Tables by age Count Col % Count Col % Count Col % Count Col ...

Report 1 Downloads 140 Views
Public opinion survey in Crimea The survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine. Sample size of the survey was 600 telephone interviews (using mobile and landline phone numbers). The fieldwork was carried out from March 12 till March 14, 2014. The data was weighted by gender, age, and settlement size according to statistical data from the State Committee of Statistics of Ukraine on January, 1, 2012.

Tables by age

18-35 years Count Col % Gender

Male Female Total

101 98 199

50,8% 49,2% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % Settlement type

Village Urban-type settlement City Total

54 28 117 199

26,9% 14,3% 58,8% 100,0%

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 95 112 207

45,9% 54,1% 100,0%

71 123 194

36,6% 63,4% 100,0%

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 76 15 116 207

36,8% 7,0% 56,1% 100,0%

59 13 122 194

30,6% 6,6% 62,9% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 267 333 600

44,5% 55,5% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 189 56 355 600

31,5% 9,3% 59,2% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % Settlement Crimea

Yevpatoria Kerch Sevastopol Simferopol Feodosiya Yalta Village Settlement 0-50 ths Total

7 14 23 29 8 10 54 55 199

3,7% 6,8% 11,8% 14,5% 3,8% 4,8% 26,9% 27,6% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % Settlement size

Village Settlement 0-50 ths Settlement 50-500 ths Total

54 55 91 199

26,9% 27,6% 45,5% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % Which option on referendum on Sunday will you choose?

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 7 13 30 26 5 7 76 44 207

3,2% 6,1% 14,6% 12,6% 2,3% 3,2% 36,8% 21,1% 100,0%

14 13 34 30 6 4 59 34 194

7,2% 6,5% 17,7% 15,5% 2,9% 2,0% 30,6% 17,7% 100,0%

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 76 44 87 207

36,8% 21,1% 42,0% 100,0%

59 34 100 194

30,6% 17,7% 51,8% 100,0%

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col %

Total Count Col % 28 39 88 85 18 20 189 133 600

4,7% 6,5% 14,7% 14,2% 3,0% 3,3% 31,5% 22,2% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 189 133 278 600

31,5% 22,2% 46,3% 100,0%

Total Count Col %

Joining Crimea with the Russian Federation as a subject of Russian Federation

134

67,5%

133

64,4%

156

80,5%

424

70,6%

Restorating of the 1992 Crimean Constitution and Crimea's status as a part of Ukraine Don't know \ No opinion Won't take part in the referendum Total

24

12,2%

30

14,5%

11

5,5%

65

10,8%

23 17 199

11,6% 8,8% 100,0%

37 7 207

17,8% 3,3% 100,0%

18 10 194

9,0% 4,9% 100,0%

77 34 600

12,9% 5,6% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % This referendum will offer voters only the above two choices. Would you prefer the referendum offer more choices?

Yes No Don't know \ No opinion Total

60 127 12 199

30,4% 63,7% 5,9% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % If the following 4 options appeared Joining with the Russian Federation on Sunday's referendum, which Restoration of the 1992 constitution would you choose? A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total

57 136 14 207

27,6% 65,9% 6,5% 100,0%

36 139 20 194

18,5% 71,4% 10,1% 100,0%

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col %

Total Count Col % 153 402 45 600

25,6% 67,0% 7,5% 100,0%

Total Count Col %

99 14 38 31

49,8% 6,8% 19,1% 15,6%

103 10 46 26

49,9% 4,7% 22,5% 12,7%

120 8 27 18

62,0% 4,1% 14,0% 9,5%

323 31 112 76

53,8% 5,2% 18,6% 12,6%

17 199

8,7% 100,0%

21 207

10,3% 100,0%

20 194

10,5% 100,0%

59 600

9,8% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % What would be your second choice Joining with the Russian Federation among those 4 options? Restoration of the 1992 constitution A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col %

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col %

Total Count Col %

29 22 71 20

16,1% 12,2% 39,1% 11,3%

25 29 69 11

13,6% 15,6% 36,9% 5,8%

23 25 50 11

13,4% 14,4% 29,1% 6,1%

78 76 190 42

14,4% 14,1% 35,1% 7,7%

39 182

21,2% 100,0%

52 186

28,1% 100,0%

64 174

37,0% 100,0%

155 541

28,7% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % How do you feel most comfortable Russian describing your identity? Ukrainian Tatar I have mixed \ more than one identity None of these describe me Hard to answer \ Refuse Total

115 31 27 16 8 2 199

57,8% 15,8% 13,3% 8,2% 3,9% 1,0% 100,0%

18-35 years Count Col % Do you think the presence of Russian troops is likely or unlikely to influence how freely people vote in the referendum?

