Public opinion survey in Crimea The survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine. Sample size of the survey was 600 telephone interviews (using mobile and landline phone numbers). The fieldwork was carried out from March 12 till March 14, 2014. The data was weighted by gender, age, and settlement size according to statistical data from the State Committee of Statistics of Ukraine on January, 1, 2012.
Tables by age
18-35 years Count Col % Gender
Male Female Total
101 98 199
50,8% 49,2% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % Settlement type
Village Urban-type settlement City Total
54 28 117 199
26,9% 14,3% 58,8% 100,0%
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 95 112 207
45,9% 54,1% 100,0%
71 123 194
36,6% 63,4% 100,0%
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 76 15 116 207
36,8% 7,0% 56,1% 100,0%
59 13 122 194
30,6% 6,6% 62,9% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 267 333 600
44,5% 55,5% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 189 56 355 600
31,5% 9,3% 59,2% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % Settlement Crimea
Yevpatoria Kerch Sevastopol Simferopol Feodosiya Yalta Village Settlement 0-50 ths Total
7 14 23 29 8 10 54 55 199
3,7% 6,8% 11,8% 14,5% 3,8% 4,8% 26,9% 27,6% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % Settlement size
Village Settlement 0-50 ths Settlement 50-500 ths Total
54 55 91 199
26,9% 27,6% 45,5% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % Which option on referendum on Sunday will you choose?
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 7 13 30 26 5 7 76 44 207
3,2% 6,1% 14,6% 12,6% 2,3% 3,2% 36,8% 21,1% 100,0%
14 13 34 30 6 4 59 34 194
7,2% 6,5% 17,7% 15,5% 2,9% 2,0% 30,6% 17,7% 100,0%
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 76 44 87 207
36,8% 21,1% 42,0% 100,0%
59 34 100 194
30,6% 17,7% 51,8% 100,0%
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col %
Total Count Col % 28 39 88 85 18 20 189 133 600
4,7% 6,5% 14,7% 14,2% 3,0% 3,3% 31,5% 22,2% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 189 133 278 600
31,5% 22,2% 46,3% 100,0%
Total Count Col %
Joining Crimea with the Russian Federation as a subject of Russian Federation
134
67,5%
133
64,4%
156
80,5%
424
70,6%
Restorating of the 1992 Crimean Constitution and Crimea's status as a part of Ukraine Don't know \ No opinion Won't take part in the referendum Total
24
12,2%
30
14,5%
11
5,5%
65
10,8%
23 17 199
11,6% 8,8% 100,0%
37 7 207
17,8% 3,3% 100,0%
18 10 194
9,0% 4,9% 100,0%
77 34 600
12,9% 5,6% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % This referendum will offer voters only the above two choices. Would you prefer the referendum offer more choices?
Yes No Don't know \ No opinion Total
60 127 12 199
30,4% 63,7% 5,9% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % If the following 4 options appeared Joining with the Russian Federation on Sunday's referendum, which Restoration of the 1992 constitution would you choose? A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total
57 136 14 207
27,6% 65,9% 6,5% 100,0%
36 139 20 194
18,5% 71,4% 10,1% 100,0%
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col %
Total Count Col % 153 402 45 600
25,6% 67,0% 7,5% 100,0%
Total Count Col %
99 14 38 31
49,8% 6,8% 19,1% 15,6%
103 10 46 26
49,9% 4,7% 22,5% 12,7%
120 8 27 18
62,0% 4,1% 14,0% 9,5%
323 31 112 76
53,8% 5,2% 18,6% 12,6%
17 199
8,7% 100,0%
21 207
10,3% 100,0%
20 194
10,5% 100,0%
59 600
9,8% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % What would be your second choice Joining with the Russian Federation among those 4 options? Restoration of the 1992 constitution A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col %
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col %
Total Count Col %
29 22 71 20
16,1% 12,2% 39,1% 11,3%
25 29 69 11
13,6% 15,6% 36,9% 5,8%
23 25 50 11
13,4% 14,4% 29,1% 6,1%
78 76 190 42
14,4% 14,1% 35,1% 7,7%
39 182
21,2% 100,0%
52 186
28,1% 100,0%
64 174
37,0% 100,0%
155 541
28,7% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % How do you feel most comfortable Russian describing your identity? Ukrainian Tatar I have mixed \ more than one identity None of these describe me Hard to answer \ Refuse Total
115 31 27 16 8 2 199
57,8% 15,8% 13,3% 8,2% 3,9% 1,0% 100,0%
18-35 years Count Col % Do you think the presence of Russian troops is likely or unlikely to influence how freely people vote in the referendum?
