophysics $0 FY2007
FY2008
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2007 Launches by Calendar Year
Earth Helio Astro Planetary
OSTM OCO
Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By * Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics
Glory CloudSat
IBEX
CALIPSO
CINDI GPM Core
TWINS-A
TWINS-B
SDO
ST-6
AIM
* Planck
* Aquarius
* Hinode
THEMIS
* Herschel
NPP
LDCM
MIDEX
ESSP
ST-5
GLAST
Kepler
ST-7
RBSP
JWST
Einstein 1
Earth Syst
STEREO
Daw n
HST SM-4
WISE
LWS SET-1
Mars Scout
Discovery
* GPM Const
Sentinels
New Frontiers
MIDEX
New Horizons
Phoenix
* M3
MSL
SOFIA
Juno
Discovery
Mars 2013
Earth Syst
Discovery
Mars 2016
Discovery
CY06
CY07
CY08
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY14
CY15
CY16
CY17
MMS
SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2008 Launches by Calendar Year
Earth Helio Astro Planetary
OSTM OCO
Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By * Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics
Glory TWINS-B CloudSat
CINDI
GPM Core
CALIPSO
IBEX
BARREL
TWINS-A
SDO
SMEX
ST-6
* Planck
ST-7
LDCM NuSTAR
SMAP
* ExoMars
Venture 1
JWST
ICESat II
Hinode
AIM
* Herschel
WISE
ST-5
THEMIS
GLAST
Kepler
* Aquarius
LADEE
BARREL
Lunar MiniLander 1
* GPM Const
Solar Probe
Venture 2
ES Decadal 3
STEREO
Daw n
HST SM-4
SOFIA
NPP
GRAIL
RBSP
Lunar MiniLander 2
MMS
SMEX
New Frontiers
Discovery
New Horizons
Phoenix
* M3
MSL
LWS SET-1
Juno
SMEX
Mars Scout Aeronomy
Discovery
JDEM
Mars 2016
OPF
CY06
CY07
CY08
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY14
CY15
CY16
CY17
* Solar Orbiter ExoPlanet 1
NEWLY STARTED MISSIONS New Starts Defined as a Phase A Start Year or Final Downselect Year— Whichever is Later. ICESat II Solar Probe
Earth Science Heliophysics
SMEX MoO
Astrophysics SMEX 2015
Planetary SMAP
SMEX 2013
BARREL MoO
SMEX 2012
Solar Orb MoO
JDEM
ST-9
NuSTAR
New Frontiers
IBEX
NExT MoO
Scout 2013
LDCM
EPOXI MoO
LADEE
MMS M3 MoO
RBSP
ExoMars MoO
GRAIL
OPF
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FLAGSHIP MISSION CANDIDATES
Europa Orbiter
Jupiter System Observer (JSO) Titan Explorer
LUNAR ROBOTIC SCIENCE MISSION INITIATIVE FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
Lunar Research and Analysis Mission of Opportunity Science-Funding-Opportunity Driven
LADEE Launch Goal
Mini Lander Launch Goal ILN Operation Start Goal
ESMD
Possible Intl. Partner Early Operations
SMD
C/D
E
E+
LRO SMD-Discovery Mission
B
C&D
Cruise
E
SMD-Full Moon Missions
GRAIL
SDT Science Definition
A
B
C&D
Cruise
E
LADEE SDT Science Definition
A
B
B/C/D duration finalized during A TBD during Phase A Mini Lander
Launch date to be set during Phase A
E
Node I & II Operations 020308
Mars Program - Next Decade Launch Year
2020 MSR MSR Element Element #1 #1 TBD TBD mission mission based based on on budget budget and and science science feed-forward feed-forward
MSR MSR Element Element #2 #2
Sample Receiving Facility online by 2022
MARS BUDGET HISTORY M ars , as % of Total Plane tary Funding, Since 1959 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 1985-2013 average = 27.3%
20%
12
09
97
94
91
88
85
82
79
76
73
70
Mars Observer
67
64
Mariner
61
0%
06
10%
03
MGS, Pathf inder, Mars 98, Odyssey, MER, MRO, Phoenix, MSL, Scout…
Viking
00
30%
PLANETARY DIVISION BUDGET SPLITS FY09 President's Budget, $1330M Scout 13, ExoMars & beyond 2% Mars Op Msn 8%