Highly likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Highly unlikely Don't know \ No opinion Total

31 26 38 87 17 199

15,7% 13,3% 19,0% 43,7% 8,3% 100,0%

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 107 47 26 13 8 7 207

51,7% 22,5% 12,7% 6,1% 3,8% 3,3% 100,0%

107 50 7 13 13 5 194

54,9% 25,6% 3,5% 6,9% 6,6% 2,5% 100,0%

Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 29 22 34 110 12 207

14,0% 10,8% 16,2% 53,3% 5,6% 100,0%

20 11 22 99 42 194

10,5% 5,6% 11,5% 50,8% 21,6% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 329 128 60 42 28 14 600

54,8% 21,3% 9,9% 7,1% 4,7% 2,3% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 81 60 94 296 70 600

13,4% 9,9% 15,6% 49,3% 11,7% 100,0%

Tables by gender

Male Count Respondent's age

18-35 years 36-55 years 56 years and over Total

Col %

101 95 71 267

37,8% 35,6% 26,6% 100,0%

Male Count Settlement type

Village Urban-type settlement City Total

Col %

90 28 149 267

33,7% 10,7% 55,7% 100,0%

Male Count Settlement Crimea

Yevpatoria Kerch Sevastopol Simferopol Feodosiya Yalta Village Settlement 0-50 ths Total

10 16 33 33 7 9 90 69 267

Col % 3,8% 6,1% 12,4% 12,3% 2,5% 3,2% 33,7% 26,0% 100,0%

Gender Female Count Col % 98 112 123 333

29,4% 33,6% 36,9% 100,0%

Gender Female Count Col % 99 27 207 333

29,8% 8,2% 62,0% 100,0%

Gender Female Count Col % 18 23 55 52 11 11 99 64 333

5,3% 6,8% 16,5% 15,6% 3,4% 3,4% 29,8% 19,1% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 199 207 194 600

33,2% 34,5% 32,3% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 189 56 355 600

31,5% 9,3% 59,2% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 28 39 88 85 18 20 189 133 600

4,7% 6,5% 14,7% 14,2% 3,0% 3,3% 31,5% 22,2% 100,0%

Male Count Settlement size

Village Settlement 0-50 ths Settlement 50-500 ths Total

Col %

90 69 108 267

33,7% 26,0% 40,3% 100,0%

Male Count Which option on referendum on Sunday will you choose?

Col %

99 64 170 333

29,8% 19,1% 51,2% 100,0%

Gender Female Count Col %

Total Count Col % 189 133 278 600

31,5% 22,2% 46,3% 100,0%

Total Count Col %

Joining Crimea with the Russian Federation as a subject of Russian Federation

187

69,9%

237

71,2%

424

70,6%

Restorating of the 1992 Crimean Constitution and Crimea's status as a part of Ukraine Don't know \ No opinion Won't take part in the referendum Total

29

10,9%

36

10,8%

65

10,8%

32 19 267

11,9% 7,3% 100,0%

46 14 333

13,7% 4,3% 100,0%

77 34 600

12,9% 5,6% 100,0%

Male Count This referendum will offer voters only the above two choices. Would you prefer the referendum offer more choices?

Gender Female Count Col %

Yes No Don't know \ No opinion Total

75 173 19 267

Col % 28,0% 64,7% 7,3% 100,0%

Gender Female Count Col % 79 229 25 333

23,6% 68,7% 7,6% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 153 402 45 600

25,6% 67,0% 7,5% 100,0%

Male Count If the following 4 options appeared Joining with the Russian Federation on Sunday's referendum, which Restoration of the 1992 constitution would you choose? A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total

