user interface | normalized ii normalized
US 20100205039Al
(19) United States (12) Patent Application Publication (10) Pub. No.: US 2010/0205039 A1 Basak et al.
(43) Pub. Date:
(54) DEMAND FORECASTING
(2l) Appl. No.: (22) Filed:
(75) Inventors:
Jayanta Basak, New Delhi (IN); Sameep Mehta, NeW Delhi (IN);
'
(IN); Gyana Ranj an Parija, South
Feb. 11, 2009 Publication Classi?cation '
G06Q 10/00 (52)
(73)
Assignee:
(200601)
U.S. Cl. ........................................................ .. 705/10
(57) Correspondence Address: RYAN, MASON & LEWIS, LLP 1300 POST R()A]), SUITE 205 FAIRFIELD, CT 06824 (Us)
12/369,418
(51) Int Cl
Vinayaka D. Pandit, NeW Delhi
City (IN)
Aug. 12, 2010
ABSTRACT
International Business Machines
At least a ?rst future external event is obtained as input. At least one future effect of the at least one future external event is predicted. The at least ?rst future external event is similar to at least a ?rst past external event. Future utilization of at least one tangible resource is forecast by superimposing events normaliZed forecasted data and the at least one predicted future effect of the at least one future event similar to the at
Corporation, Armonk, NY (U S)
least ?rst past external event.
/ 204 I 320
|
USER INTERFACE I 310
HISTORICAL DATA
|
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f 314 M
EVENTS DETECTOR
EVENTS LEARNER
EVENTS RECONSTRUCTOR
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EVENTS
I NORMALIZED
HISTORICAb/"i DATA
FORECASTED DATA
FORECASTING ENGINE
------ --1
DATA
Patent Application Publication
Aug. 12, 2010 Sheet 1 0f 17
FIG.
US 2010/0205039 A1
1
PRIOR ART
HISTORICAL DATA
/ 102 FORECASTING SYSTEM
FORECAST DATA
FIG. 2 f 206 USER INPUT ON EVENTS: PAST AND FUTURE HISTORICAL DATA
I
f 204
FORECASTING SYSTEM ENHANCING APPARATUS
1
T1202
FORECASTING SYSTEM
FORECAST DATA
Patent Application Publication
Aug. 12, 2010 Sheet 3 0f 17
US 2010/0205039 A1
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(19) United States (12) Patent Application Publication (10) Pub. No.: US 2010/0205039 A1 Basak et al.
(43) Pub. Date:
(54) DEMAND FORECASTING
(2l) Appl. No.: (22) Filed:
(75) Inventors:
Jayanta Basak, New Delhi (IN); Sameep Mehta, NeW Delhi (IN);
'
(IN); Gyana Ranj an Parija, South
Feb. 11, 2009 Publication Classi?cation '
G06Q 10/00 (52)
(73)
Assignee:
(200601)
U.S. Cl. ........................................................ .. 705/10
(57) Correspondence Address: RYAN, MASON & LEWIS, LLP 1300 POST R()A]), SUITE 205 FAIRFIELD, CT 06824 (Us)
12/369,418
(51) Int Cl
Vinayaka D. Pandit, NeW Delhi
City (IN)
Aug. 12, 2010
ABSTRACT
International Business Machines
At least a ?rst future external event is obtained as input. At least one future effect of the at least one future external event is predicted. The at least ?rst future external event is similar to at least a ?rst past external event. Future utilization of at least one tangible resource is forecast by superimposing events normaliZed forecasted data and the at least one predicted future effect of the at least one future event similar to the at
Corporation, Armonk, NY (U S)
least ?rst past external event.
/ 204 I 320
|
USER INTERFACE I 310
HISTORICAL DATA
|
I 312
f 314 M
EVENTS DETECTOR
EVENTS LEARNER
EVENTS RECONSTRUCTOR
' I
I I
I
g
EVENTS
I
316 DATABASE QUERY SERVER
I
:
I
NORMALIZED I 318
;
{~FORECASTED ;
II
II
I I
I I
I
I
I I I
I I I
L ---- --+
EVENTS
I NORMALIZED
HISTORICAb/"i DATA
FORECASTED DATA
FORECASTING ENGINE
------ --1
DATA
Patent Application Publication
Aug. 12, 2010 Sheet 1 0f 17
FIG.
US 2010/0205039 A1
1
PRIOR ART
HISTORICAL DATA
/ 102 FORECASTING SYSTEM
FORECAST DATA
FIG. 2 f 206 USER INPUT ON EVENTS: PAST AND FUTURE HISTORICAL DATA
I
f 204
FORECASTING SYSTEM ENHANCING APPARATUS
1
T1202
FORECASTING SYSTEM
FORECAST DATA
Patent Application Publication
Aug. 12, 2010 Sheet 3 0f 17
US 2010/0205039 A1
|--------------- --------------------------|
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