GRAIL 9%
Discovery Op Msn + M3 4%
Future Discovery 4% MSL 17%
Juno 18%
PDS & Curation 1%
R& A
NF Op Msn + Mgt 1%
Lunar Science Program 8%
Cassini, Rosetta, Hayabusa
OPF 1%
Technology 5%
MSL
MSL COST GROWTH HISTORY
August 2006: MSL Confirmed at a development (C/D) cost of $972M. – Program added $32M to increase reserves to 35% (~60% on the S-Curve). Late ’06/early ’07: ~$20M in descopes were taken to control cost growth: – TLS, Corer, Sample Crusher, CheMin dual X-ray source, EDL latitude performance. June ’07: MSL descopes and cash of $62M. Sources of growth included: – Instruments; SAM, CheMin, ChemCam, Malin Space Science Systems cameras. – Mechanical Design of Rover body, Corer/drill, Sample Acquisition/Sample Processing and Handling – Actuator Design – Thermal Protection System testing – Parts Procurements – Fabrication Services/Labor Jan ’08: MSL estimated need for $165M-$200M cash. Sources of growth include: – Actuators, Thermal Protection System testing – Parts, Subsystems, Testing – Fabrication Services/Labor
C
ce
sy st em
Ca m
sio n
FS
PS E
NOTE: See also Aerospace Corp EVM Charts in b/u at WBS levels 3/4 S
G N
& Ca C m ec er ts as ys te m s G I& N T &C M ec ra ha da ni r ca M l C ec E ha DL ni ca M ec lo ha th er ni ca lr ov er Av io ni cs
M SS
pr oj
July EAC
PL
April EAC
SA SA M /S Pa H
FS er W m al co nt Pr ro op l ul FS si on PA su bs ys te m C he FS M sy in st em en g
Th
PP as su ra Pr nc oj e e M c tM sn de gm Fl si t ig gn ht & Sy na st v em M gm PL t O ffi ce Te le co m
M is
M O is ffi sio ce n sy st em
ie n
a
he m
Da t
Sc
ud
Pr oj
G ro
$ thousands
MSL GROWTH BY SUBSYSTEM Nov EAC
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
Largest contributors to growth
As of June 2007 CDR Deliveries
l Dril
e ld tshi Hea Flt. e ar tag Rad ent S sc De cs oni Avi Flt.
MSL Development Flow Compression ATLO
t Hea Flt.
Possible delays but flexibility available
ld shie
Deliveries
l Dril ar Rad
ge Sta nt sce De ics ion Av Flt.
As of Jan. 2008 EAC increased > $200M Since June 2007 ATLO
KSC
ATLO
KSC
w/EMs
CDR June 2007
March 2008
July 2008
Jan. 2009
Ship May 2009
Launch Sept. 2009
Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing $400,000
}
CV = -$90,855
$350,000
$300,000
BCWS BCWP ACWP
SV = -$32,084
$250,000
$200,000
Cumulative Performance
CPI = 0.791
$150,000
SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 $100,000
$50,000
$Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07
Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)
MSL PROJECT BUDGET GROWTH HISTORY MSL Historical Direct LCC $1,850 $1,800 $1,750 $1,700
Blue line $1699M corresponds to the 70% on SRB’s S-curve development cost predicted at confirmation
$(M)
$1,650 $1,600 $1,550 $1,500 $1,450 $1,400 PNAR (2/2006)
NAR (8/2006)
Confirmation (8/2006)
Current (12/2007) 12/07/07
Projected w /PICA
Current JPL JPL projected Projected EAC
www.nasa.gov
Alan Stern Associate Administrator/SMD
SMD’s Science Program Leads The World
$4.441B/yr budget.
Large Earth science, heliophysics, planetary science, & astrophysics programs. 53 flight missions in operation. 41 flight missions in development. 3000+ operating R&A grants. These numbers exceed the combined efforts of all other Earth & space science programs of the World.