Highly likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Highly unlikely Don't know \ No opinion Total
31 26 38 87 17 199
15,7% 13,3% 19,0% 43,7% 8,3% 100,0%
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 107 47 26 13 8 7 207
51,7% 22,5% 12,7% 6,1% 3,8% 3,3% 100,0%
107 50 7 13 13 5 194
54,9% 25,6% 3,5% 6,9% 6,6% 2,5% 100,0%
Respondent's age 36-55 years 56 years and over Count Col % Count Col % 29 22 34 110 12 207
14,0% 10,8% 16,2% 53,3% 5,6% 100,0%
20 11 22 99 42 194
10,5% 5,6% 11,5% 50,8% 21,6% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 329 128 60 42 28 14 600
54,8% 21,3% 9,9% 7,1% 4,7% 2,3% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 81 60 94 296 70 600
13,4% 9,9% 15,6% 49,3% 11,7% 100,0%
Tables by gender
Male Count Respondent's age
18-35 years 36-55 years 56 years and over Total
Col %
101 95 71 267
37,8% 35,6% 26,6% 100,0%
Male Count Settlement type
Village Urban-type settlement City Total
Col %
90 28 149 267
33,7% 10,7% 55,7% 100,0%
Male Count Settlement Crimea
Yevpatoria Kerch Sevastopol Simferopol Feodosiya Yalta Village Settlement 0-50 ths Total
10 16 33 33 7 9 90 69 267
Col % 3,8% 6,1% 12,4% 12,3% 2,5% 3,2% 33,7% 26,0% 100,0%
Gender Female Count Col % 98 112 123 333
29,4% 33,6% 36,9% 100,0%
Gender Female Count Col % 99 27 207 333
29,8% 8,2% 62,0% 100,0%
Gender Female Count Col % 18 23 55 52 11 11 99 64 333
5,3% 6,8% 16,5% 15,6% 3,4% 3,4% 29,8% 19,1% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 199 207 194 600
33,2% 34,5% 32,3% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 189 56 355 600
31,5% 9,3% 59,2% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 28 39 88 85 18 20 189 133 600
4,7% 6,5% 14,7% 14,2% 3,0% 3,3% 31,5% 22,2% 100,0%
Male Count Settlement size
Village Settlement 0-50 ths Settlement 50-500 ths Total
Col %
90 69 108 267
33,7% 26,0% 40,3% 100,0%
Male Count Which option on referendum on Sunday will you choose?
Col %
99 64 170 333
29,8% 19,1% 51,2% 100,0%
Gender Female Count Col %
Total Count Col % 189 133 278 600
31,5% 22,2% 46,3% 100,0%
Total Count Col %
Joining Crimea with the Russian Federation as a subject of Russian Federation
187
69,9%
237
71,2%
424
70,6%
Restorating of the 1992 Crimean Constitution and Crimea's status as a part of Ukraine Don't know \ No opinion Won't take part in the referendum Total
29
10,9%
36
10,8%
65
10,8%
32 19 267
11,9% 7,3% 100,0%
46 14 333
13,7% 4,3% 100,0%
77 34 600
12,9% 5,6% 100,0%
Male Count This referendum will offer voters only the above two choices. Would you prefer the referendum offer more choices?
