State Of The Hardware Market

Report 6 Downloads 175 Views
State Of The Hardware Market B asic market forces, such as supply and demand, drive the computing industry, like any other industry. In this section, we’ll give you forecasts for several computing segments, including PCs, portables, and peripherals. We’ll also highlight the market shares of top companies in various categories.

Color Inkjet Printers U.S. Forecast

Top 10 Graphics Controller Suppliers By Market Share Units Shipped (in thousands)

ATI Technologies NVIDIA S3 Matrox SiS 3dfx Trident Microsystems STMicroelectronics 3Dlabs Intense3D

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

SOURCE: JON PEDDIE ASSOCIATES

U.S. Home Networking Installations U.S. Home Networking Installations

n 1998, only 994,000 homes in the United States had home networks; by 2003, that number is expected to exceed 14,000,000.

More than $400 2001

2002

2003

Subscribers To Cellular Phone Services

994 2,132

n our talk-happy nation, more than 86 million people subscribe to a cellular phone service.

I

4,089 7,083 10,742

SOURCE

Less than $100

SOURCE: IDC, SEPT. 2000

I

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 : IDC, 2000 2003

15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 $100 to $199 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 $200 to $299 4,000 3,000 $300 to $399 2,000 1,000 0 1999 2000

86,047,003 69,209,321

55,312,293

14,418

In Thousands 44,042,992

Worldwide Forecast For Handhelds Handhelds 2000 200 1 2002 2003

T

he number of handheld devices shipped is expected to nearly triple by 2003.

6,989 10,297

Total Units Shipped (in thousands)

SOURCE: DATAQUEST (JULY 2000)

33,785,661

14,897 20,506

1995

1996

1997

1998

SOURCE: CELLULAR TELECOMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION

1999

Top 5 Portable Vendors By Market Share In 1999

*1999 Market Shares

(personal digital assistant)

SOURCE: DATAQUEST, AUGUST 2000

Worldwide Shipments Of Portable PCs 1999 Units Shipped (in thousands)

Vendor Market Share Palm 65.4% Handspring 21.6% Casio 4.4% Hewlett-Packard 3.3% NEC 2% alm has a firm grip on the PDA market, accounting for nearly two-thirds of all sales.

P

Percentage Of Homes With PCs With An Active Network

nalysts forecast that although Ethernet accounts for the majority of home-network connections today, phone line home networks should surpass them by 2001.

A

SOURCE: NPD INTELECT, JUNE 2000

11% 2% 81%

3%

3%

5%

22% 72%

3%

34% 59% 7%

2%

2% 24%

35% 56%

15%

66%

2% 18% 19% 72%

12%

Power line SOURCE: IDC, 2000

Phone line

Wireless

Ethernet

Types Of Printers In Households With Internet Access SOURCE: DATAQUEST

Leaders Sony Philips Yamaha Mitsumi

Market Share 32.2% 19.7% 11.9% 10.3%

ony, top seller of CD-RW (compact disc, rewriteable) drives, has a 32.2% share of the market, and Philips, inventor of the CD, has only a 19.7% share.

S

Top Inkjet Printer Manufacturers By Market Share In 1999 Vendor

Market Share

Units Shipped

HP

46.4%

8,927,231

Canon

16.5%

3,176,101

Epson

14.2%

2,735,985

Lexmark

13.3%

2,560,356

Compaq

6.2%

1,200,000

Other

3.4%

660,576

SOURCE: IDC, SEPTEMBER 2000

%

PC DATA, HOME PC PORTRAIT, Q2 2000

Region North America Asia (Not Including Japan) Japan Europe Latin America Other Total

Four-Year Forecast For Optical Drives DVD/CD-RW Combo Drives 2000 537 3,536 200 1 2002 2003

15,972 34,118

Total Units Shipped (in thousands)

CD-RW Drives 2000 200 1 2002 2003

28,739

Forecast For North America

39,494 45,406

Point & Shoot Digital Cameras $200-$1,000

39,438

Total Units Shipped (in thousands)