SMD Major Activities: Next 12 months
PRESENTATION OVERVIEW SMD Overview & ’08 Events FY09 SMD Budget Overview Mars Next Decade MSL Issues Q&A
FY09 PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: OVERVIEW
SMD MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVES
We will get more science done within our budget. We will help ensure that U.S. Space Exploration Policy succeeds. We will promote U.S. leadership across all of SMD’s science disciplines. We will improve SMD’s actual and its perceived impact on, and relevance to, the public. We will create a better workplace.
MAJOR FY09 BUDGET INITIATIVES
Increased commitment to Earth Science to accelerate the ES decadal survey. Initiated seven new FY09 mission starts: more than in the past four budgets combined; at least one per SMD science area: Earth Science: SMAP and IceSat II (2012, 2015 launches) Astrophysics: JDEM (launch in 2014/2015) Heliophysics: Solar Probe Plus (launch in 2015) Planetary: Outer Planets Flagship (launch by 2017) small lunar science orbiter (launch by 2011), and lunar mini-landers (launch by 2014). Substantial increases in astrophysics, heliophysics, and planetary science R&A/MO&DA. Increased budgets for suborbital rockets and balloons.
NASA AND SMD PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: FY09-FY13 * FY2007
* FY2008
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
$16,231.0
$17,300.5
$17,610.7
$18,022.9
$18,457.0
$18,901.6
$19,355.4
$4,609.9 $1,198.5 $1,215.6 $1,365.0 $583.7 $247.2
$4,706.2 $1,280.3 $1,247.5 $1,337.5 $590.9 $250.0
$4,441.5 $1,367.5 $1,334.2 $1,164.5 $575.3
$4,482.0 $1,350.7 $1,410.1 $1,122.4 $598.9
$4,534.9 $1,250.9 $1,537.5 $1,057.1 $689.4
$4,643.4 $1,264.4 $1,570.0 $1,067.7 $741.2
$4,761.6 $1,290.3 $1,608.7 $1,116.0 $746.6
Aeronautics Research Education
$593.8 $114.1
$511.7 $137.9
$446.5 $112.1
$447.5 $122.7
$452.4 $120.4
$456.7 $120.4
$467.7 $120.4
Exploration System s Constellation System s Advanced Capabilities
$2,837.6 $2,114.7 $722.9
$3,143.0 $2,471.9 $671.1
$3,500.5 $3,048.2 $452.3
$3,737.7 $3,252.8 $484.9
$7,048.2 $6,479.5 $568.7
$7,116.8 $6,521.3 $595.5
$7,666.8 $7,080.5 $586.3
Space Operations Space Shuttle International Space Station Space and Flight Support (SFS)
$5,093.5 $3,295.3 $1,469.0 $329.2
$5,526.2 $3,266.7 $1,813.2 $446.3
$5,774.7 $2,981.7 $2,060.2 $732.8
$5,872.7 $2,983.6 $2,277.0 $612.1
$2,900.1 $95.7 $2,176.4 $628.0
$3,089.9
$2,788.5
$2,448.2 $641.7
$2,143.1 $645.4
Cross-Agency Support Agency Managem ent and Operations Institutional Investm ents Congressionally Directed Item s Center Managem ent and Operations
$2,949.9 $971.2 $223.8
$3,299.9 $945.6 $308.7
$3,323.9 $945.5 $331.7
$3,363.7 $939.8 $335.9
$3,436.1 $950.5 $330.4
$3,511.2 $961.3 $338.3
$1,754.9
$3,242.9 $830.2 $319.7 $80.0 $2,013.0
$2,045.6
$2,046.7
$2,088.0
$2,155.2
$2,211.6
$32.2
$32.6
$35.5
$36.4
$37.3
$38.3
$39.2
Total NASA Science Earth Science Planetary Science Astrophysics Heliophysics DSN / Ground Netw ork
Inspector General
* FY07-08 are consistent w ith IBPD, and exclude latest Operating Plans. Subsequent charts INCLUDE Operating Plans.