Gender Female Count Col %
Yes No Don't know \ No opinion Total
75 173 19 267
Col % 28,0% 64,7% 7,3% 100,0%
Gender Female Count Col % 79 229 25 333
23,6% 68,7% 7,6% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 153 402 45 600
25,6% 67,0% 7,5% 100,0%
Male Count If the following 4 options appeared Joining with the Russian Federation on Sunday's referendum, which Restoration of the 1992 constitution would you choose? A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total
Col % 53,6% 5,1% 18,5% 13,5%
180 18 62 40
53,9% 5,3% 18,6% 11,9%
323 31 112 76
53,8% 5,2% 18,6% 12,6%
25 267
9,3% 100,0%
34 333
10,2% 100,0%
59 600
9,8% 100,0%
Count
Col %
Gender Female Count Col %
Total Count Col %
32 39 82 19
13,3% 15,9% 33,7% 7,7%
46 38 108 23
15,3% 12,6% 36,3% 7,8%
78 76 190 42
14,4% 14,1% 35,1% 7,7%
71 242
29,4% 100,0%
84 299
28,0% 100,0%
155 541
28,7% 100,0%
Male Count How do you feel most comfortable Russian describing your identity? Ukrainian Tatar I have mixed \ more than one identity None of these describe me Hard to answer \ Refuse Total
Total Count Col %
143 14 49 36
Male What would be your second choice Joining with the Russian Federation among those 4 options? Restoration of the 1992 constitution A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total
Gender Female Count Col %
143 57 29 18 11 9 267
Col % 53,5% 21,4% 11,0% 6,8% 4,0% 3,3% 100,0%
Gender Female Count Col % 186 70 30 24 18 5 333
55,8% 21,2% 9,1% 7,2% 5,3% 1,5% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 329 128 60 42 28 14 600
54,8% 21,3% 9,9% 7,1% 4,7% 2,3% 100,0%
Male Count Do you think the presence of Russian troops is likely or unlikely to influence how freely people vote in the referendum?
Highly likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Highly unlikely Don't know \ No opinion Total
43 26 41 135 23 267
Col % 16,0% 9,6% 15,2% 50,6% 8,6% 100,0%
Gender Female Count Col % 38 34 53 161 47 333
11,4% 10,2% 16,0% 48,3% 14,1% 100,0%
Total Count Col % 81 60 94 296 70 600
13,4% 9,9% 15,6% 49,3% 11,7% 100,0%
Tables by settlement type
Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Gender
Male Female Total
111 127 238
46,7% 53,3% 100,0%
Rural area Count Col % 90 99 189
47,5% 52,5% 100,0%
Simferopol Count Col % 33 52 85
38,7% 61,3% 100,0%
Sevastopol Count Col % 33 55 88
37,6% 62,4% 100,0%
Total Count
Col %
267 333 600
44,5% 55,5% 100,0%
Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Respondent's age
18-35 years 36-55 years 56 years and over Total
93 74 70 238
39,1% 31,3% 29,6% 100,0%
Rural area Count Col % 54 76 59 189
28,3% 40,3% 31,4% 100,0%
Simferopol Count Col % 29 26 30 85
34,0% 30,6% 35,3% 100,0%
Sevastopol Count Col % 23 30 34 88
26,7% 34,4% 38,9% 100,0%
Total Count
Col %
199 207 194 600
33,2% 34,5% 32,3% 100,0%
Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Settlement type
Village Urban-type settlement City Total
0 56 182 238
0,0% 23,4% 76,6% 100,0%
Rural area Count Col % 189 0 0 189
100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0%
Simferopol Count Col % 0 0 85 85
0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 100,0%
Sevastopol Count Col % 0 0 88 88
0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 100,0%
Total Count 189 56 355 600
Col % 31,5% 9,3% 59,2% 100,0%
Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Settlement Crimea
Yevpatoria Kerch Sevastopol Simferopol Feodosiya Yalta Village Settlement 0-50 ths Total
28 39 0 0 18 20 0 133 238
11,8% 16,4% 0,0% 0,0% 7,6% 8,4% 0,0% 55,9% 100,0%
Rural area Count Col % 0 0 0 0 0 0 189 0 189
0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 100,0%
Simferopol Count Col % 0 0 0 85 0 0 0 0 85
0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0%
Sevastopol Count Col % 0 0 88 0 0 0 0 0 88
0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0%
Total Count
Col %
28 39 88 85 18 20 189 133 600
4,7% 6,5% 14,7% 14,2% 3,0% 3,3% 31,5% 22,2% 100,0%
Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Settlement size
Village Settlement 0-50 ths Settlement 50-500 ths Total
0 133 105 238
0,0% 55,9% 44,1% 100,0%
Rural area Count Col % 189 0 0 189
100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0%
Simferopol Count Col % 0 0 85 85
0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 100,0%
Sevastopol Count Col % 0 0 88 88
0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 100,0%
Total Count 189 133 278 600
Col % 31,5% 22,2% 46,3% 100,0%
Settlement Crimea Towns (without Simferopol and Sevastopol) Count Col % Which option on referendum on Sunday will you choose?
