USDA Grain Supply/Demand Summary

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USDA Grain Supply/Demand Summary

MattZeller

[email protected]

March 10. 2014

March-14 U.S. Corn Supplv/Demand (mb)

Planted

World Corn Supplv/Demand Immt)

Mar

Mar

Feb

Mar

Mar

Mar

Feb

Mar

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

11/12

12/13

13/14

13/14

11/12

12/13

13/14

13/14

91.9

97.2

95.4

95.4

Harvested

84.0

87.4

87.7

87.7

Yield

147.2

123.4

158.8

158.8

Carryin

1128

989

821

821

129.30

132.75

134.00

134.67

Production

12360

10780

13925

13925

885.99

863.42

966.63

967.52

Supply

13517

11932

14781

14781

1015.29

996.17

1100.63

1102.19

507.05

515.58

573.53

574.93

882.53

861.50

943.33

943.72

134.67

157.30

158.47

0.156

0.167

0.168

Feed

4557

4335

5300

5300

Exports

1543

731

1600

1625

Ethanol

5000

4648

5000

5000

Other Ind

1428

1396

1400

1400

Demand

12528

11111

13300

13325

Carryout

989

821

1481

1456

132.75'

CO/Use

0.079

0.074

0.111

0.109

0.150

Price

$6.22

S6.89

S4.20

$4.25 $4.75

range

S4.80

ARG Production: 13/14

24.0; unch

China Production: 13/14

217.73;+.73

U.S Sovbea n Supplv/D emand (mb)

Planted

World Sovbean Su Dplv/Demand (mmtl

Mar

Mar

Feb

Mar

Mar

Mar

Feb

Mar

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

11/12

12/13

13/14

13/14

11/12

12/13

13/14

13/14

75.0

77.2

76.5

76.5

Harvested

73.8

76.2

75.9

75.9

Yield

41.9

39.8

43.3

43.3

Carryin

215

169

141

141

70.36

53.51

58.65

57.79

Production

3094

3034

3289

3289

239.57

267.47

287.69

285.43

Supply

3325

3239

3459

3464

309.93

320.98

346.34

343.22

228.02

229.10

238.75

239.04

Crush

1703

1689

1700

1690

Exports

1362

1320

1510

1530

Seed

90

89

87

87

Residual

1

1

12

11

Demand

3155

3099

3309

3319

257.58

258.77

269.34

269.70

Carryout

169

141

150

145

53.51

57.79

73.01

70.64

CO/Use

0.054

0.045

0.045

0.044

0.208

0.223

0.271

0.262

Price

$12.50

S14.40

$11.95

$12.20 $13.70

range

$13.45

Brazil Production: 13/14

Ar jentina Produc;tion: 13/14

88.5;-1.5 54.0; unch

!!B This material should be construed as market commentary, merelyobserving economic, political and/or market conditions, and not Intended to refer to any particular trading strategy, promotional elomont or quality of servico provided by FCStono. LLC. FCStone.LLC is notresponsibleforany rodiilnbution of this matonol bytnirdpartios.orany trading doclsions taKon by porsons notIntendedlo viewthismalenal.Information containedhereinwas oblamodfrom sources boliovod lo bo rodablo. butIs notguaranteed as to its accuracy.ContactFCStonodesignated personnelforspecific trading advicoto meet your trading preferences.These materialsrepresent the opinionsand viewpoints of thoauthor,and do not nocossanlyroflect thoviewpoints and trading strategiesemployedby FCStono, LLC. FCStone Research

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USDA Grain Supply/Demand Summary March 10,2014

March-14 U.S. Wheat Supplv/Demand (mb)

World Wheat Supplv/Demand (mmt)

Mar

Mar

Feb

Mar

Mar

Mar

Feb

Mar

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

USDA

11/12

12/13

13/14

13/14

11/12

12/13

13/14

13/14

Planted

54.4

55.7

56.2

56.2

Harvested

45.7

48.9

45.2

45.2

Yield

43.7

46.3

47.2

47.2

Carryin

862

743

718

718

198.98

198.94

175.84!

175.92

Production

1999

2266

2130

2130

697,27

656.42

711.89

712.72

Supply

2974

3131

3018

3018

896.25

855.36

887.73

888.64

Food

941

945

960

960

Exports

1048

1007

1175

1175

Seed

76

73

74

74

Feed/Res

166

388

250

250

Demand

2231

2414

2459

2459

697.31

679.44

703.99

704.82

Carryout

743

718

558

558

198.94

175.92

183.73

183.81

CO/Use

0.333

0.297

0.227

0.227

0.285

0.259

0.261

0.261

Price

$7.24

$7.77

$6.65

$6.75 $6.95

range

AUS Production: 13/14

27.0; +0.5

CAN Production: 13/14

37.5; unch