SMD BUDGET BY SCIENCE THEME $5,000 Ground Network / DSN $4,500 $4,000 Earth Science $3,500 $3,000 Astrophysics
$2,500 $2,000 $1,500
Planetary Science $1,000 $500 Heliophysics $0 FY2007
FY2008
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2007 Launches by Calendar Year
Earth Helio Astro Planetary
OSTM OCO
Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By * Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics
Glory CloudSat
IBEX
CALIPSO
CINDI GPM Core
TWINS-A
TWINS-B
SDO
ST-6
AIM
* Planck
* Aquarius
* Hinode
THEMIS
* Herschel
NPP
LDCM
MIDEX
ESSP
ST-5
GLAST
Kepler
ST-7
RBSP
JWST
Einstein 1
Earth Syst
STEREO
Daw n
HST SM-4
WISE
LWS SET-1
Mars Scout
Discovery
* GPM Const
Sentinels
New Frontiers
MIDEX
New Horizons
Phoenix
* M3
MSL
SOFIA
Juno
Discovery
Mars 2013
Earth Syst
Discovery
Mars 2016
Discovery
CY06
CY07
CY08
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY14
CY15
CY16
CY17
MMS
SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2008 Launches by Calendar Year
Earth Helio Astro Planetary
OSTM OCO
Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By * Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics
Glory TWINS-B CloudSat
CINDI
GPM Core
CALIPSO
IBEX
BARREL
TWINS-A
SDO
SMEX
ST-6
* Planck
ST-7
LDCM NuSTAR
SMAP
* ExoMars
Venture 1
JWST
ICESat II
Hinode
AIM
* Herschel
WISE
ST-5
THEMIS
GLAST
Kepler
* Aquarius
LADEE
BARREL
Lunar MiniLander 1
* GPM Const
Solar Probe
Venture 2
ES Decadal 3
STEREO
Daw n
HST SM-4
SOFIA
NPP
GRAIL
RBSP
Lunar MiniLander 2
MMS
SMEX
New Frontiers
Discovery
New Horizons
Phoenix
* M3
MSL
LWS SET-1
Juno
SMEX
Mars Scout Aeronomy
Discovery
JDEM
Mars 2016
OPF
CY06
CY07
CY08
CY09
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY14
CY15
CY16
CY17
* Solar Orbiter ExoPlanet 1
NEWLY STARTED MISSIONS New Starts Defined as a Phase A Start Year or Final Downselect Year— Whichever is Later. ICESat II Solar Probe
Earth Science Heliophysics
SMEX MoO
Astrophysics SMEX 2015
Planetary SMAP
SMEX 2013
BARREL MoO
SMEX 2012
Solar Orb MoO
JDEM
ST-9
NuSTAR
New Frontiers
IBEX
NExT MoO
Scout 2013
LDCM
EPOXI MoO
LADEE
MMS M3 MoO
RBSP
ExoMars MoO
GRAIL
OPF
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FLAGSHIP MISSION CANDIDATES
Europa Orbiter
Jupiter System Observer (JSO) Titan Explorer
LUNAR ROBOTIC SCIENCE MISSION INITIATIVE FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
Lunar Research and Analysis Mission of Opportunity Science-Funding-Opportunity Driven
LADEE Launch Goal
Mini Lander Launch Goal ILN Operation Start Goal
ESMD
Possible Intl. Partner Early Operations
SMD
C/D
E
E+
LRO SMD-Discovery Mission
B
C&D
Cruise
E
SMD-Full Moon Missions
GRAIL
SDT Science Definition
A
B
C&D
Cruise
E
LADEE SDT Science Definition
A
B
B/C/D duration finalized during A TBD during Phase A Mini Lander
Launch date to be set during Phase A
E
Node I & II Operations 020308
Mars Program - Next Decade Launch Year
2020 MSR MSR Element Element #1 #1 TBD TBD mission mission based based on on budget budget and and science science feed-forward feed-forward
MSR MSR Element Element #2 #2
Sample Receiving Facility online by 2022
MARS BUDGET HISTORY M ars , as % of Total Plane tary Funding, Since 1959 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 1985-2013 average = 27.3%