CD-ROM Drives 2000 200 1 2002 2003

123,652 122,053 114,308

Units Sold In 2000

3.1 Million

Units Sold In 2002

5.7 Million

Units Sold In 2004

8.4 Million

106,228

SOURCE: INFOTRENDS RESEARCH GROUP

SOURCE: DATAQUEST, APRIL 2000

Total Units Shipped (in thousands) SOURCE: DATAQUEST, APRIL 2000

North America PC Market Share By Vendor Vendor

1998 Market Units Shipped Share

DELL COMPAQ GATEWAY HP IBM OTHERS TOTAL

13.2% 16.7% 8.4% 7.8% 8.2% 45.7% 100.0%

4,930,200 6,120,550 3,137,400 2,913,300 3,062,700 17,068,950 37,350,000

1999 Market Units Share Shipped 17.0% 7,933,462 16.1% 7,513,455 8.9% 4,153,401 8.8% 4,106,733 7.3% 3,406,722 41.9% 19,533,651 100.0% 46,667,424 SOURCE: CAHNER’S IN-STAT, JUNE 2000

Projected Worldwide Shipments Of PCs 2000 To 2005 2000 42,453,000 11,677,000 8,387,000 22,831,000 3,644,733 15,213,139 104,205,872

2001 46,815,347 13,793,114 10,345,614 24,007,870 4,125,796 17,647,563 116,735,304

2002 56,664,376 15,799,313 12,760,983 24,374,153 4,790,433 18,213,096 128,602,354

2003 57,300,427 18,094,872 15,415,217 27,007,845 5,261,343 19,272,383 142,352,087

2004 62,627,994 17,802,294 17,527,102 30,500,433 5,874,036 25,646,355 159,978,214

2005 68,269,209 15,899,983 21,179,816 34,241,197 6,462,521 32,724,600 178,777,326

SOURCE: CAHNER’S IN-STAT, JUNE 2000

2000 O

Mosel-Vitelic 2.5%, $344

T 19.6% H E R

Samsung 20.4%, $2,854

Fujitsu 3.9%, $545 Mitsubishi 6.9%, $961

DRAM Market Share Leaders emory market leader Samsung sold more than $4 billion of DRAM (dynamic random-access memory) in 1999, with only a 22.9% share of the market.

M

Hyundai 10.8%, 1,520

Mosel-Vitelic 2.5%, $495 Micron Fujitsu 8.9%, $1,244 2.7%, $551 6.3% O NEC Mitsubishi Toshiba T 9%, 3.3%, $681 4.7%, $655 H $1,263 E Toshiba R Hitachi 4.5%, $933 6.4%, $894 Infineon Hitachi 6.9%, 5.2%, $1,080 $966 Infineon 8%, $1,665 NEC 8.3%, $1,716

Size Of Monitor In U.S. Households With Internet Access

1999 Samsung 22.9%, $4,750

Hyundai 20.3%, 4,212

Micron 16%, $3,319

SOURCE: CAHNER’S IN-STAT

Region North America Asia (Not Including Japan) Japan Europe Latin America Other Total SOURCE: PC DATA, 2000

Worldwide PC Market Share By Vendor Vendor

Market Share

Units Shipped

Vendor

COMPAQ 13.6% 13,127,400 DELL 8.2% 7,915,050 IBM 7.3% 7,046,325 HP 6.8% 6,563,700 FUJITSU 5.2% 5,019,300 OTHERS 58.9% 56,853,225 TOTAL 100.0% 96,525,000

Market Share

Units Shipped

COMPAQ 13.8% 15,518,324 DELL 10.6% 11,919,872 IBM 8.2% 9,221,033 HP 6.8% 7,646,711 FUJITSU 5.5% 6,184,839 OTHERS 55.1% 61,960,845 TOTAL 100.0% 112,451,625

SOURCE: CAHNER’S IN-STAT, JUNE 2000

Projected Revenue From DRAM Sales, 2000-2002 Leaders Toshiba MKE/Panasonic Hitachi Pioneer

Market Share 29% 21.6% 17.3% 15.2%

DRAM 2000 200 1 2002

$28.5 $40.2 $58.8 Total Revenue (in Billions)

SOURCE: CAHNER’S IN-STAT, 2000

SOURCE:DATAQUEST

Projected Shipments Of Portables 2000-2005 2000 9,318,921 2,224,115 7,144,506 4,348,830 497,009 1,690,349 25,223,730

2001 10,981,378 3,130,952 8,919,961 5,631,476 616,498 2,181,159 31,461,424

2002 13,166,094 3,949,828 10,870,467 7,697,101 779,838 3,730,393 40,193,721

2003 15,693,748 4,955,920 13,398,273 9,489,243 1,077,624 5,123,039 49,737,847

2004 18,182,321 5,021,160 15,233,836 10,996,755 1,333,370 7,660,599 58,428,041

2005 20,971,587 4,749,346 18,482,760 12,858,111 1,717,885 10,334,084 69,113,773

SOURCE: CAHNER’S IN-STAT, JUNE 2000