Simferopol Count Col %
Sevastopol Count Col %
Total Count
Col %
Joining Crimea with the Russian Federation as a subject of Russian Federation
170
71,4%
109
57,5%
73
85,9%
72
82,2%
424
70,6%
Restorating of the 1992 Crimean Constitution and Crimea's status as a part of Ukraine Don't know \ No opinion Won't take part in the referendum Total
27
11,3%
28
14,9%
6
7,0%
4
4,5%
65
10,8%
31 10 238
12,9% 4,4% 100,0%
33 19 189
17,4% 10,2% 100,0%
4 2 85
4,7% 2,4% 100,0%
10 2 88
11,0% 2,3% 100,0%
77 34 600
12,9% 5,6% 100,0%
Towns (without Count Col % This referendum will offer voters only the above two choices. Would you prefer the referendum offer more choices?
Rural area Count Col %
Yes No Don't know \ No opinion Total
59 163 16 238
24,7% 68,4% 6,9% 100,0%
Towns (without Count Col % If the following 4 options appeared Joining with the Russian Federation on Sunday's referendum, which Restoration of the 1992 constitution would you choose? A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total
Rural area Count Col % 66 104 19 189
34,8% 54,9% 10,3% 100,0%
Rural area Count Col %
Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col % 20 62 3 85
23,6% 72,8% 3,6% 100,0%
9 73 6 88
10,0% 83,3% 6,7% 100,0%
Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col %
Total Count
Col %
153 402 45 600
25,6% 67,0% 7,5% 100,0%
Total Count
Col %
124 11 44 35
52,1% 4,5% 18,6% 14,6%
88 12 41 29
46,6% 6,2% 21,5% 15,5%
52 5 14 6
61,2% 5,9% 16,5% 7,0%
59 4 13 6
66,6% 4,4% 14,5% 6,7%
323 31 112 76
53,8% 5,2% 18,6% 12,6%
25 238
10,3% 100,0%
19 189
10,3% 100,0%
8 85
9,4% 100,0%
7 88
7,8% 100,0%
59 600
9,8% 100,0%
Towns (without Count Col % What would be your second choice Joining with the Russian Federation among those 4 options? Restoration of the 1992 constitution A fully Independent Crimean state Leave status of Crimea the same as it was before February 2014 Don't know \ No opinion Total
Highly likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Highly unlikely Don't know \ No opinion Total
Total Count
Col %
16,2% 15,7% 34,5% 5,4%
23 33 49 20
13,8% 19,4% 29,2% 12,0%
11 7 27 3
14,3% 9,0% 35,1% 3,9%
9 3 40 7
10,9% 3,6% 49,3% 8,5%
78 76 190 42
14,4% 14,1% 35,1% 7,7%
60 213
28,1% 100,0%
44 170
25,7% 100,0%
29 77
37,6% 100,0%
22 81
27,7% 100,0%
155 541
28,7% 100,0%
136 44 16 26 12 6 238
57,0% 18,4% 6,6% 10,7% 4,9% 2,4% 100,0%
Towns (without Count Col % Do you think the presence of Russian troops is likely or unlikely to influence how freely people vote in the referendum?
Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col %
35 33 74 12
Towns (without Count Col % How do you feel most comfortable Russian describing your identity? Ukrainian Tatar I have mixed \ more than one identity None of these describe me Hard to answer \ Refuse Total
Rural area Count Col %
27 23 42 121 25 238
11,3% 9,7% 17,6% 50,8% 10,5% 100,0%
Rural area Count Col % 76 54 38 10 5 7 189
40,0% 28,7% 20,0% 5,2% 2,5% 3,6% 100,0%
Rural area Count Col % 35 17 28 83 26 189
18,4% 8,8% 14,9% 44,1% 13,9% 100,0%
Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col % 56 14 5 2 7 1 85
65,8% 16,5% 5,9% 2,4% 8,3% 1,2% 100,0%
62 16 1 5 5 0 88
69,9% 17,7% 1,1% 5,6% 5,6% 0,0% 100,0%
Settlement Crimea Simferopol Sevastopol Count Col % Count Col % 10 14 12 40 9 85
11,8% 16,4% 14,1% 47,0% 10,6% 100,0%
9 6 12 52 10 88
10,0% 6,6% 13,4% 58,8% 11,1% 100,0%
Total Count
Col %
329 128 60 42 28 14 600
54,8% 21,3% 9,9% 7,1% 4,7% 2,3% 100,0%
Total Count 81 60 94 296 70 600
Col % 13,4% 9,9% 15,6% 49,3% 11,7% 100,0%