20%
12
09
97
94
91
88
85
82
79
76
73
70
Mars Observer
67
64
Mariner
61
0%
06
10%
03
MGS, Pathf inder, Mars 98, Odyssey, MER, MRO, Phoenix, MSL, Scout…
Viking
00
30%
PLANETARY DIVISION BUDGET SPLITS FY09 President's Budget, $1330M Scout 13, ExoMars & beyond 2% Mars Op Msn 8%
GRAIL 9%
Discovery Op Msn + M3 4%
Future Discovery 4% MSL 17%
Juno 18%
PDS & Curation 1%
R& A
NF Op Msn + Mgt 1%
Lunar Science Program 8%
Cassini, Rosetta, Hayabusa
OPF 1%
Technology 5%
MSL
MSL COST GROWTH HISTORY
August 2006: MSL Confirmed at a development (C/D) cost of $972M. – Program added $32M to increase reserves to 35% (~60% on the S-Curve). Late ’06/early ’07: ~$20M in descopes were taken to control cost growth: – TLS, Corer, Sample Crusher, CheMin dual X-ray source, EDL latitude performance. June ’07: MSL descopes and cash of $62M. Sources of growth included: – Instruments; SAM, CheMin, ChemCam, Malin Space Science Systems cameras. – Mechanical Design of Rover body, Corer/drill, Sample Acquisition/Sample Processing and Handling – Actuator Design – Thermal Protection System testing – Parts Procurements – Fabrication Services/Labor Jan ’08: MSL estimated need for $165M-$200M cash. Sources of growth include: – Actuators, Thermal Protection System testing – Parts, Subsystems, Testing – Fabrication Services/Labor
C
ce
sy st em
Ca m
sio n
FS
PS E
NOTE: See also Aerospace Corp EVM Charts in b/u at WBS levels 3/4 S
G N
& Ca C m ec er ts as ys te m s G I& N T &C M ec ra ha da ni r ca M l C ec E ha DL ni ca M ec lo ha th er ni ca lr ov er Av io ni cs
M SS
pr oj
July EAC
PL
April EAC
SA SA M /S Pa H
FS er W m al co nt Pr ro op l ul FS si on PA su bs ys te m C he FS M sy in st em en g
Th
PP as su ra Pr nc oj e e M c tM sn de gm Fl si t ig gn ht & Sy na st v em M gm PL t O ffi ce Te le co m
M is
M O is ffi sio ce n sy st em
ie n
a
he m
Da t
Sc
ud
Pr oj
G ro
$ thousands
MSL GROWTH BY SUBSYSTEM Nov EAC
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
Largest contributors to growth
As of June 2007 CDR Deliveries
l Dril
e ld tshi Hea Flt. e ar tag Rad ent S sc De cs oni Avi Flt.
MSL Development Flow Compression ATLO
t Hea Flt.
Possible delays but flexibility available
ld shie
Deliveries
l Dril ar Rad
ge Sta nt sce De ics ion Av Flt.
As of Jan. 2008 EAC increased > $200M Since June 2007 ATLO
KSC
ATLO
KSC
w/EMs
CDR June 2007
March 2008
July 2008
Jan. 2009
Ship May 2009
Launch Sept. 2009
Cost Variance & Schedule Variance Are Increasing $400,000
}
CV = -$90,855
$350,000
$300,000
BCWS BCWP ACWP
SV = -$32,084
$250,000
$200,000
Cumulative Performance
CPI = 0.791
$150,000
SPI = 0.914 SCI = 0.723 $100,000
$50,000
$Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07
Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)
MSL PROJECT BUDGET GROWTH HISTORY MSL Historical Direct LCC $1,850 $1,800 $1,750 $1,700
Blue line $1699M corresponds to the 70% on SRB’s S-curve development cost predicted at confirmation
$(M)
$1,650 $1,600 $1,550 $1,500 $1,450 $1,400 PNAR (2/2006)
NAR (8/2006)
Confirmation (8/2006)
Current (12/2007) 12/07/07
Projected w /PICA
Current JPL JPL projected Projected EAC