Col % 53,6% 5,1% 18,5% 13,5%

180 18 62 40

53,9% 5,3% 18,6% 11,9%

323 31 112 76

53,8% 5,2% 18,6% 12,6%

25 267

9,3% 100,0%

34 333

10,2% 100,0%

59 600

9,8% 100,0%

Count

Col %

Gender Female Count Col %

Total Count Col %

32 39 82 19

13,3% 15,9% 33,7% 7,7%

46 38 108 23

15,3% 12,6% 36,3% 7,8%

78 76 190 42

14,4% 14,1% 35,1% 7,7%

71 242

29,4% 100,0%

84 299

28,0% 100,0%

155 541

28,7% 100,0%

Male Count How do you feel most comfortable Russian describing your identity? Ukrainian Tatar I have mixed \ more than one identity None of these describe me Hard to answer \ Refuse Total

Total Count Col %

143 14 49 36

Male What would be your second choice Joining with the Russian Federation among those 4 options? Restoration of the 1992 constitution A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total

Gender Female Count Col %

143 57 29 18 11 9 267

Col % 53,5% 21,4% 11,0% 6,8% 4,0% 3,3% 100,0%

Gender Female Count Col % 186 70 30 24 18 5 333

55,8% 21,2% 9,1% 7,2% 5,3% 1,5% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 329 128 60 42 28 14 600

54,8% 21,3% 9,9% 7,1% 4,7% 2,3% 100,0%

Male Count Do you think the presence of Russian troops is likely or unlikely to influence how freely people vote in the referendum?

Highly likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Highly unlikely Don't know \ No opinion Total

43 26 41 135 23 267

Col % 16,0% 9,6% 15,2% 50,6% 8,6% 100,0%

Gender Female Count Col % 38 34 53 161 47 333

11,4% 10,2% 16,0% 48,3% 14,1% 100,0%

Total Count Col % 81 60 94 296 70 600

13,4% 9,9% 15,6% 49,3% 11,7% 100,0%

Tables by settlement type

Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Gender

Male Female Total

111 127 238

46,7% 53,3% 100,0%

Rural area Count Col % 90 99 189

47,5% 52,5% 100,0%

Simferopol Count Col % 33 52 85

38,7% 61,3% 100,0%

Sevastopol Count Col % 33 55 88

37,6% 62,4% 100,0%

Total Count

Col %

267 333 600

44,5% 55,5% 100,0%

Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Respondent's age

18-35 years 36-55 years 56 years and over Total

93 74 70 238

39,1% 31,3% 29,6% 100,0%

Rural area Count Col % 54 76 59 189

28,3% 40,3% 31,4% 100,0%

Simferopol Count Col % 29 26 30 85

34,0% 30,6% 35,3% 100,0%

Sevastopol Count Col % 23 30 34 88

26,7% 34,4% 38,9% 100,0%

Total Count

Col %

199 207 194 600

33,2% 34,5% 32,3% 100,0%

Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Settlement type

Village Urban-type settlement City Total

0 56 182 238

0,0% 23,4% 76,6% 100,0%

Rural area Count Col % 189 0 0 189

100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0%

Simferopol Count Col % 0 0 85 85

0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 100,0%

Sevastopol Count Col % 0 0 88 88

0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 100,0%

Total Count 189 56 355 600

Col % 31,5% 9,3% 59,2% 100,0%

Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Settlement Crimea

Yevpatoria Kerch Sevastopol Simferopol Feodosiya Yalta Village Settlement 0-50 ths Total

28 39 0 0 18 20 0 133 238

11,8% 16,4% 0,0% 0,0% 7,6% 8,4% 0,0% 55,9% 100,0%

Rural area Count Col % 0 0 0 0 0 0 189 0 189

0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 100,0%

Simferopol Count Col % 0 0 0 85 0 0 0 0 85

0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0%

Sevastopol Count Col % 0 0 88 0 0 0 0 0 88

0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0%

Total Count

Col %

28 39 88 85 18 20 189 133 600

4,7% 6,5% 14,7% 14,2% 3,0% 3,3% 31,5% 22,2% 100,0%

Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Settlement size

Village Settlement 0-50 ths Settlement 50-500 ths Total

0 133 105 238

0,0% 55,9% 44,1% 100,0%

Rural area Count Col % 189 0 0 189

100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0%

Simferopol Count Col % 0 0 85 85

0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 100,0%

Sevastopol Count Col % 0 0 88 88

0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 100,0%

Total Count 189 133 278 600

Col % 31,5% 22,2% 46,3% 100,0%

Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Which option on referendum on Sunday will you choose?

Simferopol Count Col %

Sevastopol Count Col %

Total Count

Col %

Joining Crimea with the Russian Federation as a subject of Russian Federation

170

71,4%

109

57,5%

73

85,9%

72

82,2%

424

70,6%

Restorating of the 1992 Crimean Constitution and Crimea's status as a part of Ukraine Don't know \ No opinion Won't take part in the referendum Total

27

11,3%

28

14,9%

6

7,0%

4

4,5%

65

10,8%

31 10 238

12,9% 4,4% 100,0%

33 19 189

17,4% 10,2% 100,0%

4 2 85

4,7% 2,4% 100,0%

10 2 88

11,0% 2,3% 100,0%

77 34 600

12,9% 5,6% 100,0%

Towns (without Count Col % This referendum will offer voters only the above two choices. Would you prefer the referendum offer more choices?

Rural area Count Col %

Yes No Don't know \ No opinion Total

59 163 16 238

24,7% 68,4% 6,9% 100,0%

Towns (without Count Col % If the following 4 options appeared Joining with the Russian Federation on Sunday's referendum, which Restoration of the 1992 constitution would you choose? A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total

Rural area Count Col % 66 104 19 189

34,8% 54,9% 10,3% 100,0%

Rural area Count Col %

Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col % 20 62 3 85

23,6% 72,8% 3,6% 100,0%

9 73 6 88

10,0% 83,3% 6,7% 100,0%

Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col %

Total Count

Col %

153 402 45 600

25,6% 67,0% 7,5% 100,0%

Total Count

Col %

124 11 44 35

52,1% 4,5% 18,6% 14,6%

88 12 41 29

46,6% 6,2% 21,5% 15,5%

52 5 14 6

61,2% 5,9% 16,5% 7,0%

59 4 13 6

66,6% 4,4% 14,5% 6,7%

323 31 112 76

53,8% 5,2% 18,6% 12,6%

25 238

10,3% 100,0%

19 189

10,3% 100,0%

8 85

9,4% 100,0%

7 88

7,8% 100,0%

59 600

9,8% 100,0%

Towns (without Count Col % What would be your second choice Joining with the Russian Federation among those 4 options? Restoration of the 1992 constitution A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total

Highly likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Highly unlikely Don't know \ No opinion Total

Total Count

Col %

16,2% 15,7% 34,5% 5,4%

23 33 49 20

13,8% 19,4% 29,2% 12,0%

11 7 27 3

14,3% 9,0% 35,1% 3,9%

9 3 40 7

10,9% 3,6% 49,3% 8,5%

78 76 190 42

14,4% 14,1% 35,1% 7,7%

60 213

28,1% 100,0%

44 170

25,7% 100,0%

29 77

37,6% 100,0%

22 81

27,7% 100,0%

155 541

28,7% 100,0%

136 44 16 26 12 6 238

57,0% 18,4% 6,6% 10,7% 4,9% 2,4% 100,0%

Towns (without Count Col % Do you think the presence of Russian troops is likely or unlikely to influence how freely people vote in the referendum?

Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col %

35 33 74 12

Towns (without Count Col % How do you feel most comfortable Russian describing your identity? Ukrainian Tatar I have mixed \ more than one identity None of these describe me Hard to answer \ Refuse Total

Rural area Count Col %

27 23 42 121 25 238

11,3% 9,7% 17,6% 50,8% 10,5% 100,0%

Rural area Count Col % 76 54 38 10 5 7 189

40,0% 28,7% 20,0% 5,2% 2,5% 3,6% 100,0%

Rural area Count Col % 35 17 28 83 26 189

18,4% 8,8% 14,9% 44,1% 13,9% 100,0%

Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col % 56 14 5 2 7 1 85

65,8% 16,5% 5,9% 2,4% 8,3% 1,2% 100,0%

62 16 1 5 5 0 88

69,9% 17,7% 1,1% 5,6% 5,6% 0,0% 100,0%

Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col % 10 14 12 40 9 85

11,8% 16,4% 14,1% 47,0% 10,6% 100,0%

9 6 12 52 10 88

10,0% 6,6% 13,4% 58,8% 11,1% 100,0%

Total Count

Col %

329 128 60 42 28 14 600

54,8% 21,3% 9,9% 7,1% 4,7% 2,3% 100,0%

Total Count 81 60 94 296 70 600

Col % 13,4% 9,9% 15,6% 49,3% 11,7% 100,0%